29, 2002, 223234 Copyright C Blackwell Munksgaard 2002
Printed in Denmark. All rights reserved PERIODONTOLOGY 2000 ISSN 0906-6713 The economics of periodontal diseases L. JncxsoN BnowN, BrvrnIv A. JonNs & Tnorns P. WnII Periodontal diseases affect people all over the world. They are among the endemic human diseases of our planet. All cultures exhibit some form and distri- bution of these diseases. Diet, genetics, personal oral hygiene, social customs, group (public) preventive services, as well as personal dental preventive, diag- nostic, and therapeutic services all inuence the ex- tent, severity and course of these diseases (12). It is known that some systemic diseases can complicate periodontal diseases. Recently, some research has suggested that the reverse may also be true (16, 18, 2325, 27, 28, 33, 36, 41, 42). The economic afuence of nations, their techno- logical development, as well as the availability and preparation of dental personnel, limit and shape the scope of preventive, diagnostic and therapeutic management of periodontal diseases. Thus, the eco- nomics of periodontal diseases are fundamentally different between afuent and poor countries. Less afuent countries have fewer resources to use for all human needs and wants, including management of dental diseases. For poorer countries, periodontal services are typically rudimentary. Management of these diseases by trained personnel is rare, and in some cases, almost nonexistent. As pointed out by Neely, Le et al. (30, 31, 35), the course of peri- odontal diseases in countries with little professional preventive or therapeutic intervention may be view- ed as a natural history of these diseases. In contrast, the course of these diseases in technologically ad- vanced countries is more aptly viewed as a clinical course because of the presence of professional inter- vention. As risk and predisposing factors vary among the peoples of the world, they may explain a good part of the variation in the character and presentation of periodontal diseases in different countries (2). There remains, of course, enormous variation among indi- viduals within countries and this variation also is ex- 223 plained by many of the same factors, modulated by the host response of individuals. Data on the economics of the periodontal diseases in most countries are scarce. For many nations, the national accounting and data collection systems are not developed enough to provide broad and reliable information. For technologically advanced coun- tries, more data are available to sketch the economic dimensions of periodontal disease. The United States, in particular, has substantial data with which to describe the extent of periodontal diseases found in the population; the amount and type of peri- odontal services provided; and the number and characteristics of those who provide the services. The remainder of this chapter uses the United States as a case study for afuent countries. Much of the information will be generally applicable to other industrialized countries. Nevertheless, even among afuent countries, one would expect national differ- ences due to political, cultural, dietary, health deliv- ery and individual diversity. The undeveloped coun- tries of the world present a very different model of the economics of periodontal disease which will be addressed in the concluding sections. Potential market for periodontal services The potential market for periodontal services is de- termined by three primary factors: (i) the size of the population, (ii) the extent and severity of periodontal diseases within that population, and (iii) the scien- tically efcacious means to treat or prevent these diseases. These factors interact to create need for care. Brown et al. U.S. population trends U.S. population estimates by age for 1980 and 1990, along with projections for 2000, 2010 and 2020 are presented in Table1. These data provides us with a review of the last 20years and a preview of what may happen during the next 20years. The total popula- tion has increased by about 50 million since 1980 and is expected to grow by another 50 million by 2020. Most periodontal diseases affect adults. As will be described later, the two age groups with the highest utilization of periodontal services are those 4554 years old and 5564years old. The 4554 age group has already experienced substantial growth since 1980, especially during the past 10years. The 4554 age cohort will grow through 2010 and then decline. The 5564 age cohort will experience signicant growth during the next 20 years. Another age group with a somewhat lower utilization, but high disease, is the 65 and older age group. They will grow by more than 50% between 2000 and 2020. This increase along with any future changes in the behav- ior of this elderly group (e.g. keeping more of their teeth and/or working longer) may have a large im- pact on the demand for periodontal services. Epidemiology of periodontal diseases The capacity to make longitudinal comparisons on the extent and severity of periodontal diseases in the United States is limited by changes in methodology that have been used to measure these diseases in nationally representative epidemiological surveys. The two major national surveys available are the First National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (34) (NHANES I) conducted between 1971 Table1. US residential population (in thousands) Age 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 25 93,777 90,910 96,969 102,264 106,744 25-34 37,082 43,174 37,441 38,851 42,794 35-44 25,634 37,444 44,894 39,443 40,711 45-54 22,800 25,062 37,166 44,161 38,838 55-64 21,703 21,116 24,001 35,429 42,108 65 25,550 31,084 34,837 39,715 53,734 Total 226,546 248,790 275,308 299,863 324,929 Source: US bureau of census. 