Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 59

Datos Generales

Rentabilidad de la Inversin
Igv de la Inversin
Vida til del Proyecto

Inversin Con Proyecto


CONSTRUCCIN DE PRESA DE EMBALSE EN EL SECTOR EL PRADO

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
CAPACITACIN A OPERADORES PARA BUEN USO Y MANTENIMIENTO

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
CONSTRUCCIN DE CANALES DE DERIVACIN

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
CONSTRUCCIN DE VARIANTE DE CARRETERA (INCLUYE REDUCCIN DE RIESGO)

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
IMPLEMENTACIN DE MEDIDAS DE MITIGACIN DE IMPACTO AMBIENTAL

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
DESARROLLO DE TALLERES DE SENSIBILIZACIN

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles

INSTALACIN DE JUNTAS DE USUARIOS, COMIT DE REGANTES Y ADMINISTRACIN DE LA PRESA

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
TALLERES PRCTICOS PARA MEJORAR PRACTICAS DE PRODUCCIN AGRCOLA

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles
SUB TOTAL OBRAS CIVILES
Expropiaciones
Supervisin y Liquidacin
Expediente tcnico

TOTAL

Plazo de Depreciacin
Deprecin
CONSTRUCCIN DE PRESA DE EMBALSE EN EL SECTOR EL PRADO
CONSTRUCCIN DE CANALES DE DERIVACIN
CONSTRUCCIN DE VARIANTE DE CARRETERA (INCLUYE REDUCCIN DE RIESGO)

Total de Depreciacin

4% de los costos Directos


18% de (Costos Directos+Utilidad+Gastos generales)
10.00 Aos
Factor de
Correccin
4,892,222.49
0.82

4,427,801.31
318,254.49
146,166.69
7,500.00

0.85
0.41
0.91
0.66

0.82

1,650.00

0.85
0.41

5,850.00

0.91
0.66

3,631,679.26
0.85
0.41

318,254.49
146,166.69
528,291.81

0.91
0.66

0.82

447,196.41
52,474.90
28,620.50

0.85
0.41
0.91
0.66

21,210.00
0.82

4,454.10
14,847.00
1,908.90

0.85
0.41
0.91
0.66

5,000.00
0.85
0.41

3,900.00

2,692,169.37
289,611.59
96,470.02
427,676.31
380,116.95
21,514.71
26,044.66
11,610.35
3,785.99
6,087.27
1,737.10
4,484.00

0.82

1,100.00

3,763,631.11
130,484.34
133,011.69
6,726.00
1,402.50
5,323.50
3,078,250.97

0.82

3,167,258.08

MONTO A
PRECIOS
SOCIALES EN S/.
4,027,127.14

0.91
0.66

935.00
3,549.00
-

5,000.00
0.82

1,100.00

0.85
0.41

3,900.00

0.91
0.66

15,000.00

4,484.00
935.00
3,549.00
13,452.00

0.82

3,300.00

0.85
0.41

11,700.00

0.91
0.66

9,105,903.56

2,805.00
10,647.00
7,573,810.78

0.85
0.91
0.91

150,000.00
280,000.00
450,000.00

9,985,903.56

127,500.00
254,800.00
409,500.00

8,365,610.78

20 Aos
Ao 0

Ao 1
Ao 2
Ao 3
Ao 4
Ao 5
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
375.00
375.00
375.00
375.00
375.00
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09

Ao 6
Ao 7
Ao 8
Ao 9
Ao 10
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
244,611.12
375.00
375.00
375.00
375.00
375.00
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
181,583.96
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09
426,570.09

Ao 0
Total Ingresos
Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de Arvejas
Ingreso por Venta de Taya
Beneficios Netos por Venta de Agua
Ahorro por Costos de Produccin en Situacin sin Proyectos
Ahorro por Costos de Oper. Y Mantenimiento en Situacin Sin
proyecto

Total Egresos
Costo de Produccin
Costo Prod. De Arvejas
Costo Prod. De Taya
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin con Proyecto
Costo de Oportunidad por Ingresos en Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin
Estado de GG y PP ECONMICO

Ao 1
5,015,483.73
573,338.48
4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00 4,823,911.30
0.00

1,796,546.91
381,778.23
1,414,768.68
441,600.00
5,894,017.88
9,985,903.56
CONSTRUCCIN
0

Ventas Totales
Ahorros Totales
Costo de Produccin
Costos de Operacin mantenimiento
Costo de Oportunidad
Margen Bruto
Depreciacin
Utilidad Operativa
Gastos Financieros (no va x Ut Economica)
Util en venta de activos ( no por devolver activo a estado)
Utilidad antes de Impuestos
Impuestos
Utilidad Neta

