Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
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Allianz at a Glance
UniCredit German Investment Conference
September 24, 2008
Banking
7%
L/H
26%
Asia/Specialties
15%
NAFTA
19%
Germany
37%
Allianz SE 2008
P/C
55%
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Rest of Europe
29%
1)
As of 19.9.2008
2
Outlook / valuation
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Growth
Climate change
Digitalization
Private pensions
Life, Bancassurance, AM
Medical support
Health insurance
Long-term care
Assistance
Aging population
P/C + Assistance
Risk coverage
and management
P/C
Investments
Asset Management
New channels
New products
Cost reduction
Economies of scale
Allianz SE 2008
Demography
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Growth
Latin America
4 countries
(75% of total market)
Asia Pacific
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
15 countries
EUR 7.6bn GPW (+28%)
15.1mn customers (+9%)
EUR 291mn net income (+69%)
Middle East
Minimum infrastructure
Allianz SE 2008
5 countries
EUR 121mn GPW (+20%)
0.2mn customers
EUR 7.8mn net income (+21%)
1)
Growth
7.9%
Belgium
8.2%
France
Italy
10.7%
8.8%
Portugal
Switzerland
Spain
CEE1
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
6.5%
5.0%
10.4%
19.1%
Top 4 in at least one segment (GPW)
Top 7 in at least one segment (GPW)
Small/no presence
Allianz SE 2008
Germany
9.6%
Growth
OLB
customers
0.4mn
Allianz
banking
customers
Enhanced
insurance
distribution
12.4%
4.3%
1mn
plus 17mn
other German
Allianz customers
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
EUR 2.4bn
EUR 51mn
P/C
L/H
New premiums
New business
Allianz SE 2008
Assurbanking
optimized
152
73
36
26
AGI
DB Deka Union Gene- AXA W&W
new Group
rali
1)
Oldenburgische Landesbank
7
Outlook / valuation
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Profitability
Industrialization of
insurance changes
anatomy of value
Increasing competitiveness
over local peers
Cross-segment
optimization
Segment
optimization
Improving resilience in
adverse market conditions
2005
2008
2011
Key initiatives
Key initiatives
Key initiatives
3+One
Restructuring
- FFIC
- Dresdner
- AGF
- AGR
3+One
Sustainability
CFI
Local TOM
Eurofficiency
Cross-border
synergies
Growth
initiatives
Global
positioning
Allianz SE 2008
2003
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Substantial increase in
operational leverage
Profitability
104.0
104.2
104.9
110.4
114.4
90.3
93.6
AIG
Allianz
95.6
95.8
97.1
97.6
ING
AXA
AIG
ING
Zurich
Allianz Generali
AXA
Zurich Generali
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
102.9
1) Old definition of combined ratio; based on new definition combined ratio would be ~2%-p higher
Source: Company reports
10
Profitability
and in L/H
Operating Profit1
CAGR
+19%
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.8
2.5
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
2.1
Zurich
Allianz
Generali
AXA
ING
2004
Allianz SE 2008
1.8
2007
1) L/H
Source: Company reports
11
Profitability
despite
EUR 1.3bn
mark downs
CAGR 31%
CAGR 29%
10.9
8.0
2.7
4.0
-3.2
n.a.
2002
2007
2003
2007
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
2003
Allianz SE 2008
2002
3.1
2002
2003
2007
12
Outlook / valuation
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
13
Risk management
Internal dividend
model
Competition for capital
Balance between capital
generation and growth
initiatives
Incentive system
EVA based management
targets and incentives
Stock based compensation
Bottom line underwriting
targets
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Risk management
Consistent global risk capital
model
Allianz SE 2008
14
Risk management
Equity gearing
significantly reduced (%)
-198%-p
260
61% government/agency,
covered bonds
Debt securities
140
62
2002
Banking
L/H
2003
Trust Solution
66% government/agency,
covered bonds
Debt securities
2007
1.25bn
Upside potential exceeding
trust donation
Optimized exposure
- Better market position
231.0
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Insurance
975mn
2nd loss Allianz
Allianz SE 2008
- Synergies
Floor no downside risk
275mn
1st loss CoBa
Set up
Closure
15
Outlook / valuation
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
16
Capital management
+62%-p
195
2Q 2008:
47.8
21.0
2Q 2008:
184%
40.5
133
28.0
n.a.
2003
2007
2002
2003
2007
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
2002
2Q 2008:
157
145%
Allianz SE 2008
103
n.a.
2002
2003
2007
Capital management
= Allianz cap
150%
= Allianz target
CAGR 30%
5.50
100%
= Minimum requirement
Payout ratio
3.80
1.75
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
= Safety buffer
2.00
1.50
1.50
n.m.
34%
31%
19%
23%
31%
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Allianz SE 2008
50%
18
Outlook / valuation
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
19
Outlook
8.7 10.1
>9
>9
9.3
8.2
1H 2008 Ratios
L/H
AM
Q2
2007
Q2
2008
2.9% NBM
64.4% CIR
Target
2008 2009
Allianz SE 2008
Q2
2006
94.1% CR
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
P/C
Excluding Banking
Including Banking
20
Outlook
145
+44%
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
27%
101
73%
1)
Neutral
Sell
Share price
09/2008
Allianz SE 2008
Buy
Target price1
09/2008
Based on data from Cheuvreux, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, DZ Bank, FPK, KBW, Merrill Lynch,
UBS, Unicredit, HSBC, Morgan Stanley as of 19.9.2008
21
Outlook
Valuation upside
Allianz SE 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
22
Appendix
.
Head of
Investor Relations
E-mail:
oliver.schmidt@allianz.com
Susanne Arheit
Holger Klotz
E-mail:
holger.klotz@allianz.com
Reinhard
Lahusen
E-mail:
susanne.arheit@allianz.com
Andrea Frterer
E-mail:
Fax:
Christian
Lamprecht
E-mail:
andrea.foerterer@allianz.com
Peter Hardy
E-mail:
peter.hardy@allianz.com
IR Events
investor.relations@allianz.com
+49 (0) 89 3800-3899
E-mail:
stephanie.aldag@allianz.com
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Allianz SE 2008
Oliver Schmidt
26 February 2009
27 February 2009
13 March 2009
29 April 2009
13 May 2009
7 August 2009
9 November 2009
Allianz SE 2008
10 November 2008
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt
Disclaimer
These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below.
The matters discussed herein may also be affected by risks and uncertainties described from time to time in Allianz SEs
filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The company assumes no obligation to update any forwardlooking statement.
No duty to update
The company assumes no obligation to update any information contained herein.
26
Allianz SE 2008
Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i)
general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in the Allianz Group's core business and core
markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss
events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) the extent of credit defaults, (vii) interest
rate levels, (viii) currency exchange rates including the euro / US dollar exchange rate, (ix) changing levels of competition,
(x) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the European Monetary Union, (xi) changes in
the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments, (xii) the impact of acquisitions, including related integration
issues, (xiii) reorganization measures, and (xiv) general competitive factors, in each case on a local, regional, national
and/or global basis. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist
activities and their consequences.
0809_CL_Unicredit_FINAL.ppt