Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Community-Based
Practice
Department of Community
and Preventive Medicine
Study Program of Medicine
Faculty of Medicine Udayana
University
2015
LIST
0F CONTENT
List of Module
Planners Team
Facilitators
Reserve Facilitators
Time Table
10
22
Assessment Method
22
Introduction
23
Module 1 18
24
References
98
99
104
109
110
129
LIST
OF MODULE
p. 26
p.32
p.35
p.40
p. 43
p.45
p.49
p.54
p.55
p.59
p. 64
p. 65
MODULE ~ 13 (Greenberg)
Epidemiology Study to Determine Risk Factor of Disease
p. 72
p.79
p.83
p. 87
p. 92
p. 95
CURRICULUM
Community Based Practice
Competency
Statement
Instructional
Goals
Learning Objectives
Topics
Use community
based-practices to
conduct studies
that improve
diseases
prevention in the
community
Demonstrate
ability to apply
health prevention
principles based
on risks and
determinant
factors of health
problem
a) Describe several
determinants (models) of
diseases and death
occurring in the
population
Determinants of
Morbidity and
Mortality in a
Population,
Natural History
and Diseases
Prevention
Competency
Statement
Instructional Goals
Learning Objectives
Topics
Demonstrate ability
to search, organize
and interpret
information/data
from different
sources in order to
assist in diagnostic,
therapeutic and
health
a) Explain
measurements of
morbidity and
mortality in a
population.
Measurements
of Morbidity and
Mortality in a
Population
b) Describe the
definitions of
population and
sample.
c) Explain the conditions
required for a
representative
sample.
d) Explain several
sampling methods.
e) Describe types of data
and variables.
f)
Be able to prepare
software for data
entry.
g) Differentiate
proportion, ratio, rate,
prevalence and
incidence.
h) Explain four types of
incidence based on
their denominators.
i)
j)
k) Explain the
differences,
application,
interpretation, and
weaknesses of (slide)
crude, specific, and
adjusted rate.
Pattern of
Morbidity and
Mortality Based
on Person,
Place, and Time
l)
Competency
Statement
Instructional Goals
Be able to analyze,
and interpret crude,
specific and adjusted
rate.
Learning Objectives
Topics
m) Be able to analyze,
present, and interpret
descriptive categorical
and interval data.
n) Be able to analyze
and present data
using computers. Be
able to interpret the
measurements of
morbidity and
mortality on samples
descriptively.
o) Explain the method to
determine disease
prognosis from the
population (survival
analysis).
Demonstrate ability
to apply methods to
determine risk
factors of a disease
and effectiveness of
diseases
intervention/
treatment/
prevention
p) Be able to manage,
analyze and interpret
data inferentially.
q) Describe the
definition,
requirements, types,
and applications of
surveillance.
r) Be able to conduct an
epidemiologic
investigation of an
outbreak.
Surveillance and
Disease
Outbreak
a. Describe
epidemiological
design, e.g.: crosssection, case-control,
and cohort, to
determine risk factors
of diseases.
b. Explain the
advantages and
disadvantages of
cross-sectional, casecontrol and cohort
design.
c. Describe the
Methods to
determine risk
factors,
effectiveness of
treatment,
prevention, and
intervention of
diseases in the
community
Instructional Goals
Learning Objectives
Topics
d. Be able to describe
the differences
between descriptive,
cross-sectional, casecontrol, and clinical
study design.
e. Describe the concept
of patient variability,
variability in medical
research, variability of
measurement, both in
individual and
population level.
f. Explain internal
validity, external
validity, selection bias,
information bias, and
confounding factors.
g. Describe sources of
bias in descriptive
research design,
cross-sectional, casecontrol, cohort, and
clinical trials and
describe how to
minimize those
biases.
Analyze and
interpret data of
diseases screening
in the community
Screening of
diseases in the
community
~ PLANNERS TEAM ~
No
Name
Department
Phone
Community/Preventive
0811394306
Community/Preventive
0817340145
Community/Preventive
08124696647
Public Health
088113677930
Community/Preventive
082147092348
Community/Preventive
087860380028
Public Health
081353342409
Community/Preventive
081805664963
Community/Preventive
0818560008
10
Public Health
087860118004
11
Community/Preventive
081353380666
~ FACILITATORS ~
Regular Class (Class A)
No
Department
Phone
Group
Room
Number
Biochemistry
081337141506
A-1
A.3.09
Parasitology
081353077733
A-2
A.3.10
Histology
082341768888
A-3
A.3.11
Microbiology
08179747502
A-4
A.3.12
A-5
A.3.13
A-6
A.3.14
A-7
A.3.15
A-8
A.3.16
A-9
A.3.17
A-10
A.3.19
1
2
3
Name
Pharmacy
081999418471
Opthalmology
081338538499
Cardiovascular
081237287888
Anaesthesiology
081805755222
Community/
Preventive
08123924326
Radiology
08164745561
Department
Phone
Grou
p
Room
Number
Phisiology
081999636899
B-1
A.3.09
Name
Community/ Preventive
082147092348
B-2
A.3.10
Community/ Preventive
087860380028
B-3
A.3.11
Biochemistry
0811397960
B-4
A.3.12
Internal Med
08123815025
B-5
A.3.13
Plastic Surgery
081236288975
B-6
A.3.14
ENT
08123937063
B-7
A.3.15
Anaesthesiology
08123822009
B-8
A.3.16
085339644145
B-9
A.3.17
Histology
10
10
Andrology
08123979397
B-10
A.3.19
Name
Department
Phone
Com/Prev
08123816424
Com/Prev
081337005360
Com/Prev
0817340145
Public Health
081338996006
Com/Prev
0818560008
Public Health
03617848123
Com/Prev
082147092348
Com/Prev
087860380028
Public Health
081353342409
10
Com/Prev
081805570772
Department
Phone
Reserve Facilitators
No
Name
Com/Prev
0817340145
Com/Prev
08124696647
Com/Prev
081353380666
Public Health
081353342409
Com/Prev
081805570772
Com/Prev
0818560008
11
~ TIME TABLE ~
English Class (B)
Days/date
1
Thursday
12th of March
Time
Activity
08.00 09.00
Introductory
09.00 10.30
Movie
10.30 12.00
Discussion
12.00 13.00
Break/lunch
13.00 15.00
Independent learning/Student
Project (SP)
Venue
Conveyer
dr. A.A.Sg. Sawitri,
MPH
Introductory lecture 1
08.00 09.00
09.00 10.00
10.00 10.30
2
Friday
th
13 of March
10.30 11.30
11.30 12.30
dr. Ni Wayan
Septarini, MPH
Introductory lecture 3
Diseases prevention
Break/lunch
SGD : Determinants of morbidity
and mortality in a population
12.30 15.30
Discussion Room
(DR)
3
Monday
16th of March
08.00 09.00
09.00 10.00
10.00 10.30
Break
10.30 11.30
11.30 12.30
Break/Lunch
12.30 15.00
Independent Learning/SP
dr. Ni Wayan
Septarini, MPH
12
Introductory Lecture
08.00 09.00
dr. Gd Artawan,
M.Epid
Introductory Lecture
09.00 10.00
4
Tuesday
17th of March
10.00 10.30
CR 3.01
dr. Ayu Kartika
Sari, MPH
Break
Introductory Lecture
10.30 11.30
11.30 12.30
Break/Lunch
DR
SGD : Measurements of
Morbidity and Mortality in A
Population; Source of Error
SGD : Crude, Specific and
Adjusted Rate
08.00 09.00
09.00 10.00
Wednesday18th
of March
10.00 10.30
Break
10.30 11.30
11.30 12.30
Break/Lunch
12.30 15.30
Independent Learning/SP
Skill lab
Schedule
Skill Lab
6
Thursday
th
19 of March
7
Monday
23th of March
10.00 11.00
dr. P. Swandewi,
MPH
dr. Gede Artawan
Eka Putra, M. Epid
dr. Ayu Kartika
Sari, MPH
dr. Sawitri, MPH
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
dr. Wirakusuma,
MOH
09.00 10.00
CR 3.01
13
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
Eka Putra, M.
Epid
DR
10.00 11.00
th
24 of March
9
Wednesday
25th of March
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
Independent Learning
Skill lab
Schedule
Skill Lab
Thursday
26th of March
Introductory Lecture
Significance Test for
Categorical and Interval Data
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
11
Friday
27th of March
09.00 10.00
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
10.00 11.00
10
09.00 10.00
dr. Wirakusuma,
MOH
Skill lab
Schedule
dr. Putu Ayu
Swandewi, MPH
dr. Gede Artawan
Eka Putra, M.
Epid
DR
SGD :
Significance Test for
Categorical and Interval Data
Student presentation and feedback
: Inferential Analysis and
Interpretation of Analysis
Results (Hypothesis Test)
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
CR 3.01
14
13.00 15.00
Days/date
12
Monday
30th of March
Independent Learning/ SP
Time
Skill lab
Schedule
Activity
Skill Lab
Significance Test for
Categorical & Interval Data
Introductory Lecture
09.00 10.00
Venue
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
Introductory Lecture
13
Tuesday
31st of March
10.00 11.00
Epidemiologic studies to
determine risk factors of
diseases
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
SGD :
13.00 15.00
Lecturers
DR
09.00 10.00
14
Wednesday
1st of April
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
Independent Learning/ SP
Introductory Lecture
15
Thursday
2nd of April
09.00 10.00
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
dr. Nyoman
Sutarsa, MPH
dr. Ariastuti, MPH
CR 3.01
dr. Nyoman
Sutarsa, MPH
dr. Ariastuti, MPH
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
SGD :
Epidemiology Study Design:
Cohort Study
DR
15
SGD :
Epidemiology Study Design:
Case Control Study
16
Monday
6th of April
CR 3.01
09.00 10.00
CR 3.01
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
Independent Learning/ SP
Introductory Lecture
17
Tuesday
7th of April
09.00 10.00
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
SGD:
Applications of Clinical Trials to
Determine the Effectiveness of
Intervention, Prevention, and
Treatment of Diseases
Epidemiology Study Design: Case
Control Study
SGD
Screening and Diagnostic
Testing
dr. Nyoman
Sutarsa, MPH,
dr. Ariastuti, MPH
DR
DR
CR 3.01
09.00 10.00
CR 3.01
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 15.00
Independent Learning
18
Wednesday
8th of April
16
CR 3.01
19
Thursday
9th of April
20
Friday
10th of April
09.00 10.00
Introductory Lecture
Variability and bias
10.00 11.00
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/ SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
14.00 15.00
Independent Learning
09.00 10.00
10.00 13.00
13.00 14.00
Break/Lunch
14.00 15.00
Independent Learning
21
Saturday
11th of April
22
Monday
13th of April
DR
CR 3.01
09.00 11.00
Assessment
Will be arranged
later
Team Resource
Person
And Facilitators
17
~ TIME TABLE ~
Regular Class (A)
Days/date
1
Thursday
12th of March
Time
Activity
08.00 09.00
Introductory
09.00 10.30
Movie
10.30 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/lunch
13.00 15.00
Discussion
08.00 11.30
11.30 12.30
Break/lunch
Venue
Introductory lecture 1
2
Friday
13th of March
12.30 13.30
13.30 14.30
14.30 15.30
Conveyer
08.00 11.00
Discussion Room
(DR)
11.00 12.00
Monday
16th of March
Break/Lunch
Student presentation and feedback
: Determinants of morbidity and
mortality in a population
12.00 15.00
dr. Ni Wayan
Septarini, MPH
CR 3.01
08.00 11.30
Tuesday
17th of March
11.30 12.30
Break/lunch
12.30 13.30
Introductory Lecture
Population, Sample, Data, and
Variables
dr. G.Artawan,
M.Epid
18
Introductory Lecture
13.30 14.30
14.30 15.30
Introductory Lecture
08.00 11.00
DR
SGD : Measurements of
Morbidity and Mortality in A
Population; Source of Error
SGD : Crude, Specific and
Adjusted Rate
5
Wednesday18t
h
of March
6
Thursday
11.00 12.00
Break/lunch
12.00 13.00
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
Skill lab
Schedule
Skill Lab
09.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/lunch
19th of March
13.00 14.00
Monday
23th of March
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
dr. Wirakusuma,
MOH
Introductory Lecture
14.00 15.00
8
Tuesday
24th of March
09.00 11.00
Introductory Lecture
7
CR 3.01
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
19
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
9
Wednesday
25th of March
Skill lab
Schedule
Skill Lab
09.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
09.00 11.00
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
Introductory Lecture
Significance Test for
Categorical and Interval Data
SGD : Inferential Analysis and
Interpretation of Analysis
Results (Hypothesis Test)
Friday
27 of March
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
Skill lab
Schedule
Skill Lab
Significance Test for
Categorical & Interval Data
09.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
Introductory Lecture
13.00 14.00
DR
SGD :
Significance Test for
Categorical and Interval Data
Independent Learning/SP
th
11.00 12.00
13
Tuesday
31st of March
CR 3.01
11
12
Monday
30th of March
Introductory Lecture
10
Thursday
26th of March
dr. Wirakusuma,
MOH
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
20
Introductory Lecture
14.00 15.00
Epidemiologic studies to
determine risk factors of
diseases
SGD :
09.00 11.00
DR
14
Wednesday
1st of April
15
Thursday
2nd of April
11.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
CR 3.01
13.00 14.00
CR 3.01
14.00 15.00
09.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
CR 3.01
dr. Nyoman
Sutarsa, MPH
dr. Ariastuti, MPH
Introductory Lecture
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
09.00 11.00
16
Monday
6th of April
DR
SGD :
Epidemiology Study Design:
Case Control Study
11.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
Student presentation and feedback
: Epidemiology Study Design:
Cohort Study
CR 3.01
13.00 14.00
CR 3.01
14.00 15.00
09.00 12.00
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
dr. Nyoman
Sutarsa, MPH
dr. Ariastuti, MPH
21
17
Tuesday
7th of April
Introductory Lecture
13.00 14.00
18
Wednesday
8th of April
19
Thursday
9th of April
20
Friday
10th of April
09.00 11.00
CR 3.01
DR
11.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 14.00
14.00 15.00
09.00 12.00
Independent Learning/SP
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 14.00
Introductory Lecture
Variability and bias
14.00 15.00
DR
09.00 12.00
CR 3.01
12.00 13.00
Break/Lunch
13.00 14.00
14.00 16.00
21
Saturday
11th of April
22
Monday
13th of April
14.00 15.00
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
CR 3.01
09.00 11.00
Assessment
Will be arranged
later
Team Resource
Person
And Facilitators
22
1. Thursday
2. Wednesday
3. Monday
No
Class
Group SGD
Activity
English
English
Break/Lunch
Time/Place
Guidance:
1. Each student is required to bring their own lap-top and has installed the SPSS
program in to their laptop.
