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Methods:
INDIAN INSTITUTE
OF FOREIGN
TRADE,Project
DELHI Report
(Under the guidance of Prof. Sanjay Rastogi)
Submitted By:
Ashish Jain 7C
Submitted By:
Ashish Jain 7C
Prepared by:
Section A - Group 1
Amit Yadav
5A
Ashish Khola
12A
Khushit Mehta
21A
Rohit Nadgouda
37A
Sameeksha Gupta
42A
Contents
Introduction
Literature review
Global Energy Drink Market
Indian Energy Drink MarketStructure
Health Aspects of Energy Drink
Problem Statement and Research Objectives
Business Research Design
Research Design
Sampling design
Questionnaire Design
Data Analysis
Discriminant Analysis
Factor Analysis
Multi Dimensional Scaling
Interpretation and Recommendations
Bibliography
Annexure - Questionnaire
Introduction
The term energy drinks refers to beverages that contain caffeine in
combination with other ingredients such as taurine, guarana, and B vitamins, and
that claims to provide its consumers with extra energy
Long and erratic working hours and the increasing occurrence of social
gatherings are driving Indian consumers towards the consumption of energy
drinks which are primarily classified as non-alcoholic, caffeinated beverages and
sports drinks. The popularity of energy drinks in India is not merely due to its
functional aspect as perceived in other countries. Over the past few years, the
sales of energy drinks have been driven by changing consumer lifestyle and
increasing demand for alcohol mixers. Their association with high octane sports
such as the Indian Grand Prix and with eating out has further boosted sales and
increased consumer awareness.
Coca Cola globally operates in more than 200 countries with around more than
3500 products.
Literature review
Global Energy Drink Market
The global energy drink market grew 14-15% in 2011 to ~USD 4.1 billion,
accounting for 8-9% of the global soft drinks industry. In the US, the energy
drinks segment continued its strong success reaching ~USD 700 million, growing
at a CAGR of 6-7%. Red Bull, Hansen Naturals Monster energy drink and
Rockstar remain the top 3 brands in the US. In the UK, energy drinks sales grew
to ~USD 159.1 million at a CAGR of 6-7% as energy shots continue to expand the
consumer base for energy drinks.
This growth is also witnessed in volume and is fuelled by the increasing
emphasis on packaging convenience and design to attract consumers. Although
the US and Japan are considered to be the key markets for energy drinks, the
most dynamically growing markets are India, China and Brazil.
Indian Energy Drink Market
The Indian energy drinks market is currently estimated at ~USD 154.5 million
and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 28-30%. This growth was mainly driven
by an extraordinary performance by Red Bull, which has been the most dominant
player in the caffeinated energy drink segment, and Gatorade, which is the leader
in the sports drink segment. In order to offset the increasing raw material price,
fluctuation in foreign exchange rates and rise in electricity costs, the current unit
prices have increased for energy drinks.
Energy drinks account for 14-15% of the non-alcoholic beverage segment
and compete with other non-alcoholic beverages such as soda and brewed coffee,
both of which contain caffeine for energy boost, even if the caffeine content is
relatively lower than in energy drinks. Soda is the most consumed non-alcoholic
beverage while ready-to-drink tea also offers stiff competition as it provides the
benefits of anti-oxidants in addition to a boost of caffeine. Unlike the US and the
UK markets, energy shots are currently unavailable in the Indian market and
could serve as a potential business opportunity to expand the consumer base for
the energy drinks players.
There seems to be a growing acceptance for the consumption of energy drinks in
India. Affordability and visibility are likely to encourage impulse purchases and
increase the frequency of consumption. As energy drinks are one of the most
expensive beverages available in the market, consumers consider price as a key
4
attribute for its purchase. Energy drinks which are priced at INR 75-85 are
usually available at a much higher price of INR 150-250 at a nightclub or a
premium lounge. Consumers are brand loyal and with Red Bulls first mover
advantage, it has been able to maintain its stronghold in the market. Due to
increasing safety concerns amongst consumers regarding the ingredients used in
energy drinks, a number of new entrants are offering all-natural products that
provide a long-lasting energy boost. Packaging size and flavour variety are other
criteria for brand selection. A recent survey by the Associated Chambers of
Commerce and Industry of India states 71 per cent of adolescents in urban
centres of India consume energy drinks, often leading to seizures, diabetic
hazards, cardiac abnormalities and behavioural disorders.
