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1.
Introduction
How does one compare economic data between countries that is expressed in units of national
currency? And in particular, how should measures of production and GDP be converted? One answer
to this question is to use market exchange rates. While straightforward, this turns out to be an
unsatisfactory solution for many purposes primarily because exchange rates reflect so many more
influences than the direct price comparisons that are required to make volume comparisons.
Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs) provide such a price comparison and this is the rationale for the
work of the OECD and other international organisations in this field (see Box 1). The OECD publishes
new sets of benchmark PPPs every three years, drawing on detailed international price comparisons.
Every time a new set of benchmark PPPs is released, this also gives rise to a new set of international
comparisons of levels of GDP and economic welfare.
The present article presents the set of benchmark results for 1999 which cover 43 countries. Second,
and importantly, it aims at shedding light on some of the uses and interpretation of PPPs. The
discussion includes the most frequent usage of PPPs that of generating comparable measures of GDP
per capita across countries but it will also point to other areas such as labour productivity, and the
comparisons of price levels. Furthermore, the paper takes a look at the evolution of PPPs and
associated measures over time thereby combining the spatial and the temporal aspect of PPPs.
2.
Spatial comparisons
of the 1999 PPPs. For the first time, data for Korea came from a benchmark survey (earlier results
were based on OECD estimates).
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Korea
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Slovak Republic
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
United States
EURO 12
EU 15
OECD 30
Bulgaria
Croatia
Cyprus
Estonia
Israel
Latvia
Lithuania
Macedonia
Malta
Romania
Russian Federation
Slovenia
Ukraine
Exchange
rates
US$=1
Indices
based on
PPPs
Indices
based on
exchange
rates
1.30
13.0
37.7
1.19
13.5
8.24
5.92
6.38
1.91
231
98.4
81.2
0.724
1554
162
755
39.7
5.63
1.97
1.43
9.25
1.77
127
13.6
125
9.64
1.89
197157
0.650
1.00
0.895
0.918
1.55
12.9
37.9
1.49
34.6
6.98
5.58
6.16
1.84
306
237.2
72.4
0.739
1817
114
1187
37.9
9.55
2.07
1.89
7.80
3.97
188
41.4
156
8.27
1.50
419688
0.618
1.00
0.938
..
..
109
113
109
117
60
124
103
102
109
70
51
122
114
106
110
60
190
37
117
83
128
40
75
49
84
104
127
26
103
149
102
102
100
92
115
109
94
24
147
111
106
114
53
21
138
113
91
158
39
201
22
112
64
153
18
51
16
68
122
161
12
109
150
98
101
100
0.443
3.80
0.383
6.21
3.64
0.246
1.52
16.7
0.294
4414
5.54
116
0.705
1.84
7.11
0.543
14.68
4.14
0.585
4.00
56.9
0.400
15339
24.62
182
4.130
28
37
86
38
88
29
34
27
56
24
26
70
16
7
20
61
16
78
12
13
8
42
7
6
45
3
84
102
100
81
39
119
107
104
105
76
42
113
99
86
143
64
106
59
96
76
119
45
68
33
80
118
127
47
106
101
96
99
100
24
54
71
43
89
42
38
30
74
29
23
64
17
Note: The cut-off date for all data used in the table was 31-December-2001.