Flujo de Caja Econmico

87,500.00

1
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
410448.0464
957,712

CONSTRUCCIN
0

Flujo Operativo
Ingresos
Costos O&M
Pago de Impto Renta
Flujo Operativo

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

Flujo de Inversiones
Contruccin de Presa y Cambio modelo productivo
Recupero de inversiones
Flujo de Inversiones
FCE

Koa
VANE
TIRE

-9,985,904
-9,985,904
-9,985,904

10%
-1,480,089
6.43%

1,384,282

Ao 2

Ao 3

Ao 4

Ao 5

Ao 6

Ao 7

Ao 8

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73


573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91


381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

2
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

3
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

4
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

5
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

6
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

7
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

8
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

Ao 9

Ao 10

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
87,500.00

87,500.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
441,600.00 441,600.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

9
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

10
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
1,368,160
410448.046 410448.046
957,712
957,712

10

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

Ao 0
Total Ingresos
Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de Arvejas
Ingreso por Venta de Taya
Beneficios Netos por Venta de Agua
Ahorro por Costos de Produccin en Situacin sin Proyectos
Ahorro por Costos de Oper. Y Mantenimiento en Situacin Sin
proyecto

Total Egresos
Costo de Produccin
Costo Prod. De Arvejas
Costo Prod. De Taya
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin con Proyecto
Costo de Oportunidad por Ingresos en Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin
Estado de GG y PP ECONMICO

Ao 1
5,015,483.73
573,338.48
4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00 4,823,911.30
0.00

1,796,546.91
381,778.23
1,414,768.68
296,856.00
5,894,017.88
8,365,610.78
CONSTRUCCIN
0

Ventas Totales
Ahorros Totales
Costo de Produccin
Costos de Operacin mantenimiento
Costo de Oportunidad
Margen Bruto
Depreciacin
Utilidad Operativa
Gastos Financieros (no va x Ut Economica)
Util en venta de activos ( no por devolver activo a estado)
Utilidad antes de Impuestos
Impuestos
Utilidad Neta

Flujo de Caja Econmico

35,875.00

1
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

1,461,279
1,461,279

CONSTRUCCIN
0

Flujo Operativo
Ingresos
Costos O&M
Pago de Impto Renta
Flujo Operativo

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

Flujo de Inversiones
Contruccin de Presa y Cambio modelo productivo
Recupero de inversiones
Flujo de Inversiones
FCE

Koa
VANE
TIRE

-8,365,611
-8,365,611
-8,365,611

10%
3,234,406
18.40%

1,887,849

Ao 2

Ao 3

Ao 4

Ao 5

Ao 6

Ao 7

Ao 8

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73


573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91


381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

2
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

3
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

4
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

5
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

6
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

7
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

8
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

Ao 9

Ao 10

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
35,875.00

35,875.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
296,856.00 296,856.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

9
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

10
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

10

9,875,270
-7,987,421

9,875,270
-7,987,421

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

Ao 0
Total Ingresos
Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de Arvejas
Ingreso por Venta de Taya
Beneficios Netos por Venta de Agua
Ahorro por Costos de Produccin en Situacin sin Proyectos
Ahorro por Costos de Oper. Y Mantenimiento en Situacin Sin
proyecto

Total Egresos
Costo de Produccin
Costo Prod. De Arvejas
Costo Prod. De Taya
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin con Proyecto
Costo de Oportunidad por Ingresos en Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin
Estado de GG y PP ECONMICO

0.00
0.00
0.00

9,985,903.56
CONSTRUCCIN
0

Ventas Totales
Ahorros Totales
Costo de Produccin
Costos de Operacin mantenimiento
Costo de Oportunidad
Margen Bruto
Depreciacin
Utilidad Operativa
Gastos Financieros (no va x Ut Economica)
Util en venta de activos ( no por devolver activo a estado)
Utilidad antes de Impuestos
Impuestos
Utilidad Neta

Flujo de Caja Econmico

CONSTRUCCIN
0

Flujo Operativo
Ingresos
Costos O&M
Pago de Impto Renta
Flujo Operativo

Flujo de Inversiones
Contruccin de Presa y Cambio modelo productivo
Recupero de inversiones
Flujo de Inversiones
FCE

-9,985,904
-9,985,904
-9,985,904

Koa
VANE
TIRE

10%
-1,480,089
6.43%

Sensibilidad
Variacin en el rendimiento de la produccin
Variacin en Costos de Mantenimiento
Variacin en Precios de Venta del Producto