Market Structure
The Indian landscape for energy drinks is fast getting crowded. Red Bull is the
market leader in the segment with 62 percent market share. Energy brands
trying to jostle for space are PepsiCos Sobe, Power Horse and Goldwin
Healthcares Cloud 9. Cunningly entwining energy drinks subconsciously with
sex are JMJ Groups XXX, as well as the recently-launched KS E, from the stables
of Raymonds Kamasutra brand. However, the real monster in the cupboard is,
well, Monster, the US energy drink brand that entered into Indian market with
serious intent.
Red Bull has a presence in 300 cities across India and the companys more than
70 percent of retail sales are in restaurants, pubs and night clubs.
Other key brands present in Indian market are Rhino, Bullet, Amway XL and
Gatorade among others.
Caution is warranted even for healthy adults who choose to consume energy
beverages. Consumption of a single energy beverage will notlead to excessive
caffeine intake; however consumption of two or more beverages in a single day
can. Other stimulants such as Ginseng are often added to energy beverages and
may enhance the effects of caffeine consumption in amounts greater than 400 mg
include nervousness, irritability, sleeplessness, increased urination, abnormal
heart rhythms, and stomach upset. Energy drinks do not provide electrolytes,
and have a higher likelihood of an energy crash-and-burn effect. Caffeine in
energy drink can excrete water from the body to dilute high concentrations of
sugar entering the blood stream, leading to dehydration. If the body is
dehydrated by 1%, performance is decreased by up to 10%.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
North
East
West
South
Central
9
We shall try to aim for a representative mix so that all demographic factors
and variables are accounted for.
Sample Size:
Taking a confidence level of 95% (Z score = 1.96)
Margin of error = 5%
20% of the people in Delhi consume soft drinks. Thus p=0.2 & q=0.8
By using the formula Sample size (n) = p*q*Z*Z/e*e
N = 245
Thus our sample size would be 250 (for ease of calculation)
This was the proposed sample size. However, we could get only 150
responses for our research survey and have hence used only 150 responses as
a base for all research and calculations.
Questionnaire Design
The key focus areas of questionnaire design are1. Demographics information-age, location and income
2. Awareness of the consumer about the existing energy drinks in the market
3. Frequency of Consumption
4. Place of Purchase
5. Place of Consumption
6. Whether consumption is standalone or in a mix
7. Preference order of attributes such as Price, Brand, Flavour, Contents,
Availability, Advertisement
8. Perception about the product such as feel good factor, health risk etc
9. Impact of celebrity endorsements on energy drink market
10
Data Analysis
It is a case of Multivariate analysis because research objectives are
multidimensional and more than three variables (price, brand, content etc.) are
analyzed at any given point.
We have used Discriminant analysis to differentiate users of energy drink from
non-users. Further we used Factor Analysis to identify key factors that can
represent all the variables required for the study. Further we did a
multidimensional scaling using paired brand comparison to create a perception
map and identify the probable spaces where Coca-Cola can position its product.
Discriminant Analysis
Sub Problem 1: To create a profile of energy drink user
The typical respondent is from West Delhi, age is between 16-25, income of
household is more than Rs. 5 Lakh per annum.
We used Discriminant Analysis for differentiating users from non-users. For
doing this, we identified four parameters Location, Age, Income and Frequency
to assess the key variables that play a major role in differentiating users from
non-users.
Output Analysis
Grouping Variables: Both the variables are categorical variables
1) Users
2) Non-users
Grouping variables coding:
1: Users
2: Non-users
Independent variables: We took four variables and collected interval scale data
for them. The four variables are:
a)
b)
c)
d)
Location
Age
Income
Frequency
11
DISCRIMINANT
/GROUPS=Groups(1 2)
/VARIABLES=Location Age Income Frequency
/ANALYSIS ALL
/SAVE=CLASS SCORES PROBS
/PRIORS EQUAL
/STATISTICS=MEAN STDDEV UNIVF BOXM RAW CORR TCOV TABLE
/CLASSIFY=NONMISSING POOLED.
