Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
Techniques
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Techniques
If such exposure arises, then firms use some documents for reducing these
exposures through banks like:
Letter of Credit
Draft
Bill of Exchange
Pre-Shipment Credit
Post-Shipment Credit
Medium-term Credit
Credit under duty draw-back scheme
Factoring
Forfeiting
Sub Objectives:
1. What are the techniques available to reduce the exposure involved in foreign
market?
2. What are the procedures for forecasting the future currency rates?
3. What are the procedures, banks are following in foreign currency market?
4. What are the practical issues used in Banks and in firms i.e., who are actual
traders?
5. What traders are expecting from banks, other than their regular Forex trading?
6. What restrictions are involved in foreign currency market by government or
other concerns?
Data Collection for the Study:
Primary Data:
Questionnaire
Bank Officials in the Forex Department
Secondary Data:
Internet
Newspaper
Magazine
To provide the guidelines/help lines to traders through the banks for avoiding
and minimizing the exposure.
"The government is concerned over the rapid appreciation of the rupee against the US
dollar and the central bank may have to intervene if there is disorderly movement in the
exchange rate."3
- P Chidambaram, Finance Minister of India, in September, 2007
"The objective of the exchange rate management has been to ensure that the external
value of the rupee is realistic and credible as evidenced by a sustainable current account
deficit and manageable foreign exchange situation. Subject to this predominant objective,
the exchange rate policy is guided by the need to reduce excess volatility, prevent the
emergence of destabilizing speculation activities, help maintain adequate level of
reserves, and develop an orderly foreign exchange market."4
- RBI's Policy in the Foreign Exchange Market
"I expect the rupee to appreciate vis-a-vis the dollar through 2008. However, the
appreciation will be gradual and perhaps, not as rapid as it has been in the last few
months," ABN AMRO Bank's newly-appointed India chief Meera H Sanyal told media
here on Thursday.
IN 1975, about 80% of foreign exchange transactions (where one national currency is
exchanged for another) were to conduct business in the real economy. For instance,
currencies change hands to import oil, export cars, buy corporations, invest in portfolios,
Foreign Exchange Exposure
"A good bank is not only the financial heart of the community, but also one with
an obligation of helping in every possible manner to improve the economic
conditions of the common people" - A. Subba Rao Pai.
Founding Principles
1.
2.
3.
4.
Sound founding principles, enlightened leadership, unique work culture and remarkable
adaptability to changing banking environment have enabled Canara Bank to be a
frontline banking institution of global standards.
Vision
To emerge as a Best Practices Bank by pursuing global benchmarks in profitability,
operational efficiency, asset quality, risk management and expanding the global reach.
Mission
To provide quality-banking services with enhanced customer orientation, higher value
creation for stakeholders and to continue as a responsive corporate social citizen by
effectively blending commercial pursuits with social banking.
BRAND STORY
The new brand identity for Canara Bank is based on the idea of a bond and is a
representation of the close ties between the Bank and its many stakeholders from
customers and employees to investors, institutions and society at large. With its rich
heritage of banking expertise, dedicated customer service and corporate social
responsibility, Canara Bank is a powerful enabler who helps its stakeholders achieve
their goals. The two seamlessly connected links capture the essence of this
partnership.
Canara Bank has more than 45,800 employees and serves over 31 million customers
through a network of over 2600 branches spread across the country. The simple,
memorable symbol can be easily recalled and decoded by all of the Banks diverse
audiences.
The colour palette and typography have been carefully chosen. The rich blue
represents stability, scale and depth. This contrasts with accents of bright yellow
that evoke optimism, warmth and energy. The Canara Bank logotype has been
hand-crafted. Its classic, serif letterforms communicate heritage and stature.
Canara Hindu Permanent Fund Ltd. formally registered with a capital of 2000
shares of Rs.50/- each, with 4 employees.
1910
1969
1976
1983
1984
1985
1987
1989
1989-90
1992-93
Became the first Bank to articulate and adopt the directive principles of
Good Banking.
1995-96
Became the first Bank to be conferred with ISO 9002 certification for one of
its branches in Bangalore
2001-02
Opened a 'Mahila Banking Branch', first of its kind at Bangalore, for catering
exclusively to the financial requirements of women clientele.
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
As at march 2007 the total business of the bank was over Rs.2,40,000 crores.
Foreign Exchange Exposure
Canara Bank was awarded the "First National Award" instituted by the Ministry of
Micro, Small & Medium Enterprises, Govt. of India for excellence in "Micro &
Small Enterprises (MSE) Lending" for 2006-07.
Adjudged the 'Best Public Sector Bank' in India under the 'Best Banks Survey'
conducted by 'Financial Express-Ernst and Young' for 2005-06.
Conferred with 'Employer Branding Awards 2007' by Indiatimes Mindscape and
ITM Business School, for excellence in human resources. Canara Bank was the
first Public sector Bank to bag this award.
Won the maiden award of 'Best Performing Bank' under solar water heater finance
for the year 2005-06, instituted by the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy,
Govt. of India.
Received Niryat Bandhu Gold Trophy for outstanding performance under
export finance.
CHAIRMAN'S MESSAGE
As a premier commercial bank in India, Canara Bank's track record in the service of the
nation for over 100 years is both striking and impressive. Today, Canara Bank has a
strong pan India presence with over 2600 branches and 1500 ATMs, catering to all
segments of an ever growing clientele base of exceeding 31 million. Canara Bank is
recognized as a leading financial conglomerate in India, with as many as nine
subsidiaries/sponsored institutions/joint ventures in India and abroad. As the Bank steps
into the second century, it aspires to emerge as a Global Bank with Best Practices in its
endeavour to become a 'Speciality Financial Supermarket'.
Introduction to Topic
Foreign Exchange Exposure
10
USD/JPY = 119.50
This is referred to as a currency pair. The currency to the left of the slash is the base
currency, while the currency on the right is called the quote or counter currency. The base
currency (in this case, the U.S. dollar) is always equal to one unit (in this case, US$1),
and the quoted currency (in this case, the Japanese yen) is what that one base unit is
equivalent to in the other currency. The quote means that US$1 = 119.50 Japanese yen. In
other words, US$1 can buy 119.50 Japanese yen.
11
12
13
Quote/Counter
Currency
Bid Price
1.2232
Ask Price
1.2237
Pip
Spread
14
15
16
17
18
Technical analysis
A method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity,
such as past prices and volume. Technical analyst does not attempt to measure a
securitys intrinsic value, but instead use charts to identify patterns that can suggest future
activity. Technical analysts believe that the historical performance of stocks and markets
are indications of future performance.
Technical analysis has become increasingly popular over the past several years, as more
and more people believe that the historical performance of a stock is a strong indication
of future performance. People using fundamental analysis have always looked at the past
performance of companies by comparing fiscal data from previous quarters and years to
determine future growth. The deference lies in the technical analysts beliefs that
securities move according to very predictable trends and patterns. These trends continue
until something happens to change the trend, and until this change occurs, price levels are
predictable.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Identification of the current trend i.e. the direction of price movement and
spotting any trend reversal as early as possible.
Historical price and volume data analyzed with the help of charts.
For currencies, shares and commodities traded on exchanges, such data is usually
available but in the case of interbank currency market, volume data is not
available and the analyst makes use of different indicators, which are derived
from the price data. Many of these indicators have become so popular that they
are used extensively even for financial assets and instruments traded on
exchanges.
19
More reliable in case of broad and very liquid markets than thin and shallow
markets.
Helps to judge the emotional state of the market. The market has its own
collective consciousness distinct from the individual consciousness of the
participants.
Fundamental analysis is concerned with all the fundamental factors. In the case of
an exchange rate, the concerned factors are the present and expected interest rates,
inflation rates, GDP growth rates, international trade and current account balance,
exchange rate policies of the two countries in question, state of capital markets,
etc. After analysis of all these factors, the fundamental analyst attempts to
ascertain whether a currency is undervalued or overvalued and consequently
whether it is likely to appreciate or depreciate.
Technical analysis, on the other hand, assumes that the price at any given time is
the result of not only the fundamental factors but also the markets collective
response to all the factors. At the extreme, technical analysts dont even want to
read newspapers lest the popular news bias their chart analysis! For the same
reasons. some even dont want to know the identity of the underlying asset!!
