F. No.

3-1/2014-15-CFCC E&S
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE & COOPERATION
(CROP FORECAST COORDINTAION CENTRE)

Room No. 344-A, Krishi Bhawan

New Delhi, Dated: 03.12.2014
SUBJECT: MINUTES OF THE MEETING OF THE CROP WEATHER WATCH GROUP HELD
ON 28.11.2014.

Summary observations of the Group on Agenda Items

In the post-monsoon season, cumulative Rainfall for the country as a whole during the
period 1st October to 26th November, 2014 is (-) 32% lower than LPA. Rainfall (%
departure from LPA) in the four broad geographical divisions of the country during the
above period was lower by (-) 31% in North West India, (-) 31% in Central India, (-) 69%
in East & North East India and (-) 14% in South Peninsula.

Out of a total of 36 met sub-divisions, 11 met sub-divisions constituting 28% of the total
area of the country have received excess/normal rainfall and 25 met sub-divisions
constituting 72% of the total area of the country have received deficient/scanty rainfall.

Central Water Commission monitors 85 major reservoirs in the country which have a total
live capacity of 155.05 BCM at Full Reservoir Level (FRL). Current live storage in these
reservoirs as on 27th November, 2014 was 104.20 BCM as against 122.69 BCM on
27.11.2013 (last year) and 105.03 BCM of normal storage (average storage of the last 10
years). Current years storage is 85% of the last years and 99% of the normal storage.

As per latest information available on sowing of crops, around 57.8% of the normal area
under rabi crops have been sown upto 28.11.2014. Area sown under all rabi crops taken
together has been reported to be 360.94 lakh hectares at All India level as compared to
378.92 lakh hectares the corresponding period of last year.

The All Commodities inflation rate based on Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on a point
to point basis for the month of October, 2014, decreased to 1.77% from the level of
2.38% in the month of September, 2014. The inflation rate was 7.24% during the
corresponding period of last year.

The Primary Articles inflation rate based on Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on a point
to point basis for the month of October, 2014, decreased to 1.43% from the level of
2.18% in the month of September, 2014. The inflation rate was 14.59% during the
corresponding period of last year.

The inflation for non-food items has decreased to -1.41% from the previous months
level of 0.52% and for the food items has decreased to 2.70% from the previous
months level of 3.52%.

Among the foodgrains, Rice has decreased to 6.47% from the previous months level of
6.87%. The inflation for Pulses has decreased to 4.02% from the previous months level
of 6.69%, Cereals to 3.29% from the previous months level of 3.45% and Wheat to 1.92% from the previous months level of -1.50%.

All-India progressive procurement of Rice as on 28.11.2014 for the marketing season

2014-15 was 105.92 lakh tonnes against the procurement of 110.29 lakh tonnes upto
the corresponding period of last year.

All-India progressive procurement of Rice as on 28.11.2014 for the marketing season

2013-14 was 318.40 lakh tonnes against the procurement of 339.43 lakh tonnes upto
the corresponding period of last year.

Post Monsoon Rainfall (Oct.Dec.) during the week ending on 26th November), 2014

Sub-division-wise daily distribution of rainfall and minimum temperature are shown in

Table-1

Rainfall during the week (20th November, 2014 to 26th November, 2014) Rainfall
was deficient/scanty in 10 and no rain in 26 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.

Cumulative rainfall (01st October to 26th November, 2014) Rainfall was

excess/normal in 11 and deficient/Scanty in 25 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions.

Table-2: Weekly and Cumulative Rainfall in four regions of the country1

Region

Week Ending (26.11.2014)

(in mm)
Devi- Cat.
Actual Normal ation
(%)
0.0
3.6
-100
NR
0.0
3.1
-100
NR
5.1
16.5
-69
S

Cumulative (01.10.14 to 26.11.14)

(in mm)
Devi- CateActual Normal ation gory
(%)
28.1
40.5
-31
D
49.8
71.8
-31
D
203.4
236.0
-14
N

North-West India
Central India
South
Peninsular
India
East & North-East
1.8
4.4
-60
S
48.1
India
Country as a whole
1.3
6.1
-79
S
73.0
E: Excess, N: Normal, D: Deficient, S: Scanty, NR: No Rain.
Source: India Meteorological Department, New Delhi

154.6

-69

107.7

-32

Table 3: Category wise comparative distribution of Sub-division (cumulative rainfall) and AllIndia % Rainfall Departure for the last five years since : 1st October
No. of Sub-Divisions with
rainfall

For the period from 1st October to

25 NOV
2009
14
12
26
06
04
00
10
00

24 NOV
2010
17
04
21
09
06
00
15
00

23 NOV
2011
00
04
04
08
22
02
32
00

28 NOV
2012
03
12
15
08
13
00
21
00

27 NOV
2013
18
08
26
10
00
00
10
00

26 NOV
2014
02
09
11
10
15
00
25
00

TOTAL

36

36

36

36

36

36

All-India %
Rainfall Deviation
Source: IMD

19%

16%

(-) 53%

(-) 19%

32%

(-) 32 %

Excess
Normal
Total
Deficient
Scanty
No rain
Total
Data Inadequate

1.

North-west India - Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, Punjab, Uttaranchal, Himachal Pradesh, and Jammu and Kashmir.
Central India - Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra and Gujarat

SouthPeninsula - Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry, Kerala and Lakshadweep.
North-east India - Bihar, Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Sikkim, Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, and
Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

Reseervoir Staatus (For tthe week ending on

n 27.11.20
014)

The Centrral Water Commissioon monitorss the live storage of 855 important//major
reservoirs,, having cappacity at Fu
ull Reservooir Level (F
FRL) of 155
5.05 billion cubic
meters (BC
CM), whichh is about 733% of total reservoir caapacity in th
he country.

fr
the preevious
Water stocck in 85 maajor reservooirs decreaased to 104.20 BCM from
weeks levvel of 106.882 BCM. Cuurrent storagge is lowerr than the laast years poosition
of 122.69 BCM and thhe average of last 10 years
y
storag
ge of 105.033 BCM.

untry
Taable 4: Foor 85 majorr reservoirss of the cou
Perriod

Current Years
Y
Yeears Currrent year ass a % of 10
0
Cuurrent
Storage as % stoorage as % of yearss average leevel
last year
of FRL*

Current Weeek
67
85
99
Last Week
69
84
99
The percen
ntage to livve capacity at FRL waas 79% on 20/11/2013
2
, 66% on 220/11/2012,,
73% on 24//11/2011 annd 75% on 25/11/2010.
2
.
* Live storrage as % too Full Reserrvoir Level (FRL) of 15
55.05 Billio
on Cub. Mtss.(BCM)
S
Source: CW
WC

There weere 66 reservvoirs having storage more

m
than 800%, 11 resservoirs havving storagee
between 50%
5
to 80%
% of Normaal Storage, 06 reservoiir having storage between 30% to
o
50% of Normal
N
Stoorage and 02
0 reservoirr having sttorage 30%
% or below of Normall
Storage.

Source: Ce
entral Water Commission
C

* The Staate wise dettails (reservvoir positionn) are givenn in the Ann
nex III.

Fertilizer Position:
Table 5: Requirement, Availability, Sales and Stock position of Major Fertilizers
Urea, DAP, MOP, Complex and SSP during Rabi, 2014 (As on 27.11.2014)
(in 000 Tonnes)
MOP
Complex

Availability / Sale / Closing Stock

Urea

DAP

SSP

Opening Stock as on 01.10.2014

99

297

243

297

280

Requirement for Rabi, 2014

16011

4787

1541

5022

3508

Requirement October, 2014

3185

1714

328

1134

892

Availability upto 27.11.2014

4399

1807

712

1780

1027

Sales upto 27.11.2014

3861

1422

339

1291

533

Closing Stock as on 27.11.2014

538

385

373

489

494

Requirement of November, 2014

3529

1313

321

1093

896

Source: Fertilizer Division (DAC) / Deptt. of Fertilizer

Pest & Diseases:

The incidence of pest & diseases generally remained below Economic Threshold Level
for most of the crops.

No shortage of Chemical / Bio-pesticides was reported from any State / UT.

Table - 6 : Percentage Variations in the Wholesale Price Indices (WPI) of Major items

Inflation (year on year)

Period / commodities

Weight

Oct., 2014

Sept., 2014

Oct., 2013

All Commodities

100

1.77

2.38

7.24

Primary Articles

20.12

1.43

2.18

14.59

(a) Food Articles

14.34

2.70

3.52

18.34

Cereals

3.37

3.29

3.45

11.37

Rice

1.79

6.47

6.87

14.45

Wheat

1.12

-1.92

-1.50

7.88

Pulses

0.72

4.02

6.69

-10.72

Gram

0.33

-12.30

-10.57

-23.94

Arhar

0.13

9.20

10.11

0.62

Moong

0.08

14.29

21.98

14.35

Masur

0.05

24.93

25.58

5.96

Urad

0.10

26.38

31.07

-2.73

Vegetables

1.74

-19.61

-14.98

80.20

Potato

0.20

82.11

90.23

0.17

Onion

0.18

-59.77

-58.12

293.29

Fruits

2.11

19.35

20.95

15.83

Milk

3.24

11.39

11.55

5.64

Egg, Meat & Fish

2.41

-2.58

-4.12

17.55

(b) Non-Food Articles

4.26

-1.41

0.52

7.14

Oilseeds

1.78

3.42

8.15

1.07

Fuel & Power

14.91

0.43

1.33

10.54

Procurement:
Table 7: Progressive procurement of Rice as on 28.11.2014 (lakh tonnes)
State

Andhra Pradesh
Telangana
Bihar
Chhattisgarh
Haryana
Kerala
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Odisha
Punjab
Tamil Nadu
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
West Bengal
All-India

Total procurement in
marketing season
2012-13 (Oct. Sept.)

0.00
64.71
13.03
48.04
26.09
2.40
8.98
1.92
36.13
85.58
4.81
22.86
4.97
17.66
340.28

Progressive Procurement as on
28.11.2014
In Marketing
In Marketing
season 2013season 20122014
2013
37.38
65.00
43.53
0.00
9.42
12.49
42.90
48.04
24.06
26.09
3.59
2.40
10.40
8.98
1.61
1.92
28.01
36.13
81.06
85.58
6.84
4.81
11.27
22.86
4.63
4.97
13.59
17.66
318.40
339.43

Table 7-A: Progressive procurement of Rice as on 28.11.2014 (lakh tonnes)

State

Andhra Pradesh
Telangana
Chhattisgarh
Haryana
Kerala
Punjab
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
Tamil Nadu
Uttaranchal
Uttar Pradesh
West Bengal
All-India

Total procurement in
marketing season
2013-14 (Oct. Sept.)

37.38
44.00
43.0
24.06
4.00
81.06
10.14
2.00
7.00
4.63
11.27
14.00
319.00

Progressive Procurement as on
28.11.2014
In Marketing
In Marketing
season 2013season 20142014
2015
0.02
3.17
5.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
19.88
23.94
0.82
0.00
77.38
80.83
0.65
0.61
0.11
0.05
0.03
0.51
0.64
0.18
1.11
0.89
0.0
0.00
105.92
110.29