Vous êtes sur la page 1sur 14

Country

India I Equities

Daily

4 December 2014

India Morning Bell

Sensex: 28443

All the latest research and data


Fortis Healthcare Divestments now behind, focus on margins;
Hold. To address its key concern and de-leverage its balance sheet, the
company has taken various steps such as diluting its stake in the Religare
Health Trust, sale of the Dental Corp. subsidiary, an institutional
placement programme, the recent divestment of Hoan My Vietnam,
Quality Healthcare HongKong and RadLink-Asia Pte Ltd, Singapore.
This would help reduce leverage and focus on the fast-growing domestic
business. Net debt has already come down to `12.1bn vs `29.6bn a year
ago, implying net debt-to-equity of 0.24x now. Hence, interest cost ahead
would slide, boosting profitability. For FY16 we cut our revenue estimate
2.4%, and FY15 and FY16 EBITDA respectively 4.8% and 3.2% to
factor in higher business-trust costs and the divestment of its
international businesses.  
Bajaj Electricals Margins to be constrained; subdued
performance; Sell. We slash our FY15e/FY16e earnings because of
the lower sales and the EBITDA-margin decline. We expect earnings
growth to pick up in FY16 and FY17 because of more profitable orders
in hand (in E&P). The company plans capex of ~`400m on R&D in
FY15. We have introduced estimates for FY17. Due to the subdued
performance, we maintain our Sell on the stock. Assigning a PE of 15x
to FY17e earnings, we arrive at a target of `225. 

Chart of the day

India: Repo and reverse-repo rates unchanged

Nifty: 8538

Markets
Sensex
Nifty
Dow Jones
S & P 500
FTSE
Nikkei*
Hang Seng*

3 Dec 14

1 Day

YTD

28443
8538
17913
2074
6717
17845
23517

0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
0.4%
-0.4%
0.6%
0.5%

34.3%
35.4%
8.1%
12.2%
-0.5%
9.5%
0.9%

3 Dec 14

1 Day

Avg '14

636
3,132
22,318

21.3%
13.7%
-30.0%

526
2,643
32,107

3 Dec 14*

MTD

YTD

769
705
63

2,046
1,967
78

136,724
121,892
16,364

2,443
2,512
-69

8,874
9,359
-485

815,449
804,641
10,115

319
345
-25

818
939
-122

27,972
25,500
2,238

3 Dec 14

1 Day

YTD

70.3
1,208.5
572.5
61.9
1.2
119.8
8.0%
8.0%
354.13

0.5%
-0.1%
-3.8%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5.bps
.bps
1.4bps

-33.6%
0.2%
-2.1%
-0.2%
11.6%
-12.1%
-75.bps
-85.2bps
19.9bps

Volumes (US$m)
Cash BSE
Cash NSE
Derivatives (NSE)

Flows (US$m)
FII Cash
Buy
Sell
Net
FII - Derivatives
Buy
Sell
Net
DII Cash
Buy
Sell
Net

Others

Source: The RBI, Anand Rathi Research

Oil Brent (US$/bbl)*


Gold (US$/oz)*
Steel (US$/MT)
`/US$
US$/Euro*
Yen/US$*
Call Rate
10-year G-Secs
EMBI spreads

@7:30am *Provisional Source: BSE, Bloomberg

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely
of ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated
only within India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

4 December 2014

India Morning Bell

Market Data

Large Caps

Mid Caps

Small Caps

(>US$1bn)

(US$250m-1bn)

(US$100m-250m)

Price Performance
Top-5 gainers
Company

Price Performance
CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

BERGER PAINTS

424

19.5

6.6

WOCKHARDT LTD

936

15.6

EXIDE INDUS LTD

174

14.7

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

JET AIRWAYS IND

378

54.4

62.7

SPICEJET LTD

23.5

GULF OIL LUBRICA

505

34.1

52.7

TAKE SOLUTIONS

56

39.1

37.1

10.7

STRIDES ARCOLAB

911

23.8

36.7

SEQUENT SCIENTIF

536

27.5

19.0

556

26.6

38.7

70

26.0

78.0

1 Mth (%)

1096

13.6

17.7

ORIENTAL BANK OF

310

13.4

8.6

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

681

(14.9)

(15.7)

1325

(8.6)

(2.0)

VEDANTA RESOURCE
CONTAINER CORP
GMR INFRASTRUCTU

Price Performance
Top-5 gainers
Company

CMP (INR)

PUNJAB NATL BANK

Top-5 losers
Company

Top-5 gainers
Company

BAJAJ CORP LTD

353

16.0

24.2

ATUL AUTO LTD

ZYDUS WELLNESS

801

14.8

27.7

ONMOBILE GLOBAL

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

SUZLON ENERGY

13

(9.6)

(2.2)

ABAN OFFSHORE

543

(8.4)

(13.0)

Top-5 losers
Company

Top-5 losers
Company

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

21

39.6

1 Mth (%)
50.0

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

KAILASH AUTO FIN

12

(22.3)

