Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Natalie Everett
17 International Trade
33 Revenue Volatility
Industry Definition
18 Business Locations
Main Activities
Similar Industries
21 Competitive Landscape
Additional Resources
35 Key Statistics
35 Industry Data
35 Annual Change
23 Basis of Competition
35 Key Ratios
3 Industry at a Glance
34 Industry Assistance
4 Industry Performance
24 Barriers to Entry
Executive Summary
25 Industry Globalization
Current Performance
26 Major Companies
Industry Outlook
13 Supply Chain
13 Products & Services
32 Operating Conditions
14 Demand Determinants
32 Capital Intensity
15 Major Markets
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Main Activities
Similar Industries
Additional Resources
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry at a Glance
Dollar & Variety Stores in 2013
Key Statistics
Snapshot
Revenue
Profit
Wages
Businesses
$59.8bn 4.8%
2.2%
$5.6bn 10,703
$4.2bn
% change
Dollar General
Corporation
29.4%
Family Dollar
Stores Inc. 17.0%
Dollar Tree
Stores Inc. 13.4%
Big Lots Inc.
9.1%
% change
Market Share
3
0
0
2
3
6
Year 05
07
09
Revenue
11
13
15
17
Year
19
06
08
10
12
14
16
18
Employment
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
p. 26
8.2%
14.1%
Poverty rate
14.3%
Time spent on
leisure and sports
63.4%
Household products
Consumables
p. 4
SOURCE:
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
SOURCE:
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Structure
Mature
Low
Medium
Industry Assistance
None
Concentration Level
Medium
FOR ADDITIONAL STATISTICS AND TIME SERIES SEE THE APPENDIX ON PAGE 35
Regulation Level
Technology Change
Barriers to Entry
Industry Globalization
Competition Level
Light
Low
Medium
Low
Medium
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Price-conscious
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
16
15
14
% change
2
4
Year
13
06
08
10
12
14
16
18
12
Year 05
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Current
Performance
Slumping economy
aids industry
As
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Changing buying
patterns
Rising competition
Stores
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Industry
Outlook
Industry revenue
12
9
% change
Expanding industry
6
3
0
3
Year 05
07
09
11
13
15
17
19
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Improving economy
Rising competition
As
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
Industry expansion
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
The number of enterprises is expected to
increase, heightening competition
20
Maturity
Quality Growth
Company
consolidation;
level of economic
importance stable
15
10
Quantity Growth
Decline
-5
Shrinking economic
importance
-10
-10
-5
10
15
20
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Performance
industry
is M
ature
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Supply Chain
Consumers in the US
Low- to middle-income earning households form the dominant consumer group for dollar and
variety stores in the United States.
42391
42392
42421
42432
42433
42441
42449
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
8.2%
14.1%
14.3%
Household products
63.4%
Consumables
Total $59.8bn
kitchen supplies, cookware, light bulbs
and small appliances. Declining
disposable income during the recession
caused households to cut back on
unnecessary spending, leading
consumers to hold off on replacing
cookware and small appliances. This
caused the share of home products to
decline as a percentage of revenue. In
2013, this segment is estimated to
represent 14.3% of revenue, compared
to 15.5% of revenue in 2008; further, it
is forecast to fall marginally to 14.0%
in 2018.
Demand
Determinants
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Demand
Determinants
continued
Major Markets
Penny-pinching consumers
Consumers who earn less than $30,000
will make up the largest market in 2013,
representing about half of industry
revenue. The industry retails a wide
range of products at lower prices than
supermarkets and discount department
stores; as such, operators have
capitalized on this frugal market. In the
five years to 2013, however, this
segments share of revenue has declined
in line with the economic downturn. As
consumers in this category faced lower
disposable incomes due to high
unemployment, they have been forced to
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Markets
continued
13.5%
5.0%
Other
51.5%
30.0%
Total $59.8bn
cut back on discretionary spending.
These cutbacks include lower spending
at dollar and variety stores (e.g.
spending on small appliances,
electronics and seasonal decorations
sold by industry operators). Instead,
consumers in this market have focused
their expenditures on daily
consumables, such as food, snacks,
paper products and cleaning supplies.