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Rendimiento de la Produccin


VARIACIN
RENDIMIENTO
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Costos de Mantenimiento

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Precios

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO

-1,480,089
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

VARIACON DE
RENDIMIEMTO

-1,480,089
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO

VARIACION DE
PRECIOS
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%

-1,480,089
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%

VARIACON DE
RENDIMIEMTO

5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%

Ao 1

Ao 2

Ao 3

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
87,500.00

Ao 4
5,015,483.73
573,338.48
4,442,145.25
0.00
4,823,911.30

87,500.00

87,500.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
441,600.00 441,600.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

1,796,546.91
381,778.23
1,414,768.68
441,600.00
5,894,017.88

1
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

2
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
1,368,160
410448.0464 410448.046
957,712
957,712

2
9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

3
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
410448.0464
957,712

3
9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

Ao 5

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
87,500.00

87,500.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
441,600.00 441,600.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

4
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

5
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
1,368,160
410448.0464 410448.046
957,712
957,712

4
9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

5
9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

VAN

-1,480,089
3,287,861.56
2,834,427.97
677,169.63
401,459.54
1,480,088.72
3,637,347.06
5,794,605.40
7,951,863.75

Tire
VARIACIN
RENDIMIENTO
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%

VAN

-1,480,089
4,899,024.17
3,759,379.02
2,619,733.87
2,049,911.29
1,480,088.72
910,266.14
340,443.57
799,201.58

0.06
0.172
0.163
0.116
0.091
0.064
0.006
0.064
0.108

Tire
VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

0.06
0.033
0.003
0.035
0.050
0.064
0.078
0.092
0.118

1,384,282

VANE

TIRE
VARIACION DE
PRECIOS
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%

-1,480,089
3,287,861.56
2,834,427.97
677,169.63
401,459.54
1,480,088.72
3,637,347.06
5,794,605.40
-7951863.748

25%
494,122
1,633,767
2,773,412
3,343,235
3,913,057
4,482,880
5,052,702
6,192,347

20.0%
-584,507
555,138
1,694,783
2,264,605
2,834,428
3,404,251
3,974,073
5,113,718

25%
9,872,995
9,306,203
6,609,630

22.1%
-131,074
1,008,571
2,148,216
2,718,039
3,287,862
3,857,684
4,427,507
5,567,152

10.0%
-2,741,766
-1,602,121
-462,476
107,347
677,170
1,246,992
1,816,815
2,956,460

22.1%
9,109,619
8,555,968
5,921,915

0.064
0.172
0.163
0.116
0.091
0.064
0.006
0.064
-0.107553444

20.0%
-584,507
555,138
1,694,783
2,264,605
2,834,428
3,404,251
3,974,073
5,113,718

VARIACION DE PRECIOS
10.0%
5.0%
-2,741,766 -3,820,395
-1,602,121 -2,680,750
-462,476 -1,541,105
107,347
-971,282
677,170
-401,460
1,246,992
168,363
1,816,815
738,186
2,956,460
1,877,831

5.0%
-3,820,395
-2,680,750
-1,541,105
-971,282
-401,460
168,363
738,186
1,877,831

VARIACION DE RENDIMIENTO
0.0%
10.0%
-4,899,024 -2,741,766
-3,759,379 -1,602,121
-2,619,734
-462,476
-2,049,911
107,347
-1,480,089
677,170
-910,266
1,246,992
-340,444
1,816,815
799,202
2,956,460

20.0%
8,555,968
8,011,848
5,423,138

VARIACION DE PRECIOS
10.0%
5.0%
5,921,915
4,604,888
5,423,138
4,128,783
3,050,154
1,863,662

5,261,344
3,913,057
1,216,484
-1,480,089
-4,176,662

4,604,888
3,287,862
653,808
-1,980,245
-4,614,299

4,128,783
2,834,428
245,718
-2,342,992
-4,931,702

1,863,662
677,170
-1,695,815
-4,068,799
-6,441,783

731,101
-401,460
-2,666,581
-4,931,702
-7,196,823

Ao 6

Ao 7

Ao 8

Ao 9

Ao 10

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73


573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

87,500.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91


381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00 441,600.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

6
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

7
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

8
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

9
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

10
5,015,484
4,911,411
1,796,547
441,600
5,894,018
1,794,730
426,570
1,368,160

1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
1,368,160
410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046 410448.046
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712
957,712

10

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

9,926,895
-8,132,165
-410,448
1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