(56.4)

NITIN FIRE PROT

33

(11.8)

(30.2)

18

(8.5)

(15.0)

KAVERI SEED

844

(7.5)

(8.5)

RS SOFTWARE INDI

542

(10.4)

(15.9)

OIL & NATURAL GA

361

(6.7)

(11.0)

JK CEMENTS LTD

606

(6.7)

0.3

GUJARAT NATURAL

182

(8.7)

(10.9)

NATIONAL ALUMIN

58

(6.6)

1.0

85

(5.7)

(25.5)

15

(8.4)

0.7

FUTURE RETAIL LT

GAMMON INFRASTRU

Volume

Volume

Volume

Volume spurts
Company

Volume spurts
Company

Volume spurts
Company

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

GUJARAT GAS CO

594

1,280,553

191.4

MOTILAL OSWAL

259

271,523

171.4

ICVL CHEMICALS L

195

1,518

282.9

OBEROI REALTY

258

1,115,807

171.7

GULF OIL LUBRICA

505

547,895

150.6

TAKE SOLUTIONS

56

2,238,107

266.4

CROMPTON GREAVES

189

24,660,992

157.0

STRIDES ARCOLAB

911

1,177,743

141.8

TRIBHOVANDAS BHI

169

591,423

173.4

BERGER PAINTS

424

1,471,113

135.9

JET AIRWAYS IND

378

8,013,150

133.7

GOODYEAR INDIA

659

129,274

134.1

34,281

26,418

81.6

SUN PHARMA ADV

200

1,301,477

124.1

ATUL AUTO LTD

556

1,010,260

127.5

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

Above 200 DMA


Company

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

800

429

85.3

BOMBAY BURMAH TR

457

182

151.2

ICVL CHEMICALS L

195

53

263.3

641
2,403

359
1,465

78.8 #
64.4 #

CENTURY PLYBOARD
JK TYRE & IND LT

163
639

80
319

104.3
99.5

EXDON TRADING CO
VISAGAR POLYTEX

308
805

85
234

259.4
253.3

EICHER MOTORS

14,359

8,901

61.1 #

GATI LTD

269

138

95.7

KAMALAKSHI FINAN

439

126

245.7

ASHOK LEYLAND

55

34

60.8

KITEX GARMENTS

523.7

285.6

82.3

SAFAL HERBS LTD

71

25

171.0

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

12

33

(63.4)

MRF LTD

Technicals
Above 200 DMA
Company

Technicals

NATIONAL BUILDIN
WHIRLPOOL OF IND
AJANTA PHARMA

Below 200 DMA


Company

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

142

250

(42.7)

JINDAL STEEL & P

Above 200 DMA


Company

Below 200 DMA


Company
SUZLON ENERGY

Technicals

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

13

19

(27.7)

Below 200 DMA


Company
KAILASH AUTO FIN

JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

30

52

(42.2)

PIPAVAV DEFENCE

35

47

(25.1)

SKIL INFRASTRUCT

29

54

(47.6)

VEDANTA RESOURCE

681

972

(30.0)

FUTURE RETAIL LT

85

113

(24.5)

KAPPAC PHARMA

262

421

(38.2)

18

26

(27.3)

JAYPEE INFRATECH

21

27

(22.6)

ESS DEE ALUMINIU

352

539

(34.6)

260

326

(20.2)

JAIPRAKASH POWER

13

17

(21.2)

FINANCIAL TECHNO

188

270

(30.5)

GMR INFRASTRUCTU
CAIRN INDIA

Source: Bloomberg

Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

Healthcare
India I Equities

Company Update
Change in Estimates Target Reco

4 December 2014

Fortis Healthcare

Rating: Hold
Target Price: `125
Share Price: `107

Divestments now behind, focus on margins; Hold


Key takeaways
Key data

FORH IN / FOHE.BO

`136 / `93
28443/8537
US$1.0m
`49.6bn / US$0.8bn
462..8

Focus back on India. In 2QFY15 Fortis Healthcare announced its RedLinkAsia Pte Ltd, Singapore, divestiture to Medi-Rad Associates for SG$137m.
This is in line with the companys strategy to focus on its domestic businesses.
After this divestment, the company does not have any international
operations. We view this as positive development and expect growth and
margins to improve ahead.

