Académique Documents
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Singapore REITs
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
www.dbsvickers.com
ed-JS / sa- JC
10 Oct 2014
STI : 3,259.25
Analyst
Derek TAN +65 6682 3716
derektan@dbs.com
Mervin SONG CFA +65 6682 8189
mervinsong@dbs.com
Rachael TAN +65 6682 3713
rachaeltan@dbs.com
STOCKS
Price
Mkt Cap
S$
US$m
1.17
1.90
1.36
1.44
713
1,362
723
2,373
1.37
2.04
1.49
1.46
(4.5)
2.2
(1.8)
5.1
0.4
3.0
11.0
18.5
BUY
BUY
BUY
BUY
0.93
1,966
1.04
3.9
4.5
BUY
Rating
Yield Spread
S-REIT Yield
14.0%
- 1 SD
+1 SD
Mean
12.0%
10.0%
8.0%
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
Jan-06
Jan-07
Jan-08
Jan-09
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
Current:
REIT manager and any director who breaches this duty will be subject
to criminal and civil liability.
B. To enhance the independence of the board of directors through
either (i) half the Board to comprise of independent directors, if
unitholders of the REIT are not given a right to appoint the directors
and if such a right is given, the requirement that the Board to consist
of at least one-third of independent directors will continue to apply to
that REIT manager or (ii) at least a majority of the Board to comprise
of independent directors.
DBS View:
We believe that REIT managers already exercise strong corporate governance and transparency and have board of directors that are at least halfor-majority independent. The above proposals will further improve the transparency and independence of the REIT boards and will boost
investors confidence on the REIT managers. This will eventually benefit minorities.
The disclosure of remuneration bands for REIT managers will close the gap between requirements under CG code for listed companies. This will
enable unitholders to understand the link between remuneration paid to directors and key executive officers and their performance.
Page 2
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
Proposed Amendments
Current
Base fee:
Performance fees:
Divestment fee:
DBS View
Impact on REITs
Impact on Sponsor
Disclosure requirements
Proposed Amendments
Current
DBS View
Impact on REITs
Impact on Sponsor
Page 3
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
Proposed Amendments
Current
Impact on REITs
Impact on Sponsor
Operational flexibility Higher gearing limits for all un-rated REITs/doing away with a need for credit rating.
Proposed Amendment
Current
DBS View:
We are positive about the new gearing limits, as these will streamline and limit the amount of leverage that a REIT may take; this reinforces the
notion that all REITs must employ the same level of stringency when it comes to capital management, regardless of whether the REIT has
obtained a credit rating or not.. That said, the sector has maintained an average gearing of c.33-34% over the years, with the exception of
certain REITs (K-REIT, which is nearer to the 43% level). We also note that Croesus gearing is c. 50% but it is a business trust with REIT-like
features. There might be changes when the new policies are in place.
We are slightly cautious about higher development limits, as this could increase the amount of risk associated with a REIT, which, by virtue of its
structure, is meant to provide stable dividends to unitholders. While higher development limits may be positive for smaller REITs, which
occasionally may have to complete a development project in phases in order to comply with existing limits, we think that the additional 15%
development allowance for existing properties is a little high - most asset redevelopment works rarely require such a steep capex requirement,
and large ticket redevelopments could in turn adversely impact distributions as operations are disrupted.
Page 4
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
REIT Structuring Further tightening and clarity from income support arrangements
Proposed amendments
Current
All REITs must both report and provide a detailed explanation of any
material deviation of actual DPU from forecast DPU in their annual
reports
REITs must disclose the WALE of new leases entered into in the past
year (and their % of contribution to total revenue), as well as debt
maturity profile in their annual reports
Where there is income support, REITs must disclose (a) the amount of
income support received by the REIT for the year, and (b) the difference
between underlying rents and the implied rents under income support,
in their annual reports
DBS view:
We are upbeat on the enhanced disclosure guidelines concerning income support, as these would encourage REITs to only consider
acquisitions where the underlying rent levels could eventually be DPU accretive on a sustained basis, and discourage REITs from purchasing
assets whose underlying NPI yield is not and may not be accretive to unitholders.