Often, economists focus on certain fundamentals and prescribe how the market
ought to behave when the market behaviour is linked to some other factors. A
classic example is the euros persistent decline since its launch. The market is
labelled as crazy when it doesnt behave in the prescribed manner. However, those
who are exposed to risk cant afford to go against the market even if they think it
is crazy. Hence, the importance of technical analysis or proper understanding of
market psychology.
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History repeats itself - This assumption arises from the fact that mass
psychology does not change. Markets overextend because of the herd
instinct leading to panic and euphoria time and again.
Supports- A price level below the current market price, at which buying interest should
be able to overcome selling pressure and thus keep the price from going any lower.
Resistance - A price level above the current market price, at which selling pressure
should be strong enough to overcome buying pressure and thus keep the price from going
any higher.
Concepts of trend
Trend is nothing but the direction of movement of price. Logically the share price can
ether be rising or falling or moving narrowly (flat). Thus there are three directions in
which the price can move these three directions give rise to the three types of trend when
prices are moving upwards, the trend is said to be rising. When prices are moving
downwards it is called a falling trend. And when prices are moving in a narrow range,
the trend can be said to be flat or choppy. Thus, the trend itself has three directions.
Upward Trend
If the market makes a high and then comes down and after that cuts the previous high
makes a new high, it means that the market is in an uptrend and it is making a higher
bottom higher top.
Downward Trend
Foreign Exchange Exposure
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Trend line
Trend lines are straight lines drawn by connecting either the tops or bottoms. To draw a
straight line, one requires two points. Similarly to draw trend lines, one requires at least
tow tops or bottoms. This however, does not mean that there cannot be more than tow
tops or bottoms that can be connected to draw a trend line, infect the more the number of
tops or bottoms that are touched or connected by the trend line, the better or more
powerful the trend line.
Trend lines are the simplest, yet the most effective way of riding the trend. Just as trend
has three directions rising, falling and flat, there are three types of trend lines to represent
each of the directions of trend
Up ward trend line
An uptrend line has a positive slope and is formed by connecting two or more low points.
The second low must be higher than the first for the line to have a positive slope. Uptrend
line act as support and indicate that net-demand (demand less supply) is increasing even
as the price rises. A rising price combined with increasing demand is bullish.
Moving Averages
Moving averages are one of the most popular and easy to use tools available to the
technical analyst. They smooth a data series and make it easier to spot trends, something
Foreign Exchange Exposure
22
23
There are many uses for moving averages, but three basic uses stand out:
1. Trend identification/confirmation
2. Support and Resistance level identification/confirmation
3. Trading Systems
24
waves one, three and five represent the 'impulse', or minor up-wave in a major bull move.
Waves two and four represent the 'corrective,' or minor down-waves in the major bull
move. The waves lettered A and C represents the minor down-wave in a major bear
move, while B represents the one up-wave in a minor bear wave Elliott proposed that the
waves existed at many levels, meaning there could be waves within waves. To clarify,
this means that the chart above not only represents the primary wave pattern, but it could
also represent what occurs just between points 2 and 4.
Elliott wave theory ascribes names to the waves in order of descending size:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
Grand Supercycle
Supercycle
Cycle
Primary
Intermediate
Minor
Minute
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Minuette
Sub-Minuette
The major waves determine the major trend of the market, and minor waves determine
minor trends. This is similar to the Dow theory postulates primary and secondary trends.
Elliott provided numerous variations on the main wave, and placed particular importance
on the golden mean, 0.618, as a significant percentage for retracement.
Trading using Elliott wave patterns is quite simple. The trader identifies the main wave
or Supercycle, enters long, and then sells or shorts, as the reversal is determined. This
continues in progressively shorter cycles until the cycle completes and the main wave
resurfaces. The caution to this is that much of the wave identification is taken in hindsight
and disagreements arise between Elliott wave technicians as to which cycle the market is
in.
Chart Patterns
The vast majority of chart patterns fall into two main groups: reversal and continuation.
Reversal patterns indicate a change of trend and can be broken down into top and bottom
formations. Continuation patterns indicate a pause in trend and indicate that the previous
direction will resume after a period of time. Just because a pattern forms after a
significant advance or decline does not mean it is a reversal pattern. Many patterns, such
as a rectangle, can be classified as either reversal or continuation. Much depends on the
previous price action, volume and other indicators as the pattern evolves. This is where
the science of technical analysis becomes the art of technical analysis.
