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Country

India I Equities

Daily

8 December 2014

India Morning Bell

Sensex: 28458

All the latest research and data

Nifty: 8538

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold. One of the


first problems identified by Infosys new management is industry-wide
downward pressure on pricing. This can now only be offset by hiring
fresh graduates in large numbers. This state is undesirable according to
the management and, therefore, the focus is on utilising advanced
technologies (cloud, open source, AI, M2M) to turn more productive.
We largely retain our estimates after the analyst meet as we await
changes being reflected in financials (only change being FY17 margins
on management outlook). However, the recent run-up in the stock
means a recommendation downgrade from a Buy to a Hold. At our TP,
it would trade at 18x FY17 PE.  
Indag Rubber Tyre-retreading specialist. The second-largest
operator in the organised cold-retreading arena, with a market share of
20-25%, Indag Rubber was incorporated in 1978 in a joint venture with
the US-based Bandag. Indag is a niche operator in the replacement
segment as an alternative to direct tyre demand. With recovery in CV
demand expected to gather momentum ahead, demand for retreading
would also expand. Indags FY14 EBITDA margin came at ~16%,
comparing favourably with most tyre manufacturers; it has healthy
return ratios and good cash-flow generation. 

14
13
12

(Inflation,%)

Markets
Sensex
Nifty
Dow Jones
S & P 500
FTSE
Nikkei*
Hang Seng*

11
10
9
8

5 Dec 14

1 Day

YTD

28458
8538
17959
2075
6743
17906
24027

-0.4%
-0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
1.0%
-0.2%
0.2%

34.4%
35.4%
8.3%
12.3%
-0.1%
9.9%
3.1%

5 Dec 14

1 Day

Avg '14

586
2,776
20,816

-9.7%
-6.3%
-6.9%

527
2,645
32,055

5 Dec 14*

MTD

YTD

659
677
-18

1,411
1,244
254

1,37,382
1,22,447
16,533

2,132
2,086
46

33,935
33,585
350

8,29,979
8,18,733
10,554

249
222
27

693
498
195

28,372
25,807
2,330

Volumes (US$m)
Cash BSE
Cash NSE
Derivatives (NSE)

Flows (US$m)
FII Cash
Buy
Sell
Net
FII - Derivatives
Buy
Sell
Net
DII Cash
Buy
Sell
Net

India: Food & fuel drive down non-core inflation

Others

7
6

Non-core
Source: GoI, Anand Rathi Research

Core

Oct-14

Aug-14

Jun-14

Apr-14

Feb-14

Dec-13

Oct-13

Aug-13

Jun-13

Apr-13

Feb-13

Dec-12

Oct-12

Chart of the day

Oil Brent (US$/bbl)*


Gold (US$/oz)*
Steel (US$/MT)
`/US$
US$/Euro*
Yen/US$*
Call Rate
10-year G-Secs
EMBI spreads

5 Dec 14

1 Day

YTD

68.2
1,193.6
557.5
61.8
1.2
121.4
8.3%
7.9%
353.43

-1.3%
0.1%
-2.6%
0.0%
-0.1%
0.0%
22.bps
-3.bps
1.2bps

-35.6%
-1.0%
-4.7%
0.0%
11.7%
-13.3%
-50.bps
-88.7bps
19.2bps

@7:30am *Provisional Source: BSE, Bloomberg

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely
of ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated
only within India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

8 December 2014

India Morning Bell

Market Data

Large Caps

Mid Caps

Small Caps

(>US$1bn)

(US$250m-1bn)

(US$100m-250m)

Price Performance

Price Performance

Top-5 gainers
Company

Top-5 gainers
Company

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

BERGER PAINTS

424

19.5

6.6

WOCKHARDT LTD

936

15.6

23.5

EXIDE INDUS LTD

Price Performance
CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

Top-5 gainers
Company

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

JET AIRWAYS IND

378

54.4

62.7

SPICEJET LTD

21

39.6

50.0

GULF OIL LUBRICA

505

34.1

52.7

TAKE SOLUTIONS

56

39.1

37.1
19.0

1 Mth (%)

174

14.7

10.7

STRIDES ARCOLAB

911

23.8

36.7

SEQUENT SCIENTIF

536

27.5

PUNJAB NATL BANK

1096

13.6

17.7

BAJAJ CORP LTD

353

16.0

24.2

ATUL AUTO LTD

556

26.6

38.7

ORIENTAL BANK OF

310

13.4

8.6

ZYDUS WELLNESS

801

14.8

27.7

ONMOBILE GLOBAL

70

26.0

78.0

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

CMP (INR)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

681

(14.9)

(15.7)

SUZLON ENERGY

13

(9.6)

(2.2)

1325

(8.6)

(2.0)

ABAN OFFSHORE

543

(8.4)

(13.0)

18

(8.5)

(15.0)

KAVERI SEED

844

(7.5)

(8.5)

OIL & NATURAL GA

361

(6.7)

(11.0)

JK CEMENTS LTD

606

(6.7)

0.3

NATIONAL ALUMIN

58

(6.6)

1.0

85

(5.7)

(25.5)