52-week high / low


Sensex / Nifty
3-m average volume
Market cap
Shares outstanding
Shareholding pattern (%)

Sep14 Jun 14 Mar 14

Weak 2QFY15. 2QFY15 revenue declined 19.5% yoy to `10.3bn. However,


consolidated revenue at its India business grew 11% yoy to `9.78bn. The
EBITDA margin slid 563bps yoy to 1.3%. Net loss came at `535m, chiefly
due to higher SG&A expenses, including business-trust costs. The domestic
hospitals division posted a strong, 12.6% yoy, rise in revenue, and the SRL
business grew 5.8% yoy.
Our take. To address its key concern and de-leverage its balance sheet, the
company has taken various steps such as diluting its stake in the Religare Health
Trust (RHT), sale of the Dental Corp. subsidiary, an institutional placement
programme, the recent divestment of Hoan My Vietnam, Quality Healthcare
HongKong and RadLink-Asia Pte Ltd, Singapore. This would help reduce leverage
and focus on the fast-growing domestic business. Net debt has already come
down to `12.1bn vs `29.6bn a year ago, implying net debt-to-equity of 0.24x
now. Hence, interest cost ahead would slide, boosting profitability. For FY16
we cut our revenue estimate 2.4%, and FY15 and FY16 EBITDA respectively
`
4.8%
and 3.2% to factor in higher business-trust costs and the divestment of
its international businesses.
The stock trades at 22.4x FY16e and 14x FY17e EV/EBITDA. We maintain a
Hold, with a revised price target of `125 based on 16x one-year-forward
EBITDA and `19 a share for the stake in RHT (earlier `116). Risks. Long
gestation period and delay in commercialisation of the new beds.

Promoters
- of which, Pledged
Free Float
- Foreign Institutions
- Domestic Institutions
- Public

71.34
74.44
28.66
9.04
0.31
19.31

Key financials (YE Mar)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

Sales (`m)

60,516

47,593

41,932

45,853

51,307

Net profit (`m)

-1,842

-1,654

-1,138

-31

1,234

-4.0

-3.6

-2.5

-0.1

2.7

EPS (`)
Growth (%)

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

PE (x)

-23.8

-30.0

-43.5

NA

40.2

P/B (x)

15.2

36.6

46.2

22.4

14.0

RoE (%)

1.2

1.2

1.0

0.9

0.8

RoCE (%)

-5.3

-4.1

-2.5

-0.1

2.2

Dividend yield (%)

2.5

1.1

0.1

1.4

2.7

Net gearing (%)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Estimates revision (%)

Sales
EBITDA
EPS

71.34
82.55
28.66
8.84
0.3
19.52

71.34
69.6
28.66
9.09
0.79
18.78

FY15e

FY16e

0
(4.8)
NA

(2.4)
(3.2)
NA

Relative price performance


150

Sensex

140
130
120

Fortis

110
100

Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14

90

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of
ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated only within
India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

4 December 2014

Fortis Healthcare Divestments now behind, focus on margins; Hold

Quick Glance Financials and Valuations


Fig 2 Balance sheet (` m)

Fig 1 Income statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

Net revenues
Revenue growth (%)
- Oper. expenses
EBIDTA
EBITDA margin (%)
- Interest expenses
- Depreciation
+ Other income
- Tax
Effective tax rate (%)
Reported PAT
+/- Extraordinary items
+/- Minority interest
Adjusted PAT
Adj. FDEPS (`/sh)
Adj. FDEPS growth (%)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

60,516
102.8
53,729
6,787
11.2
6,340
3,706
1,570
2,313
29.1
5,644
9,646
809
(1,842)
(4.0)
NA

47,593
(21.4)
45,759
1,834
3.9
3,163
2,479
1,706
265
18.5
1,166
3,533
158
(1,654)
(3.6)
NA

41,932
(11.9)
40,591
1,341
3.2
1,499
2,303
903
(312)
20.0
(1,247)
0
109
(1,138)
(2.5)
NA

45,853
9.4
43,291
2,562
5.6
1,312
2,462
1,038
(35)
20.0
(139)
0
109
(31)
(0.1)
NA

51,307
11.9
47,629
3,678
7.2
939
2,525
1,194
281
20.0
1,126
0
109
1,234
2.7
NA

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

4,095
33,013
37,109
16,912
64,650
261
118,932
95,179
11,874
3,893
6,762
5,117
118,932
59,533
(13.8)
90.6

4,628
38,196
42,824
8,093
20,076
350
71,342
42,939
18,174
9,934
7,644
2,585
71,342
17,491
(5.7)
92.5

4,628
43,172
47,799
8,093
20,076
350
76,318
43,090
18,174
9,934
7,422
7,633
76,318
12,443
0.6
103.3

4,628
48,117
52,745
8,093
15,076
350
76,263
43,127
18,174
9,934
7,656
7,306
76,263
7,770
0.0
114.0

4,628
54,296
58,924
8,093
10,076
350
77,442
43,102
18,174
9,934
7,929
8,237
77,442
1,839
0.2
127.3

Fig 4 Ratio analysis @ `107

Fig 3 Cash-flow statement (` m)


FY13

PAT
+ Non-cash items
Cash profit
- Incr./(Decr.) in WC
Operating cash-flow
- Capex
Free cash-flow
- Dividend
+ Equity raised
+ Debt raised
- Investments
- Misc. items
Net cash-flow
+ Op. cash & bank bal.
Cl. cash & bank bal.