1,384,282

E PRECIOS
0.0%
-4,899,024
-3,759,379
-2,619,734
-2,049,911
-1,480,089
-910,266
-340,444
799,202

-10.0%
-7,056,283
-5,916,637
-4,776,992
-4,207,170
-3,637,347
-3,067,524
-2,497,702
-1,358,057

-20.0%
-30.0%
-35%
-9,213,541 -11,370,799 -12,449,428
-8,073,896 -10,231,154 -11,309,783
-6,934,251 -9,091,509 -10,170,138
-6,364,428 -8,521,686 -9,600,315
-5,794,605 -7,951,864 -9,030,493
-5,224,783 -7,382,041 -8,460,670
-4,654,960 -6,812,219 -7,890,848
-3,515,315 -5,672,573 -6,751,203

20.0%
-584,507
555,138
1,694,783
2,264,605
2,834,428
3,404,251
3,974,073
5,113,718

22.1%
-131,074
1,008,571
2,148,216
2,718,039
3,287,862
3,857,684
4,427,507
5,567,152

30.0%
1,572,751
2,712,396
3,852,041
4,421,864
4,991,686
5,561,509
6,131,331
7,270,977

0.0%
3,287,862
2,834,428
677,170

-10.0%
653,808
245,718
-1,695,815

-20.0%
-1,980,245
-2,342,992
-4,068,799

ENDIMIENTO
-20%
-30%
-9,213,541 -11,370,799
-8,073,896 -10,231,154
-6,934,251 -9,091,509
-6,364,428 -8,521,686
-5,794,605 -7,951,864
-5,224,783 -7,382,041
-4,654,960 -6,812,219
-3,515,315 -5,672,573

E PRECIOS
-30.0%
-4,614,299
-4,931,702
-6,441,783

-35%
-5,931,325
-6,226,057
-7,628,275

-401,460
-1,480,089
-3,637,347
-5,794,605
-7,951,864

-2,666,581 -4,931,702 -7,196,823 -8,329,384


-3,637,347 -5,794,605 -7,951,864 -9,030,493
-5,578,880 -7,520,412 -9,461,945 -10,432,711
-7,520,412 -9,246,219 -10,972,025 -11,834,929
-9,461,945 -10,972,025 -12,482,106 -13,237,147

Resumen de escenario
Valores actuales:

NEGATIVO

REGULAR

POSITIVO

Celdas cambiantes:
$C$60
-0.1
0.02
0.15
$C$61
0.1
-0.02
-0.15
$C$62
-0.1
0.02
0.15
Celdas de resultado:
$B$55
13,446,811
-2,803,415
4,515,933
13,446,811
$B$56
18.40%
1.46%
21.48%
41.08%
Notas: La columna de valores actuales representa los valores de las celdas cambiantes
en el momento en que se cre el Informe resumen de escenario. Las celdas cambiantes de
cada escenario se muestran en gris.

Ao 0
Total Ingresos
Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de Arvejas
Ingreso por Venta de Taya
Beneficios Netos por Venta de Agua
Ahorro por Costos de Produccin en Situacin sin Proyectos
Ahorro por Costos de Oper. Y Mantenimiento en Situacin Sin
proyecto

Total Egresos
Costo de Produccin
Costo Prod. De Arvejas
Costo Prod. De Taya
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin con Proyecto
Costo de Oportunidad por Ingresos en Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin
Estado de GG y PP ECONMICO

0.00
0.00
0.00

8,365,610.78
CONSTRUCCIN
0

Ventas Totales
Ahorros Totales
Costo de Produccin
Costos de Operacin mantenimiento
Costo de Oportunidad
Margen Bruto
Depreciacin
Utilidad Operativa
Gastos Financieros (no va x Ut Economica)
Util en venta de activos ( no por devolver activo a estado)
Utilidad antes de Impuestos
Impuestos
Utilidad Neta

Flujo de Caja Econmico

CONSTRUCCIN
0

Flujo Operativo
Ingresos
Costos O&M
Pago de Impto Renta
Flujo Operativo

Flujo de Inversiones
Contruccin de Presa y Cambio modelo productivo
Recupero de inversiones
Flujo de Inversiones
FCE

-8,365,611
-8,365,611
-8,365,611

Koa
VANE
TIRE

10%
3,234,406
18.40%

Sensibilidad
Variacin en el rendimiento de la produccin
Variacin en Costos de Mantenimiento
Variacin en Precios de Venta del Producto

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Rendimiento de la Produccin


VARIACIN
RENDIMIENTO
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.1%
-20.0%
-30.0%

