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DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this presentation may include statements
which constitute forward-looking statements, within the meaning of
Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section
21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such
forward-looking statements involve a certain degree of risk and
uncertainty with respect to business, financial, trend, strategy and other
forecasts, and are based on assumptions, data or methods that,
although considered reasonable by the company at the time, may turn
out to be incorrect or imprecise, or may not be possible to realize. The
company gives no assurance that expectations disclosed in this
presentation will be confirmed. Prospective investors are cautioned that
AGENDA
1 COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
Marcelo Castelli - Chief Executive Officer
3 2015 OUTLOOK
Guilherme Cavalcanti Chief Financial Officer
1 COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
Marcelo Castelli - Chief Executive Officer
3 2015 OUTLOOK
Guilherme Cavalcanti Chief Financial Officer
7.5
Net
Debt/EBITDA
US$ (x)
Investment Grade,
by Fitch Ratings
4.1
8.6
Gross
Debt
(US$ bn)
6.3
7.2
5.9
4.2
6.0
5.1
(Moodys: Ba1/Positive
S&P: BB+/Positive)
3.3
2.6
5.3
3.8
Net Debt
(US$ bn)
2009
Sale of Guaba:
US$1.4 bn
2019 Bond:
US$1.0 bn
9.25% 10NC5
2010
2020 Bond:
US$750 mn
7.5% 10NC5
Sale of
Conpacel/KSR:
US$896 mn
2011
2021 Bond:
US$750 mn
6.75% 10NC5
Sale of Piracicaba:
US$313 mn
Liability and Liquidity
Management Policy
2012
Equity offering:
US$680 mn
Forest Sale:
US$419 mn
FCF: US$428 mn
Covenants
renegotiation to
4.5x in US$
4.2
2.5
3.4
2013
3.5
3.0
3Q14
Land deal:
US$685 mn
FCF: US$587 mn
(1) Debt converted by end-period FX, FCF converted by average FX and assets sales converted by the FX transactions date.
-21%
+14%
5,054
5,184
5,299
5,259
5,251
4,600
2009*
2010*
2011
2012
2013
3Q14 LTM
656
625
589
432
448
2009*
2010*
40%
680
593
594
605
584
2009*
2010*
2011
2012
Historical Value
700
648
471
473
505
518
2011
2012
2013
3Q14 LTM
Inflation Effect**
757
545
Historical Value
-28%
827
551
34%
2,526
1,964
649
36%
40%
38%
2,796
2,708
2013
3Q14 LTM
2,253
1,522
2013
3Q14 LTM
2009*
2010*
2011
2012
Inflation Effect**
2%
21%
27% Industrial
Taxes 11%
SG&A
16%
23% Forestry
R$ BILLION
4.62
5.07
4.19
3.07
4.34
4.45
2013
2014
3.39
2.32
0.51
0.51
2009
2010
2011
Business Case
2012
Actual
IMMEDIATE
Financial
Discipline
Solid
Governance
CONTINUOUS
IMPROVEMENT
Sustainability
SHORT TERM
MEDIUM TERM
LONG TERM
Operational
Excellence
Asset Light
Biotechnology
Transparence
Talent
Retention,
Professional
Development
and
Succession
Good
Organizational
Climate
Forest Base
Formation
GROWTH
Organic Growth
Consolidation
Bio Industry
INITIATIVES IN
THE VALUE
CHAIN
Logistics
Real Estate
Options
10
STRATEGIC OPTIONS
VALUE LEVERS
Cost
Reduction
Initiatives
Revenues
Increment
Initiatives
Risk
Reduction
Initiatives
Option
A
ASSETS
OPTIMIZATION
VALUE
AS IS
Option
B
Option
C
EXPECTED
VALUE
Operational and
Tactical initiatives
Transformational
initiatives
FULL
POTENTIAL
VALUE
11
High
Performance
Culture
People
Operational
Excellence
New
Businesses
MAXIMIZING THE
LONG TERM VALUE TO
THE SHAREHOLDER
Innovation
Strategy
12
NEW BUSINESSES
Biostrategy
Infrastructure projects
Real estate
development projects
High
Performance
Culture
New
Businesses
People
Strategy
GROWTH
Operational
Excellence
Innovation
INNOVATION
Biotechnology
Nanocellulose
Organic Expansion?
