Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
The long term assets are those that affect the firms operations beyond the one
year period. The firms investment decisions would generally include
expansion, acquisition, modernization and replacement of the long term asset.
Sale of division or business is also as an investment decision. Decisions like
the change in the methods of sales distribution, or an advertisement campaign
or a research and development programmed have long term implications for
the firms expenditures and benefits, and therefore, they should also be
evaluated as investment decisions.
activity.
The future benefits will occur to the firm over a series of years.
Capital budgeting is the process that companies use for decision making
on capital project. The capital project lasts for longer time, usually more
than one year. As the project is usually large and has important impact
on the long term success of the business, it is crucial for the business to
make the right decision.
Capital Budgeting Process
The specific capital budgeting procedures that the manager uses depend
on the manger's level in the organization and the complexities of the
organization and the size of the projects. The typical steps in the capital
budgeting process are as follows:
forecast cash flows for each project and then evaluating the project's
profitability.
Performance monitoring.
decisions are reserved for top management, and some are so significant
that the company's board of directors ultimately has the decision-making
authority. Like everything else, capital budgeting is a cost-benefit
exercise. At the margin, the benefits from the improved decision making
should exceed the costs of the capital budgeting effort.
There may be various criteria for selecting the right and appropriate decision
for capital investment. For example, a firm may emphasize on the projects that
promise for the immediate return while some other firms may insist on the
projects that ensure long term growth. The major goal of capital investment
decision is to increase the value of firm by undertaking right project at right
time.
There are various measures that give the estimation of the return of the firm
over various investment projects. In order to determine the value of a
particular project, three most famous methods are - IRR methods, net present
value and payback method. These methods are applied while taking decisions
on capital investment.
net income. Because the $10,000 in annual depreciation is not an actual cash
outflow, the $20,000 in accounting net income is not the true cash flow to the
firm.
If, while all else is constant, annual depreciation were to decline by $5,000 to
$5,000, accounting net income would increase to $25,000, but actual cash
flow would remain unchanged. However, calculations of net cash flow
exclude the effects of depreciation.
future cash flows of the project and should not be considered when making
capital-budgeting decisions.
Suppose Newco is considering whether to make an addition to its current plant
to increase production. To determine if the new addition is worthwhile, Newco
hired a consulting firm for $50,000 to analyze the addition and the effect it
will have on production. The $50,000 is considered a sunk cost. If the project
is rejected, the $50,000 will still be paid, and if the project is accepted, the
$50,000 will not affect the future cash flows of the addition.
2. Opportunity Cost
This is the cost of not going forward with a project or the cash outflows that
will not be earned as a result of utilizing an asset for another alternative. For
example, the opportunity cost of Newco's new addition considered above is
the cost of the land on which Newco is considering putting the new plant
addition. As such, it should be included in the analysis of the project.
3. Externality
Additionally, in the consideration of incremental cash flows of a new project,
there may be effects on the existing operations of the company to consider,
known as "externalities". For example, the addition to Newco's plant is for the
purpose of producing a new product. It must be considered if the new product
may actually take away or add to sales of the existing product.
4. Cannibalization
This is the type of externality where the new project takes sales away from the
10
existing product.
Overall, there may be change to net working capital from the new project.
If, however, the change in net working capital is negative, the change
11
Estimating cash flows the investment outlays and the cash inflows after the
project is commissioned is the most important, but also the most difficult
step in capital budgeting. Estimating cash flows process involves many people
and numerous variables.
A project which involves cash outflows followed by cash inflows comprises of
three basic components. They are,
capital expenditure and net working capital when the project is set up.
Operating cash inflows: The operating cash inflows are the after-tax
cash inflows resulting from the operations of the project during its
economic life.
Terminal cash inflow: The terminal cash inflow is the after-tax cash
flow resulting from the liquidation of the project at the end of its economic
life.
12
For developing the stream of financial costs and benefits, the following
principles must be kept in mind:
1. Principle of Incremental Cash Flows
The cash flows of a project must be measured in incremental terms. To
ascertain a projects incremental cash flows, one has to look at what happens
to the cash flows of the firm with the project and without the project. The
difference between the two reflects the incremental cash flows attributable to
the project.