Below is a list of common chart patterns that can be useful in Technical Analysis.
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27
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Going short
Selling the existing security immediately to protect the profit made or to
minimizing the lose.
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30
RBI
NOSTRO
Authorized
Dealer
(AD)
A Category
VOSTRO
Designated
Branch
(D-Branch)
B Category
Money
Change
(MC)
C Category
ADs are fully pledge ADs, means these ADs are having Accounts in their own
name. Vostro in the sense Foreign Bank opens its Account in Indian Bank. Whereas
Nostro means our Indian Bank opens Account in any Foreign Banks. So Canara Bank is
having both types of accounts. Details about Canara Bank we will see in further pages.
Designated Branches are those branches, where these branches will not trade in
the name of their own account, but in the name of ADs. They can act individually, even
though they dont have accounts in their own name.
Money Change (MC)s, are comes under C category. This category people are
neither having accounts in their own name nor fully authorized to act individually. So
these are comes reports to D-Branches or otherwise they directly related to ADs. We can
Foreign Exchange Exposure
31
Designated Branch
Foreign Exchange Exposure
Foreign Department
FORM MBA FINANCE
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IMPORT
SERVICES
EXPORT
REMITTANCE
Foreign Exchange Exposure
33
EXPORT
Collection of
Bills
Finance
Pre & Post
Shipment
Purchase
Discount
Negotiation
Cash in
Advance
Hubli Forex Cell gives service to Exporter in the name of Export Service. Here
they have made 3 types of categories, as in the above figure.
Collection of Bills: Every document should be send through banks only. It is
compulsion made by RBI and also FEMA. Here exporter must submit some documents
are as follows:
Invoice, Packing List, Bill of Lading (in case of Sea) / Airway Bill (in case of
Air), Certificate of Origin, Test Certificate etc., Statutory Declaration Form (SDF) and
Shipping Bill are very important documents where bank will check these documents very
thoroughly. And combining these important documents, and they call it as GR Form.
Exporter or consignor prepares SDF. It is a document where exporter declares the
Type of goods he is exporting, Quantity (Kg & No.s), Name of Importer, Name of
Shipping Agency etc., This is made in 3 copies. One is sent to RBI, another one is to any
commercial Forex traded Bank and remaining is for them. Superidentant of Exercise
Custom certifies all these copies.
Finance: (Pre & Post Shipment loan): At Sight they purchase the document and make
the payment within 15 to 20 days. Bank may discount it as per the instruction by party
like Bill of Exchange. This may maturated at 90 days after or 90 or 120 days as per
agreement between both parties. Negotiation also made by bank to get profits.
Who takes the pre shipment loan they should compulsorily take post shipment
loan also. Because, if any one have taken pre shipment, when goods are ready to
shipment, then bank convert this pre shipment into post shipment. For this purpose Bank
should require Purchase Order (PO), if New Importer / High value goods then opening of
L/c and Bank should take Inventory as a Hypothesis, Guarantee from Director/partner,
some times Mortgage and some times pledge the finished goods. These loan sanctions
stage by stage.
Foreign Exchange Exposure
34
IMPORT
Letter of
Credit
Advise,
Conformance
Finance
FLC
Here Bank gives service to importers also as an Import Service. Here importer
can open Letter of credit, for this purpose Bank acts as a mediator between exporter and
importer. So bank will take some risks relating to export and import of goods.
Bank also acts as advisor to importer. Incase new exporter or incase of high value
materials or incase first time importing the materials, in all these cases banks will give
advise to the importer that whether to go or not. If any RBIs prior permission is required
or not if so require then what are the procedure all things may advise to importer.
Some times for importer also it gives a loan called Foreign Letter of Credit (FLC).
According to this if exporter fails to supply goods then Bank will take the responsibility.
But some major responsibility will be on importer only.
Outward
REMITTANCE
Inward
Money
Change
Remittance is nothing but receiving and paying of foreign currency in India.
Outward is nothing but paying abroad. Inward means incoming payment from abroad.
Money change means if a person wants to convert the one foreign currency into domestic
currency.