Disclosure of WALE and debt expiry profile could also help investors make more informed investment decisions based on their risk appetite
concerning these additional categories
Page 5
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
Tax transparency
REIT manager
Development limit
Australia
Hong Kong
No tax transparency
Japan
Asset management
must be outsourced
If a REIT undertakes
development
activity, it will be
subject to
Australian
corporate tax
No development
activity is permitted
save for
refurishments,
retrofitting or
renovations
NA
Malaysia
Asset must be
managed by a qualified
property manager
NA
Philippines
35% of Deposited
Properties for non-credit
rated REITs
70% gearing limit for
REITs with an investment
grade credit rating
N.A
35% of Deposited
Properties for non-credit
rated REITs
60% gearing limit for
REITs which have
disclosed its credit rating
REIT is not
permitted to
undertake property
development unless
it plans to hold the
completed property
for three years
Development cap
of 10% of
Deposited
Properties
Singapore
South Korea
No tax transparency
N.A
NA
Taiwan
NA
35% of Deposited
Properties for non-credit
rated REITs
60% gearing limit for
REITs which have
disclosed their credit
rating
NA
Thailand
Page 6
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
Peer Comparisons
REIT Code
FYE
Price
Rec
Target
Price
(S$)
Total
Return
Mkt
Cap
Yield
Yield
Yield
DPU
Growth
CAGR
P/Bk
(%)
S$'m
FY14/15F
FY15/16F
FY16/17F
FY13-15
FY14-16
(x)
Office
CCT
FCOT
K-REIT
OUECT
Dec
Sep
Dec
Dec
1.61
1.36
1.20
0.80
Hold
Buy
Hold
NR
1.67
1.49
1.29
0.85
10%
16%
14%
14%
4,717
920
3,602
691
9,930
5.3%
6.1%
6.4%
6.8%
5.9%
5.4%
6.7%
5.7%
6.9%
5.7%
5.9%
6.8%
5.8%
7.0%
6.0%
3%
7%
-6%
11%
2%
9%
-11%
0%
0.96
0.87
0.92
0.78
Retail
CRCT
CMT
CRT
FCT
SPH REIT
Dec
Dec
Jun
Sep
Aug
1.58
1.93
0.93
1.90
1.07
Buy
Hold
Buy
Buy
Hold
1.70
2.14
1.10
2.04
1.01
14%
17%
28%
13%
0%
1,307
6,663
472
1,735
2,678
12,855
6.8%
5.7%
8.9%
5.9%
5.5%
5.9%
7.5%
5.9%
9.0%
6.1%
5.1%
6.0%
8.3%
6.0%
9.0%
6.2%
5.1%
6.2%
15%
5%
-4%
2%
45%
10%
4%
1%
3%
-8%
1.08
1.11
1.23
1.19
1.20
Commercial
MCT
MAGIC
SGREIT
Suntec
Mar
Mar
Dec
Dec
1.44
0.93
0.79
1.80
Buy
Buy
Buy
Hold
1.46
1.04
0.90
1.85
7%
19%
21%
8%
3,021
2,503
1,701
4,483
12,310
5.5%
6.7%
6.5%
5.0%
5.4%
5.9%
7.2%
6.7%
5.5%
5.8%
6.1%
7.5%
7.0%
6.0%
6.5%
7%
3%
3%
3%
6%
8%
3%
10%
1.25
0.88
0.85
0.90
Industrial
a-itrust
A-REIT
Cache
CREIT
MINT
MLT
SBREIT
Mar
Mar
Dec
Dec
Mar
Mar
Dec
0.75
2.23
1.17
0.72
1.45
1.17
0.80
Hold
Buy
Buy
Hold
Buy
Buy
Buy
0.85
2.51
1.37
0.77
1.53
1.24
0.89
21%
19%
25%
15%
13%
13%
20%
686
5,361
908
903
2,480
2,881
645
13,863
6.4%
6.6%
7.4%
7.2%
7.0%
6.5%
7.7%
6.8%
6.9%
6.8%
8.0%
7.7%
7.1%
6.6%
8.3%
7.0%
7.0%
6.8%
8.5%
7.8%
7.1%
6.8%
8.5%
7.1%
6%
3%
4%
5%
2%
3%
71%
7%
3%
9%
6%
1%
2%
8%
1.13
1.11
1.19
1.05
1.22
1.05
1.00
Hospitality
ASCHT
ART
CDREIT
FEHT
FHT
OUEHT
Mar
Dec
Dec
Dec
Sep
Dec
0.73
1.23
1.69
0.81
0.90
0.91
Hold
Buy
Hold
Hold
Buy
Buy
0.77
1.33
1.84
0.88
0.94
0.95
14%
14%
16%
16%
12%
13%
811
1,883
1,649
1,435
1,067
1,194
8,039
8.2%
6.7%
6.8%
6.7%
6.6%
7.5%
7.0%
8.4%
7.0%
7.2%
7.0%
6.9%
7.8%
7.3%
8.8%
7.2%
7.4%
7.2%
7.0%
8.1%
7.5%
6%
2%
5%
0%
6%
55%
2%
5%
6%
4%
5%
4%
1.23
0.86
1.03
0.83
1.07
1.01
Healthcare
P-Life
RHT
Dec
Mar
2.32
0.95
Buy
Hold
2.62
0.82
18%
-5%
1,404
753
2,157
5.1%
8.6%
6.3%
5.2%
7.6%
6.1%
5.3%
7.8%
6.2%
6%
42%
3%
-12%
1.42
1.07
IREIT
Dec
0.90
Buy
0.95
13%
375
375
59,529
7.3%
7.6%
7.5%
4%
1.20
6.2%
6.4%
6.7%
Sector Average
Page 7
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
DBS Bank recommendations are based an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows:
STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame)
BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps)
HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps)
FULLY VALUED (negative total return i.e. > -10% over the next 12 months)
SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame)
Page 8
DBS Bank Ltd., DBSVS, DBSVUSA, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates beneficially own a total of 1% of any class of common
equity securities of the Keppel REIT, Starhill Global REIT, Mapletree Greater China Commercial Trust, Soilbuild Business Space
Reit, Ascendas Hospitality Trust, Ascott Residence Trust, Far East Hospitality Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, Croesus Retail Trust as
of 31 Aug 2014.
DBS Bank Ltd., DBSVS, DBSVUSA, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates beneficially own a total of 5% of any class of common
equity securities of Ascendas Hospitality Trust as of 31 Aug 2014.
Industry Focus
Singapore REITs
3.
RESTRICTIONS ON DISTRIBUTION
General
This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or
located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be
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rd
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jurisdictions
In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is intended only for qualified,
professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions.
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Tel. 65-6878 8888
Company Regn. No. 196800306E
Page 9