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The total vacancy rate in Q2 2014 was 17.4%, representing a 140 bps decline year over year. The most significant decrease in vacancy was in south florida, where vacancy declined 180 bps. The average asking lease rate in the state was $24.32, an increase of $0. Per sq. Ft.
The total vacancy rate in Q2 2014 was 17.4%, representing a 140 bps decline year over year. The most significant decrease in vacancy was in south florida, where vacancy declined 180 bps. The average asking lease rate in the state was $24.32, an increase of $0. Per sq. Ft.
The total vacancy rate in Q2 2014 was 17.4%, representing a 140 bps decline year over year. The most significant decrease in vacancy was in south florida, where vacancy declined 180 bps. The average asking lease rate in the state was $24.32, an increase of $0. Per sq. Ft.
2014, CBRE, Inc. State of Florida Office MarketView STEADY GROWTH SUPPORTS LONG-TERM OFFICE OUTLOOK Hot Topics
Floridas median home sale price of $180,000 is affordable compared to the national median of $213,600. The state median sale price increased 4.3% over the past year, while the national median sale price increased 4.9%. Florida is leading the nation in home sales to international buyers.
Orlando and Miami are on Forbes list of the 50 Most Creative Cities.
Florida companies are expecting growth in both revenue and employment over the next 12 months, according to the National Center for Middle-Market Companies.
Many landlords are changing to a shared-space model, with the expectation that small tenants in shared space today could grow into larger footprints in the future. Leasing Activity After a slow start to the year, the Florida office market is exhibiting strong fundamentals. The total vacancy rate in Q2 2014 was 17.4%, representing a 140 basis point (bps) decline year over year. North Florida posted a Q2 2014 total vacancy of 17.5%, a 90 bps improvement year over year. The most significant decrease in vacancy was in South Florida, where vacancy declined 180 bps year over year to 17.4% in Q2 2014. The CBD vacancy rates for South Florida contributed significantly to the year-over- year decrease with Broward reporting a 480 bps decline and Miami posting a 220 bps decline. Suburban markets with the sharpest year-over-year vacancy decline included Jacksonville, where vacancy declined by 210 bps, and Tampa, where vacancy declined by 180 bps. Statewide, office asking lease rates increased modestly. The overall average asking rate in Q2 2014 was $24.32, an increase of $0.40 per sq. ft. year over year. North Florida markets posted an average rate of $21.06 in the CBD and $18.86 in the suburban sectors, after increasing $0.83 and $0.27 per sq. ft., respectively, year over year. South Florida markets reported an average rate of $34.38 in the CBD markets, an $0.85 increase, while suburban markets posted and average rate of $27.41, which was flat year over year. The Miami and Tampa Bay CBD markets were bullish in Q2 2014, with annual asking rate increases of $0.96 and $2.12 per sq. ft., respectively. Absorption has tapered compared to the same period one year ago. Year-to-date net absorption was positive for the state, with nearly 1.2 million sq. ft. compared to just over 2.5 million sq. ft. reported in the first two quarters of 2013. South Florida markets retained a similar net absorption pace compared to the previous year with Miami and Broward contributing the majority of the positive activity. North Florida markets have fallen short to date in 2014, primarily due to a loss of traction in Q1 2014. In Q2 2014, North Florida markets rebounded with over 310,000 sq. ft. of positive net absorption. Q2 2014 $22.00 $22.50 $23.00 $23.50 $24.00 $24.50 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD Figure 1: Total Vacancy -vs- Average Direct Asking Lease Rate (FSG) Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. *Arrows indicate change from previous year. TOTAL VACANCY 17.4% ASKING RATE $24.32 UNEMPLOYMENT 6.1% NET ABSORPTION 818 K sq. ft. CONSTRUCTION 381 K sq. ft. COMPLETIONS 80 K sq. ft. Percent Vacancy Asking Lease Rate Total Vacancy
17.4% Average Direct Asking Lease Rate
$24.32 2 Q 2
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2014, CBRE, Inc. 2 North Florida is anticipated to sustain positive net absorption in the second half of the year as tenants occupy space as a result of new leases and expansions signed in the first half of the year. Statewide there were over 1.1 million sq. ft. of leases signed in the first half of 2014 that will have a positive impact on absorption in the second half of the year. This activity represents new leases and expansions of existing tenants. Workplace strategies emphasizing efficient use of space will continue to impact absorption. In an effort to accommodate the preferences of the millennial workforce, employers are creating open and collaborative work environments; advances in technology are allowing them to do so in smaller, smarter spaces. At the same time, telecommuting has become more popular, further reducing office space requirements. Sales Activity Year to date, sales activity in 2014 has increased compared to previous years. Quarterly sales volume in 2012 averaged $500 million and in 2013 the average was over $350 million. Statewide sales volume was $661 million in Q1 2014 and $537 million in Q2 2014. The state sales volume for the first half of 2014 was approximately $1.2 billion in 70 transactions with 7.5 million sq. ft. changing hands. Florida is following the national trend of office market recovery. According to the Second Quarter 2014 PwC Real Estate Investor Survey, each of the six tracked Florida markets are in the recovery phase of the real estate cycle. Nationally, there are many primary markets where the return on investment has narrowed causing investors to look to secondary and tertiary