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Contents

Overview

Callon Pete Co Del (CPE)

Genpact Ltd. (G)

Ultra Petroleum (UPL)

United Rentals Incorporated (URI)

13

Xoom (XOOM)

16

Other Zacks Resources

20

5 Stocks to Double

Overview
Thank you for your interest in Zacks and the Stocks to Double report. This report
will give you an idea of the enormous resources available on Zacks.com. I invite
you to visit the site and get familiar with the Zacks Rank, our stock picking framework that has an impressive track record of generating market-beating returns
year after year.
Each of the 5 stocks in this report was hand-picked by one of our stock strategists,
who explain their rationale in the included stock write-ups. Clearly, this report was
not written for the risk-adverse or conservative investor. Rather, these stocks are
for the aggressive investor looking to add home-run potential to his or her portfolio. It would be prudent to devote no more than a small portion of your overall
portfolio to these stocks.
That said, we hardly threw darts at a board to arrive at these choices. All of the
stocks have catalysts that we think could fuel strong gains over the coming year.
We sifted through stocks that met Zacks Rank criteria and then chose the crme
de la crme. Each of the five stocks has unique qualities that make it a candidate
for this report. And they are all from different sectors, offering a level of diversification even in this small sample.
Most of the stocks in this report are currently flying under the radar of most Wall
Street analysts and traders, which provides a good opportunity to get in on the
ground floor. The market is littered with these kinds of stocks, but only the ones
with positive catalysts on the horizon burst onto the scene with monstrous gains.
We made sure that we could identify specific factors that would bring these stocks
out from obscurity and onto the lists of top performing stocks.
We are confident that you can realize enormous gains with these 5 stocks. Leave
the singles and doubles for other portfolios; we are swinging for the fences on
this one!
Best regards,

Sheraz Mian

5 Stocks to Double

Callon Pete Co Del (CPE)


When looking for a stock to double there are many things to consider. What industry should you look at? What does the earnings picture look like? How has the
stock done recently? Using the power of the Zacks Industry Rank, Zacks Rank and
some basic technical analysis you can help tip the odds in your favor.
Callon is an oil and natural gas production company in an industry that is in the
top 25% of the Zacks Industry Rank. The companys operations are focused exclusively in the Midland Basin which is a section of the well-known Permian Basin
of West Texas. The Permian is named so because it has one of the worlds thickest deposits of rocks from the Permian geologic period. It covers an area approximately 250 miles wide and 300 miles long.
Since 2012 Callon has made a change to horizontal development wells versus vertical wells. Horizontal development has the advantage of increasing the exposed
section length through the reservoir, drilling where vertical access is difficult or
not possible and allows more wellheads to be grouped together. Currently Callon
has 31 horizontal wells on production representing 76% of total production in the
1Q14.

Pure-Play Growth Strategy


A pure-play growth strategy, Callon seeks to drive growth with ongoing horizontal program expansion. The company doubled its fields from two in 2013 to four
in 2014. They have moved to larger completion designs to increase EURs and IRRs
and have staggered laterals from the same pad.
One of the major obstacles for horizontal drilling in the past has been the costs
involved in the process. As you can imagine, its quite a bit more difficult to drill
sideways underground than it is to drill straight down. Costs for horizontal development were prohibitive until recently as advances in technology have made
the process more accessible. The rise in the price of oil and natural gas has also
helped to justify the costs of the drilling. Through time Callons capital efficiency
has increased substantially. Total cost per lateral foot in Reagan and Upton counties has dropped drastically, from over $1,600 per lateral foot to just over $800
recently.

5 Stocks to Double

Not resting on its heels, Callon has been aggressive in its acquisition activities as
well. Since late 2012, the company established two new core development fields
in the Southern Midland Basin and follow-on transactions near core fields have
added value and helped to leverage its operational footprint. In total, Callon has
added 5,745 net acres of land in Reagan and Upton counties.