Discriminant
Analysis Case Processing Summary
Unweighted Cases
Percent
Valid
150
100.0
.0
.0
.0
Total
.0
150
100.0
Total
12
Group Statistics
Valid N (listwise)
Groups
Mean
Std.
Deviation
Location
3.10
1.262
94
94.000
Age
2.56
1.349
94
94.000
Income
3.84
1.655
94
94.000
Frequency 3.91
1.695
94
94.000
Location
3.02
1.228
56
56.000
Age
4.54
2.115
56
56.000
Income
3.12
1.717
56
56.000
.000
56
56.000
3.07
1.246
150
150.000
Age
3.30
1.924
150
150.000
Income
3.57
1.708
150
150.000
Frequency 2.83
1.948
150
150.000
Frequency 1.00
Total Location
Unweighted Weighted
df1
df2
Sig.
Location
.999
.136
148
.712
Age
.753
48.658
148
.000
Income
.959
6.379
148
.013
165.083 1
148
.000
Frequency .473
Location Age
Income
Frequency
1.000
.027
-.028
.055
Age
.027
1.000
-.049
-.122
Income
-.028
-.049
1.000
.053
-.122
.053
1.000
Correlation Location
Frequency .055
Covariance Matricesa
Groups
Location Age
Income
Frequency
Total Location
1.553
.020
-.045
.146
Age
.020
3.701
-.468
-1.626
Income
-.045
-.468
2.917
.610
-1.626
.610
3.795
Frequency .146
Rank
Log
Determinant
3.072
.a
3.079
Pooled
groups
within-
14
1.334a
100.0
of Cumulative
%
100.0
Canonical
Correlation
.756
Wilks' Lambda
Test
of
Functi Wilks'
on(s) Lambda
Chi-square df
Sig.
123.754
.000
.428
Test of Significance:
Null Hypotheses: For two groups, means of the two groups on the discriminant
function the centroid, are equal
We use Wilks Lambda for testing the null hypotheses.
In this case, the value comes out to be 0.428 that is below 0.5 thus, null
hypotheses cannot be accepted. Thus we reject the null hypothesis.
15
Standardized
Canonical
Discriminant
Function Coefficients
Function
Structure Matrix
1
Location
-.008
Age
-.386
Income
.115
Frequency .862
Function
1
Frequency .914
Age
-.496
Income
.180
Location
.026
16
-.006
Age
-.230
Income
.068
Frequency .641
(Constant) -1.278
Unstandardized
coefficients
Classification Statistics
Classification Processing Summary
Processed
150
150
17
.500
94
94.000
.500
56
56.000
150
150.000
Total 1.000
Classification Resultsa
Predicted
Membership
Group
s
1
Total
79
15
94
56
56
84.0
16.0
100.0
.0
100.0
100.0
Original Count 1
Group
Classification Statistics
Hit Ratio = (79+56)*100/150
= 90%
Final Verdict:Frequency and Age are two more important variables that
differentiate Users from Non-Users than the other two variables.
18
Factor Analysis
Sub Problem 2: To identify buying behaviour of prospective energy drink
consumers
Research Question 2: At the time of buying, what are the attributes which prove
to be most important for the customers?
In all, there are 6 variables Price, Brand, Flavour, Contents, Availability and
Advertisements. So a factor analysis was done to put the variables, representing
similar characteristics, under one category. Factor analysis is a statistical method
used to describe variability among observed variables in terms of a potentially
lower number of unobserved variables called factors.