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

GUJARAT GAS CO

594

12,80,553

191.4

MOTILAL OSWAL

259

2,71,523

171.4

ICVL CHEMICALS L

OBEROI REALTY

258

11,15,807

171.7

GULF OIL LUBRICA

505

5,47,895

150.6

TAKE SOLUTIONS

CROMPTON GREAVES

189

246,60,992

157.0

STRIDES ARCOLAB

911

11,77,743

141.8

424

14,71,113

135.9

JET AIRWAYS IND

378

80,13,150

34,281

26,418

81.6

SUN PHARMA ADV

200

13,01,477

Top-5 losers
Company
VEDANTA RESOURCE
CONTAINER CORP
GMR INFRASTRUCTU

Volume
Volume spurts
Company

Top-5 losers
Company

FUTURE RETAIL LT

BERGER PAINTS
MRF LTD

Technicals

Technicals

Above 200 DMA


Company

Above 200 DMA


Company

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

1 wk (%)

1 Mth (%)

12

(22.3)

(56.4)

NITIN FIRE PROT

33

(11.8)

(30.2)

RS SOFTWARE INDI

542

(10.4)

(15.9)

GUJARAT NATURAL

182

(8.7)

(10.9)

15

(8.4)

0.7

CMP (INR)

1 wk avg

1/4 wk (%)

195

1,518

282.9

56

22,38,107

266.4

TRIBHOVANDAS BHI

169

5,91,423

173.4

133.7

GOODYEAR INDIA

659

1,29,274

134.1

124.1

ATUL AUTO LTD

556

10,10,260

127.5

800

429

85.3

641
2,403

359
1,465

14,359
55

GAMMON INFRASTRU

Volume
Volume spurts
Company

Technicals
Above 200 DMA
Company

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

BOMBAY BURMAH TR

457

182

151.2

ICVL CHEMICALS L

195

53

263.3

78.8
64.4

CENTURY PLYBOARD
JK TYRE & IND LT

163
639

80
319

104.3
99.5

EXDON TRADING CO
VISAGAR POLYTEX

308
805

85
234

259.4
253.3

8,901

61.1

GATI LTD

34

60.8

KITEX GARMENTS

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

142

250

(42.7)

NATIONAL BUILDIN
WHIRLPOOL OF IND
AJANTA PHARMA
EICHER MOTORS
ASHOK LEYLAND
Below 200 DMA
Company

CMP (INR)

KAILASH AUTO FIN

Volume
Volume spurts
Company

Top-5 losers
Company

JINDAL STEEL & P


JAIPRAKASH ASSOC

269

138

95.7

KAMALAKSHI FINAN

439

126

245.7

523.7

285.6

82.3

SAFAL HERBS LTD

71

25

171.0

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

CMP (INR)

200D Avg

(%)

SUZLON ENERGY

13

19

(27.7)

KAILASH AUTO FIN

12

33

(63.4)

Below 200 DMA


Company

Below 200 DMA


Company

30

52

(42.2)

PIPAVAV DEFENCE

35

47

(25.1)

SKIL INFRASTRUCT

29

54

(47.6)

VEDANTA RESOURCE

681

972

(30.0)

FUTURE RETAIL LT

85

113

(24.5)

KAPPAC PHARMA

262

421

(38.2)

GMR INFRASTRUCTU

18

26

(27.3)

JAYPEE INFRATECH

21

27

(22.6)

ESS DEE ALUMINIU

352

539

(34.6)

260

326

(20.2)

JAIPRAKASH POWER

13

17

(21.2)

FINANCIAL TECHNO

188

270

(30.5)

CAIRN INDIA

Source: Bloomberg

Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

Technology
India I Equities

Company Update
Change in Estimates Target Reco

8 December 2014

Infosys

Rating: Hold
Target Price: `2,300
Share Price: `2,070

Entering a critical execution phase; Hold


Analyst meet takeaways
Betting on advanced tech to escape perpetual pricing pressure. One of the first
problems identified by Infosys new management is industry-wide downward
pressure on pricing. This can now only be offset by hiring fresh graduates in large
numbers. This state is undesirable according to the management and, therefore, the
focus is on utilising advanced technologies (cloud, open source, AI, M2M) to turn
more productive. Also, employees need to be more proactive (a cultural matter)
regarding their clients problems. These two factors should help the company
increase pricing of its services as it climbs the value chain.
Focus on design thinking and holistic solutions. Infosys believes that the
focus on design thinking, clubbed with product engineering, can help it deliver
large integrated solutions. At present, these components exist, but in scattered
form, adding little value to a client due to multiple interfaces. The management
believes that such holistic solutions can integrate product engineering and IT
solutions, together creating value for clients.
Upskilling employees using training infrastructure. Adding new technologies
(AI, SMAC and automation) to existing service lines and products (Finacle), Infosys
is leveraging its extensive training infrastructure to upskill its large employee base.
This strategy is expected to prove less disruptive as no widespread segregation is
expected in the workforce of new and old tech employees. To support these
measures, the company has increased its workforce in key growth areas and
revamped its sales team (with revised incentive plans).