Upwards Estimate Revisions


You can see the positive effects of Callons operations on its earnings estimates.
Currently Callon has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) ranking. Part of the reason is the recent
upwards revisions to earnings estimates Callon has seen over the last 30 days,
making this a very timely pick. Within the last month, 3 analysts have revised earnings to the upside for the current quarter, next quarter and next year. The upward
revisions have helped push consensus estimates for the current quarter from 7
cents per share up to 12 cents per share and next quarter from 8 cents up to 14
cents.
Three of the last four quarters Callon has surprised earnings to the upside. The
most recent beat saw earnings come in at 11 cents versus expectations for 4 cents
per share. On average Callon has surprised by 163.89% over the last year.
If youre looking for reasons to own the stock a quick look at the price and consensus chart can be very convincing. After struggling to find consistent earnings
growth in 2009, 2010 and 2011, Callon began to find its way shortly after committing to horizontal drilling in 2012. After implementing this growth strategy Callons
earnings and price have hit that familiar up and to the left patter than we love to
see here at Zacks. Since mid-2013 estimates have been increasing regularly and
growth forecasts have jumped as well. This has helped pull the stock up above the
$10 level where it trades today.

5 Stocks to Double

From a technical perspective, Callon stock has been on a sustained run since late
June 2013 when the stock was trading just above $3 per share. The first push took
the stock to $7.50 before finding resistance and selling off. The sell-off had CPE
hovering near $6 and locked in a range below $7 for the better part of four months.
In March CPE broke above $7 and hasnt been back below it since. The last three
months the stock has traded above its 25 day moving average shifted by 5 days
(25x5). The 25x5 has a positive slope indicating a bullish trend for the stock. This
provides support for the bottom end down near the $9 level.
In addition to a bullish trend and 25x5, the stochastic indicator flashed a buy in
mid-May as CPE bounced from $9. Since then its moved to slightly overbought
territory but have yet to reach any sort of overbought extreme.
Should a pullback occur, you can use the June low and the recent high as a point of
reference for retracement. The first level down would give $9.03 as a support level.
This coincides with price levels that were areas of resistance during CPEs meteoric
rise to the top.

Using the power of the Zacks Rank and adding a bit of technical analysis can help
you find the best of the best to invest in. Callon Petroleum has all the ingredients
you need for a stock to double over the course of the next year. Remember to
keep your risk parameters in check. Let the winners run and cut your losses short.

5 Stocks to Double

Genpact Ltd. (G)


Genpact Ltd. (G) is a Business Process Services providerproviding business
process outsourcing (BPO) and IT servicesmainly to financial services and manufacturing industries. Its focus is on analytics, data management, and risk management services.
Genpact began as a unit of GE in 1997, was spun-off in 2005 and listed on the
NYSE in 2007. Headquartered in New York, the company now has more than 70
delivery centers and 63,000 employees in 18 countries.

Solid First Quarter Results


Genpact reported its first quarter results on May 5, 2014. The company closed the
quarter with revenues of $528.2 million, up 4.8% year-over-year and 6.6% yearover-year in constant currency terms.
Four of the target verticals--capital markets, CPG, life science, and healthcare-led growth during the quarter. Net income was $50.6 million or $0.21 per diluted
share, up from $46.7 million and $0.20 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2013.
Adjusted net earnings came in at $0.22 per share, ahead of the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of $0.20 per share. Genpact has delivered positive surprises in all of the
last four quarters with an average quarterly surprise of 22.25%. In fact, in the past
14 quarters, Genpact has missed only once as can be seen from the following chart:

5 Stocks to Double

The company reported closure of a large deal with a leading CPG client during the
quarter. During the conference call Genpact announced the acquisition of
Pharmalink Consulting, which would add domain capabilities in the regulatory
affairs space of targeted Life Sciences vertical. The company also reported a strategic partnership with Oliver Wyman to build and market risk solutions for
Financial services industry.

New Growth Strategy


Earlier this year, the company unveiled its new growth strategy. The new strategy
focuses on enhancing the domain expertise while narrowing the business focus,
differentiating solutions and deepening relationships with their global blue-chip
clients. Genpact narrowed their investment focus to 9 targeted vertical markets
from 23 previously. Further, they are now concentrating on large developed economies.