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Costos de Mantenimiento

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

Sensibilidad unidimensional a los Precios

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO

3,234,406
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

VARIACON DE
RENDIMIEMTO

3,234,406
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO

VARIACION DE
PRECIOS
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%

3,234,406
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%

VARIACON DE
RENDIMIEMTO

5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-30.0%

Ao 1

Ao 2

Ao 3

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
35,875.00

Ao 4
5,015,483.73
573,338.48
4,442,145.25
0.00
4,823,911.30

35,875.00

35,875.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
296,856.00 296,856.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

1,796,546.91
381,778.23
1,414,768.68
296,856.00
5,894,017.88

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73
573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
35,875.00

35,875.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91
381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
296,856.00 296,856.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

2
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

2
9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

Ao 5

5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

4
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

5
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

3
9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

4
9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

5
9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

VAN

3,234,406
10,045,763.11
9,398,000.84
6,316,203.21
4,775,304.39
3,234,405.57
121,789.96
2,929,189.69
6,010,987.33

Tire
VARIACIN
RENDIMIENTO
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%

VAN

3,234,406
48,887.33
1,045,543.64
2,139,974.61
2,687,190.09
3,234,405.57
3,781,621.06
4,328,836.54
5,423,267.51

0.18
0.339
0.325
0.257
0.221
0.184
0.104
0.010
0.047

Tire
VARIACIN COSTOS DE
MANTENIMIENTO
180%
120%
60%
30.00%
0%
-30%
-60%
-120%

0.18
0.099
0.128
0.157
0.170
0.184
0.197
0.210
0.236

1,887,849

VANE

TIRE
VARIACION DE
PRECIOS
22.1%
20.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-10.0%
-20.0%
-25.0%

3,234,406
10,045,763.11
9,398,000.84
6,316,203.21
4,775,304.39
3,234,405.57
152,607.94
2,929,189.69
-6010987.329

25%
7,655,607
8,750,038
9,844,469
10,391,684
10,938,900
11,486,115
12,033,331
13,127,762

20.0%
6,114,708
7,209,139
8,303,570
8,850,785
9,398,001
9,945,216
10,492,432
11,586,863

25%
19,453,097
18,643,394
14,791,147

22.1%
6,762,470
7,856,901
8,951,332
9,498,548
10,045,763
10,592,979
11,140,194
12,234,625

10.0%
3,032,910
4,127,341
5,221,772
5,768,988
6,316,203
6,863,419
7,410,634
8,505,065

22.1%
18,362,560
17,571,630
13,808,696

0.184
0.339
0.325
0.257
0.221
0.184
0.104
0.010
-0.047480063

20.0%
6,114,708
7,209,139
8,303,570
8,850,785
9,398,001
9,945,216
10,492,432
11,586,863

VARIACION DE PRECIOS
10.0%
5.0%
3,032,910
1,492,011
4,127,341
2,586,442
5,221,772
3,680,873
5,768,988
4,228,089
6,316,203
4,775,304
6,863,419
5,322,520
7,410,634
5,869,735
8,505,065
6,964,166

5.0%
1,492,011
2,586,442
3,680,873
4,228,089
4,775,304
5,322,520
5,869,735
6,964,166

VARIACION DE RENDIMIENTO
0.0%
10.0%
-48,887
3,032,910
1,045,544
4,127,341
2,139,975
5,221,772
2,687,190
5,768,988
3,234,406
6,316,203
3,781,621
6,863,419
4,328,837
7,410,634
5,423,268
8,505,065

20.0%
17,571,630
16,794,315
13,096,158

VARIACION DE PRECIOS
10.0%
5.0%
13,808,696 11,927,230
13,096,158 11,247,079
9,706,181
8,011,192

12,865,023
10,938,900
7,086,653
3,234,406
-617,841

11,927,230
10,045,763
6,282,830
2,519,896
-1,243,037

11,247,079
9,398,001
5,699,844
2,001,687
-1,696,471

8,011,192
6,316,203
2,926,226
-463,752
-3,853,729

6,393,248
4,775,304
1,539,417
-1,696,471
-4,932,358

Ao 6

Ao 7

Ao 8

Ao 9

Ao 10

5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73 5,015,483.73


573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48 573,338.48
4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25 4,442,145.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

35,875.00

1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91 1,796,546.91


381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23 381,778.23
1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68 1,414,768.68
296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00 296,856.00
5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88

6
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

7
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

8
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

9
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

10
5,015,484
4,859,786
1,796,547
296,856
5,894,018
1,887,849
426,570
1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

