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THERAPY
By Joe Flower
The futures of respiratory care are powered y cost pressures! "ew tech"olo#ies! a"d
co"su$er de$a"ds
To understand the possible futures of respiratory therapy, as with any future, we have to think
systemically. No simple list of trends or predictions can capture the complex tapestry of unfolding
reality. To begin to catch the favor of the future, we have to contemplate the cross-infuence of
each factor on the others.
%e$o#raphics
The most predictable trend in many countries is the aging of the population, and this shift will
afect respiratory care more heavily than it will other areas of health care. or instance,
emphysema and other forms of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease !"#$%& are strongly age-
related.
'n the (nited )tates, "anada, and *ustralia, this shift represents the aging of the +aby +oomers.
'n ,estern -urope and .apan, it is a more complex phenomenon, but has a similar outcome. 'n
"hina, it is the result of the long-time /#ne "hild0 policy.
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'n all these countries, the result is
fewer workers to support more elderly frail people. This means two things, which both head in
the same direction2 1& ,ith fewer workers paying taxes for social support programs !such as
3edicare in the (nited )tates&, ever-increasing health care costs become unsustainable. 4& *t the
same time, fewer workers are available to do the necessary health care work. These two factors
come together to make it necessary that respiratory therapy be streamlined, networked, and
automated as much as possible and the role of the human operator, the therapist, reduced as
much as possible to decrease costs and to remove potential sources of error.
'n the (nited )tates, one other demographic shift is playing out2 The non-5ispanic -uropean-
*merican population is growing much more slowly than other groups, particularly 5ispanics. 'n
"alifornia, non-5ispanic whites are already a minority.
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* number of other countries are
experiencing similar increases in diversity. This means that in respiratory therapy, much of which
takes place working directly with the patient and even in the home, diversity of background,
multilingual capabilities, and cultural sensitivity will increasingly be career assets.
&ost Pressures 'ead to a (alue Shift
)imply put, health care costs too much6outlandishly so in the (nited )tates, clearly so in all
countries. 7espiratory therapy is, on the one hand, a complex process that will be amenable to
much streamlining, automation, and cost reduction. *t the same time, it is often a preventive
strategy that reduces costs by keeping "#$% patients, for instance, from needing to access
much more expensive acute care. )o, while the 8eld will grow with an aging population, the
relative percentage of the 8eld representing direct intervention by human therapists will shrink,
and the relative value of each therapist will grow. *utomation will mean that the 8eld will show a
large rise in productivity, and that productivity will represent a great increase in the use of
respiratory therapy as a preventive and disease management strategy to cut acute care costs.
)ew Tech"olo#ies a"d )etwor*ed Auto$atio"
't is a simple truism that new technologies will revolutioni9e the 8eld. 't is important, though, to
recogni9e the directions the infuence of new technologies will take. They are three, and they are
related2 complexity, simplicity, and networked automation.
1. "omplexity2 New and increasingly complex and subtle instruments will allow therapists to
measure patients: respiratory health and capacity more directly than such simple measures as
;o4max and $ao4.
4. )implicity2 These instruments will become increasingly user-friendly, designed to decrease the
amount of time and efort the therapist needs to put into each case, to minimi9e the
opportunities for error, and even to relieve the necessity for the therapist at all, turning the
responsibility over to the patient or the patient:s family or other caregivers.
<. Networked automation2 'ncreasingly, instruments and therapies will be networked together,
with the output of one becoming the direct and automatic input of the next, removing the human
therapist from the transaction. +lood oxygenation monitors, for instance, will directly change the
settings of ventilators, "$*$s, and other respiratory devices.
&o"su$er Power
't is likely that the largest change vector of all is the awakening power of the consumer. This
force is emerging in diferent countries for somewhat diferent reasons and at diferent speeds. 'n
the (nited )tates, the key factor is the introduction of consumer-directed health plans !"%5$s&,
which make the consumer responsible for more of their health care expenses, but also give the
consumer more say in choosing their health care providers. * similar efect will be felt in
)ingapore and, of vastly greater importance, "hina, both of which are following the lead of the
(nited )tates toward "%5$s. 'n other countries, where insurance of any kind plays a lesser or
nonexistent role, consumer power is nonetheless increasing because of widespread
dissatisfaction with the efectiveness of health care spending, and the increasing transparency of
all health care systems in a digital age.
Three factors are necessary for a market to act like a consumer retail market2
1. "onsumer incentive2 't must make a diference, in some way !price, amenities, convenience&,
for the consumer to choose one product or service over another.
4. $rovider competition2 "onsumers must have not only the legal and regulatory ability to make a
choice, they must actually have diferent providers among which to choose, for any given
product or service.
<. ull information2 The consumer must have multiple sources of reliable, recent, and relevant
information on which to base the choice.