Key data

INFO IN / INFY.BO

52-week high / low


Sensex / Nifty
3-m average volume
Market cap
Shares outstanding

`2,200/ `1,447
28458 / 8538
US$85.2m
`2376bn / US$38.41bn
574m

Shareholding pattern (%)

Sep 14 Jun 14 Mar 14

Promoters
- of which, Pledged
Free Float
- Foreign Institutions
- Domestic Institutions
- Public

15.92 15.94
84.08. 84.06.
42.67 41.58
14.48 14.08
26.93
28.4

Estimates revision (%)

Sales (US$)
EBITDA
Net profit

15.94
84.06
42.1
13.66
28.3

FY16e

FY17e

1.8
1.7

Relative price performance

Margin outlook intact, but finer details in April. Infosys has maintained its
outlook regarding stable margins (25% +/-100bps) in the medium term despite
investment
in sales, products and delivery. This would essentially be driven by
`
efficiency improvements being ploughed back into investments.
Our take. We largely retain our estimates after the analyst meet as we await
changes being reflected in financials (only change being FY17 margins on
management outlook). However, the recent run-up in the stock means a
recommendation downgrade from a Buy to a Hold. At our TP, it would trade at
18x FY17 PE. Risks. Organization-wide changes may lead to volatility.
Quarterly results (YE: Mar)

Sales (US$m)
Sales (`m)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

7,398

8,249

8,881

9,956

11,229

403,520

501,330

533,474

596,394

672,640

94,210

106,480

124,013

134,429

146,582

EPS (`)

165

186

108

117

128

Growth (%)

13%

13%

-42%

8%

9%

PE (x)

25.2

22.3

19.2

17.7

16.2

PBV (x)

6.0

5.0

4.4

4.0

3.7

Net profit (`m)

RoE (%)

26%

24%

24%

24%

24%

RoCE (%) after tax

20%

19%

19%

19%

19%

Dividend yield (%)

2%

3%

2%

3%

3%

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Company

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of
ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated only within
India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

8 December 2014

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold

Quick Glance Financials and Valuations


Fig 2 Balance sheet (` m)

Fig 1 Income statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

Year-end: Mar

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

413,940
2,860
395,110
397,970
0
0
15,970
413,940
64,680
23,440
18,320
357,070
70,830
24,350
239,650
22,240
49,570
1,890
8,590
39,090

501,040
2,860
472,440
475,300
0
0
25,740
501,040
78,870
24,990
23,980
442,710
83,510
28,110
302,580
28,510
69,510
1,730
7,000
60,780

563,693
2,860
534,447
537,307
0
0
26,386
563,693
91,272
24,990
24,310
504,635
83,639
35,138
355,520
30,338
81,514
1,803
8,400
71,311

618,239
2,860
588,218
591,078
0
0
27,161
618,239
104,475
24,990
24,690
560,832
88,864
43,922
394,130
33,916
96,747
2,011
10,080
84,656

677,802
2,860
646,851
649,711
0
0
28,091
677,802
118,862
24,990
25,126
624,353
94,859
54,902
436,339
38,252
115,528
2,311
12,096
101,121

Revenue (US$ m)
7,398
8,249
8,881
9,956
11,229
growth (%)
6%
12%
8%
12%
13%
Revenue (` m)
403,520 501,330 533,474 596,394 672,640
growth (%)
20%
24%
6%
12%
13%
Effective USD:INR
54.5
60.8
60.1
59.9
59.9
Cost of Revenues
(249,580) (317,890) (328,261) (363,616) (419,687)
SG&A
(38,360) (47,100) (52,155) (60,604) (67,855)
EBITDA
115,580 136,340 153,057 172,174 185,097
EBITDA margins (%)
28.6%
27.2%
28.7%
28.9%
27.5%
D&A
(11,290) (13,740) (11,474) (13,488) (15,716)
EBIT
104,290 122,600 141,584 158,686 169,381
EBIT margins (%)
25.8%
24.5%
26.5%
26.6%
25.2%
Other income
23,590
24,500
31,287
28,667
34,877
Tax
(33,670) (40,620) (48,858) (52,925) (57,676)
ETR (%)
-26%
-28%
-28%
-28%
-28%
Minority Interest
0
0
0
0
0
Net Profit
94,210 106,480 124,013 134,429 146,582
Net margins (%)
23.3%
21.2%
23.2%
22.5%
21.8%
EPS (`)
165
186
108
117
128
EPS growth (%)
13%
13%
-42%
8%
9%

Sources of Funds
Share capital
Reserves & Surplus
S/Hs Equity
Minority Interest
Total Debt
Other LT Liabilities
Application of Funds
Net Fixed Assets
Intangible/Goodwill
Other LT Assets
Current Assets
Accounts Receivable
Unbilled Revenues
Cash & Investments
Other CAs
Current Liabilities
Accounts Payable
Unearned revenue
Other CLs

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 4 Ratio analysis @ `2,070

Fig 3 Cash-flow statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

Cash from Operations


PBT
Operating Profit before WC
Chg. in Trade Receivables
Chg. in Other CA
Chg. in Trade Payables
Chg. in Other CL
Others including taxes
Net Cash from Operations
Cash from Investments
Capex
Acquisitions
Investments & Others
Net Cash from Investing
Cash from Financing
Equity Issuance
Change in Borrowings
Dividends including DDT
Others
Net Cash from Financing