Here TT, DD, Bills, Travelers Cheques, Notes, Now recently Yatri Card etc., are
the major modes of transactions held in this type of service. For this purpose of service,
any receiving / paying person should be a customer i.e., he should be an Account holder
in that particular Bank. But this condition is not applicable to Tourist. For Tourist Bank
only looks out the Passport and Visa (According to FEMA).
Foreign Exchange Exposure
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NRI DEPOSITS
Types of account you can open are: Savings, Current or Term Deposit in Indian
Rupees.
You can open a NRE account by:
o Remittance from abroad (through DD/SWIFT TRANSFER)
o Transfer of funds from existing NRE/FCNR accounts with other banks in
India or from other branches of our bank.
o Foreign currency notes/travellers cheques brought in during temporary
visit to India.
o Personal cheques drawn on your account abroad
Unique features of NRE deposits:
o The entire credit balance inclusive of interest earned can be repatriated
outside India without reference to RBI.
o NRE accounts can be operated by Resident Indians on the basis of the
Power of Attorney Or letter of Authority issued by the NRI account holder.
However PA/LA holder can repatriate the funds abroad to the non resident
depositor only.
o Joint accounts can be opened along with other Non Resident Indians.
o Local disbursements, purchase of units of UTI, Central and State
Government securities and National Savings Certificates can be made
from these accounts.
o Sale/Maturity Proceeds/ repurchase proceeds of units of UTI, Securities or
certificates originally purchased out of funds in these accounts can be
credited without reference to RBI.
o Under term deposits accounts can be opened for a minimum period of 1
year and a maximum period of 3 years.
o Loans/overdrafts in India to deposit holders are available against security
of deposits.
o Cheque book facility is available for NRE Savings Bank account.
36
Joint account
Nomination
Permitted
Indian Rupees
Repatriability
Repatriable
Type of Account
Rate of Interest
Loans
a) In India
Permitted
Permitted
Permitted
b) Abroad >
(i) to the Account holder
Permitted
Permitted
Not permitted
Not permitted
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Purpose of Loan
a) In India
i)Personal purposes or for carrying on business
activities *
ii) Direct investment in India on nonrepatriation basis by way of contribution to the
capital of Indian firms/ companies
iii) Acquisition of flat/ house in India for his
own residential use
* The loans cannot be utilized for the purpose of relending, or carrying on agriculture or
plantation activities or for investment in real estate business.
Note:
a) When a person resident in India leaves India for Nepal and Bhutan for taking up
employment or for carrying on business or vocation or for any other purposes indicating
his intention to stay in Nepal and Bhutan for an uncertain period, his existing account will
continue as a resident account. Such account will not be designated as Non-resident
(Ordinary) Rupee Account (NRO).
b) We open and maintain NRE/FCNR(B) accounts of persons resident in Nepal and
Bhutan who are citizens of India or of Indian origin, provided the funds for opening these
accounts are remitted in free foreign exchange. Interest earned in NRE/FCNR (B)
accounts can be remitted only in Indian rupees to NRIs and PIO resident in Nepal and
Bhutan.
c) We extend all types of rupee loans under the Retail lending scheme to NRIs.
38
Types of account you can open: Non interest bearing Current Account in Foreign
currency.
A person resident in India can open an RFCD account out of foreign exchange
acquired in the form of currency notes, bank notes and travelers cheques from the
following sources:
o Acquired while on a visit to any place outside India by way of payment for
services not arising from any business in or anything done in India; or
o Acquired from any person not resident in India and who is on a visit to India, as
honorarium or gift or for services rendered or in settlement of any lawful
obligation; or
o Acquired by way of honorarium or gift while on a visit to any place outside India;
or
o Unspent amount of foreign exchange acquired by him from an authorised person
for travel abroad; or
o Unspent amount of foreign exchange received as allowance by Pilots/Crew
Members/Mariners etc., of Indian Airline/Shipping companies
o Foreign exchange earnings through export of goods and/or services,
royalty/honorarium etc. by resident individuals; or
o Insurance claims/maturity value settled in foreign currency.
o Gifts received from close relatives viz.,
Husband and Wife
Father/Mother (including step-mother)
Fathers father/Fathers mother/Mothers mother/ Mothers father
Son (including step-son)/Daughters (including step-daughter)
Sons wife/Sons son/Sons sons wife/Sons daughter/Sons daughters husband
Daughters husband/Daughters son/Daughters sons wife/Daughters
daughter/Daughters daughters husband
Brother (including step-brother)/Brothers wife
Sister (including step-sister)/Sisters husband.