In the five years to 2018, this
segments share of revenue is expected to
further decline. According to the New
York Post, Walmart is expected to
introduce more products in smaller units
that have lower prices. Consequently, this
activity will likely allow the retail giant to
capture more of this segments dollar,
leading to lower market share for the
Dollar and Variety Stores industry.
Middle-class consumers
Consumers that earn $30,000 to
$49,999 are estimated to make up the
second-largest market in 2013,
accounting for 30.0% of total industry
revenue. In the past five years, this
segments share of revenue has increased
as more middle-class customers began
shopping at dollar and variety stores to
take advantage of discounted prices. To
this end, Dollar General (a major player
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Markets
continued
International Trade
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
West
New
England
AK
0.2
Great
Lakes
WA
ND
MT
0.9
Rocky
Mountains
ID
OR
0.6
West NV
0.4
1.4
SD
0.3
WY
0.5
MN
0.2
0.2
Plains
CO
0.6
2.2
1.0
4.4
KY
5.8
OK
1.8
AZ
NM
1.5
0.7
Southwest
TX
8.8
HI
0.2
2 NH
3 MA
4 RI
5 CT
6 NJ
7 DE
8 MD
0.3
0.7
0.3
2.2
1.4
0.3
NC
4.4
SC
Southeast
MS
AL
3.1
2.7
GA
4.2
2.3
LA
2.5
FL
5.2
Revenue (%)
0.3
1.4
1.7
1.2
TN
AR
WV VA
2.8
3.0
CA
West
OH
2.3
MO
KS
1.1
2.5
3.7
4.4
IN
IL
0.7
UT
PA
3.7
1.2
0.6
1 2
3
NY
6.1
5 4
MI
1.6
IA
NE
0.2
WI
ME
MidAtlantic
9 DC
0.1
Less than 3%
3% to less than 10%
10% to less than 20%
20% or more
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Southeast
In 2013, IBISWorld estimates that the
Southeast region will account for 35.9% of
industry establishments. In most retail
industries, the establishment share
correlates closely with population;
however, there are a number of divergent
trends among some key regions for this
industry. In 2013, data sourced from the
US Census Bureau suggests that the
Southeast region will account for 25.4% of
the population. The 10 percentage point
difference between revenue and
population share is significant, reflecting
the regions status of having the lowest
average per capita personal income level in
the United States. Because the industry
targets households with lower incomes,
many establishments are concentrated in
this region. Louisiana, Mississippi and
North Carolina have a higher concentration
of industry establishments because they
have some of the lowest average per capita
income levels in the United States.
Great Lakes
In 2013, IBISWorld estimates that the
Great Lakes region will account for 15.8%
Distribution of revenue vs. population
Revenue
Revenue
Population
Establishments
Southwest
Southeast
West
Southwest
Southeast
Rocky Mountains
Plains
0
New England
0
Mid-Atlantic
10
Great Lakes
10
Rocky Mountains
20
Plains
20
New England
30
Mid-Atlantic
30
40
Great Lakes
40
West
Business Locations
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Business Locations
continued
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
21
Competitive Landscape
industry is M
edium
identifies
250 Key Success
Factors for a
business. The most
important for this
industry are:
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Profit
Profit margins vary between dollar and
variety stores. Since larger firms can
generally achieve cost savings through
bulk purchases, they are able to enjoy
higher profit margins. In the five years to
2013, changes in consumer spending
patterns have impaired average industry
profitability. Following the economic
downturn and the subsequent decline in
disposable income, many households
were forced to cut back on their
discretionary spending. Instead,
consumers focused their spending on
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
22
Competitive Landscape
Industry Costs
(2013)
3.7
9.5
7.1
9.3
74.1
69.2
Profit
Wages
Purchases
Depreciation
Marketing
Rent & Utilities
Other
80
Percentage of revenue
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
60
40
20
1.4
3.0
0
6.2
2.2
1.2
3.4
9.3
0.5
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
23
Competitive Landscape
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
continued
Basis of Competition
Level & Trend
ompetition
C
in
this industry is
Mediumand the
trend is S
teady
Internal competition
Price is the strongest basis for
competition within the industry because
these stores are known for their value
offerings. Price has become more
important in the five years to 2013, as the
economic downturn led to less disposable
income to spend on industry goods.
