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I. BACKGROUND
Bangladesh's labour forcehas been growingat 2.4 per cent per
and modernsectorscan absorb an increaseof
year,but its agriculture
1.7
cent
per
only
per year. The surplus labour attemptsto find
in
the
employment
country'srural non-farm(RNF) sector which is
an
becoming
increasingly significant source of income and
for
the majority of the rural poor. This sector is
employment
not
important
only for povertyalleviation,but also for promoting
overalleconomicgrowth
.The extentto whichRNF activitiescan lead to
broad-based economic growth,however,depends criticallyon the
ofthe RNF activities,existenceof dynamicmarketniches,
profitability
and the strengthof the forwardand backwardlinkagesof the sector
withthe restofthe economy.
*The WorldBank.
182
The BangladeshDevelopment
Studies
183
amountborrowed.
Amongthosewho are eligiblebut do notparticipate,
RNF activitiesaccountedforonly27 per cent of total borrowing.On
the other hand, among those who are ineligibleto participatebut
borrowfromothersources, only 12 per cent of totalborrowingis for
RNF activities.As Table I shows,the RNF sectoraccounts for48 per
cent of the total loans advanced by formalfinancial institutions
comparedwith28 per cent of the informalloans and 60 per cent of
microfinance.The majorityof the loans fromthese three credit
programmes were taken for the purchase of nonagricultural
equipmentand capital. The averageloan size variedfromTaka 4,212
for Grameen Bank to Taka 2,276 for BRAC, and Taka 2,584 for
RD-12.
TABLE I
RNF LOAN SIZE AND ITS SHARE IN TOTAL LOAN BY SELECTED SOURCES
(Total numberof loans-2985)
Non-agricultural
equipment/capital
AverageLoan
Size (taka)
Sources
Formal credit
sources
Non-agricultural: Othersa
% ofTotal
AverrageLoan
Volume of Loan
Size (taka)
% ofTotal Volume
of Loan
9611.4
(17267.2)
8.2
64113.9
(61867.6)
39.9
RD-12
2583.8
(946.8)
34.1
3282.1
(1956.8)
22.8
BRAC
2275.9
(1057.7)
35.6
3009.3
(1708.0)
28.1
4211.6
(1364.0)
45.9
3911.8
(1587.3)
15.6
3800.2
(2676.0)
9.2
5015.7
(5075.1)
18.7
Microcredit
sources
Grameen
Bank
Informal
creditsources
184
The BangladeshDevelopment
Studies
Figure 1
RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF ANNUALDISBURSEMENT BY CREDIT
PROGRAMMES IN FARM AND RNF SECTORS, 1994
. DETERMINANTS OF HOUSEHOLD
PARTICIPATION IN RNF ACTIVITIES
185
TABLEII
OP THE PARTICIPATION
INRNPACTIVITIES
DETERMINANTS
(Probitestimate)
Variables
Explanatory
Coefficients
BothPartand Full-time
Participants
0.518
-0.045
-0.137*
-0.177
-0.046
0.020
0.038
-0.394**
0.434
-0.107
0. 104
0.221
0.239
-1157.33
1,798
variablesare shownhere.
and programme
Notes : Onlythesignificant
placement
Variablesare significant
at 10%level
Variablesare significant
at 5% level
Studies
The BangladeshDevelopment
186
TABLE III
DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY RNF ACTIVITIES FOR
DIFFERENT PROGRAMME PARTICIPATION STATUS
ProgrammeParticipationStatus
Activity
Manufacturing(%)
Transport (%)
Trading (%)
Livestockand
fisheries(%)
Others (mostly
services) (%)
Numberof
observations
NonNonAU
participants target households
RD-12
GB
13.8
21.4
47.8
4.4
20.5
14.2
42.5
14.2
23.1
17.2
17.7
19.3
16.8
45.1
7.0
20.9
44.6
7.1
4.4
63.7
3.5
16.4
47.1
6.6
12.6
8.7
8.0
10.1
10.6
10.5
159
254
286
296
113
1.108
BRAC
in RNF activities,
what determines
the
Now,giventhe participation
choice structureof RNF activitiesin Bangladesh?A multinomiallogit
(MNL) was run (not shown here) to determinethe choice of a
relativeto serviceactivitiesdue to a changein one of
particularactivity
the explanatoryvariables.GrameenBank promotestransport,trade,
activities.On the other
and livestockcomparedto service-oriented
activities
overmanufacturing,
service-oriented
hand, BRAC promotes
commercialbanks also promote
transport,and trade. Interestingly,
tradeand livestockrelativeto services.Betterroads reducetradeand
livestockactivitiesrelativeto services.Village-levelprices and wages
rolein a household'sselectionofRNF activities.