FY13

127,880
139,170
(9,890)
(9,280)
1,240
8,170
(34,630)
94,780

FY14

147,100
160,840
(12,680)
(7,400)
310
20,160
(39,360)
121,870

FY15e

172,871
184,345
(129)
(8,856)
73
11,931
(48,542)
138,822

FY16e

187,354
200,841
(5,224)
(12,363)
208
15,025
(52,529)
145,958

FY17e

204,258
219,975
(5,996)
(15,316)
300
18,481
(57,182)
160,262

(19,280) (27,450) (23,875) (26,691) (30,104)


(13,190)
(18,040) (22,580) (20,678) (9,564) (10,998)
(50,510) (50,030) (44,554) (36,255) (41,102)
10
(890)
(31,230) (31,430) (62,007) (80,657) (87,949)
(32,110) (31,430) (62,007) (80,657) (87,949)

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Employees (EoP)
Rev/Employee(US$)
EBITDA/Employee(`)

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

20%
49%
26%

19%
48%
24%

19%
50%
24%

19%
53%
24%

19%
52%
24%

23%
86
2

24%
81
2

26%
81
2

24%
81
2

24%
81
2

26%
26%
123%
74%
106%
104%

24%
24%
120%
72%
110%
105%

24%
27%
122%
72%
100%
105%

24%
27%
118%
72%
101%
105%

24%
25%
121%
72%
104%
104%

25.2
6.0
17.9
21.9

22.3
5.0
15.2
17.0

19.2
4.4
13.6
14.9

17.7
4.0
12.0
14.2

16.2
3.7
11.2
12.9

Fig 6 Assumptions
FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

156,688 160,405 168,011 187,011 205,011


47,215 51,426 52,859 53,240 54,775
737,644 849,974 910,997 920,662 902,865

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Research

Return Ratios
RoCE % (post-tax)
RoIC % (post-tax)
RoE %
Cash Ratios
CFO:Sales
AR days (incl. unbilled)
AP days
duPont Analysis
RoE %
EBIT margin %
PBT/EBIT %
PAT/PBT %
Total Asset turnover
Assets/Equity %
Valuation ratios
P/E (x)
P/B (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV / Operating CF (x)

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 5 Key Parameters


Year-end: Mar

Year-end: Mar

Year-end: Mar

Chg in Realization % (est)


Gross Utilization (EoP) %
US$:`

FY13

FY14

FY15e

FY16e

FY17e

-3.2%
69%
54.5

-0.1%
73%
60.8

0.4%
75%
60.1

1.5%
76%
59.9

1.5%
77%
59.9

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

8 December 2014

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold

Analyst Meet Takeaways


Betting on advanced tech to escape perpetual pricing pressure
Infosys believes that the pricing pressure that it and the industry are facing
today can only be countered if IT service providers move up the value chain
and start providing proactive and cost-effective (less labour dependent)
business solutions using IT. This would see the industry move away from
hiring in large numbers and break the linearity, to some extent.
Fig 7 Pricing pressure faced by the IT industry
Revenue per Employee (US$ 000s)

52.0
50.0
48.0
46.0
44.0
42.0
40.0

Infosys

TCS

FY14

FY13

FY12

FY11

FY10

38.0

Wipro

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research


Note: The above numbers are simplified revenue per employee and do not take into account difference in utilization levels.

Infosys believes that the best way to move up the value chain for IT service
providers is to refresh the existing service lines by adding SMAC,
automation and AI flavours. For instance, it has developed the Infosys datatesting benchmark, which automates a large part of testing efforts (data
quality and completeness), and results in a 40% reduction in effort required.
Another example of such an approach is an integrated ADM and IMS
platform (Infosys automation platform), which would resolves tickets up
to 30% faster.
Fig 8 Refreshing the existing service lines to move up the value chain

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

These efforts when clubbed with a change in the company culture, from
largely being reactive in delivering solutions (as suggested by Infosys CSAT
scores and management interaction with clients) to being proactive in
finding business problems and then building solutions would help the
company leapfrog to a next-generation IT services one. This is the
managements vision for the next 3-5 years.

Anand Rathi Research

8 December 2014

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold

Focus on design thinking and holistic solutions


Another step the company is taking on its journey to be a next-gen one is in
implementing design thinking in its offerings and in building holistic
solutions, against the present practice of building small pieces of software
supporting various business functions.
Design thinking develops solutions, in which holistic end-to-end IT
solutions are devised which solve critical business problems. As the word
holistic suggests, this includes integration of product-engineering systems
and typical IT-services functions. Hence, the former service line is expected
to play a critical role in this concept.
For instance, Infosys is building an oilfield-modeling and simulation solution
to determine the useful life of an oil field. This involves deployment of
sensors, building systems to collect data from sensors, analysing that data;
then coming out with important trends or reports which influence business
outcomes and which support decision-making at the top level. Another
example of these holistic solutions is to build a supply-chain solution for an
O&G company, optimising the routing and capacity-utilization companywide. This results in significant cost savings to a client.
In terms of building new solutions, Infosys is now focusing on scaling up its
Big Data & Analytics practice by offering industry-specific data-analytics
solutions. These solutions will run on common Infosys platforms
implementing open-source technologies. The value addition here would be
enterprise quality and IT delivery using open-source technologies where
Infosys engineering capabilities ensure optimum performance and
consistency with such technologies.
Fig 9 Addition of staff in last 6 months in various segments

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Up-skilling employees using training infrastructure.


