London W1A 3BG www.cushmanwakefield.com/research This report has been produced by Cushman & Wakefield LLP for use by those with an interest in commercial property solely for information purposes. It is not intended to be a complete description of the markets or developments to which it refers. The report uses information obtained from public sources which Cushman & Wakefield LLP believe to be reliable, but we have not verified such information and cannot guarantee that it is accurate and complete. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information contained herein and Cushman & Wakefield LLP shall not be liable to any reader of this report or any third party in any way whatsoever. All expressions of opinion are subject to change. Our prior written consent is required before this report can be reproduced in whole or in part. Should you not wish to receive information from Cushman & Wakefield LLP or any related company, please email unsubscribe@eur.cushwake.com with your details in the body of your email as they appear on this communication and head it Unsubscribe. 2014 Cushman & Wakefield LLP. All rights reserved. OVERVIEW Further improvements have been noted in the Spanish economy, building on the recovery that began in the summer of 2013 and with 2014 growth expected to be 0.8%. Growth is driven mainly by exports, which have benefitted from Spains rising competitiveness and improved demand from its main trading partners. Domestic demand is also expected to make a modest contribution to growth this year after being a drag in 2013. OCCUPIER FOCUS Gross take-up in Madrid and Barcelona reached a total of 167,000 sq.m in Q1. In Madrid the CBD market is the most popular, accounting for 46% of Q1 activity, while in Barcelona the periphery was the most sought after location with its ability to offers larger, modern floorplates. New leases, in both key cities, are driving activity but this is largely linked to occupiers consolidating their businesses and driving through cost efficiencies and/or upgrading to better quality space without increasing their balance sheets. Expansion driven take-up is limited and it will be some time before this is seen in earnest. Rents held firm across the board in Barcelona, while a marginal uplift of 2% was seen in Madrids CBD as quality stock falls and demand increases. However, vacancy was largely stable, albeit at relatively high levels, as net absorption is low and there is a churn in the market with newer stock taken-up at the expense of older stock which is being released. Over time the overhang of space should be eroded as there is no speculative space currently under construction. INVESTMENT FOCUS Just over 200 million was transacted in Q1 in the Spanish office market and there are solid indications that the recovery is not merely perception, but that the market has turned a corner and is indeed more of a reality now. There are many investors with an eye on the Spanish market, attracted by macro-economic stability and the prospects for improvements in the sector over the coming years. The largest deal was the 117 million Avenida de Amrica, 115 which was bought by London Regional Properties from Spains Banco Sabadell. OUTLOOK 2014 has seen the Spanish economy move into more solid positive territory. Further acceleration of growth is not anticipated to take hold until 2015. However, with sentiment much more positive an improvement in the real estate sector should follow. Investment activity should pick-up in anticipation in a strengthening of the occupational market, led by Madrid. MARKET OUTLOOK Prime Rents: Overall prime rents are stable, but for pockets of rental growth emerging for quality space.
Prime Yields: Rising investor interest and higher volumes will see yields come under downward pressure.
Supply: The amount of quality supply decreases, but this is at the expense of older stock.
Demand: Demand should persist for prime, well-located spaces, putting secondary markets in jeopardy.
PRIME OFFICE RENTS MARCH 2014 MARKET (SUBMARKET) US$ GROWTH % SQ.M/MTH SQ.M/YR SQ.FT/YR 1YR 5YR CAGR Madrid (CBD) 25.00 300 38.4 2.0 -6.0 Madrid (Decentralised) 15.50 186 23.8 0.0 -7.2 Barcelona (CBD) 17.75 213 27.3 0.0 -5.5 Barcelona (Decentralised) 13.75 165 21.1 0.0 -7.7
PRIME OFFICE YIELDS MARCH 2014 MARKET (SUBMARKET) (FIGURES ARE GROSS, %) CURRENT LAST LAST 10 YEAR QUARTER QUARTER YEAR HIGH LOW Madrid (CBD) 5.75 5.75 6.00 6.00 3.50 Madrid (Decentralised) 7.00 7.00 7.25 7.25 4.75 Barcelona (CBD) 6.00 6.25 6.25 6.25 4.00 Barcelona (Decentralised) 7.50 7.75 7.75 7.75 4.75 With respect to the yield data provided, in light of the lack of recent comparable market evidence in many areas of Europe and the changing nature of the market and the costs implicit in any transaction, such as financing, these are very much a guide only to indicate the approximate trend and direction of prime initial yield levels and should not be used as a comparable for any particular property or transaction without regard to the specifics of the property.
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