That is;
Project Cash Flow for year t = Cash flow for the firm with the project for year
t Cash flow for the firm without the project for year t
In estimating the incremental cash flows of a project, the following guidelines
must be borne in mind:
13
for evaluating the cash flows depends on the point of view adopted. It is
generally recommended that a project may be evaluated from the point of view
of long-term funds (which are provided by equity stockholders, preference
stock-holders, debenture holders, and term-lending institutions) because the
principal focus of such evaluation is normally on the profitability of long-term
funds. This argument, though plausible, cannot be regarded as unassailable.
Nonetheless, we subscribed to the position that it is quite reasonable to view a
project from the long-term funds point of view. Hence for determining the
costs and benefits of an investment project we will raise the questions. What is
the sacrifice made by the suppliers of long term funds? What benefits accrue
to the suppliers of long-term funds? The sacrifice made by the suppliers of
long-term funds is equal to the outlays on fixed assets and net working capital
(it may be recalled that net working capital, which represents the difference
between current assets and current liabilities, is supported by long-term funds).
The benefits accruing to the suppliers of long-term funds consist of
operational cash inflows after taxes and salvage value of fixed assets and net
working capital.
3. Principle of Financing Costs Exclusion
When cash flows relating to long-term are being defined, financing costs of
long-term funds [interest on long-term debt and equity dividend] should be
excluded from the analysis. Why? The weighted average cost of capital used
for evaluating the cash flows takes into account the cost of long-term funds.
Put differently the interest and dividend payments are reflected in the
weighted average cost of capital. Hence, if interest on long term debt and
14
dividend on equity capital are deducted in defining the cash flows, the cost of
long-term funds will be counted twice an error that should be carefully
guarded against.
Operationally, the exclusion of financing costs principle means that
While dividends pose no difficulty as they come only from profit after taxes,
interest needs to be handled properly. Since interest is usually deducted in the
process of arriving at profit after tax, an amount equal to interest [1 -tax rate]
should be added back to the figure of profit after tax. Thus, whether the tax
rate is applied directly to the profit before interest and tax figure or whether
the tax adjusted interest, which is simply interest [1-tax rate], is added to profit
after tax, we get the same result.
4. Principle of Post-tax
Tax payments like other payments must be properly deducted in deriving the
cash flows. Put differently cash flows must be defined in post-tax terms [It
may be noted that the cost of capital employed for evaluating the cash flow
stream is also measured in post-tax terms].
Capital budgeting is the process most companies use to authorize capital
spending on longterm projects and on other projects requiring significant
15
16
Capital Investment
Average Annual net cash flow
For the Cottage Gang, the cash payback period is three years. It was calculated
by dividing the $150,000 capital investment by the $50,000 net annual cash
flow ($250,000 inflows $200,000 outflows)
$ 1,50,000
$ 50,000
= 3.0 Years.
The shorter the payback period, the sooner the company recovers its cash
investment. Whether a cash payback period is good or poor depends on the
company's criteria for evaluating projects. Some companies have specific
guidelines for number of years, such as two years, while others simply require
the payback period to be less than the asset's useful life.
17
When net annual cash flows are different, the cumulative net annual cash
flows are used to determine the payback period. If the Turtles Co. has a project
with a cost of $150,000, and net annual cash inflows for the first seven years
of the project are: $30,000 in year one, $50,000 in year two, $55,000 in year
three, $60,000 in year four, $60,000 in year five, $60,000 in year six, and
$40,000 in year seven, then its cash payback period would be 3.25 years. See
the example that follows.
The cash payback period is easy to calculate but is actually not the only
criteria for choosing capital projects. This method ignores differences in the
timing of cash flows during the project and differences in the length of the
project. The cash flows of two projects may be the same in total but the timing
of the cash flows could be very different. For example, assume project LJM
had cash flows of $3,000, $4,000, $7,000, $1,500, and $1,500 and project
MEM had cash flows of $6,000, $5,000, $3,000, $2,000, and $1,000. Both
projects cost $14,000 and have a payback of 3.0 years, but the cash flows are
18
very different. Similarly, two projects may have the same payback period
while one project lasts five years beyond the payback period and the second
one lasts only one year.