We have used iterated principal axis factor as our method of extraction and a
varimax rotation.The determination of the number of factors to extract will be
guided by theory, but also informed by running the analysis extracting different
numbers of factors and seeing which number of factors yields the most
interpretable results.
a. Kaiser Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy
It means if the value of the partial coefficients between two variables is
greater than 0.5, (0.628 in our case) - it means that the two variables are
interdependent.
b. Bartletts Test of Sphericity
Following are the two hypothesis
Ho: It is an identity matrix (There is no correlation among pair of
variables)
H1: it is not an identity matrix (There is no correlation among pair of
variables)
Chi-Square test is used to test the correlation of one sub-category variable
to other sub-category variable
During the factors extraction, we extract only those factors whose Eigenvalue is
more than one. This value of above 1 suggests that there is at least one variable
that is loaded in that particular factor (or component). The total Eigenvalue
19
comes by squaring and adding all factor loadings. Also the cut off (minimum
acceptance level) for % variance explained is 60%.
Then we look at Rotated Component Matrix. The idea of rotation is to reduce
the number factors on which the variables under investigation have high
loadings. All the variables have got some rotated component matrix value. To
find that which variables are loaded in which component, we load only those
variables into a factor, whose Rotated Component Matrix Value is greater than
0.4. If one variable is loaded into two factors, then it is extracted with that factor
for which it has the higher loading factor value.
Test
Measure
of
Sampling
of Approx. Chi-Square
.628
107.812
df
15.000
Sig.
.000
The table shows that the KMO measure of sampling adequacy is greater than
0.5 which means that the two variables are interdependent
In the Bartletts test of sphericity, the observed significance level is .0000. It is
small enough to reject the hypothesis which concludes that the strength of the
relationship among variables is strong. It means that it is a good idea to apply a
factor analysis for the data
Total Variance
After performing the factor analysis, we come out with the following table. It
indicates a total of 3 factors with Eigenvalues greater than 1 and these
Eigenvalues are obtained by squaring and adding the factor loadings. The
cumulative variance explained by all the factors is 69.152% (which is greater
than the cut off value of 60%).
20
Initial Eigenvalues
Com
pon
%
of Cumulati
ent Total Variance ve %
Total
%
of Cumulati
Variance ve %
Total
2.049 34.155
34.155
2.049
34.155
34.155
1.940 32.336
32.336
1.063 17.711
51.865
1.063
17.711
51.865
1.156 19.271
51.607
1.037 17.287
69.152
1.037
17.287
69.152
1.053 17.546
69.152
.740
12.341
81.493
.705
11.742
93.235
.406
6.765
100.000
%
of Cumulati
Variance ve %
Price
-.425
-.567
-.087
Brand
-.081
.904
-.054
Flavour
.797
-.016
.150
Content
.810
.097
-.252
Availability
.678
.087
-.032
.004
.977
Advertisemen
-.041
t
21
Factor 1:
Flavour, Contents, Availability
Factor 2:
Price, Brand
Factor 3:
Advertisement
Component Score Coefficient Matrix
(Factor weight matrix)
Component
1
Price
-.157
-.453
-.109
Brand
-.169
.824
-.048
Flavour
.439
-.121
.183
Content
.410
-.024
-.199
Availability
.352
-.013
.004
.017
.932
Advertiseme
.027
nt
22
Price
-.157
-.453
-.109
Brand
-.169
.824
-.048
Flavour
.439
-.121
.183
Content
.410
-.024
-.199
Availability
.352
-.013
.004
.017
.932
Advertiseme
.027
nt
24
.26250a
Stress-II
.71131a
S-Stress
.18051b
Dispersion Accounted
.93110
For (D.A.F.)
Tucker's Coefficient of
.96493
Congruence
PROXSCAL
minimizes
Normalized Raw Stress.
a. Optimal scaling factor = 1.074.
b. Optimal scaling factor = .985.
As can be seen, Dimension 1 can be classified as a dimension depicting Price of
the product while Dimension 2 can be classified as a dimension depicting Getting
High or Kick Quotient.
So, Monster, Rockstar and Cloud9 are majorly the drinks that are used in parties
to get high and sheer enjoyment whereas drinks such as Tzinga, Gatorade etc. are
majorly used because of their low price and for utility purposes. Tzinga is a drink
that is used majorly by college students (both graduates and post graduates) to
avoid sleep and Gatorade is used by sportspersons to hydrate and energize
themselves before and during the sport event.
