ANNEX 2 – POPULATION FORECASTS

Table 1
Projected Populations by Region, by Five-Calendar Years: 2000-2040
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Philippines 76,946,500 85,261,000 94,013,200 102,965,300 111,784,600 120,224,500 128,110,000 135,301,100 141,669,900
NCR 9,968,600 10,787,300 11,552,100 12,220,500 12,775,900 13,216,700 13,545,900 13,740,300 13,788,000
CAR 1,372,600 1,526,800 1,694,400 1,868,600 2,044,700 2,213,900 2,372,200 2,521,000 2,659,200
Region I 4,220,900 4,682,700 5,172,900 5,673,600 6,160,900 6,629,900 7,079,500 7,498,200 7,873,600
Region II 2,827,900 3,086,000 3,365,400 3,651,200 3,922,600 4,174,000 4,399,500 4,595,300 4,758,800
Region III 8,258,400 9,195,600 10,159,300 11,124,400 12,061,000 12,946,700 13,750,400 14,458,100 15,053,600
Region IVA 9,422,900 10,655,500 11,904,100 13,144,400 14,370,500 15,555,400 16,652,000 17,642,900 18,510,100
Region IVB 2,315,000 2,649,400 3,018,000 3,416,900 3,830,200 4,259,700 4,700,600 5,143,200 5,580,300
Region V 4,712,000 5,189,900 5,711,500 6,278,000 6,863,400 7,446,800 8,014,500 8,563,000 9,088,100
Region VI 6,238,200 6,876,100 7,578,000 8,317,800 9,055,100 9,765,500 10,442,800 11,085,000 11,683,700
Region VII 5,739,600 6,357,900 7,029,300 7,740,900 8,456,000 9,144,300 9,797,800 10,409,800 10,967,700
Region VIII 3,629,400 4,020,900 4,447,500 4,911,500 5,406,300 5,914,700 6,417,500 6,906,600 7,381,300
Region IX 2,848,200 3,154,700 3,487,400 3,842,400 4,205,000 4,555,900 4,892,700 5,200,400 5,469,400
Region X 3,525,900 3,920,600 4,349,300 4,799,700 5,249,100 5,680,900 6,086,400 6,454,400 6,779,500
Region XI 3,698,100 4,020,000 4,362,400 4,708,800 5,042,200 5,336,600 5,583,800 5,784,700 5,940,900
Region XII 3,245,800 3,648,300 4,080,400 4,524,000 4,961,900 5,383,100 5,779,900 6,146,700 6,475,900
ARMM 2,816,200 3,171,100 3,551,800 3,943,000 4,330,700 4,716,700 5,094,700 5,455,000 5,785,900
Caraga 2,106,800 2,318,200 2,549,400 2,799,600 3,049,100 3,283,700 3,499,800 3,696,500 3,873,900
Source: National Statistics Office
Projected Populations by Five-Year Age Group and Sex, by Region and Province, and by Five-Calendar Years: 2000-2040
Medium Series, last update December 8, 2006

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 Table 2
Higher Education Age Range, By Region

2000 % Total 2005 % Total 2010 % Total 2015 % Total 2020 % Total
Philippines 41,895,200 100.00% 47,611,700 100.00% 53,438,700 100.00% 58,692,700 100.00% 63,850,600 100.00%
NCR 6,096,200 14.55% 6,480,200 13.61% 6,898,700 12.91% 7,326,900 12.48% 7,698,100 12.06%
CAR 740,400 1.77% 858,600 1.80% 968,400 1.81% 1,057,000 1.80% 1,159,300 1.82%
Region I 2,276,500 5.43% 2,569,400 5.40% 2,863,200 5.36% 3,119,400 5.31% 3,432,900 5.38%
Region II 1,511,800 3.61% 1,740,000 3.65% 1,946,700 3.64% 2,116,700 3.61% 2,260,700 3.54%
Region III 4,626,400 11.04% 5,249,100 11.02% 5,912,400 11.06% 6,544,600 11.15% 7,094,900 11.11%
Region IVA 5,315,300 12.69% 6,123,400 12.86% 6,973,200 13.05% 7,803,600 13.30% 8,508,900 13.33%
Region IVB 1,173,800 2.80% 1,365,600 2.87% 1,578,300 2.95% 1,772,200 3.02% 2,019,600 3.16%
Region V 2,327,200 5.55% 2,706,900 5.69% 3,103,200 5.81% 3,459,800 5.89% 3,776,000 5.91%
Region VI 3,293,900 7.86% 3,645,000 7.66% 4,129,800 7.73% 4,540,900 7.74% 5,059,500 7.92%
Region VII 3,047,100 7.27% 3,505,500 7.36% 3,976,300 7.44% 4,408,100 7.51% 4,839,800 7.58%
Region VIII 1,770,800 4.23% 2,075,000 4.36% 2,400,000 4.49% 2,679,200 4.56% 2,944,700 4.61%
Region IX 1,489,400 3.56% 1,665,400 3.50% 1,856,100 3.47% 2,042,400 3.48% 2,236,400 3.50%
Region X 1,880,000 4.49% 2,186,300 4.59% 2,492,500 4.66% 2,748,500 4.68% 3,001,700 4.70%
Region XI 2,024,400 4.83% 2,322,100 4.88% 2,593,600 4.85% 2,816,300 4.80% 2,989,500 4.68%
Region XII 1,734,700 4.14% 2,009,400 4.22% 2,285,700 4.28% 2,510,100 4.28% 2,772,400 4.34%
ARMM 1,522,600 3.63% 1,745,100 3.67% 1,963,500 3.67% 2,165,400 3.69% 2,419,600 3.79%
Caraga 1,064,700 2.54% 1,248,200 2.62% 1,417,900 2.65% 1,556,400 2.65% 1,685,100 2.64%
Source: National Statistics Office,
Projected Populations by Five-Year Age Group and Sex, by Region and Province, and by Five-Calendar Years: 2000-2040