19
using the Present Value of 1 table factor for seven periods and 12% discount
rate factor of .4523 times the $5,000 salvage value. The investment of
$150,000 does not need to be discounted because it is already in today's
dollars (a factor value of 1.0000). To calculate the net present value (NPV),
the investment is subtracted from the present value of the total cash inflows of
$230,452. See the examples that follow. Because the net present value (NPV)
is positive, the required rate of return has been met.
Also known as
the
Discounted
20
21
First, I would explain what is net present value and then how it is used to
analyze investment projects.
Net present value (NPV): Net present value is the difference between the
present value of cash inflows and the present value of cash outflows that occur
as a result of undertaking an investment project. It may be positive, zero or
negative. These three possibilities of net present value are briefly explained
below:
Positive NPV: If present value of cash inflows is greater than the present
value of the cash outflows, the net present value is said to be positive and the
investment proposal is considered to be acceptable.
Zero NPV: If present value of cash inflow is equal to present value of cash
outflow, the net present value is said to be zero and the investment proposal is
considered to be acceptable.
Negative NPV: If present value of cash inflow is less than present value of
cash outflow, the net present value is said to be negative and the investment
proposal is rejected.
Example 1 cash inflow project:
The management of Fine Electronics Company is considering to purchase an
equipment to be attached with the main manufacturing machine. The
equipment will cost $6,000 and will increase annual cash inflow by $2,200.
The useful life of the equipment is 6 years. After 6 years it will have no
salvage value. The management wants a 20% return on all investments.
22
Required:
Solution:
(1)Computation of net present value:
23
company would be able to earn 20% return on its investment. The minimum
required rate of return (20% in our example) is used to discount the cash
inflow to its present value and is, therefore, also known as discount rate.
Investments in assets are usually made with the intention to generate revenue
or reduce costs in future. The reduction in cost is considered equivalent to
increase in revenues and should, therefore, be treated as cash inflow in capital
budgeting computations.
The net present value method is used not only to evaluate investment projects
that generate cash inflow but also to evaluate investment projects that reduce
costs. The following example illustrates how this capital budgeting method is
used to analyze a cost reduction project:
Example 2 cost reduction project:
Smart Manufacturing Company is planning to reduce its labor costs by
automating a critical task that is currently performed manually. The
automation requires the installation of a new machine. The cost to purchase
and install a new machine is $15,000. The installation of machine can reduce
annual labor cost by $4,200. The life of the machine is 15 years. The salvage
value of the machine after fifteen years will be zero. The required rate of
return of Smart Manufacturing Company is 25%.
Should Smart Manufacturing Company purchase the machine?
Solution:
According to net present value method, Smart Manufacturing Company
24
should purchase the machine because the present value of the cost savings is
greater than the present value of the initial cost to purchase and install the
machine. The computations are given below:
25
1
$95,000
2
$80,000
3
$60,000
4
$55,000
Compute net present value of the project if the minimum desired rate of return
is 12%.
Solution:
The cash inflow generated by the project is uneven. Therefore, the present
value would be computed for each year separately:
Year Present value Net cash flow Present value of cash flow
1
2
3
4
of $1 at 12%
0.893*
$
0.797
0.712
0.636
95,000
80,000
60,000
55,000
Total
Initial investment required
84,835
63,760
42,720
34,980
226,295
225,000
1,295
26
Example 4:
Choose the most desirable investment proposal from the following alternatives
using profitability index method:
Proposal X
$212,000
200,000
12,000
Proposal Y
$171,800
160,000
11,800
Proposal Z
$185,200
180,000
5,200
Solution:
Because each investment proposal requires a different amount of investment,
the most desirable investment can be found using present value index. Present
value index of all three proposals is computed below:
Present Value Index
27
Proposal X
Proposal Y
Proposal Z
1.06
1.07
1.03
(212,000/200,000)
(171,800/160,000)
(185,200/180,000)
Proposal X has the highest net present value but is not the most desirable
investment. The present value indexes show proposal Y as the most desirable
investment because it promises to generate 1.07 present value for each dollar
invested, which is the highest among three alternatives.