Joint account
Nomination
Permitted
Permissible currencies
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40
Savings - The interest rates on NRE Savings deposits shall be at the rate
applicable to domestic savings deposits. Currently the interest rate is 3.5%.
Term deposits For 1 year to 3 years, the interest rates on fresh repatriable NonResident (External) Rupee (NRE) Term deposits should not exceed the
LIBOR/SWAP rates, as on the last working day of the previous month, for US
dollar of corresponding maturity plus 50 basis points.
The interest rates as determined above for three year deposits should also be applicable in
case the maturity period exceeds three years.
The changes in interest rates will also apply to NRE deposits renewed after their present
maturity period.
b) FCNR (B) (Principal/Interest Repatriable)
Deposits of funds in the account may be accepted in such permissible currencies as may
be designated by the Reserve Bank from time to time.
Presently the term deposit can be placed with ADs in India in 6 specific foreign
currencies (US Dollar, Pound Sterling, EURO, Japanese Yen, Australian Dollar
and Canadian Dollar).
Rate of Interest - Fixed or floating within the ceiling rate of LIBOR/SWAP rates
for the respective currency/corresponding term minus 25 basis points.
Maturity of deposits: 1-5 years.
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42
May acquire immovable property in India other than agricultural land/ plantation
property or a farmhouse out of repatriable and non-repatriable funds.
May continue to hold, own, transfer or invest in foreign currency, foreign security
or any immovable property situated outside India, if such currency, security or
property was acquired, held or owned when resident outside India.
May open, hold and maintain with an authorised dealer in India a Resident Foreign
Currency (RFC) Account to transfer balances held in NRE/FCNR(B) accounts.
Proceeds of assets held outside India at the time of return, can be credited to
RFC account. The funds in RFC accounts are free from all restrictions regarding
utilisation of foreign currency balances including any restriction on investment
in any form outside India.
43
44
II)
2.
3.
4.
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5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
III)
10.
11.
No. Under section 2 (ze) of the Foreign Exchange Management Act, 1999
transfer includes among others, gift. Therefore, a foreign national of nonIndian
origin
resident
outside
India
cannot
acquire
residential/commercial property in India by way of gift.
12.
46
13.
Yes. A person resident outside India can hold immovable property acquired by
way of inheritance from a person resident in India as per the provisions of
Section 6(5) of the Foreign Exchange Management Act, 1999.
14.
With the specific approval of Reserve Bank a person resident outside India
may hold any immovable property in India acquired by way of inheritance
from a person resident outside India, provided the bequeathor had acquired
such property in accordance with the provisions of foreign exchange law in
force at the time of acquisition or under FEMA regulations.
V)
15.
16.
17.
No. PIO would need to seek Reserve Bank prior approval for transfer by way
of sale residential/commercial property in India to a NRI or a PIO.
18.
47
Under the general permission available NRI/PIO may transfer by way of sale
his agricultural land/plantation property/farm house in India to a person
resident in India who is a citizen of India.
20.
VI)
21.
22.
Under the general permission available NRI/PIO may transfer by way of gift
agricultural land/plantation property/farm house in India to a person resident
in India who is a citizen of India.
23.
No. A foreign national of non-Indian origin resident outside India would need
to seek prior approval of Reserve Bank for transfer by way of gift agricultural
land/plantation property/farm house acquired by him in India.
VII)
24.
25.
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VIII)
26.
Under the general permission available, NRI / PIO may purchase residential /
commercial property in India out of funds remitted to India through normal
banking channel or funds held in his NRE / FCNR (B) / NRO account. No
consideration shall be paid outside India. However, payment for acquisition of
immovable property in India by NRI/PIO cannot be made either by Travellers
cheques or by foreign currency notes.
27.
28.
29.
30.
NRI avail of housing loan in rupees from his employer in India subject to
certain terms and conditions (Please refer to Regulation 8A to Notification No.
FEMA 4/2000-RB dated 3rd May 2000 and A.P. (DIR Series Circular No.27
dated October 10, 2003).
IX)
49
32.
33.
34.
Yes. Repatriation of sale proceeds is restricted to not more than two residential
properties.
X)
35.
XI)
36.
Yes. Amount not exceeding USD one million, per calendar year subject to
production of documentary evidence in support of inheritance and Tax
clearance certificate/no objection certificate from Income Tax authority to
authorized dealer for remittances. However, if a PIO is a citizen of Pakistan or
Bangladesh or Sri Lanka or Afghanistan or China or Iran he should seek prior
approval of Reserve Bank with documentary evidence in support of
inheritance and tax clearance/no objection certificate from Income Tax
authority. This remittance facility is not available to a citizen of Nepal or
50
37.
Yes. Amount not exceeding USD one million, per calendar year subject to
production of documentary evidence in support of inheritance and Tax
clearance certificate/no objection certificate from Income Tax authority to
authorized dealer for remittances. However, a citizen of Pakistan or
Bangladesh or Sri Lanka or Afghanistan or China or Iran shall seek prior
approval of Reserve Bank with documentary evidence in support of
inheritance and tax clearance/no objection certificate from Income Tax
authority. This remittance facility is not available to a citizen of Nepal or
Bhutan. (Please refer to Regulation 4 (2) (ii) to Notification No. FEMA
13/RB-2000 dated 3rd May 2000)
38.
XII)
39.
No. A person resident outside India who has established a Liaison Office in
India in accordance with FERA/FEMA regulations purchase immovable
property
40.
51
41.
42.
XIII)
43.
52
53
Foreign exchange one can buy when traveling abroad on private visits to a country
outside India
In connection with private visits abroad, viz., for tourism purposes, etc., foreign exchange
up to USD10,000, in any financial year may be obtained from an authorised dealer on a
self-declaration basis. The ceiling of USD10,000 is applicable in aggregate and foreign
exchange may be obtained for one or more than one visit provided the aggregate foreign
Foreign Exchange Exposure
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c. RFC (Domestic) Account:A person resident in India can open, hold and maintain with an authorized dealer in India,
a Resident Foreign Currency (Domestic) Account, out of foreign exchange acquired in
the form of currency notes, Bank notes and travellers cheques from any of the sources
like, payment for services rendered abroad, as honorarium, gift, services rendered or in
settlement of any lawful obligation from any person not resident in India. The account
may also be credited with/opened out of foreign exchange earned like proceeds of export
of goods and/or services, royalty, honorarium, etc., and/or gifts received from close
relatives (as defined in the Companies Act) and repatriated to India through normal
banking channels by resident individuals. The account shall be maintained in the form of
Current Account and shall not bear any interest. There is no ceiling on the balances in the
account.
A person can resident in India hold assets outside India
In terms of sub-section 4, of Section (6) of the Foreign Exchange Management Act, 1999,
a person resident in India is free to hold, own, transfer or invest in foreign currency,
foreign security or any immovable property situated outside India if such currency,
security or property was acquired, held or owned by such person when he was resident
outside India or inherited from a person who was resident outside India.
II. Liberalised Remittance Scheme of USD 200,000
This is a facility extended to all resident individuals under which, they may freely remit
upto USD 200,000 per fianancial year for any permissible current or capital account
transaction or a combination of both.
Eligibility to avail of this Liberalised Remittance Facility?
The facility is available to resident individuals only.
Frequency for the remittance
There is no restriction on the frequency. However, the total amount of foreign exchange
purchased from or remitted through, all sources in India during the current financial year
should be within the limit of USD 200,000/-.
The purpose/s for which remittance can be made under the Scheme
Foreign Exchange Exposure
60
Residents can avail of this facility for acquiring immovable property and other
assets abroad
Yes. Individuals are free to use this Scheme to acquire and hold immovable property,
shares or any other asset outside India without prior approval of Reserve Bank.
Individuals can open foreign currency account abroad for making remittance under
the Scheme
Yes. Individuals are free to open, hold and maintain foreign currency accounts with a
bank outside India for making remittances under the Scheme without the prior approval
of Reserve Bank. The account can be used for putting through any transaction connected
with or arising from remittances under the Scheme.
