Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012

FEMA Coastal Flood Study 1

FEMA Region II Coastal Flood
Hazard Project for New York
City and New Jersey
Jeff Gangai RAMPP
19 counties in NY and NJ
9 additional counties up
the Hudson Valley
Scope of Effort
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 2
Topography Data Sources
NJ
Atlantic & Ocean Co.
USGS NED 1/3 arc second DEMs (10 m)
Lower Monmouth
2 FEMA compliant contours
All others LiDAR
NY
NYC
DOITT 3 ft DEM
Westchester
2 FEMA compliant contours
Hudson Valley
USGS NED 1/3 arc second DEM
Bathymetric Data Sources
NOAA Hydrographic Surveys
National Geophysical Data Center
Office of Coast Survey
NOAA Navigation Charts
Frequently provides data in areas
where digital survey data is
not available (fills gaps)
USACE SHOALS/CHARTS
Hydrographic LiDAR
Limited coverage due to light penetration in the water column
USACE District Surveys (Retrieved from NAN and NAP)
Limited to Federal navigation projects or project specific study areas
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 3
Seamless DEM
Storm Surge Study Approach
Recommend Regional application
Avoid discontinuities, maximize efficiency
Coupled 2-D hydrodynamic and wave model
ADCIRC
SWAN
Combined extratropical and tropical surge
JPM statistical method for tropical
GEV for extratropical
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 4
ADCIRC/SWAN Mesh
604,790 Nodes
1,188,640 Elements
Inland Spacing:
Smallest 80 m
Largest 500 m
ADCIRC/SWAN Mesh
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 5
Storm Selection
Validation Storms
1938 Hurricane (Long Island Express)
1944 Hurricane
1960 Hurricane Donna
1985 Hurricane Gloria
Extra-Tropical Storms
1984
1991
1992
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 6
Joint Probability Method (JPM)
Storm Parameters
Major Parameters
Pressure deficit
Pressure radius
Holland B
Landfall location
Azimuth
Forward speed
Other Parameters
Astronomical tide
Track variations
Wind/pressure field variations
Lack of model framework skill
Joint Probability Method (JPM-OS)
159 Model synthetic storms
on multiple tracks
Converts storm statistics
to surge height statistics
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 7
Winter Storms: Storm Analysis
19501125
19610413
19620306
19640112
19660123
19681112
19701217
19710208
19711125
19720219
19741202
19790125
19840329
19870123
19911031
19921211
19930314
19940303
19941224
19950204
19951115
19960108
19961020
19961206
19980128
19980205
20051025
20070416
20080512
20091113
Storm Dates (CYMD)
Residual water levels (tides
removed) scanned for peak
events above the 99
th
percentile individually by
station
Time ranges with tropical
cyclone activity removed
Storms ranked individually by
station
30 storms identified in storm
ranking process
Top 5 storms at each station
represented in the storm list
Surge Return Periods
Develop 0.2%,1.0%,2.0% & 10.0% surge heights with wave set-up
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 8
15
15
Overland Wave Modeling Tasks
BEFORE STORM SURGE
Data and Model Research
DEM Development
Transect Layout
Field Work
Obstruction Carding
(landcover data setup)
Primary Frontal Dune (PFD)
Delineation
AFTER STORM SURGE
Stillwater Surface Creation
Erosion Analysis
WHAFIS Simulations
Run-up Analysis
Delineate Coastal
Floodplain
Develop FIRMs
Transect Layout
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 9
Storm surge stillwater elevation (SWEL)
Wave setup
Wave height above storm surge elevation
Wave runup above storm surge limits
FEMA Coastal Flood Hazards
Mapping
Jeff Gangai, Dewberry 1/31/2012
FEMA Coastal Flood Study 10
Mapping
Questions?