markets to find value-add opportunity. Florida markets have started to see increased investor sales activity and will benefit from this trend. Development Office deliveries remain muted with limited space under construction. One building of 80,000 sq. ft. was delivered in the Miami market in Q2 2014. There were no deliveries reported for the other Florida markets. Space under construction in the first half of 2014 included just over 380,000 sq. ft. The bulk of the construction activity continues to occur in the Miami market where there is 280,000 sq. ft. under construction, accounting for the majority of the space statewide. A number of office projects currently underway and planned in Florida markets are taking the form of office space located within mixed-use projects. In recent years, high-density mixed- use projects have become more prevalent in Floridas urban areas. The remaining land in and around Floridas CBDs is becoming scarce and more valuable to developers, driving the need for higher-density projects in these areas. Figure 2: Market Statistics Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Submarket Building sq. ft. Direct Vacancy (%) Total Vacancy (%) Q2 2014 Net Absorption 2014 Net Absorption Under Construction Avg Dir Asking Lse Rate (FSG) Miami CBD 14,593,894 16.9 17.2 37,227 170,410 128,580 $35.37 Miami Suburban 31,937,820 14.3 14.8 273,683 323,871 151,523 $27.72 Miami Overall 46,531,714 15.1 15.5 310,910 494,281 280,103 $30.83 Broward CBD 5,185,507 12.8 13.6 99,436 123,507 0 $30.86 Broward Suburban 22,963,755 15.4 16.1 17,318 225,135 40,000 $24.86 Broward Overall 28,149,262 15.0 15.7 116,754 348,642 40,000 $26.55 Palm Beach Suburban 23,154,131 23.0 23.3 79,639 55,489 0 $29.18 Palm Beach Overall 23,154,131 23.0 23.3 79,639 55,489 0 $29.18 Tampa Bay CBD 6,869,507 14.3 14.5 (7,499) 699 0 $23.26 Tampa Bay Suburban 38,847,242 15.3 15.4 112,049 260,254 19,474 $19.61 Tampa Bay Overall 45,716,749 15.1 15.2 104,550 260,953 19,474 $20.13 Orlando CBD 7,662,258 15.5 16.5 (54,409) 1,233 17,124 $22.55 Orlando Suburban 29,352,856 18.6 19.4 113,074 71,391 0 $19.23 Orlando Overall 37,015,114 18.0 18.8 58,665 72,624 17,124 $19.83 Jacksonville CBD 7,330,220 22.8 22.9 24,449 (216,470) 0 $18.70 Jacksonville Suburban 16,452,436 18.0 18.2 122,978 175,764 24,041 $16.47 Jacksonville Overall 23,782,656 19.5 19.7 147,427 (40,706) 24,041 $17.32 State of Florida CBD 41,641,386 16.7 17.2 99,204 79,379 145,704 $27.68 State of Florida Suburban 162,708,240 17.1 17.5 718,741 1,111,904 235,038 $23.19 State of Florida Overall 204,349,626 17.0 17.4 817,945 1,191,283 380,742 $24.32 South Florida CBD 19,779,401 15.8 16.3 136,663 293,917 128,580 $34.38 South Florida Suburban 78,055,706 17.2 17.7 370,640 604,495 191,523 $27.41 South Florida Overall 97,835,107 16.9 17.4 507,303 898,412 320,103 $29.19 North Florida CBD 21,861,985 17.6 18.0 (37,459) (214,538) 17,124 $21.06 North Florida Suburban 84,652,534 17.0 17.3 348,101 507,409 43,515 $18.86 North Florida Overall 106,514,519 17.1 17.5 310,642 292,871 60,639 $19.34 3 Q 2
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2014, CBRE, Inc. 3 City planners recognized the need to move away from single- use zoning and have created zoning districts and future land use plans that require or encourage higher-density mixed-use projects that will sustain urban economic growth. Multifamily, currently in high demand, is the driving force behind many of these mixed-use projects occurring within and immediately surrounding the CBD markets. Retail and office components are now required as part of these projects in order to obtain density approvals. The mixed-use developments foster the live, work and play trend. However, it is yet to be determined if this type of space presents viable opportunities for occupancy by office- seeking national credit tenants. Economic Influence Floridas economy is leading the nation in job growth and overall recovery in 2014. The state is projected to outpace the nation for the next several years. Floridas annual job growth rate has exceeded the nations rate since April 2012. As of May 2014, Florida added 218,800 jobs year over year, which equates to a 2.9% increase, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis. Floridas unemployment rate fell to 6.1% from 7.3% year over year. By comparison, nationally, unemployment stands at 6.1% compared to the previous years rate of 7.3%. Floridas unemployment rate has been equal to or below the national rate for 13 consecutive months. As of May 2014, professional and business services jobs increased 4% year over year while construction jobs increased 10%. The job growth is just one component of the economic recovery and strength attributed to the state. The University of Floridas Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) rose in June by four points to 82, a post-recession high. Factors that impact the increase include expectations of personal finances, U.S. economic conditions, and whether it is a good time to buy big-ticket items, such as cars or appliances. Housing prices and sales have been holding up, with the median price of a single-family home in Florida increasing 4.3% year over year to $180,000. The stock market continues to make gains and hit new highs despite consistent tapering by the Federal Reserve in its bond-buying program known as Quantitative Easing III. Outlook Office-using employment accounts for 15% of nonagricultural employment and is growing faster than any other sector save construction employment. The continued growth of office sector jobs is a testament to the strength of the Florida economy and will contribute to positive net absorption. Workplace trends of office space efficiency are anticipated to keep positive absorption at a moderate level. However, slow and steady growth is better for the long term health of the market and creates a stronger foundation for future growth.