Assumptions:
The net present value method is based on two assumptions. These are:
return at a rate that is equal to the discount rate used in present value
analysis.
The inflow and outflow of cash other than initial investment occur at
28
'Profitability Index'
A ratio of 1.0 is logically the lowest acceptable measure on the index. Any
value lower than 1.0 would indicate that the project's PV is less than the initial
investment. As values on the profitability index increase, so does the financial
attractiveness of the proposed project.
[3]. Definition of "Internal Rate Of Return - IRR"
The discount rate often used in capital budgeting that makes the net present
value of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero. Generally
speaking, the higher a project's internal rate of return, the more desirable it is
to undertake the project. As such, IRR can be used to rank several prospective
projects a firm is considering. Assuming all other factors are equal among the
various projects, the project with the highest IRR would probably be
considered the best and undertaken first.
IRR is sometimes referred to as "economic rate of return (ERR)."
You can think of IRR as the rate of growth a project is expected to generate.
While the actual rate of return that a given project ends up generating will
often differ from its estimated IRR rate, a project with a substantially higher
IRR value than other available options would still provide a much better
chance of strong growth.
29
Where,
i is the discount rate;
n is the period to which the cash inflow relates.
Usually the above formula is split into two components which are actual cash
inflow and present value factor ( i.e. 1 / ( 1 + i )^n ). Thus discounted cash
flow is the product of actual cash flow and present value factor.The rest of the
procedure is similar to the calculation of simple payback period except that we
have to use the discounted cash flows as calculated above instead of actual
cash flows. The cumulative cash flow will be replaced by cumulative
discounted cash flow.
Discounted Payback Period = A +
30
C
Where,
A = Last period with a negative discounted cumulative cash flow;
B = Absolute value of discounted cumulative cash flow at the end of the
period A;
C = Discounted cash flow during the period after A.
Note: In the calculation of simple payback period, we could use an alternative
formula for situations where all the cash inflows were even. That formula
won't be applicable here since it is extremely unlikely that discounted cash
inflows will be even.
The calculation method is illustrated in the example below.
Decision Rule:- If the discounted payback period is less that the target period,
accept the project. Otherwise reject.
Example:- An initial investment of $2,324,000 is expected to generate
$600,000 per year for 6 years. Calculate the discounted payback period of the
investment if the discount rate is 11%.
Solution:- Step 1: Prepare a table to calculate discounted cash flow of each
period by multiplying the actual cash flows by present value factor. Create a
cumulative discounted cash flow column.
Year
Cash Flow
Present
Discounted Cash
Cumulative
no.
CF
Value
Flow
Discounted
Factor
CFPV$1
Cash Flow
PV$1=1/
31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
$ 2,324,000
600,000
600,000
600,000
600,000
600,000
600,000
(1+i)n
1.0000
0.9009
0.8116
0.7312
0.6587
0.5935
0.5346
$ 2,324,000
540,541
486,973
438,715
395,239
356,071
320,785
$ 2,324,000
1,783,459
1,296,486
857,771
462,533
106,462
214,323
32
CH - 7.Capital Rationing.
33
products only if the anticipated return is higher than the new cost of capital.
For example, raising the cost of capital from 10 percent to 5 percent would
demand the company see a 5 percent higher return on any future investment
than on those in the past.
What are the benefits of capital rationing?
The main benefit of capital rationing is budgeting a company's corporate
resources. When a company issues stock or borrows money, it can use these
resources for new investments. However, if the company does not see a good
return on investments, it is wasting these resources. By capital rationing,
which is the process of increasing the cost of capital, the company can make
sure it takes on fewer projects. Further, it can take on only projects for which
the anticipated return on investment is high. This will prevent the company
from over-extending its finances, which would cause a decrease in stock price
and stability.
34
CH - 8. Bibliography.