1. Primary Issue: AHS Accounts Receivable 2. Reasonable Level of Debt: Moodys Medians 3. AHS Request for Debt Restructure 4. Proposed Debt Service Schedule 5. Supplemental Reimbursement Seasonality 6. Fiscal 2015 Debt Forecast 7. Required Operating Performance 8. Current Financial Performance and Position 9. Performance Improvement Plan
2 AHS current cash situation is largely the result of accounts receivable increase due to system conversion in July 2013. These funds can be recovered. 3 - 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 AHS Accounts Receivable AHS NPR - Invision AHS NPR - Signature AHS NPR - Soarian SLH NPR - Meditech AHD NPR - Meditech AHS Credit Ratios vs. Moodys Medians Comments
1. AHS has the overall size to qualify as an investment grade credit.
2. Total Debt is reasonable in relation to our Total Revenue at 24.2%. The median is 39% to 45%.
3. However, Days in Cash and Debt to Capitalization are far below requirements.
4. AHS requires sustained profitability to build equity and cash reserves.
5. An EBIDA Margin target of 8% to 10% is recommended.
4 Moody's Medians ($,000) AHS Baa1 Baa2 Performance Total Revenues 807,300 $ 454,440 $ 272,384 $ Net Income (37,938) $ 21,104 $ 8,725 $ EBIDA (9,282) $ 47,319 $ 24,255 $ Net Margin -4.7% 3.8% 3.5% EBIDA Margin -1.1% 7.8% 8.8% Liquidity Days in Cash 2 149 140 Cash to Debt 3% 91% 86% Leverage Debt to Total Revenue 24.2% 38.9% 45.5% Debt to Capitalization 117.0% 47.4% 49.3% Debt Restructure Request AHS is requesting support for a restructure of the Agreement to achieve a level of total debt service that can be carried by operations:
The $195 million negative balance to be restructured as Term Debt, and to be repaid by 2034.
The Pension Obligation Bond payment schedule to be restructured.
The plan allows AHS to make the $7 million annual hospital replacement building debt service payments starting in 2019.
The Flexible Maximum Policy to be maintained, allowing AHS to go above the annual targets during the year.
5 Proposed Debt Service Schedule requires AHS to generate $20+ million of free cash flow per year, plus requirements for CapEx and Reserves. 6 - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 AHS Annual Debt Service Payments AHS LT Debt POB HRB Debt Service The exact structure of the Debt Service is under discussion. 7 TOTAL DEBT PAYMENTS AHS OUTSTANDING DEBT - at June 30 AHS LT Debt POB HRB Debt Service Total AHS Debt Service AHS LT Debt PBO HRB Debt Service Total AHS Debt Service 2014 - - - - 2014 195,000,000 59,071,286 119,000,000 373,071,286 2015 5,000,000 3,000,000 - 8,000,000 2015 190,000,000 56,071,286 119,000,000 365,071,286 2016 6,000,000 3,500,000 - 9,500,000 2016 184,000,000 52,571,286 119,000,000 355,571,286 2017 6,000,000 4,000,000 - 10,000,000 2017 178,000,000 48,571,286 119,000,000 345,571,286 2018 6,000,000 4,500,000 - 10,500,000 2018 172,000,000 44,071,286 119,000,000 335,071,286 2019 6,000,000 5,000,000 7,000,000 18,000,000 2019 166,000,000 39,071,286 112,000,000 317,071,286 2020 7,500,000 5,500,000 7,000,000 20,000,000 2020 158,500,000 33,571,286 105,000,000 297,071,286 2021 7,500,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 20,500,000 2021 151,000,000 27,571,286 98,000,000 276,571,286 2022 7,500,000 6,500,000 7,000,000 21,000,000 2022 143,500,000 21,071,286 91,000,000 255,571,286 2023 7,500,000 7,000,000 7,000,000 21,500,000 2023 136,000,000 14,071,286 84,000,000 234,071,286 2024 7,500,000 7,000,000 7,000,000 21,500,000 2024 128,500,000 7,071,286 77,000,000 212,571,286 2025 7,500,000 7,071,286 7,000,000 21,571,286 2025 121,000,000 - 70,000,000 191,000,000 2026 10,000,000 - 7,000,000 17,000,000 2026 111,000,000 - 63,000,000 174,000,000 2027 10,000,000 - 7,000,000 17,000,000 2027 101,000,000 - 56,000,000 157,000,000 2028 10,000,000 - 7,000,000 17,000,000 2028 91,000,000 - 49,000,000 140,000,000 2029 15,000,000 - 7,000,000 22,000,000 2029 76,000,000 - 42,000,000 118,000,000 2030 15,000,000 - 7,000,000 22,000,000 2030 61,000,000 - 35,000,000 96,000,000 2031 15,000,000 - 7,000,000 22,000,000 2031 46,000,000 - 28,000,000 74,000,000 2032 15,000,000 - 7,000,000 22,000,000 2032 31,000,000 - 21,000,000 52,000,000 2033 15,000,000 - 7,000,000 22,000,000 2033 16,000,000 - 14,000,000 30,000,000 2034 16,000,000 - 7,000,000 23,000,000 2034 - - 7,000,000 7,000,000 2035 - - 7,000,000 7,000,000 2035 - - - - 195,000,000 59,071,286 119,000,000 373,071,286 The Flexible Maximum Policy is important to maintain due to the variability of the receipt of Supplemental Reimbursement during the year. 8 - 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000 45,000,000 7/4/14 8/4/14 9/4/14 10/4/14 11/4/14 12/4/14 1/4/15 2/4/15 3/4/15 4/4/15 5/4/15 6/4/15 AHS Cash Receipts Projection Net Patient Service Revenue Supplemental Revenue AHS Supplemental Reimbursement Cash Forecast vs. Budget Comments
1. The Forecast is Cash, the Budget is Accrual, and there are timing differences.
2. Jul Dec 2014 = $122 million.
3. Jan Jun 2015 = $180 million.
9 2015 FCST 2015 Budget 27 28 Medi-Cal Waiver fy14 (not net of IGT) 10,000,000 29 IGT: Medi-Cal Waiver fy14 (2,500,000) 30 Medi-Cal Waiver fy15 (not net of IGT) 120,450,000 84,000,000 31 IGT: Medi-Cal Waiver fy15 (35,222,500) - 32 IGT: MCD Mgd Care (trauma funds used) - - 33 HealthPac 38,870,546 34,040,728 34 Measure A Tax Revenue 94,700,275 95,270,496 35 Hospital Fee 2,500,000 - 36 Trauma Subsidy 5,300,000 6,210,717 37 FQHC PPR Recon (fy10,fy11,fy12) 700,000 - 38 FQHC PPS Recon fy13 3,200,000 - 39 Medi-Cal Mgd Care supplemental (rate range) 44,927,824 7,000,000 40 IGT: MCD Mgd Care rate range (26,548,438) - 41 Medi-Cal Mgd Care AB85 newly eligible (rate range) 15,754,631 14,000,000 42 SPD-Mgd Care SB208 (not net of IGT) fy14 25,700,000 9,375,000 43 IGT: SPD fy14 (17,800,802) - 44 SPD-Mgd Care SB208 (not net of IGT) fy15 - - 45 SPA Physician Supplemental 3,800,000 7,000,000 46 SNF Supplemental 4,500,000 5,000,000 47 Medi-Cal Admin Adjustment (MAA) 1,877,039 - 48 Medi-Care/Medical Settlements - 5,950,152 49 AB915 Supplemental 2,500,000 3,000,000 50 Other Miscellaneous receipts / Grants 7,308,394 12,923,070 51 Other Revenue 61,500 58,000 52 AARA Incentive - Meaningful Use 2,500,000 2,424,000 53 DSRIP 23,036,400 54 DSRIP - HIV Category 5 - 2,559,600 55 SUBTOTAL - Reimbursement 302,578,469 311,848,163 Based on our current Cash Forecast, the Term Debt can be reduced to at or below $190 million by June 2015, but will go as high as $220 million during the year. 10 -$15,000,000 -$10,000,000 -$5,000,000 $0 $5,000,000 $10,000,000 $15,000,000 $20,000,000 $25,000,000 $30,000,000 $35,000,000 $40,000,000 7 / 1 1 / 1 4