Population
on PPPs
exchange
rates
1.85
0.82
1.00
3.19
0.55
0.59
0.48
5.48
7.98
0.66
0.46
0.03
0.38
5.45
12.50
2.53
0.07
3.22
1.65
0.28
0.51
1.38
0.67
0.24
2.98
0.82
0.81
1.55
5.48
36.38
27.64
34.53
100.0
1.56
0.83
1.00
2.57
0.22
0.70
0.51
5.73
8.38
0.50
0.19
0.03
0.38
4.70
17.92
1.62
0.08
1.91
1.59
0.22
0.61
0.62
0.46
0.08
2.40
0.97
1.03
0.73
5.81
36.66
26.55
34.02
100.0
1.70
0.72
0.92
2.73
0.92
0.48
0.46
5.39
7.35
0.94
0.90
0.02
0.34
5.16
11.35
4.20
0.04
8.73
1.42
0.34
0.40
3.46
0.89
0.48
3.55
0.79
0.64
5.90
5.33
24.45
27.18
33.78
100.0
0.20
0.15
0.05
0.05
0.48
0.06
0.11
0.05
0.02
0.48
3.45
0.12
0.73
0.05
0.08
0.04
0.02
0.43
0.03
0.04
0.01
0.01
0.14
0.78
0.08
0.13
0.74
0.40
0.06
0.13
0.55
0.21
0.33
0.18
0.03
2.01
13.10
0.18
4.49
US$=1
2000* 2001**
1999
1.30
1.32
1.34
13.0
12.9
12.9
37.7
37.3
37.5
1.19
1.21
1.21
13.5
13.4
13.7
8.24
8.36
8.45
5.92
5.99
5.99
6.38
6.30
6.27
1.91
1.86
1.85
231
233
237
98.4 104.9 112.4
81.2
81.7
86.8
0.724 0.738 0.751
1554
1554
1567
162
156
150
755
727
726
39.7
40.2
39.7
5.63
6.10
6.33
1.97
1.99
2.06
1.43
1.44
1.48
9.25 10.51 10.74
1.77
1.85
1.91
127
128
132
13.6
14.1
14.6
125
126
128
9.64
9.52
9.48
1.89
1.87
1.86
197157 290424 439831
0.650 0.647 0.649
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.918
0.895
0.923
0.886
0.921
0.888
2000* 2001**
84
102
100
81
39
119
107
104
105
76
42
113
99
86
143
64
106
59
96
77
119
45
68
33
80
118
127
47
106
101
81
91
90
86
36
109
98
93
93
67
39
110
91
78
153
68
97
68
88
69
126
45
62
32
74
110
117
49
103
105
76
92
91
86
39
112
99
94
93
68
43
98
94
80
136
62
97
74
92
68
131
51
65
33
76
101
121
43
103
110
109
113
109
117
60
124
103
102
109
70
51
122
114
106
110
60
190
37
117
83
128
40
75
49
84
104
127
26
103
149
108
113
109
117
60
123
106
101
108
70
52
122
122
105
108
63
195
38
116
83
126
40
75
49
84
104
126
27
102
149
108
113
110
117
61
124
105
102
108
73
54
122
127
106
107
63
199
38
117
83
127
40
76
50
85
105
127
24
103
148
100
99
96
100
90
86
100
91
87
100
102
102
100
102
102
100
103
102
*Extrapolated PPPs, based on 1999 benchmark. See text section 4 for explanation on extrapolation methodology.
**Results for 2001 were revised in April 2002.
Note: The cut-off date for all data used in the table was 31-December-2001.
United States. When the price level effect is removed, the volume of goods and services purchased in
the United States is higher, on a per capita basis, than in any other country included in the comparison
except Luxembourg.
Generally, the gap between high-income and low-income countries narrows when PPPs are used
instead of exchange rates. Thus, the per capita indices based on PPPs of Mexico, Greece, Hungary,
Poland, Portugal, Turkey and the Russian Federation are closer to those of the United States than are
their per capita indices based on exchange rates. Again, this is because the price levels in these
countries are low compared to richer countries.
2.3. GDP levels: a measure of the size of economies
PPPs are also a tool to measure the relative size of economies. Table 1 shows each countrys GDP as a
percentage of total GDP of the 30 OECD countries. On this basis, the ten largest economies covered
by the comparison are the United States, Japan, Germany, France, Italy, United Kingdom, the Russian
Federation, Mexico, Canada and Spain. It is also confirmed that the 15 EU countries as a group are
virtually the same economic size as the United States.
Generally, there is a marked difference in the appreciation of the size of economies, depending on
whether exchange rates or PPPs are used to compare GDP data: the discrepancy is in particular present
in the group of low income countries. For example, on an exchange rate basis, the Russian Federation
corresponds to less than one per cent of total GDP in the OECD area. Corrected for differences in the
price level, this number rises to 3.5 per cent.
Rank
186
121
114
112
111
107
106
103
101
101
101
100
82
74
68
100
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
9
9
12
13
14
15
1.
See OECD (2001); The New Economy: Beyond the Hype; Paris.
Country
GDP per
capita
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Iceland
Ireland
Italy
Japan
Korea
Luxembourg
Mexico
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
73
76
73
78
40
83
69
68
73
47
34
82
77
71
74
40
128
25
79
56
86
51
56
70
85
69
100
GDP per
person
employed
USA=100
78
81
96
81
43
81
76
87
81
62
45
73
89
97
72
46
111
32
80
60
84
52
79
75
78
74
100
*See Pilat and Schreyer (2002) Measuring Productivity; OECD Economic Studies No 33, 2001/2 for a discussion.
