77

Progress in NUCLEAR SCIENCE and TECHNOLOGY, Vol. 1, p.
77-80 (2011)
ARTICLE
Reliability Analysis on the Container of Radioactive Material Transport

Based on Monte Carlo
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KEYWORDS: container of radioactive material transport, reliability, Monte Carlo, importance sampling

I. Introduction 1
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K6AJ:H>BE68II=:;>C6AG>H@<G:6IAN
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I=:DG:I>86A 86A8JA6I>DC I=: I=>G9 >H I=GDJ<= I=: HNCI=:H>HD;
:ME:G>B:CIH6C9I=:DG:I>86A86A8JA6I>DC
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9:G>K:9 I=GDJ<= :ME:G>B:CIH 6G: 8G:9>7A: >I 8DHIH IDD BJ8=
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;6>AJG:I=G:H=DA9H6G:H=DLC>CTable 1
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IG6CHEDGI D; G69>D68I>K: B6I:G>6A >H I=: EGD9J8I D; 8DCI6>C:G
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)GD767>A>HI>8H6;:IN6HH:HHB:CIB:I=D9DAD<NL6H6EEA>:9ID
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9>G:8IAN:HI>B6I:9 -=:C688DG9>C<IDI=:8DCH:FJ:C8:HD;I=:
688>9:CIG>H@6HH:HHB:CID;6IG6CHEDGI86C7::K6AJ6I:9
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8:GI6>C% -=>HB:I=D9>HI=:C8DBE6G:9L>I=9>G:8I>CI:<G6A
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Table 16>AJG:I=G:H=DA9HD;ILD!%%08DCI6>C:GH
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2. Stress-Strength Model
,IG:HHHIG:C<I= BD9:A 6H H=DLC >C Fig. 1 =6H 7::C
LDGA9L>9:AN HIJ9>:9 >C G:A>67>A>IN :C<>C::G>C< -=: BD9:A
L6H ;>GHI EGDEDH:9 7N )GD;:HHDG >GC76JB >C .C>K:GH>IN D;
6A>;DGC>6:G@:A:N>C6C9>I=6H7::CL>9:ANJH:9>C
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8DBEDC:CIH HJ8= 6H HIG:HH EG:HHJG: I:BE:G6IJG: 6G: 86AA:9
HIG:HH D; HNHI:BH DG 8DBEDC:CIH -=: :MI:CI D; HNHI:BH DG
8DBEDC:CIHIDL>I=HI6C9HDB:HIG:HH>H86AA:9I=:HIG:C<I=D;
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II. Container Failure Probability

1. Failure Thresholds of the Container
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77
78
Renze WANG
*6C9"*>HH=DLC>CFig. 2 -D;68>A>I6I:I=:86A8JA6I>DC
HI6C96G9 9:K>6I>DC D; * >H CDI HI6C96G9 9:K>6I>DC >C G:6A
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"*
Strength PDF
Stress PDF

Intersection

Stress,Strength
Interference Region

Fig. 1,IG:C<I=BD9:
HIG:HH> : I=:HIG:HH>H>CI=:AD69G6C<:>CI:<G>IND;I=:HNHI:B
DG8DBEDC:CI86C7:B6>CI6>C:9I=:HNHI:BDG8DBEDC:CI>H
67A:ID8DBEA:I:I=:G:FJ>G:9;JC8I>DCH6C9L=>8=>H@CDLC6H
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9:HIGDN ;JC8I>DCH DG HIGJ8IJG:H D; I=: HNHI:B DG 8DBEDC:CI
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3. Probabilistic Distribution of Stress and Strength
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Fig. 2 +:A6I>DC7:IL::C;M6C9CM
DCI6>C:G ;6>AJG: I=G:H=DA9 >H :FJ>K6A:CI ID I=: HIG:C<I= >C
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EGD767>A>IN9:CH>IN

Fig. 3-1 Failure threshold

Fig. 3-2 Stress

Intersection

Fig. 3-3 Overview

Fig. 3-4 Part View
Fig. 3)D;I=:HIG:HH6C9;6>AJG:I=G:H=DA9
D2* BD9:A E68@6<: L=>8= >H B6CJ;68IJG:9 6C9

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PROGRESS IN NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Reliability Analysis on the Container of Radioactive Material Transport Based on Monte Carlo
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4. Expression of Container Failure Probability
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9

9
III. Importance Sampling Monte Carlo Method

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Vol. 1, FEBRUARY 2011
79
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IV. Compiling of MATLAB Program

Calculation of Container Failure Probability
and
1. Compiling of MATLAB Program

6H:9DCI=:67DK:76H>8EG>C8>EA:H6&-%EGD<G6B
>H 8DBE>A:9 ID 86A8JA6I: 8DCI6>C:G ;6>AJG: EGD767>A>IN -=:
>BEDGI6C8:H6BEA>C<9:CH>IN;JC8I>DC>H6CDGB6A9>HIG>7JI>DC
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I=: HIG:HH AA CDGB6A 9>HIG>7JI>DCH 6G: HI6C96G9>O:9 ID
HI6C96G9 CDGB6A 9>HIG>7JI>DC >C I=: EGD<G6B 7:;DG:
86A8JA6I>DC
-=: ."<G6E=>86AJH:G>CI:G;68:D;8DBE>A:9&-%
EGD<G6B>HH=DLC>CFig. 4
"CI=:JEE:GE6GID;I=: .">H6E6G6B:I:G>CEJI6G:6 "C
I=:B>99A:E6GID;I=: .">H6CDE:G6I>DC6G:6 "CI=:ADL:G
E6GI D; I=: ." >H 6 86A8JA6I>DC 6G:6 -=: HE:8>;>:9 ;JC8I>DC
D; :68= E6GI >H H=DLC >C Table 2 "C DG9:G ID LG>I: H>BEAN
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80
Renze WANG
Table 3 6A8JA6I>DC:M6BEA:

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Table 4 DBE6G>HDC7:IL::CILDB:I=D9H
%

Fig. 4
%

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V. Conclusion
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;6>AJG:I=G:H=DA9HD;D2*BD9:AE68@6<:6G:EG:H:CI:9
>CTable 3, 86A8JA6I>DCG:HJAIH6G:6AHD>CI=:I67A:
2. Comparison between Two Methods
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D;I=:G:HJAIHD7I6>C:97NI=:&B:I=D96C99>G:8I>CI:<G6A
B:I=D9 >H H=DLC >C Table 4, L=>8= EG:H:CIH I=6I G:A6I>K:
:GGDGD;ILDB:I=D9H>HA:HHI=6C
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B:I=D9 6<G::H L>I= I=: DJI8DB: D; 6C >CI:<G6A B:I=D9
I=:G:;DG:I=:HIJ9NH=DLHI=6II=:8DCI6>C:GG:A>67>A>IN>HK:GN
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References
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9>I>DC" ,6;:IN ,I6C96G9H ,:G>:H 'D -,+
"CI:GC6I>DC6AIDB>8C:G<N<:C8N "
>C< 3=6D #>6C<6C< 3=6C< 1J:M>C 06C< :I 6A ),
B:I=D9 >C IG6CHEDGI D; G69>D68I>K: B6I:G>6A -=: DJGI=
,NBEDH>JBD;DGJB;DG+69>6I>DC)GDI:8I>DC6I:<>CC>C<D;
I=: HI:CIJGN:>?>C<=>C6#JC: 4>C
=>C:H:5
0 :CC>H # - DA:N 0 !6GIB6C :I 6A ,:K:G>I>:H D;
IG6CHEDGI6I>DC 688>9:CIH >CKDAK>C< A6G<: E68@6<:H
,'. , ,6C9>6%67DG6IDG>:H
3 & >GC76JB (C 6 JH: D; I=: &6CC0=>IC:N ,I6I>HI>8
)GD8::9>C<HD;I=:-=>G9:G@:A:N,NBEDH>JBDC&6I=:B6I>86A
,I6I>HI>8H6C9)GD767>A>IN:G@:A:N6A>;DGC>6:8:B7:G
#JAN6C9J<JHI/DAJB:"P
$:CI %6LG:C8: ',2, 0DG@7:C8= -JIDG>6A +:A:6H:
,8=GD;;:K:ADEB:CIDGEDG6I>DC&>HH>DC$6CH6H
+:<JA6I>DCH ;DG I=: ,6;: -G6CHEDGI D; +69>D68I>K: &6I:G>6A
:C:G6A9B>C>HIG6I>DCD;*J6A>IN,JE:GK>H>DC
"CHE:8I>DC 6C9 *J6G6CI>C: D; ) + =>C6 ,I6C96G9>O6I>DC
9B>C>HIG6I>DCD;) + =>C6
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+:A>67>A>IN C6ANO>C< ,8>:C8: )G:HH :>?>C< 4>C
=>C:H:5
PROGRESS IN NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

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Progress in NUCLEAR SCIENCE and TECHNOLOGY, Vol. 1, p.

Reliability Analysis on the Container of Radioactive Material Transport

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$%'!"'#""%"+&&"&"(")%&'+" "

H 6C >BEDGI6CI 6HE:8I D; CJ8A:6G H6;:IN G69>D68I>K:

II. Container Failure Probability

Fig. 3-1 Failure threshold

Fig. 3-2 Stress

Fig. 3-3 Overview

Fig. 3-4 Part View

D2* BD9:A E68@6<: L=>8= >H B6CJ;68IJG:9 6C9

-=: G:A>67>A>IN D; I=: 8DCI6>C:G 86C 7: :MEG:HH:9 6H

III. Importance Sampling Monte Carlo Method

"C :FJ6I>DC 4 5 >H 6C >C9>86I>K: ;JC8I>DC ";

G:EA68:H 4 5 HD :FJ6I>DC 86C 7: :MEG:HH:9 6H

IV. Compiling of MATLAB Program

1. Compiling of MATLAB Program

." D; 8DCI6>C:G ;6>AJG: EGD767>A>IN 86A8JA6I>DC

-=: D7I6>C:9 DJI8DB: D; I=: >BEDGI6C8: H6BEA>C< &

PROGRESS IN NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi

77

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Progress in NUCLEAR SCIENCE and TECHNOLOGY, Vol. 1, p.

Reliability Analysis on the Container of Radioactive Material Transport

" "&''('#%'#"%#''#"+(""*%#)" "

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H 6C >BEDGI6CI 6HE:8I D; CJ8A:6G H6;:IN G69>D68I>K:

II. Container Failure Probability

Fig. 3-1 Failure threshold

Fig. 3-2 Stress

Fig. 3-3 Overview

Fig. 3-4 Part View

D 2* BD9:A E68@6<: L=>8= >H B6CJ;68IJG:9 6C9

-=: G:A>67>A>IN D; I=: 8DCI6>C:G 86C 7: :MEG:HH:9 6H

III. Importance Sampling Monte Carlo Method

"C :FJ6I>DC  4   5 >H 6C >C9>86I>K: ;JC8I>DC ";

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IV. Compiling of MATLAB Program

1. Compiling of MATLAB Program

  

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PROGRESS IN NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

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