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Given overleaf is a recap note on Break Even Point analysis, as relevant to Service
Operations Management.
As I am sure, you would have already dealt with this topic as part of other subjects.
Hence go through this recap to avoid duplication prior to class.
We will discuss only specific issues of relevance to us service operations professionals.
GLIM
Page 1
Standard costs
Rent of building
You might need to employ more workers, and hence more wages when
production level is increased.
Direct costs can be directly linked with the product that is produced. Example : The raw
material used for a product is a direct cost.
Indirect costs are not directly linked to the product or the production process. Example :
rent of the factory, administration cost of the business, the wages and salaries of the
administration staff.
Page 2
Average cost of producing an article is found by dividing the total number of units
manufactured by total cost. If production levels increase, the unit cost of an article will
decrease. This is because the fixed cost stays the same although the variable costs
increase in direct relation to the increased production.
Marginal cost is the cost of making one product. It is calculated by looking at the
difference in total costs if one extra item is produced.
Example:
o
Average Cost:
The average cost of one chair if 50 chairs are produced: $2000 / 50 =
$40.
The average cost of one chair if 51 chairs are made: $2020 / 51 = $39.6.
Note: Production costs can go down when more units are produced, because the
fixed costs stay the same only variable might be incurred.
Marginal Cost
The marginal cost to make an extra chair is $20.
The average cost of making 51 chairs is $39.6. The average cost per
chair decreases because the fixed costs stay the same.
Another Example
In a Photocopy shop
Output in
Fixed costs
Total Variable
Total cost
pages
in $ [ rental for
costs $ ( of
incurred $
photocopied
place and
manpower and
machine]
consumable)
1,500
1,500
1,000
1,500
500
2,000
2,000
1,500
1,000
2,500
When 1,000 units are produced the unit cost is $2 Total cost/number of units
When 2,000 units are produced the unit cost decreases to $1.25 2,500/2,000. From
the example you can see that when more units are produced the cost of producing one
unit decreases.
BEP AS WE KNOW
GLIM
Page 3
A business reaches the break-even point in production when the total sales value equals the total
cost incurred to produce the item. At this point no profit or loss is made
Example of working out the break-even point
Consider a haircutting saloon. The fixed cost of a business is $10,000 and the variable
cost of each persons hair cut unit is $8. The firm charges $12 per p
Calculate the break-even point:
Number of
Fixed
Variable
Total
Revenue @
Profit/
customers
costs $
costs $
costs $
(Loss) $
10,000
10000
.0
(10,000)
1,000
10,000
8,000
18,000
12,000
(6,000)
2,000
10,000
16,000
26,000
24,000
(2,000)
2,500
10,000
20,000
30,000
30,000
Break even
3,000
10,000
24,000
34,000
36,000
2,000
BEP CHART:
GLIM
Page 4
Variable Cost line: Next we need to look at our variable costs, which do vary with changes
in output. Therefore the line on the diagram is upward-sloping. At zero production we will not
incur any variable costs but as we expand production for each successive unit made we incur
additional cost of say 3$.
Total Cost line: When we add the fixed costs to the variable costs we get total costs line.
With fixed costs needing to be paid for regardless of sales, we can predict that in most
companies low levels of sales will not result in profits.
However, as sales increase so the fixed costs are being spread over a larger output and will
reduce per unit sold. To put this in more technical language the average fixed cost will start to
fall. So, if for example output is 100 units, fixed costs are $100 per unit produced, then if
output rises to 2000 units the average fixed cost will be $5 per unit produced.
The output required to break even is 2000 units (as marked break-even on the diagram
above), at which level the total sales revenue and costs equate at $16000.
It is always sensible to leave some room for change and so we introduce the concept of
margin of safety. This is the difference between the actual output and the break-even output.
So, if this company couldroduce 3000 items its margin of safety is 1000 units.