AHS Debt Forecast 2015 FORECAST County LOC Balance CURRENT LOC LIMIT LOC with FLEX MAX To meet the County obligations, as well as provide funds for operations, routine capital and growth, AHS needs to increase annual cash flow to approximately $50 million per year. 11 - 10,000,000 20,000,000 30,000,000 40,000,000 50,000,000 60,000,000 70,000,000 80,000,000 2 0 1 5
2 0 1 6
2 0 1 7
2 0 1 8
2 0 1 9
2 0 2 0
2 0 2 1
2 0 2 2
2 0 2 3
2 0 2 4
2 0 2 5
2 0 2 6
2 0 2 7
2 0 2 8
2 0 2 9
2 0 3 0
2 0 3 1
2 0 3 2
2 0 3 3
2 0 3 4
2 0 3 5
Projected Cash Flow Accounts Receivable Acceleration MedAssets Performance Improvement Plan Revenue Cycle Improvement Plan Baseline Financial Plan AHS Current Run Rate is ($36) million per year Comments
1. Adjusted Discharges are 3.1% below budget. 2. Gross Charges are 4.2% below budget, Net Revenue 8.2%, or $12 million below. 3. Collection Ratio below budget; payer mix and targeted improvements not yet achieved. 4. Expenses $5 million favorable, or 3.4% 5. AHS Net Loss of $5.3 million, or 4.8%. 6. SLH Net Loss of $1.3 million, or 12.4%. 7. AH Net Income of $254k, or 1.7%.
8. Consolidated Net Loss of $6.3 million for July and August, or 4.7%.
12 Actual Budget Variance % Variance Inpatient service revenue 222,511 237,482 (14,971) -6.3% Outpatient service revenue 114,219 114,616 (397) -0.3% Professional service revenue 42,793 44,014 (1,221) -2.8% Gross patient service revenue 379,523 396,112 (16,589) -4.2% Deductions from revenues (299,129) (305,300) 6,171 -2.0% Net patient service revenue 80,394 90,812 (10,418) -11.5% Net operating revenue 134,550 146,591 (12,041) -8.2% Total operating expense 140,849 145,841 4,992 3.4% Income (6,323) $ 683 $ (7,006) $ -1025.8% Operating Margin -4.7% 0.5% Collection % 21.2% 22.9% Total discharges 2,931 3,088 (157) -5.1% Total patient days 25,925 25,656 269 1.0% ALOS 8.85 8.31 1 6.5% ADC 418 414 4 1.0% Adjusted patient days 39,233 38,038 1,194 3.1% Adjusted discharges 4,436 4,578 (143) -3.1% Net revenue per adj discharge 30.33 32.02 (2) -5.3% Expense per adj discharge 31.75 31.85 0 0.3% Income per adj discharge (1.43) 0.15 (2) -1055.6% Paid Full time equivalents 3,682 3,902 220 5.6% Paid FTE's per adjusted occupied bed 5.82 6.36 1 8.5% Salaries, benefits & registry % of net revenue71% 67% (0) -6.2% Year-To-Date Consolidated Balance Sheet Excerpts Comments
1. Operating cash has declined to $5.0 million.
2. Accounts receivable continue to climb, reaching $149 million.
3. Available restricted funds have been brought into operations.
4. And Accounts Payable have increase to $65.8 million over the last two months. Cash available to pay vendors has been very low.