Figure 3: Asking Rates by Class (FSG) Figure 4: Net Absorption (6,000) (4,000) (2,000) 0 2,000 4,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD 000s of sq. ft. Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. $15 $20 $25 $30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD Class B $21.63 $19.42 Class A $25.48 Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Class C YTD 1.2 Million sq. ft.
Figure 5: Under Construction and Completions Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. 000s of sq. ft. 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YTD Under Construction 381 K sq. ft. YTD Completions 80 K sq. ft. 4 Q 2
$/sq. ft. Miami 17 1,839,805 $456,518,333 $248 Broward 11 1,656,783 $356,921,651 $215 Palm Beach 5 268,553 $32,825,000 $122 Tampa Bay 21 1,545,614 $145,495,769 $94 Orlando 10 859,990 $88,108,000 $102 Jacksonville 6 1,291,052 $118,530,000 $92 State of Florida 70 7,461,797 $1,198,398,753 $161 Market Property/Address Buyer Building sq. ft. Sales Price Jacksonville Walls Fargo Center/1 Independent Drive Allegiance Capital JV Banyan Street Capital 900,000 $79,000,000 Broward AMEX Fort Lauderdale/777 American Express Way TM Real Estate Group LLC 376,000 $33,500,000 Miami Courvoisier Centre/601 Brickell Key Dr (3 Properties) Parkway Properties, Inc. 367,652 $145,800,000 Tampa Bay Interstate Corporate Center/6302 E Dr Martin Luther King Jr Blvd B & L Investments LLC 344,467 $27,500,000 Broward Plaza 100/100 NE 3rd Ave Brookwood Financial Partners LP 165,627 $32,500,000 Miami Miami Lakes Business Center/5875 NW 163rd St Miami Lakes AM LLC 145,545 $12,000,000 Miami 200 Building/200 SE 1st St Integra Investments Llc 141,500 $21,000,000 Tampa Bay Fountain Square II/4925 Independence Pkwy Equus Capital Partners 132,300 $24,750,000 Orlando SunBank Data Center/2290 Premier Row DXRX Orlando, LLC 106,440 $8,000,000 Miami Waterford Centre/6205 Blue Lagoon Dr Ivy Realty 91,000 $21,935,000 Billions of $ Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Real Capital Analytics, Q2 2014. Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Real Capital Analytics, Q2 2014. Figure 10: Sales Volume by Market YTD $1.2 Billion Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Real Capital Analytics, Q2 2014. Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, May 2014. Figure 6: Labor Market Statistics Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, May 2014. Figure 7: Florida Jobs by Sector Trade, Transportation, and Utilities 20% Professional and Business Services 15% Education and Health Services 15% Total Government 14% Leisure and Hospitality 14% Financial Activities 7% Construction 5% Manufacturing 4% Other Services 4% Information 2% MSA/County Labor Force Employment Unemployment Unemploy% Miami-Dade 1,282,788 1,185,038 97,750 7.6 Broward 1,069,429 1,013,944 55,485 5.2 Palm Beach 663,162 623,981 39,181 5.9 Tampa Bay MSA 1,361,546 1,277,469 84,077 6.2 Orlando MSA 1,197,233 1,129,305 67,928 5.7 Jacksonville MSA 726,372 683,998 42,374 5.8 Florida 9,632,000 9,043,000 589,000 6.1 United States 155,841,000 146,398,000 9,443,000 6.1 5 Q 2
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2014, CBRE, Inc. 5 Market Property/Address