1,461,279

10

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

9,875,270
-7,987,421
1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

1,887,849

E PRECIOS
0.0%
-48,887
1,045,544
2,139,975
2,687,190
3,234,406
3,781,621
4,328,837
5,423,268

-10.0%
-3,130,685
-2,036,254
-941,823
-394,608
152,608
699,823
1,247,039
2,341,470

-20.0%
-6,212,483
-5,118,052
-4,023,621
-3,476,405
-2,929,190
-2,381,974
-1,834,759
-740,328

-30.0%
-35%
-9,294,280 -10,835,179
-8,199,849 -9,740,748
-7,105,418 -8,646,317
-6,558,203 -8,099,102
-6,010,987 -7,551,886
-5,463,772 -7,004,671
-4,916,556 -6,457,455
-3,822,125 -5,363,024

20.0%
6,114,708
7,209,139
8,303,570
8,850,785
9,398,001
9,945,216
10,492,432
11,586,863

22.1%
6,762,470
7,856,901
8,951,332
9,498,548
10,045,763
10,592,979
11,140,194
12,234,625

30.0%
9,196,506
10,290,937
11,385,368
11,932,583
12,479,798
13,027,014
13,574,229
14,668,660

-20%
-6,212,483
-5,118,052
-4,023,621
-3,476,405
-2,929,190
-2,381,974
-1,834,759
-740,328

-30%
-9,294,280
-8,199,849
-7,105,418
-6,558,203
-6,010,987
-5,463,772
-4,916,556
-3,822,125

0.0%
10,045,763
9,398,001
6,316,203

-10.0%
6,282,830
5,699,844
2,926,226

-20.0%
2,519,896
2,001,687
-463,752

-30.0%
-1,243,037
-1,696,471
-3,853,729

-35%
-3,124,504
-3,545,549
-5,548,718

ENDIMIENTO

E PRECIOS

4,775,304
3,234,406
152,608
-2,929,190
-6,010,987

1,539,417 -1,696,471 -4,932,358 -6,550,302


152,608 -2,929,190 -6,010,987 -7,551,886
-2,621,010 -5,394,628 -8,168,246 -9,555,055
-5,394,628 -7,860,066 -10,325,504 -11,558,223
-8,168,246 -10,325,504 -12,482,762 -13,561,392

Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de MAIZ
Ingreso por Venta de PAPA
Ingreso por Venta de FRJOL
Ingreso por Venta de ARROZ
Ingreso por Venta de YUCA
Ingreso por Venta de MANGO
Ingreso por Venta de MARACUYA
Ingreso por Venta de ARVEJA
Ingreso por Venta de TUNA
Ingreso por Venta de CAA DE AZUCAR
Ingreso por Venta de TAYA
Costos de Produccin
Costos Prod. de MAIZ
Costos Prod. de PAPA
Costos Prod. de FRJOL
Costos Prod. de ARROZ
Costos Prod. de YUCA
Costos Prod. de MANGO
Costos Prod. de MARACUYA
Costos Prod. de ARVEJA
Costos Prod. de TUNA
Costos Prod. de CAA DE AZUCAR
Costos Prod. de TAYA
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin

5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88


3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57
371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16
342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32
115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88
182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50
307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83
174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48
103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
35875

35875

35875

35875

35875

35875

35875

5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88


3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57
371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16
342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32
115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88
182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50
307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83
174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48
103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
35875

35875

35875

por Venta de MAIZ


Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso

Ingreso por Venta de


Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de

Ingreso por Venta de MAIZ


Ingreso por Venta de PAPA
Ingreso por Venta de FRJOL
Ingreso por Venta de ARROZ
Ingreso por Venta de YUCA
Ingreso por Venta de MANGO
Ingreso por Venta de MARACUYA
Ingreso por Venta de ARVEJA
Ingreso por Venta de TUNA
Ingreso por Venta de CAA DE AZUCAR
Ingreso por Venta de TAYA

Ingresos * Ventas
Ingreso por Venta de MAIZ
Ingreso por Venta de PAPA
Ingreso por Venta de FRJOL
Ingreso por Venta de ARROZ
Ingreso por Venta de YUCA
Ingreso por Venta de MANGO
Ingreso por Venta de MARACUYA
Ingreso por Venta de ARVEJA
Ingreso por Venta de TUNA
Ingreso por Venta de CAA DE AZUCAR
Ingreso por Venta de TAYA
Costos de Produccin
Costos Prod. de MAIZ
Costos Prod. de PAPA
Costos Prod. de FRJOL
Costos Prod. de ARROZ
Costos Prod. de YUCA
Costos Prod. de MANGO
Costos Prod. de MARACUYA
Costos Prod. de ARVEJA
Costos Prod. de TUNA
Costos Prod. de CAA DE AZUCAR
Costos Prod. de TAYA
Costos Opera. Y Mant. Situacin sin Proyecto
Inversin

