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Summary
Background Artemetherlumefantrine is the most widely used artemisinin-based combination therapy for malaria,
although treatment failures occur in some regions. We investigated the eect of dosing strategy on ecacy in a
pooled analysis from trials done in a wide range of malaria-endemic settings.
Methods We searched PubMed for clinical trials that enrolled and treated patients with artemetherlumefantrine
and were published from 1960 to December, 2012. We merged individual patient data from these trials by use of
standardised methods. The primary endpoint was the PCR-adjusted risk of Plasmodium falciparum recrudescence
by day 28. Secondary endpoints consisted of the PCR-adjusted risk of P falciparum recurrence by day 42, PCRunadjusted risk of P falciparum recurrence by day 42, early parasite clearance, and gametocyte carriage. Risk
factors for PCR-adjusted recrudescence were identied using Coxs regression model with frailty shared across the
study sites.
Findings We included 61 studies done between January, 1998, and December, 2012, and included 14 327 patients in
our analyses. The PCR-adjusted therapeutic ecacy was 976% (95% CI 974979) at day 28 and 960% (956965)
at day 42. After controlling for age and parasitaemia, patients prescribed a higher dose of artemether had a lower risk
of having parasitaemia on day 1 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 092, 95% CI 086099 for every 1 mg/kg increase in
daily artemether dose; p=0024), but not on day 2 (p=069) or day 3 (0087). In Asia, children weighing 1015 kg
who received a total lumefantrine dose less than 60 mg/kg had the lowest PCR-adjusted ecacy (917%, 95% CI
865969). In Africa, the risk of treatment failure was greatest in malnourished children aged 13 years (PCRadjusted ecacy 943%, 95% CI 923963). A higher artemether dose was associated with a lower gametocyte
presence within 14 days of treatment (adjusted OR 092, 95% CI 085099; p=0037 for every 1 mg/kg increase in
total artemether dose).
Interpretation The recommended dose of artemetherlumefantrine provides reliable ecacy in most patients with
uncomplicated malaria. However, therapeutic ecacy was lowest in young children from Asia and young underweight
children from Africa; a higher dose regimen should be assessed in these groups.
Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Introduction
Artemisinin-based combination therapies are the rstline treatment for uncomplicated Plasmodium falciparum
malaria in most malaria-endemic countries,1 and they
have been advocated to counter the threat of antimalarial
drug resistance by delaying its emergence and spread.2
As such, artemisinin-based combination therapies are a
key component of malaria elimination eorts.3
The combination of artemether and lumefantrine was
originally introduced as a four-dose regimen that proved
to be ecacious in studies done in China,4 Africa,5
and India;6 however, after detailed pharmacokinetic
pharmacodynamic assessment,7 the regimen was revised
to comprise six doses, which was safe and eective even
against multidrug-resistant parasites.810 In 2011, the sixdose regimen of artemetherlumefantrine (Coartem,
Novartis, Basel, Switzerland) was the rst artemisininbased combination therapy to be prequalied by WHO.11
It is now registered in 86 countries and accounts for
Articles
Methods
Procedures
Outcomes
The primary endpoint was the PCR-adjusted risk of
P falciparum recrudescence by day 28. Secondary
endpoints consisted of the PCR-adjusted risk of
P falciparum recurrence by day 42, PCR-unadjusted risk
www.thelancet.com/infection Published online March 16, 2015 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70024-1
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Statistical analysis
We did all statistical analyses using R (version 2.14.0), on
the basis of an a-priori statistical plan.19 We computed the
Study period
Asia (n=2359)
South America
(n=159)*
19982010
200212
200708
19982012
Sex
Female
Male
929 (39%)
5538 (47%)
63 (40%)
