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was adopted in 1992. It has been ratified by 195 Parties, including Sri Lanka
in June 1992. COPs have been held every year since the adoption of the
Kyoto Protocol in 1997.
In 2011, seeing the failure of the Kyoto Protocol -whose aim was to
implement the UNFCCC, the Parties declared their will to establish a new
climate agreement in 2015, with entry into force planned for 2020. France
was officially designated as the host of the 2015 COP21, one of the the
most decisive COPs of all time! It will also be the largest conference ever
hosted by France.
This year, the 20th Conference of the Parties on Climate Change (COP20)
was held from the 1st to the 12th of December in Lima, Peru. After intense
negotiations, the parties involved have started to identify the points of
consensus and drafted an agreement on the reduction of greenhouse
gases. The COP20 has allowed stakeholders to define the national
contributions that each country must present in beginning 2015, in order to
set the groundwork for the conference in Paris next year where we hope to
form the Paris Alliance which will sign the Paris Agreement in December
2015.
COPs provide a forum for all stakeholders to sit face to face with
governmental bodies, the private sector and civil society to discuss issues
related to climate change. High-emission countries tend to shy away from
legally binding actions for mitigation through the reduction of greenhouse
gases (GHG), while low-carbon-emission countries (like Sri Lanka) feel less
responsible for the current state of affairs and wish to prioritise their own
economic development over climate change mitigation.
the future. For example, if we delve back into our ancient history: take the
last Ice Age which took place 20 000 years ago; the average difference of
temperatures as compared to nowadays- was just of 8C. Even with such a
small difference in temperatures, the sea level was an incredible 120
meters lower than it is today! This definitely makes you think, What will
happen if global warming continues at this speed? If we dont change
something fast, then the weather will be more erratic, rainfall will be
unpredictable, ice caps and glaciers will melt, sea levels will rise quickly
(even more at high tide), there will be more natural disasters, and islands,
such as the Maldives will disappear, swallowed up by the ocean.
Is there scientific consensus about global warming? Do all experts and
scientists believe in it?
Climate conditions have changed often and in an erratic manner over the
last 400 000 years but the difference is that now we are absolutely certain
that it is human production of greenhouse gases which is responsible for
global warming. As expertise in the field of modelling is getting better, we
can quantify the Earths capacity to absorb greenhouse gases (through
forests and oceans scattered around the globe). Nevertheless, a large part
of these harmful gases still remains in the atmosphere causing the
temperatures to rise inevitably.
Several reports have been released in the last few years by the
International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). They have allowed us to
understand the link between human activity and rising temperatures. 1
person out of every 10 people on Earth is directly threatened by rising
water levels!
Following the present trend, we are heading towards an increase of overall
temperatures by between +3.2C and +5.4C by 2100. Let me remind you
that over the last 130 years, the temperature has only increased by 0.85C,
so, more than 3C by 2100 is very scary! At this rate, average sea levels
could rise by up to 1 metre within the next 80 years, with huge effects on
Although the world is now fully aware of whom the biggest producers of
GHG are, the debate still persists around finding out who is responsible for
the stock of GHG in the atmosphere: the current top GHG emitters or the
past GHG producers (responsible for the accumulated stock of GHG). As of
today, it is considered that China is responsible of 27% of global emissions,
the United States of America for 14%, the European Union for 10% and
India is responsible for 6%.
Other countries tend to think that they are not responsible for climate
change, but one must anlook at emissions per capita to better grasp the
issue: an average European citizen produces roughly 6.8 tonnes of CO2 per
year, less than a Chinese citizen who produces approximately 7.2
tonnes/year, which is far less than someone from the United States, who
generates around 16.4 tonnes per year. Poorer countries are generally low
emitters; India for example only produces 1.9 tonnes a year.
Indeed, some are perhaps more to blame than others, but in fact no one in
the world, no person and no country has the right to pollute. Thinking in
terms of what you can get away with has to be wiped out of our minds.
We cannot avoid climate change if we all feel entitled to produce a certain
amount of GHG! This is exactly why the Kyoto Protocol failed! Today, the
situation is dire and it most definitely will get worse if we dont do anything
about it.
What are the main sources of GHG? Where does Sri Lanka stand on these
issues?
On a global scale, the main sources of GHG are: power generation from
natural resources such as coal or fuel; then, the industrial sector; followed
by transport (each vehicle produces CO2 and other toxic gases) and finally
one which we often forget is agriculture, especially in countries where
extensive farming is practiced. To this, we must add the ever-increasing
deforestation. While emissions are increasing, the worlds forest reserves
are depleting and the absorption of CO2 is therefore decreasing day by day.