224 and 1974 and the Third National Health and Nu- trition Examination Survey (45) (NHANES III) con- ducted between 1988 and 1994. The earlier survey used Russells Periodontal Index (40). With that index, each tooth is visually assessed for gingivitis and periodontitis. Gingival assessment is based on the extent of inammation around a tooth. Severity, as indicated by the degree of inammation at a site, is not scored and the site around the tooth where the defect is located is not identied. In contrast, NHANES III included separate measurements of gin- givitis and periodontitis. Bleeding on gentle probing was used to indicate the presence of gingivitis (29). Clinical attachment level was measured indirectly from recession and pocket depth, which was meas- ured linearly at specic sites around the teeth (3, 21). Thus, trends will not be presented; rather the extent and severity of gingivitis and periodontitis from NHANES III will be reported. Gingivitis Using NHANES III data, Albandar and Kingman esti- mated that approximately 54% of all U.S. adults ages 30years or older had gingivitis in the early 1990s (4). Males had a slightly higher prevalence of gingival bleeding than females. Mexican-Americans had a higher prevalence than Non-Hispanic Blacks; Non- Hispanic Whites had the lowest prevalence. Fifteen percent of teeth demonstrated bleeding gingival at some gingival site. Prevalence increased slightly with age, reaching 60% in persons 70years and older. Albandar & Kingman classied gingivitis by the ex- tent of teeth with bleeding. Limited gingivitis in- volved 24 teeth or 2550% of teeth examined. Ex- tensive gingivitis involved 5 or more teeth or 50% Table2. Percent and number of individuals (1000s) by gingival status and age Age Extensive Limited Gingivitis Gingivitis Percent Number Percent Number 35-39 11.03 2,027 20.46 3,760 45-49 8.00 903 22.94 2,592 55-59 10.40 788 23.18 1,799 65-69 14.48 838 20.18 1,357 75-79 17.58 432 23.22 998 All 10.50 10,900 21.80 22,613 Source: Albandar JM, Kingman A (4). The economics of periodontal diseases of teeth. Using these classications, 32% of U.S. adults (over 33 million persons) aged 30years old exhibited either limited or extensive gingivitis; 10.5% (about 10.9 million persons) had extensive gingival inammation; 21.8% (about 22.6 million persons) had limited gingival involvement; and 67.7% of adults were without an appreciable extent of gingi- vitis. There was not a marked increase in the extent of the disease with age. Males had somewhat more extensive gingivitis than females. Periodontitis Albandar et al. classied mild periodontitis as one or more teeth with 3mm probing depth and attach- ment loss, or one or more posterior teeth with a grade I furcation involvement (3, 44). They classied moderate periodontitis as one or more teeth with 5 mm probing depth and attachment loss or two or more teeth (30% of teeth examined) with 4mm probing depth and attachment loss. Advanced peri- odontitis involves two or more teeth (30% or more of teeth examined) with 5mm probing depth and attachment loss, or four or more teeth (60% of teeth examined) with 4mm probing depth and attachment loss, or one or more posterior teeth with grade II furcation involvement. Moderate and ad- vanced cases, especially those with furcation in- volvement, are likely to require therapy and manage- ment by a periodontist. About 3.1% of adults 30years or older in the United States were classied with advanced peri- odontitis. See Table3. This represents about 3.2 mil- lion persons. Moderate periodontitis was found in 9.5% of adults, totaling 9.9 millions persons. Another 21.8%, representing 22.6 million persons, exhibited Table 3. Percent and number of individuals (1000s) with periodontitis by severity and age Mean Tooth Age Advanced Moderate Mild Loss Percent Number Percent Number Percent Number Number 35-39 2.28 418 7.25 1330 16.65 3054 2.55 45-49 3.84 433 11.04 1247 22.10 2495 4.82 55-59 3.91 293 14.46 1082 28.22 2113 7.61 65-69 5.90 341 15.18 878 33.03 1910 8.18 75-79 3.32 81 19.92 487 29.52 722 11.02 All 3.10 3228 9.5 9874 21.80 22.620 4.76 Source: Albandar JM, Kingman A (4). 