MODERN CAUSES OF FOOD CRISIS Food Prices remain high and vary every day. It has been like that since the many food crisis that hit the world in the 21 st century. (2005 Niger food crisis, 2008 world food price crisis, 2010 Sahel famine and 2011 East Africa drought ). Today single governments cannot try to eradicate this crisis. The whole world countries must commit to co- ordinate between each other and put forward policies that enable the part of the population that is most affected by the crisis. Countries with high poverty and weak safety try often to increase food subsidies, which are most of the time counterproductive. The families in there high poverty countries tend to change their diet and eat less healthy food, which lead to catastrophic results. The economy declines and the population risk health issues in the long term. This may lead to general lower productivity, higher mortality and lower learning capacity. Investment in Agriculture development to boost food productivity should be a priority. Several worldwide partnerships should be done to encourage this boost, If this crisis is not averted in the long run there could be massive repercussions on the world population. Another factor to take into consideration is the fact that the World population is growing every year at an impressive rate. If solutions are not found, it will get worst every year. Especially because countries with a high birth rate are usually countries with a large poor population. In order to avoid price growth, food production must outperform population growth, which was around 1.2% per year. But there was a momentary drop in food production development, wheat production during 2006 and 2007 was 4% lower than that in 2004 and 2005. Another Factor to take into consideration is the possibility of future disasters that may influence the output or productivity of food. Every environmental disaster may have dramatic consequences. A possible important environmental factor could be the rising level of the ozone layer and Global Warming, Just watching the weather changes in most part of the world, we see a new trend forming where the weather
2
changes from its usual pattern (example it rains frequently in those days and its July). This affects agriculture considerably. Some other factors of the world food crisis are: The increase in general demand for food. Production is increasing but the consumption of food is outpacing the production at grows at a faster rate than production.. The increase in fuel price that leads to highest costs for agriculture inputs like fertilizers, higher costs of production for crops that are commercially produced and higher transportation costs. Droughts that affect many countries and lead to crisis ( such as the 2010 Sahel Famine and the 2011 East Africa drought ) The U.S. Department of Agriculture has stated that worldwide grain reserves are at their lowest level since 1960. Worldwide stocks of wheat, corn, barley and rice have decreased every year since 2001, with the exception of 2004/2005. In consequence, we have been living off our reserves. Grain production is diverted to produce biofuels that is a good alternative for fuel, but eliminates a good source of food reserve. Government price control and export bans have had big negative influences over worldwide food trade and is still a big factor in the high price of food in our days. Finally, While the food crisis seems to have appeared suddenly, this lack of investment in agriculture by developed countries that relied too much on trade to make up for food deficit has consequences today.
3
200708 WORLD FOOD PRICE CRISIS
The food crisis appeared to explode overnight, reinforcing fears that there are just too many people in the world. But according to the FAO, with record grain harvests in 2007, there is more than enough food in the world to feed everyoneat least 1.5 times current demand. In fact, over the last 20 years, food production has risen steadily at over 2.0% a year, while the rate of population growth has dropped to 1.14% a year. Population is not outstripping food supply. Were seeing more people hungry and at greater numbers than before, says World Hunger Programs executive director Josette Sheeran, There is food on the shelves but people are priced out of the market.- Eric Holt-Gimnez and Loren Peabody, From Food Rebellions to Food Sovereignty: Urgent call to fix a broken food system, Institute for Food and Development Policy, May 16, 2008 The last argument states a problem of overpopulation. While it is true that we are living in a world that may be overpopulated ( and will be even more overpopulated every year ), it is not the primary factor that led to the 2008 food price crisis. Some factors include: The unnecessary use of land to produce products that could be potentially negligible especially during a worldwide food crisis such as tobacco production, biofuel production or urbanization of land. The inequality of distribution of food, some recent statistics show that almost 80 % of the worlds food production is consumed by the wealthiest which are a minority in the world today. And in relation to the last argument, we can see an evident disparity when we see high obesity levels in developed countries while developing countries have high rates of malnourished population. The main causes of the 2008 Global food crisis were: The high fuel prices that affected agricultural costs. The low worldwide grain reserves. The growth of meat consumption in developing countries. Droughts in some major grain producing or wheat producing countries in the past decade. The diversion of cereals biofuels.
4
There could be many other causes for the Global food crisis, one of them could be the dominance and monopolization of richer nations and their big corporations that have a big impact on the agriculture and that are in charge of so much assets that they are basically a main source of income for developing countries that have theirs assets. These big corporations through concentrated ownership and disruptive trade agreements does not give the chance to poor developing countries to have food security policies. A general idea could be to look at the commodities market, If the prices of commodities go higher, the corporations and companies that are in that specific market that has a growth in price will increase its revenue, but for a normal citizen of any country, it only means that that product will cost more for him and decreases his purchasing power, and this has a devastating effect towards the big part of the global population that can only afford to eat barely. SOLUTIONS ? Today global population is rising by about 1 percent per year. Which is an extra Great-Britain population to feed every ten years. By 2050 we could already see a global population of 10 billion. The problem is that we cannot find more land to cultivate on, almost the entire worldwide cultivation land is already being used. How do we produce more then? A possible solution that could be seen as a last resort solution is to finally embrace the Genetically modified crops that is having such a bad reputation today. To put it in simple terms, they could enable the production of crops that are modified to suit a specific land that may have a problem growing the natural counterpart otherwise such as the Golden Rice which is rich in Vitamin A or the different types of anti-fungal wheat. These GM crops could increase production all over the world and could suit many type of agricultural land. Another solution may be to finally unlock the potential of Africas agriculture. Today Africas agriculture, in particular the Sub-Saharan agricultural sector, is underperforming because of lack of technology and science involved, or also because of conflicts that affect trade and production. Today some governments are trying to push science into agriculture to try and tackle problems and resolve them to boost production. A big international aid could greatly benefit this trend and could unlock their potential.
5
Agrofuel Trade and investment could be suspended to allow farmers to produce food rather than fuel. Today the agrofuel business is growing and it is expanding, if it is not stopped then it could simply take over land over land and decrease the general production of food. CONCLUSIONTR The best way to try and eradicate the food crisis is to follow a specific blueprint and adapt it to the local agricultures. The use of science and technology, techonolgies can help boost production for farmers who have low production because of the lack of good quality seeds, fertilizers and equipment. We must also do a better job in distributing the food on the planet, there is enough food for the current population but many are starving because the distribution of food is not homogeneous. Rich countries throw food while poor countries cannot eat enough. Grain is also used to nourish cows, around 7 kg of grain is needed to receive 1 kg of meat. 7 kg of grain can be a lot of food for people who do not have enough to survive. We should also support local food systems that are considered as a buffer against global markets volatility. If we produce more locally, we will not be at risk because we cannot import enough food for example. Finally regulations should be strong and should emphasize on regulating the market in a global scale and in an ethical way.