The management said that they are making strategic investments--expected to


be approximately $45 million, or 2% of revenue in 2014which would position
them for long-term accelerated growth. Per their outlook for 2015 and beyond,
they expect to be among the top three in their chosen areas, providing industry
leading solutions that combine domain, technology and analytics. Also by improving sales force productivity, they plan to increase total bookings and win more
large deals.

Industry Outlook Remains Strong


According to McKinsey Research, the addressable market for Genpact is expected
to grow in low teens and reach ~$390 billion by 2017. The market penetration is
rather low at 13-25% in Genpacts focus verticals and service lines. Genpact plans
to capture high value opportunities through strategic investing in order to grow
their market leadership.

5 Stocks to Double

Outsourcing industry is currently ranked # 83 out of 265 (top 31%) by Zacks.

Positive Earnings Estimates Revisions


As a result of solid performance, the Zacks Consensus Estimates for 2014 and 2015
have increased to $0.92 and $1.03 per share, from $0.88 and $0.99 per share, 60
days ago.

The chart above shows the recent positive earnings momentum for the company.

Attractive Valuation
The company is trading at 16.6x 12 month earnings currently versus 17.5x for the
industry. On the other hand, it has a higher EPS growth estimate (5 year)14%
versus 13% for the industry. At these levels, the shares look well poised to move
higher.

The Bottom Line


Genpact appears to be making good progress in executing their new investment and growth strategy. They are now focused on more strategic, larger and
transformative engagements that add more value to the pipeline. Further, a positive outlook for the BPO and IT servicing industry bodes well for the stock going
forward.

5 Stocks to Double

Ultra Petroleum (UPL)


Despite the recent market turbulence, one segment continues to hold up quite
well in this uncertain environment; energy. This corner of the stock world, as represented by the ultra popular ETF XLE, has actually doubled the S&P 500s return
over the past three months, suggesting it is turning into a market leader.
This trend could definitely continue this summer too, as energy names are increasingly popular given the uncertain situation in Eastern Europe, as well as solid
demand from developed markets around the globe. However, while a broad
energy play is an interesting idea, a look to the exploration and production
segment might actually be the best way to go.
This industry has been arguably leading the broader energy sector higher, and
thanks to stable (at an elevated level) oil prices and the geopolitical worries, it
could retain its leadership role in the near term. That is why looking at the best
in breed here is an excellent idea, particularly with the case of Ultra Petroleum
(UPL).

Why UPL?
You probably havent heard of Ultra Petroleum as it is often overshadowed by the
much larger companies in the space. However, this exploration company, with a
market cap of about $4.2 billion, is a pretty dynamic Texas-based firm that has
operations across the country including ones in Wyoming and Pennsylvania.
The current focus of UPL is on its natural gas business, as this accounts for roughly
75% of its revenues, compared to roughly 25% for oil sales. And though natural gas prices have been extremely volatileto say the leastthey have been on
an upswing overall as of late thanks to huge demand in the American market for
heating to start the year, and now cooling demand for the summer.
Fortunately, UPL has a low cost structure, so even subdued natural gas prices do
not hamper this company and their outlook. In fact, during 2013, the firm reported
all-in operating costs of $2.86 per thousand cubic feet equivalent, one of the best
in its peer group and one of the key reasons why UPL was able to deliver an impressive 28% net income margin for the time frame.

5 Stocks to Double

This natural gas business is expected to be a huge driver as the Wyoming field
remains largely untapped and natural gas demand seems likely to remain high,
and it could remain in an elevated position if we have a hot summer or if there is
a bad hurricane season. However, UPL isnt relying on that to power growth alone
as the company recently made an interesting acquisition in Utah in order to beef
up the oil-side of its business as well.

Utah Acquisition
UPL reported great figures for its Q1 2014 oil production levels, as these soared
145% year-over-year. This was largely thanks to its Q4 2013 purchase of some oilproducing properties in Northeast Utah in the Uinta Basin.
This often overlooked Basin appears likely to offer Ultra Petroleum solid returns,
and more importantly, help to diversify the companys energy portfolio so that it
wont be quite so dependent on volatile natural gas in the future. Plus, after UPLs
mishaps in developing Colorado fields, this purchase of already producing wells
looks to be a much safer bet for investors.

