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Public Policy Polling

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604


Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com


From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Rounds support falls to 35% in South Dakota race
Date: October 1, 2014
Public Policy Pollings newest South Dakota Senate poll finds that Mike Rounds support
has dropped all the way down to 35% in the wake of voter anger over the EB-5 scandal,
and that Rick Weiland continues to be better liked and within single digits of Rounds.
Key findings from the poll include:
-Rounds is at just 35% to 28% for Weiland, 24% for Larry Pressler, and 8% for Gordon
Howie. A majority of South Dakotans have a negative opinion of Rounds, with just 41%
rating him favorably to 51% with an unfavorable opinion. Weilands favorability, at a
positive 42/38 spread, is a net 14 points better than Rounds.
-Weiland is likely to gain ground as Presslers support fades over the course of October.
Among Presslers voters, Weiland has a positive favorability rating at 43/28 while
Rounds is incredibly unpopular with only 18% of voters rating him favorably to 68%
who see him unfavorably. Since Weiland has been second in all the polls, anti-Rounds
Pressler voters are likely to move in Weilands direction as the election nears since hes
the more viable candidate both in terms of current polling support and fundraising.
-Rounds is losing supporting on the right to Howie. Howies doubled his share of the
Republican vote over the last month from 6% to 12%, pushing his support to the point
where it provides a real threat to Rounds. Rounds has a tepid 62/31 favorability even with
GOP voters, reflecting his weak 55% showing in the June primary.
With under 5 weeks to the election, South Dakota has the potential to join Kansas as a
previously under the radar Senate race that could confound Republican efforts to get
control of the Senate. This race is just as competitive as the ones in places like New
Hampshire and Michigan that have drawn far more attention. Rounds growing weakness
makes this a race worth keeping an eye on in the stretch run.
PPP interviewed 703 likely voters on September 29
th
and 30th on behalf of People for
Weiland. The polls margin of error is +/-3.7%. 49% of those surveyed were Republicans
and 35% were Democrats (R+14), representing a more GOP leaning sample than the
voter registration numbers in the state (45% Republicans and 35% Democrats for R+10).

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