These initiatives and the new strategic direction require significantly
different skill sets of the workforce. To up-skill employees in these new
technologies and in design thinking, the company is using its extensive
training infrastructure and collaborations with universities worldwide. The
training program includes the sales staff, which is being trained in
effectiveness, cross-selling, design-thinking and proposal-writing.

Anand Rathi Research

8 December 2014

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold

Fig 10 Up-skilling delivery and sales employees

Up-skilling
employees

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

In addition to training employees, the company is also ramping up staff in


the identified growth areas and is taking steps to reduce attrition in both
sales and delivery. Infosys has made adjustments to compensation and
incentive structures and is trying to work on the softer aspects such as
employee engagement (murmuration) and feedback system (satisfaction
surveys) to curtail attrition.
Fig 11 Steps taken by the company to control attrition

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Also, the way the new strategy works is by training all employees without
really segregating various service lines (next gen and old gen). This, by
design, is expected to smoothen any friction or dissatisfaction among
Infosys large employee base as the company is attempting to bridge the
divide in its workforce.
According to the management, this would reduce disruption in operations
(thus raising the probability of success) while simultaneously pushing it in its
strategic direction. In our opinion, this is a significant change from the
previous strategy where the idea was to move from a pure IT-services
company to a consulting and SI-led one.
Anand Rathi Research

8 December 2014

Infosys Entering a critical execution phase; Hold

Margin outlook intact but finer details in April


Infosys has maintained its outlook of stable EBIT margins (25% +/100bps) in the medium term, re-iterating its vision of profitable industryleading growth despite investments in sales, products and delivery. This
would essentially be driven by operational-efficiency improvements being
ploughed back into the business to build new capabilities. The company has
seen a 25.6% margin in 1HFY15 and, assuming that some investments are
already underway and, hence, costs are already being reflected in margins, we
do not see any meaningful pressure on margins. Our FY17 estimates build in
a 50-bp higher margin now vs. earlier, given the managements confidence
about maintaining margins despite acceleration in revenue growth.
Fig 13 Infosys EBIT margin performance

6
4,000

Revenues

FY17e

FY16e

FY15e

FY14

FY13

3QFY13

2,000

yoy growth (RHS)

2QFY15

8
6,000

1QFY15

10

8,000

4QFY14

12

3QFY14

10,000

(%)
27
26
26
25
25
24
24
23
23
22
2QFY14

(%)
14

1QFY14

(US$m)
12,000

4QFY13

Fig 12 Revenue growth expectations

EBIT margin %

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

The company will come out with a detailed strategy by April. This will
include the financial impact of the new strategy and the much-awaited
capital allocation plan. At the analyst meet Infosys talked about being more
active in M&As, but this would be restricted to acquiring next-generation
companies/platforms rather than scale.
Estimate revision and Valuation
After the analyst meet we have made no change to our revenue estimates,
while the EPS for FY17 is up a marginal 1.7% on account of the better
margin outlook, leading to an upward, 2%, revision to our target price. The
target multiple is the same, at 18x FY17e, but the recent run-up in the stock
price (11% in the last three months) has led us to changing our
recommendation to a Hold.
Fig 14 Revision in estimates
FY15
`m

Revenues (US$m)

New

Old

8,881

8,881

FY16

FY17

% Chg

New

Old

% Chg

New

Old

% Chg

9,956

9,956

11,229

11,229

Revenues

533,474 533,474

- 596,394 596,394

- 672,640 672,640

EBITDA

153,057 153,057

- 172,174 172,174

- 185,097 181,741

1.8

EBITDA margin %
EBIT
EBIT margin %

28.7%

28.7%

141,584 141,584
26.5%

26.5%

0 bps

28.9%

28.9%

- 158,686 158,686
0 bps

26.6%

26.6%

0 bps

27.5%

27.0%

- 169,381 166,025
0 bps

25.2%

24.7%

50 bps
2.0
50 bps

PBT

172,871 172,871

- 187,354 187,354

- 204,258 200,902

1.7

Net Profit

124,013 124,013

- 134,429 134,429

- 146,582 144,169

1.7

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Research

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the
compensation of the research analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research
analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange
Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have
no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 6 December 2014)
2,400

Infosys
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

2,200
2,000

1,800

1,600
1,400

Date
25-Nov-13
14-Mar-14
1-Apr-14
4-Jun-14
17-Jun-14
20-Aug-14
1-Oct-14
13-Oct-14

Rating
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy
Buy

TP
(`)
4,100
3,900
3,705
3,550
3,700
4,050
4,300
4,500

Share
Price (`)
3,349
3,358
3,263
3,017
3,242
3,567
3,751
3,889

1,200

Dec-14

Oct-14

Nov-14

Sep-14

Jul-14

Aug-14

Jun-14

Apr-14

May-14

Mar-14

Jan-14

Feb-14

Dec-13

Oct-13

Nov-13

Sep-13

Jul-13

Aug-13

Jun-13

Apr-13

May-13

Mar-13

Jan-13

Feb-13

1,000

The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking
revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described
in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 6 December 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its
functioning and governance. The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a
group consists of various companies which may include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views,
stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential
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should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report bearing in
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Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.
Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures
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Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation
and the specific financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the
appropriateness of investing in any securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that
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adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.

Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America


This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is
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Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to
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2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the
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Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

Auto Components
India I Equities

Visit Note
8 December 2014

Indag Rubber

Rating: NA
Target Price: NA
Share Price: `764

Tyre-retreading specialist
Key data

Mar14

74.77
25.23
0.46
0.03
24.74

75.00
25.00
0.00
0.04
24.96

Relative price performance


800

IDR

700
600
500
400
Sensex

300

Dec-14

200
Aug-14

`
Our
take. Indag is a niche operator in the replacement segment as an
alternative to direct tyre demand. With recovery in CV demand expected to
gather momentum ahead, demand for retreading would also expand. Indags
FY14 EBITDA margin came at ~16%, comparing favourably with most tyre
manufacturers; it has healthy return ratios and good cash-flow generation.
Risks. Competition in the unorganised sector, delayed growth.

Jun14

74.77
25.23
0.93
0.01
24.29

Jun-14

Re-treading provides a cost-effective option. Re-treading turns out to be


lower cost than a new tyre since it consumes less natural rubber at ~25%
only. According to the management, the potential cost savings are 30% to
50% of the price of a new tyre.

Sep14

Promoters
- of which, Pledged
Free Float
- Foreign Institutions
- Domestic Institutions
- Public

Apr-14

CVs comprise the most important sub-segment. Since 90% of sales are
to the CV sub-segment, the slowdown has hampered growth for Indag in
the past two years. Of the CVs sold domestically, ~80% of all CV tyres are
retreaded. Further, up to a maximum of three retreads are possible.

`839 / `212
28458 / 8538
US$0.1m
`4.10bn / US$67.1m
5.25m

Shareholding pattern (%)

Feb-14

Tread manufacturing is a steadily growing segment. The company


estimates the size of the tread-manufacturing segment at `32bn. Of this, the
organised cold-process sub-segment, where Indag operates, constitutes
~33%. The segment has had a 4.3% CAGR in the past four years. However,
this has to be considered in conjunction with the fact that demand has
significantly decelerated since Sep12.

Dec-13

A leading tyre-retreader in India. The second-largest operator in the


organised cold-retreading arena, with a market share of 20-25%, Indag Rubber
was incorporated in 1978 in a joint venture with the US-based Bandag. The
latter exited in 2006. That year the company started investing in building up
capacity by setting up the Nalagarh, Himachal Pradesh, plant. In the next five
years, this was more than doubled, from 6,000 tonnes to 13,800 tonnes.

IDR IN / IDGR.BO

52-week high / low


Sensex / Nifty
3-m average volume
Market cap
Shares outstanding

Oct-14

Key takeaways

Source: Bloomberg
Key financials (YE Mar)

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

1,113

1,500

2,162

2,349

2,323

Net profit (` m)

116

108

209

252

276

EPS (`)

22.1

20.6

39.9

48.0

52.6

Growth (%)

52.5

(6.7)

93.1

20.5

9.6

PE (x)

34.2

36.6

19.0

15.7

14.4

PBV (x)

11.0

8.9

6.4

4.9

3.9

RoE (%)

32.2

24.4

34.0

30.9

26.8

RoCE (%)

28.1

28.5

44.4

40.4

34.9

Sales (` m)

Dividend yield (%)

0.5

0.5

0.8

1.1

1.3

Net gearing (%)

0.2

0.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited (hereinafter ARSSBL) is a full service brokerage and equities research firm and the views expressed therein are solely of
ARSSBL and not of the companies which have been covered in the Research Report. This report is intended for the sole use of the Recipient and is to be circulated only within
India and to no countries outside India. Disclosures and analyst certifications are present in Appendix.
Anand Rathi Research

India Equities

8 December 2014

Indag Rubber Tyre re-treading specialist

Quick Glance Financials and Valuations


Fig 2 Balance sheet (` m)

Fig 1 Income statement (` m)


Year-end: Mar

Net revenues
Revenue growth (%)
- Oper. expenses
EBIDTA
EBITDA margins (%)
- Interest
- Depreciation
+ Other income
- Tax
Effective tax rate (%)
Reported PAT
Extraordinary items
Adjusted PAT
PAT growth (%)
Adj. FDEPS (`/sh)
Adj. FDEPS growth (%)

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

1,113
46%
982
132
12%
4
16
8
3
3
116
116
52.5
22.1
52.5

1,500
35%
1,336
164
11%
11
19
4
29
21
108
108
(6.7)
20.6
(6.7)

2,162
44%
1,865
297
14%
12
23
10
61
23
209
209
93.1
39.9
93.1

2,349
9%
2,005
344
15%
4
25
16
79
24
252
252
20.5
48.0
20.5

2,323
-1%
1,951
373
16%
3
25
17
85
23
276
276
9.6
52.6
9.6

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

53
308
361
73
0
7
441
196
0
233
11
441
0
64
69

53
391
444
72
0
5
521
222
0
286
13
521
0
61
85

53
563
616
13
0
9
637
244
5
373
15
637
0
62
117

53
764
817
0
0
15
831
237
267
310
18
831
0
47
156

53
978
1,031
0
0
14
1,045
271
400
340
33
1,045
0
55
196

Fig 4 Ratio analysis @ `764

Fig 3 Cash-flow statement (` m)


PAT
+ Non-cash items
Cash profit
- Incr./(decr.) in WC
Operating cash-flow
- Capex
Free cash-flow
- Dividend
+ Equity raised
+ Debt raised
- Investments
- Misc. items
Net cash-flow
+ Op. cash & bank bal.
Cl. Cash & bank bal.

