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A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies on the 24th Congressional District race. The poll found U.S. Rep. Dan Maffei leads Republican challenger John Katko by seven percentage points.
A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies on the 24th Congressional District race. The poll found U.S. Rep. Dan Maffei leads Republican challenger John Katko by seven percentage points.
A poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies on the 24th Congressional District race. The poll found U.S. Rep. Dan Maffei leads Republican challenger John Katko by seven percentage points.
lobllc Oploloo 5ttoteqles teceotly cooJocteJ o Jlsttlct-wlJe sotvey of 400 llkely votets, teocbeJ vlo looJlloe ooJ cell pbooe oo bebolf of tbe kotko fot cooqtess compolqo. 1be poll wos cooJocteJ Ioly 27-29, 2014 ooJ bos o motqlo of ettot of -/- 4.9X lo 95 oot of 100 coses. 1be potpose of tbls memo ls to tevlew some of tbe key floJloqs of tbot poll.
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! *3456 .2 7.48./ 2./19+ 0.1.42 6/ 48+ :39964; 32 "3<<+. .2 7+99 =/0+> ?@AB uesplLe !ohn's currenL llmlLed name recognlLlon ([usL 36 of voLers have heard of !ohn), he beglns wlLhln sLrlklng dlsLance of lncumbenL uan Maffel on Lhe balloL, 36-43 (40-43 wlLh leaners lncluded).
undeclded voLers are polsed Lo break Loward !ohn as hls name ldenLlflcaLlon lncreases. A ma[orlLy (32) of undeclded voLers would prefer Lo glve a new person a chance raLher Lhan re-elecL Maffel (11), undeclded voLers lean Loward Lhe 8epubllcan candldaLe on Lhe generlc balloL (40-21), and Lhey prefer a 8epubllcan candldaLe who wlll be a check on Cbama over a uemocraLlc candldaLe who wlll help pass Cbama's agenda by a wlde margln, 37-23.
! $:3C3 .2 =/0+>734+>B resldenL Cbama won Lhe 24 Lh ulsLrlcL ln 2012, buL hls approval raLlng now slLs aL 41, wlLh 36 dlsapprovlng (43 sLrongly dlsapprove). unafflllaLed voLers dlsapprove of Lhe resldenL by a nearly Lwo-Lo-one margln, 33-62. 8y a 17 polnL margln (33-36), voLers would prefer a 8epubllcan candldaLe who wlll be a check on Cbama Lo a uemocraLlc candldaLe who wlll help pass hls agenda.
Cbama's unpopularlLy boosL 8epubllcans - Cbama dlsapprovers voLe for Lhe 8epubllcan candldaLe on Lhe generlc balloL, 63-12. !"# %&'( )*+,- ."/ 01231245 674" ,
! D8+ EF 48 G6/1>+22.6/39 (.24>.H4 .2 3 H6CI+4.4.J+ 2+34B Whlle Lhe Cook vl pegs Lhe 24 Lh ulsLrlcL as a uLM +3 seaL, Lhe dlsLrlcL represenLs a classlc norLheasL Loss-up. arLy reglsLraLlon ls nearly even (33 8epubllcan - 34 uemocraL). 1he generlc balloL shows a sllghL edge for Lhe 8epubllcan candldaLe, 41- 40. 1he dlsLrlcL has changed over Llme, buL Lhls area has senL 8epubllcans Lo Congress ln 13 of Lhe lasL 17 elecLlons.
! "3<<+. .2 3 76=/0+0 ./H=C:+/4B uan Maffel enLers Lhe lall campalgn ln a weak pollLlcal poslLlon. Pls balloL supporL ls well-below Lhe 30 Lhreshold, hls personal lmage (47 favorable - 34 unfavorable) ls already polarlzed, and hls re-elecL score ls a neL negaLlve, 37 re-elecL - 46 new person.
!"# %&''&( )*+# 1he eroslon of resldenL Cbama's pollLlcal supporL and Lhe ouL of Louch naLure of uan Maffel puLs Lhe 24 Lh Congresslonal ulsLrlcL ln play. 1he lncumbenL ls pollLlcally weak. !ohn kaLko ls already compeLlLlve wlLh uan Maffel desplLe hls lack of name ldenLlflcaLlon - whlch wlll only lmprove. undeclded voLers are polsed Lo break overwhelmlngly Loward !ohn ln Lhls campalgn.
!ohn ls very well-poslLloned ln Lhls race. 1he flnal sLep wlll be Lo ensure !ohn has Lhe flnanclal resources needed Lo lncrease hls name lu, arLlculaLe hls message of cleanlng up Congress, and defend hlmself agalnsL Lhe aLLack ads already belng planned by uan Maffel and Lhe uCCC.
Recent Advances in the Science and Technology of Zeolites and Related Materials: Proceedings of the 14th International Zeolite Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, 25-30th April 2004