*ll three of these factors are growing, rapidly in the (nited )tates, but in most national systems
to an appreciable extent. *nd they need not become the ma=ority pattern for any system to
drastically reshape that system2 ,hen, in any system, providers actually compete for customers,
they will not be able to aford to lose any si9able fraction of the population that has the ability,
information, and incentive to make a good choice.
The potential efects of this change are still underappreciated across health care6and they will
fall diferently in respiratory care than elsewhere, for some fundamental, structural reasons.
The %i$e"sio"s of &o"su$er Power
The efect of consumer power on health care will have three separable dimensions2 cost, >uality,
and the patient experience.
Cost. Nowhere has health care sub=ected its processes to the kind of rigorous, iterative, and
minute cost-bene8t and >uality analyses that many retail, manufacturing, and service industries
now consider routine. "onsumer power, whether expressed through buyers: choices or through
political pressure, will combine with increased transparency to force everyone involved in health
care to make that level of analysis a regular part of doing business. * number of hospitals in the
(nited )tates, for instance, have adapted the Toyota $roduction )ystem to health care, rooting
out ine?ciencies, redundancies, and waste in the tiniest processes6the placement of a fax
machine, the cleaning of an infusion pump 8lter6and saved tens of millions of dollars in the
process.
Quality. 5ere, too, the new transparency is changing the face of health care. 'n the (nited )tates,
"anada, and some other countries, various state, provincial, business, regional, and federal
initiatives are forcing health care providers to publish their statistics for particular types of
outcomes, infection rates, adverse drug events, and so forth6and some initiatives are basing
payment on these outcomes, in /pay-for-performance0 !$$& schemes. This is about cost as well,
for lower >uality in health care often goes with higher costs6the kind of sloppy system that
produces higher costs typically also produces nosocomial infections and adverse drug events,
and those in turn generate even more costs.
or instance, in 3ilwaukee, 3inneapolis, and some other areas, business groups have created a
tiered payment system that tracks medical care by the case, not by the individual incident, and
uses co-payments to steer people through doctors and hospitals, with both better outcomes and
lower costs over time. 'f you carry insurance through one of the employers involved in this efort,
you can choose any doctor or hospital you want, but if you choose one that has not shown that
they can produce better outcomes at lower cost, you will have to pay more.
'n respiratory therapy, this will increase the push both toward networked automation, and to the
pervasive use of clinical protocols.
Patient experience. *s consumers gain a voice and a sense of choice, we are seeing an
increasing focus on the often-abysmal experience of being a patient2 the long waiting times, the
lack of real information, the feeling of powerlessness, the plain disrespect of the person evinced
by many health care institutions.
5ealth care leaders, especially in the (nited )tates, are becoming increasingly aware that they
face a future in which every mistake, every lawsuit, as well as complete price lists and outcomes
ratings, will be displayed for the world to see on the 'nternet. This year the federal government:s
"enters for 3edicare and 3edicaid )ervices !"3)& is rolling out the 4@->uestion "onsumer
*ssessment of 5ealthcare $roviders and )ystems !"*5$)& )urvey
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for use by hospitals across the
country, and the results will be posted on the ,eb at www.hospitalcompare.hhs.gov. The survey
will start out as a voluntary program, but as of #ctober hospitals that do not participate will lose
4A of all federal reimbursements. *s ,illiam $owanda, vice president of Bri?n 5ospital in %erby,
"onn, points out, though, coercion may not be necessary2 /Think of a local community hospital
with a lay board. 'magine what will happen when their hospital shows up in the lowest >uartile.
7esources will be reallocated. The message to management will be2 Cix this and 8x it >uick.:
There is going to be a scramble to 8nd solutions.0
I$plicatio"s for Respiratory &are
3uch of the daily work of respiratory care is about education, remediation, monitoring, and hand-
holding. *ny system that involves an insurance model is skewed toward paying for the de8nable
medical event6the o?ce visit, the x-ray, the intubation6not for the longitudinal measure of
health, whether the case !3rs )mith:s pneumonia& or the person:s increased length and >uality
of life.
'n such a system, the preventive, educational, and monitoring aspect of respiratory care for
chronic disease is seen as a cost, twice over. Not only does it cost the system to provide the care,
but for the providers, it is an opportunity cost. 'nstitutions and physicians may not consciously
deny preventive care because it reduces their patient fow. *cross the spectrum of health care,
the trend is too obvious, though. $roviders will provide the oxygen bottle and the brief home-
health visit to hook it up, but they will not provide long-term, preventive care for which no one
will pay them, and which reduces the stream of patient visits and admissions for which they are
paid.