Nevertheless, the perceived price of
products, rather than actual savings on
products, may be more important to
industry operators because the industrys
main market is composed of low-income
households that do not have much
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
24
Competitive Landscape
Basis of Competition
continued
Barriers to Entry
Level & Trend
arriers to Entry
B
Level
Medium
Medium
Mature
Medium
Low
Light
None
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Competitive Landscape
Industry
Globalization
Level & Trend
lobalization
G
in this
industry is L owand
the trend is S
teady
However, in terms of
international trade, globalization for
this industry has been increasing
due to the influx of cheap
merchandise imported from Asian
countries, particularly China.
However, the majority of the
products are still sourced from US
manufacturers, keeping trade levels
relatively low.
25
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Major players
(Market share)
31.1%
Other
Player Performance
Dollar General
Corporation
Market share: 29.4%
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Financial performance
Dollar General has performed well in
the five years to 2013. The companys
low-priced products attracted many
new customers to its stores when
consumer sentiment fell. The
companys revenue grew at an average
annual rate of 11.0% from 2008 to 2013.
In 2013, IBISWorld estimates that
company revenue will increase 9.9% to
$17.6 billion.
The firms focus on value-conscious
customers drove much of its growth
during the period; as unemployment
soared, consumers sought new ways to
save, including shopping at dollar
stores for household necessities,
particularly food. Dollar General
focused on adding coolers and freezers
to its large-format stores during the
recession, capitalizing on consumers
restricted incomes. In 2008, samestore sales rose 9.0%, while
consumables increased 14.7%. Samestore sales increased again in 2009 to
9.5%, with a 15.3% growth in the
consumables category.
Net income is also expected to have
skyrocketed during the five years to
2013, to an estimated $1.7 billion.
This growth was mainly due to
increased sales volume, enabling the
firm to lower its average costs from
vendors and improve margins. The
companys expansion of private-label
brands also contributed to this
growth, allowing the company to
effectively manage costs.
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Revenue
($ million)
(% change)
Net Income
($ million)
(% change)
2008
10,457.7
10.1
580.5
135.9
2009
11,796.4
12.8
953.3
64.2
2010
13,035.0
10.5
1,274.1
33.7
2011
14,807.2
13.6
1,490.8
17.0
2012
16,022.1
8.2
1,655.3
11.0
2013*
17,611.1
9.9
1,733.1
4.7
*Estimate
Player Performance
Family Dollar Stores
Inc.
Market share: 17.0%
(% change)
Net Income
($ million)
(% change)
2007-08
6,983.6
2.2
233.1
-4.0
Year*
2008-09
7,400.6
6.0
291.3
25.0
2009-10
7,866.7
6.3
358.1
22.9
2010-11
8,547.8
8.7
388.5
8.5
2011-12
9,331.0
9.2
688.1
77.1
2012-13**
10,175.4
9.0
670.9
-2.5
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Player Performance
Financial Performance
In the five years to 2013, Dollar Trees
revenue is expected to have increased at
an average annual rate of 11.6% to $8.0
billion. As with other value stores in the
industry, this growth has been a result
of poor economic conditions that
attracted value-conscious customers.
Company revenue is expected to have
risen 8.5% in 2013 and grown 11.5% in
2012, largely due to the opening of
more than 500 stores nationally. Dollar
Tree has been opening stores regularly
throughout the past five years. The
company also attributes strong growth
to a rollout of consumables, particularly
frozen and refrigerated merchandise, to
more of its stores. Company officials
have said that the addition of these
Revenue
($ million)
(% change)
Operating Income
($ million)
(% change)
2008
4,644.9
9.5
365.8
10.7
2009
5,231.2
12.6
512.8
40.2
2010
5,882.4
12.4
630.0
22.9
2011
6,630.5
12.7
782.1
24.1
2012
7,394.5
11.5
920.1
17.6
2013*
8,025.4
8.5
1,032.3
12.2
*Estimate
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Player Performance
Financial performance
In the five years to 2013, revenue is
expected to have grown more modestly
than its industry competition, at an
average annual rate of 3.3%. Big Lots
Revenue
($ million)
(% change)
Operating Income
($ million)
(% change)
2008
4,645.3
-0.2
254.9
7.8
2009
4,726.7
1.8
325.0
27.5
2010
4,952.2
4.8
357.3
9.9
2011
5,202.3
5.0
345.6
-3.3
2012
5,400.1
3.8
298.5
-13.6
2013*
5,452.5
1.0
246.9
-17.3
*Estimate
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Player Performance
continued
Other Companies
Freds Inc.