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 Table 2A
Higher Education Age Range, By Region (Con’t)

2025 % Total 2030 % Total 2035 % Total 2040 % Total

Philippines 68,949,800 100.00% 73,947,500 100.00% 78,177,300 100.00% 81,540,300 100.00%
NCR 7,900,700 11.46% 7,950,500 10.75% 7,858,300 10.05% 7,810,200 9.58%
CAR 1,269,400 1.84% 1,378,300 1.86% 1,466,400 1.88% 1,534,000 1.88%
Region I 3,742,000 5.43% 4,042,400 5.47% 4,288,000 5.48% 4,473,800 5.49%
Region II 2,419,400 3.51% 2,573,300 3.48% 2,692,000 3.44% 2,764,800 3.39%
Region III 7,580,500 10.99% 8,039,300 10.87% 8,406,500 10.75% 8,701,500 10.67%
Region IVA 9,159,500 13.28% 9,774,300 13.22% 10,277,600 13.15% 10,718,200 13.14%
Region IVB 2,290,600 3.32% 2,580,900 3.49% 2,869,600 3.67% 3,141,300 3.85%
Region V 4,134,200 6.00% 4,551,600 6.16% 4,953,800 6.34% 5,280,700 6.48%
Region VI 5,364,000 7.78% 5,917,200 8.00% 6,402,500 8.19% 6,710,400 8.23%
Region VII 5,284,300 7.66% 5,727,000 7.74% 6,114,000 7.82% 6,414,400 7.87%
Region VIII 3,258,000 4.73% 3,615,300 4.89% 3,974,600 5.08% 4,279,100 5.25%
Region IX 2,430,200 3.52% 2,622,000 3.55% 2,798,200 3.58% 2,946,100 3.61%
Region X 3,271,900 4.75% 3,547,000 4.80% 3,782,900 4.84% 3,957,700 4.85%
Region XI 3,164,100 4.59% 3,329,300 4.50% 3,448,000 4.41% 3,495,000 4.29%
Region XII 3,039,800 4.41% 3,303,400 4.47% 3,539,500 4.53% 3,724,700 4.57%
ARMM 2,681,500 3.89% 2,930,100 3.96% 3,153,900 4.03% 3,341,300 4.10%
Caraga 1,836,600 2.66% 2,003,600 2.71% 2,151,500 2.75% 2,247,100 2.76%

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 Table 3
Higher Education Age Range Generation Mix

Philippines
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Traditionalist
Baby Boomer 15,057,500 16,867,900 8,633,700 4,554,700
Generation X 18,827,100 18,646,700 18,452,200 18,197,100 17,844,700 12,395,000 6,571,500
Generation Y 8,010,600 23,919,700 26,352,800 26,183,100 26,011,400 25,812,100 25,532,300 25,138,600 17,437,000
Generation Z 9,757,800 19,994,500 19,870,500 19,758,300 19,651,600 19,500,700
Born After 2004 10,872,200 22,085,400 33,387,100 44,602,600

National Capital Region

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Traditionalist
Baby Boomer 2,170,600 1,723,700 1,222,100 635,900
Generation X 2,951,200 2,841,600 2,737,500 2,648,600 2,563,000 1,758,000 904,200
Generation Y 974,400 1,914,900 2,939,100 2,904,500 2,822,800 2,724,300 2,635,300 2,554,300 1,686,900
Generation Z 1,137,900 2,312,300 2,309,200 2,252,400 2,174,900 2,105,500
Born After 2004 1,109,200 2,158,600 3,129,100 4,017,800

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