Share capital
Reserves & surplus
Net worth
Minority interest
Total debt
Def. tax liab. (net)
Capital employed
Net fixed assets
Investments
- of which, Liquid
Net working capital
Cash and bank bal.
Capital deployed
Net debt
WC days
Book value (`/sh)

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Year-end: Mar

Year-end: Mar

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

5,644
1,166
3,706
2,479
9,350
3,645
(94)
882
9,444
2,763
1,396 (49,761)
8,047 52,524
0
0
0
5,298
(5,824) (44,574)
9,463
6,299
8,207 (9,480)
968 (2,532)
4,149
5,117
5,117
2,585

(1,247)
2,303
1,056
(222)
1,279
2,454
(1,175)
0
0
0
0
6,223
5,048
2,585
7,633

(139)
2,462
2,323
235
2,088
2,500
(412)
0
0
(5,000)
0
5,085
(327)
7,633
7,306

1,126
2,525
3,651
273
3,378
2,500
878
0
0
(5,000)
0
5,053
931
7,306
8,237

Year-end: Mar

P/E (x)
P/B (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
Dividend yield (%)
Dividend payout (%)
Asset turnover (x)
Net Debt/Equity (x)
Net debt/EBITDA (x)
Net debt/Op. CF (x)
Interest coverage (x)
P/CEPS (x)
EV/ sales (x)
M-cap/sales (x)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

(23.8)
1.2
15.2
(5.3)
2.5
0.0
0.0
0.6
1.7
8.8
6.3
0.5
23.5
1.7
0.7

(30.0)
1.2
36.6
(4.1)
1.1
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.5
9.5
6.3
(0.2)
60.1
1.4
1.0

(43.5)
1.0
46.2
(2.5)
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.4
9.3
9.7
(0.6)
42.5
1.5
1.2

NA
0.9
22.4
(0.1)
1.4
0.0
0.0
0.4
0.3
3.0
3.7
0.1
20.4
1.3
1.1

40.2
0.8
14.0
2.2
2.7
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.2
0.5
0.5
1.2
13.2
1.0
1.0

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 5 EV/EBITDA band

Fig 6 Revenue breakup (FY15e)

(`m)
200,000

SRL
18%

160,000
International
4%

120,000
80,000
28x
25x
20x
15x

40,000

Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Research

Indian Hospitals
78%

Nov-14

May-14

Nov-13

May-13

Nov-12

May-12

Nov-11

May-11

Nov-10

Nov-09

May-10

Nov-08

May-09

Nov-07

May-08

Source: Anand Rathi Research

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the
compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research
analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have
no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 3 December 2014)

190

Fortis
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

170
150
130

4
2

110

Date
24-Oct-11
14-Feb-12
11-Jun-12
27-Dec-12
13-Feb-13
4-Jun-13
8-Oct-13

Rating
Buy
Hold
Sell
Sell
Hold
Hold
Hold

TP
(`)
160
120
102
110
118
105
116

Share
Price (`)
121
107
101
117
102
90
116

3
6

90

Sep-14

Nov-14

Jun-14

Apr-14

Jan-14

Nov-13

Sep-13

Apr-13

Jun-13

Jan-13

Nov-12

Jun-12

Aug-12

Jan-12

Mar-12

Oct-11

Aug-11

Mar-11

May-11

Jan-11

70

The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking
revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described
in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 3 December 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its
functioning and governance. The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a
group consists of various companies which may include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views,
stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential
conflict of interest in the views held by ARSSBL and other companies of Anand Rathi who maybe affiliated, connected or catering to the companies mentioned in
the Research Report; even though, ARSSBL and Anand Rathi are fully complaint with all procedural and operational regulatory requirements. Thus, investors
should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report bearing in
mind the aforementioned.
Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures
or other derivatives related to such securities (hereinafter referred to as Related Investments). ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi may trade for their own accounts as
market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in related investments, and may be on taking a
different position from the ones which haven been taken by the public orders. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi and its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may
have a long or short position in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in Related Investments. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi, may
from time to time, perform investment banking, investment management, financial advisory or any other services not explicitly mentioned herein, or solicit
investment banking or other business from, any entity and/or company mentioned in this Research Report; however, the same shall have no bearing whatsoever
on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the other
companies of Anand Rathi, even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest.
Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation
and the specific financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the
appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that
statements regarding future prospects may or may not be realized, and we can not guarantee the same as analysis and valuation is a tool to enable investors to
make investment decisions but, is not an exact and/or a precise science. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that
each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Foreign currency rates of exchange may
adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.

Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America


This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is
not to be copied or made available to any person other than the recipient. It is distributed in the United States of America by Enclave Capital LLC (19 West 44th
Street, Suite 1700, New York, NY 10036) and elsewhere in the world by ARSSBL or an authorized affiliate of ARSSBL (such entities and any other entity, directly
or indirectly, controlled by ARSSBL, the Affiliates). This document does not constitute an offer of, or an invitation by or on behalf of ARSSBL or its Affiliates or any
other company to any person, to buy or sell any security. The information contained herein has been obtained from published information and other sources, which
ARSSBL or its Affiliates consider to be reliable. None of ARSSBL or its Affiliates accepts any liability or responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness
of any such information. All estimates, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained herein are made as of the date of this document. Emerging
securities markets may be subject to risks significantly higher than more established markets. In particular, the political and economic environment, company
practices and market prices and volumes may be subject to significant variations. The ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower
information quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do
not expect to receive compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or
sell those securities or options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or
analysis on which they are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other
services for or solicit to seek to obtain investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to
effect transactions in any securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the
prior written consent of Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

Consumer Durables
India I Equities

Company Update
Change in Estimates Target Reco

4 December 2014

Bajaj Electricals
Rating: Sell
Target Price: `225
Share Price: `220

Margins to be constrained; subdued performance; Sell


Key takeaways

Key financials (YE Mar)

Sales (`m)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

33,773

40,298

45,088

52,186

59,920

Net profit (`m)

314

(53)

605

1,269

1,493

EPS (`)

3.2

(0.5)

6.1

12.7

15.0

109.6

17.6

PE (x)

69.7

(412.8)

36.2

17.3

14.7

PBV (x)

3.0

3.1

3.0

2.6

2.3

RoE (%)

7.2

(0.7)

8.4

16.3

16.9

RoCE (%)

10.8

5.9

16.0

22.9

23.9

0.9

0.7

1.4

1.4

1.4

11.0

31.4

49.3

45.3

46.4

Growth (%)

Dividend yield (%)


Net gearing (%)

Sep14 Jun14

Promoters
- of which, Pledged
Free Float
- Foreign Institutions
- Domestic Institutions
- Public

65.6
34.4
14.0
6.0
14.3

Mar14

65.9
34.1
16.2
3.8
13.9

66.1
33.9
14.6
3.8
15.4

Estimates revision (%)

FY15e

FY16e

Sales
EBITDA
EPS

(4.4)
(30.9)
(55.3)

(5.0)
(9.2)
(23.4)

Relative price performance


400

BJE

350
300
250
200

Sensex
Dec-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Sep-14

Jul-14

Aug-14

Jun-14

Apr-14

May-14

150
Mar-14

Our take. We slash our FY15e/FY16e earnings because of the lower sales
and the EBITDA-margin decline. We expect earnings growth to pick up in
`
FY16 and FY17 because of more profitable orders in hand (in E&P). The
company plans capex of ~`400m on R&D in FY15. We have introduced
estimates for FY17. Due to the subdued performance, we maintain our Sell
on the stock. Assigning a PE of 15x to FY17e earnings, we arrive at a target
of `225. Risks. Better performance of the E&P division, greater demand for
electrical appliances.

`385 / `160
28265 /8445
US$0.5m
`22.3bn / US$0.36bn
99.9m

Shareholding pattern (%)

Jan-14

Future guidance. Management has guided to no growth in the lighting


division in 2HFY15, and decent growth in luminaires. Consumer durables is
expected to grow over 10%. The E&P division is expected to turn around in
2H, with expected revenue of `15.5bn in FY15 (`5.5bn in 1H and `10bn in
2HFY15). The company expects a 17-18% gross margin in this business.
The greater inventory has hit the companys bottom line. To enhance brand
visibility, ad-spend in FY15 would be ~`0.63bn.

BJE IN / BJEL.BO

52-week high / low


Sensex / Nifty
3-m average volume
Market cap
Shares outstanding

Feb-14

E&P division still under pressure; lighting, a drag. 2QFY15 revenue


was up 7.2% to `10.3bn. The E&P division revenue shot up 32.5% but its
EBIT margin was a negative 8.3% due to losses in its old and sticky projects.
Provision of `130m has been made for those projects, and EBIT has been
hit by `75m because of bad debts. At present, this divisions order book is
~`30bn. The lighting/consumer divisions EBIT margins slid 479/254bps
yoy.

Key data

Dec-13

Weak operating performance of all divisions. According to Bajaj


Electricals management, dropping volumes resulted in shrinking consumerdurable margins in 2QFY15. Margins were hit by lower water-heater sales
and sales of the fans division. The appliances division grew 4.3%; luminaires
was modest while lighting slowed down 10% due to lower offtake of CFLs.
The CFL margin was squeezed by LED demand in the market picking up.