225 mild periodontitis. The percentage of adults with any periodontitis (mild, moderate, or advanced) in- creased with age to around 70years, and then leveled off. This may have been the result of increasing loss of teeth among this group. The prevalence and se- verity of periodontitis were higher in males than fe- males and higher in blacks and Mexican Americans than in whites. Need for periodontal services From the population and epidemiologic data, it is apparent that millions of people in the United States have clinical signs of previous or current periodontal disease. Also, the population at highest risk of these diseases has increased during the past 20years and is predicted to continue increasing for the next 20 years. One approach to developing an estimate of the potential market for periodontal services uses demo- graphic and epidemiologic information to develop an assessment of need for periodontal services. The presence of clinical signs of tissue damage resulting from past or current periodontal disease only sug- gests a possible need for care. In addition, need as- sessment requires a normative judgment as to the amount and kind of services required by an individ- ual in order to attain or maintain some level of health. Oliver et al. provide a thorough discussion of periodontal treatment needs as well as a review of studies that estimated periodontal treatment needs (39, 44). Need for care generally arises because of the exist- ence of untreated disease. In addition, the scientic basis for efcacious therapy must exist. In afuent societies, untreated disease in some population sub- Brown et al. groups usually coexists with the majority of the population receiving the highest quality of care. In less afuence societies, a preponderance of disease may go without therapeutic intervention. Using epidemiologic data from the 1985 National Institute of Dental Research (NIDR) Survey of Em- ployed Adults (32, 44), Oliver et al. developed an esti- mate of hours of periodontal care needed annually in the United States (38). They estimated that 13.5 26.2 million hours of scaling and surgery were needed and that about 11.5 million hours of those services were provided. They also estimated that about 100 million hours of prophylaxes were needed and 92 million hours were provided. If these esti- mates are reasonably accurate, they suggest that the size of the potential market for periodontal services is considerable, and also that much, but not all, of the periodontal services needed were being provided in the middle 1980s. In a subsequent study, Oliver et al. suggested that treatment needs may have been declining over time from the 1970s through the mid- 1980s (37). It should be noted that estimates of the potential size of the market for periodontal services are based on assumptions and data that may change over time. Estimates are also dependent on the methods used and provide only general guides to the extent of need in a population. In fact, several conditions have changed since the mid-1980s. The size of the popu- lation at highest risk for periodontal disease has in- creased and will continue to do so. Scientic ad- vances have resulted in changes to treatment proto- cols. Also the possibility of links between periodontal disease and systemic diseases has emerged. Another look at treatment needs in the 21st Century would be useful. Actual market for periodontal services Fundamentally, need assessment focuses on which, and how many, services should be utilized. In al- most all circumstances, this will differ from the services actually utilized. Even if methods to esti- mate the need for periodontal services were very precise, they would provide only part of the infor- mation required to describe the economics of peri- odontal services. To understand the actual market for these services, the effective demand for the services, as well as the availability of human and nonhuman resources, need to be considered. These 226 supply and demand factors play an important role in translating unmet need into effective demand. An understanding of the economic and social con- ditions of the population, reluctance to seek pro- fessional dental care, and the role that price plays in determining care received may help explain the differences between services needed and services actually provided. Demand for care In the United States, professionally trained dentists provide most periodontal services through private markets shaped by supply and demand (19, 22, 43). Public funding for periodontal services is meager. This makes an assessment of the demand for peri- odontal dental services very important for under- standing the actual delivery of care. In assessing demand, the consumer is the primary source that drives the use of dental services. The de- mand for dental care reects the amount of care de- sired by patients at alternative prices. The demand for dental services is signicantly responsive to changes in dental fees the higher the fees, the lower the demand. Other factors that inuence the level of demand include income, family size, popula- tion size, education levels, prepayment coverage, health history, ethnicity and age. Most factors that positively inuence demand for dental care have been expanding. The United States economy has grown robustly for most of the past two decades, resulting in an increase in discretionary income among Americans (17, 20). People are becoming more knowledgeable about dental health and what is required to maintain it. As the population has become more afuent and educated, the value placed on oral