Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Contents
Introduction
Farm inputs
UK feed prices
UK fertiliser prices
Oil prices
GB land prices
On-farm data
UK dairy farm numbers
10
11
12
15
16
17
18
19
20
Milk supply
GB and UK wholesale milk deliveries
22
24
25
World production
27
UK milk flow
29
30
31
33
Market indicators
35
37
UK wholesale prices
39
EU wholesale prices
40
41
42
43
44
45
47
49
UK quota position
51
52
54
55
Consumer
UK average household consumption
57
59
60
61
Pasteurised milk
62
63
64
65
Cheese market
66
Cheddar market
68
EU butter consumption
70
71
EU cheese consumption
72
Useful information
Conversion tables
73
74
76
About DairyCo
78
Introduction
Farm inputs
UK feed prices
2012
2013
Feed Wheat
143
193
187
Soyameal Argentine
262
351
386
206
261
284
Note: Prices are from different outlets: Feed Wheat (Delivered), Soyameal (Ex-Store), Intensive
Energy Dairy Rations (On Farm).
Source: FARM BRIEF, AHDB/HGCA.
This data is protected under the various copyright acts. No reproduction in whole or in part is
permitted by any means whether printed, photocopied, sound or visual broadcast without the
express permission of FARM BRIEF.
UK feed prices
Feed Wheat
Soyameal
(Argentine)
Intensive Energy
Dairy Rations
450
400
350
/tonne
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
08
09
10
11
12
13
Farm inputs
UK fertiliser prices
2012
2013
20.10.10 Blended
bags
379
316
293
353
356
308
AN (UK - Bags)
337
306
277
UK fertiliser prices
20.10.10
Blended bags
Granular Urea
(bags)
AN
(UK - bags)
10
12
400
380
360
/tonne
340
320
300
280
260
240
220
200
08
09
11
13
Note: Urea data prior to Jan 2012 is based upon Prilled Urea as Granular prices were not
available.
Source: FARM BRIEF.
This data is protected under the various copyright acts. No reproduction in whole or in part is
permitted by any means whether printed, photocopied, sound or visual broadcast without the
express permission of FARM BRIEF.
Farm inputs
Oil prices
2012
2013
US$/barrel
28.10
109.45
105.87
/barrel
17.17
69.07
67.74
Source: OPEC. Prices have been converted from US$/barrel using average annual exchange rates.
Oil prices
80
/barrel
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: OPEC. Prices have been converted from US$/barrel using average annual exchange rates.
Farm inputs
GB land prices
H2-2013
/ac
/ha
6,957
17,191
per hectacre
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
08
09
10
11
Note: The above graph shows annual average prices for pasture land.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo, RICS Farmland Market Survey.
12
13
Farm inputs
H2-2013
ATA 95
/ac
/ha
/ac
/ha
57
141
99
245
Note: AHA 86 The Agricultural Holdings Act 1986, ATA 95 The Agricultural Tenancies Act 1995.
Source: RICS Farmland Market Survey.
ATA 95
300
/ha
250
200
150
100
50
0
08
09
10
11
12
13
Note: The above graph shows annual average rental prices for pasture land.
AHA 86 The Agricultural Holdings Act 1986. ATA 95 The Agricultural Tenancies Act 1995.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo, RICS Farmland Market Survey.
On-farm data
2012
2013
16,977
10,724
10,581
Scotland
1,590
1,163
896
Northern Ireland
4,425
2,662*
2,684*
UK
22,992
14,549
13,265
Note: England and Wales producer number figure for 2012 is a May figure as June data was not
available.
For England and Wales, all premises where milk is produced are referred to as Production
Holdings; this includes holdings with sheep, goats and buffalo.
*Change in methodology in Northern Ireland in 2012 with data revised back to 2006.
Figures for Scotland are for dairy type holdings where dairy farming contributes more than twothirds of the holding standard gross margins up until 2012. As of June 2013, Scotland has changed
its typology which is now based on 11 farm types and uses the cattle tracing scheme resulting in a
significant fall in the number of holdings compared with 2012.
03
04
10
On-farm data
1,163
2013*
896
2003
3,217
2,141
2,120
2003
4,524
2012
2,850
2013
2,780
2003
4,772
2012
3,209
2013
3,182
2003
1,144
2012
620
2013
616
2003
2,909
2012
1,904
2013
1,895
Wales
2012
2013
Scotland
North
Midlands
Wales
1,590
2012
Midlands
2003
North
Scotland
South
East
South West
Note: September figures were used for 2003. Therefore figures do not tally exactly with the farm
numbers table on page 10.
*Figures for Scotland are for dairy type holdings where dairy farming contributes more than twothirds of the holding standard gross margins up until 2012. As of June 2013, Scotland has changed
its typology which is now based on 11 farm types and uses the cattle tracing scheme resulting in a
significant fall in the number of holdings compared with 2012.
Source: DHI, DARD, SEERAD.
11
On-farm data
12
07/08
10/11
11/12
12/13
Austria
58.0
49.9
48.8
46.5
Belgium
13.0
10.7
10.3
9.8
Denmark
5.0
4.2
4.0
3.8
Finland
14.0
11.7
10.9
10.2
France
99.0
83.8
80.3
77.2
Germany
99.0
88.7
83.9
80.8
Greece
6.0
4.3
3.9
3.7
Ireland
21.0
19.0
19.2
18.5
Italy
46.0
40.4
38.8
37.4
Luxembourg
1.0
0.8
0.8
0.8
Netherlands
21.0
19.4
18.9
18.5
Portugal
11.0
8.1
7.5
7.0
Spain
26.0
21.9
20.7
19.6
Sweden
8.0
6.1
5.8
5.4
UK
18.0
15.5
15.0
14.5
EU-15
445.1
384.3
368.6
353.8
Cyprus
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
Czech Republic
3.0
2.5
2.4
2.3
Estonia
1.0
1.1
1.0
0.9
10/11
11/12
12/13
Hungary
6.0
5.8
4.7
4.3
Latvia
20.0
12.2
11.6
11.2
Lithuania
69.0
46.6
44.4
41.3
Malta
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
Poland
232.0
173.3
162.1
153.0
1.0
0.9
0.9
0.8
Slovakia
Slovenia
10.0
8.9
8.5
8.2
EU-25
789.0
635.7
604.3
576.1
Bulgaria
109.0
18.1
13.8
10.8
Romania
663.0
385.0
368.0
335.0
1,561.1
1,038.8
986.2
922.0
EU-27
Source: Eurostat.
2012/13
120
100
80
60
40
20
UK
Au
s
Be tria
lg
De ium
nm
a
Fi rk
nl
an
Fr d
G anc
er e
m
a
G ny
re
e
Ire ce
la
nd
Lu
xe Ita
m
N bo ly
et
he urg
rla
Po nds
rtu
ga
Sp l
Sw ain
ed
en
Source: Eurostat.
13
14
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
On-farm data
2012
2013
1,435
1,121
1,113
Wales
268
224
223
Scotland
198
163
167
England
Northern Ireland
UK
290
285
280
2,191
1,812
1,782
Note: Dairy cow numbers refer to dairy female cattle aged two years or more with offspring.
England and Wales figures have been sourced through CTS (cattle tracing system), Northern Ireland
data has been sourced through APHIS, Scotland use survey data. CTS/APHIS uses breed of cattle to
identify purpose. Therefore, cannot be used for a direct comparison with previous years.
Source: Defra, DARD, Welsh Government, SEERAD.
2012
2013
2,250
2,000
Thousand head
1,750
1,500
1,250
1,000
750
500
250
0
England
Wales
Scotland
Northern
Ireland
UK
15
On-farm data
2012
2013
102
127
128
Wales
91
118
118
Scotland
125
157
185
Northern Ireland
66
107
104
UK
95
125
126
England
Note: Averages have been worked out according to figures found in the dairy farm numbers and
dairy cow numbers tables. Scotland 2013 figures affected by change in holdings methodology.
Source: Defra, DARD, DHI, SEERAD, Welsh Government.
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
England
Wales
Scotland
16
Northern
Ireland
UK
On-farm data
The EU-15 had 76.9% of dairy cows in the EU-28 in 2013 with
the UK herd representing 7.7% of the total EU-28 dairy cow
population.
Thousand head
2003
2012*
2013*
UK
2,207
1,786
1,817
EU-15
19,217
17,703
18,050
EU-25
23,923
21,555
21,832
EU-27
24,285
23,012
23,314
EU-28
n/a
23,193
23,482
UK% (EU-28)
n/a
7.7%
7.7%
*Provisional.
Note: Eurostat figures for the UK are different from the UK dairy cow numbers on page 15 since
figures are collated from different sources.
Croatia data unavailable for 2003.
Source: Eurostat.
17
On-farm data
6,621
2010
7,273
2011
7,528
2012
7,442
2013*
7,535
*Provisional.
Source: Defra.
Litres/cow/annum
8,000
7,500
7,000
6,500
*Provisional.
Source: Defra.
18
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13*
On-farm data
TB incidences in cattle
in Great Britain
The number of cattle being slaughtered due to TB decreased by
13.6% (5,115) between 2012 and 2013.
Number of cattle slaughtered for TB in GB
2003
23,972
2011
34,238
2012*
37,734
2013*
32,619
*Provisional.
Note: Statistics above are for all cattle slaughtered due to TB not just dairy cattle.
Source: Defra.
Number of cattle
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12* 13*
*Provisional.
Source: Defra.
19
On-farm data
Profitability of dairy
production systems
Milkbench+ analysis has, again, identified and analysed three
enterprise types:
Cows at grass. Predominantly grass-based and operating
at lower yield levels
Composite. Maximum use of family labour and a mixed
approach to feeding and housing
High-output cows. Generally housed for more of the year
with more intensive use of major inputs.
DairyCos Milkbench+ Evidence Report 2014 highlights the
following findings:
Due to difficult weather conditions and increasing feed
prices, the average net margin in 2012/13 was negative
and 2.3 pence per litre (ppl) less than in 2011/12 at -0.9
(ppl)
Despite this, the top 25% of producers in all three
enterprise types achieved a positive net margin, with the
top 25% in Cows at grass earning the highest net margin
overall
The top 25% of dairy farms achieved a slightly higher
milk yield, but, importantly, used significantly fewer
resources at cheaper prices, which resulted in lower
production costs and a higher net margin
The difference in performance is much larger between
the top 25% and bottom 25% of producers within each
enterprise type, than it is across farm types
Four drivers explained a minimum of 60% of the
difference in cost of production between the top and
bottom 25% in each of the three enterprise types.
These drivers are:
20
Feed cost
Labour cost
Power and machinery cost
Depreciation.
These drivers are similar to previous year results apart
from the inclusion of depreciation instead of herd
replacement cost.
According to the international dairy network IFCN, UK dairy
farms have, on average, larger herds and slightly lower
milk yields, together with lower production costs and higher
profitability than the average for Western Europe.
Cows at
grass
Composite
Highoutput
cows
Number of farms
120
130
72
168
185
266
1,326
2,745
2,853
5,890
7,885
8,619
Labour (hours/cow/
year)
36
37
34
31.5
31.0
31.4
11.4
14.7
14.8
17.4
14.1
14.0
32.3
32.4
31.9
-0.8
-1.4
-0.5
-12
-89
-33
Note: Milkbench+ is an Internet-based benchmarking service that allows British dairy farmers to
compare how their enterprise is performing against other dairy farms.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo, analysis of the Milkbench+ 2012/13 sample containing 322 dairy
enterprises.
21
Milk supply
GB and UK wholesale
milk deliveries
In 2013/14, UK milk production was 5.4% (705 million litres)
higher than the previous milk year.
GB milk production rose by 5.3% in 2013/14 versus the
previous milk year.
Northern Ireland milk production also increased in 2013/14
but by a slightly higher percentage of 6.1% (118 million litres).
The strength in production during 2013/14 was encouraged
by favourable weather conditions throughout the year and
positivity in the industry, helped by stronger farmgate milk
prices.
Million litres
GB
UK
1,098
1,015
932
1,204
1,112
May
1,171
1,048
1,034
1,367
1,252
1,234
Jun
1,087
997
987
1,266
1,186
1,177
Jul
1,061
944
963
1,232
1,116
1,144
Aug
1,028
910
954
1,181
1,063
1,116
Sep
969
864
919
1,101
997
1,063
Oct
989
865
941
1,116
994
1,088
Nov
954
843
920
1,071
974
1,067
Dec
1,002
894
979
1,127
1,039
1,144
Jan
998
897
1,004
1,127
1,059
1,179
Feb
926
824
931
1,054
978
1,099
Mar
1,005
934
1,061
1,152
1,112
1,257
Total
12,288
11,036
12,974
13,680
22
1,271
11,624 14,063
2012/13
2013/14
1,400
1,350
1,300
Million litres
1,250
1,200
1,150
1,100
1,050
1,000
950
900
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Source: RPA.
Million litres
14,000
13,500
13,000
20
0
3/
20 04
04
/
20 05
05
/
20 06
06
/
20 07
07
/
20 08
08
/
20 09
09
/
20 10
10
/
20 11
11
/
20 12
12
/
20 13
13
/1
4
12,500
Source: RPA.
23
Milk supply
2011/12
2012/13
England
8,639
8,640
8,234
Wales
1,537
1,595
1,540
Scotland
1,268
1,279
1,280
Northern Ireland
UK
1,921
2,004
1,990
13,365
13,518
13,044
2011/12
2012/13
10,000
Million litres
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Source: RPA.
24
England
Wales
Scotland
Northern
Ireland
Milk supply
Germany
2003/04
2012/13
2013/14
27,270
29,706
30,631
France
23,122
24,189
24,677
UK
14,481
13,359
14,086
Netherlands
10,590
11,671
12,344
n/a
9,817
10,092
9,963
9,791
9,721
Poland
Italy
Spain
5,958
5,948
6,008
Ireland
5,288
5,353
5,581
Denmark
4,507
4,914
5,074
Belgium
2,820
3,120
3,534
Austria
2,658
2,947
2,972
Sweden
3,226
2,850
2,890
632
2,431
2,365
Finland
2,411
2,246
2,309
Portugal
1,842
1,825
1,791
Czech Republic
Hungary
1,661
1,398
1,370
Lithuania
1,039
1,356
1,357
Romania
180
870
904
25
Thousand tonnes
2003/04
2012/13
2013/14
Slovakia
961
847
826
Latvia
438
722
755
Estonia
494
673
721
Greece
644
669
643
Slovenia
505
532
518
Bulgaria
n/a
499
494
Luxembourg
258
277
290
Cyprus
149
153
159
Croatia
549
573
506
EU-15
115,038
118,863
122,551
EU-27
121,097
138,161
142,111
EU-28
n/a
138,734
142,617
Note: Figures do not include Malta, however, it is estimated they only produce around 3,000 6,000 tonnes per month which would not substantially affect any percentage changes.
*Croatia joined the EU on 1 July 2013, historic data was available and has been included for
reference.
Source: Eurostat.
26
Milk supply
World production
2011
2012
World
495.8
589.9
602.5
EU-15
118.8
118.7
118.8
EU-25
140.2
139.9
140.6
EU-27
146.0
145.4
145.9
UK
14.4
13.4
13.5
EU-27%
29.4
24.7
24.2
2.9
2.3
2.2
UK%
Source: Faostat FAO.
27
Billion litres
600
550
500
450
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12
Billion litres
80
60
40
20
Ru
Source: Faostat FAO.
28
US
ce
G
ss
er
ia
m
n
an
Fe
de y
ra
tio
n
Br
az
il
Ch
in
a
In
di
a
Fr
an
an
al
ke
Ze
N
ew
Tu
r
UK
Milk supply
UK milk flow
13,431
Raw milk
imports
132
Raw milk
exports
473
Direct sales
116
Consumed
on farm (c)
22
Delivered
to dairies
12,952
71
45
22
For liquid
consumption (c)
6,885
Used in
manufacture
6,223
6,791
6,179
Dairy wastage
and stock change
-17
29
UK annual average
farmgate price
Average UK farmgate prices increased 12.7% compared to
2012, due to increasing wholesale prices and competition
between buyers for milk. Farmgate prices reached record highs
in 2013 as the UK recovered from the loss of production in 2012.
Year-on-year price
difference ppl
2003
18.03
0.92
2004
18.47
0.44
2005
18.47
0.00
2006
17.95
-0.51
2007
20.67
2.72
2008
25.93
5.25
2009
23.73
-2.20
2010
24.67
0.94
2011
27.36
2.69
2012
28.08
0.72
2013
31.64
3.56
35
30
25
ppl
20
15
10
5
0
-5
30
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
UK monthly average
farmgate price
UK farmgate prices were consistently over 30ppl for 2013/14,
apart from May due to seasonal reductions. Increasing
wholesale prices and competition for milk between buyers
drove prices to record levels over the year.
Average price ppl
2003/04
2012/13
2013/14
Apr
16.85
27.84
30.11
May
16.00
26.95
29.98
Jun
16.52
26.13
30.72
Jul
18.22
26.43
31.38
Aug
18.95
26.69
32.08
Sep
19.25
27.62
32.98
Oct
19.60
29.12
33.62
Nov
19.83
30.05
34.55
Dec
19.16
30.14
34.25
Jan
18.77
30.05
33.85
Feb
18.69
30.09
33.93
Mar
18.48
30.09
33.68
Average
18.36
28.43
32.59
Note: The annual average price given is unweighted and, therefore, not comparable with the annual
Defra price.
Source: Defra (including bonus payments).
31
2012/13
2013/14
35
30
25
20
15
32
34.12
33.04
32.96
32.90
Parkham Farms
32.85
32.82
32.73
32.53
32.51
32.40
32.40
32.32
Paynes Dairies
32.25
32.23
32.22
32.01
31.96
31.89
31.81
Grahams Dairies
31.73
33
31.72
Wensleydale
31.65
31.58
31.51
31.47
31.47
Wyke Farms
31.44
31.44
31.38
Lactalis/Caledonian Cheese
31.32
31.25
31.20
31.18
Glanbia Llangefni
31.08
30.84
30.60
30.55
30.55
30.48
30.35
1 Milk prices listed above will vary according to the amount of milk that is required by each retailer;
additional milk will be paid for at Dairy Crests standard liquid milk contract price; the milk price
above assumes that all litres produced are sold into the dedicated milk pools.
2 Farmers signed up with the Promar costings survey get an additional 0.50ppl.
Note: Prices listed above are exclusive of: Capital Retentions, Administration Charges, Farmer
Group Subscriptions and VAT but are inclusive of: DairyCo Levy and Seasonality.
Only contracts live for the full duration of the 2013/14 milk year are included.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo.
34
Market indicators
2012/13
2013/14
AMPE 2014
29.76
28.06
38.49
MCVE 2014
30.82
31.28
36.75
7.84
6.96
9.19
Cream income
Source: AHDB/DairyCo.
35
Market indicators
AMPE 2014
MCVE 2014
Cream income
45
12
40
10
30
ppl
ppl
35
25
6
20
4
Ap
r
Ju 10
l
O 10
ct
Ja 10
n
Ap 11
r
Ju 11
l
O 11
ct
Ja 11
n
Ap 12
r
Ju 12
l
O 12
ct
Ja 12
n
Ap 13
r
Ju 13
l
O 13
ct
Ja 13
n
1
4
15
The cream income to a liquid processor indicator measures trends in potential returns arising from
the sale of surplus cream and not an absolute value. Actual returns will vary according to butterfat
levels, exact prices for bulk cream and the fat content of actual milk production.
AMPE (Actual Milk Price Equivalent) and MCVE (Milk for Cheese Value Equivalent) provide a
benchmark for the value returned from milk (at the factory gate) when used for a range of dairy
products butter and powders for AMPE and mild Cheddar and other by-products for MCVE.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo.
36
EU annual average
farmgate price
With commodity markets strengthening in 2013 compared with
2012, the EU-27 average price increased by 4.60ppl (16.9%)
to 31.91ppl.
At 31.70ppl, UK dairy producers received 0.21ppl less than the
EU-27 weighted average price.
ppl
2003
2012
2013
Austria
21.18
28.29
32.88
Belgium
19.42
25.24
32.52
Denmark
23.25
28.45
33.75
Finland
25.80
37.56
40.04
France
21.63
26.70
30.29
Germany
21.15
26.78
32.73
Greece
24.52
37.67
38.83
Ireland
19.63
27.00
33.47
Italy
25.05
30.90
33.94
Luxembourg
23.29
26.06
31.93
Netherlands
22.47
28.26
34.48
Portugal
23.43
25.57
29.32
Spain
20.43
25.82
29.99
Sweden
24.08
29.88
34.61
UK
18.13
28.12
31.70
21.52
27.79
32.50
Cyprus
26.19
44.02
50.28
Czech Republic
16.97
24.86
28.56
Estonia
13.20
25.13
29.43
Hungary
19.51
24.94
28.27
37
ppl
Latvia
2003
2012
2013
9.63
23.12
26.71
Lithuania
9.92
22.20
27.67
Malta
29.41
40.72
45.79
Poland
11.30
24.03
27.74
Slovenia
20.97
25.20
28.23
Slovakia
15.34
24.65
28.58
Bulgaria
n/a
25.48
29.43
Romania
n/a
22.84
26.21
Weighted EU-27
average
n/a
27.31
31.91
Note: Prices have been converted into ppl using annual average exchange rates.
UK prices are calculated on a different basis to the Defra farmgate price.
Croatia not included due to insufficient data.
Source: DG AGRI-C4, AHDB/DairyCo.
ppl
36
34
32
30
Fi
nl
an
G d
re
S ec
N we e
et d
he en
rla
nd
s
I
De tal
nm y
a
Ire rk
la
Au nd
G stri
er a
m
a
Be ny
Lu lg
xe iu
m m
bo
ur
g
UK
Fr
an
c
Sp e
Po ain
rtu
ga
l
28
38
UK wholesale prices
Cream
SMP*
Mild
Cheddar
2003
2,044
974
1,407
1,985
2012
2,531
1,157
2,017
2,906
2013
3,375
1,588
2,667
3,252
Bulk
Cream
SMP*
Mild
Cheddar
4,000
3,500
/tonne
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
39
EU wholesale prices
Dutch
butter
German
SMP**
(food
quality)
Dutch
whey
powder
German
emmental
2003
2,110
1,405
243
2012
2,432
1,931
745
3,223
2013
3,363
2,638
822
3,579
*Monthly prices have been converted from /tonne using average monthly exchange rates and then
averaged out for the year.
**Skimmed Milk Powder.
Source: Dutch Dairy Board/DIN.
EU wholesale prices
Dutch
butter
German SMP
(food quality)
Dutch
whey powder
German
emmental
4,000
3,500
/tonne
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
40
SMP**
WMP***
Cheddar
cheese
2003
1,060
1,073
1,228
1,453
2012
2,259
1,923
2,180
2,393
2013
2,689
2,612
2,870
2,654
*Monthly prices have been converted from US$/tonne using average monthly exchange rates and
then averaged out for the year.
**Skimmed Milk Powder.
***Whole Milk Powder.
Source: USDA.
SMP
WMP
Cheddar cheese
3,500
/tonne
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Source: USDA.
41
2013/14
WMP*
2,027
3,105
AMF**
2,026
3,158
SMP***
2,032
2,873
SMP
WMP
4,500
4,000
ppl
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1
c
De
13
Au
Ap
Au
De
12
Ap
42
Au
De
11
Ap
c
De
Au
Ap
10
1,500
UK milk utilisation
2012/13
2013/14*
14,339
13,220
13,935
6,761
6,756
6,914
Cheese
3,315
3,618
3,654
2,533
1,142
1,546
Exports
405
466
486
Yogurt
226
272
273
Cream
323
263
295
Butter
261
289
304
Other
380
343
429
134
70
34
*Provisional.
Note: Total milk available = UK milk production + imports.
Milk utilisation includes exports.
Source: Defra.
43
7,848
Cheese
8,548
Butter
1,936
SMP*
1,141
WMP**
616
Condensed milk
1,071
Cream
2,611
44
31,154
18.3
Processor
gross margin
3.3
Processor
selling price
21.7
Retail gross
margin
12.5
Retail price
34.1
2012/13
ppl
28.4
15%
2.6
29.7
60.7
ppl
32.6
9%
31.1
37%
2013/14
3.1
9%
35.7
49%
24.9
41%
60.5
45
Mild Cheddar
processor
gross margin*
Mild Cheddar
retailer
gross margin*
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Ap
r
Ap 00
r
Ap 01
r
Ap 02
r
Ap 03
r
Ap 04
r
Ap 05
r
Ap 06
r
Ap 07
r
Ap 08
r
Ap 09
r
Ap 10
r
Ap 11
r
Ap 12
r
Ap 13
r
14
*The gross margin equals the difference between the selling price and buying price.
**Retailer private label, excludes branded products.
Data for the past 2 years has been revised based on the latest figures and may not exactly match
past reports.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo Cheddar Supply Chain Margins 2014.
46
18.3
Processor
gross margin
4.7
Processor
selling price
23.1
Retail gross
margin
31.9
Retail price
55.0
2012/13
ppl
28.4
21%
5.6
31.5
65.6
ppl
32.6
16%
34.0
58%
2013/14
5.3
14%
37.7
48%
27.1
42%
64.8
47
Mature Cheddar
processor margin*
Mature Cheddar
retailer margin*
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Ap
r
Ap 00
r
Ap 01
r
Ap 02
r
Ap 03
r
Ap 04
r
Ap 05
r
Ap 06
r
Ap 07
r
Ap 08
r
Ap 09
r
Ap 10
r
Ap 11
r
Ap 12
r
Ap 13
r
14
*The gross margin equals the difference between the selling price and buying price.
**Retailer private label, excludes branded products.
Data for the past 2 years has been revised based on the latest figures and may not exactly match
past reports.
Source: AHDB/DairyCo Cheddar Supply Chain Margins 2014.
48
EU market management
measures
Milk Marketing Observatory
The European Milk Market Observatory (MMO) was set up in
April 2014 to strengthen the EU Commissions ability to monitor
the dairy market and assist the industry in adapting to life after
quota. The aim of the MMO is to provide the EU dairy sector
with more transparency by means of disseminating market data
and short-term analysis in a timely manner.
Private Storage Aid
The 2013 Private Storage Aid (PSA) scheme closed in August
with 89,615 tonnes of butter placed into storage, 33% less than
2012 and 15% less than 2011. The PSA scheme for butter is
not currently open although remains available to the EU as a
market management tool.
2013
2012
2011
140,000
120,000
Tonnes
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Source: EU Commission.
49
50
UK quota position
Wales
South East
South West
Quota
1,332
BF Vol
1,280
Diff.
-52
% Diff
-3.9%
Quota
2,104
BF Vol
1,878
Diff.
-226
% Diff
-10.7%
Quota
3,071
BF Vol
2,618
Diff.
-452
% Diff
-14.7%
Quota
3,554
BF Vol
3,080
Diff.
-474
% Diff
-13.3%
Quota
823
BF Vol
657
Diff.
-166
% Diff
-20.1%
Quota
1,710
BF Vol
1,540
Diff.
-170
% Diff
-9.9%
Scotland
North
Midlands
Wales
Midlands
North
Scotland
South
East
South West
Note: These figures are taken from information provided by the RPA which list: Quota (million litres)
by region, Butterfat (BF) adjusted volumes delivered, difference between butterfat adjusted deliveries
and quota in litres and % difference of butterfat adjusted volumes to quota.
Source: RPA.
51
Lower milk production during the 2012/13 milk year will have
reduced stocks of dairy product. Imports of some products will
have increased to meet domestic consumer demand, while
there will have been limited availability of product for export.
Milk production in the latter part of 2013 allowed for increased
dairy product production, with the production volume of all
products increasing on 2012, with the exception of cheese.
However, exports did not necessarily reflect this as some
product will have been used to build up stocks.
Production
Imports
Exports
Domestic
use
14,583
105
399
14,290
2012
13,451
129
466
13,113
2013*
13,546
132
473
13,205
131
118
44
207 (c)
2012
145
104
38
211
2013*
145
105
45
205
351
316
90
577
2012
397
444
126
715
2013*
388
469
125
732
2003
321
114
222
2012
250
31
69
212
2013*
304
22
44
282
2003
216
45
2012
89
2013*
110
52
*Provisional.
173
65 (c)
72
89
86 (c)
67
86
91
(a) Raw milk data is aggregated from surveys run by Defra, RERAD and DARD, on the utilisation of
milk by dairies.
(b) Includes butterfat and oil, dehydrated butter and ghee.
(c) Includes stock changes.
(d) Fresh, frozen and sterilised.
(e) Includes full cream powder, whole milk powder, partially skimmed milk powder and skimmed
milk powder.
Note: Butter and cream includes production from the residual fat of low fat milk products.
Butter, cream and cheese production includes farmhouse manufacture.
Source: Defra, AHDB/DairyCo.
2012
2013*
500
Thousand tonnes
400
300
200
100
rt
ex
po
rs
im
po
de
rs
de
w
ilk
po
M
ilk
M
po
rt
rt
po
rt
ex
po
m
ea
Cr
Cr
ea
im
ex
se
ee
Ch
se
im
po
po
rt
rt
t
or
xp
Ch
ee
re
tte
ri
tte
Bu
Bu
po
rt
*Provisional.
Source: Defra, AHDB/DairyCo.
53
Imports
Exports
Use (a)
32,703
173
32,533
2013 EU-28*
32,700
410
32,295
2014 EU-28**
32,800
480
32,325
2,010
40
161
1,974
2013 EU-28*
2,110
44
128
2,027
2014 EU-28**
2,180
45
140
2,045
9,237
83
676
8,908
2013 EU-28*
9,595
76
788
9,128
2014 EU-28**
9,725
75
780
9,230
2010 EU-27
1,080
379
800
2013 EU-28*
1,190
410
783
2014 EU-28**
1,350
550
780
54
2013*
2014 (f)
60
98
75
S. America
20
22
24
EU-28
154
120
120
New Zealand
487
530
572
390
571
550
S. America
20
16
15
EU-28
379
415
475
New Zealand
475
565
585
10
12
12
S. America
142
202
224
EU-28
445
370
375
1,064
1,365
1,450
New Zealand
55
2010
2013*
2014 (f)
188
321
316
S. America
53
49
53
EU-28
676
800
825
New Zealand
425
460
490
SMP** (b)
WMP***
Cheese (c)
2,500
Thousand tonnes
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2010
*Provisional.
**Skimmed Milk Powder.
***Whole Milk Powder.
(f) forecast.
Source: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service.
56
2013*
2014 (f)
Consumer
UK average household
consumption
The annual average consumption of liquid milk fell by 8.1%
between 2002 and 2012 while yogurt and fromage frais
consumption increased by 19.2%.
Average purchase
(quantity/head/annum)
Unit
2002
2011
2012
85.3
78.3
78.3
Whole milk*
28.9
18.5
15.4
Semi-skimmed milk
47.8
51.1
54.7
8.6
8.7
8.2
8.5
10.4
10.1
Cream
1.0
1.2
1.3
Skimmed milk
Butter
Cheese
Litres
Kg
1.9
2.1
2.1
5.8
6.2
5.9
Expenditure (/head/annum)
2002
2011
2012
43.7
50.5
49.0
Whole milk*
15.0
11.5
9.3
Semi-skimmed milk
24.5
33.3
34.4
Skimmed milk
4.1
5.7
5.3
17.4
25.8
27.1
Cream
2.8
4.2
4.4
Butter
5.7
9.6
10.4
Cheese
30.1
41.8
41.9
*Includes full price whole milk and excludes school & welfare milk, includes UHT (Ultra Heat
Treated).
Note: These figures only measure dairy products consumed in the home. It does not include those
consumed out of the home or as an ingredient, eg cheese in a ready meal.
Source: Defra family food survey, AHDB/DairyCo.
57
2011
2012
60
Litres/head/annum
50
40
30
20
10
0
Whole
milk*
*Includes full price whole milk and excludes school and welfare milk, includes UHT.
Source: Defra family food survey, AHDB/DairyCo.
58
Cream
Consumer
In the year ending April 2014, the average price of liquid milk
increased by 0.4% compared to the previous 52-week period.
The average price for doorstep milk increased by 9.0% year-onyear.
ppl for 52-week period ending
Apr-13
Apr-14
% change
Total
61.6
61.8
0.4
Retail
59.3
59.4
0.3
Doorstep
119.3
130.0
9.0
Total retail
Doorstep
140
ppl
120
100
80
60
Au 12
g
1
O 2
ct
1
De 2
c
1
Fe 2
b
1
Ap 3
r
1
Ju 3
n
Au 13
g
1
O 3
ct
1
De 3
c
1
Fe 3
b
1
Ap 4
r
14
Ju
Ap
12
40
59
Consumer
52-w/e Apr-14
898.0
858.2
Expenditure ( million)
666.0
666.4
74.0
78.0
52-w/e Apr-14
4,110.7
4,256.2
Expenditure ( million)
2,302.8
2,373.8
56.0
56.0
52-w/e Apr-14
202.1
179.1
Expenditure ( million)
241.4
233.0
119.0
130.0
Note: Branded and Private Label liquid milk is based on Kantar definition.
*The majority (99.96%) of other milk is doorstep delivered milk.
Source: Kantar Worldpanel.
60
Consumer
Apr-14
% Change
5,210.7
5,293.5
1.6%
Expenditure ( million)
3,210.2
3,273.1
2.0%
% market share
(volume)
Retail
96.1%
96.6%
Doorstep
3.9%
3.4%
Million litres
5,300
5,200
5,100
5,000
ay
Au 1
g 0
N 10
ov
Fe 10
b
M 11
ay
Au 1
g 1
N 11
ov
Fe 11
b
M 12
ay
Au 1
g 2
N 12
ov
Fe 12
b
M 13
ay
Au 1
g 3
N 13
ov
Fe 13
b
1
4
4,900
61
Consumer
Pasteurised milk
Apr-14
Whole milk
22.6%
22.2%
Semi-skimmed
61.7%
61.8%
5.4%
5.5%
Skimmed
Total (million litres)
10.3%
10.5%
4,448.7
4,584.7
62
Consumer
Apr-14
% Change
134.5
140.8
4.7%
Expenditure ( million)
112.4
121.4
7.9%
83.6
86.2
3.1%
Apr-14
% Change
326.2
290.2
-11.0%
Expenditure ( million)
252.2
236.9
-6.1%
77.3
81.6
5.6%
63
Consumer
Apr-14
% Change
4.1
3.9
-4.3%
Expenditure ( million)
5.4
5.3
-1.6%
130.8
134.5
2.8%
Apr-14
% Change
304.4
280.5
-7.9%
Expenditure ( million)
193.2
187.7
-2.8%
63.5
66.9
5.5%
64
Consumer
Milk purchases by
container type
Nearly half of milk purchased by consumers in GB was in a
4-pint container in the year ending April 2014.
Milk volume
(million litres)
% share
1 litre
453.1
8.6%
1 pint
303.7
5.7%
2 litre
820.0
15.5%
Container size
2 pint
517.5
9.8%
4 pint
2,641.6
49.9%
6 pint
451.0
8.5%
Other
110.2
2.1%
Total
5,297.1
100.0%
6 pint
Other 1 litre
1 pint
2 litre
4 pint
2 pint
65
Consumer
Cheese market
May-13
May-14
408,703
415,834
417,263
Expenditure (million)
2,626
2,703
2,788
6.43
6.50
6.68
Volume (tonnes)
Total Cheddar
May-13
May-14
225,739
228,273
227,058
Hard continental
16,986
18,893
18,848
Soft continental
25,962
26,977
30,438
32,664
32,329
30,002
Processed
40,609
40,182
39,096
66
May-12
Thousand tonnes
420
400
380
360
340
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Territorials
ex. blue
Processed
2013
2014
250
Thousand tonnes
200
150
100
50
0
Total
Cheddar
Hard
Soft
continental continental
May-13
May-14
Cheddar
6.37
6.44
6.58
Hard continental
9.18
8.86
9.42
Soft continental
6.38
6.29
6.55
Territorials ex.Blue
6.79
6.70
6.95
Processed
6.51
6.66
6.87
67
Consumer
Cheddar market
May-13
May-14
Mild
39,014
35,826
36,694
Medium
16,244
16,739
7,167
Mature
109,043
106,457
111,833
39,981
44,390
40,900
Vintage
5,015
5,642
4,916
Farmhouse
5,379
4,781
3,665
11,062
14,438
11,882
Total Cheddar
225,739
228,273
227,058
Extra mature
68
2013
2014
120
Thousand tonnes
100
80
60
40
20
vo
u
fla
ho
ll
rm
O
th
er
an
fu
Fa
Ex
t
e
us
ge
ta
ur
ra
at
M
at
Vi
n
e
ur
m
iu
M
ed
M
ild
May-13
May-14
Mild
5.64
5.76
5.81
Medium
6.47
6.37
6.46
Mature
6.41
6.47
6.58
Extra mature
6.70
6.83
7.06
Vintage
7.52
7.73
8.49
Farmhouse
6.64
7.01
7.85
6.65
6.10
6.35
Total Cheddar
6.37
6.44
6.58
69
Consumer
EU butter consumption
2011
2012
EU-27
3.6
3.6
3.7
Denmark
1.8
1.8
1.8
Germany
6.2
6.1
6.2
France
7.5
7.6
7.4
Ireland
2.4
2.4
2.4
Italy
2.4
2.3
2.3
Netherlands
3.3
3.3
3.3
Poland
4.3
4.2
4.1
Spain
0.5
0.5
0.6
UK
2.8
3.1
3.4
Sweden
1.5
1.7
1.8
70
Consumer
2011
2012
EU-27
63.0
62.4
62.2
Denmark
87.8
85.9
87.4
Germany
53.4
53.1
53.4
France
57.3
52.8
52.7
Ireland
139.0
135.9
135.9
Italy
52.6
54.3
52.8
Netherlands
50.5
47.6
47.6
Poland
42.7
41.2
41.0
Spain
81.7
81.7
80.8
UK
100.6
104.3
103.1
Sweden
100.4
89.2
89.4
71
Consumer
EU cheese consumption
2012
EU-27
16.8
17.3
17.2
Denmark
16.4
16.6
16.4
Germany
22.2
24.2
24.3
France
26.9
26.3
26.2
Ireland
6.0
6.7
6.7
Italy
20.6
21.8
20.9
Netherlands
19.3
19.4
19.4
Poland
10.7
11.4
11.4
Spain
7.6
9.5
9.3
UK
11.8
11.0
11.2
Sweden
18.4
19.0
19.7
72
2011
Useful information
Conversion tables
Converting volumes/weights
1 litre
1 pint
= 20 fluid ounces
= 0.56825 litres
1 kg
= 35.2740 ounces
= 2.20462 pounds
1 tonne
= 1,000 kg
= 2,204.62 pounds
= 0.98421 long ton
= 1.02969 kg
1 kg of whole milk
= 0.97116 litres
Note: Due to rounding, there may be instances where individual figures differ slightly from the total
given.
73
Useful information
UK dairy industry
organisations
DairyCo
Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board
Stoneleigh Park
Kenilworth
Warwickshire
CV8 2TL
T: 024 7669 2051
email: info@dairyco.ahdb.org.uk
web: dairyco.org.uk
Dairy UK
93 Baker Street
London
W1U 6QQ
T: 020 7486 7244
F: 020 7487 4734
email: info@dairyuk.org
web: dairyuk.org
74
75
Useful information
76
77
Useful information
About DairyCo
78
The Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) operating through its DairyCo
division, seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time
of printing. No warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law,
the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury
howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation
to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document
Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board 2014. All rights reserved. No part of this
publication may be reproduced in any material form (including by photocopy or storage in any
medium by electronic means) or any copy or adaptation stored, published or distributed (by
physical, electronic or other means) without the prior permission in writing of the Agriculture and
Horticulture Development Board, other than by reproduction in an unmodified form for the sole
purpose of use as information resource when the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board
(Or DairyCo) is clearly acknowledged as the source, or in accordance with the provisions of the
Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved.
AHDB (logo) is a registered trademark of the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board.
79