Mini caselet Dog Grooming & BEP: Linear
GLIM
Page 5
After working for ten years as a dog groomer, youre thinking of starting your own dog grooming
business. You found a place you could rent thats right next to a popular shopping center, and two
of your friends (who are also dog groomers) have agreed to work for you. The problem is that you
need to borrow money to start the business and your banker has asked for a breakeven analysis.
You have prepared the following cost estimates for your first year of operations:
Fixed Costs
Salaries
$105,000
$2,000
Equipment
$3,000
$2.00
$0.75
Dog treats
$1.25
Hair ribbons
$0.50
You went online and researched grooming prices in your area. Based on your review, you
have decided to charge $32 for each grooming.
Q 1:
o Whats the breakeven point in unitshow many dogs will you need to groom in
the first year to break even?
o If you and your two employees groomed dogs five days a week, seven hours a
day, fifty weeks a year, how many dogs would each of you need to groom
each day? Is this realistic given that it takes one hour to groom a dog?
Q 2:
o If you raised your grooming fee to $38, how many dogs would you need to
groom to break even?
o At this new price, how many dogs will each of you have to groom each day
(assuming working as in Q1.)?
Q 3:
o
Would you start this business? What price would you charge to groom a dog?
How could you lower the breakeven point and make the business more
profitable?
Page 6
GLIM
Page 7
The customers will bring their own cloth and Jeanie the Tailors will stitch custom fit
pants.
He understands that the demand for their product Designer Jeans is strongly influenced
by the price. To assess the price at which he can offer his stitching services, and hence
establish price to demand relationship Brian decides to conduct a Market Research . He
surveys among 1000 visitors to a shopping mall, by showing a sample stitched jeans, how
much they are willing to pay for the stitching alone.
The research shows the following estimate of sales at different prices.
STITCHING PRICE
ESTIMATED QTY
22.5-27.5
900
27.5-32.5
750
32.5-57.5
400
b)
c)
d)
Part time tailors will be employed who will be paid $ 12 for every pant they
The consumables for the pant- viz. zip / button, thread etc. would cost
Price
22.5-27.5
25
900
27.5-32.5
30
750
32.5-57.5
45
400
1000
900
800
700
y = -24.615x + 1503.8
R = 0.9971
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
0
10
20
30
40
50
Price
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
14.0
15.0
16.0
17.0
18.0
19.0
20.0
21.0
22.0
23.0
24.0
25.0
26.0
27.0
28.0
29.0
30.0
31.0
32.0
33.0
34.0
35.0
36.0
37.0
38.0
39.0
40.0
41.0
42.0
43.0
44.0
45.0
46.0
47.0
48.0
49.0
50.0
10000
5000
0
-5000 0.0
-10000
-15000
-20000
-25000
-30000
-35000
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
40000
30000
20000
10000
sale Rev
fixed cost
var cost
0
-10000
-20000
-30000
-40000
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
TC
profit
The vertical axis of this logarithmic graph is the real unit cost of adding value, adjusted
for inflation. It includes the cost that the firm incurs to add value to the starting materials,
but excludes the cost of those materials themselves, which are subject the experience
curves of their suppliers.
Note that the experience curve differs from the learning curve. The learning curve
describes the observed reduction in the number of required direct labor hours as
workers learn their jobs. The experience curve by contrast applies not only to labor
intensive situations, but also to process oriented ones.
The experience curve, like the half-life, is also an empirical observation. It states that for
each doubling of cumulative experience (total units produced from the very beginning,
not just this year), real unit cost drops by a constant percent, for example 20%. If your
first million units cost $10 each, then your next million units should cost $8 each, the
next two million units, $6.40, the next four million units, $5.12, etc. Because cost is
driven by cumulative units produced (1+1+2+4 million in our example), the rate of
decline of cost drops over time unless unit volume grows at a sufficiently high
exponential rate.