Differences in results with regard to Pilat and Schreyer are due to the use of new 1999 benchmark PPPs and
small revisions in the underlying GDP, population and employment data.
Sources: GDP and population data: OECD Annual National Accounts; GDP expressed at 1999 benchmark PPPs;
Employment from OECD Labour Force Statistics.
A high price level group (110 and above): Denmark , Iceland , Japan , Norway,
Sweden and Switzerland ;
A medium-high price level group (between 90 and 109): Austria , Belgium, Finland,
France, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and the
United States;
10
A medium-low price level group (between 60 and 89): Australia, Canada, Cyprus,
Greece, Israel, Italy, Korea, Malta, Mexico, New Zealand, Portugal, Slovenia and Spain;
A low price level group (less than 60): Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia,
Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Macedonia, Poland, the Slovak Republic, Romania, the
Russian Federation, Turkey and Ukraine.
On these grounds, comparative price levels are sometimes used to pass a judgement about the over- or
under-valuation of a particular currency. Empirically, however, many of the premises needed for the
PPP theory of exchange rates do not hold or do not hold any more in practice in particular, there is a
large number of non-traded goods, including construction and most services, and there are significant
influences of other factors (e.g., growth prospects, equity prices, capital flows) on exchange rates.
Thus, it is far from obvious to consider comparative price levels as reliable predictors for medium- or
even long-term currency movements. R. Dornbusch2 concludes that:
The theory remains controversial [] because strict versions are demonstrably wrong while soft versions
deprive it of any useful content. In between there is room for theory and empirical evidence to specify the
circumstances under which [] PPP provides a useful though not exact description of exchange rate behviour.
1
Dornbusch, R. (1987); Purchasing Power Parity; in Eatwell et al. (eds.); The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of
Economics.
11
200
180
160
140
120
40
100
40
20
80
20
60
0
Luxembourg
United States
High
income
group
Norway
Switzerland
Denmark
120
Iceland
Netherlands
Canada
Ireland
Austria
Japan
Italy
Sweden
Finland
United Kingdom
90
France
Israel
Cyprus
12
Spain
New Zealand
Greece
Korea
Low middle
income group
Portugal
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Malta
50
Hungary
Slovak Republic
Poland
Estonia
Mexico
Low income
group
Croatia
Lithuania
Latvia
Bulgaria
Macedonia
Russia
Turkey
Romania
Ukraine
Belgium
Germany
High middle
income group
Australia
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
3.
So far, PPPs have been discussed as currency conversion rates for a given point in time they provide
a snapshot of relative prices and expenditure on GDP data converted by PPPs provide a snapshot of
relative volumes in that particular year. For many analytical purposes, it is of interest to observe the
evolution of volume GDP between countries and over time. There are at least two ways of setting up
such a comparison, each with its specific interpretation and use.
3.1. One option for year-to-year comparisons: a sequence of current PPPs
The first possibility of combining spatial and temporal observations is by using a sequence of current
or benchmark PPPs, i.e., a new set of price data compiled in Member countries, weighted and
aggregated to yield rates of currency conversion for total GDP and its expenditure components. This
means that prices and price structures are allowed to vary over time. Comparable volume levels of
GDP are obtained by applying these current PPPs to GDP measures at current national prices. Within
a given year, (spatial) comparisons between countries are straightforward volumes are measured
with the same price structure. Comparisons over time, however, incorporate several effects: relative
volume changes, changes in relative prices between countries and, possibly, changes in definitions and
methodologies. One can also say that by carrying out this calculation for every period, GDP
comparisons across countries are based on current international prices.
3.2. Another possibility: constant PPPs
A second approach to generate time series of PPPs is to fix a base year and to extrapolate PPPs for
other years. Extrapolation is done by applying the relative rates of inflation observed in different
countries to the base year PPPs. Consider a simple two-country example and suppose that PPPs in year
1 are equal to 1: one currency unit of country A buys, on average, the same amount of goods and
services as one currency unit in country B. Now assume that, between the two periods, the price level
of GDP in country A rises by 20% whereas, on average, prices in country B remain unchanged. PPPs
are then extrapolated by applying a ratio of 120/100=1,2 to the initial PPP. Thus, extrapolated PPPs
for year 2 are PPP of year 1*1,2=1,2.
GDP series in national currency and at current prices can now be converted with these PPPs to yield
volume measures that are comparable across countries. The resulting measures of GDP comparisons
are volume indices at constant prices and PPPs. The same result would have been achieved by
applying volume growth rates of GDP to the comparative GDP levels of the base year.
