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Unit
%
2005
5.0
4.0
2013 (Est/Proj)
6.7
Remarks
Substantially higher growth
trajectory
16,596
24,406
67,374
Unemployment
7.6
7.2
4.5(1H)
6.2
11.0
6.9
US$ mn
2000
% of GDP
6.4
2.7
3.9
000
400
549
1,274
1,968
6,650
Remittances
US$ mn
1,160
FDI Inflows
US$ mn
175
272
1,459
Steady growth
US$ mn
Months of Imports
911
1.5
2,735
3.7
7,216
4.5
Rs./US$
80.06
102.12
130.75
Budget Deficit
% of GDP
9.5
7.0
5.8
Public Debt
% of GDP
96.9
90.6
78.0
12.9
19.1
16.0
11.8
21.5
8.0
Rs. bn
88.8
584.0
2,459.9
The Country's
Per Capita Income
has risen sharply,
and is projected
to increase well
beyond US$ 4000
by 2016
Unit
2013 (Est)
Projections
2014
2015
2016
7.2
7.8
8.2
8.5
Total Investment
% of GDP
31.0
32.0
32.5
33.0
GDP Deflator
7.0
6.0
5.5
5.0
Headline Inflation
4.7
5.0
4.5
4.0
Trade Balance
% of GDP
-12.8
-11.6
-10.2
-8.4
% of GDP
-3.9
-2.4
-1.0
0.1
US$ mn
990
1,500
1,750
3,700
% of GDP
-0.5
1.1
1.6
2.3
Overall Balance
% of GDP
-5.8
-5.2
-4.4
-3.8
Government Debt
% of GDP
78.0
74.3
70.6
65.0
16.0
14.0
14.0
14.0
8.0
16.0
17.0
17.0
External Sector
Overall Balance
Fiscal Sector
Monetary Sector
2b)
The following potential risks could pose challenges to the above projections:
Uncertain weather conditions
Geopolitical tensions
Unwinding of accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies
Slower growth in global demand
By 2016, Sri Lanka will graduate to the Upper Middle Income category as per
international classification
bb
10
11
12
13
14
15
Number of
Banks
Capital
(Rs Bn)
Total Assets
(Rs. Bn)
Market
share %
Over Rs 500 Bn
172.3
3,891.0
66.3
Rs 250 Bn to Rs 500 Bn
21.5
369.8
6.3
Rs 100 Bn to Rs 250 Bn
45.0
540.7
9.2
Rs 50 Bn to Rs 100 Bn
31.0
307.6
5.2
Less than Rs 50 Bn
33.6
183.3
3.1
16
Capital
(Rs Bn)
Rs 50 Bn to Rs 100 Bn
79.7
1.4
4.3
Less than Rs 50 Bn
68.1
1.2
12.9
Capital
(Rs Bn)
Rs 250 Bn to Rs 500 Bn
297.2
5.1
26.8
Rs 100 Bn to Rs 250 Bn
107.3
1.8
16.0
Below Rs 50 Bn
10
173.8
3.0
40.8
Market Share
%
17
Capital
(Rs. Bn)
Over Rs 20 Bn
10
433.0
61.5
64.1
Rs. 8 Bn to 20 Bn
97.4
13.8
8.5
Less than Rs 8 Bn
40
169.3
24.1
3.5
Under Litigation
3.8
0.5
0.1
18
19
At least 5 Sri Lankan banks will have assets of Rs. 1 trillion or more, with such
banks also having a strong regional presence
There will be a reduced number of banks as a result of mergers and absorptions
There will be a large Development Bank that will provide a substantial impetus
to development banking activities in the country
Banks will rely on new and effective IT applications
Banks will have substantially lower interest margins through increased
efficiency and prudent management of assets and liabilities
Foreign banks in Sri Lanka will demonstrate a greater participation in economic
activities, and will be making significant contributions to the economy
Domestic banks which had assets less than Rs.100 bn, will have assets of Rs.100
bn or more, through organic growth and merger/absorption with other
banks/NBFIs over a reasonable time horizon.
20
10
21
The two large state commercial banks, BOC and PB, will be encouraged to
grow and expand towards a stronger regional presence, and to operate with
higher levels of capital
22
11
23
NBFIs with :
Category A
Category B
Category C
19
13
38
35
24
Initially, the local banks and Category A NBFIs will be given a time
period of until 31st March, 2014 to identify partners of their choice
from within the Category B NBFIs for such mergers/absorptions..
12
Merger/Absorption of
Category B NBFIs by Banks or
Category A NBFIs
Submission of the
Plan of Action to
Central Bank
31 March 2014
30 June 2014
31 May 2014
The majority of
Category B NBFIs are
expected to be absorbed
by December 2014,
while any remaining are
expected to be
completed by first half
of 2015
31 December 2014
1 January 2016
31 December 2014
1 January 2018
25
26
13
27
28
14
29
30
15
31
32
Each Bank and NBFI must form a Steering Committee for this purpose.
The relevant Banks/NBFIs must submit monthly reports on their progress
re. the mergers/absorptions to the Central Bank
Banks and NBFI sectors will be expected to align their immediate future
business expansion, new recruitment and other capital expenditure in
keeping with the new developments.
A Special Unit of the Central Bank headed by an Assistant Governor, will
liaise between all stakeholders to ensure the successful implementation of
the merger/absorption process.
The Central Bank will issue public notifications from time to time, to
apprise the overall progress of the process
The Central Bank will also liaise with other authorities such as Securities
and Exchange Commission, Colombo Stock Exchange, Registrar of
Companies, wherever such support is needed.