5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88


3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57
371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16
342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32
115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88
182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50
307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83
174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48
103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
87500

87500

87500

87500

87500

87500

87500

5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88 5,894,017.88


3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57 3,272,455.57
371,520.00 371,520.00 371,520.00
76,144.20
76,144.20
76,144.20
37,935.81
37,935.81
37,935.81
39,900.00
39,900.00
39,900.00
1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75 1,027,237.75
96,977.20
96,977.20
96,977.20
331,452.16 331,452.16 331,452.16
342,464.32 342,464.32 342,464.32
115,241.88 115,241.88 115,241.88
182,689.00 182,689.00 182,689.00
4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30 4,823,911.30
3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50 3,078,463.50
307,380.00 307,380.00 307,380.00
44,091.63
44,091.63
44,091.63
16,413.12
16,413.12
16,413.12
27,094.57
27,094.57
27,094.57
583,124.55 583,124.55 583,124.55
88,107.52
88,107.52
88,107.52
317,269.83 317,269.83 317,269.83
174,682.48 174,682.48 174,682.48
103,644.31 103,644.31 103,644.31
83,639.79
83,639.79
83,639.79
87500

87500

87500

por Venta de MAIZ


Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso
Ingreso

Ingreso por Venta de


Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de
Ingreso por Venta de

Ingreso por Venta de MAIZ


Ingreso por Venta de PAPA
Ingreso por Venta de FRJOL
Ingreso por Venta de ARROZ
Ingreso por Venta de YUCA
Ingreso por Venta de MANGO
Ingreso por Venta de MARACUYA
Ingreso por Venta de ARVEJA
Ingreso por Venta de TUNA
Ingreso por Venta de CAA DE AZUCAR
Ingreso por Venta de TAYA

VALOR NETO DE LA PRODUCCIN

Situacin con Proyecto

SUPERFCIE
(HA)

PRODUCTOS

ARVEJA

N DE
COSECHAS O
CORTES

PRECIO
PROMEDIO EN
RENDIMIENTO
CHACRA S/. POR
Ha.

VBP (S/.)

239.69

1000

1,196.00

573,338.48

TAYA

1343.56

6250

3,306.25

4,442,145.25

TOTAL

1583.25

VALOR NETO DE LA PRODUCCIN

5,015,483.73

Situacin sin Proyecto

MAIZ

977.29

N DE
COSECHAS O
CORTES
2

925.00

PRECIO
PROMEDIO EN
CHACRA S/. POR
1674.25

PAPA

24.00

9,000.00

7740.00

371,520.00

FRJOL

16.50

830.00

2307.40

76,144.20

ARROZ

8.15

5,230.00

4654.70

37,935.81

YUCA

5.25

4,000.00

7600.00

39,900.00

200.75

5,950.00

5117.00

1,027,237.75

20.32

5,750.00

4772.50

96,977.20

199.19

800.00

832.00

331,452.16

TUNA

40.12

8,800.00

8536.00

342,464.32

CAA DE AZUCAR

12.25

13,250.00

9407.50

115,241.88

TAYA

79.43

5,000.00

2300.00

182,689.00

PRODUCTOS

SUPERFCIE (HA)

MANGO
MARACUYA
ARVEJA

TOTAL

1,583.25

RENDIMIENTO
KG/H

VBP (S/.)
3,272,455.57

5,894,017.88

COSTO DE
COSTO DE
PRODUCCIN PRODUCCIN TOTAL
S/. POR HA.
S/.

VNP (S/.)

796.40

381,778.23

191,560.25

1,053.00

1,414,768.68

3,027,376.57

1,849.40

1,796,546.91

3,218,936.82

COSTO DE
COSTO DE
PRODUCCIN PRODUCCIN TOTAL
S/. POR HA.
S/.
1575.00
3,078,463.50

VNP (S/.)
193,992.07

6403.75

307,380.00

64,140.00

1336.11

44,091.63

32,052.57

2013.88

16,413.12

21,522.68

5160.87

27,094.57

12,805.43

2904.73

583,124.55

444,113.20

4336.00

88,107.52

8,869.68

796.40

317,269.83

14,182.33

4354.00

174,682.48

167,781.84

8460.76

103,644.31

11,597.57

1053.00

83,639.79

99,049.21

4,823,911.30

1,070,106.58

Situacin Con Proyecto

DESCRIPCION

UNID.