Whichever way they are calculated, these time series have a very convenient property: they replicate
exactly the relative movements of volume GDP growth of each country. While such a characteristic
facilitates the use and interpretation of PPPs over time, it shares an important drawback with other
indices that use a fixed base: the assumption that price structures do not change over time. Economic
reality has it, however, that relative prices do change over time and it is well known that ignoring
these shifts over longer periods can generate a biased picture of economic developments. Another
consequence of fixing price structures at a base year is the dependence of results on the choice of the
base year.
13
points, and this provides one justification why a 5 percentage point error margin is sometimes quoted
in conjunction with these results.
Table 5 provides a comparison between GDP per capita indices based on current and constant 1999
PPPs for a broader number of countries. Some of the differences are large and probably more
indicative of changes in methodologies than changes in price structures. On the whole, therefore, the
OECD recommends indices based on constant PPPs for the analysis of relative growth performance
between countries and the latest current (benchmark) PPPs for the latest snapshot comparisons of the
GDP and GDP per capita.
Box 6. Current and constant PPPs: what the OECD publishes1 and recommends
The OECD has followed a two-way strategy concerning the choice between benchmark and
extrapolation results for international comparisons.
First, in Annual National Accounts Vol. 1, the OECD publishes time series based on both current and
constant PPPs. The former enter under the heading GDP per capita at current prices and current
PPPs, the latter are labelled as GDP per capita at price levels and PPPs of 1995. The accompanying
text recommends GDP per capita data based on constant prices and constant PPPs for comparisons
over time. Thus, these data are best suited to answer a question such as: How has the relative position
of a countrys GDP per capita changed, given its measured growth performance?
Current (benchmark) PPPs are put forward as the appropriate tool to compare GDP levels for the latest
period available, as they reflect the most recent and most relevant price structure. These data are wellsuited to respond to the question: What is a countrys position in terms of GDP (per capita), given the
most recent set of international prices?
Second, the OECD has to deal with the fact that benchmark PPPs are available for the European
OECD countries on an annual basis provided by Eurostat - but on a three-yearly basis only for other
OECD countries. There is thus a choice of presenting benchmark PPPs only at three-year intervals and
thereby losing valuable information for many European countries or of producing estimates for
intermediate years for non-European countries. The OECD has followed the latter option. Estimates
on intermediate years are one-year extrapolations backwards or forward to benchmark years. For
example, with 1996 as a benchmark years, the 1995 PPP is extrapolated backwards from 1996, and the
1997 PPP is extrapolated forwards. Of course, these estimates are only necessary for those countries
that are not covered by Eurostats annual benchmark exercise. Currently, the PPP comparisons
published in the OECD Main Economic Indicators reflect this method.
Further, the OECD has to decide how to update the latest benchmark results. To date, the latest
available benchmark year for all countries is 1999. PPP series for 2000 and 2001 are obtained by
extrapolating on the basis of relative price indices for GDP with the results presented in Table 2 and,
more generally, in statistical publications that relate to the years 2000-2001. From a conceptual point
of view, extrapolating PPPs from 1999 onwards and applying them to GDP data is tantamount to
expressing this GDP data in 1999 constant prices and constant PPPs.
Lastly, it should be noted that there is full consistency of current PPPs between the data published by
Eurostat and by the OECD for European countries. Differences may occur when publication dates are
different or due to small differences in GDP or population data. Also, the OECD expresses its results
in dollars and typically related indices to OECD30=100.
1
All OECD books and statistical publications are available on line at www.SourceOECD.org.
15
Table 4 GDP per capita with current and constant PPPs for Portugal
OECD 30=100
Based on:
-constant PPP of
benchmark year:
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
1990
64
64
66
68
71
70
69
72
70
70
1991
67
67
68
71
74
73
72
75
73
73
1992
66
67
68
71
74
73
72
75
73
73
1993
65
65
66
69
72
71
70
73
71
71
Results for:
1994 1995
64
65
64
65
65
67
68
69
70
72
69
71
69
70
72
73
70
71
70
72
1996
66
66
68
70
73
72
71
74
72
73
1997
67
67
68
71
74
73
72
75
73
73
1998
68
68
70
72
75
74
73
77
74
75
Note: The cut-off date for all data used in the table was 31-December-2001.
16
1999
109
113
109
117
60
124
103
102
109
70
51
122
114
106
110
60
190
37
117
83
128
40
75
49
84
104
127
26
103
149
102
100
1999
69
69
70
73
76
75
74
77
75
75