Long Term Plans


This shift towards Utah comes as the firm is moving away from its Pennsylvania
play. This is important as the company believes that the Marcellus will suffer from
low regional pricing possibly thanks to the big supply in the area.

5 Stocks to Double

10

In fact, the company said that is planning to increase oil production by eight fold
while gas production will be flat over the next three years. The company even
expects to triple oil production in 2014 alone suggesting that big plans are ahead
for this often overlooked company that is targeting regions of America that are
not exactly well known for their oil production as of yet, though may still have
incredible potential.

Given this focus, it is pretty clear that UPL is putting itself in a great position for
more gains in the future. Analysts seem to agree as well, which is why the stock
was recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and could keep up its streak
of outperformance.

Analyst Expectations
Recent earnings estimate revisions for UPL have been extremely positive, while
the industry rank for the oil/gas exploration segment is also very strong. In fact,
the segment is in the top third of all industries in the market, while recent earnings estimate revisions have pushed the current growth rate projection for the full
year up to 75%.
Furthermore, not a single estimate has been revised lower for the past 60 days
when looking at the current year or next year time frames. Instead, analysts have
been scrambling to bump up their estimates, pushing the 2014 earnings consensus from roughly $2.30/share 90 days ago to its current level at $2.88/share today.
Clearly analysts really believe in the UPL growth story, and are betting that this
company can continue to deliver. And there is plenty of reason to assume that
Ultra Petroleum can live up to these expectations too; the firm has beaten esti-

5 Stocks to Double

11

mates in each of the last four reports and it has a pretty solid track record overall
when it comes to earnings season lately.

Bottom Line
Despite these impressive growth rate projections, UPL is actually trading at
a forward PE right around 10. So, in other words, even with all the opportunities ahead for this firm, the stock hasnt become overbought even though it has
already run up a bit to start 2014.
Instead, UPL remains extremely well-positioned to benefit from the many trends
in the energy space right now, a sector which is really proving itself to be a leader
in the current market environment. This is especially true given the stable situation
on the oil price front, and ever-present concerns from Russia which could shake up
the geopolitical situation of the hydrocarbon market at any time.
And when you add in Ultras attempts at diversification and its shrewd movement
away from Pennsylvania and towards more untapped markets, it becomes clear
why the company has earned itself a top rank and how the company can continue
to move higher in the months ahead.
So if you are looking for a top stock that has the potential to surge in the oil and
gas exploration market, make sure to take a closer inspection of the often-overlooked UPL. The firm has a great growth plan, has analyst support, and is still relatively cheap despite its potential, making it a great candidate to double from its
current levels in short order.

5 Stocks to Double

12

United Rentals Incorporated (URI)


As the U.S. economy heats up, what do companies do? They build and expand. To
do that, they often need equipment. But they arent buying it, theyre renting it.
The rental equipment providers are the first ones to see just how hot the economy
is as demand picks for their equipment.
How hot is it?
Rental volumes were up in the first quarter but still remain below the peak of
the last cycle which was in 2007. That means theres still more room to grow.
Construction is also showing signs of life which will be a huge driver for the rental
equipment providers going forward.

United Rentals Rents Everything


United Rentals is the largest equipment rental provider in the world with 3,100
classes of equipment. It operates out of 832 locations in 49 states and 10 Canadian
provinces.
It offers equipment in two segments. General Rentals has construction, industrial and homeowner equipment for rent. Specialty Rentals offers tools for underground construction, temporary power, climate control, fluid transfer, disaster
recovery, onsite tool management and related services.
United Rentals 400,000 customers are in 3 categories with about 50% being nonconstruction such as industrial customers; 46% are non-residential construction;
and 4% are residential. Customers include construction and industrial companies,
utilities, municipalities, government agencies and independent contractors.
Equipment is typically on short-term rentals of less than 20 days.

Non-Residential Construction Picking Up


Despite polar vortexes and record snow in large parts of the United States and
Canada, the first four months of 2014 still showed strength in non-residential
construction spending. It rose 8% year over year with further strength expected
in the warmer summer months.

5 Stocks to Double

13

U.S. construction employment has also been trending higher every month which
has reduced the unemployment rate in that industry.
Another positive signal for construction is that the sale of pick-up trucks remains
robust. When contractors are feeling good about business, they will buy new
trucks and also expand their fleet with more workers.
Non-residential construction is a huge portion of United Rentals business. Its
a bullish indicator for 2014 is construction is finally waking up from the Great
Recession doldrums.

Double Digit Earnings Growth


Expected in 2014 and 2015
Since 2010, United Rentals has been growing earnings at a quick clip. It actually
doubled its earnings in 2012 from 2011. In 2013, earnings grew another 35%.
The outlook for 2014 and 2015 looks equally as bright.
Analysts expect earnings to rise 31% in 2014 and another 25% in 2015.
Below is an amazing price and consensus estimates chart through 2015 earnings.
This is what you want to see. Steady and dependable earnings growth over multiple years.
Up, up, up.

5 Stocks to Double

14

Is United Rentals Also a Value Stock?


Shares have soared to new highs over the past 2 years so it might seem like its too
late to buy the stock.
But shares are trading at with a forward P/E of just 16, which is under the average
of the S&P 500 of 16.6. A P/E of 16 isnt flashing a getting expensive sign.
With double digit earnings growth expected, it has a PEG ratio of just 0.8. A PEG
ratio under 1.0 usually means a company is undervalued.
I love companies with PEGs under 1.0 because that means it has both strong
growth AND value. That is a rare combination.
So despite the run-up in the stock, it still has value and the outlook for 2014 and
2015 looks solid.

But Rental Tools Are Boring


Dont get caught up in the tech hype. While technology companies that are
making the next big app seem like the thing to be investing in, and dont get me
wrong, they can be lucrative as well, United Rentals is actually providing the building blocks for large sections of the economy.
United Rentals has grown its earnings to an expected $6.41 this year from just
$1.82 in 2011. Theres nothing boring about that kind of growth.
Tools are used in just about every kind of business. If you believe the U.S. economy
is on the verge of breaking out of its muddle through existence of the past few
years, then United Rentals should be on your investing short list.

5 Stocks to Double

15

Xoom (XOOM)
Given the heroic task of picking a stock that is highly likely to double in the next
year, I like to clear my mind of my favorite biases and go back to basics. That starts
with an unbiased screen which seeks to capture strong growth trends. My simple
parameters
100% annual EPS growth past two years
50% annual sales growth past two years
Zacks Rank of #2 or better, indicating strong current EPS revisions
This screen returned 18 names in early June, including some favorites like Facebook,
VIPShop, and SM Energy. It also had a young company I was just becoming familiar with, Xoom (XOOM), an $850 million online payment transfer company. I think
XOOM has the most potential of the 18 to appreciate 50% or more in a year, and
possibly double in a few years.
Xoom provides services which consist of cash pickup, bank deposits and home
delivery, sending money online directly to bank accounts and receiving money in
local currency or US dollars. The company offers services through xoom.com and
walmart.com over the Internet, mobile devices or tablet.

Secure Payment Services Are Hot


Zacks Rank followers know this industry has been full of money with highly ranked
stocks like Heartland Payment (HPY) and Alliance Data (ADS) delivering doubling
returns in the past 18-24 months. The bigger companies like Alliance Data, and
Visa of course, have the enterprise business wrapped up where large-scale, robust
technology is king.
But newcomers like XOOM are able to carve niches appealing to consumer tastes
and preference for mobile, on-the-go transactions.
In May, analysts at Baird described the company...
Xoom is a classic disrupter model online, with a faster, cheaper and easier alternative to legacy money transfer companies. Xoom has a strong and passionate

5 Stocks to Double

16

management team, large addressable market, and strong technology foundation.