Nmero de Periodos

ACTIVIDADES DE MANTENIMIENTO
Limpieza y Descolmatacin de Obras de Entrega

mes

12.00

Mantenimiento Compuertas de la Presa

mes

12.00

Mantenimiento, pantalla, losa de maniobras

mes

12.00

Mantenimiento de infraestructura menor de riego

mes

12.00

Reparaciones por derrumbes o desbordes

GLB

1.00

Medidas de control ambiental

GLB

1.00

Administracin del Sistema

mes

12.00

Gastos de supervisin

mes

12.00

Gastos de Materiales de Oficina

mes

12.00

Equpos

mes

12.00

Gastos de Monitoreo de presa

mes

12.00

GASTOS DE OPERACIN

COSTOS TOTALES *AO

Situacin sin Proyecto


CANALES

Costo de Mantenimiento
a Precios Privados

Costo de Mantenimiento
a Precios Sociales

CANAL 01
CANAL CNDOR

5000

2050

CANAL PALLAC

5000

2050

CANAL DEL HUAYO ALTO

5000

2050

CANAL DEL HUAYO BAJO LA CUCHILLA

5000

2050

CANAL SUCCHA MAYO

5000

2050

CANAL PAMPA DE LICLIC

5000

2050

CANAL SAN LUIS

2500

1025

CANAL LUCMAPAMPA

2500

1025

CANAL PEA BLANCA (PLATANAR)

2500

1025

CANAL TOMA NUEVA (PLATANAR)

5000

2050

CANAL DE CIRUELO

2500

1025

CANAL EL MATEO

2500

1025

CANAL DE PEA AZUL

2500

1025

CANAL EL MANGO

2500

1025

CANAL CHICOMA

2500

1025

CANAL TERLEN

2500

1025

CANAL EL HIGUERON

2500

1025

CANAL LLONTO GRANDE

2500

1025

CANAL 02

CANAL 03

CANAL LLONTO CHICO

2500

1025

CANAL 01

2500

1025

CANAL 02

2500

1025

CANAL 03

2500

1025

CANAL 04

2500

1025

CANAL 05

2500

1025

CANAL 06

2500

1025

CANAL 07

2500

1025

CANAL LIVES EL MIRADOR


TOTAL (m):

5000

2050

87500

35875

PRECIOS PRIVADOS
PRECIO
Period.

Totales

PRECIOS SOCIALES
FACTOR DE
CONVERSION

TOTAL

210,000.00

86,100.00

4,500.00

54,000.00

0.41

22,140.00

3,000.00

36,000.00

0.41

14,760.00

3,000.00

36,000.00

0.41

14,760.00

4,500.00

54,000.00

0.41

22,140.00

20,000.00

20,000.00

0.41

8,200.00

10,000.00

10,000.00

0.41

4,100.00

231,600.00

210,756.00

6,000.00

72,000.00

0.91

65,520.00

5,000.00

60,000.00

0.91

54,600.00

1,000.00

12,000.00

0.91

10,920.00

1,500.00

18,000.00

0.91

16,380.00

69,600.00

0.91

5,800.00

441,600.00

63,336.00
296,856.00

Demanda de agua de la presa m3


Precio con proyecto
Ingresos Venta Agua
Financiamiento del costo del agua por Parte de
Beneficiarios
Beneficios por Venta de Agua

Ao 1
Ao 2
Ao 3
4783837.00
4783837
4783837
0.09
0.09
0.09
441600
441600
441600
441600
0

441600
0

441600
0

Ao 4
Ao 5
Ao 6
Ao 7
Ao 8
Ao 9
Ao 10
4783837
4783837
4783837
4783837
4783837
4783837
4783837
0.09
0.0923
0.0923
0.0923
0.0923
0.0923
0.0923
441600 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155
441600 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155 441548.155
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

Presa Pencayo

IGV Inversin
IGV Operacin y Mantenimiento

18%
Exonerado

Factor de Correccin

Valores

Bienes transables y/o importados


Bienes no transables
Mano de Obra No Calificada
Mano de Obra Calificada
Combustibles

0.82
0.85
0.41
0.91
0.66

Costos de Mantenimiento (Anual) (Con Proyecto)

441600

ACTIVIDADES DE MANTENIMIENTO
GASTOS DE OPERACIN

210000
231600

Plazo de Depreciacin de Edificaciones (aos)


Impuesto a la Renta
Koa

20
30%
10%

Crecimiento del Rendimiento Agrcola

25%

Precio Promedio de Chacra Por KG (situacin con Proyecto)


Arveja
Taya

1.196
0.529

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi