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Hamutal Meiri*, Marei Sammar, Ayelet Herzog, Yael-Inna Grimpel, Galina Fihaman,
Aliza Cohen, Vered Kivity, Adi Sharabi-Nov and Ron Gonen
Abstract
Aim: Evaluation of placental protein 13 (PP13) and risk
factors (RFs) as markers for predicting preeclampsia (PE)
and use of aspirin for PE prevention.
Materials and methods: First-trimester pregnancy screening was based on having PP13 level 0.4 multiple of the
median (MoM) and/or at least one major risk factor (RF)
for PE. Management was by routine care or combined
with daily treatment with 75mg aspirin between 14 and 35
weeks of gestation.
Results: Of 820 deliveries, 63 women developed PE (7.7%).
Median PP13 levels was 0.2MoM in the PE group compared with 0.83MoM among unaffected and 1.0MoM in
unaffected not treated with aspirin (P<0.0001). Low PP13
was a better predictor for PE versus major RFs, particularly for young nuliparous. Combining low PP13 with RFs
increased prediction accuracy. Mean arterial pressure (not
included in the initial prediction), could add to prediction
accuracy when combined with low PP13 and RFs. PE prevention by aspirin was most effective when the risk was
determined by low PP13 alone, less effective for combining low PP13 with RFs, and ineffective when determined
by RFs alone.
Conclusion: When PE risk is determined by low first trimester PP13 or by combined low PP13 and RFs, prevention
with aspirin is warranted.
Keywords: Aspirin prevention; in-vitro fertilization; mean
arterial pressure; multiple of the medians; placenta; placental protein 13; preeclampsia; risk factors; risk prediction; serum biomarkers.
*Corresponding author: Dr. Hamutal Meiri, TeleMarpe Ltd., 12
Barasani Moshe St., Tel Aviv 69121, Israel, Tel.: +972-54-7774762,
E-mail: hamutal.meiri@gmail.com
Marei Sammar: Department of Biotechnology Engineering, ORT
Braude College, Karmiel, Israel
Ayelet Herzog: Hy-Laboratories Ltd., Rehovot, Israel
Yael-Inna Grimpel, Galina Fihaman, Aliza Cohen and Vered Kivity:
TeleMarpe Ltd., Tel Aviv, Israel
Adi Sharabi-Nov: Ziv Medical Center, Safed, Israel
Introduction
Preeclampsia (PE) is a pregnancy disorder that affects
about 2%8% of all pregnancies around the globe. It
is also a major reason for the mortality and morbidity
of mothers, fetuses, and neonates. The disorder comprises new-onset hypertension coupled with damage
to the kidney, occasionally to the liver, and to the
cardiovascular system [13, 29, 34]. Although the etiology of PE remains unclear, it is attributed to multifactorial causes associated with impaired placentation
[23, 25, 26]. In the last decade, a handful of markers
were developed to predict PE [6, 9]. The development of
a multi-marker screening coupled to logistic regression
algorithms have shown that the accuracy of the detection rate (DR) could reach 80%93% for 5%10% false
positive rate (FPR) [1, 7].
Placental protein 13 (PP13) is a galectin, which is generated by the syncytiotrophoblast and released into the
maternal blood [12, 27, 32]. A recent meta-analysis performed by members of our group, which included 15,585
patients in 19 studies, showed that at 10% FPR, the DR
for first trimester PE prediction by PP13 ranged from 47%
for all cases of PE (n=1109) to 76% for preterm PE (n=532)
[15]. The prediction improved when PP13 was combined
with placental growth factor (PIGF) [35], or when it was
evaluated as a component of a multiple marker panel with
prior risk factors (RFs), mean arterial pressure (MAP), and
Doppler pulsatility index (Doppler PI) for the blood flow
through the uterine arteries [1].
A kit for determining PP13 obtained a CE Mark for invitro diagnosis in 2006 for PP13 ELISA kits as an aiding
tool for predicting pregnancy disorders. Israels Ministry
of Health (MOH) approved the kit inclusion for aiding
PE prediction in 2007. The current study was a part of a
Post-marketing approval report to the Israel MOH on the
Statistical analysis
PP13 MoMs were compared using a two-tailed non-parametric Wilcoxon Rank Sum test. Given that PP13 levels follow an approximately
log Gaussian distribution [20, 22], standard deviations of log10 MoM
were estimated from the 10th to 90th percentile range divided by 2.563.
DR and FPR were assessed retrospectively according to test performance or by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis using
MoM values. Odds Ratio (OR) was determined by [Sensitivity/(1Sensitivity)]/[(1Specificity)/Specificity)]. Baseline and delivery variables were compared among singletons using Fishers exact test for
categorical variables and the Wilcoxon Rank Sum test for continuous
variables. Analysis was performed by the statistical laboratory at Ziv
Medical Center, Galil Faculty of Medicine, Bar Ilan University, Safed,
Israel.