health has in- creased. In addition, the desire for esthetic den- tistry has grown and will probably continue to do so. All of these factors have enhanced the demand for dental services, in general, and periodontal ser- vices, in particular. Trends in utilization and expenditures Estimates of the number of periodontal services pro- vided were developed from the data collected by the 1990 and 1999 ADA Survey of Dental Services Rendered (14, 15). These surveys collected dental procedure data on the most frequent procedures performed from a representative sample of dentists. When compared to the full range of codes found in a national dental claims database, the codes used in The economics of periodontal diseases Table 4. Periodontal procedures as a percentage of all procedures, 1990 and 1999 1990 1999 Periodontal 27,284,300 28,490,800 All 1,070,763,200 1,159,835,500 Source: 1990 survey of dental services rendered, 1999 survey of dental services rendered (14, 15). the surveys accounted for over 98% of all periodontal procedures. Dentists in private practice performed a total of 28.5 million periodontal procedures in 1999, which was higher than the 27.3 million procedures per- formed in 1990. See table4. Periodontal procedures accounted for 2.7% of all procedures completed by dentists in the earlier year but were reduced slightly, to 2.5% of all procedures, in 1999. Table5 shows per patient annual estimates of peri- odontal services for 1999 by patient age. Periodontal services in individuals younger than 25years old were uncommon. Among those older than 25years, utilization of these services increased markedly with age, starting at 0.15 procedures per patient among 2534year olds and rising to a peak of 0.42 pro- cedures per patient among 5564year olds. The elderly received fewer periodontal service, at 0.27 procedures per patient. Two possible explanations for the decrease in periodontal services among those 65years and older are: (i) loss of teeth and/or (ii) loss of dental insurance. When prophylaxes and oral hygiene instruction were included, services per patient were much larger, ranging from a low of 1.35 to a high of 1.99 procedures per patient. The age pattern was similar to the previous age pattern, except among patients Table 5. Periodontal services per patient for the year 1999 Age Periodontal Periodontal Services and Preventive 25 0.01 1.47 25-34 0.15 1.35 35-44 0.19 1.49 45-54 0.31 1.68 55-64 0.42 1.99 65 0.27 1.57 Source: 1999 survey of dental services rendered (15). 227 younger than 25years old. This age group received a commensurate amount of services, but the ad- ditional services were primarily preventive pro- cedures. A useful measure of overall activity in the market for periodontal services is the total (national) expen- diture for those services. Annual estimates of total dental expenditure are available through the Health Care Financing Administrations (HCFA) Ofce of the Actuary (26). However, these estimates cannot be broken down by type of service. Estimates of expen- ditures for periodontal services were developed by applying the fees from the 1999 ADA Survey of Den- tal Fees to the total number of procedures calculated from the 1999 Survey of Dental Services Rendered. Claims data were used to supplement and rene these data sources. The total expenditure on periodontal and preven- tive procedures was $14.3 billion in 1999. See table 6. The majority of the expenditure on periodontal and preventive procedures was spent on preventive procedures; $9.8 billion out of $14.3 billion. Peri- odontal services alone accounted for $4.4 billion in expenditure. Segmentation of the periodontal market The periodontal market is segmented between the two main providers of periodontal services, peri- odontists and general practitioners. General prac- Table 6. Expenditures on periodontal and preven- tive procedures, 1999 Periodontal and Periodontal Preventive General Practitioners $11,886,127,391 $2,041,393,268 Periodontists $2,401,722,549 $2,321,396,502 Total $14,287,849,940 $4,362,789,770 Source: 1999 Survey of dental services rendered, 1999 survey of dental fees, electronic claims data (10, 15). Brown et al. titioners usually see patients with periodontal prob- lems rst and then refer them, as necessary, to peri- odontists. Each of these groups of dentists plays a different role in managing periodontal disease which is seen in the procedures they perform and the ex- penditure they receive. Procedures performed by periodontists and general practitioners In 1999, general practitioners performed 59.4% of the estimated 28.5 million periodontal procedures; peri- odontists performed 41.4% of the procedures. See gure1. Other specialists, mainly oral and maxillo- facial surgeons and pediatric dentists, performed the remaining 0.8%. The market share of these groups has remained fairly constant. General practitioners increased their share slightly during the 1990s, at the expense of periodontists. In 1990, general practitioners carried out 57.8% of periodontal procedures. By 1999, their share had increased by 1.6% to 59.4%. The peri- odontists share decreased from 41.4% to 39.7%. The percent performed by other specialists stayed con- stant over this time period. When preventive procedures were included, the percent carried out by general practitioners in 1999 increased to 88.6%. See gure2. While this percen- tage has stayed the same over the last 10 years, the percentage of periodontal and preventive pro- cedures carried out by periodontists has dropped from 5.3% to 4.8%. This difference has transferred to other specialists, whose share increased from 6.1% to 6.6%. The most common periodontal procedures car- ried out by general practitioners and periodontists were periodontal maintenance and scaling and root planing. See Fig. 3 and 4. Periodontists completed 5.8 million periodontal maintenance procedures in Fig. 1. Type of dentists conducting periodontal pro- cedures, 1990 and 1999. 228 1990 and 7.5 million in 1999. For general prac- titioners, the comparable numbers were 4.0 million rising to 5.2 million. As for scaling and root plan- ing, periodontists performed 3.2 million and gen- eral practitioners, 11.0 million in 1990. In 1999, periodontists performed 1.5 million and general practitioners, 9.4 million. From 1990 to 1999, the total number of periodontal maintenance pro- cedures increased from 9.8 million to 12.7 million, while scaling and root planing procedures de- creased from 14.2 million to 10.9 million. Among periodontists, the increase in periodontal maintenance was related to a decrease in prophy- laxes. In 1979, before the periodontal maintenance code came into existence, periodontists completed 3.4 million prophylaxes. By 1990, after its introduc- tion, the national estimate for prophylaxes in peri- odontists ofces was 1.1 million. In 1999, it was 811,100. At the same time, general practitioners steadily increased the number of prophylaxes while also increasing their number of periodontal main- tenance procedures. In 1979, general practitioners ofces performed 111.7 million prophylaxes. This increased to 177.4 million in 1990 and 190.2 million in 1999. Scaling and root planing, the other common peri- odontal procedure, has declined since 1990. In 1999, general practitioners performed 1.6 million fewer procedures of this type. Among periodontists, the number of scaling and root planings dropped by 53.1% from 3.2 million to 1.5 million. While the two most common procedures per- formed by periodontists and general practitioners were the same, these two procedures accounted for a different proportion of the periodontal case mix. In 1990, periodontal maintenance and scaling and root planing accounted for 94.9% of all periodontal procedures carried out by general practitioners, but only 79.6% for periodontists. The percentage Fig. 2. Type of dentists conducting periodontal and pre- ventive procedures, 1990 and 1999. The economics of periodontal diseases Fig. 3. Periodontal procedures conducted by general practitioners, 1990 and 1999. Fig. 4. Periodontal procedures conducted by periodontists, 1990 and 1999. dropped to 5.8% for general practitioners in 1999. But between 1990 and 1995, a new periodontal code, debridement (04355 CDT-2), came into existence. Debridement was the third most common procedure conducted by general practitioners. When included with periodontal maintenance and scaling and root planing, these three accounted for 95.3% of general practitioners periodontal procedures. Periodontists performed relatively few debridements. General practitioners performed 1.6 million compared to the 79,500 conducted by periodontists. Periodontal maintenance, and scaling and root planing ac- counted for 79.7% of the periodontal procedures conducted by periodontists in 1999. When debride- ment was included, the three accounted for 80.4%, (Table6). The ADA Survey of Services Rendered included over 95% of periodontal procedures, by volume, but did not include all of the different procedures that periodontists perform. A more complete picture of the procedure distribution of periodontists is dis- 229 played in Table7. These data were collected by the American Academy of Periodontology with the 2000 Practice Prole Survey (5). Clearly, the more com- plex procedures, such as bone replacement graft (D4263 and D4264), osseous surgery (D4240), and soft tissue grafts (D4271 and D4273) were an im- portant and growing portion of periodontists prac- Fig. 5. Percent of procedures performed by periodontists. Brown et al. tice. They also carried out substantial amounts of localized delivery of chemotherapeutic agents (D4281) and intravenous sedation (D9241 and D9242). Nevertheless, scaling and root planing, periodontal maintenance, prophylaxes and oral hy- Table 7. Number of procedures performed in a typical month N Mean Median SD Min Max Periodic Oral Eval (D0120) 602 45.7 30 36.0 1 99 Limited Oral Eval Problem Focused (D0140) 601 17.4 10 17.4 1 99 Comprehensive Oral Eval (D0150) 681 31.4 28 19.7 1 99 Detailed and Extensive Oral Eval (D0160) 194 18.3 10 21.8 1 99 Intraoral Radiographs Complete Series (D0210) 686 19.8 15 16.7 1 99 Vertical Bitewings 7 to 8 Films (D0277) 396 19.3 10 19.3 1 99 Bacteriologic Studies (D0415) 219 3.8 2 6.2 0 60 Adult Prophylaxis (D1110) 417 36.2 20 37.4 1 99 Tobacco Counseling (D1320) 