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Near Hits
The Near Hit document is designed to give field operations the ability to convey
field, tool and equipment conditions as well as personnel actions to the office. The
document does not fix, control or protect workers from hazardous conditions or
situations on the site. It is, however, a tool that can be used by both the field staff as
well as the office to help track and identify areas of concern, not just for that particular
project but areas of concern for the entire Branch. Depending on the scope of work, it
To initiate this process, the field staff must first identify the near hit condition; this
is the single most important aspect of the Near Hit Program. Next is to communicate
their findings to the field leadership to enact the Near Hit Protocol. Utilizing the Matrix,
the field leadership along with the crew can determine an actionable plan which could
either be to mitigate the hazard or at a minimum determine that no hazard exists and
continue to work. The Matrix Protocol can be found using the Matrix Flow Chart on the
following page. This flow chart takes the user through the necessary steps to ensure
proper use of the Near Hit form. The end result is to ensure safe working conditions for
employees, protection of company property and the safety of anyone else potentially
Identify
Hazard
1/2
4/5 Matrix Share w/
Stop Work
Evaluation Crew
1/2
Share w/ Crew
4 Abate if Feasible
Once the Near Hit form is turned into the Project Manager (PM), the form should
be evaluated to ensure that the Matrix was properly used. The PM then must decide if a
Near Hit Incident Review should be performed. This review could include the Division
Manager (DM), PM, Project Engineer (PE), General Superintendent (GS), Foreman and
any individuals directly involved with the initial near hit. This review would be treated the
same as an incident review where a loss has happened. Not all near hits would require
this type of review but; near hits scoring a 4-5 on the Matrix scale would indicate serious
projects the near hit should be discussed in the following OPS meeting. If it determined
that this could have an impact in other Branches, this should be shared with the SPS
and Corporate Safety Teams. Past experiences have shown that the sharing of this
company. As an example, in one part of the company, a hard hat inspection ended in
Once the Near Hit Forms are complete, the information gained from the Near Hit
Form must be recorded. This recording process aids in future statistical analysis of
potential problem areas. Documented information such as time of day, body part
effected, root cause analysis, and contributing factors create a data base of information
that can be used for future focused areas. An example might be that several near hits
Confidential: Any unauthorized use or distribution is prohibited.
/opt/scribd/conversion/tmp/scratch2311/27923771.doc 01/21/10
Matrices Used in Safety Management
take a close look at that part of our system in which training needs are determined.
Risk Analysis
The application of the Matrix allows us to focus on areas that pose the greatest
risk. Past data has shown that less than 20 percent of the reported near hits are
considered significant in terms of overall risk. In a study performed for the U.S Atomic
Energy Commission and published in The Management Oversight and Risk Tree
emphasis tool in the decision making process for focusing on the “critical few” or the
“insignificant many”. The critical few, refers to the few conditions that will be the most
costly in terms of loss or injury. The insignificant many is in reference to the bulk of
United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority since 1967. Three areas of emphasis are
Most studies have concluded that the area of emphasis involving low frequency and
acts and conditions were relative to the number of injuries. Though there were several
more unsafe acts and conditions than injuries, the thought was that by lowering the
number of unsafe acts and conditions, that this would create a relatively lower number
of injuries. This would require acting on all incidents from the insignificant many to the
critical few. Per the Pareto Principal we would be spending 80 percent of our time on
priority. Risk assessment requires a measuring tool that takes into account severity of
an exposure to a hazard and the potential of an incident to occur. Using past incidents
including near hit data, incident reports and personal experience, ratings can be given
Probability
The likelihood of the occurrence could be rated in the following:
0 = Will not happen
1 = Very unlikely
2 = Could happen
3 = Has happened
4 = Likely to happen
5 = Will occur (imminent danger)
(example 1)
Severity
In terms of rating the severity of the occurrence the following example could be used:
0 = no harm
1 = first aid only
2 = Dr visit no lost time
3 = Dr visit w/ lost time (temp disability/ temp partial/ temp total)
4 = Dr visit w/ lost time (perm. Disability/ perm part/ perm total)
5 = Death
(example 2)
Utilizing the parameters, 0-5, with the associated descriptors, we can calculate
The following mathematical formula can be used to determine the score for each
task:
Index Calculation
R=SxL
Where L equals the Likelihood of an occurrence,
S equals the severity or potential severity of an incident,
R would represent the number given on the index.
(example 3)
The parameters for severity and likelihood are zero to five (0-5) with the index
(discrete variable) ranging from 0 – 25, zero being the lowest risk and 25 the highest.