Revenue
($ million)
(% change)
Net Income
($ million)
(% change)
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013*
1,798.8
1,788.1
1,841.8
1,924.3
1,983.6
1,980.1
1.0
-0.6
3.0
4.5
3.1
-0.2
16.6
23.6
29.6
30.8
32.5
33.2
55.1
42.2
25.4
4.1
5.5
2.2
*Estimate
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORT
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Major Companies
Other Companies
continued
Revenue
(% change)
Net Income
(% change)
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14**
1,262.1
1,300.0
1,314.2
1,376.5
1,620.7
1753.9
8.9
3.0
1.1
4.7
17.7
8.2
2.9
8.5
60.4
57.8
68.3
73.9
-71.0
193.1
610.6
-4.3
18.2
8.2
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Operating Conditions
of capital
intensity is M
edium
Information, Communications,
Mining, Finance and Real
Estate. To increase revenue
firms need superior debt
management, a stable
macroeconomic environment
and a sound investment plan.
Capital Intensive
Labor Intensive
Stores
Old Economy
Agriculture and Manufacturing.
Traded goods can be produced
using cheap labor abroad.
To expand firms must merge
or acquire others to exploit
economies of scale, or specialize
in niche, high-value products.
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Operating Conditions
Capital Intensity
continued
Technology
& Systems
Level
The level
of
Technology
Change is L ow
Revenue Volatility
Level
The level
of
Volatility is L ow
Capital intensity
Economy
Retail Trade
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Operating Conditions
Volatility vs Growth
1000
Revenue Volatility
continued
Hazardous
Rollercoaster
100
10
Stagnant
30
10
Blue Chip
10
30
50
70
Regulation is
Lightand the
trend is S
teady
Industry Assistance
Level & Trend
he level of
T
Industry Assistance
is N
oneand the
trend is S
teady
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Key Statistics
Industry Data
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Revenue
($m)
45,273.9
46,364.8
47,039.6
46,988.3
47,287.4
48,629.4
53,265.4
55,566.5
57,644.7
59,840.9
61,127.5
62,698.5
64,034.0
65,199.4
66,605.6
20/140
148/1309
Annual Change
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
Revenue
(%)
2.4
1.5
-0.1
0.6
2.8
9.5
4.3
3.7
3.8
2.2
2.6
2.1
1.8
2.2
62/140
480/1309
Key Ratios
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Sector Rank
Economy Rank
IVA/Revenue
(%)
18.94
18.58
18.38
18.25
18.53
18.48
17.96
17.22
17.71
17.66
17.75
17.82
17.92
17.95
17.99
68/140
1086/1309
Industry
Value Added
($m)
8,574.4
8,616.1
8,647.5
8,576.3
8,764.3
8,986.6
9,568.6
9,568.7
10,211.1
10,567.0
10,853.0
11,176.0
11,472.5
11,704.8
11,985.4
19/140
246/1309
Establishments
31,787
33,199
33,535
34,063
35,031
36,316
37,235
38,042
39,089
39,923
40,691
41,307
41,639
42,058
42,580
35/140
177/1308
Enterprises Employment
10,517
291,595
10,632
301,725
10,275
305,104
10,003
294,783
10,050
298,615
10,387
303,990
10,596
307,638
10,746
309,484
10,746
311,960
10,703
313,832
10,629
315,715
10,535
317,609
10,380
318,562
10,247
320,155
10,133
321,788
56/140
20/140
293/1308
122/1309
Exports
---------------N/A
N/A
Industry
Value Added
(%)
0.5
0.4
-0.8
2.2
2.5
6.5
0.0
6.7
3.5
2.7
3.0
2.7
2.0
2.4
75/140
592/1309
Establishments
(%)
4.4
1.0
1.6
2.8
3.7
2.5
2.2
2.8
2.1
1.9
1.5
0.8
1.0
1.2
66/140
430/1308
Enterprises Employment
(%)
(%)
1.1
3.5
-3.4
1.1
-2.6
-3.4
0.5
1.3
3.4
1.8
2.0
1.2
1.4
0.6