252 15.1 10 17.6 1 99 Oral Hygiene Instruction (D1330) 581 56.7 50 35.0 1 99 Root Amputation (D3450) 577 3.0 2 5.2 1 75 Hemisection (D3920) 399 2.1 1 2.4 1 21 Gingivectomy or Gingivoplasty (D4210 & D4211) 486 4.0 2 5.0 1 40 Gingival Curettage, surgical, per quad (D4220) 163 11.8 5 20.1 1 99 Gingival Flap Procedure, Per Quad 353 10.3 5 15.0 1 99 Apically Positioned Flap (D4245) 311 14.1 6 18.2 1 99 Clinical Crown Lengthening (D4249) 695 9.7 8 9.5 1 99 Osseous Surgery, Per Quad (D4260) 715 27.1 20 20.8 1 99 Bone Replacement Graft (D4263 & D4264) 675 12.5 9 14.7 1 99 Guided Tissue Regeneration (D4266 & D4267 648 9.2 5 12.2 0 99 Pedicle Soft Tissue Graft Procedure (D4270) 379 4.1 2 7.3 1 99 Free Soft Tissue Graft Procedure (D4271) 606 7.9 5 9.9 1 99 Subepithelial Connective Tissue Graft (D4273) 652 7.6 5 7.9 1 99 Distal or Proximal Wedge (D4274) 443 8.0 4 11.7 1 99 Periodontal Scaling and Root Planing, Per Quad (D4341) 706 40.3 30 28.7 1 99 Full Mouth Debridement (D4355) 278 8.6 4 15.9 1 99 Localized Delivery of Chemotherapeutic Agents (D4381) 507 10.5 5 16.7 1 99 Periodontal Maintenance Procedures (D4910) 693 76.7 99 30.4 1 99 Surgical Placement of Endosteal Implant Body (D6010) 528 9.2 5 11.4 1 99 Abutment Placement: Endosteal Implant (D6020) 322 7.4 4 9.3 1 60 Surgical Placement: Eposteal/Transosteal Implant (D6040 & D6050) 15 5.0 2 6.6 1 20 Implant Maintenance Procedures (D6080) 367 8.2 5 12.4 1 99 Repair Implant Supported Prosthesis (D6090) 82 1.6 1 1.3 1 6 Implant Removal (D6100) 121 1.4 1 1.0 1 6 Surgical Exposure for Orthodontic Reasons (D7280) 281 2.0 1 1.9 1 12 Surgical Exposure to Aid Eruption (D7281) 176 1.8 1 1.6 1 10 Transseptal Fiberotomy (D7291) 316 2.4 1 3.2 1 23 Removal of Exostosis Mandible or Maxilla (D7471) 284 2.9 2 3.5 1 20 Sinus Lift Procedures (D7950) 223 2.1 1 1.8 1 15 Ridge Augmentation (D7955) 448 3.3 2 6.1 1 99 Frenulectomy (D7960) 574 3.2 2 4.1 1 50 Intravenous Sedation/Analgesia (D9241 & D9242) 175 12.2 6 16.2 1 99 Therapeutic Drug Injection (D9610) 38 9.5 4 19.1 1 99 Application of Desensitizing Medicament/Resin (D9910; D9911) 414 10.9 5 20.6 1 99 Behavior Management (D9920) 48 3.7 2 5.2 1 50 ' Occlusal Guard (D9940) 439 5.9 3 7.0 1 50 Occlusal Adjustment Limited (D9951) 533 5.0 2 7.4 1 56 Occlusal Adjustment Complete (D9952) 261 10.9 5 20.6 1 99 Source: 2000 practice prole survey (5). 230 giene instruction remained the largest activities in the periodontal ofce. Periodontists performed 39.7% of all periodontal procedures in 1999. They only carried out approxi- mately 14% of the scaling and root planing, 27% of The economics of periodontal diseases gingival surgery and 59% of periodontal mainten- ance. However, periodontists performed the over- whelming majority of more complicated procedures, such as soft tissue grafts, osseous grafts and osseous surgery. See Fig. 5. According to data provided by the American Academy of Periodontology, the data in Fig. 5 may underestimate the proportion of osseous and soft tissue grafts provided by periodontists. Thus, general practitioners carry out a larger pro- portion of the more common procedures while peri- odontists carry out almost all of the osseous pro- cedures. Expenditures received by periodontists and general practitioners Total expenditure on periodontal and preventive procedures in 1999 were $14.3 billion. Although gen- eral practitioners performed 88.6% of periodontal and preventive procedures, they received $11.9 bil- lion, or 83.2%, of the expenditure. Periodontists re- ceived $2.4 billion. When preventive procedures are removed, the an- nual expenditure for periodontal procedures is $4.4 billion. General practitioners performed 59.4% of all periodontal procedures in 1999, but earned only $2.0 billion, or 46.8%, of the expenditure. Periodontists earned $2.3 billion even though they completed fewer procedures. Periodontists earned a larger proportion of the na- tional periodontal expenditure because of the type of procedures they do. The nonsurgical procedures of periodontal maintenance, scaling and root plan- ing, and debridement accounted for 95.3% of the periodontal procedures carried out by general prac- titioners, but only 80.4% of the procedures carried out by periodontists. These procedures have a much lower average fee than the surgical procedures, which accounted for 19.4% of the procedures carried out by periodontists, but only 4.7% of the procedures carried out by general practitioners. Periodontists also have higher fees than general practitioners (10). The average fee for a scaling and root planing (04341 CDT-2) in 1999 was about 40% higher for periodontists compared to general prac- titioners. The fees for more complex procedures, such as osseous surgery (04260 CDT-2), were over 50% higher for periodontists. Osseous surgery was a common procedure for periodontists but not for general practitioners. The higher fees among peri- odontists probably reect the more complex cases they treat compared to general practitioners, and 231 also the additional postgraduate training which they had to undertake. Periodontal workforce While demand drives the market for periodontal ser- vices, for completeness, one should factor