Results
Development of PE and patient
characteristics
Data were available for 820 singleton gestations delivered beyond 22 weeks. PE occurred in 63 women (7.7%),
of which six had early PE (delivery <34 weeks), 21 had
preterm PE (delivery at 34036+6 weeks), and 36 had PE at
term (delivery 370 weeks). PE was combined with intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) in 12 subjects and was
complicated by the hypertension elevated liver enzyme
and low platelets (HELLP) syndrome in four subjects.
At enrollment, the PE group median MAP was significantly higher by 123 mmHg compared with the unaffected
group (P<0.0001) (Table 1A). In addition, a larger proportion of women in the PE group conceived by IVF compared
with those who were unaffected (17.5% vs. 7.3%, P<0.0001).
The proportion of unaffected patients with any RF was
higher in the current study compared with other pregnancy
cohorts in Israel (34.6% of the unaffected group compared
with 11.1% in the previously used cohorts) [11, 28]. Regardless of the above, the proportion of women who had any
RF was higher in the PE group compared with that of the
unaffected group (52.4% vs. 34.6%, P<0.001). The proportions of patients with 1) nephropathy; 2) previous PE,
gestational hypertension or IUGR; and 3) those who conceived by assisted fertility, were significantly higher in the
Characteristics at enrollment
Maternal age (years)
Nullipara
Caucasian
Smoking
BMI (kg/m2)
In vitro fertilization
Cesarian section
Unaffected singleton
n=757
PE
n=63
30 (1854)
12 (614)
405 (54)
717 (95)
27 (3.6)
22.3 (1747)
77 (57113)
55 (7.3)
262 (34.6)
0.83 (0.082.5)
32 (2147)
11 (713)
24 (38)
61 (97)
2 (3.2)
24.5 (1840)
89 (66103)
11 (17.5)
33 (52.4)
0.27 (0.01.5)
39.3 (3742)
209 (27.6)
80 (65.795)
0 (00.4)
3 (07)
3220 (22204200)
3 (028)
38 (2742)
38 (60.3)
119 (109168)
1.050 (0.49.0)
5 (214)
2775 (11204000)
5 (254)
Continuous values are presented as medians (range) and categorical values are presented as n (%); NS=Not Significant.
P-value
NS
NS
<0.001
NS
NS
NS
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.0001
NS
<0.001
<0.001
<0.001
<0.005
<0.005
<0.001
Unaffected
singleton
n=757
Pre-gestational diabetes
Nephropathy
Thrombophilia
Lupus
Others
Maternal Demography
PE
n=63
P-value
0
7.9%
0
11.1%
3.2%
7.9%
10.2%
34.9%
17.5%
52.4%
3.2%
0.6%
0.1%
0.6%
1.7%
0.1%
0.4%
10.3%
6.2%
3.8%
9.0%
20.5%
7.3%
34.6%
0.09
0.17
<0.001
0.13
0.11
0.19
0.15
0.17
0.07
0.09
0.13
<0.001
<0.001
<0.005
Women often had more than only 1 maternal disease (e.g., chronic hypertension and pre gestational diabetes or thrombophilia with
nephropathy). Thus, the total frequency of women with maternal disease in this pregnancy is smaller than the arithmetic sum of the different frequency of each maternal disease. This is also true in the case of maternal demography where some women are both obese and at
age >40 years. Similarly, women who conceived through IVF may also have maternal diseases or at advanced age. Thus, the total frequency
of women with any risk factor appearing in the last line is smaller from the arithmetic sum of all the individual frequencies.
Correlation
Gestation week
Maternal age
Parity
In vitro fertilization
r=0.974
r=0.916
r=0.78
r=0.99
r=0.74
r=0.67
P-value by t-test
<0.0001
<0.0001
<0.01
<0.01
<0.05
<0.05
A multiple regression analysis was performed to analyze covariates that could affect marker values including GA, BMI, smoking,
maternal age, parity, and conception through IVF. Covariates found
to be significantly different from step wise regression were selected
for adjusting PP13.
2.5
PP13 MoM
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Unaffected
All PE
Preterm PE Early PE
Median
MoM
(95% confidence
interval)
All unaffected
PE without aspirin
PE subtypes
Early PE
PE+IUGR
Preterm PE
Assisted fertility
Unaffected spontaneous
Unaffected+IVF
PE-spontaneous
PE + IVF
656
757
101
63
45
18
25
4
13
25
1.00
0.83
0.37
0.28
0.44
0.24
0.27
0.28
0.24
0.27
(0.951.13)
(0.721.03)
(0.480.73)
(0.090.52)
(0.280.69)
(0.080.49)
(0.210.34)
(0.240.31)
(0.150.25)
(0.210.34)
701
55
52
11
0.96
0.72
0.34
0.26
(0.931.00)
(0.630.78)
(0.190.53)
(0.090.38)
MoM=multiple of the medians, IVF=in vitro fertilization, PE=preeclampsia, IUGR=intra-uterine growth restriction.