Consolidation?
STRATEGIC OPTIONS
15.0
12.1
10.6 10.9
10.0 10.0 10.3 10.3
9.0
8.0
7.0
6.0
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045
IMACel
Plantio
MAI Plantation
IMACel
Colheita
MAI Harvesting
MAI Pulp Plantation: Expected for new planted areas in Fibrias own forests, adopting classical breeding
and molecular markers technologies.
MAI Pulp Harvesting: Expected at the time of harvest, considering the mix of the old and new plantations.
Displacement of MAI Plantation vs MAI Harvesting curves due to mix of reform and sprouting
(1) Mean Annual Increment
14
IMPACTS
MAI
MAI Pulp
M OF WOOD /
HECTARE / YEAR
Tons of pulp
/ ha / year
Specific Consumption
Pulp yield in the mill
M OF WOOD /
TON OF PULP
16
15.0
15
14
Ton/ha/year
13
12
11
12.1
11.7
10.6
11.1
11.3
11.3
11.3
10.9
10
9
8
7
Target
New Clones
6
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
16
17
Main Actions
REDIRECTING THE INNOVATION FOCUS
13%
52%
23%
36%
GENETIC
TRANSFORMATION
PROCESS IMPROVEMENTS
PULP APPLICATION
ENGINEERING
FIBER DIFFERENTIATION
(EUCASTRONG)
6%
29%
18%
35%
41%
47%
2011
2012
2013
34%
Disruptive technologies
Operating excellence
Business sustainability
New businesses
18
Talking about
transformational initiatives...
NANOCELLULOSE
19
NANOCELLULOSE VIDEO
20
SECTOR
Current or
contiguous
value chains
Technology
Licensing
External
producers
Packaging
Hygiene
FIBRIA
Jacare
Aracruz
Trs Lagoas
Special Papers
Composites
Fibrias characteristics
enable the company
to play a liaison role in
the value chain
New value
chains
Cement
Oil & Gas
Paints
21
LAND
Development of areas
with high real estate
potential
Wind Power
FOREST
22
Ha
Book Value
Market Value
(000)
R$/ha
R$/ha
491
2,535
7,964
Fonte: FNP
23
0.7%
9.0%
7.1%
5.8%
-4.7%
-4.7%
2012
2013
LTM 3Q14
2012
2013
10.6%
8.3%
7.8%
2012
LTM 3Q14
0.6%
-3.9%
-4.3%
2013
LTM 3Q14
2012
2013
LTM 3Q14
24
The targeted area represents only 0.6% of the land owned by Fibria;
1 COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
Marcelo Castelli - Chief Executive Officer
3 2015 OUTLOOK
Guilherme Cavalcanti Chief Financial Officer
26
SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE
Votorantim/BNDES Shareholders Agreement renewed
Votorantim
Industrial S.A.