Tenant Transaction sq. ft. Orlando 901 Heathrow/901 International Pkwy Deloitte 130,695 Orlando Summit Park I/1950 Summit Park Dr EA Tiburon 128,240 Palm Beach Broken Sound Plaza/5900 Broken Sound Pkwy Cancer Treatment Centers of America 77,340 Tampa Bay Rivergate Tower/400 Ashley Dr Butler Pappas 61,276 Miami 9250 Doral/9250 NW 36th St Prestige Health Choice 49,230 Palm Beach Esperante' Corporate Center/222 Lakeview Ave Cole, Scott & Kissane, PA 48,821 Orlando Maitland Colonnades/2301 Lucien Way Windstream Nuvox Inc 48,522 Tampa Bay Pasco Building/805 Executive Center Dr Valpak 47,207 Tampa Bay Bank Of America Plaza/101 Kennedy Blvd Trenam Kemker 44,864 Miami Wells Fargo Center/333 Avenue of the Americas PriceWaterhouseCoopers 43,277 Miami 550 Biltmore/550 Biltmore Way UBS International Inc 43,000 Broward Sawgrass Plaza /1550 Sawgrass Corporate Pkwy Centene Corporation 42,678 Orlando TerraCotta Bus Park /5575 Semoran Blvd Agmus Ventures Inc 41,553 Tampa Bay Westshore Corporate Center/600 Westshore Blvd Undisclosed 39,560 Orlando Liberty Summit/1901 Summit Tower Blvd FedEx 37,940 Tampa Bay Bridgeport Center/5201 Kennedy Blvd Keystone Peer Review Organization 35,903 Miami Federal Reserve Bank/9100 NW 36th St Digital Latin America 35,031 Jacksonville Cypress Pt Bus Prk/8201 Cypress Plaza Blvd Selene Finance 34,200 Orlando Lake Luma Prof Ctr /1717 Orange Ave The Nemours Foundation 34,092 Miami Alhambra Plaza/2 Alhambra Plz Buena Vista Int., LLC (Walt Disney TV) 32,478 Figure 11: Q2 2014 Leases Figure 12: Under Construction as of 06/30/2014 Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Under Construction Property/Address City Submarket Building sq. ft. Average Asking Rate Miami Brickell City Centre Phase I/78 SW 7th St Miami Brickell 128,580 N/A Miami Sunset Office Center/1515 Sunset Dr Miami Coral Gables 60,799 $35.00 Miami SoMi Building/5966 S Dixie Highway Miami Kendall 50,000 $27.00 Miami One Netanya/323 Sunny Isles Blvd Sunny Isles Beach Aventura 40,724 N/A Broward Riviera Point/7971 Riviera Blvd Miramar SW Broward 40,000 N/A Tampa Bay Building 5/5331 Primrose Lake Cir Tampa Northeast Tampa 19,474 $23.00 Orlando 800 N Orange/800 N Orange Ave Orlando Downtown 17,124 N/A Figure 13: Delivered Q2 2014 Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2014. Market Property/Address City Submarket Building sq. ft. Average Asking Rate Miami Doral Park Centre/3895 NW 107 Ave Doral Airport/Doral 80,000 $26.00 6 Q 2
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2014, CBRE, Inc. 6 CONTACTS Shanna Drwiega Research Analyst CBRE 101 East Kennedy Boulevard, Suite 1500 Tampa, FL 33602 t: +1 813 273 8433 e: shanna.drwiega@cbre.com For more information about this Local MarketView, please contact: Quinn Eddins Director, Research and Analysis CBRE 777 Brickell Avenue Suite 900 Miami, FL 33131 t: +1 305 428 6325 e: quinn.eddins@cbre.com + 40 million sq. ft. 30 39 million sq. ft. 25 29 million sq. ft. Below 25 million sq. ft. Inventory Size Tampa Bay Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 45,716,749 15.2% $20.13 Miami Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 46,531,714 15.5% $30.83 Broward Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 28,149,262 15.7% $26.55 Palm Beach Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 23,154,131 23.3% $29.18 Orlando Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 37,015,114 18.8% $19.83 Jacksonville Inventory Vacancy % Asking Rate 23,782,656 19.7% $17.32 Abu I. Mansoor Senior Research Analyst CBRE 200 East Las Olas Boulevard, Suite 1620 Fort Lauderdale, FL 33301 t: +1 954 331 1733 e: abu.mansoor@cbre.com GLOBAL RESEARCH AND CONSULTING CBRE Global Research and Consulting is an integrated community of preeminent researchers and consultants who provide real estate market research, econometric forecasting, and corporate and public sector strategies to investors and occupiers around the globe. Additional research produced by Global Research and Consulting can be found at www.cbre.com/researchgateway. DISCLAIMER Information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. It is your responsibility to confirm independently its accuracy and completeness. This information is presented exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior written permission of CBRE. FOLLOW CBRE