<0.01
<0.001
<0.0001
<0.0001a
<0.0001a
<0.0001
<0.05
<0.001
<0.0001
<0.001
Case Detection
False Odds ratio
detected
rate positive rate
PP13
RFs
PP13+RF
PP13+RF+MAP
50/63
35/63
53/63
59/63
80%
55%
85%
93%
21.5%
45%
15%
10%
14.6
1.49
32.1
119.6
ROC analysis
ROC curve analysis (Figure 2 and Table 5) showed that the
area under the curve (AUC) was 0.84 and the DR was 52%
PP13
RF
PP13+RF
PP13+RF+MAP
1.0
0.9
0.8
Sensitivity
0.7
0.6
Discussion
0.5
0.4
Major findings
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1-Specificity
Figure 2Receiver operation characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Placental protein 13 (PP13)-blue line, Major Risk Factors for PE-green
line, PP13+RF-red line, PP13+RF+MAP-black line
Table 5Sensitivity and specificity from ROC analysis.
Marker
PP13
RF
PP13+RF
PP13+RF+MAP
10% FPR
0.84 (0.780.90)
0.63 (0.550.78)
0.89 (0.810.93)
0.93 (0.870.95)
52 (4455)
18 (1620)
59 (8993)
93 (87100)
15% FPR
76 (7281)
55 (4961)
91 (8993)
100
CI=confidence interval, FPR=false positive rate, PP13=placental protein 13, RF=risk factors, MAP=mean arterial pressure.
20% FPR
81 (7657)
5 (4961)
100
35
Treated
Preeclampsia (%)
30
Untreated
30.7%
27%
25
20
17.7%
15
12.8%
10
5
3.2%
2.7%
0
Low PP13
Risk factors
B
Aspirin effect
Only RF
Relative ratio
8.43
0.21
1.73
RFs
PE prediction was more effective for this combination compared with each marker alone. As specified above, in the
combined analysis when the RFs included only previous PE,
conception by IVF and having nephropathy yielded better
results. The improvement in this combination can be due
C 400
PE
375
Unaffected
350
Patient (#)
300
250
209
200
150
100
100
50
0
72
27
24
10
Low PP13
Risk factors
Low PP13+Risk
factors
No Risk
D
Group
Preeclampsia
PP13 + RF
N=96
24 (38.1%)
No Risk
N= 377
2 (3.2%)
Screening by MAP
MAP by itself appears to be a reasonable predictor for PE,
as was previously demonstrated by Poon etal. [21]. It had
a very large impact when added to a panel consisting of
PP13 and RFs. Given that all three parameters are very
simple and can be used in most clinical set-ups, their combination may be a good fit for the majority of the healthcare systems in both developing and developed countries.
Aspirin
Enroling women who were aware of their condition and of
the need to modify pregnancy management was probably
associated with the 95% compliance of the women with
aspirin treatment. In this study, aspirin was administered
prior to GA of 16 weeks as recomended by Bujold etal. [4].
The generalization from this study was limited by the fact
that the decision to treat with aspirin in the clinical setting
was not randomized, but based on how the attending physician perceived the risk of the women to develop PE, his/
her trust with the PP13 test [15], and his/her convincing of
the anticipated efficacy of aspirin [4].
Perceived aspirin efficacy
The study showed that only 17.8% of the women were
treated with aspirin when the risk was determined on the
Limitations
The main limitation of this study lies in the fact that it has
been conducted within a clinical setting, in which the use
of aspirin is not randomized but a result of the physicians
attitude to several factors, including the risks involved
for the patients, PP13 test accuracy, and aspirin efficacy.
This bias prohibits generalization of the study results on
the effect of aspirin in PE prevention in the risk prediction
setting we have earlier described. In addition, the small
size of the PE group (n=63) prevents meaningful subanalyses of individual RFs using parametric regression,
while the a-parametric analysis suffers due to its nature
of eliciting overfitting. Thus, fine tuning is anticipated
with a larger cohort. In addition, the study results may be
affected by socio-economic bias due to the enrolment of
patients who could pay for the tests, since the test is not
yet included in routine public health services. There is also
a disproportionate enrolment of patients with high prior
risk compared with the national frequency of RFs in Israel
[11]. While the frequency of PE is much higher than that
of the general population of Israel [5], it has already been
found by Khalil etal. [16] that the prediction of PE by PP13
in high-risk populations has similar efficacy compared
with PP13 efficacy in predicting PE in the low-risk groups.
Conclusion
This study reported the screening potential of the PP13
biomarker in predicting PE in the first trimester of pregnancy. It appeared that the use of RFs in combination
with PP13 and MAP for predicting PE risk yielded better
performance compared with each individual parameter
alone. These results provide additional reasons for issuing
guidelines related to PE prediction by first trimester
screening. Women who were identified to be at high risk
either by having low PP13, major RFs or both, were either
managed by close surveillance or by daily use of aspirin
at their doctors discretion. Even if the use of aspirin was
not randomized, this study shows a very important result
and a first hint to a treatment strategy of PE based on first
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