Index
0 = 0x0, 0x1, 0x2, 0x3, 0x4, 0x5
0 = 1x0, 2x0, 3x0, 4x0, 5x0
1 = 1x1
2 = 1x2, 2x1
3 = 1x3, 3x1
4 = 1x4, 4x1, 2x2
5 = 1x5, 5x1
6 = 2x3, 3x2
8 = 2x4, 4x2
9 = 3x3
10 = 2x5, 5x2
12 = 3x4, 4x3
15 = 3x5, 5x3
16 = 4x4
20 = 4x5, 5x4
25 = 5x5
(example 4)
Determinations can then be made along the line from 0 to 25 using supporting
data. Labels then can be applied to these determinations such as minimum, minor,
Determination Labels
Minimum risk (0-2)
1x2 very unlikely x Dr visit no lost time
2x1 could happen x 1st aid only
Charting these numbered pairs we can apply a color coding to give a visual
representation of areas with the highest risk. Red would be representative of those
areas requiring immediate action, yellow would represent areas of concern, while green
Another example would change the parameters from 1-5, removing the
descriptors “would not happen” for probability and “no harm” for severity since their
The premise of this section is to present the operational steps for the reporting,
recording and analysis of near hits however, matrices can be used in other safety
management areas to assess tasks and process with recognized hazards that have the
potential to cause harm. As was discussed in the beginning of this paper, the purpose of
and procedures that require immediate action. Performing a task hazard analysis prior
to prevent exposures. Controls can be prescribed after evaluation using a risk based
matrix that takes into consideration both the severity and probability of occurrence.
In example 8, under task steps, step number one indicates that boards are
picked up. The potential injury would be back strain. This has a severity rating of three
for possible lost time injury (example 1) and a two in the probability column for the
potential of occurrence (examples 2). This example gives us an index score of nine
(example 4). Per the ordered pair, 3x2, this would be found in the Moderate Risk
category (example 6). Step five also scored in the Moderate range with an eight.
Though eight is in the moderate range it is on the high end only one point from the high
risk category.
The last step for consideration is the control of hazards. The hierarchy of controls
are as follows:
1. Elimination
2. Substitution
3. Engineering Controls
4. Administrative Controls
The order in which the controls are used should remain the same with elimination of
hazards remaining as the first choice for hazard control and PPE as the last line of
defense.
A B C D E F
W/ W/ W/
Matrix Matrix Matrix
Respondents Ex 1 Ex.2 Ex.3 Ex.1 Ex.2 Ex.3
1 1 4 5 5 4 5
2 3 5 4 5 4 4
3 5 5 3 5 4 5
4 2 4 5 4 4 5
5 3 5 5 5 4 5
6 5 4 3 5 4 5
7 4 3 5 5 4 5
8 3 4 4 4 4 5
9 4 4 5 5 4 5
10 2 4 5 5 4 5
11 3 5 5 5 4 4
12 5 5 4 4 4 5
13 2 4 3 5 4 5
14 3 5 5 5 4 5
15 5 4 5 5 4 5
16 4 3 3 5 4 5
17 3 4 5 5 4 5
18 4 4 4 4 4 5
Mean 3.3889 4.2222 4.3333 4.7778 4 4.8889
Stan. Dev 1.13 0.6667 0.8864 0.4278 0 0.3234
Mode 3 4 5 5 4 5
Median 3 4 4.5 5 4 5
The columns A, B, and C are ratings given 3 separate Near Hits Reports by 18 respondents.
Example number one (1), a ladder inspection that located a ladder with split rails and a bent rung.
Example number two (2) included sparks falling to a lower public area during a torch cutting operation.
Example number three (3) involved a hole located on an elevated deck large enough for someone to fall
through that was not protected.
Columns H, I and J are the exact same scenarios, but the respondents were asked to use the Near Hit
matrix represented on sheet 2 of this spread sheet to determine their ratings.
With the data distribution being approximately normal then about 68% of the values are within 1 standard
deviation of the mean, about 95% of the values are within two standard deviations, and 99.7% lie within 3
standard deviations. With a statistical certainty we can say that the use of the Matrix format would result
in more reliable data for the field for use in determination of actions immediately after occurrence and
achieve more reliable data for documentation of near hits throughout the company.
Frequent
common or 25 (5) 20 (5) 15 (5) 10 5
repeated Operation not Operation not Operation not Operation not High Priority
occurrence permissible permissible permissible permissible Remedial Action
4
Probable Acceptable risk
known to occur 20 (5) 16 (5) 12 8 remedial
"it has Operation not Operation not Operation not High Priority action is
happened" permissible permissible permissible Remedial Action discretionary
Occational 3
could occur, "I've Acceptable risk
15 (5) 12 9 6 remedial
heard of it Operation not Operation not Operation not High Priority action is
happening" permissible permissible permissible Remedial Action discretionary
4 2
Acceptable risk Acceptable risk
Remote 10 8 6 remedial remedial
Not likely to Operation not High Priority High Priority action is action is
occur permissible Remedial Action Remedial Action discretionary discretionary
Improbable
practilly 4 3 2 1
impossible Acceptable risk Acceptable risk Acceptable risk Acceptable risk
may assume it 5 remedial remedial remedial remedial
will High Priority action is action is action is action is
not happen Remedial Action discretionary discretionary discretionary discretionary