2. Data for practising will be provided before the first skill lab. Each head of the
SGD have to contact dr. Putuariastuti or dr. Citra to ask for those files.
3. Skill Lab Guide is provided on the Anexes. Remember to bring your study guide
every day.
ASSESSMENT METHOD
Student assessment of this block consists of:
1. a paper test with multiple choice questions at the end of block with proportion
80% of total score
2. a student project with proportion 15% of total score
3. evaluation of activity during the small group discussion with proportion 5% of total
score
23
INTRODUCTION
A movie And the Band Played On will be played after introduction session in theatre
room 4th floor. Every student should pay attention and carefully watch the movie because
proper understanding of the movie is needed to answer learning task question below.
The summary of this movie can be seen in the Annex 1 of the Study Guide.
Learning task
Based on the movie And The Band Played On, you are required to discuss in
your group the following questions:
1. Please explain about steps to discover the cause of AIDS based on this movie.
Which one was started first, the lab investigation or epidemiology investigation to
find out the cause of AIDS?
2. How were the roles of the following fields shown in the movie
a. Statistic
b. Clinical
c. Social
d. Epidemiology
e. Virology
3. Please explain which part of the movie explained the types of social and political
threats that influenced the investigation to find out the cause of that mysterious
disease
4. Please explain which part of the movie showed ethics and professional aspects
5. Please explain which part of the movie that presented the threats/difficulties in
controlling and preventing that disease
24
MODULE~1
(Reference Maussner & Bahn, p. 1-42)
AIMS:
To be able to describe determinants, the natural history of diseases and death occurring
in the population and diseases prevention
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Explain the Ice Berg phenomena and its implication in diseases prevention.
8.
Describe the level of disease prevention based on determinants and natural history
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Determinants (models) of diseases and death occurring in the population.
2. Natural history of certain disease and applications for prevention.
3. Level of disease prevention based on determinants and natural history.
25
ABSTRACTS
In this lecture the difference approaches of community medicine and clinical
medicine are discussed. In clinical medicine, concern is to individual patients who are
visit health providers. In community or population medicine concern is to whole
population, either sick or healthy in certain geographical area. Community medicine or
public health focuses on prevention of diseasesin the population, whereas clinical
medicine focuses on treating sick individual patients who come to health providers.
In order to provide appropriate treatments to individual patients, the diagnosis of
her/his disease must be established. Similar approach must be established in
community medicine. In order to provide appropriate preventions, determinants of
health problems in the community must be understood.
To understand determinants or factors which influence the occurrence of
diseases in the population, some epidemiological models or theories are discussed in
this lecture. Each model has its strengths and weaknesses. There is no single model
which is appropriate to explain determinants of all diseases occurrence. Triangle model
which was first introduced, explained that the occurrence of diseases in the population is
determine by agent, host and environments. Wheel model focused on intrinsic (host
factors) and extrinsic (environments factors). Model which was introduced by Blum
explained that the occurrence of diseases in the population determine by genetic,
behaviour, health programs and environments. Web model explained that a determinant
of diseases occurrence in the population is not simple but interrelated of many factors.
There are many other models which explain determinants of diseases but not discussed
in this lecture.
Beside determinants of diseases occurrence, appropriate prevention also
depends on the natural history of the disease. For example, disease where the cause is
well established such as HIV/AIDS, has long incubation period and fatal, the focus of
prevention are primary prevention such as behavior change educations, secondary
prevention such as voluntary HIV testing (VCT) and tertiary prevention such as care
support and treatments of secondary (opportunistic) infections. On the other hand, if the
cause of disease is not known such as cancers, focus of preventions is secondary and
tertiary preventions. Other disease such as dengue fever, which is acute, no vaccine
available and no treatments to kill the virus, the focus of prevention is on primary
preventions.
26
27
Learning Tasks 3
Discuss the following in your group:
a) The high morbidity and mortality due to dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) is
influenced by many factors (determinants). Discuss these factorsusing Wheels
Model. Explain also the most dominant factor.
b) 1. The high incidence of morbidity (morbidity rate) due to traffic accidents are
influenced by many factors (determinants). Discuss in groups these factors using
Web Model. Explain the most dominant factor.
2.The high mortality rate due to traffic accidents are also influenced by many factors
(determinants). Discuss in groups these factors using Blum Model. Explain also
the most dominant factor.
c) The high morbidity and mortality due to tuberculosis (TB) are influenced by many
factors (determinants). Discuss in groups these factors using Triangle Model.
Explain also the most dominant factor.
d) The high morbidity and mortality caused by HIV-AIDS are influenced by many factors
(determinants). Discuss in groups these factors usingBlum and Triangle Model.
Explain also the most dominant factor.
e) The high morbidity and mortality of children under 5 year olds in the community is
influenced by many factors (determinants). Discuss these factors by using Mosley
Model. Explain also the mechanisms between these factors by considering the
direction of the lines in the Mosley Model.
Learning Tasks 4:
1. At the end of the lecture, each SGD group should give the lecturer a USB with
capacity minimum 8 gb.
2. A movie The Contagion will be transfered to the USB and the USB will be returned
during plenary. This movie will be discussed on the surveillance and diseases
outbreak topic
During small group discussion (SGD), each group has to select a spokesperson,
who will be presenting the results of discussions at the plenary
2.
Prior to the plenary, the spokesperson of each group sits in front of the class
28
4.
5.
Before the plenary start, every SGD has already put the file of the answer in the
class computer/CPU
LEARNING TASK
a) Discuss the natural history, primary, secondary and tertiary prevention of HIV-AIDS
using a diagram.
b) Discuss the natural history, primary, secondary and tertiary prevention of
denguehemorrhagic fever (DHF) using a chart.
Please refer to: http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/725639_2
LEARNING TASK
Please take a look this PDF file below before answering the following task:
http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/0004/129532/Ottawa_Charter.pdf
All the answers for the following task must also refer/consider to Ottawa Charter
as explained on the above file.
a) Discuss the natural history, primary, secondary and tertiary prevention of
tuberculosis.
Please refer to the following website:
http://www.uphs.upenn.edu/bugdrug/antibiotic_manual/iuatld_tb_manual_for_me
dical_students.pdf
b) Discuss the natural history and primary, secondary and tertiary prevention of
malnutrition in children age under 5 years.
Please refer to the following website:
29
Self assessment
1. Explain the determinant factor of diseases occurrence by using the Epidemiological
Triangle, the Wheels and the Blum models!
2. A part of the Blum model is the health care factor. If you use the Wheel model, into
which factor that factor should be included?
3. The other part of the Blum model is behaviour factor. If you use the Wheel model,
that factor should be included into which factor? And if you use the Epidemiological
Triangle model, how should you place the behaviour factor?
4. What are the differences between the natural history of HIV/AIDS, DHF, and
coronary disease or stroke?
5. Why is it very important to understand the determinant and the natural history of
certain diseases in a population?
6. The level of prevention consists of primary preventions, including health promotion
(behaviour change & policy/regulation) and specific protection, secondary prevention
(early detection and prompt treatment), and tertiary prevention (disability limitation
and rehabilitation). Explain which prevention will be effective for the following
diseases/incidents: DHF, HIV/AIDS, diarrheal, traffic accident, coronary heart
disease, stroke, tuberculosis (TBC), and avian influenza.
7. The health promotion is actually health education plus which consists of health
education (or behaviour intervention) and structural intervention (or
policy/regulation). Give examples of behaviour intervention and policy/regulation to
reduce death due to traffic accident, to decrease deficiency of energy and protein
(under nutrition) and certain diseases caused by smoking behaviour.
8. Explain the definition of the iceberg phenomena and its consequences regarding the
disease prevention in the community and regarding the accuracy of data available at
service statistic (primary health services such as private midwives/ doctor, PHC,
private clinics, secondary health care service such as district hospital, and tertiary
health care service such as referral hospital).
30
MODULE~2
(Reference Kirkwood and Sterne, chapter 2)
AIM:
Demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
a) Describe the definitions of population and sample.
b) Explain the conditions required for a representative sample.
c) Explain several sampling methods.
d) Describe types of data and variables.
e) Describe several method of data collection
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
Population, Sample, Data, and Variables
ABSTRACT
Population is a group in whom the result of certain study can be applied;while sample is
part of the population that should represent its population. Two requirements for sample
to be representative are concerning on samples size and sample selection.
Sample size are determined by indicators of measurements (mean, proportion)
study design, alpha() and power(1-), and tolerated deviation. Besides those above,
sample selection also take important role. The recommended sample selection is nonrandom sampling (simple, systematic, stratified, multistage, etc). In clinic setting, we
frequently used consecutive sampling which is a non random sampling and assumed to
be represented its population.
31
SCENARIO:
Case 1.
Study on Maternal and Child Health
The study was conducted in two phase; 1) household survey to determine the
under five years health status and 2) Quasi Experimental study to explore the
effect of food supplementation program toward the improvement of nutritional
status
First Phase
A household survey was conducted to explore under five years childs health status at
Desa Merdeka in 2011. The objective of the study was to determine several factors that
associated with anemia and chronic malnutrition among children in the area. The area
has two different characteristics which are easy to reach area (easy) and hard to reach
area (hard). The condition of both areaswas suggested to be considered since there
might be different characteristics of the family; hence, the samples were randomly
selected from both areas.
The subjects of the study were all five under five years old children. Children from the
family who are no longer residing in the area were excluded from the study and those
with incomplete data were excluded during data analysis. List of the children were
withdrawn from the register at the village leader office.
Data collection was performed by interview using structured questionnaire with the
mothers and measurement of the children. The characteristics that were explored and
measured include: mothers and childrens demographic characteristic, haemoglobin
level and body weight. More specifically, the variables in the study were ID, name, area,
mothers age, education, occupation; history of exclusive breastfeeding, parity; and
childrens weight, age, hemoglobin level, body weight and height. The hemoglobin level
measured with HemoCue, and body weight measured with digital scale. Anemia status
was determined when Hb level less than 11 mg/dl and undernourished determined when
BMI less than 11kg/m2
Second Phase
After the above data collection was completed, the second phase of the study was
started. This phase aims to evaluate the impact of food supplementation program to
improve nutritional status among undernourished children. All undernourished children
were involved in the study, expect those with severe illness. The children were allocated
into two groups; first group received food supplementation and second groups continue
with the prior daily consumption. The supplementation was provided up to 2 months and
at the end of two month the nutritional status (the body weight)were measured again.
32
Learning Task 1:
You are required to discuss the following questions, based on the study:
1. Explain the definition of population (target population and sampled population) and
sample!
From each study phase of the case above describe:
1.
2.
3.
Discuss what are the different between target and sampled population
2. Discuss the reason of taking sample rather than observed all population and the
requirement of a good sample?
3. Discuss several conditions for samples to represent the population (to be
representative)!
4. Discuss the meanings and objective of inclusion criteria, exclusion criteria, and drop
out criteria?
Base on the case study above, for each phase, describe:
1.
2.
3.
5. Explain the indication and the technique for sampling methods below
1. Simple random, stratified random, systematic random, multi-stage random,
cluster,
2. Quota, convenience, purposive, and snow-balling technique
3. Based on the case study above, what is the sampling method of the study?
6. Based on the case above (phase 1), describe about sampling frame for the study.
What is the importance of constructing a sampling frame and when it is not possible
to be constructed?
7. Explain several important parts in sample size calculation including variability, design,
power (1-), level of significance (), effect size or precision or margin of error.
a. Draw the relationship between variables above
b. Classify the variables based on their function
8. a. Explain the classification of variables based on the level of measurement
b. Among the variables on the study above, classify them based on the level of
measurement
9. Describe method of data collection that have been applied on the case study above.
Self Assessments:
1. Explain the definition of population and sample!
33
4. What is the meaning of exclusion criteria? What is the purpose of excluding some
population characteristics?
MODULE~3
(Reference Greenberg p. 15-28 & Gordis, p. 37-83)
AIMS
To demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
At the end of the module, students should be able to:
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
34
ABSTRACTS
As a medical doctor, either in a clinic or in a public health setting, we will face many
problems in a field work which relate to rate, ratio, and proportion. A clinician will
certainly consider rate in diagnosing and predicting the fatality or prognosis of a certain
disease, a clinician will certainly use rate. Meanwhile, a public health doctor will apply
rate, ratio, and proportion to either diagnose a community problem or to evaluate a
health program.
Rate, ratio, and proportion, are measurements used to describe the situation, condition,
or even a problem among population. Each measurement has specific characteristics
and applications. Ratio which is a comparison between 2 independent numbers is
usually used for management purpose. Proportion is a comparison between numerator
and denominator in which the numerator is included in the denominator. Lastly, rate is a
proportion which has population at risk as the denominator. The understanding on
measurement characteristics is needed due to giving specific interpretation based on the
situation and purpose of measurement.
35
1.
2.
3.
4.
Please interpret the data of case fatality rate mentioned in the above case!
What is the importance of this rate to clinician?
5.
What are the differences between Case Fatality Rate and Cause Specific
Death Rate?
Case 2.
Mapping Injecting Drug Users Activity in Bali
A study was conducted by team of NGOs (Hatihati, Matahati, dan Yakeba) and Udayana
University staff on June-December 2009. The objective of study was to determine the
types of HIV risk behaviors among injecting drug users (IDUs) in Bali. Structured
interviewed was done to 125 IDUs who randomly selected from a total of 550 reported
active IDUs in Denpasar and Badung district. The findings showed that the types of
drugs were varied, including heroin (97; 77.6%), buprenorphine (60; 48%) and ATS (1;
0.8%). Some were using both heroin and buprenorphine (35; 28%). Number of injection
per day were vary from 1-5 times (mean 1.5). Instead of injecting, they were also using
non injected drugs, such as marihuana (22; 17.6%), ATS (23; 18.4%), tranquilizer (39;
31.2%) and ecstasy (15; 12.0%). (Study report of Mapping Injecting Drug Users Activity
in Bali, 2010)
36
Learning Task 2
You are required to discuss the following questions, based on the study above
1. What is the type of measurement presented in the case above??
2. What is the weakness of that measurement when it is applied to diagnose
community health problem? Explain your answer!
3. If you want to present the data in the form of relative number, which type will be
most appropriate: proportion, prevalence, or incidence?
4. What is the interpretation of 77.6% at above?
5. When there was a total of 550 reported active IDUs, how many of them were
possibly using tranquilizer?
6. What are the possibilities of biases of your estimation at number (5)? Provide
your reasons!
Case 3.
Survey of Tuberculosis in Bali, 2010
Bellow is the result of TB survey in Bali in the end of 2009 (Table 1) that was conducted
by the team of Udayana University. The survey was conducted to total available public
health centers (120 PHCs) in Bali and 3 main hospitals (RS Sanglah, RS Wangaya, and
RS Buleleng). To complete the analysis of the study, researcher took data of population
from the Bali Provincial Statistic Office (Table 2).
Sub-province
Frequency
1.
Buleleng
165
2.
Jembrana
73
3.
Tabanan
57
4.
Badung
119
5.
Denpasar
312
6.
Gianyar
73
7.
Bangli
28
8.
Klungkung
57
9.
Karangasem
116
Total
Proportion
Rate
1000
Indonesian
Foreigners
China
(1)
Total
Others
Male
Female
Male
Female
Male
Female
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
37
1.
Jembrana
136.063
136.757
272.828
2.
Tabanan
214.260
216.884
19
431.172
3.
Badung
197.167
195.619
161
72
393.020
4.
Gianyar
199.973
199. 607
15
11
22
32
399.660
5.
Klungkung
91.067
94.201
185.272
6.
Bangli
107594
108.135
215.729
7.
Karangasem
219.591
218.883
438.475
8.
Buleleng
331.931
330.907
16
17
28
21
662.920
9.
Denpasar
262.362
260.476
277
184
523.299
1.760.008
1.761.469
35
31
513
319
3.522.375
2010
Learning Task 3
You are required to discuss the following questions, based on the study above
1. Fill in the proportion and the rate based on the above data. What is the
interpretation?
2. What is the difference between the proportion and rate at the above? Which one
is the appropriate to determine community health problem?
3. What is the rate you calculate: prevalence or incidence? Explain your answers!
4. What are the differences between incidence and prevalence?
5. If you want to calculate incidence of TB, draw the figure of incidence
measurement based on the above data (take one sub-district as an example)
6. With regard to the source of data, what could be biases regarding the above
result?
38
MODULE~4
(Greenbergp. 51-53)
ABSTRACTS
The other principal topic of morbidity and mortality measurements is the terms of crude,
specific, and adjustment. These measurements are often being applied to those rate,
ratio, and proportion. Crude, specific and adjustment are relative measurements. Crude
means, generally, if the numerator and the denominator use total incident in a population
(ex. CDR, CBR). While specific measurement is when the numerator and the
denominator are comes from certain sub-populations. For instances the specific
mortality on delivered women and the specific morbidity on tuberculosis. The adjustment
is adjusting a certain incident among a group of population to a standard population for
comparison purpose.
Case 1
Sero prevalence of HIV among TB patients in Bali
Study of HIV-TB was conducted in 2009 by research team of Udayana University to find
out the HIV prevalence among TB patients who visit health services (puskesmas, Subprovince and hospitals) in Bali. Each newly TB diagnosed patients were having short
counselling for examination for their HIV status in anonymously unlinked manner. One
thousand TB patients (580 male and 420 female) were visiting clinics on June to
December 2008. HIV was found to be positive among 39 TB patients (30 male and 9
39
Disctric
1.
Buleleng
2.
Jembrana
3.
Tabanan
4.
Badung
5.
Denpasar
6.
19 (16; 3)
73 (45; 28)
1 (1; 0)
57 (31;26)
1 (1; 0)
16 (11; 5)
Gianyar
73 (43; 30)
7.
Bangli
28 (18; 10)
8.
Klungkung
57 (31; 26)
9.
Karangasem
2 (1; 1)
39 (30; 9)
Total
Learning Task 1
1. What is the crude HIV infection among TB patients in Bali? What is the
interpretation of that number?
2. What is the specific HIV infection among TB patients in Bali, based on sex? What
is the interpretation of that number? Is the number confounded by area or subprovince?
3. What is the specific HIV infection among TB patients in Bali, based on subprovince? What is the interpretation of that number? Is the number confounded
by sex?
4. What is the specific HIV infection among TB patients in Bali, based on sex and
sub-province? What is the interpretation of that number? Is the number
confounded by sex and sub-province?
5. Regarding the above results, explain the weaknesses of crude and specific rate.
6. If you are the Head of Bali Province, what will you do with regard to the above
result (number 1, 2, and 3)?
7. If you are the Head of Puskesmas in Buleleng area, what will you do if you
diagnose patient as a TB in Puskesmas?
Case 2
The following graphic shows data of crude birth rate and crude death rate on two
countries. Look at carefully, and discuss the following questions. Please be aware that
now we are discussing crude, specific and adjusted rate; therefore your answers should
be prompted to the concept of those measurements.
40
Learning Task 2
1.
2.
3.
4.
Self Assessment
1. How do you differentiate absolute, ratio, proportion and rate?
2. Incidence and prevalence are not similar in many ways. Explain that!
3. In how many ways can you calculate incidence rate?
4. What are denominators that can be applied for calculating incidence? What is the
most ideal enumerator?
5. Which measurement can be used to predict prognosis or trend of mortality for
suffering from disease?
41
M O D U L E ~ 5 (SKILL LAB I)
(Reference Skill Lab Manual, Kirkwood & Sterne, Chapter 2)
AIMS:
To demonstrate ability to search,organize and interpret information/data from different
sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
3.
4.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Structure of data
42
Second Phase
After the above data collection was completed, the second phase of the study was
started. This phase aims to evaluate the impact of food supplementation program to
improve nutritional status among undernourished children. All undernourished children
were involved in the study, expect those with severe illness. The children were allocated
into two groups; first group received food supplementation and second groups continue
with the prior daily consumption. The supplementation was provided up to 2 months and
at the end of two month the nutritional status (the body weight)were measured again.
Learning Tasks:
See the sheet of data collection and raw data. The data were analysed by computer with
software of SPSS. Discuss and analyse the tasks bellow:
1. Explain the types of variables in relation to construction of data entry: variable name
(name), type, width, decimal, labels, value labels, missing values!
2. Number (No) consists of 3 numbers (hundreds), name of its field is: number (5
characters, not more than 8 characters for SPSS V.12 or bellow). Fill in the following
field structure: type of field: . . . . . . . . . . . . ; Width: . . . . . ; Decimal: . . . . . . . . ,
Labels: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . , Value labels: . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ;
Missing values: . . .
3. Generally, how can you determine errors in data entry?
4. Explain how you can search and fix the errors!
43
4.
MODULE~6
(Reference Greenberg, p. 29-43)
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1. To analyse, present, and interpret descriptive data.
2. To interpret the measurements of morbidity and mortality on samples
descriptively
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Variable of person, place, and time
44
ABSTRACT
Descriptive in epidemiology begins with the assumption that disease do not occur in
random. Typically three standard questions are posed to characterize the non random
distribution of disease: Who get the disease? Where does the disease occur? and
When does the disease occur? These questions concern the element of person, place
and time, respectively.
At the minimum, the personal attributes examined in relation to disease
occurrence are the distribution by age, race and sex. The place of occurrence of the
disease may be studied at international, regional and local level. Temporal pattern can
be examined across year, month, or days, depending on the time course of the disease
in question.
45
Learning Tasks 1:
Carefully look at the figure above, and discuss the following questions:
1. What are the interpretations of the figure? How many conclusions could you drawn
from the figure?
2. When you are living at Indonesia on 2008, what is your risk of death by injuries?
Case 2.
Carefully look at the figure below, and discuss the following questions:
46
Learning Tasks 2:
1. The figures are data of cancer worldwide based on 1) ; 2) .; 3)
2. Could we conclude that risk of lung cancer among male is higher than liver cancer
among female?
3. Could we conclude that risk of breast ca among female is higher than cervix ca?
4. Could we conclude that risk of lung cancer in Indonesia is higher than in India?
Case 3:
Figure 3. Age-standardized incidence of all cancers (excluding non-melanoma skin
cancer), by type, per 100 000 population for both sexes, by WHO Region, 2008
47
Learning Tasks 3:
Based on the above figure, please answer the following questions:
1.
2.
Could we conclude that highest risk of lung cancer was in AMR and EUR?
3.
Could we conclude that risk of breast ca among female is higher than cervix ca?
4.
Could we conclude that risk of cervix uteri cancer in SEAR is higher than in
AFRICA?
5.
Self Assessments:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
48
MODULE~7
(Reference Kirkwood & Sterne, Chap 3 &4)
AIM:
Demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOME:
Be able to perform data presentation and data description.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
Data presentation and data description
ABSTRACT
Presenting and describing data are closely related with data classification based on their
function, which are: interval (numeric or quantitative), discrete, continue, categorical
(qualitative), and ordinal data.
Qualitative data is divided into two categories (dichotomies) and more than two
categories (multi-chotomies). Important aspect of qualitative data is the number for each
category. The analysis can be made is, either frequency distribution or cross-tab
frequency distribution. In the table of frequency distribution, we can calculate incidence,
prevalence, and ratio, both for crude and specific measurements based on place, time
and person. To summarize the data we can use highest and lowest frequencies and or
mode. While for cross-tab frequency distribution, we can make percentage based on
column, row, dan total percentages. For specific cross-tab 2x2 (four-fold table), we can
calculate some important indicators such as Odds Ratio (OR), Risk Ratio (RR),
Specificity (Sp), and Sensitivity (Se). Besides table, we can present this data by graphic,
which is most appropriate, is bar chart
Presenting numeric/quantitative data looks more simple than presenting
categorical/nominal data. The important aspect to be understood is how to determine
appropriate data presentation, either as a single variable or in relation with other
variable. Measurements which are used is central tendency (Average) and dispersion.
49
SCENARIO:
Case 1. Data Presentation of Categorical Data
Look at the skill lab Data (appendix) Data which have been collected, include several
variables: area, age, education level, occupation, exclusive breastfeeding, parity,
children age, Hb level , body weight and height. In the previous session, weve discuss
variables based on their scale of measurement. Understanding the measurement scale
of data is important for selecting the way to present the data. .
For categorical data, the presentation mainly using three different mode which are table,
graph/chart and statistics. Table for categorical data are single frequency table, and
cross table. Presentation of categorical data in graph can used either bar or pie chart;
and statistics that is used are percentage or ratio.
Learning Task 1
Discuss the following:
1. Discuss data presentation in a table and/or chart; and explain the components of
table and chart.
2. Discuss the appropriate chart for categorical data based on the variable available in
skill lab data
3. Discuss about absolute, relative ad cumulative frequency
4. Below is draft of single frequency distribution table
Table-1. The frequency distribution of parity among mothers at Ds. Merdeka, 2011
Parity
Frequency
15
25
30
15
10
5 or more
Cumulative frequency
Relative
frequency
Cumulative relative
frequency
Total
100
- Please fill the blank cells and Interpret the information on the table above!
5. Discuss the presentation of data in a cross tabs frequency distribution table and when
we use this type of table. Give example based on the skill lab data
50
Undernourished
Normal
Obese
Total
Public
20
(a)
50
(b)
15
(c)
85
Private
10
(d)
50
(e)
(f)
65
Total
30
100
in
20
150
Discuss about chart for presenting data in table 2, please provide an illustration.
7. Specific for 2 by 2 cross tabulation (four-fold table), we can calculate several numbers
that useful for describing another method for presenting categorical data, which is
ratio. The ratio such as: OR (Odds Ratio), PR (Prevalence Ratio), RR (Relative
Risk/risk ratio). Discuss and give example (based on the skill lab data if possible, or
your own example)
-
8. There was a cohort study that observed the impact of physical inactivity toward
obesity among people age above 40 years old in Province Asri. Underneath is the
result after 2 years follow up
Table 3. Cross table between physical activity level and the obesity among people
age above 40 years old
Physical activity
Obese
Normal
Total
Less active
30
25
55
Active
10
35
45
Total
40
60
100
From table 3,
-
Determine the type of ratio that appropriate for comparing the risk of obesity
based on degree of physical activity?
51
Case 2.
Data Description/Interpretation of Continuous data
Re-open the Skill lab data (appendix). Previously, you have discussed about data
presentation of categorical data.
Similar to categorical data, the mode of presentation for continuous data divides into
three ways namely; 1) Table, 2) Graphs and 3) Statistics. The tables that can be used
are single frequency tables when the range of the data is narrow; on the other hand,
using grouped frequency table when the range of data is wide. Several types of graph
can be used for presenting continuous data include histogram, box plot, steam and Leaf
plot, polygon and scatter plot. Meanwhile, statistics for continuous data comprise
measure of central tendency and Measure of dispersion.
The measure of central tendency is the value where the data are concentrated. It
includes mean, median and modus. Meanwhile, measure of dispersion show the spread
of the data includes range, variance, standard deviation, and inter quartile range. It is
also important to understand the distribution of data which can be seen by plotting them
on a histogram. The distribution will guide us to select the appropriate statistics to
represent the data.
Learning Task 2
Discuss the following
1. Discuss and explain the definition, of central tendency (mean, modus, median).
2. Discuss the distribution of data which can be determine by the value of mean,
median and modus of the data
3. Case 1; If from 100 samples, we found mean Hb level is 12.8 mg/dl, the median is
11.0 mg/dl and the mode is 11.0 mg/dl.
- Is the data tend to distribute normally or skewed?
- Which measure of central tendency is appropriate for describing the data?
4.
5.
Based on continuous variables on skill lab data, discuss the appropriate chart that
can be used for data presentation and provide illustration
6.
In the skill lab data, we have data on childrens age and body weight. Suppose we
wish to show both data in a graphto show the relationship between both variables,
what type of graph can be used and make an illustration
Self Assessments:
52
53
AIMS:
To demonstrate ability to search, organize and interpret information/data from different
sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1. To present data into some forms for categorical and continues data
2. To interpret data accurately
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Data presentation for categorical data
2. Data presentation for continues data
54
MODULE~9
(Reference Kirkwood & Sterne, Chap. 5-8, 10, 14, 15)
AIM:
Demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOME:
Be able to interpret inferential and interpretation of result analysis
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
Inferential Analysis and Interpretation of Analysis Results (Hypothesis Test)
ABSTRACT
THEORETICAL DISTRIBUTIONS, CONFIDENCE INTERVAL, AREA UNDER
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION, AND HYPOTESIS TEST
For statistical test purpose, we must have basic understanding on theoritical
distribution, confidence interval (CI), one-tail and two-tail test.
In a theoritical distribution there are several topics need to be understood, are the
probability distribution, characteristics of normal distribution, area under normal
distribution curve, definition of Standard Normal Deviate, and also definition and the
application of CI. The important point is the understanding on whether a certain data
is normally distributed or not. Parametric test require normal data distribution.
Related with normality of data, extreme value outliers may influence data normality.
By deleting those values (if the sample size is sufficient), we may produce data with
normal distribution. We also can replace those values with the median to gain normal
distribution data. If those efforts are not succeed, we may use transformation
55
SCENARIO:
Case 1.
Theoretical Distributions, Confidence Interval, Area under Normal Distribution
For statistical tests, it is important to understand probability theory, theoretical
distributions, confidence intervals (CI), one-tail and two-tail statistical tests, and error in
interpreting hypothesis tests.
Learning Task 1
Discuss the following
1.
2.
3.
Table 1. Cross tabulation between economic status and nutritional status of children
under 5 years in Desa Amerta 2012
Economic status
Under nourish
Normal
Obese
Total
poor
30
35
70
affluent
10
55
15
80
Total
30
80
20
150
a. What is the probability if we selected one child randomly from Desa Amerta,
will be an under nourish kids in? What type of probability it is?
b. What is the probability of under-nourish, if the kids from poor family? What
type of probability it is?
c. Probability of a child who is randomly selected from this group will be from
poor family or an obese kid?
d. Probability of a child who is randomly selected from this group will be from
affluent family and is obese
Describe the characteristic of normal distribution and the use of normal distribution?
56
If from a study we found the mean of Hb level from 200 samples of children is 11.8
mg/dl, and the standard deviation is 0.5mg/dl. It is assumed that data was normally
distributed.
Based on the used of normal distribution and the area under normal curve (z score)
a. What is the probability of children in the population has Hb level > 12mg/dl
b. What is the probability of children in the population has Hb level <11 mg/dl
9.
Describe about sampling distribution, standar error of the mean and confidence
interval (CI) of the mean
Case 2
Hypothesis Testing and Linear Correlation
Re-open skill lab data (appendix).
Recall that the type of data presentation is based on scale measurement and also the
type of hypothesis testing will be based on the scale of measurement and purpose of the
analysis. Basically, there are two types of hypothesis testing; namely: testing the
difference and testing the association. The basic concept of hypothesis testing should be
understood before performing the test. In hypothesis testing we are testing the possibility
of the difference or the association is likely to be true in the population. There two type of
hypothesis, null hypothesis (Ho) and alternative hypothesis (Ha)
For testing the association between two continuous variables we can use correlation test
with correlation coefficient from Pearson (r). In the correlation test, we can determine the
strength and direction of the association.
Correlation may be a linear and non-linear, symmetric and non-symmetric, straight and
reverse correlation, and relational and causal. In this case, we will only discuss linear
correlation.
Learning Task 2
1. Discuss the indication of linear correlation analysis.
2. From the variables in skill lab data, discuss example of possible correlation analysis
3. Discuss the two ways that we can use for determining correlation between two
variables?
4. Discuss the use of coefficient correlation?
5. Discuss the meaning of negative and positive correlation, provide example!
57
Self Assessments:
1. Draw figure of t-distribution, chi-square (2) distribution, F-distribution, Poisson
distribution, Log normal distribution, Binomial distribution. What are the differences
of those six distributions?
2.
3.
4.
5.
What is the total area under the normal curve between: (-) and (+), (-1.96)
and (+1.96), (-2.58) and (+2.58).
6.
7.
Explain one-tail and two-tail statistical tests and when they can be applied.
8.
9.
What does it mean if two quantitative variables have correlation coefficients (r)
which are negative or positive?
10. What does it mean if two quantitative variables have correlation coefficients (r) of (0)
or (1)?
58
M O D U L E ~ 10
(Reference Kirkwood & Sterne, Chap. 7, 9, 11, 16, 18, 19)
AIM:
Demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOME:
Understand the significance test for categorical and interval data
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
Significance Test for Categorical and Interval Data
ABSTRACT
1. CATEGORICAL DATA
For analytical test, we must remind classification of variables based on their function
to determine which variable act as dependent or independent variable.
In a sample taken from certain population, we can calculate proportion, rate, or ratio.
Those numbers are used to estimate the parameters in a population. To know
whether those numbers are accurate to estimate population parameters, we need to
conduct hypothesis test. When conducting the hypothesis test, we need to state
statistic hypothesis. There are two types of statistic hypothesis, are null hypothesis
(H0) which shows no difference (similar) in a population, and alternative hypothesis
(Ha) which shows there is/are difference(s) (not similar) in a population. The way to
write those hypothesis are depending on the study direction and indicator to be
measured.
59
2. INTERVAL DATA
For interval data, the indicators to be calculated in statistical test are mean or
median. Statistical hypothesis also stated in H0 andHa in a ways depend study
direction and the indicator measured. Requirements for statistical test on interval
data are data must be normally distributed and the variance between the groups
tested are similar.
Statistical tests for interval data include test for mean of 1 sample (One-sample Ttest), Independent-Sample T Test for unmatched 2 samples and Paired-Sample T
Test for matched 2 samples if the analysis is conducted for one dependent interval
variable with one dichotomous categorical variable. If the data is not normally
distributed, we may choose parametric test such as Mann Whitney U Test, Wilcoxon
(Wilcoxon Sign Rank)
While for analysis of one dependent interval variable with one multicotomous (more
than 2 categories) variable, the choice are One-Way ANOVA (if normally distributed),
comparative group test Bonferroni, LSD, Scheffe etc (if variance is similar),
Tamhanes T2/T3 etc (if variance is not similar), and non parametric test KruskalWallis if the data is not normally distributed.
SCENARIO:
Case 1.
Significancy Test for Categorical Data
Re-open skill lab data (annex).
Data available in the data set include: area, age, education level, occupation, exclusive
breastfeeding, parity, children age, Hb level, and body weight. Lets recall that
understanding the measurement scale of data is important for selecting the way to
present the data. Beside for purpose of data presentation, measurement scale of data is
important on determining the appropriate type of statistical testing (hypothesis testing).
Moreover, the classification of data based on the function in the relationship is also
important issue to be considered.
We have discussed that there are mainly two type of hypothesis testing which are testing
the association and testing the difference (comparison). In the previous section, we
learned about correlation test which is one type of test for testing association between
variables. In this section, we will discuss hypothesis test for the difference (comparison).
The testing will be differentiating based on the type of data (categorical or continuous
data).
60
Learning Task 1
1. Discuss about null hypothesis and alternate hypothesis, and provide example of
hypothetical testing based on the skill lab data
2. Discuss two type of error in making decision on statistical analysis
3. Discuss about the p value and its use in statistical testing?
4. Discuss
a. If the p value of a test is 0.01, what does it means?
b. if the p value of a test is 0.1, what does it means?
5. If from the study we found that the prevalence of malnutrition in Desa Merdeka is
12%. Can we conclude that the proportion is different from national data which is
at 10. %? (=0.05)
Discuss:
a. The statistical hypothesis of case 1
b. The statistical test should we apply for the analysis of case 1
c. How we determine the statistical decision
d. If the p value for the study is 0.1, what is your decision and interpretation
6. We want to compare the proportion of undernourished children from hard area
(1) and easy area (2). (=0.05). The proportion of undernourished children in
hard area and easy area is 18% and 15%, respectively.
Discuss:
a. The statistical hypothesis for testing there is a different between both area!
b. The statistical hypothesis for testing that the proportion of undernourished
children is higher in the hard area compare to the easy area
c. The test should we apply for the analysis!
d. Create the 2x2 table for this case
e. If p value from the study is 0.005, what is the statistical decision and
conclusion of the analysis
7. We want to determine wether obesitas is a predictor of diabetes millitus (DM)
among men age above 40 years olds. A cross-sectional study was conducted;
Udayana University Faculty of Medicine, DME
61
Case 2
Significancy Test for Interval Data
Open again skill lab data file (annex). Classification of variables has been discussed in
previous lesson. Remember about interval variables! For statistical analysis, we also
need to remember variable classification based on its function. Variables may act as
dependent or independent variables.
The statistical analysis is classify into two group which a parametric test and non
parametric test. Parametric test based on the assumption of the distribution of the data.
For continuous data that are normally distributed, the statistical analysis includes t test
and ANOVA. The tests principally based on comparison of mean between groups.
Learning task 2
Discuss the following:
1. Discuss the statistical method to be applied for testing of a sample mean.
We want to compare the mean Hb level of pregnant women in the study, with the
normal Hb level for pregnant women which is 11mg/dl. Can we conclude that the
mean of Hb level of samples is higher than 11 mg/dl?
a. Write down the statistical hypothesis!
b. Discuss, the test that should be applied for the analysis!
c. How we determine the statistical decision
2. Discuss about when two groups of samples/ data considered as two independent
or two dependent samples?
3. Discuss about homogeneity of variance and when we should determine it?
4. What type of test is used for testing homogeneity of variance, provide an
illustration!
5. We want to compare the mean body mass index (BMI) among children from hard
area and children from easy area. We wish to conclude that the mean BMI of
children in hard are is higher than the children in easy area. Let =0.05
62
Self Assessments:
Significance Test for Categorical Data
1. Explain the statistical method for 2x2 tables and its requirements.
2. Explain the statistical methods if those requirements are not fulfilled!
3. Explain the statistical method for pair 2x2 tables.
4. Describe the statistics that can be calculated in 2x2 tables for cross-sectional, casecontrol, and cohort study.
5. Write down the statistical hypothesis statement!
6. Explain the statistics for correlation of two variables: interval-interval, ordinal-ordinal,
nominal-interval, nominal-nominal, and similar number of categories.
7. Explain the condition for 2 test of the 2x3 tables or more. Explain how to deal with
that if those conditions are not provided.
8. Write down the statistical hypothesis statement for proportion, prevalence, RR, PR,
and OR for one-way and two-way tests.
9. What is the meaning of type 1 and type 2 sampling error?
63
AIMS:
To demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1. To conduct data analysis correctly for categorical and interval data
2. To interpret data accurately
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Data analysis for categorical and interval data
2. Data interpretation for categorical and interval data
64
M O D U L E ~ 12
(Reference Greenberg, p. 45 73)
AIM:
Demonstrate ability to search, collect, organize and interpret information/data from
different sources in order to assist in diagnostic, therapeutic and health.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
At the end of the module, students should be able to:
a) Manage, analyze and interpret data inferentially.
b) Describe the definition, requirements, types, and applications of surveillance.
c) Describe how to conduct an epidemiologic investigation of an outbreak.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
Surveillance and Disease Outbreak
ABSTRACT
65
66
67
Case 2. Watch the movie Contagion and read the synopsis below
Synopsis of the movie: Contagion
1. This movie is a fiction which inspired by the incidence of SARS in several countries
around the world.
3. The movie shows how a disease can be transmitted very fast to cause an outbreak
all over the world, how the mode of transmission and the causing agent can be
identified, and how the transmission can be finally prevented.
4. The story is started with a woman named Beth Emhoff (Gwyneth Paltrow) departing
to Minnesota from her Chicago layover. She had a short term visit to Macao (near
Hong Kong) beforehand. She seemed to cough several times at the airport when
she talked to her old boyfriend on the phone.
5. The story was continued with the occurrence of a severe flu-like disease in a young
man in Hong Kong who then died because of a traffic accident, in a young model in
London who then found dead in her bathroom and in a man in Tokyo who had a
seizure and died on a bus.
6. The same symptoms that happened to Beth got worsened once she arrived in
Minnesota and met her husband and son. She died in a hospital 2 dayslater with
severe seizures and the doctor decided to make an autopsy to her body. Soon after
her death, her son died after having the same symptoms.
68
7. Beths husband, Mitch (Matt Damon), was then put in isolation but turned out to be
immune to the disease.
9. Dr. Ellis Cheever (Laurence Fishburne), who works at the Atlanta-based Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), asked Dr. Erin Mears (Kate Winslet) to do
an investigation in Minnesota. She gave a briefing at the nearby CDC office about
the potential mode of transmission of the disease. She said that the virus is a
contagion of touch and the problem is the number of people will be potentially
infected (R-naught number), which is very high for this novel disease. She was then
unfortunately infected and died during the investigation.
10. There was an issue released by a blogger journalist, Allen (Jude Law), that the virus
is being manufactured by drug companies to get profit. Another issue said by
Homeland Security agents was that the virus might be a terrorist action to kill
people.
11. Two doctors, Ally Hextal (Jennifer Ehle) and David Eisenberg (Demetri Martin)
looked at the samples taken from Beths body in a secure CDC bio laboratory. They
found a virus that taking over the host cell completely, and noticed there were traces
of bat and pig in the virus DNA code.
12. Dr. Sussman (Eliott Gould) ran some further tests on the virus samples and he was
able to make a stable cultured version of the virus using a particular bat cell line.
This finding made them able to develop and test vaccines. The news reported on
the virus, now called MEV-1 (Meningoencephalitis virus type 1), and credited
Sussman for the discovery.
13. The story continues with the situation of the quarantine and vaccines delivery
process to prevent the transmission of the disease. Finally the movie shows the
process of how Beth was initially infected by the virus.
Learning Task 2
Based on the story of the movie, please answer the following questions:
1. What is the type of the disease outbreak in the movie? Is it a person to person
outbreak or a common source outbreak? Please explain your answer.
2. Why is it important to find the first person being infected? Describe how the
process of identifying the mode of transmission was conducted in the movie.
3. What efforts need to be taken to prevent the disease transmission before the
vaccines are available?
4. Describe how the process of finding the virus was conducted in the movie.
5. What is the importance of many stakeholders involvement (WHO, CDC,
government, military staff and journalists) in the outbreak investigation and
transmission prevention process?
69
Self Assessment
Interpretation of Surveillance Results
1.
The government continuously collects data for smoking behavior among men
and patterns of meat consumption among both men and women. In this case, what
the government does is:
A. New infections surveillance
B. Outbreaks surveillance
C. Death surveillance
D. Risk factors surveillance
E. Epidemiologic surveillance
2.
3.
A group of Lung Cancer patients who died were identified for their age of
death. The difference between the age of death and their average life expectancy
was then accumulated. That will produce:
A.
B.
MR (Mortality rate).
C.
D.
60% of lung Cancer patients in stage 2 have the possibility of survival for five
years following diagnosis of the cancer. The measurement of 60% follows the criteria
as below:
A. It is a case fatality rate of Lung Cancer patients
B. Can be used to predict the prognosis of Lung cancer patients in a similar stage.
C. It was measured from the lung cancer patients in one periode of time into Lung
cancer patients stage 1 3.
D. One person with Lung cancer stage 2 having possibility to live in the first five
years as of 0.06.
E. All Lung cancer patients stage 2 may live five years after diagnosed.
4. When compared to the corresponding rate for non-migrants in a low risk country, the
incidence rate for a genetically determined disease among offspring in a high-risk
country is:
A. Greater
B. Smaller
C. About the same
D. Cannot be determined from the information provided
E. All possible
70
Outbreak Investigation
1. Which steps of those above are parts of descriptive methods? Which are parts of
analytic methods?
2. Not all outbreaks need epidemiologic investigation. Several factors to be considered
for an investigation are:
1. Number of apparent cases prevalent
2. Public concern
3. Aetiology of the outbreak is obviously unclear
4. Need for intervention to be stopped
3. The following are parts of the outbreak investigation steps:
1. Distribute cases based on person, place and time
2. Calculate prevalence rate based on person, place and time
3. Assume temporary hypothesis on transmissions source
4. Analyse aetiology by cross sectional study
4. Due to the outbreak investigation, the analysis of cases based on person, place, and
time is done. Its main purpose is:
1. Find out the most common group affected by the disease
2. Find out the area which was mostly affected by the disease
3. Determine the time of outbreak
4. Predict the possibility of exposure
5. A result of outbreak investigation is as follows:
Risk Estimate
Value
Upper
0.048
0.016
0.145
0.231
0.130
0.410
4.846
2.307
10.181
b.
c.
d.
6. If an OR of eating es campur at the B stall is 1.3 with the CI from 0.61.9, what is
the significance of the data? What conclusions can you draw about the es campur
71
Year I (%)
30
0,6
5,1
2,1
50
Year II (%)
35
0,5
5,4
2,2
45
a. Malaria
b. DHF
c. Typhoid
d. Hepatitis C
e. Influenza
M O D U L E ~ 13
(Greenberg)
72
AIMS:
1. To describe the types and application of epidemiology study designs to determine risk
factors of the disease of interest
2. To describe cross sectional & longitudinal study design and to explain the advantages
and disadvantages of cross sectional & longitudinal study to determine risk factors of
diseases.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
To describe and to draw types of epidemiology study designs and their applications
To describe advantages and weaknesses of epidemiology study designs
To describe and to draw cross sectional and longitudinal study design
To explain the advantages and disadvantages of cross sectional and longitudinal
study to determine risk factors of diseases
To explain what is prevalence ratio and how to calculate prevalence ratio in cross
sectional study
To explain the interpretation of prevalence ratio in cross sectional studies
To explain the incidence rate and how to calculate incidence in longitudinal study
To explain the interpretation of incidence rate in longitudinal studies
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
ABSTRACTS
To prevent the disease, determinants or risk factors of the disease must be
understood. To understand determinants or risk factors, epidemiological studies are
used. There are several epidemiological study designs those can be grouped into
73
74
Learning Tasks 1:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1.
Draw a figure and explain the design of the study. Provide reasons for your
answer.
2.
3.
4.
b.
5.
6.
7.
What are the three most common cause of fever in Asia? And what are the three
most common cause of fever in Indonesia? What is the rank of Indonesia among
Asean countries in term of dengue?
8.
9.
10.
Case 2.
Please carefully study the article entitles:Bacterial vaginosis in female facility
workers in north-western Tanzania: prevalence and risk factors
75
Learning Tasks 2:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1. What is the design of the study which investigated 1305 HSV-2 seropositive women
aged 16-35 years and acyclovir 400mg? What is the dependent variable and
independent variable? Note: HSV: herpes simplex virus
2. What is the design of the study which investigated prevalence and risk factors for
bacterial vaginosis (BV) among HSV-2 seropositive women? What is/are the
dependent variable and independents variable?
3. Draw figures (bagan) of study designs. Firstly a figure of study to understand the
outcome of acyclovir treatment toward HSV-2. Secondly a figure of study to find out
the association between BV and sex in the last week and other risk factors. Note:
See Widagdo page 99 and page 148.
4. Calculate the 95% Confidence Interval of BV prevalence using the below formula
and explain the interpretation.
CONTOH:
P (proporsi) kurang gizi = 23.2%
N (jumlah sampel) = 400
RUMUS CI:
CI p z(1 / 2 )
p (1 p ) / n
CATATAN:
(Untuk nilai Z- nya yang dibagi 2 adalah alpha-nya.
Jadi untuk 95% CI, alpha nya berarti 5% di Table Z dicari nilai Z dari (1-/2) yaitu
(1-0.025) atau nilai Z ( 0.975) yaitu 1.96
76
KEUNGGULAN
EKSPERIMENTAL
MURNI
EKSPERIMENTAL
KUASI
(Clinical dan
Community Trials)
1. Lebih kuat/meyakinkan
dibandingkan penelitian
observasional.
2. Bisa dilakukan pada manusia
COHORT
PROSPEKTIF
KELEMAHAN
77
COHORT
RETROSPEKTIF
78
CASE CONTROL
ANALITIK CROSSSECTIONAL
dibandingkan cohort
prospektif.
2. Jumlah subyek yang
dilibatkan dalam penelitian
lebih kecil dibandingkan
cohort.
3. Waktu pengamatan/penelitian
lebih pendek dibandingkan
cohort prospektif, sehingga
hasilnya lebih cepat
diperoleh.
4. Lebih tepat untuk penyakitpenyakit yang angka
insidennya rendah atau yang
masa inkubasi-nya panjang.
Self assessment
1. What are the roles of descriptive epidemiologic study designs?
2. What are the types of descriptive epidemiologic study designs?
3. Draw the figure of cross-sectional analytic study design.
4. What is the basic definition of cross-sectional and what is the procedure of the
study?
5. Make one example of results analysis for analytic cross sectional design.
6. What are the advantages and disadvantages of analytic cross sectional design?
7. Can analytic cross-sectional design be applied as a basic study to find out aetiology of
a disease?
79
M O D U L E ~ 14
(Greenberg, p. 113-123)
AIMS:
To describe cohort study design and to explain the advantages and disadvantages of
cohort study to determine risk factors of diseases.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Data analysis in cohort studies: risk ratio (RR) and attributable risk (AR)
ABSTRACTS
A cohort study is a type of observational investigation in which subjects are classified on
the basis of level of exposure to a risk factor and followed to determine subsequent
disease outcome. Prospective cohort studies are conducted by making all observations
on exposure and disease status after the onset of the investigation. Retrospective
cohort studies involved observations on exposure and disease status prior to the onset
of the study. The retrospective approach offers several pragmatic advantages, but may
result in less accurate and complete information on exposure and disease status.
Cohort studies are statistically efficient for the study of rare exposures because
the exposed individuals can be selectively included in the study. On the other hand,
cohort studies are inefficient for the investigation of slowly developing or rare diseases.
The evaluation of chronic diseases through the cohort approach requires a long followup period and increases the chances that subjects will be lost from the study. The
evaluation of rare diseases with the cohort study approach requires a large sample size
and therefore is expensive and labour intensive.
There are several basic strategies to analyse cohort studies. If data are collected
on the risk of developing an outcome during a specified period, the summary measure of
80
Learning Tasks 2:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
81
Case 2.
Carefully examine the following table.
Social
Non-Smokers
Class
Alcohol Intake
Smokers
All
Alcohol Intake
Heavy
Moderate Light
Total
Heavy
Moderate Light
Total
I and II
11/84
5/79
11/169
27/332
6/28
3/13
1/26
10/67
37/399
III
4/22
3/25
12/162
19/209
4/17
2/7
6/38
12/62
31/271
IV and 0/14
V
1/18
12/91
13/123
7/19
2/18
8/70
17/107
30/230
9/122
35/422
59/664
17/64
7/38
15/134
39/236
98/900
15/120
Learning Tasks 2:
After you examined the above table, please calculate the following:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Case 3:
A study at Stockholm had observed 216 children who received BCG immunization when
they were aged below 6 years and 358 children who did not have BCG immunization
since 1989-1992. The study was set up in 1994. In 1995-1996, all children were
examined to find out atopic disease incidence (atopic: a type of allergic disease). The
study result shows that 36% who had BCG immunization and 41% who did not have
BCG immunization are suffering from atopic disease (2 = 2.6; p > 0,05).
Learning Tasks 3:
Based on the above case, please answer the following questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Case 4.
Carefully read the article entitles: Risk of herpes zoster among patients with chronic
obstructive pulmonary disease: a population-based study
82
Learning Tasks 4:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Self Assessments:
1.
2.
83
M O D U L E ~ 15
(Greenberg, p. 127-136)
AIMS:
At the end of this module, students are expected to be able to describe case-control
study and to explain the advantages and disadvantages of case-control study to
determine risk factors of diseases.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1. To describe and to draw case-control study design
2. To explain the advantages and disadvantages of case-control study to determine
risk factors of diseases
3. To explain what is odd ratio (OR) and how to calculate OR
4. To explain the interpretation of OR in a case control study
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
ABSTRACTS
A case-control study is a type of observational investigation in which subjects are
enrolled on the basis of the presence or absence of a particular disease and are then
evaluated to determine their history of prior exposure to risk factors of interest.
The advantages of this design are primarily logistical. In particular, rare disease
and those with long latency periods can be studied efficiently. The sample size required
for a case control study tends to be smaller than would be needed for an alternative
design, such as a cohort study. As a result, the expense of conducting a case-control
study may be substantially less than the cost of conducting a cohort study. Furthermore,
reliance on historical information allows rapid completion of case-control study. The
ability to reach a prompt conclusion is particularly important if the disease of interest is
potentially life-threatening.
84
85
Learning Tasks 1:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Case 2.
Carefully examine the following table.
Table 2.1 Use of IUD in sometime pregnant and never pregnant patients and controls in
different age groups
Age
Patients
Control
group Sometime
Never Pregnant
Total
Sometime
Never Pregnant
Total
(year) Pregnant
Pregnant
IUD
No
IUD
IUD
No
IUD
IUD
No
IUD
IUD
No
IUD
15
16-20
13
44
27
93
177
19
196
227
21-25
26
74
28
87
215
25
131
163
326
26-30
20
50
19
92
21
86
49
159
31-35
12
23
21
26
Total
66
181
59
209
515
55
257
17
412
741
Learning Tasks 2:
After you examined the above table, please calculate the following:
86
After it is controlled for age variable, what is its SPECIFIC OR? What is the
interpretation?
What is the SPECIFIC OR after being controlled for obstetric history variable? What
is the interpretation?
Case 3:
Carefully read the article entitles: Risk factors for psoriasis: a case control study
Learning Tasks 3:
Based on the above case, please answer the following questions:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
87
M O D U L E ~ 16
(Reference Greenberg, p.91-113 & Gordis, 131-163)
AIMS:
To be able to describe the application of clinical trials to determine the effectiveness of
intervention, prevention, and treatment of diseases.
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1. To describe and to draw clinical & communitytrial design
2. To explain the advantages and disadvantages of clinical & community trial to
determine the effectiveness of intervention, prevention, and treatment of
diseases
3. To explain the definition, aims, subject determination (enrolment,
inclusion/exclusion criteria, and randomization of intervention and control group)
4. To explain statistical calculation and consideration in clinical trial
5. To explain outcome evaluation strategy (blinding) and how to calculate outcome
6. To explain the interpretation of study outcome
7. To explain ethical consideration in certain clinical trial
8. To explain the differentiation between clinical and community trial
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
88
ABSTRACTS
Evidence-based medicine can be defined as the integration of current best evidence with
clinical expertise, pathophysiological knowledge and patient preferences to make health
care decisions. Although there are barriers to the practice of evidence-based medicine,
such as the skills and time required in appraising the literature, this approach
encourages effective management of diseases. It can serve to optimize health outcomes
and promote cost-effective management.
Fundamental practice of evidence-based medicine is the ability to critically
assess the design, conduct and analysis of clinical studies. For the purpose of assessing
the comparative benefits of alternative treatment, the randomized controlled clinical trial
is the gold standard approach. The evidence-based practitioner, therefore, must be
thoroughly familiar with this research method.
The principal strength of this approach derives from assigning treatment to
patients by randomization, thereby tending to balance the study groups with respect to
both known and unknown prognostic factors.
Before enrolling patient in a clinical trial, the investigation can determine the
baseline and follow-up information that will be required to all subjects. Procedures can
then be put in place to enable the researches to collect data in a fairly complete and
accurate manner. The investigator can also allocate subjects to desire dose level rather
than relying on physicians or patients preference. When blinding of the evaluation or
patients is feasible, the assessment of clinical outcomes is less likely to be influenced by
knowing which treatment was used.
Randomized controlled clinical trial is subject to certain constraints, however.
Restrictive criteria for inclusion of subjects may produce a very homogenous study
population, which may restrict the ability to extrapolate results to patients with other
characteristics. Clinical trialparticularly those involving chronic processesmay
require years of follow-up to determine the outcome of the treatment. A prolonged
observation period leads to higher costs, increases the likelihood that patient will be lost
to follow-up, and delays the time at which a treatment recommendation can be made.
The use of intermediate end points, such as measurement blood glucose levels
glycosylated hemoglobin in the diabetes therapy trial, can help limit the length of
required follow-up. Nevertheless, a definitive conclusion about treatment benefit often
requires years of observation.
Large sample sizes typically are required in clinical trial when the magnitude of
differences in responses between study groups is small. Furthermore, large numbers of
subjects are likely to be required to demonstrate differences between study groups when
there is wide variability in responses to treatment. Increasing the size of the study
population not only raises the cost of a trial but may also lead to pragmatic difficulties in
locating a sufficiently large pool of eligible patients.
Ethical concern may arise in clinical trial if one or more of the treatment options
has serious potential effects or if early suggest-but do not establish- a therapeutic
advantage for one of the treatments. In this situation, a decision must be made about
89
Please carefully study the article entitles Clinical efficacy and safety of a
novel tetravalent dengue vaccine in healthy children in Asia: a phase 3,
randomised, observer-masked, placebo-controlled trial
Learning Tasks 1:
After you carefully read through the article above, please discuss the
following questions:
1. What is the study intervention?
2. What is the expected outcome (its dependent variable)?
3. Why did the researcher consider to do this study, or in other words, what is the
problem in the community?
90
5. Describe how researchers design the study, the period, and selected the sites for
study. What considerations were put in place when selected the sites?
6. Describe how the researcher selected the subjects of this study. What are the
inclusion and exclusion criteria? What are the purposes of defining these criteria?
7. Which type of randomization has been done? What is the purpose in doing this?
8. See the Figure 1. Trial Profile. What is the purpose to describe this figure?
9. Describe how the method of intervention was performed?
10.
11.
12.
Is this study using a blind design? What is the purpose to use blind design?
13.
What is one limitation for this longitudinal study with regard to study subjects?
14.
15.
What is the main result of this study? Which intervention was more effective?
16.
17.
How you interpret the vaccine efficacy of primary analysis (per protocol?)
18. How you compare the vaccine efficacy for the dengue serotype?
19. What are ethical aspects you see from the study?
Case 2.
91
4.
Explain the purpose and application of parallel clinical trials and cross-over trials
5.
Describe the definition and purpose of single blind and double blind study.
6.
92
Headache (-)
Total
20
53
73
63
72
Total
29
116
145
True experimental
Quasi experimental
Cross sectional
Cohort
Descriptive
93
M O D U L E ~ 17
(Reference Greenberg, p. 127-136)
AIMS:
To be able to describe validity and reliability of certain test to apply in the individual and
or community context
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
3.
4.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1. Definition of diagnostic test and screening program
2. Accuracy, validity (sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, and likely hood ratio) and
reliability
3. Screening program
ABSTRACTS
All clinical information is subject to error. Accounting for the various errors that can arise
in diagnostic testing allows the physician to select tests and interpret the result of those
tests appropriately. The errors are false- negative, false-positive.
Sensitivity and specificity are characteristics of a diagnostic test. It is useful to
consider two other measures, positive predictive value (PV+) and negative predictive
value (PV-), which are use to interpret the results of a diagnostic test.
94
Sakit
Positif
Negatif
Total
Tidak Sakit
Total
3.200
1.400
4.600
150
29.000
29.150
3.350
30.400
33.750
Learning Tasks 1
1. Calculate the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of diabetic retinopathy and
Interpret each of your calculation
2. What is the prevalence of diabetic retinopathy among the population?
3. What is the relation between prevalence and predictive value? What is the relation
with the target group for screening program?
4. When you conduct screening test among elderly population, which prevention you
have done: primary, secondary, or tertiary?
Case 2
A detailer has come to dr. Arjuna for offering cheap rapid test for anemia. Dr. Arjuna
asked 3 tests for trial. Fortunately, Mrs. Drupadi came for consultation of malaise and
continuing dizziness. Dr. Arjuna asked permission from mrs. Drupadi to take the blood
sample for checking anemia. At the same time, he also told her that he wanted to check
the rapid test for anemia.
Using cyan-met HB, the result of hemoglobin was 12.5mg%, while the result of rapid test
respectively was 10.5 mg%; 10.2mg%; and 12.0mg%.
Learning Task 2
If the criteria of anemia was <11 mg%, how you conclude the result of the rapid test for
anemia that just being tried by dr. Arjuna?
95
Self Assessments:
1.
2.
3.
4.
If the prevalence of a certain disease is high, while the sensitivity and specificity
are stable, than ................... will be low.
M O D U L E ~ 18
(Reference Mausner & Bahn, p. 91-110, Greenberg 141-153)
AIMS:
Be able to describe variability and biases those might occurred in certain studies
LEARNING OUTCOMES:
1.
2.
3.
CURRICULUM CONTENTS:
1.
2.
3.
ABSTRACTS
In this lecture, the topics of variability and bias (systematic errors) in
epidemiologic measurements are discussed. A distinction is drawn between random
96
97
Carefully look at Patient Profile in Greenberg page 141. What possibilities may
cause the differences in the patients cholesterol level?
2.
Explain the differences between random and systematic variation (bias) by drawing
a figure as shown in Greenberg page 142 (Figure 10.1)
3.
Draw a copy of Figure 10-2 in Greenberg page 143 into your work-paper, and then
explain with your own words about the definition of sampling variability in research
studies. From that example it can be concluded that a smaller sample size in a
research study, will cause the variability to be ...
4.
Draw a copy of Figure 10-3 in Greenberg page 143 into your work-paper.
a. What is demonstrated in A and the B of the study figure?
b. From that example, it can be concluded that the consequence of a bigger
sample size in a research study is .
c. In a research study like the one above, despite sample size or differences
which statistically give significant results, what other things are very important
in biological or clinical meaning?
5.
Explain with examples, the differences between internal and external validity.
6.
7.
8.
Draw a copy of figure 10-7 in Greenberg page 148 into your work-paper. Ex-plain,
with the above examples, nondifferential misclassification which causes
underestimated OR and differential misclassification which causes overestimated
OR.
9.
c. Carefully see Figure 10-9 in Greenberg page 150. Calculate the OR for all
subjects, OR for the obese group, and OR for the non-obese group. What is
your conclusion after calculating those three ORs?
d.
The method used above (no. c) controls the effect of confounding variables by
Self Assessments:
1. Explain the concept of variability in one patient and in medical research.
2. Explain individual & population variability, &variability related to measurement,
3. Explain the definition of validity and bias.
4. Explain the difference between internal validity and external validity.
98
REFERENCES
Mausner and Bahn, Epidemiology an Introductory text
Kirkwood B.R & Sterne, A.C. (2008), Medical Statistics, Blackwell Publishing Company
Greenberg, R.S. (2004), Medical Epidemiology, 3rded, McGraw-Hill, New York, USA
SPSS V.11.5 Manual
Sastroasmoro, S. dan Ismael, S. (2014), Dasar-Dasar Metodologi Penelitian Klinis, edisi
ke-2, CV Sagung Seto, Jakarta.
Bahan SGD (jurnal, hasil penelitian)
99
ANNEX-1
FILM SUMMARY
And The Band
Played On
100
Film ini merupakan kisah nyata yang menceritakan tentang terjadinya wabah suatu
penyakit yang tidak diketahui penyebabnya pada awal tahun 1980.
Kisah yang mirip dengan film juga diuraikan di Buku Greenberg halaman 1 7
(lihat buku reference yang telah dibagikan).
Dikisahkan dalam film ini bahwa untuk meneliti atau mengungkapkan penyebab
suatu penyakit banyak bidang ilmu yang terlibat, yaitu: ilmu klinik, statistik,
epidemilogi, ilmu sosial, imunologi, virologi, etika dan profesionalime. Juga
banyak aspek yang berperan, yaitu aspek sosial, politik, dan ekonomi.
Film dimulai dengan Dr. Don Francis (seorang dokter yang menekuni Bidang
Epidemiologi dan pencegahan)yang diminta oleh Badan Kesehatan Dunia
(WHO)untuk meneliti wabah Ebola di Sungai Ebola (Afrika). Ebola adalah suatu
penyakit yang tingkat kematiannya hampir 100% dan dijumpai pertama kali di Sungai
Ebola.
Setelah itu, ditunjukkan bahwa dokter dan rumah sakit di Kopenhagen, Denmark
menemukan seorang pasien yang sakit lalu meninggal dimana penyebab penyakit
dan kematiannya tidak diketahui. Yang dijumpai oleh dokter rumah sakit tersebut
hanya T-sel (suatu sel yang membentuk kekebalan tubuh manusia) hampir nol
dalam pemeriksaan lab-nya.
101
Dr. Don Francis bergabung dalam Tim CDC bersama-sama dengan pakar ilmu
sosial, statistik, parasitologi, dokter ahli penyakit menular seksual, dll.
Saat itu kegiatan CDC banyak menemui hambatan karena tidak didukung
pendanannya oleh Pemerintah Pusat Amerika karena penyakit tersebut banyak
dijumpai pada kalangan gay. Partai yang berkuasa saat itu adalah Partai Republik
(dengan Reagan sebagai presidennya) yang ideologi politiknya tidak menyetujui atau
tidak menyukai homosek-sualitas. Sedangkan Partai Demokrat (partai oposisi) tidak
menentang keberadaan komunitas gay. Permintaan CDC untuk meningkatkan
laboratoriumnya termasuk untuk membeli mikroskop elektron juga menemui
hambatan.
Penelitian yang pertama kali dilakukan oleh CDC adalah menentukan apakah ini
penyakit menular dan bagaimana cara menularnya.
Dari data deskriptif dimana hampir semua kasus dijumpai pada kalangan gay dan
dengan penelitian contact tracing, kemudian CDC mendapat petunjuk bahwa
penyakit ini menular melalui hubungan seksual. Contact tracingatau penelusuran
kontak adalah salah satu cara untuk mencari sumber penularan suatu penyakit
yang ditularkan melalui kontak langsung termasuk kontak seksual. Catatan: cara
penularan penyakit SARS diketahui dengan cara penelitian contact tracing. Catatan:
Wabah SARS terjadi tahun 2003 yang bermula di Hongkong kemudian menyebar ke
berbagai negara di dunia.
Namun selanjutnya CDC menerima laporan bahwa kasus-kasus yang sama juga
dijumpai pada perempuan (migran dari Haiti). Dengan demikian maka penyakit ini
bukan lagi penyakit pada gay.
Juga ada laporan bahwa dijumpai pada anak-anak penderita hemofilia (penyakit
genetik dimana terjadi kelainan pada sistem pembekuan darah), pasien operasi
yang mendapat transfusi darah. Catatan: penderita hemofilia harus rutin mendapat
transfusi darah.
102
Tim CDC semakin bingung karena penyakit ini ternyata bukan saja menular melalui
seksual tetapi juga melalui darah atau produk darah.
Karena bukan lagi pada gay saja, kemudian tercetus istilah bahwa penyakit ini
adalah suatu Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome(AIDS), yaitu suatu
syndrome (kumpulan gejala) yang didapat karena terganggunya kekebalan
tubuh..
Secara kebetulan Dr. Don Francis melihat temannya yang main game di suatu
kantin, dan dia terinspirasi dari game tersebut bahwa ada virus yang
menghancurkan T-sel pasien. Tim CDC kemudian mencurigai bahwa penyebab
penyakit ini kemungkinan suatu virus yang termasuk dalam famili rotavirus. Pada
tahap ini, kemudian penelitian difokuskan untuk bisa menemukan virus tersebut
pada pasien. Pada saat itu pakar yang sedang meneliti rotavirus adalah Robert
Gallo (seorang ahli virology ternama di Amerika Serikat). Saat itu Robert Gallo
meneliti rotavirus pada pasien-pasien leukemia.
Robert Gallo mengklaim bahwa rotavirus yang dia jumpai adalah penyebab pasienpasien Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome pada saat itu.
Karena fasilitas penelitian virus yang saat itu masih terbatas di Amerika, kemudian
Dr. Don Francis (CDC) juga minta bantuan kepada Dr. Luc Montagnier (ilmuwan
dan peneliti di Lembaga Pasteur di Perancis) untuk menemukan virus yang
menyebabkan pasien-pasien AIDS. Saat itu fasilitas di Lembaga Pasteur di Perancis
lebih lengkap dibanding di Amerika.
Dalam hal inilah terjadi moral hazard (pelanggaran etika dan kelakuan yang tidak
professional) dimana Robert Gallo mengklaim bahwa dirinyalah penemu HIV,
padahal yang menemukan pertama kali adalah Tim dari Lembaga Pasteur di
Perancis. Menemukan suatu virus baru dalam suatu sampel yang diambil dari
pasien tidaklah mudah karena virus harus bisa dibiakkan (dibuat kultur sehingga
tidak mati) agar kemudian bisa dilihat dengan elektron mikroskop.
Test antibodi pertama untuk mengetahui seseorang tertular HIV dijumpai pertama
kali pada tahun 1984.
103
Upaya pencegahan AIDS yang diusulkan oleh Dr. Don Francis saat itu banyak
menemukan hambatan, baik hambatan politik (partai republik tidak mau memberikan
biaya), hambatan ekonomi (PMI-nya Amerika menolak test pada donor darah karena
biayanya akan amat mahal), hambatan sosial (stigma pada komunitas gay dan
penolakan penutupan tempat sauna/bathhouse yang biasa dipergunakan oleh
komunitas gay untuk berkumpul).
Dalam film juga ditunjukkan bahwa hambatan yang dijumpai bukan saja dalam hal
pencegahan tetapi juga dalam hal perawatan pasien AIDS. Dokter di salah satu
negara di Eropa dipanggil dan ditegur oleh direkturnya karena banyak merawat
pasien AIDS. Direktur RS mengatakan citra RS-nya tercoreng. Si dokter
menjawab: Saya tetap akan merawat mereka, dimanapun saya mendapat
tempat.
Sampai saat ini Dr. Don Francis berdomisili di California dan banyak melaksanakan
program-program pencegahan.
Catatan: Dr. MervynSilverman yang dalam film ditunjukan sebagai Kepala Dinas
Kesehatan San Franscisco (Public Health Director) saat itu yang terlambat datang
satu jam dalam pertemuan di bathhouse dan bersusah payah menengahi upaya
penutupan bathhouse komunitas gay, sampai saat ini sering berkunjung ke Bali
karena putrinya menikah dengan seorang pemuda dari suatu desa di
Kabupaten Gianyar.
=====================
104
ANNEX -2
ARTIKEL KORAN
BALI POST
105
Jangan
hanya
mengejar
keuntungan belaka, fungsi sosial
harus
tetap
diperhatikan.
Ujarnya.
Menurut R, asalkan tempat tidur
berkelas
penuh,
sebenarnya
pasien kurang mampu tidak
masalah bagi RSUP. Sebab kalau
tempat tidur berkelas itu penuh,
keuntungan dari sana yang akan
dipakai membantu para pasien
kurang mampu yang masuk
membludak, tentu hal ini akan
menjadi masalah, paparnya.
106
107
108
2015
penerangnya di masing-masing
rumah tangga. Penyebarluasan
ini juga penting disalurkan
lewat PKK dan media massa.
Masalah
pemberantasan
penyakit kanker yang semakin
tumbuh,
menjadi
semakin
penting. Lebih-lebih dikaitkan
dengan upaya meningkatkan
kesejahteraan umum. ujar
rektor.
Rektor IBO juga menghimbau
dilakukan pengawasan yang
baik
lewat
pelayanan
wisatawan,
seperti
pengawasan
kesehatan,
kebersihan lingkungan dan
kebersihan
makanan
dan
minuman di bar dan restauran.
Tempe Bosok
Dr. DNS mengungkapkan salah
satu
penyebab
timbulnya
kanker adalah virus cendawan
kuning beracun yang terdapat
dalam oncom, tempe bosok,
kecap, kacang, kool, kelapa,
ketela, dll. Juga disebabkan
oleh faktor keturunan, ujar dr.
AH, disamping zat-zat kimia,
zat warna merah, perekat,
iradiasi.
Pengobatan dilakukan dalam
berbagai tingkat, yakni antara
lain
dengan
pembedahan,
radiasi,
kombinasi
bedah,
diikuti radiasi dan kemoterapi
yang
lazimnya
dilakukan
sebagai tindakan paliatif.
Prof. Dr. IGPA menyinggung
terdapatnya
pengobatan
kanker
secara
tradisional
seperti menggunakan ketela
gendruwo di salah satu rumah
sakit di Jakarta Barat. Di
beberapa
daerah
lainnya
seperti Sulsel, cara pengobatan
dilakukan dengan memakai
ramuan dedaunan pada kanker
payudara, seperti daun siput
kuning
dicampur
kumis
kucing dan kapur sirih
ditambah air digunakan untuk
mengompres payudara yang
diserang oleh tumor. Di Sulsel
juga dilakukan pengobatan
dengan menggunakan besi
pijar disertai mantra-mantra,
pengobatan
dengan
pijat,
dengan
kekuatan
batin,
mediasi dll.
Seminar
yang
menarik
perhatian
besar
itu
menampilkan
delapan
pembicara yakni Prof. Dr. IGPA
mengenai Kanker Masalah
Kita:, dr. IBCM Beberapa
informasi kanker buah dada,
dr. IGPS Kanker rahim, dr.
WS Beberapa aspek Kanker
Nasofaring di RSUP Sanglah,
dr. DSN Kanker Hati, dr. AH
Kanker Darah pada Anakanak, dr. GRT Kanker Mata
yang
Ganas.
Seminar
dikoordinasikan oleh panitia
penyelenggara diketuai dr. IBT
ANNEX -3
ARTIKEL
JURNAL
1. Dengue and other common causes of
acute febrile illness in Asia: an active
surveillance study in children (Day 14)
2.Bacterial Vaginosis in Female Fascility
Workers in North-Western Tanzania:
Prevalence and Risk Factors (Day 14)
3.Tobacco Smoking as a Risk Factor for
Depression. A 26-year population-based
follow up study (Day 16)
4.Risk of Herpes Zoster among Patients
with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary
Disease: a population-based study (Day
16)
5.Prolonged breastfeeding reduces risk of
breast cancer in Sri Lankan women: A
case-control study (Day 17)
6.Risk factors for psoriasis: a case control
study (Day 17)
7. Clinical efficacy and safety of a novel tetravalent
dengue vaccine in healthy children in Asia: a phase 3,
(Day 18)
Skill Lab
DATA
ANALYSIS
USING COMPUTER
TOPICS:
- Skill Lab 1: Data Entry Structure, Data Entry,
Data Cleaning, DataTransformation
- Skill Lab 2: Presenting and Describing Data
(Table and Graph)
- Skill Lab 3: Correlation and Regression,
Hypothesis Testing of Categorical and
Interval Data, Survival Analysis
What should the minimum, maximum, and the mean values of numeric variables be,
and what the normal values of the variables are. Just think about it!
a. Open skill lab raw.sav file, look at the value labels of every variable. Numeric
variable doesnt have value labels, Write the minimum and maximum values of all
categorical variables and the anticipated mean for numerical variables.
b. In this case, to some extent data analysis will be done.
Method: Open skill lab raw.sav file (if it hasnt so). For numeric variable, use the
menu Analyze, Descriptive Statistics, choose and click
Descriptives..., click and move variables to be analyzed to the
[Variable(s)] box. Click [Options...] box, leave [Descriptives:
Options] window (mean, minimum, and maximun had been marked),
click [Continue] box and [OK] box to finish the process.
Watch the results . Note if there is any extreme values that might
be incorrect (below the minimum or above the maximum values), or
whether the mean is in between or out of the range of normal value (eg.
the mean of BB above 150 cm).
c. For categorical variable look for frequencies of the categories
Method: Open skill lab raw.sav file (if it hasnt so).
Use and click the menu: Analyze, Descriptive Statistics, choose and
click Frequencies, click and move variables to be analyzed to the
[Variable(s)] box. Click [Statistics] box Click minimum and
maximum in the [Dispersion] box, click [Continue] box and [OK] box
to finish the process See the results . Take note if there are any
values beyond the value labels.
Of point b and c, take note of the variables that have incorrect values and the values
supposed to be incorrect.
d. To display the incorrect data
Method: Open Skill Lab Raw.sav file (if it has not be opened yet).
Use the menu: Data, choose Select Cases, click if condition is
satisfied in the [Select] box, click if and type the condition of the
incorrect data to be looked for in the blank box in the [Select cases]
window.
To display the incorrect data use and click the menu: Analyze,
Reports, choose and click Case Summaries, type the specification of
data to be displayed in the [Variables] box of the [Summarized cases]
window, e.g. variables name, record number, etc. Click [OK] box to
finish the process. Specifications of the data will make easier to find the
incorrect data to be corrected.
e. Data correction
Method: Open skill lab raw.sav file (if it hasnt so).
Use and click the menu: Data View . place cursor on the variable
column of the incorrect data. Use the menu: Edit, Finds, type the
incorrect value of the data in the [Find what] box, click Find next, ..
cursor will move to the incorrect data, . replace the incorrect data
with the correct value.
f. Save this corrected file for further analysis!
Skill Lab 2
a.
Tables and graphs can be used to present data/variables. Use narration to describe
the conclusion of the table and graph. One-way tables can be used to present
categorical variables. While association of two or more categorical variables can be
presented using cross-tables.
Graph/chart presentation can be used for either categorical or numeric variables,
single or associations of two or more variables.
Narration is used to describe the conclusion as depicted by the table or graph, e.g.
frequencies, mean, minimum and maximum values, modus, etc.
For those purposes, tables or cross-tables and graphs are needed to be made.
Conclusions of the tables and graphs are presented narratively such as some values
depicted by the tables and graph (average and spread).
1. Presentation of discrete quantitative data is the same as categorical data (qualitative
variable)
a. To make frequency distribution tables, to calculate average and spread, e.g.: mean,
minimum and maximum values, SD, modus, percentiles, etc., use the menu:
Analyze, Descriptive Statistics, Frequencies.
Method: Open skill lab.sav file (if it hasnt so).
Use and click the menu: Analyze, choose Descriptive Statistics,
choose and click Frequencies..., chose and move the variable(s) to be
analysed (paritas) to the [Variable(s):] box in the Frequencies window.
- Leave Display frequency tables (had been marked)
- For statistics option, .... click [Statistics...] box, .. choose the
appopriate statistics in the [Percentile Values, Central Tendency,
Dispersion] box in the [Frequencies: Statistics window].
- For graph options, .... click [Charts...] box, .. choose the
appopriate chart options in the [Chart Type] box, e.g.: bar, pie, or
histogram (with normal distribution) in the [Frequencies: Charts]
window.
click [Continue] and [OK] box to finish the process.
b. For quantitative data (continuous), calculate the mean, minimum, and maxi-mum
values, SD; use the menu: Analyze, Descriptive Statistics, ... choose and
click Descriptives
Method:
The type of charts to be used to present the data depends on the type of
data/variables and the number of variables. Based on these, the appropriate type of
charts should be thought about.
a. One categorical or numeric (discrete) variable: use bar, pie, line chart,
histogram. (Bar, pie chart, and histogram, can be made in the chart options of
frequency distribution analysis).
Method: Open skill lab.sav file (if it hasnt so).
Use and click the menu: Graphs, choose and click the type of graphs
(Bar..., Line..., Pie..., Area..., Histogram..., etc.), .... Bar... for
example. [Bar Charts] window will be displayed. ..... Click the type
of chart ( click Simple), .... click Summaries for groups of cases in
[Data in Chart Are] box, .... click the [Define] box, .... [Define Simple
Bar: Summaries for group of cases] window will be displayed click N
of cases or % of cases options in the [Bar Represent] box to display
value labels, .... choose and move the variable (choose paritas) for the
chart to the [Category Axis:] box, click OK to finish the process.
b. Two or more variables:
- Two categorical variables .. choose bar chart (clustered or stacked),
type: Summaries for groups of cases for displaying data in Persentage;
Method: Open skill lab.sav file (if it hasnt so).
You need make two categorical variabels (if it hasnt so). For example
transform the paritas variable and categorized it into <3 and >3.
Transform hemoglobin variable into anaemia (<11 g/dl) and not anaemia
(11 g/dl and above)
Use and click the menu: Graphs, choose and click Bar [Bar
Charts] window will be displayed. ..... Click the type of chart ( click
Clustered or Stacked,), .... click Summaries for groups of cases in
[Data in Chart Are] box, .... click the [Define] box, .... [Define Simple
Bar: Summaries for group of cases] window will be displayed click N
of cases or % of cases options in the [Bar Represent] box to display
value labels, .... choose and move grouping variable (parity= <3 & >3)
for the chart to the [Category Axis:] box, .... choose and move
anemipre to [Define Clusters by:] box), .... click OK to finish the
process.
. . . . . . Follow this procedure to practice making the other charts. Other
example is graph of age (year) with Hb (anemia/not anemia). First, you need
to transform the continuous variabel in to categorical
The process is almost similar . . . . . . . . .
- More than two variables (one categorical variable for X axis, and two numeric
variables for Y axis) .. choose bar chart (Clustered or Stacked), type:
Summaries of separate variables to display Mean);
Skill Lab 3
A. Correlation and Regression
Linear Correlation
Coefficient correlation (r) is an indicator of association of two numeric or interval
variables. The values ranged between -1 and +1. The number depics the strength of
the association, while the or + values depict the direction of the association. The
data should be normally distributed. If it isnt so, non-parametric analysis should be
choosen (Remember Pearson coefficient correlation and Spearman rho).
1. Coefficient correlation. It doesnt show the causal-effect association or classify the
variables to neither dependent nor independent variables. To com-pute coefficient
correlation, choose the menu: Analyze, Correlate, Bivariate
Method:
window will be displayed, ..... click the appropriate statistics options, ....
click [Continue] box, ..... click the Plots box, ..... [Explore: Plots]
window will be displayed, .. click the appropriate options (the most
important is Normality plots with test, and Power estimation), .... click
[Continue] box, and [OK] box to finish the process.
c. Use Levene test for equality of variances testing. It doesnt need to do this separately,
because it has been included in T test.
d. Whatever the result was, normal or not, assume that the data is normally distri-buted
and it is not normally distributed), .. go further to T-test. Assume that the
distribution of the data is normal 1) Use and click menu: Analyze, Compare
Means, One-Sample T Test (for a single mean test), 2) Use and click menu:
Analyze, Compare Means, Independent-Samples T Test .. (for independentsamples), and 3) Paired-Samples T Test (for dependent/pair-ed-samples).
3. Statistical test for three or more samples mean, independent and paired sample
test (NOT TO BE DISCUSSED), ....... just for who are interested in.
- If the data is normally distributed
Method: - One-Way ANOVA.
Open skill lab.sav file (if it is not already open).
Use and click menu: Analyze, choose Compare Means, ..... choose
and click One-Way ANOVA..., [One-Way ANOVA] window will be
displayed, ..... choose and move the test variable (Hb) to the
[Dependent List:] box, and the factor variable (klp_umur) to the
[Factor:] box, .. click [Post Hoc...] box, ..... [One-Way ANOVA:
Post Hoc Multiple Comparisons] window will be displayed, ..... click
Bonferoni or other options in the [Equal Variances Assumed] box, and
Tamhanes T2 or other options in the [Equal Variances Not Assumed]
Annex 1.
Data Collection Questionnaire and Data Entry Structure
1. Nomor
Identitas:
I. IDENTITAS RESPONDEN
1. Nama
:.........................
2. Area
:.........................
3. Pendidikan Ibu
: .
4. Pekerjaan Ibu
: .
: . . . . . . . kg
Typ
e
Widt
h
Deci
mal
s
Label
ID
No. urut
Area
Area
tempat
tinggal
nama
Nama
umur
Umur ibu
Pendidika
n
Tingkat
pendidik
an formal
terakhir
Values
Missin
g
1 = Mudah dijangkau,
2 = sulit dijangkau.
Pekerjaan
Pekerjaa
n ibu
1= Tidak Bekerja
2=Bertani/berkebun/bert
ernak
3= lainnya
Hb
Kadar Hb
anak
BBpre
BB
sebelum
intervens
i
TB
Tinggi
badan
BBpost
BB
setelah
intervens
i
Pengisian:
- Name (nama variabel), satu kata maksimal 8 huruf jika SPSS versi 12 atau di
bawahnya, tidak boleh ada tanda baca, kecuali tanda (_).
- Type (ingat jenis variabel: numeric/string atau teks, date).
- Width (jumlah digit atau angka yang diperlukan termasuk tanda baca,
koma/titik).
- Decimals (jumlah desimal atau jumlah digit di belakang koma, untuk variabel
numerik).
- Label (jelas).
- Values (jelas).
- Missing (biasa dipergunakan angka 9, sesuaikan dengan jumlah digit).
Annex 2. Skill lab data
S
EARCHING, ANALYSIS, AND
INTERPRETING STUDY RESULT
TOPICS:
Descriptive longitudinal, cross sectional
Analitic cross sectional
Case Control
Cohort
Clinical & Community Trial
Diagnostic Test
STUDENT PROJECT
Abstract
Epidemiologic approaches are utilised to understand the distribution and risk factor of
disease, also to know the effectiveness of an intervention. The understanding of these
concepts assist doctors in diagnosing, developing evidence based therapy and determining
the prognosis of the disease. In community, a doctor is expected to utilise these concepts to
tackle health problems.
This student project aims to help student to gain better understanding about epidemiologic
approaches and the specific attributes in each approach.
Learning task:
1. Each group need to conduct search on scientific publication that using one of the
epidemiology approach (see assignment table for each group).
2. Pay attention on the timeline of this student project
3. Each group need to consult and get approval from the planners on the topic
4. Pay attention on the specific tasks for each approach. Discuss it with your group.
5. Develop short report, maximum 10 A4 pages
6. Make 8 copies of your group reports and submit them to dr. Citra timely
7. Presentation of the student project will be conducted randomly on day 20 th of CBP
block, at the PLENARY SESSION (See the presentation guide)
8. Assessment will be conducted based on several criteria (See evaluation guide)
a. Appropriateness of the answer to the task
b. Participation in group work will be proved by clear job description for each
group member. (dominated work will receive negative mark)
c. Student project will contribute 15% of total CBP block mark.
Table 1. Group assign and epidemiologic approach
No
SGD
Class
Approach
Planners
I, II
Regular
English
III
Regular
English
Dr.AyuKartika/dr. Citra
IV
Regular
English
Dr.Septarini
Regular
English
Dr.Sutarsa
VI
Regular
Dr.Sutarsa
English
Pair)
VII
Regular
English
Dr.Ariastuti
VIII
Regular
English
Dr.Ariastuti
IX
Regular
English
Dr.Sawitri
Regular
English
Dr.Sawitri
10
XI
Regular
English
Uji Diagnostik
Dr.Artawan
Date/week Activities
Penanggungjawab
Week II
Planners
Week II
Week III
Report writing
Week IV
Week IV
Week IV
Presentation
Design
Task
Observational study: cross sectional, case control, cohort (source: STROBE Statement)
Introduction
Method
Explains the study design and describe important element of the study
Develops study profile
explains the setting, location, relevant date include recruitment period,
exposure, follow up and data collection method
Participant:
(a) Cohort studydescribes eligibility criteria, sources, and selection
method. Explain the follow up method
(b) Case-control studydescribes eligibility criteria, sources and
method to select case and control. Explain the rational in selecting
case and control.
Cross-sectional study describes eligibility criteria, sources, and
selection method
(d)Cohort study For matched studies, explains the matching criteria,
the number of exposed and unexposed group.
(e) Case-control studyFor matched studies, explains the matching
criteriaand number of control per case
Explains the definition of outcome, exposure, predictor, potential
confounder and effect modifier. Explain the diagnostic criteria (if
available)
Explains how to determine sample size
Explains all statistical methods including methods to control
confounding variables
Cohort studyif available, explains how to resolve loss to follow-up
Case-control studyif available, explains how to match between case
and control that was done
Cross-sectional studyif available, explains analytical method that
have done related to sample selection
Result
2
Methods
Result &
Discussion
Describe the trial design and the attributes including ration allocation
Developa study profile completely including the attributes
Explains the criteria of eligibility for the participant
Explains the settings and location where data collected
Explains the intervention given to each group, including the possibility
of repetition and real of the intervention
Explains specific measurement from primary and secondary outcome
Explains how to determine sample size
If available, explains about analytical interim that was done
Explains the randomization methods
Explains the randomization type and details of the restrictions if
available
Described the procedure that was done until intervention given
Explains who did the randomization, who did the subject inclusion and
and who determine subject allocation for intervention/placebo? Was it
done blinded?
Explains the statistical method used to compare the primary and
secondary outcome
For every primary and secondary outcome, explains the result and
significance
Explains the study limitation, how to resolve bias source, whether any
precision problems
Explains about generalisability (external validity, applicability) of the
result; if available
Diagnostic Test
Introduction
Method
Explains the study design and important part related to the study
design
Develop the study profile
Explains about the relevant setting, location, and date including
recruitment period, exposure, follow up and data collection
Participant: explains the eligibility criteria, source and selection method
Explains the definition of gold standard and diagnostic test. Please
explains the diagnostic criteria if available.
Explains how to determine the sample size
Presentation guideline:
1. Presentation slides:
Maximum 10 slides
Maximum 12 sentences/point per slide, minimum font size 20, font type
ARIAL/TIMES NEW ROMAN/CALIBRI
Assesment items
Maximum mark
Appropriate answer
60
Group work
20
20
Total mark
100
The mark for study project is an average of marks from planners who assess every SGD
groups. The study project mark contribute 15% of total CBP evaluation.