also playan important
Wages for a particular type of labour (male, female and child)
representan alternativeof RNF activity(hence,a substitutioneffect
For example,an increasein the male wage rate
and an incomeeffect).
increases transportand livestockcompared to services, while an
increasein the femalewage reducestransportbut increaseslivestock
but
activity.By contrast,the child wage increases manufacturing,
A villagethathas no activewagemarketfor
reduceslivestockactivities.
femalelabour(and henceno observedfemalewage)promotestradeand
activities.Trade and livestockprovide
livestockover service-oriented
more self-employment
for women than other activities, perhaps
because they are compatible with women's role in household
commoditiesalso affect
non-market
production.The pricesofdifferent
the choice structureof RNF activities.Of particularinterestare the
pricesof rice,the majorfoodcrop in Bangladesh,flourand beef.The
187
Giventhe significance
ofthe RNF sectoras a source ofincomeand
will
it
be
to examinethe relativecontribution
employment,
interesting
188
The BangladeshDevelopment
Studies
189
Activity
Manufacturing
Transport
Trading
Livestock
and fisheries
Others(mostlyservices)
Total
CLR
COR
OLR
3.591
1.187
3.096
10.180
2.539
93.415
18.641
200.28
47.198
114.597
0.393
0.438
0.415
0.124
0.570
604.078
65.209
817.476
1247.711
484.155
3.214
129.068
0.413
633.111
ProgrammeParticipation
Statue
BRAC
2.59
86.92
0.34
432.75
RD-12
4.43
46.93
0.34
428.21
GB
2.84
103.53
0.34
506.40
Non-participants
3.05
73.17
0.42
435.72
Non-target
4.03
362.46
0.48
1334.53
190
191
192
The BangladeshDevelopment
Studies
VIII. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
193
REFERENCES
Khandkerand Chowdhury1996: Shahidur R Khandkerand Osman
H. Chowdhury,
'TargetedCreditProgramsand Rural Poverty
in Bangladesh"in CreditProgramsfor the Poor: Household
and IntrahouseholdImpacts and ProgramSustainability,
VolumeII, (eds.) Md. A. Latifet al.
Pitt and Khandker1996: Mark M. Pitt and Shahidur R. Khandker,
"Impact of Credit Programs for the Poor on Household
Behavior in Bangladesh" in CreditProgramsfor the Poor:
Household and Intrahousehold Impacts and Program
VolumeII, (eds) Md. A. Latifet al
Sustainability,
Khandker, Shahidur R. 1996. FightingPovertywith Microcredit:
Experienceof the Grameen Bank and Other Programsin
Bangladesh. Povertyand Social Policy Department,The
WorldBank, Washington,D.C.
Khandker,Shahidur R. and Baqui Khalily 1996. 'The Bangladesh
Rural Advancement Committee's Credit Programs:
Performanceand Sustainability."World Bank Discussion
Papers No. 324. Washington,D.C.
"
Khandker, Shahidur R. Baqui Khalily and Zahed Khan, 1995.
GrammenBank: Performanceand Sustainability."World
Bank Discussion Papers No. 306. Washington,D.C.
Khandker, Shahidur R., Zahed Khan and Baqui Khalily, 1995.
"Sustainabilityof a GovernmentTargetedCredit Program:
EvidencefromBangladesh."WorldBank Discussion Papers
D.CA
No. 316. Washington,