29.42%
BNDES
Participaes
30.38%
Linked
20.59%
Free
Float
40.20%(1)
Not linked
9.79%
HIGHLIGHTS
Shareholders Agreement
Renewal
Additional 5 years term, expiring Oct. 2019
BNDESPar linked 20.59% of total capital
VID has its entire stake linked
Stronger commitment to distinct corporate
governance and capital discipline
27
SHAREHOLDER BASE
Total Free Float (1)
Free Float
Local vs. Foreign
Free Float
by Country
34%
34%
Free Float
Investor Dominant Profile(2)
3% 2%
4%
3%
2%
25%
9%
66%
Foreign Investors
70%
48%
Local Investors
USA
UK
Ireland
Brazil
Saudi Arabia
Others
Short Term
Long Term
Individual
Medium Term
28
General
Meeting
Fiscal
Council
100% independent
members
Board of
Directors
Finance
Committee
Statutory Audit
Committee
Personnel and
Remuneration
Committee
Sustainability
Committee
Innovation
Committee
30% independent
members
100% independent
members
50% independent
members
45% independent
members
29
30
+ 0.2%
18
501
502
(23)
LTM inflation
(IPCA): 6.75%
LTM average
FX: -0.6%
3Q13
3Q13
Maintenance
downtimes
Wood
Utilities
Others
3Q14
3Q14
31
Aracruz
LTM 3Q14:
RB
TG
RB
TG
RB
TG
PB
TG
MILL
TG
PB
TG
RB: Recovery Boiler (Total: 7) | PB: Power Boiler (Total: 6) | TG: Turbo Generator (Total: 13)
32
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Fibria has the lowest leverage ratio among its Latam peers
Net Debt/EBITDA (x)(1)
14.8
13.2
11.7
4.8
3.6
4.5
4.5
3.7
3.6
3.1
2.9
3.1
2.4
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
Fibria
4Q12
Suzano
1Q13
Klabin
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
CMPC
1Q14
4.2
3.7
2.7
2.6
2.7
2.4
2.3
1.7
1.7
4Q11
11.1
2Q14
Arauco
3Q14
2014 2
Eldorado
Fibria
Arauco
CMPC
Klabin
Suzano
S&P
BB+/Positive
BBB-/Stable
BBB+/Negative
BBB-/Negative
BB/Stable
Moodys
Ba1/Positive
Baa3/Stable
Baa3/Negative
Ba2/Stable
Fitch
BBB-/Stable
BBB/Stable
BBB+/Stable
BBB-/Negative
BB/Stable
33
926
64
536
356
354
192
128
164
2015
216
416
326
180
226
320
236
55
271
2016
2017
2018
2019
Foreign Currency
862
Land Deal
Bond buyback: Fibria 2020,
2021 and VOTO IV
616
43
573
2020
2021
11
2022
2023
Local Currency
September 2014
Amortization Schedule
(US$ million)
343
228
45
183
190
133
173
210
2014
2015
2016
217
513
181
425
56
335
332
369
251
73
178
2017
2018
2019
2020
Foreign Currency
209
56
153
2021
591
20
2022
2023
2024
Local Currency
Total average cost (pro-forma), considering debt in reais adjusted by the swap curve on 09/30/2014.
The average cost in foreign currency was 4.0% p.a. and the local currency average cost was 7.2% p.a.
(1)
34
627
(revolver)
2014
2015
2016
2017
Others
2018
ACC/ACE
2019
ECN
2020
BNDES
2021
Bond
EPP
2022
2023
2024
35
Maturity
Volume
T-Spread
Coupon
X Book
Fibria
2024
US$600 mn
275 bps
5.25%
11.5x
Braskem
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
2024
US$500 mn
340 bps
6.45%
11.0x
Petrobras
Baa1/BBB/BBB
2024
US$2.5 bn
350 bps
6.28%
3.3x
Klabin
BBB-/BBB-
2024
US$500 mn
269 bps
5.25%
6.0x
Samarco
BBB-/BBB
2024
US$500 mn
288 bps
5.375%
3.6x
Maturity
Volume
G-Spread
Yield
Fibria
2024
US$600 mn
289 bps
5.047%
Braskem
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
2024
US$500 mn
362 bps
5.742%
BBB-/BBB-
2024
US$500 mn
332 bps
5.490%
Odebrecht
Baa3/BBB-/BBB
2023
US$800 mn (1)
297 bps
5.017%
Petrobras
Baa1/BBB/BBB
2024
US$2.5 bn
368 bps
5.817%
Baa3/BBB-/BBB-
2023
US$750 mn
308 bps
5.130%
BBB-/BBB
2024
US$ 500 mn
366 bps
5.848%
Klabin
Gerdau
Samarco
(1)
Outstanding: US$102 mn
36
4.2
4.1
8.6
6.3
2009
7.2
5.9
6.0
5.1
2010
2011
Gross Debt
3.3
5.3
3.8
2012
2.6
4.2
3.4
2013
2.5
3.5
414
5.5
408
5.2
4.6
3.0
2009
2010
2011
3.7(1)
3.5(2)
350
268
Sept/2014
2012
2013
217
LTM
Est.
