Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Coursework
Sta:
17%
30%
40%
10%
Attendance/participation/enthusiasm in
recitations/tutorials
3%
Sample space
LECTURE 1
Readings: Sections 1.1, 1.2
Mutually exclusive
Lecture outline
Collectively exhaustive
Probabilistic models
sample space
probability law
Axioms of probability
Simple examples
= {(x, y) | 0 x, y 1}
Y = Second
1,1
1,2
1,3
1,4
roll
1
1
X = First roll
4,4
Probability axioms
Y = Second 3
roll
Axioms:
1. Nonnegativity: P(A) 0
1
1
2. Normalization: P() = 1
X = First roll
P({X = 1}) =
= P(s1) + + P(sk )
P(X + Y is odd) =
P(min(X, Y ) = 2) =
number of elements of A
P(A) =
total number of sample points
P(X + Y 1/2) = ?
P( (X, Y ) = (0.5, 0.3) )
Remember!
1/2
1/4
1/8
1/16
..
1
1
1
1
+ 4 + 6 + =
22
3
2
2
MIT OpenCourseWare
http://ocw.mit.edu
For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms.