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Source:A.BrandenburgerandB.Nalebuff(1996),Coopetition(Doubleday:GardenCity,NY).
Holland
Sweetner-Low
100
Holland
Sweetner-Low
-25
100
Monsanto-Low
Holland
Sweetner-High
-25
Holland
Sweetner-High
-25
0
Monsanto-High
100
Monsanto-Low
300
Monsanto-High
The Nash equilibrium is for both firms to price low. Pricing low is a weakly dominant
strategy for Holland Sweetner. It loses $25 million in all situations unless Monsanto prices
high and Holland Sweetner prices low. If Holland Sweetner prices low, it is in Monsantos
interest to price low as well.
2.
Now assume that the interaction is sequential where Holland Sweetner chooses to enter and if so
they face the pricing problem in the second stage. Should Holland Sweetner enter?
No. They will lose $25 million if they enter and zero if they stay out.
3.
Why do you think Holland Sweetner entered? Were they just dumb or were there other potential
considerations?
Ex post it appears to have been a mistake. Entry, however, may have been a reasonable
business decision ex ante given the information available at that time. Managers work with
imperfect information. The managers at Holland Sweetener may have made some faulty
assumptions or forecasts about consumer preferences for NutraSweet or Monsantos
capacity to fill the entire order, etc. However, this does not mean they were dumb. One
possibility, however, is that they didnt think strategically and would have made a better
decision if they had.
4.
Prior to Holland Sweetners entry into the US market, Pepsi and Coke began deemphasizing the
NutraSweet label on their cans and bottles. Why do you think they did this?
They may have been acting strategically to reduce Monsantos power to extract a high price
for NutraSweet (by reducing consumer demand for the sweetener). The soft drink companies
would like to have consumers focus on their brands, not the NutraSweet brand.
5.
Monsanto, by moving first was able to gain consumer acceptance. At equal prices the soft
drink companies would rather deal with Monsanto than a new supplier. This gave them an
advantage in the marketplace. Many would-be competitors may have realized that it was
probably not in their interests to pay the fixed costs for a plant to enter. Monsanto was likely
to compete to keep the contracts, and thus the new companies were unlikely to make money
by entering. This first-mover advantage had the potential to help Monsanto make huge
profits. Unfortunately for them, Holland Sweetener entered the market.
6.
Pepsi and Coke were the big winners in this case. Explain why.
They were able to use the threat of shifting to Holland Sweetener to negotiate a lower price
with Monsanto. Monsanto may have made some profits on the deal because of their
consumer acceptance. However, these profits are likely to be lower than if the soft drink
companies did not have a credible source of alternative supply. (They could have started
their own plants. However, they would have had to pay the fixed costs to enter production).