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Gold imports stood at $1.3 billion in December a welcome decline from Novembers $5.6 billion, albeit still
higher than $1.2 billion a year ago. The RBI has withdrawn the 80:20 rule restricting gold imports although
import duty still remains at 10%.
Non-oil imports grew by 9.9% y-o-y in December. While gold imports remained in check, rising core imports
drove up overall non-oil imports. This is the eighth consecutive month of expansion in core imports. Sustained
growth in core imports in the past few months suggests that a nascent recovery in domestic demand may have
begun.
Oil imports fell by 28.6% y-o-y in December, For April-December 2014, oil imports have fallen by 4.7% y-o-y
and we expect this decline to steepen in coming months due to the recent sharp decline in oil prices.
Within non-oil exports, electronic good exports fell by 14.2% y-o-y while gems and jewellery fell by 1.1% y-o-y.
However, ready-made garment and engineering goods exports rose by 10% y-o-y and 20.5% y-o-y,
respectively in December.
%, y-o-y
oil export growth
50
30
10
-10
-21.2
-30
OPEC
31.4%
18.4%
Russia
13.5%
0.7%
Columbia
7.1%
0.3%
Canada
3.3%
0.7%
Mexico
2.6%
0.6%
Total
20.8%
Dec-14
Nov-14
Oct-14
Sep-14
Aug-14
Jul-14
Jun-14
May-14
Apr-14
-28.6
Exports Im ports
Jan-15
Eurozone
12.4%
1.8%
1.1%
US
12.2%
3.0%
3.2%
4.6%
7.5%
7.1%
China
UK
3.0%
NA
2.9%
Japan
2.1%
1.3%
1.2%
Oil
Non-oil
Dec-13
26.4
36.6
13.9
22.7
-10.2
Jun-14
26.1
38.5
13.3
25.2
-12.3
Jul-14
27.9
40.1
14.6
25.5
-12.2
Aug-14
26.4
37.5
12.8
24.7
-11.1
Sep-14
28.9
43.0
14.5
28.5
-14.1
Oct-14
26.1
39.5
12.4
27.1
-13.4
Nov-14
26.0
42.8
11.7
31.1
-16.9
Dec-14
25.4
34.8
9.9
24.9
-9.4
Apr-Dec FY14
231.8
338.9
122.2
216.7
-107.1
241.2
351.2
116.5
234.7
-110.1
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