in the supply side of the equation. This requires an evalu- ation of the adequacy of the number and types of dental workforce personnel, as well as their pro- ductivity and work patterns. Number of periodontists According to the ADAs Distribution of Dentists sur- vey, there were 4238 periodontists in the U.S. in 1998 (9). This represents a 57% increase in the number of periodontists since 1982 (6). In comparison, the over- all number of private practice dentists grew by 30% from1982 to1998. However, the growthinthe number of periodontists seems to have slowed from 1993 to 1998 (8). Periodontists made up 2.3% of all private practice dentists in 1982. This percentage grew to 2.8% in 1993 and remained at this level in 1998. Incomes of periodontists According to the ADAs Survey of Dental Practice, the average net income for independent periodontists was $138,575 in 1992 (7). This was 41.2% higher than the average net income earned by dentists in general practice during 1992. Five years later, the average net income for periodontists had increased to $165,640, or 24.1% higher than the average for a general prac- titioner (11). When measured in constant dollars (base 1998), the increase in real net income for periodontists was one-third as large as the increase for general practice dentists $7,215 vs. $21,478. This may indicate that the supply of periodontists relative to the demand for their services is greater than it is for general practitioners. Selected practice characteristics of periodontists and general practitioners The segmentation of the periodontal market be- tween periodontists and general practice dentists was described above. According to the Survey of Dental Practice, in 1997 these two groups of dentists were equally likely to be employed in solo practice 73.9% for periodontists and 72.6% for general prac- Brown et al. tice dentists (11). The percentage of females in prac- tice was also comparable 7.2% for periodontists and 8.0% for general practice dentists. Periodontists were somewhat more likely than general practice dentists to work part-time 18.3% vs. 15.7%. Peri- odontists were more likely to employ a hygienist 85.8% vs. 71.2%. Average appointment length was greater for periodontists 56.3min vs. 47.9min, and periodontists reported a higher number of visits per patient per year 5.8 vs. 3.4. Among solo periodontists, the average number of hours per week inthe ofce declinedfrom38.2 in1993 to 36.9 in 1998. Hours spent treating patients also de- clined from 34.3 to 31.6. Average visits per week ex- cluding hygienist appointments declined from48.2 to 45.2. However, the average appointment length in- creased by almost three minutes, from 53.9min to 56.7min. Average number of weeks worked per year held steady at 48, while there was an increase of ve percentage points in those indicating part-time em- ployment, from 12.4% in 1993 to 17.6% in 1998. When assessing the adequacy of the periodontal workforce, the segmentation of the market is import- ant. Periodontists carry out the vast majority of the more complicated procedures. General practitioners perform most of the scaling and root planing and other, less complex, procedures; however, peri- odontists also perform a signicant proportion of these services. Dental hygienists perform the huge majority of preventive services. Depending on the services being considered, the numbers of all three types of providers are important for workforce evalu- ation. Currently, dentists nd they have a difculty lling vacant positions for dental hygienists (11, 13). Thus, rapid expansion of preventive services, without a commensurate expansion of available dental hygien- ists could be difcult. However, there is no indi- cation that an expansion of preventive services would occur without major new funding programs. All periodontal services performed by general practitioners represent less than ve percent of the services carried out by general practitioners. General practitioners have been increasing the percentage of periodontal services in their practices slightly. With over 100,000 general practitioners, the capacity to further expand the more routine periodontal ser- vices appears considerable. Periodontists are critical to the provision of more complicated therapy necessary for the management of advanced cases of periodontal disease. General practitioners would not be able to immediately ll a void, if one should occur. However, there does seem 232 to be at least some capacity for these services to be expanded. Almost 1 in 5 periodontists practice part- time. If that percentage were to decline, capacity would be increased. Finally, the adequacy of the periodontal workforce depends very much on the demand for those ser- vices. The size of the periodontal market has been constant since 1990. Need for periodontal treatment is considerable, but all needed care may not be fully realized. Utilization of periodontal procedures is in- creasing at 0.5% annually, but this does not match the rate of increase in the population and the num- ber of periodontists (1.2%). With the current demand conditions, there seems to be an adequate supply of periodontists and of periodontal