,hat do patients wantD "linicians who spend more time with them, listen to them, give them
more hands-on care. They would like to not have to go to the doctor so much. They would like
their condition to improveE they would like to feel healthier. *ll of this points to education,
remediation, monitoring, and hand-holding, which is often done most easily, cost-efectively, and
conveniently by a respiratory care provider.
,hat do those who pay for health care, whether employers or governments, wantD Fower cost
and higher >uality, happier employees and citi9ens, less waste, smarter use of the health care
dollar. *ll of this points to education, remediation, monitoring, and hand-holding.
This means that we are likely to see two diferent and somewhat conficting trends in the
relatively near future. +oth trends will show up sooner and in a greater degree in the (nited
)tates but will spread as well in other countries, especially among the rapidly growing urban
middle classes of "hina and 'ndia2
GThe tasks of respiratory care will become increasingly automated, networked, or even
outsourced. 'magine, in detail, each of the tasks involved in respiratory care. *sk yourself
whether that task re>uires the dexterity of a trained physical body present in the room with the
patient, andHor the in>uisitive =udgment of a trained mind. 'f it does not, it is likely that that piece
of respiratory therapy will be automated, so that a computer can do it. #r it will be made into a
home device the patient can use. #r it will be networked, so that a computer somewhere else
can do it. #r it may even be outsourced, so that someone in 'ndia or the $hilippines can do the
monitoring, the analysis, and even the phone consultation.
G*s consumer-oriented health care takes hold, as people increasingly make their own choices
about how to buy the health care that they need, encouraged and guided by governments,
employers: coalitions, and even the 8nancial services industry, we are likely to see a wholesale
shift toward recogni9ing respiratory care as the cost-saving preventive process that it is. )killed
respiratory counseling in the home helps keep people out of the emergency department and the
intensive care unit6through education, remediation, monitoring, and hand-holding. ,e are likely
to see this shift 8rst in private-sector pilots and partnerships in the (nited )tates, and then see it
taken up by government funding bodies.
These trends do confict, but together they paint a picture of a future for respiratory care in which
the parts that can be automated or outsourced will take up less time and funds, while the
preventive parts, which largely must be done in person with the patient, will likely grow in
importance.
Joe Flower is a health care futurist and founder and chief executive of Imagine What If Inc
(http://imaginewhatif.com. !lower has "een writing# spea$ing# and consulting a"out creating
health care changes for more than % decades.
Refere"ces
1. Flower J, Schwartz P, Ogilvy J. Chinas futures: scenarios for the worlds fastest growing econoy, ecology, and society. !o"o#en,
$J: Jossey%&ass' ())):*1%*+.
(. ,S Census &ureau. State and County -uic# Facts. .vaila"le at: htt/:001uic#facts.census.gov0gfd0. .ccessed 2ay (3, ())+.
4. ,S 5e/artent of !ealth and !uan Services. .gency for !ealthcare 6esearch and -uality. C.!PS Surveys and 7ools to
.dvance Patient%Centered Care. .vaila"le at: www.cahps.ahr>.govHdefault.asp. .ccessed 2ay (3, ())+.
7-;'-, # *'7,*I
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By Jo"atha" Fi"der! +%
(arious de,ices ha,e pro,e" e-ecti,e i" airway cleara"ce. we
ta*e a loo* at so$e of the$
7ecognition of the critical role of secretion mobili9ation in cystic
8brosis !"& and other related diseases of impaired airway clearance has led to the interesting
challenge of having a large number of devices available to aid in secretion mobili9ation. $atients
with neuromuscular weakness have been able to bene8t from a new use of an old technology to
assist with coughing. This review will cover some of the devices available to aid in airway
clearance.
Ha"dheld Secretio" +oili/atio" %e,ices
Flutter
0
1A2ca" Sca"diphar$ I"c! Bir$i"#ha$! Ala3
'n diseases with impaired mucociliary clearance !cystic 8brosis, bronchiectasis, primary ciliary
dys-kinesia, ac>uired ciliary dyskinesia&, the mainstay of therapy for decades has been manual
chest physiotherapy !"$T&, also known as percussion and drainage.
1
The 8rst device to challenge
the supremacy of this therapy became popular following the publication of a report in the &ournal
of Pediatrics in 1KKL by Monstan et al
4
E it demonstrated e?cacy in secretion mobili9ation for a
handheld device called the /lutter,0 which was a modi8cation of a $-$ !positive expiratory
pressure& device in which a steel ball oscillated up and down in a cone, vibrating the column of
air between the mouth and the lower airways. Monstan et al
4
showed that the volume of sputum
produced was greater than that produced by manual "$T. The value of using a handheld device
rather than traditional "$T has been demonstrated.
<
* follow-up study showed that the lutter
device is at least as efective as other forms of secretion mobili9ation for patients with cystic
8brosis.
L
This device can be purchased for under NOJ.
Acapella