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of
ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated only within
India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

4 December 2014

Bajaj Electricals Margins to be constrained; subdued performance; Sell

Quick Glance Financials and Valuations


Fig 2 Balance sheet (` m)

Fig 1 Income statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

FY13

Net sales
Sales growth (%)
- Oper. expenses
EBIDTA
EBITDA margins (%)
- Interest
- Depreciation
+ Other income
- Tax
Effective tax rate (%)
Reported PAT
+/- Extraordinary items
Adjusted PAT
Adj. FDEPS (`/sh)
Adj. FDEPS growth (%)
DPS (`/sh)

33,773
9.0
32,665
1,109
3.3
690
145
168
178
25.8
512
198
314
3.2
(73.3)
2.00

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

40,298
45,088
19.3
11.9
39,480
42,937
818
2,151
2.0
4.8
783
1,100
248
330
153
169
(7)
285
10.9
32.0
(53)
605
(53)
605
(0.5)
6.1
(116.9) (1,240.2)
1.50
3.00

52,186
15.7
48,846
3,340
6.4
1,293
367
186
597
32.0
1,269
1,269
12.7
109.6
3.00

59,920
14.8
56,085
3,835
6.4
1,449
396
205
702
32.0
1,493
1,493
15.0
17.6
3.00

Year-end: Mar

Share capital
Reserves & surplus
Shareholders fund
Debt
Deferred Tax Liab (net)
Minority interests
Capital employed
Net Fixed assets
Investments
Working capital
Cash
Capital deployed
Net Debt
Net Debt/Equity (%)
W C turn (days)
Book value (`/sh)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

200
7,087
7,286
1,600
8,887
2,323
298
5,686
501
8,887
1,099.5
11.0
63
73.2

200
6,891
7,091
3,447
10,543
2,518
673
6,554
544
10,543
2,902.6
31.4
55
71.3

200
7,147
7,347
4,947
12,293
2,688
673
8,029
649
12,293
4,297.5
49.3
59
73.8

200
8,066
8,266
5,447
13,713
2,721
673
9,034
1,031
13,713
4,415.5
45.3
60
83.1

200
9,209
9,409
5,697
15,106
2,625
673
10,896
658
15,106
5,039.0
46.4
61
94.6

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 4 Ratio analysis @ `220

Fig 3 Cash-flow statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

Year-end: Mar

PAT
+ Non-cash Items
Cash profit
- Incr./(Decr.) in WC
Operating cash-flow
- Capex
Free cash-flow
- Dividend
+ Equity raised
+ Debt raised
- Investments
- Misc. items
Net cash-flow
+ Opening cash
Closing cash

512
85
597
(358)
955
601
354
233
9
(311)
(143)
(3)
(35)
536
501

(53)
74
20
868
(848)
442
(1,290)
175
37
1,846
376
43
501
544

605
330
935
1,475
(540)
500
(1,040)
350
(5)
1,500
105
544
649

1,269
367
1,636
1,005
632
400
232
350
0
500
382
649
1,031

1,493
396
1,889
1,862
26
300
(274)
350
(0)
250
(373)
1,031
658

P/E (x)
P/B (x)
EV/Sales (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoAE (%)
RoACE (%)
Dividend yield (%)
Dividend payout (%)
Cash PE
Debt/ Equity (x)
Debtors Days
Inventory Days
Payable days
WC days
F.A Turnover(x)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

69.7
3.0
0.7
20.5
7.2
10.8
0.9
45.5
33.4
0.22
110.6
42.0
149.3
63.4
14.5

(412.8)
3.1
0.6
29.5
(0.7)
5.9
0.7
(329.3)
112.8
0.49
98.8
39.3
156.0
55.4
16.0

36.2
3.0
0.6
11.9
8.4
16.0
1.4
57.8
23.4
0.67
111.2
38.0
175.0
59.0
16.8

17.3
2.6
0.5
7.7
16.3
22.9
1.4
27.6
13.4
0.66
109.3
37.0
172.0
59.7
19.2

14.7
2.3
0.4
6.9
16.9
23.9
1.4
23.4
11.6
0.61
109.4
37.0
173.0
60.7
22.8

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 5 PE band

Fig 6 FY14 revenue break-up

(`)
400

Lighting &
Luminaires
24%

350
BJE

300
250

20x

200

Consumer
Durables (Incl.
Fans)
47%

16x

150

12x

100

8x

50

4x

Engineering &
Projects
29%

Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Research

Nov-14

May-14

Nov-13

May-13

Nov-12

May-12

Nov-11

May-11

Nov-10

May-10

Nov-09

May-09

Nov-08

-50

Source: Company

4 December 2014

Bajaj Electricals Margins to be constrained; subdued performance; Sell

Weak performance, segment-wise


Fig 7 Quarterly Results vs Estimates (` m)
Quarterly results

2QFY15e % var (est)

2QFY14

2QFY15

% var (yoy)

1QFY15

% var (qoq)

9,602

10,295

7.2

8,876

16.0

10,823

(4.9)

(16)

98

718.2

369

(73.3)

588

(83.3)

PBT

(231)

(203)

12.1

76

(366.8)

300

(167.7)

Adj. PAT

(154)

(142)

7.7

56

(352.4)

201

(170.7)

Sales
EBIDTA

Source: Company.