Research has shown that as the cumulative number of units of a product rises
(cumulative means the total number of units produced since the business was formed,)
the cost of producing a unit drops at a predictable rate. For example, as shown in Figure
1, every time production doubles (from 1X to 2X and from 2X to 4X), the cost of making
a unit drops by 40 percent (C1 to C2 and from C2 to C4).
To provide a numeric example, with a 40 percent experience curve the cost per unit
declines from $20.00 per unit at 10,000 units of cumulative production to $12.00 ($20 x
40% = $8, $20 - $8 = $12) at a cumulative production of 20,000 units (2 x 10,000 units.)
As can be observed, the experience curve concept is more applicable to some products
than to others, and the rate of reduction varies greatly depending on the product and the
business.
The experience curve concept is not the same as Economies of Size. Economies of
size involve spreading a fixed amount of cost (e.g. facility cost, administration cost, etc.)
over an increasing number of units of production. Conversely, the experience curve
involves improving skills expertise, and finding new ways of doing things. Also, the
experience curve analysis is based on the number of units produced since the business
was started. Economies of size is based on the number of units produced during a
production period such as a calendar year.
The experience curve relationship holds over a wide range industries. In fact, its
absence would be considered by some to be a sign of possible mismanagement. Cases
in which the experience curve is not observed sometimes involve the withholding of
capital investment, for example, to increase short-term ROI. The experience curve can
be explained by a combination of learning (the learning curve), specialization, scale, and
investment.
Implications for Strategy
The experience curve has important strategic implications. If a firm is able to gain market
share over its competitors, it can develop a cost advantage. Penetration pricing
strategies and a significant investment in advertising, sales personnel, production
capacity, etc. can be justified to increase market share and gain a competitive
advantage.
When evaluating strategies based on the experience curve, a firm must consider the
reaction of competitors who also understand the concept. Some potential pitfalls include:
The fallacy of composition holds: if all other firms equally pursue the strategy,
then none will increase market share and will suffer losses from over-capacity
and low prices. The more competitors that pursue the strategy, the higher the
cost of gaining a given market share and the lower the return on investment.
Competing firms may be able to discover the leading firm's proprietary methods
and replicate the cost reductions without having made the large investment to
gain experience.
New technologies may create a new experience curve. Entrants building new
plants may be able to take advantage of the latest technologies that offer a cost
advantage over the older plants of the leading firm.
Aircraft Assembly
80% Learning
Curve
40
20
118
10
81
109
15
75
102
20
68
118/140 = .8429
102/118 = .8644
81/95 = .8526
68/81 = .8395
Arithmetic Analysis
The simplest approach to learning-curve
problems
If we wish to find the labor-hours required to
produce nth unit, and n just happens to be a
number that is one of the doubled values,
then this approach works.
For example if 20th unit takes 68 hours , 40th
unit will take .85 x 68 hours.
Logarithmic Analysis
The following relationship allows us to compute Tn, the
labor-hours required to produce the nth unit:
Tn = T1(nb) and b = log r/log 2
where:
Logarithmic Analysis
Compute, using logarithmic analysis, the labor-hours
required for the 50th turbine (assuming an 85% learning rate
and 140 labor-hours required for the 1st unit).
b = log (.85)/log (2) = - 0.234465253
T50 = 140(50-0.234465253)
= .399623 or .400*140
= 56
50.000
CAT
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0.000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Batch Number
10
50.000
CAT
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0.000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
400
500
600
Batch Number
50.000
CAT
40.000
30.000
20.000
10.000
0.000
0
100
200
300
Batch Number
11
128
1,342.18
CAT
50.00
40.00
32.00
25.60
10.49
12
Batches
1
2
4
8
128
No Learning
Total Time
50.00
100.00
200.00
400.00
6,400.00
CAT
50.00
50.00
50.00
50.00
50.00
13
Units
5
10
20
40
640
Average Cost/unit
80% Learning No Learning
10.00
10.00
16.00
20.00
25.60
40.00
40.96
80.00
268.44
1,280.00
128
1,342.18
10.49
14
Batches
No Learning
Total Time
1
2
4
8
128
50.00
100.00
200.00
400.00
6,400.00
Average
time
50.00
50.00
50.00
50.00
50.00
industry averages:
Aerospace
85%
Shipbuilding
80 85%
Raw materials
93 96%
Purchased parts
85 88%
15
2. Filling up of a form is supposed to have a learning rate of 82%. Time for the first 4 units
are 30.5, 28.4, 27.2 and 27.0 Does the assumption look realistic?