6530 (46%)
1430 (61%)
5973 (51%)
96 (60%)
7499 (52%)
Age, years
Median (range)
160 (05800)
<1
6 (<1%)
35 (00770)
809 (7%)
230 (120560)
0
40 (00800)
815 (6%)
1 to <5
373 (16%)
6960 (59%)
7333 (51%)
5 to <12
503 (21%)
2477 (21%)
2980 (21%)
1477 (63%)
1563 (13%)
12
159 (100%)
3199 (22%)
Weight, kg
Median (range)
410 (60880)
5 to <10
61 (3%)
137 (501020)
2013 (17%)
640 (3001100)
0
150 (501100)
2074 (14%)
10 to <15
334 (14%)
4623 (39%)
4957 (35%)
15 to <25
404 (17%)
2992 (25%)
3396 (24%)
25 to <35
206 (9%)
753 (6%)
4 (3%)
963 (7%)
35 to <70
1341 (57%)
1278 (11%)
105 (66%)
2724 (19%)
13 (1%)
150 (1%)
50 (31%)
213 (1%)
159 (100%)
70
Treatment supervision
Full
1824 (77%)
9086 (77%)
Partial
373 (16%)
1563 (13%)
11 069 (77%)
1936 (14%)
Unsupervised
162 (7%)
1160 (10%)
1322 (9%)
656 (28%)
5635 (48%)
Treatment coadministration
With fatty meal
Without fatty meal
159 (100%)
6450 (45%)
1191 (10%)
1191 (8%)
820 (35%)
1326 (11%)
2146 (15%)
Not stated
883 (37%)
3657 (31%)
4540 (32%)
2359 (100%)
11 126 (94%)
Drug tradename
Coartem (Novartis)
159 (100%)
13 644 (95%)
431 (4%)
431 (3%)
134 (1%)
134 (1%)
118 (1%)
118 (1%)
226 (10%)
134 (6%)
Haemoglobin, g/L
114 (258)
600/2179 (28%)
4030/8287 (49%)
Gametocytes present
128/1118 (11%)
541/7850 (7%)
1199/2195 (55%)
173/471 (37%)
1131 (10%)
0
101 (212)
103 (65%)
1352/7825 (17%)
NR
1525/8296 (18%)
Data are number (%), median (IQR), or mean (SD), unless otherwise specied. Some percentages do not add up to 100 because of rounding. NR=not reported. *Data from
one study done in Colombia. Data were not available for 298 patients from Africa. Patients with only morning daily doses supervised and evening doses taken at home
with no supervision were classied as partly supervised. Patients were classied as unsupervised if all six doses were unobserved or if the rst dose was observed at the clinic
with remaining ve doses unobserved. Dened using a weight-for-age score <2 in children <5 years of age. Scores outside the range 6 to 6 were treated as outliers.
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14 327
Range
Range
686 (576800)
2621440
114 (96133)
44240
815
900 (8181029)
40144
150 (136171)
6724
1 to <5
7333
686 (600800)
379144
114 (10133)
6324
5 to <12
2980
738 (655831)
32120
123 (109138)
12
3199
576 (497655)
262919
5 to <10
2074
857 (800947)
10 to <15
4957
15 to <25
25 to <35
35 to <70
5320
96 (83109)
44153
3791440
143 (133158)
63240
600 (554673)
4291007
100 (92112)
71168
3396
800 (720900)
3961050
133 (120150)
66175
963
745 (684831)
424969
124 (114138)
71162
2724
570 (505640)
309823
95 (84107)
51137
213
384 (360406)
262411
64 (6068)
4469
2359
613 (554720)
3091200
102 (92120)
51200
11 809
713 (600809)
2821440
119 (100135)
47240
159
450 (406533)
262823
75 (6889)
44137
Artrin
118
748 (60900)
5141200
125 (10150)
Co-artesiane
134
711 (694748)
607792
118 (116125)
14 075
684 (576800)
2621440
114 (96133)
Weight category, kg
70
Results
Region
Asia
Africa
South America
Drug tradename
Coartem
86200
101132
44240
Total N (n)*
Adjusted OR (95%CI)
Total N (n)*
Adjusted OR (95%CI)
p value
Baseline parasitaemia,
parasites per L every tentimes increase
9208 (5534)
339 (309373)
<00001
12 055 (910)
228 (197264)
p value
<00001
12 829 (96)
185 (123278)
0003
9208 (5534)
092 (086099)
0024
12 055 (910)
096 (087107)
069
12 829 (96)
076 (056104)
0087
2205 (1155)
<1
474 (286)
Reference
170 (121239)
0002
2541 (206)
734 (57)
1 to <5
4641 (2993)
182 (147226)
<00001
6256 (493)
5 to <12
1888 (1100)
138 (114167)
0001
2524 (154)
Reference
2860 (14)
014
751 (7)
418 (1161509)
138 (1189)
0050
6500 (50)
217 (088535)
0094
111 (083149)
0483
2718 (25)
308 (133715)
0009
143 (08923)
Reference
0029
Region
Africa
7194 (4335)
Asia
2014 (1199)
South America
NT
Reference
716 (149344)
NT
0014
NT
9976 (677)
Reference
10 766 (64)
Reference
1923 (183)
440 (1191627)
0026
1904 (29)
435 (0981935)
0054
156 (50)
4036 (122133669)
0038
159 (3)
1941 (05272738)
0108
OR=odds ratio. NT=measurements not taken. *Number of patients (number with positive parasitaemia). For every mg/kg increase in total daily artemether dose.
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Total N (n)*
Univariable analyses
Crude HR (95% CI)
p value
Multivariable analyses
PAR calculations
Frequency
p value
PAR
14 139 (304)
096 (094099)
0001
14 139 (304)
098 (097099)
0001
14 139 (304)
098 (095102)
0380
098 (094102)
0380
2746%
630%
14 139 (304)
147 (12181)
00002
141 (115174)
00012
951%
401%
13 024 (290)
109 (085141)
0500
10 303 (221)
095 (088101)
0100
10 303 (221)
124 (093165)
0150
9008 (198)
101 (062165)
0970
Gametocytes present
Sex
Female
6448 (143)
Male
7393 (156)
Reference
095 (076120)
0690
3160 (34)
<1
809 (21)
Reference
173 (092329)
0091
178 (089355)
1 to <5
7231 (204)
217 (135347)
0001
200 (123323)
5 to <12
2939 (45)
133 (081218)
0260
127 (076212)
0100
572%
476%
0005
5114%
3792%
0360
2079%
796%
Transmission setting
Low
3432 (60)
High
5336 (160)
Reference
175 (092333)
0086
Moderate
5371 (84)
113 (058223)
0720
Region
Africa
Asia
South America
11 674 (260)
2306 (43)
Reference
081 (034190)
0630
159 (1)
025 (002416)
0330
Treatment supervision
Partial
Full
10 929 (232)
1909 (51)
Reference
140 (076259)
0280
Unsupervised
1301 (21)
131 (052328)
0570
6346 (142)
1181 (23)
Reference
095 (034267)
0920
2120 (39)
098 (040241)
0960
9473 (231)
Tablet counts
4666 (73)
Reference
073 (043124)
0250
Drug tradename
Coartem
Generic artemetherlumefantrine
13 891 (296)
248 (8)
Reference
112 (042299)
0820
HR=hazard ratio. PAR=population-attributable risk. *Number of patients (number with recrudescence by day 28). The assumption of proportional hazard held for the model (p=047
for global test) and for all the individual covariates in the multivariable model (p>005). The variance of random eect was 095. The likelihood ratio test was not signicant for
bodyweight (p=019), haemoglobin (p=029), and transmission (p=053) in the presence of mg/kg dose, parasitaemia, and age category; thus, these were dropped from the
multivariable analysis. Overall PAR for model: 511%. Cumulative PAR for parasitaemia >100 000 parasites per L and age 1 to <5 years: 404%. The proportion of patients with the risk
factor. Continuous covariates were categorised as follows: baseline parasitaemia at 100 000 parasites per L and mg/kg lumefantrine dose at 60 mg/kg (lower bound of WHO
therapeutic range). The adjusted HR used for estimating the PARs (obtained from the categorised model) were 144 for baseline parasitaemia, 124 for lumefantrine dose <60 mg/kg,
187 for age <1 year, 219 for age 15 years, and 142 for age 512 years.
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14
12
p=0033
10
p=012
1 to <2
2 to <3
3 to <4
Age group (years)
4 to <5
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Africa*
Total N (n)
Asia*
Adjusted HR (95% CI)
p value
Frequency
PAR
Total N (n)
p value
Frequency
PAR
11 547 (255)
120 (085168)
030
241%
45%
2300 (43)
273 (140532)
0003
410%
415%
Baseline parasitaemia,
>100 000 parasites per L
11 547 (255)
144 (09921)
0054
96%
41%
2300 (43)
176 (078397)
018
98%
69%
17%
47%
82%
Age category, kg
12, reference
1450 (23)
<1
1551 (10)
803 (21)
220 (094517)
0071
70%
77%
1 to <3 UWA
641 (31)
405 (178918)
0001
56%
145%
38 (2)
397 (0871816)
0075
2986 (84)
252 (119534)
0016
259%
282%
87 (3)
338 (0921243)
0067
38%
3 to <5
3113 (73)
218 (104456)
0038
270%
242%
239 (6)
173 (066451)
027
104%
70%
5 to <12
2453 (36)
167 (077359)
019
212%
124%
486 (9)
150 (065346)
034
211%
96%
HR=hazard ratio. PAR=population-attributable risk. UWA=underweight for age. *The assumption of proportional hazards was met for each model (p=054 for Africa and p=018 for Asia by the Schoenfelds test).
The overall PAR was 665% for Africa and 599% for Asia. Number of patients (number with recrudescence by day 28). Adjusted HRs were 131 (95% CI 103166) and 22 (137354) for every increase of ten
times. Only six patients aged <1 year in Asia had no PCR-conrmed failure. HR could not be estimated for this group.
Table 5: Multivariable models for risk for recrudescence in patients from Africa and Asia by day 28
Africa
15
14
13
Predicted risk of recrudescence by day 28 (%)
12
Asia
40 mg/kg
50 mg/kg
55 mg/kg
60 mg/kg
70 mg/kg
80 mg/kg
90 mg/kg
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
10
100
1000
10 000
100 000
Baseline parasitaemia (parasites per L)
1 000 000
10
100
1000
10 000
100 000
1 000 000
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Discussion
This pooled analysis of individual patient data comprises
more than half of all clinical trials that have been published
on the six-dose artemetherlumefantrine treatment
regimen. Our ndings conrm that artemetherlumefantrine treatment is an ecacious antimalarial regimen,
resulting in a rapid therapeutic response. In more than
90% of patients, fever was resolved and peripheral
parasitaemia was cleared within 48 h. Overall, the
therapeutic ecacy of artemetherlumefantrine was
976% on day 28 and 960% on day 42, with only a slight
eect of the total dose on these parameters. Patients who
received a lower daily dose of artemether had an increased
risk of parasitaemia on day 1 (8% for each 1 mg/kg decrease
in daily artemether dose) and an increased risk of
gametocyte carriage within 14 days (8% for each 1 mg/kg
decrease in total artemether dose). Although high
treatment ecacy was achieved in all age and weight
categories, there were important regional dierences.
Patients from Asia had a slower initial therapeutic response
compared with patients from Africa and a greater risk of
recrudescence. The dose of artemetherlumefantrine was
an independent predictor of recrudescence in Asia but not
Africa. These regional dierences could represent either
lower host immunity, in what are mostly low-transmission
settings, or reduced parasite susceptibility to lumefantrine
and artemether in the P falciparum parasites circulating in
the Greater Mekong region.23,24 Our analysis shows that
patients receiving less than 60 mg/kg of lumefantrine
accounted for almost 42% of treatment failures in Asia, the
eect being most noticeable in young children. Ensuring a
lumefantrine dose above 60 mg/kg would achieve greater
than 95% cure in all patients, provided they presented with
a parasitaemia less than 267 000 parasites per L.
Since there was a signicant interaction between
regions and both lumefantrine dose and baseline
parasitaemia, we generated separate models for Asia and
Africa. In Africa, the risk of recrudescence was greatest
in young children, especially those who were underweight
for their age. The higher ecacy in older children and
adults in Africa is probably a result of previous and
repeated exposure to malaria, associated with the
8
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10
KH, SIH, EMH, JH, DJ, EJ, PSK, PAK, EK, MRK, CK, HAK, MKh, FK,
P-EK, MKo, IML, SJL, BL, AL, EMM, KM, AMar, AMas, MMa, RMG,
HM, CMe, PFM, MMe, IM, CNa, MN, J-LN, PNN, BEN, FNi, FNo, MO,
BRO, PO, SAO, J-BO, LKP, MP, JP, LP, PP, ZP, RNP, LR, PJR, IS,
A-SE, PS, HDFHS, BS, SAS, FS, DS, SGS, CJS, KSy, AOT, JT, ET,
RCKT, HT, OAT, JU, IVdB, MVV, SAW, NJW, PAW, WY, AY, and IZ did
the experiments. PDa, PJG, CMo, CNs, RNP, and KSt analysed the
pooled individual patient data. JAF, PWG, SIH, and LJW contributed
reagents, materials, or analysis instruments. PDa, PJG, CNs, and RNP
wrote the rst draft of the manuscript. All study group members
contributed to the writing of the manuscript. SA, JA, IA, GOA, BHA,
PA, NMA, EA, EAA, MSB, KIB, QB, EB, AB, SB, TB, HB, VIC, FC,
MC, UDA, TMED, PDe, AAD, AMD, GD, OKD, CJD, SD, EE, AMF,
COF, J-FF, BFa, OF, SF, JAF, BFo, NBG, OG, BGe, PWG, JPGi, RG,
BryGr, BriGr, AG, PJG, J-PGu, KH, SIH, EMH, JH, DJ, EJ, PSK, PAK,
EK, MRK, CK, HAK, MKh, FK, P-EK, MKo, IML, SJL, BL, AL, EMM,
KM, AMar, AMas, MMa, RMG, HM, CMe, PFM, MMe, IM, CNa, MN,
J-LN, PNN, BEN, FNi, FNo, AO, MO, BRO, PO, SAO, JBO, LKP, MP,
JP, LP, PP, ZP, RNP, LR, PJR, IS, AS-E, PS, HDFHS, BS, SAS, FS, DS,
SGS, CJS, KSy, AOT, JT, ET, RCKT, HT, OAT, JU, IVdB, MVV, SAW,
NJW, PAW, WY, AY, and IZ enrolled patients.
Declaration of interests
PA is an employee of Novartis Pharma, Basel, Switzerland. SD is an
employee of Medicines for Malaria Venture, Geneva, Switzerland. KH is
an employee of Novartis Pharmaceuticals, East Hanover, NJ, USA. KIB,
ET, and NJW are members of the WHO Technical Expert Group on
Malaria Chemotherapy. QB and UDA have received speaker fees and
travel grants from Novartis. All other members of the study group
declare no competing interests.
Acknowledgments
We thank the patients and all the sta who participated in these clinical
trials at all the sites and the WWARN team for technical and
administrative support.
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