3T14 Dec/14
Net Debt
Reduction on
interest
473
5.9
Reduction on
Costly Debt
This dynamics
creates a
virtuous cycle
Total average cost, considering debt in reais adjusted by the swap curve on 09/30/2014. In Sep/14 the average cost foreign currency was 4.0%
p.a. and the local currency average cost was 7.2% p.a.
(1)
Considering the liability management initiatives that should support the interest reduction and the cost of debt in dollars to reduce to 3.8% p.a.
(equivalent to 3.5% p.a. of total average cost), depending on the interest curve.
(2)
37
578
(302)
223
(53)
26
(124)
Net revenues
COGS/Freight
(1)
SG&A
EBITDA
CAPEX
(2)
(32)
Interest
91
(2)
(1) On a cash basis, does not include depreciation, amortization and depletion (2) Includes advance to forest partnership program | (3) IR/CS and others
38
900
1,8
800
Rizhao
300
Eldorado
Montes Guaba II
del
Plata
Klabin
APP
Hainan
Fray
Bentos
Mucuri
Veracel Nueva
Aldea
500
400
Maranho
Trs
Lagoas
700
600
2,0
Valdivia
Santa F
Kerinci
PL3
1,6
1,4
1,2
1,0
Chenming
Zhanjiang
APP
Guangxi
0,8
0,6
200
0,4
100
0,2
0
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(1) Source: Hawkins Wright , Poyry and Fibria Analysis. Pulp price estimates according to Hawkins Wright (Sep/14), Brian McClay (Nov/14) and RISI (Nov/14).
(2) Partially integrated production
1.000
0,0
39
-105
-540
-500
-830
-910
-1,085
-1,180
-1,260
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014-2016 E
as of Oct14
40
33%
28%
26%
24%
23%
15%
7%
Sugar
Iron Ore
WTI Crude
Oil
Soy
LME Metals
Ibovespa
Cattle
FOEX PIX
BHKP
Iron Ore
Crude
Oil
Soy
LME
Metals
Ibovespa
Cattle
Pulp
BHKP
-7%
-49%
-21%
-21%
28%
-5%
-7%
-22%
-17%
-21%
2%
7%
28%
7%|-3%
FIBR3|FBR
(1) From 2009 to Dec 1,2014 | (2) Except Iron Ore (Average Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP) and LME Metals | (3) November, 26th
41
Each 10% depreciation of the Real increases EBITDA by approx. R$600 million
2.00
Exchange Rate
Average (R$/US$)
1.76
670
639
581
2.10
610
572
1,281
1,310
680
676
456
1,179
912
EBITDA Margin
1.67
1.95
2.29
660
29%
1,067
676
627
40%
34%
2,526
1,964
1,133
657
36%
40%
2.59(2)
556
Market
Consensus
1,440
38%
2,796
2,708
2013
LTM 3Q14
2,253
1,522
EBITDA (R$ million)
2009 (1)
2010 (1)
2011
2012
2015
(1) Excludes Conpacel | (2) According to Focus Report (Brazilian Central Bank Nov, 28/2014) | (3) According to Poyry full cost estimate - includes Manufacturing +
Delivered costs to Rotterdam + Depreciation + ROCE of 9%
42
1,775
660
595
570
1,570
1,045
2,415
335
625
3,745
340
1,010
3,950
7,450
5,300
= 31,385
Interest
3Q14 Fibrias net
price US$ 554/t
71
46
69
38
86
121
24
38
48
498
508
456
440
420
404
417
342
32
55
315
399
142
39
381
38
67
311
286
77
255
54
66
221
Interest
Capex
Income Tax
SG&A
Positive Working
Capital: US$5/t
Delivery (US$/t)
Source: Hawkins Wright (Outlook for Market Pulp, September 2014) | Fibrias 3Q14 considering a FX of R$/US$2.27.