services. A look at the future After considering the U.S. as a case study of peri- odontal services delivery, it is now time to take a more global perspective. The prospects for peri- odontal health, as well as the volume of and expen- ditures for periodontal services, are far from certain. When it comes to the future, everyones crystal ball is cloudy. This is especially true for the demand for dental care, because future demand will depend on the growth of the economies in various countries, socio- economic shifts in the population, changes in thera- peutic and preventive interventions, and the impact of changing oral disease rates as well as the structure of nancing arrangements. In those countries with growing economies, the percentage of the popula- tion that utilize periodontal services is likely to in- crease with increasing afuence. Increasingly, edu- cated populaces are likely to provide a stimulus to dental demand in many countries. If major new funding programs become available in some coun- tries, or if major new treatment opportunities emerge, per capita utilization may increase even more. There is consensus that the worlds population will continue to grow. In the United States, the popula- tion will also age and become more diverse. To a cer- tain extent this is also true for the rest of the indus- trialized world. Population growth in the nonindus- trialized world is projected to increase even more rapidly in the future than it has in the past. This will result in an increase in the percentage of the worlds population living in those regions of the world that are not currently considered afuent. In those coun- The economics of periodontal diseases tries the age distribution is likely to become even younger. Not only total population, but also the age and socioeconomic distribution of the worlds popu- lation, will be important for future demand for peri- odontal services. The future prevalence and extent of periodontal disease is also uncertain. In the United States and other afuent countries, both may be trending downward. This could decrease future need for com- plicated periodontal therapy in those countries. Fu- ture prevalence and severity in the rest of the world is unknown. For worldwide reduction of periodontal disease, much depends on health education, pro- motion and prevention. Scientic advances could provide entirely new treatment options. Technical and scientic advances will occur but their timing and effect on demand are unpredictable. Documentation of causal links be- tween oral disease and some systemic diseases are less certain and their impact on demand is more problematic. Nevertheless, if it is shown that appro- priate periodontal disease management can alter the courses of some systemic diseases for the better, the impact on the delivery of periodontal services could be huge. Periodontal delivery systems will probably not all evolve in the same manner. The American economic model for periodontal services and delivery is a good model. It has largely been successful at meeting the needs and desires of the U.S. population. It is a hi- tech, private market model. These features are con- sistent with the cultural preferences of the American citizenry. Despite the large amount of tertiary peri- odontal care that the U.S. provides, the nation has not neglected prevention. The U.S. is one of the more periodontally healthy countries. More work needs to be conducted to bring this high quality care delivered by extremely well-trained health professionals to those inthe Americansociety that currently donot ac- cess dental care to the same extent as the majority of the population. This is an achievable goal but it re- quires commitment and political will on the part of all segments of the U.S. population. While successful, the American model is not the only model, even for afuent countries. There will be commonalities in the features of a periodontal services delivery system in industrialized countries, but cultural and other diversity will ensure that sev- eral models evolve in parallel. It is reasonable to ex- pect that division of labor will become more pro- nounced as the world economy expands and the science-base advances. Afuent countries have the economic resources to support more specialization, 233 and periodontology has been accorded some degree of recognition as a specialty in several countries. However, some countries may opt for less tertiary treatment than the U.S. provides. This implies less need for advanced periodontal training and prob- ably less segmentation of the market between gener- alists and specialists. Financing arrangements also vary, ranging from signicant state supported n- ancing to predominantly private prepayment to very little third party nancing. The nonindustrialized countries will necessarily follow a different model until they generate the economic strength to enable more resources to be devoted to dentistry, in general, and periodontal care, in particular. Much of the periodontal care available in these countries will continue to be pro- vided by nonprofessionally trained individuals. 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