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NYSE
SSP
Buy
Rating Unchanged
Current Price
$21.01
Target Price
$25.00
Market Capitalization
1.18B
Shares Outstanding
56.10M
Float
23.22M
Institutional Holdings
64.10%
12-month Low/High
$13.74/$22.59
Average 90-day Volume
267,144
Fiscal Year End
Dec 31
Revenues ($ MIL)
Period 2012 2013 2014
Q1 207.1A 198.7A N/A
Q2 216.9A 207.9A N/A
Q3 219.6A 189.5A N/A
Q4 259.8A 220.8A N/A
903.4A 816.9A 911.1E
EPS ($ MIL)
Period 2012 2013 2014
Q1 (0.07)A (0.05)A N/A
Q2 0.09A 0.05A N/A
Q3 0.21A (0.16)A N/A
Q4 0.47A 0.14A N/A
0.70A (0.01)A 0.72E
E.W. Scripps
A National Crunch
We believe that the company will post better than average revenue growth in the
upcoming second quarter despite the likely weakness in National spot advertising, given
strong Retransmission revenue
While we estimate that the Television Broadcast industry is down 12% in National spot
advertising, we believe that the company will fair better, down roughly 10%
We are adjusting our second quarter revenue outlook down from $217.7 million to $211.5
million and our cash flow estimate from $21.6 million to $19.1 million; our full year 2014
estimates have been adjusted accordingly
We believe that the company will benefit in the second half from the upcoming
Retransmission negotiations with Charter, as well as a pick up in revenue from its recent
acquisition of two Granite television stations
We are lowering our price target to $25 from $27; however, the SSP shares remain
among our favorite Television Broadcast stocks and investors are encouraged to buy
aggressively on possible weakness related to weaker than expected current fundamentals
Equity Research
Michael Kupinski, Director of Research
(561) 994-5734 mkupinski@noblefcm.com
Juan Bejarano, Research Associate
(561) 994-5731 jbejarano@noblefcm.com
Noble Financial Capital Markets
Trading: (561) 998-5489 Sales: (561) 998-5491
www.noblefcm.com
Refer to the last two pages of this report for Disclosures
Page: 1 of 7
Valuation Summary
Near current levels, the SSP shares trade at roughly 10.0 times enterprise value to our 2014 cash flow estimate
and 7.7 times blended 2015/2016 cash flow estimate. Our revised price target of $25, reflecting our adjusted
estimates, is based on a target multiple of roughly 9.2 times enterprise value to the blended 2015/2016 cash
flow estimate, or within the broadcast stock's historic trading range over the past 15 years of 8 to 12 times. In
our view, the target multiple does not reflect the prospect of positive upside surprise potential in an improving
economy. Risks to achieving our price target include, acquisitions that may dilute near term cash flow and/or
earnings, weaker than expected advertising as we look to 2014, or weaker than expected economic
improvement, which may adversely affect some of the company's key advertisers.
Page: 2 of 7
E.W. Scripps SSP | CURRENT PRICE $21.01 | Buy | 06/30/2014
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5734 | Juan Bejarano jbejarano@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5731
Page: 3 of 7
E.W. Scripps SSP | CURRENT PRICE $21.01 | Buy | 06/30/2014
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5734 | Juan Bejarano jbejarano@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5731
Page: 4 of 7
E.W. Scripps SSP | CURRENT PRICE $21.01 | Buy | 06/30/2014
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5734 | Juan Bejarano jbejarano@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5731
Page: 5 of 7
E.W. Scripps SSP | CURRENT PRICE $21.01 | Buy | 06/30/2014
Michael Kupinski mkupinski@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5734 | Juan Bejarano jbejarano@noblefcm.com (561) 994-5731
DISCLAIMER
All statements or opinions contained herein that include the words "we", "us", or "our" are solely the responsibility of Noble Financial and do not
necessarily reflect statements or opinions expressed by any person or party affiliated with the company mentioned in this report. Any opinions
expressed herein are subject to change without notice. All information provided herein is based on public and non-public information believed to be
accurate and reliable, but is not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. No judgment is hereby expressed or should be implied as to the
suitability of any security described herein for any specific investor or any specific investment portfolio. The decision to undertake any investment
regarding the security mentioned herein should be made by each reader of this publication based on its own appraisal of the implications and risks of
such decision.
This publication is intended for information purposes only and shall not constitute an offer to buy/sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any
security mentioned in this report, nor shall there be any sale of the security herein in any state or domicile in which said offer, solicitation or sale
would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or domicile. This publication and all information,
comments, statements or opinions contained or expressed herein are applicable only as of the date of this publication and subject to change without
prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Within the past 30 days, a Noble Financial Company Research employee and/or their immediate supervisors have not effected a transaction for their
own account(s) in the investment(s) referred to in this report, nor will such a transaction take place within 5 days of its publication.
A Noble Financial Company intends to seek investment banking business with this company in the next three months.