Gray bar includes cash expenses as Interest, CAPEX, SG&A and Taxes (Source: RISI and Fibria).
43
HEDGE
Governance
Hedging Strategy
Debt Hedge:
No margin call
No threshold
Operating Hedge:
No leverage
No margin call
No threshold
Current strategy:
Amount
Maturity
Goodwill
(Aracruz
acquisition)
Forestry Capex in
Mato Grosso do
Sul state
2018
Undefined
Benefit
Amount
Accumulated tax
credits
Balance Sept./2014:
-PIS/COFINS: R$556 million
-withholding tax (IR and CSLL):
R$604 million
-Befiex: R$537 million
2010
2011
2012
2013
LTM 3Q14
R$7 million
R$16 million
R$4 million
R$15 million
R$31 million
R$20 million
45
REINTEGRA
Pulp included in Reintegra program compensation of part of the existing residuary tax in the
Companys supply chain.
Benefit valid at a rate of 3% tax rebate in pulp exports on a transfer price basis.
The regulation provides two possibilities for the use of the credit:
Refund in cash
Inclusion of the pulp sector in the payroll tax benefit plan - positive impact on EBITDA.
The benefit that used to be valid up to 2014, currently is permanent for pulp
46
The Zero Based Budgeting (ZBB) is one of the major drivers for the MAX
VALUE PROJECT;
47
The assumption for the new process is that the budget for
next year is zero
Zero Base Budgeting
48
Materials
Energy
(...)
Services
Activities
Site 1 Site 2
(processes,
cost drivers)
Labor
Three expenses
perspectives the ZBB cube
49
Area 2
Area 3
Area 4
Area 5
Energy
Maintenance
Services
Package
Owners
Cost drivers
Package Owners
(specialists)
Labor
Others
Managers
Managers and Package Owners work in a functional matrix arrangement
Key interactions
within ZBB
process
50
100%
75%
65%
70
43%
60
50%
50
40
30%
30
33%
20
15%
10
0
Forestry
Industrial
Logistics/Other
Total
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
51
Neutral
Closures/conversions
Inefficient capacities in China
Demand
Fiber and grade substitution
Tissue
China
Pulp price
Brazil GDP
Energy crisis
FX
Capex inflation
Cost inflation
Rating
Tax
Corporate Governance
Positive
52
1 COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
Marcelo Castelli - Chief Executive Officer
3 2015 OUTLOOK
Guilherme Cavalcanti Chief Financial Officer
53
CAPEX
(R$ Million)
1,690
1,611
1,520
1,416
1,287
1,078
External factors
+3%
2011
2012
2013
Management
initiatives
+3%
2014
Trucks
TLS II
inflation Third party Dredging
Guidance and FX wood price
Purchase Feasibility
increase
(1st phase)
Study
R&D
+5%
2014
Guidance
Update
Trucks
Inflation, FX Capex
Purchase and other reduction
(2nd
initiatives
phase)
2015
Guidance
Update
54
CAPEX
(R$ Million)
1,690
2015 Guidance
Modernization
Forestry Renewal
Wood purchase
TLS II expansion
Structural Capex
55
CAGR: + 3.7%
432
448
471
473
505
518
be structurally eliminated
2009 (2)
2010 (2)
2011
2012
2013
below inflation
3Q14 LTM
56
1 COMPETITIVE STRATEGY
Marcelo Castelli - Chief Executive Officer
3 2015 OUTLOOK
Guilherme Cavalcanti Chief Financial Officer
57
SUPPLY
58
INVESTOR RELATIONS
E-MAIL: IR@FIBRIA.COM.BR
PHONE: +55 11 2138 4565
WEBSITE: WWW.FIBRIA.COM.BR/IR
75