5. The negative balance with the County was $198.7 million at the end of August.
13 LIABILITIES & NET ASSETS Working Capital Loan - Current Portion $0 $0 $0 Accounts Payable 65,806 56,599 51,078 Compensation Related Liabilities 37,909 34,508 42,909 Estimated third-party settlements payable 79,299 75,911 74,148 Due to County of Alameda & State 15,462 14,310 12,886 Other Payables 27,234 27,086 26,424 TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES 225,710 208,414 207,446 Self Insurance Liability 20,352 20,352 20,352 Working Capital Loan - Long-term Portion 198,734 193,574 192,566 Pension and Postemployment 60,876 59,876 58,876 Other Long-term Liabilities 11,808 11,808 11,808 TOTAL LONG TERM LIABILITIES 291,770 285,610 283,601 Current Month Prior Month FY 2014 ASSETS Current assets: Cash & Cash Equivalents $5,040 $8,420 $22,885 Cash Held in Trust 30 30 43 Net Patient Receivables 149,122 141,695 141,601 Due from County of Alameda & Others 73,786 66,484 64,108 Inventories 5,632 5,742 5,649 Prepaid expenses 2,236 2,774 2,429 Other receivables 143,098 130,200 114,767 TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS 378,944 355,344 351,482 Restricted Cash Hospital Fee 0 2,389 7,389 Cash Held Board Designated 23,287 23,287 23,287 TOTAL RESTRICTED CASH 23,287 25,677 30,677 AHS to implement a comprehensive and focused plan to improve operating performance; including revenue cycle improvement, cash reduction, supplemental reimbursement, growth, and philanthropy.
1. Current run rate (subject to refinement), is a negative $36 million annually. 2. Revenue Cycle Improvement are estimated at $20 to $25 million. 3. Efficiency gains will need to be $20 to $25 million. 4. DPH Status for SLH and AH may take a year. 5. AB85 Supplemental Medi-Cal may take a year. 6. Assumed Revenue Growth - $12 million. 7. Philanthropy - $10 million. 8. Other Sources? 9. The result would be annual free cash flow of $50+ million, sufficient to meet our obligations to the County.
14 Improvement Plan - DRAFT Annual Operating Loss - Current (36,000,000) $ Revenue Cycle Improvement 24,000,000 Efficiency Gains 24,000,000 DPH Status - SLH and AH 8,000,000 AB85 Supplemental MediCal 8,000,000 Growth 12,000,000 Philanthropy 10,000,000 Other Support - Operating Gain - Target 50,000,000 $ Accounts Receivable Recapture 60,000,000 $ Discussion 15 Revenue Cycle Improvement Program 16 The major activities that need to be completed are:
Reorganize Patient Financial Services to have dedicated units for Hospital, Clinic and Professional. Organize workgroups by payer, establish and monitor collection targets, establish a Denials/Follow Up unit, and work down aged A/R. Complete MediCal billing certification for SLH and AH, and Medicare certification for the FQHCs. Improve Professional Billing through Clinical Documentation, Charge Capture, Coding, and alignment of incentives. Improve FQHC Revenue by improving productivity through opening up the schedules, specialty referral authorizations, improve front end registration information, and improved charge capture and billing. Implement our managed care contracting strategy to cover all affiliates with all payers with appropriate rates and terms. MedAssets BETTER II Performance Improvement 17 Managed Care Contracting and Capitation 18 The major activities in process:
Brought the contracting function in-house, promoted a new Director of Contracting, retained an external expert, and relocated Provider Enrollment to Contracting. Completed inventory of existing contracts, rates, and terms. Assessed AHS current contract terms, rates and conditions and developed preferred structure. In active negotiation with: Blue Cross Kaiser Alameda Alliance for Health In negotiation to convert contract to capitation or shared risk. Gathering data to analyze the DOFR, rates, and terms. Analyzing system support requirements.
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