16
33
34
Target Date
During 1st Quarter 2014
In 2014: Supervisory
Observation period
In November 2014: Issue
Direction to maintain
minimum LCR effective
from 1st January 2015
During 1st Quarter 2014
During 2014
17
35
Target Date
During 2014
36
18
37
Introduce a system of lower leverage ratios to NBFIs which are only partiallycompliant with the Directions of the Central Bank
Publish the maximum deposit levels for each NBFI on a quarterly basis,
beginning 2Q, 2014
Introduce a liquidity support fund for NBFIs which require short term liquidity
support, by 2H, 2014
Closely monitor the implementation of the proposed merger/absorption plan
Strengthen the risk focused regulatory and supervisory system
Use an online early warning system to identify emerging risks in an NBFI
Impose penalties on, and/or disqualify from holding office, key management
personnel when there are continued non-compliances of Central Bank
Directions
Expedite the investigation processes on unauthorised finance businesses
38
19
40
20
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
13 January 2014
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
31 January 2014
meetings. In keeping with the request of the Central Bank, banks and NBFIs agreed to
submit their preliminary proposals re. the Consolidation effort by 31March 2014.
A meeting was also held with key office bearers of the Ceylon Bank Employees
Union, at which all clarifications sought were provided by the Governor of the Central
Bank and other senior officials of the Central Bank. The Central Bank also held
discussions with leading Consulting firms with regard to their provision of consultancy
services in respect of valuations, accounting and other services. These meetings helped
to provide a clear understanding of the process which will help all stakeholders to move
forward with clarity and certainty.
In the meantime, the Central Bank also wishes to inform the general public that the
Consolidation process will not, in any way, affect their current transactions and deposits
with the banks and finance companies, with whom they are presently transacting.
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
28 February 2014
In the meantime, the Central Bank notes the positive sentiments re. the
consolidation process and the resultant expectations of raising systemic stability
and boosting long-term economic development, as expressed by International
Rating Agencies. Further, the Central Bank welcomes the reaction of certain
International Agencies that have conveyed their desire to provide advice and
funding in the process of consolidation.
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
31 March 2014
Several audit firms who were appointed by the Central Bank to carry out due
diligence and valuation of the companies are in the process of finalising their
reports. The Central Bank has continuously liaised with the selected audit firms
to deal with any issues arising in connection with the due diligence and
valuation processes, in order to ensure timely completion of these assignments.
The Central Bank has continued to maintain a close dialogue with all
stakeholders of the consolidation process, while senior Central Bank officials
have also participated at various public fora on financial sector consolidation, in
order to clarify various matters pertaining to the consolidation process.
Over the past few days, in keeping with the Central Banks request, banks and
NBFIs have commenced submitting their broad plans on consolidation and
greater participation in the economic activities, thereby adhering to the already
announced time line of 31 March 2014. These plans are to be reviewed by the
Central Bank within the coming week, and suitable responses due to be sent
thereafter.
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
30 April 2014
The DFCC Bank and the National Development Bank PLC continued the preliminary
work relating to the merger. The Merchant Bank of Sri Lanka PLC, MBSL Savings
Bank Limited and MCSL Financial Services Limited have also initiated
1
action on the merger of the three entities with the view of forming a single licensed
finance company. In addition, approval has been granted by the Central Bank for
several NBFIs operating within financial groups to proceed in the process of being
merged.
In the meantime, the process of preparing the Information Memoranda (IM), Due
Diligence Reports (DDs) and valuation of NBFIs is expected to be completed by the
appointed audit firms during the first week of May. These reports based on financial
data will form the basis for negotiations between the interested parties and target
NBFIs. At the same time, the Inland Revenue (Amendment) Act No 8 of 2014 and
Value Added Tax (Amendment) Act No 7 of 2014 have been enacted by the
Parliament giving effect to the budget proposal on financial sector consolidation. The
Central Bank is in the process of finalizing the Guidelines on taxation as required by
these Acts. These Guidelines will provide clarity on the proposed tax incentives for
the financial sector consolidation process and further motivate the stakeholders of the
consolidation process. The Central Bank has also initiated action to review the
existing regulatory framework of banks and NBFIs to ensure that it is strengthened to
address the challenges that will arise along with the consolidation of the financial
sector.
The Central Bank continued to exchange views with all stakeholders of the
consolidation process while providing clarifications to queries raised by different
parties. The Governor and other senior officials of the Central Bank also participated
in several forums on financial sector consolidation organized by external parties
during the month.
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
30 May 2014
Communications Department
30, Janadhipathi Mawatha, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka.
Tel : 2477424, 2477423, 2477311
Fax: 2346257, 2477739
E-mail: dcommunications@cbsl.lk, communications@cbsl.lk
Web: www.cbsl.gov.lk
Press Release
Issued By
Date
Communications Department
30 June 2014
meantime, formal approval of the Monetary Board was granted for Assetline
Leasing Company Ltd. to acquire Lisvin Investments Ltd., and for TKS Finance
Ltd to acquire Asian Finance Ltd. At the same time, several NBFIs falling within
the same group also continued the consolidation process while initial approval
was granted for the mergers of a few other NBFIs as well.
The Monetary Board also approved of providing funding support to certain NBFIs
through the Sri Lanka Deposit Insurance and Liquidity Support Scheme in order
to further strengthen the financial condition of those entities. Such support is
expected to enable these entities to attract suitable merger/acquisition counterparts
or strategic investors.
The Guidelines on taxation in terms of the Inland Revenue (Amendment) Act No
8 of 2014 and Value Added Tax (Amendment) Act No 7 of 2014 on the tax
incentives to promote the consolidation process were also finalized, and
discussions with the Ministry of Finance and Planning are currently underway.
These guidelines are expected to be released to banks and NBFIs shortly.
During the month, the Central Bank continued to maintain a close dialogue with
all stakeholders of the process, including having a discussion with the
representatives of the Ceylon Bank Employees Union.