Bajaj Electricals 2QFY15 revenue rose 7.2% yoy to `10.3bn (`9.6bn a year
ago) following 32.5% revenue growth in its E&P division. The EBIDTA
margin was 1% (-0.2% a year ago). Despite the revenue growth in the E&P
division, the 2QFY15 EBIT loss came at `281m (`433m in 2QFY14). In
2QFY15 the company reported a net loss of `142m, chiefly because of the
lighting divisions lower margins. Capital employed was `12.1bn (`9.7bn last
year). Management had guided to reducing capital employed in the E&P
division as well as improving the margin there in FY15 since many old and
sticky projects have been executed and new orders have been received.
Segment-wise performance
Fig 8 Segment-wise revenue (` m)
1HFY15

% var

Lighting & Luminaires

2QFY14

2,509

2QFY15 % var (yoy)

2,260

(10.0)

1QFY15 % var (qoq) 1HFY14

1,686

34.0

4,083

3,946

(3.4)

Consumer Durables

4,539

4,657

2.6

5,046

(7.7)

8,906

9,703

9.0

Engineering & Projects

2,545

3,373

32.5

2,142

57.4

4,438

5,515

24.3

Source: Company

Fig 9 Segment-wise margins (%)


2QFY14

Lighting & Luminaires


Consumer Durables
Engineering & Projects

7.6

2QFY15 % var (yoy)

1QFY15 % var (qoq) 1HFY14

2.8

(479)bps

1.5

137bps

6.6

8.5

6.0

(254)bps

6.9

(89)bps

8.9

(17.0)

(8.3)

868bps

(2.8)

(557)bps

(15.6)

1HFY15

% var

2.3 (431)bps
6.4 (243)bps
(6.2)

942bps

Source: Company

Other Highlights

Anand Rathi Research

The company did not see good growth in its consumer-durables


division, and its fans have declined 4.7%.

It recruited 250 people in the last six months to execute the new
projects; this has increased fixed costs by ~`40m.

It is fairly confident of launching better products in FY15. The


management is focusing on increasing sales through campaigns, and
improving profitability.

4 December 2014

Bajaj Electricals Margins to be constrained; subdued performance; Sell

Fig 10 Lighting and Luminaires: slow revenue growth


(`m)

Fig 11 Lighting and Luminaires: margin decline


(%)

(`m)

(%)

3,000

60

300

12

2,500

45

250

10

200

2,000

30
150

1,500

15
100

1,000

50

-15

Revenue

1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

500

EBIT

Growth (RHS)

EBIT Margin (RHS)

Source: Company

Source: Company

Fig 12 Consumer Durables: revenue grows at slower pace

Fig 13 Consumer Durables: margin drops

(`m)

(%)

(`m)

(%)

5,500

45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5

700

15.0

4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000

13.0
500

Revenue

12.0
11.0

400

10.0

300

9.0
200

8.0

100

1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

1,500

14.0

600

7.0
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

5,000

Growth (RHS)

EBIT

Source: Company

EBIT Margin (RHS)

Source: Company

Fig 14 E&P: revenue rises sharply

Fig 15 E&P: EBIT margin still in the red

(`m)

(%)

(`m)

(%)

4,500

100

15

4,000

80

500
400
300
200
100
0
-100
-200
-300
-400
-500
-600

60

3,000

40

2,500
20

2,000

1,500

-20

500

-40
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

1,000

Revenue

Source: Company

Anand Rathi Research

10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
4QFY13
1QFY14
2QFY14
3QFY14
4QFY14
1QFY15
2QFY15

3,500

Growth (RHS)

EBIT

EBIT Margin (RHS)

Source: Company

4 December 2014

Bajaj Electricals Margins to be constrained; subdued performance; Sell

Valuation
Fig 16 Change in estimates
FY15
Year end : Mar

FY16

New

Old

% Chg

New

Old

% Chg

Net Sales (` m)

45,088

47,184

(4.4)

52,186

54,909

(5.0)

EBIDTA (` m)

2,151

3,114

(30.9)

3,340

3,679

(9.2)

EBIDTA margins (%)

4.8

6.6

(183)bps

6.4

6.7

(30) bps

Adj. PAT (` m)

605

1,356

(55.3)

1,269

1,650

(23.1)

Source: Anand Rathi Research

In view of the declining operating performance and softened guidance by


management, we slash our FY15 and FY16 profit expectations, respectively,
55% and 23.4%. We assign a PE of 15x to FY17e and arrive at a target of
`225. We maintain a Sell on the stock. It trades at a PE of 17.3x FY16e and
14.7x FY17e.
Risks

Anand Rathi Research

Turnaround in the E&P business.

Greater demand for electrical appliances.