3. The company wants to identify which of the following trainees will reach the set target
of reaching 6 hours or less by the time they manufacture the 6th piece.
Arun took 10 hours and 9 hours for the first and second piece.
Baskar took 10 hours and 8 hours for the first and second piece.
Charles took 12 hours and 9 hours for the first and second piece.
Which trainee / trainees will make the standard? Explain your reasoning.
4. URA has received a pilot order for setting 20 ATM Machines Based on their experience
of setting up the first two ATMs they will be quoting for additional 18 such ATMs. The
contract envisages that they will be paid separately for Labour and material costs at the
rate of cost + 10%. They are negotiating a learning rate with the material supplier as well
The first ATM took 40 hours to complete and cost $ 300 in materials and equipment
usage. The second took 32 hours and $ 210 in material. Labour cost is charged at $ 18
per hour.
a) Estimate the total manhours required for total of 20 ATMs.
b) What will be the average total cost for the 20 ATMs in the contract.
c) Work out the financial advantage to the customer by not estimating based on 1st
ATM alone and basing cost based on experience curve principle.
5. A customer has offered you the contract for cutting and packing vegetables for salad and
supply to STAS. The raw material will be supplied by the customer. As per the customer
each packet of cut vegetable should be ready in an average time of 1.5 minutes and
they are willing to reimburse your cost at the rate of $0.50 per minute for the labour.
The contract is for 1000 sets. Your first test took 4 minutes and the second 3.6 minutes.
Would you take the contract?
Mini Caselets
6. What should Bus Chair do?
Bus Chair has developed a new chair. On their first prototype chair they had incurred a
cost of: 500 $. The GM proposed a selling price of $ 700 to the Furniture Mega Mart.
The marketing department shows the chair to the Furniture Mega Mart and their
observation is that the price has to be halved if they have to make any impact on the
market. If halved they can sell at least 300 chairs in next 6 months and if the price is
$150 they can promise a sale of minimum 1000 pieces. Bus chair then decides to make a
few more chairs and record the costs which reads as follows:
2nd Chair : 415 $ 3rd Chair : 360 $
Their last year sales were 300,000 kits, 90% being sold to restaurants.
The company markets the kit at a differential pricing to the two markets i.e. at
$ 36 for the restaurants at $ 43 for the offices.
Obviously the office kit is packaged nicer and delivered in smaller lots for easy
usage by individuals. The delivery to offices is aimed at ensuring delivery within
one hour of receiving the call in at least 90% cases.
The restaurants have a regular delivery schedule. They are supplied weekly and
on designated days. the van from the company visits the outlets and delivers the
goods. They stock typically 2 weeks requirement
The Marketing manager also expresses his concern about the Restaurant business
wherein he is experiencing stiff competition from a new entrant. As a result he feels
they should reduce their sales price to restaurants by at least $1 per kit. He feels
otherwise he might lose his market share to the competitively priced new entrant.
The Accounts head Ms. Maria brief:
$ 3 per kit.
$ 2.7 million
$ 1.5 million
$ 0.4 million
o Administration
$ 0.5 million
The company the overheads & not directly allotted costs given above based on the
kits sold to each market segment.
Data Analysis:
Mr Symond the CEO carries out basic cost calculations in the meeting to determine:
a) Margin for both market segments
b) the net profit for each product segment.
c) What is the assessment of the business? What should he do?