Share capital
Reserves & surplus
Net worth
Total debt
Minority interest
Def. tax liab. (net)
Capital employed
Net fixed assets
Investments
- of which, Liquid
Working capital
Cash
Capital deployed
Net debt/equity (%)
W C turn (days)
Book value (`/sh)

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Year-end: Mar

Year-end: Mar

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

116
20
136
120
16
61
(46)
25
71
0
0
1
11
11

108
17
125
52
73
45
28
24
(1)
0
0
1
11
13

209
27
237
87
149
45
104
37
(59)
5
0
3
13
15

252
31
283
(63)
347
18
329
49
(13)
262
0
3
15
18

276
25
301
30
270
60
211
61
0
134
0
15
18
33

Year-end: Mar

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

P/E (x)
Cash P/E (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/sales (x)
P/B (x)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
Dividend yield (%)
Dividend payout (%)
Debt to equity (x)
Debtor days
Inventory days
Payables days
W.C. days
Fixed asset T/O (x)

34.2
30.0
30.6
3.6
11.0
32.2
28.1
0.5
18.1
0.2
41.7
77.6
55.0
64.3
5.7

36.6
31.1
24.5
2.7
8.9
24.4
28.5
0.5
19.4
0.2
35.2
66.7
40.9
61.0
6.8

19.0
17.1
13.4
1.8
6.4
34.0
44.4
0.8
15.1
0.0
35.3
65.0
38.3
62.1
8.9

15.7
14.3
10.7
1.6
4.9
30.9
40.4
1.1
16.7
32.4
56.8
41.7
47.5
9.9

14.4
13.2
10.0
1.6
3.9
26.8
34.9
1.3
19.0
39.5
58.8
43.6
54.8
8.6

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research

Fig 5 Tread manufacturing segment size

Fig 6 FY14 revenue break-up

Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research

Source: Company

Anand Rathi Research

8 December 2014

Indag Rubber Tyre re-treading specialist

Meeting highlights

Anand Rathi Research

The company is entering the aircraft re-treading sub-segment; products


are currently at the development stage and would take 1-2 years to
launch.

Re-treading of imported tyres from China is difficult as the casings are


weak.

For distribution, the companys dispatches go from its plant to its


depots in each state. From here, they sent to local customers. In some,
sales are to dealers, while in others the company sells directly to
retailers.

While most of the business is retail, institutional sales constitute ~20%


of the total (to customers like STUs).

While Indags current capacity is 13,800 tonnes, sales at present are


10,000 tonnes.

The company has ~400 major dealers in 25 states, besides ~300 small
dealers.

Key states for it are Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh,


Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Jammu and Kashmir.

Gum and spray cement combined constitute ~10% of total revenue.

The excise-duty benefits and income-tax exemption available to the


company are expected to end in FY16.

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the research
analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by
stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely
delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based upon various factors,
including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described in the Ratings Table
below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 3 September 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its functioning and governance.
The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a group consists of various companies which may
include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views, stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of
ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential conflict of interest in the views held by ARSSBL and other companies of Anand Rathi who maybe affiliated,
connected or catering to the companies mentioned in the Research Report; even though, ARSSBL and Anand Rathi are fully complaint with all procedural and operational regulatory
requirements. Thus, investors should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report
bearing in mind the aforementioned.
Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor
any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities
(hereinafter referred to as Related Investments). ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi may trade for their own accounts as market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of the
companies mentioned in the Research Report or in related investments, and may be on taking a different position from the ones which haven been taken by the public orders. ARSSBL
and/or Anand Rathi and its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may have a long or short position in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in
Related Investments. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi, may from time to time, perform investment banking, investment management, financial advisory or any other services not explicitly
mentioned herein, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any entity and/or company mentioned in this Research Report; however, the same shall have no bearing
whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the other companies of
Anand Rathi, even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest.
Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the specific
financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any
securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that statements regarding future prospects may or may not be realized,
and we can not guarantee the same as analysis and valuation is a tool to enable investors to make investment decisions but, is not an exact and/or a precise science. Investors should
note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.
Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America
This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is not to be copied or
made available to any person other than the recipient. It is distributed in the United States of America by Enclave Capital LLC (19 West 44th Street, Suite 1700, New York, NY 10036) and
elsewhere in the world by ARSSBL or an authorized affiliate of ARSSBL (such entities and any other entity, directly or indirectly, controlled by ARSSBL, the Affiliates). This document
does not constitute an offer of, or an invitation by or on behalf of ARSSBL or its Affiliates or any other company to any person, to buy or sell any security. The information contained herein
has been obtained from published information and other sources, which ARSSBL or its Affiliates consider to be reliable. None of ARSSBL or its Affiliates accepts any liability or
responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness of any such information. All estimates, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained herein are made as of
the date of this document. Emerging securities markets may be subject to risks significantly higher than more established markets. In particular, the political and economic environment,
company practices and market prices and volumes may be subject to significant variations. The ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower information
quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect to receive
compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those securities or
options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on which they
are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit to seek to obtain
investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect transactions in any
securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of
Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

Appendix
Analyst Certification
The views expressed in this Research Report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the research
analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. The research analysts are bound by
stringent internal regulations and also legal and statutory requirements of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (hereinafter SEBI) and the analysts compensation are completely
delinked from all the other companies and/or entities of Anand Rathi, and have no bearing whatsoever on any recommendation that they have given in the Research Report.
The research analysts, strategists, or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of Anand Rathi Research have received compensation based upon various factors,
including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors, firm revenues and overall investment banking revenues.
Anand Rathi Ratings Definitions
Analysts ratings and the corresponding expected returns take into account our definitions of Large Caps (>US$1bn) and Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) as described in the Ratings Table
below:
Ratings Guide
Large Caps (>US$1bn)
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn)

Buy
>15%
>25%

Anand Rathi Research Ratings Distribution (as of 3 September 2014)


Buy
Anand Rathi Research stock coverage (196)
60%
% who are investment banking clients
4%

Hold
5-15%
5-25%

Sell
<5%
<5%

Hold
27%
0%

Sell
13%
0%

Other Disclosures
This report has been issued by ARSSBL which is a SEBI regulated entity, and which is in full compliance with all rules and regulations as are applicable to its functioning and governance.
The investors should note that ARSSBL is one of the companies comprising within ANAND RATHI group, and ANAND RATHI as a group consists of various companies which may
include (but is not limited to) its subsidiaries, its affiliates, its group companies who may hold positions, views, stakes and may service the companies covered in this report independent of
ARSSBL. Investors are cautioned to be aware that there could arise a potential conflict of interest in the views held by ARSSBL and other companies of Anand Rathi who maybe affiliated,
connected or catering to the companies mentioned in the Research Report; even though, ARSSBL and Anand Rathi are fully complaint with all procedural and operational regulatory
requirements. Thus, investors should not use this as a sole basis for making their investment decision and should consider the recommendations mentioned in the Research Report
bearing in mind the aforementioned.
Further, the information herein has been obtained from various sources which we believe is reliable, and we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. Neither the information nor
any opinion expressed herein constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any securities or any options, futures or other derivatives related to such securities
(hereinafter referred to as Related Investments). ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi may trade for their own accounts as market maker / jobber and/or arbitrageur in any securities of the
companies mentioned in the Research Report or in related investments, and may be on taking a different position from the ones which haven been taken by the public orders. ARSSBL
and/or Anand Rathi and its affiliates, directors, officers, and employees may have a long or short position in any securities of the companies mentioned in the Research Report or in
Related Investments. ARSSBL and/or Anand Rathi, may from time to time, perform investment banking, investment management, financial advisory or any other services not explicitly
mentioned herein, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any entity and/or company mentioned in this Research Report; however, the same shall have no bearing
whatsoever on the specific recommendations made by the analyst(s), as the recommendations made by the analyst(s) are completely independent of the views of the other companies of
Anand Rathi, even though there might exist an inherent conflict of interest.
Furthermore, this Research Report is prepared for private circulation and use only. It does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the specific
financial needs or objectives of any specific person who may receive this Research Report. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any
securities or investment strategies discussed or recommended in this Research Report, and, should understand that statements regarding future prospects may or may not be realized,
and we can not guarantee the same as analysis and valuation is a tool to enable investors to make investment decisions but, is not an exact and/or a precise science. Investors should
note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.
Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect the value, price or income of any security or related investments mentioned in this report.
Other Disclosures pertaining to distribution of research in the United States of America
This material was produced by ARSSBL, solely for information purposes and for the use of the recipient. It is not to be reproduced under any circumstances and is not to be copied or
made available to any person other than the recipient. It is distributed in the United States of America by Enclave Capital LLC (19 West 44th Street, Suite 1700, New York, NY 10036) and
elsewhere in the world by ARSSBL or an authorized affiliate of ARSSBL (such entities and any other entity, directly or indirectly, controlled by ARSSBL, the Affiliates). This document
does not constitute an offer of, or an invitation by or on behalf of ARSSBL or its Affiliates or any other company to any person, to buy or sell any security. The information contained herein
has been obtained from published information and other sources, which ARSSBL or its Affiliates consider to be reliable. None of ARSSBL or its Affiliates accepts any liability or
responsibility whatsoever for the accuracy or completeness of any such information. All estimates, expressions of opinion and other subjective judgments contained herein are made as of
the date of this document. Emerging securities markets may be subject to risks significantly higher than more established markets. In particular, the political and economic environment,
company practices and market prices and volumes may be subject to significant variations. The ability to assess such risks may also be limited due to significantly lower information
quantity and quality. By accepting this document, you agree to be bound by all the foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect to receive
compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those securities or
options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on which they
are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit to seek to obtain
investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect transactions in any
securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
2014 Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited. All rights reserved. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of
Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited.
Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.

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