Based on this perception map, Coca Cola should position their energy drink Burn
above Bullet and below AmwayXL as currently no energy drink manufacturer
operate in that region and thus, it would be able to cater both the markets i.e.
people who go to party to get high as well as people looking for a utility value
from it.
25
Recommendations
1. Based on this perception map, Coca Cola should position their energy drink
above Bullet and below Amway XL as currently no energy drink manufacturer
operate in that region and thus, can maximize their profitability.
2. Price & Brand Image are the key aspects of preference of one energy drink over
the other. So, Coca-Cola must emphasize on these two variables.
Based on our discussion with some of the industry experts, following parameters
also need to be factor in for all the energy drink manufacturers:
3. Awareness among the people need to be increased to promote energy drink by
introducing proper marketing mix strategy
4. An integrated marketing effort by the company would minimize the illusion
among potential buyers about the adverse impact of energy drink on health.
26
Bibliography
1. Food, Safety & Standards Authority of India
2. Business Today
3. Times of India
4. Technopak Consulting
5. Campaign India
6. Food Navigator Asia
7. Down to Earth
8. DNA India
9. Economic Times
10. Hindu Business Line
11. Live Mint
12. Caffeine Informer
13. Coca-Cola India
14. Red Bull India
15. Tzinga
16. MedicineNet
17. NutriConnect
18. The Hindu
19. Austrian Times
20. Google
27
Annexure - Questionnaire
* Required
1. Are you aware of energy drinks? *
Yes
No
2. Do you currently drink energy drinks? (If no, please go to Question
21)
Yes
No
3. If you use energy drinks, what brands are you aware of ? *
Red Bull
Cloud 9
Power Horse
Rhino
Current
Bullet
Amway XL
Pepsi SoBe
Gatorade
Tzinga
XXX
Other:
4. How often do you use energy drinks?
Everyday
A couple of times a week
Once a week
A couple of times a month
On occasions like parties, social gatherings,etc.
28
Other:
5. Do you drink alcohol?. If yes what do you consume it with?
Soft Drinks
Fruit Juice
Energy Drinks
I dont' drink alcohol
Other:
6. Which of the following places do you, or would you like to consume
energy drinks?
Home
Office
College Campus
Pub
Night club
Gym
Joggers Park
Sports Club
Cafe
Restaurant
Other:
Price
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
Brand
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
Flavour
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
Contents
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
11. Rank according to preference- what do you consider the most
important while purchasing an energy drink? ("1-least important"
and "5-most important")
1
Availability
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
12. Rank according to preference- what do you consider the most
important while purchasing an energy drink? ("1-least important"
and "5-most important")
1
Advertisement
Select a value from a range of 1 to 7.
30
14. Do you feel there is any health risk associated with Red Bull?
Yes
No
Can't Say
15. Why don't you drink energy drinks? (For those who answered
"no" to Question 4)
I don't like them
I find them too expensive
I prefer other beverages
Other:
16. If you were made aware of energy drinks, would you buy them?
Yes
No
Can't say
17. If given a choice, you would buy energy drinks from...
Established brands
Willing to try new brands
No such preference
Other:
18. Would you buy an energy drink if it was endorsed by a celebrity
or a sports star?
Yes
No
I don't care, I would buy anyway
31
19. City/Town:
32
23. How will you compare energy drink 1 with energy drink 2 to 11 and so
on keeping in the mind all the parameters you consider essential while
purchasing an energy drink (such as Availability, Price, Glamour Quotient, Brand,
Contents etc) on a scale of 0-7 where 0 denotes no difference at all, 1 denotes
minimal difference and 7 denotes maximum difference.
(we are attaching the combined dissimilarity matrix that we received from 150
users)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1
0
1
1
Red
Bull
Clou Tzin
d 9 ga
Rhi
no
Bull
et
Amw
ay XL
380
0
834
967
829
245
485
609
1000
713
612
0
650
300
0
861
209
258
0
Pep
si
Sob
e
604
104
4
923
619
430
438
Gatora
de
924
814
284 729
195 181
813
480
615
230
355
470
970
1011
698
505
546
938
926
415
392
0
896
581
484
102
3
224
831
0
611
927
967
0
986
262
1029
394
0
33