0.0
0.8
-0.4
0.6
-0.7
0.6
-0.9
0.6
-1.5
0.3
-1.3
0.5
-1.1
0.5
112/140
111/140
920/1308
848/1309
Exports
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Imports/
Demand
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Exports/
Revenue
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Revenue per
Employee
($000)
155.26
153.67
154.18
159.40
158.36
159.97
173.14
179.55
184.78
190.68
193.62
197.41
201.01
203.65
206.99
81/140
823/1309
Imports
---------------N/A
N/A
Wages
($m)
4,726.1
4,675.1
4,649.1
4,582.3
4,697.6
4,901.7
5,094.4
5,258.3
5,426.6
5,600.2
5,779.4
5,972.0
6,157.7
6,293.2
6,457.1
22/140
255/1309
Domestic
Demand
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Per capita
disposable income
($)
31,184
31,318
32,303
32,749
33,229
32,020
32,335
32,529
32,788
32,897
33,917
34,969
35,681
36,453
37,249
N/A
N/A
Imports
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Wages
(%)
-1.1
-0.6
-1.4
2.5
4.3
3.9
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
3.3
3.1
2.2
2.6
59/140
458/1309
Domestic
Demand
(%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Per capita
disposable income
(%)
0.4
3.1
1.4
1.5
-3.6
1.0
0.6
0.8
0.3
3.1
3.1
2.0
2.2
2.2
N/A
N/A
Wages/Revenue
(%)
10.44
10.08
9.88
9.75
9.93
10.08
9.56
9.46
9.41
9.36
9.45
9.52
9.62
9.65
9.69
89/140
1048/1309
Employees
per Est.
9.17
9.09
9.10
8.65
8.52
8.37
8.26
8.14
7.98
7.86
7.76
7.69
7.65
7.61
7.56
32/140
849/1308
Average Wage
($)
16,207.75
15,494.57
15,237.75
15,544.65
15,731.29
16,124.54
16,559.72
16,990.54
17,395.18
17,844.58
18,305.75
18,802.99
19,329.68
19,656.73
20,066.32
109/140
1196/1309
Share of the
Economy
(%)
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.07
0.07
19/140
246/1309
SOURCE: WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
Industry Jargon
IBISWorld Glossary
WWW.IBISWORLD.COM
IBISWorld Glossary
continued
Who is IBISWorld?
We are strategists, analysts, researchers, and marketers. We provide
answers to information-hungry, time-poor businesses. Our goal is to
provide real world answers that matter to your business in our 700 US
industry reports. When tough strategic, budget, sales and marketing
decisions need to be made, our suite of Industry and Risk intelligence
products give you deeply-researched answers quickly.
IBISWorld Membership
IBISWorld offers tailored membership packages to meet your needs.
Disclaimer
This product has been supplied by IBISWorld Inc. (IBISWorld) solely for use
by its authorized licensees strictly in accordance with their license
agreements with IBISWorld. IBISWorld makes no representation to any
other person with regard to the completeness or accuracy of the data or
information contained herein, and it accepts no responsibility and disclaims
all liability (save for liability which cannot be lawfully disclaimed) for loss or
damage whatsoever suffered or incurred by any other person resulting from
the use of, or reliance upon, the data or information contained herein.
Copyright in this publication is owned by IBISWorld Inc. The publication is
sold on the basis that the purchaser agrees not to copy the material
contained within it for other than the purchasers own purposes. In the event
that the purchaser uses or quotes from the material in this publication in
papers, reports, or opinions prepared for any other person it is agreed that
it will be sourced to: IBISWorld Inc.