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this fiscal: Economic Survey

The Economic Survey for 2013-14 tabled in Parliament by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Wednesday -
prepared by senior economic advisor Ila Patnaik - on the state of Asia's third-largest economy a day
before Modi's new government presents its first budget.

Following are key highlights of the report:

1. Growth: GDP growth seen at 5.4 - 5.9 percent in 2014/15


- Economic growth of 7-8 percent not seen before 2016/17

2. Fiscal Health: Fiscal deficit for 2013-14 contained at 4.5% of the GDP

3. Inflation:

- Government needs to move towards low and stable inflation through fiscal consolidation

- Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation expected to moderate by end-2014

- Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation showing signs of moderation

4. Current Account Deficit: 2014/15 current account deficit may be contained to around $45 billion or to
2.1 percent of GDP

5. Balance of Payments: Improvement in balance of payments position during late 2013-14 was swift
thanks to import restrictions and economic slowdown

- Need to adjust to advanced economies' eventual exit from accommodative monetary policy stance

5. Taxation: Government needs to move towards simple tax regime, fewer tax exemptions and single
rate of goods and services tax (GST)

- GST to play vital role in indirect tax reform

- Direct Taxes Code (DTC) required to replace existing income tax laws; will reduce compliance costs and
boost tax collection

6. Agriculture: India ranks first in the world in productivity of grapes, banana, cassava, peas, and
papaya

- Agriculture sector growth rate 4.7% in the year 2013-14

- Agriculture exports grow by 5.1% in the year 2013-14

- Exports of marine products show a growth rate of 45% in the year 2013-14

7. Industrial Performance: Industry grew by just 1.0 percent in 2012-13 and slowed further in 2013-14,
posting a modest increase of 0.4 percent.

- During 2013-14, FDI inflow (including equity inflows, reinvested earnings and other capital) was USD
36.4 billion.

- Overall gross bank credit flow to industry has increased by 14.9 percent in 2013-14.

8. Services: India ranked 12th in terms of services GDP among the worlds top 15 countries

- India has the second fastest growing services sector with its CAGR at 9.0 percent, just below China

- The growth rate of the combined category of trade, hotels, restaurants, transport, storage, and
communications decelerated to 3.0 percent

- Financing, insurance, real estate, and business services grew robustly at 12.9 percent

- Services constitute a 57 percent share in GDP at factor cost in 2013-14



Highlights of Union Budget 2014-15
Finance Minister Arun Jaitley detailed his budget for 2014-15 today, the first under Prime Minister
Narendra Modi's new government.

Here are the highlights of Budget 2014:

1. Fiscal deficit target retained at 4.1% of GDP for current fiscal and 3.6 for 2015-16 and 3% for 2016-17

2. Revenue Deficit seen at 2.9% for FY15

3. Aim to achieve 7-8 per cent economic growth rate in next 3-4 years: FM


4. Committed for growth of agriculture at the rate of 4 per cent.

5. Defence FDI cap raised to 49% from 26% at present

6. Exemption limit on income tax from Rs. 2 lakh to Rs. 2.5 lakh.

7. For senior citizens, the exemption on income has been raised to Rs. 3 lakh per annum.

8. Tax-free cap on home loan interest from Rs. 1.5 to Rs. 2 lakh.

9. No change in Income tax rates and slabs .

10. Annual PPF ceiling to be enhanced to Rs 1.5 lakh, from Rs 1 lakh

11. Women Safety:
i. Outlay of Rs. 50 crores for a pilot scheme on road safety
ii. Another 150 crores to be spent by MHA on safety on women in larger cities
iii. 'Beti Bachao, Beti Padhao Yojana' - 100 crores

12. Rs 3600 cr set aside for National Rural Drinking Water: FM

13. Rural housing: Rs 8000 crore for national housing banking programme

14. Metro rails in PPP mode; Rs. 100 cr set aside for metro scheme in Ahmadabad and Lucknow

15. Each year government will be adding AIIMS to ensure there is an AIIMS in every state: Jaitley

16. Rs 100 crores to set up virtual classrooms

17. Rs 500 crores for setting up 5 more IIMs and IITs

18. FM Proposes to enhance the scope of income tax settlement commission

19. Rs 7,060 crore allocated for building new cities

20. Jaitley announces e-visas to promote tourism

21. The government is committed to the welfare of scheduled castes and tribes.

22. Rs 200 crores credit scheme for start-ups by those from scheduled castes and tribes

23. Government is committed to providing 24x7 electricity in all houses

24. 15 Braille press to come up.

25. Currency note with Braille-like signs

26. Promote FDI selectively in sectors. India needs a boost in job creation in the manufacturing sector
27. 24x7 electricity in all houses

28. Minimum pension of Rs.1000 per month to all PP schemes.

29. Rs 50,548 cr proposed for SC development

30. Bharat Swach Yojna proposed for hygiene and cleanliness.

31. Rs. 200 crore for Statue of Unity, a statue of Sardar Patel in Gujarat.

32. Rs. 1000 cr for irrigation plan named Pradhan mantri krishi sichayin yojana.

33. Skill India initiative to make youth employable and create more entrepreneurs.

34. Kisan Vikas Patra to be expanded.

35. e-visa for nine cities.

36. Rs. 7060 cr for creating smart cities.

37. Assam and Jharkhand to get Centre of Excellence on farming

38. Rs. 100 crores for modernization of Madrasas

39. Jaitley announces Skill India, a programme to train youth for jobs

40. Equity in PSU banks to be raised through share sale to the public

41. Rural housing: Rs 8000 crores for national housing banking programme

42. MGNREGA programme to made more productive

43. Senior Citizens Pension Plan Extended Till August 2015

44. National Adaption Fund for climate change to be set up

45. Rs. 500 crore for price stabilization fund.

46. 100 soil testing laboratories across the country.

47. House resumes. Budget Speech continues.

48. Agriculture University in AP and Rajasthan, and Horticulture University in Haryana, Telangana; Rs. 200
cr set aside

49. An AIIMS will be created in every state.

50. All six new AIIMS are functional. Four more AIIMS under consideration. 12 more medical colleges will be
added. Rs. 500 crore allocated for this.

51. MGNREGA programme will be made more productive

52. Crisis Management Center for women at Delhi

53. Start up village at Rs 100 crore to promote entrepreneurship among rural youth.

54. Rs. 14,389 crores for PM Sadak Yojana

55. Rs 200 crore allocated to set up six textiles clusters

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