Faster, cheaper, and easier sounds like a winning formula for consumer engagement. But when does this value proposition turn this stocks 700+ P/E into a realistic growth story?
Heres what SunTrust analysts had to say in a May research report titled XOOM:
Perhaps Competitors Should Look Over Their Shoulders
We are increasingly convinced that Xoom has built a better global remittances
mousetrap. Yes, its still small. Yes, it is currently in investment mode, hence its low
reported EBITDA margin. Yes, the stock is expensive compared with larger, slowergrowing, long-term margin-challenged competition. Yes, its value proposition is
poorly understood.
But, no, it is not wise to understate the extent to which it can change consumer
remittance behavior, corridor by corridor. Price target is $40. Yes, thats nearly a
double. (they penned this when the stock was trading below $21).
And though the current revenue picture makes the stock also expensive on a
Price-to-Sales basis -- trading over 6 times -- the growth trajectory is headed in
the right direction.

5 Stocks to Double

17

Follow the Money


This all sounds great. But I run a portfolio that follows institutional investors as
they deploy real money into such growth ideas so I always want to hear from a
real-money investor and not just the analysts.
I was thus pleased with the good fortune of coming across the May 26 edition of
Barrons in which they featured a small-cap manager who has a sizable position in
XOOM with his eyes on a similar double prize.
Mario Cibelli of Marathon Partners (I know, sounds very much like another great
investor I follow and he actually worked for Gabelli to start his career) has beaten
the S&P handily since 1997 when he started with just $280,000 in assets, posting stellar returns during the dot-com bubble of 2000 and surviving the crash of
2008 said Barrons.
Cibellis strategy is to find stocks he believes have the potential to double in three
to five years -- regardless of economic or market conditions. He likes companies
with disruptive, usually Internet-based business models that have the potential to
change industries.
And he has proven he knows how to pick these companies. He turned a $10 per
share purchase of a little disrupter called Netflix into a ten-bagger between 2004
and 2011. And he bought it again around $75 in 2012 and cashed out last year over
$200.
He is certainly not the largest holder of XOOM shares with less than $300 million
AUM. But he is committed. In Q1 he more than doubled his stake from 400,000
shares to 860,000. Here is his rationale...
By 2017, he expects pre-tax earnings of the debt-dependent company will have
risen to $80 million--from less than $10 million this year--and XOOM will fetch 20
times pre-tax earnings.
I am also happy to report that the giant fund Capital World Investors with $360
billion AUM, just started a new position in XOOM with the purchase of 3 million
shares in Q1.
I am with Cibelli and Capital World. And this chart says the stock is probably going
to get back above $23-24 which would then line it up to challenge the 200-day
moving average and a bunch of former congestion between $26 and $28.

5 Stocks to Double

18

Bottom line: Under $25 is a good place to begin building positions in XOOM.

Our personnel may own positions in the equities mentioned in our reports.
However, all employees are prohibited from any transaction that directly or
indirectly competes with the interests of our subscribers. We are not compensated
by the companies on which we report in any way for our publications.

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19

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Kevin Matras infuses options trading with the +26% yearly gain power of the
Zacks Rank plus his own market-beating stock screens. This creates the potential
for steady and substantial returns using only a fraction of the money you would
have risked on regular stock purchases. Learn more...

Reitmeister Trading Alert


The Reitmeister Trading Alert is Zacks answer to todays volatile market. It uses
the power of the Zacks Rank, combined with value trading and a dash of market
timing, to generate profits no matter what the market has to offer. Learn more...

Research Wizard
This powerful screening and backtesting software puts you in control of your
investment strategy. Use the same tool professional stock pickers use to find
winning stocks in any market. Learn more...

Top 10 Stocks
This annual stock portfolio provides the best group of 10 stocks to invest in during
the year. The list is announced in January each year. We start with the Zacks
Recommendation - a market-crushing measurement for long-term success - and
use a nine-step process to hand-pick the 10 stocks you should buy and hold all
year for effortless profits. Click here for the 2014 edition.

Value Investor
This long-term service combines value criteria with Zacks Rank timing. Well track
undervalued companies until the market starts to see their real worth. Then well
pounce for gains that can build for years. Learn more...

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Zacks Method for Trading


Learn how to use the Zacks Rank even more effectively than professional fund
managers, with simple step-by-step instruction. Learn more...
The return numbers presented assume no transaction costs. Details of how
Zacks calculates performance for the Zacks Rank Portfolios and strategies is
available at: http://www.zacks.com/performance.

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