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the
compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research
analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have
no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 1 December 2014)

410

Bajaj Electrical
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9

360
310
9

260
2

210
160

110

6
3 4

8
7

Date
Rating
22-Dec-11
Buy
29-May-12
Sell
30-Jul-12
Sell
20-Sep-12
Sell
10-Apr-13
Sell
10-Jul-13
Sell
13-Aug-13
Sell
12-Feb-14 Hold
30-May-14
Sell

TP
(`)
193
180
171
174
177
165
163
242
249

Share
Price (`)
136
197
173
191
168
174
159
232
319

60
Nov-14

Aug-14

Jun-14

Mar-14

Dec-13

Sep-13

Jun-13

Mar-13

Dec-12

Sep-12

Jun-12

Mar-12

Dec-11

Sep-11

Jun-11

Apr-11

Jan-11

10

The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking
revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described
in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 1 December 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its
functioning and governance. The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a
group consists of various companies which may include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views,
stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential
conflict of interest in the views held by ARSSBL and other companies of Anand Rathi who maybe affiliated, connected or catering to the companies mentioned in
the Research Report; even though, ARSSBL and Anand Rathi are fully complaint with all procedural and operational regulatory requirements. Thus, investors
should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report bearing in
mind the aforementioned.
Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures
or other derivatives related to such securities (hereinafter referred to as Related Investments). ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi may trade for their own accounts as
market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in related investments, and may be on taking a
different position from the ones which haven been taken by the public orders. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi and its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may
have a long or short position in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in Related Investments. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi, may
from time to time, perform investment banking, investment management, financial advisory or any other services not explicitly mentioned herein, or solicit
investment banking or other business from, any entity and/or company mentioned in this Research Report; however, the same shall have no bearing whatsoever
on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the other
companies of Anand Rathi, even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest.
Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation
and the specific financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the
appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that
statements regarding future prospects may or may not be realized, and we can not guarantee the same as analysis and valuation is a tool to enable investors to
make investment decisions but, is not an exact and/or a precise science. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that
each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Foreign currency rates of exchange may
adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.

Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America


This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is
not to be copied or made available to any person other than the recipient. It is distributed in the United States of America by Enclave Capital LLC (19 West 44th
Street, Suite 1700, New York, NY 10036) and elsewhere in the world by ARSSBL or an authorized affiliate of ARSSBL (such entities and any other entity, directly
or indirectly, controlled by ARSSBL, the Affiliates). This document does not constitute an offer of, or an invitation by or on behalf of ARSSBL or its Affiliates or any
other company to any person, to buy or sell any security. The information contained herein has been obtained from published information and other sources, which
ARSSBL or its Affiliates consider to be reliable. None of ARSSBL or its Affiliates accepts any liability or responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness
of any such information. All estimates, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained herein are made as of the date of this document. Emerging
securities markets may be subject to risks significantly higher than more established markets. In particular, the political and economic environment, company
practices and market prices and volumes may be subject to significant variations. The ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower
information quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do
not expect to receive compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or
sell those securities or options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or
analysis on which they are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other
services for or solicit to seek to obtain investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to
effect transactions in any securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the
prior written consent of Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the research
analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by
stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely
delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based upon various factors,
including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described in the Ratings Table
below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 3 September 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its functioning and governance.
The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a group consists of various companies which may
include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views, stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of
ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential conflict of interest in the views held by ARSSBL and other companies of Anand Rathi who maybe affiliated,
connected or catering to the companies mentioned in the Research Report; even though, ARSSBL and Anand Rathi are fully complaint with all procedural and operational regulatory
requirements. Thus, investors should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report
bearing in mind the aforementioned.
Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor
any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities
(hereinafter referred to as Related Investments). ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi may trade for their own accounts as market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of the
companies mentioned in the Research Report or in related investments, and may be on taking a different position from the ones which haven been taken by the public orders. ARSSBL
and/or Anand Rathi and its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may have a long or short position in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in
Related Investments. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi, may from time to time, perform investment banking, investment management, financial advisory or any other services not explicitly
mentioned herein, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any entity and/or company mentioned in this Research Report; however, the same shall have no bearing
whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the other companies of
Anand Rathi, even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest.
Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the specific
financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any
securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that statements regarding future prospects may or may not be realized,
and we can not guarantee the same as analysis and valuation is a tool to enable investors to make investment decisions but, is not an exact and/or a precise science. Investors should
note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.
Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America
This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is not to be copied or
made available to any person other than the recipient. It is distributed in the United States of America by Enclave Capital LLC (19 West 44th Street, Suite 1700, New York, NY 10036) and
elsewhere in the world by ARSSBL or an authorized affiliate of ARSSBL (such entities and any other entity, directly or indirectly, controlled by ARSSBL, the Affiliates). This document
does not constitute an offer of, or an invitation by or on behalf of ARSSBL or its Affiliates or any other company to any person, to buy or sell any security. The information contained herein
has been obtained from published information and other sources, which ARSSBL or its Affiliates consider to be reliable. None of ARSSBL or its Affiliates accepts any liability or
responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness of any such information. All estimates, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained herein are made as of
the date of this document. Emerging securities markets may be subject to risks significantly higher than more established markets. In particular, the political and economic environment,
company practices and market prices and volumes may be subject to significant variations. The ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower information
quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect to receive
compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those securities or
options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on which they
are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit to seek to obtain
investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect transactions in any
securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of
Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

Vous aimerez peut-être aussi