The impact of the Scheme on the existing facilities for private/business travel,
studies, medical treatment etc./items covered in Schedule III of Foreign Exchange
Management (Current Account Transactions) Rules, 2000
The facility under the Scheme is in addition to those already available under Foreign
Exchange Management (Current Account Transactions) Rules, 2000.
An individual send remittance under the Scheme to any country
Remittance cannot be made directly or indirectly to Bhutan, Nepal, Mauritius or Pakistan.
The facility is also not available for making remittances directly or indirectly to countries
identified by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) as non-co-operative Countries or
Territories, from time to time.
Further, remittance under the facility cannot be made to individuals and entities identified
as posing significant risk or committing acts of terrorism as advised to banks by Reserve
Bank from time to time.
The requirements to be complied with by the remitter
The individual will have to designate a branch of an AD through which all the
remittances under the Scheme will be made. The applicants should have maintained the
bank account with the bank for a minimum period of one year prior to the remittance. He
Foreign Exchange Exposure
61
If an investment of USD 200,000 rises in value within the year, can one book profits
and invest abroad again?
The investor is free to book profit or loss abroad and to invest abroad again. He is under
no obligation to repatriate the funds remitted abroad.
An individual, can who has repatriated the amount remitted during the financial
year, avail of the facility once again
Once a remittance is made for an amount upto USD 200,000 during the financial year, he
would not be eligible to make any further remittances under this route, even if the
proceeds of the investments have been brought back into the country.
Remittances are made only in US Dollars
The remittances can be in any currency equivalent to USD 200,000 in a financial year.
Last year, resident individuals could invest in overseas companies listed on a
recognised stock exchange abroad and which has the shareholding of at least 10 per
cent in an Indian company listed on a recognised stock exchange in India. Does this
condition still exist?
Investment by resident individual in overseas companies is subsumed under the Scheme
of USD 200,000. The requirement of 10 per cent reciprocal shareholding in the listed
Indian companies by such overseas companies has since been dispensed with.
III. Guidelines for Financial Intermediaries offering special schemes, protection
under the Scheme.
Intermediaries are expected to seek specific approval for making overseas
investments available to clients
Banks including those not having operational presence in India are required to obtain
prior approval from Reserve Bank for soliciting deposits for their foreign/overseas
Foreign Exchange Exposure
62
Minor resident individuals would be permitted to open, maintain and hold such
foreign currency accounts, if the same is permissible as per local law in the country
of the overseas branch
Banks may take necessary steps in the matter based on the settled legal position regarding
enforcement of the declaration in case the remittance is made on behalf of a minor.
Credit facilities in Indian Rupees or foreign currency would be permissible against
security of such deposits
No. The Scheme does not envisage extension of credit facility against the security of the
deposits.
Can bankers open foreign currency accounts in India for residents under the
Scheme?
No. Banks in India can not open foreign currency accounts in India for residents under
the Scheme.
Can an Offshore Banking Unit (OBU) in India be treated on par with a branch of
the bank outside India for the purpose of opening of foreign currency accounts by
residents under the Scheme?
No. For the purpose of the Scheme, an OBU in India is not treated as an overseas branch
of a bank in India.
General Information
For further details/guidance, please approach any bank authorised to deal in foreign
exchange or contact Regional Offices of the Foreign Exchange Department of the
Reserve Bank.
Foreign Exchange Exposure
63
One can credit 100 percent of his foreign exchange earnings into this account
subject to permissible credits and debits.
64
Foreign exchange earnings received through an international credit card for which
reimbursement are provided in foreign exchange may be regarded as a remittance
through normal banking channels and can be credited to the EEFC account.
65
66
67
68
Report
They prepare 2 types of reports. One is to RBI and another one is to FDs.
Submission of Report to RBI: RBI made a Form called R-Return Form. This form is
concern with outflows and inflows of Rupee and Net. If any deposits made by particular
cell in any banks and minimum deposit maintained by this particular cell with RBI. All
such informations are involved in this R-Return Form.
This report includes only in value terms not the Number of Transactions. As per
RBI guidelines Hubli forex cell makes this report with different currencies whatever they
have transacted in a particular period. In the sense they make report of dollar, pound,
yen, euro and any currency they have transacted in terms of value. And they make it as
one and convert it in rupee terms and submit it to RBI.
This report should prepare for every fortnight i.e., every 15 th and 30th / 31st as the
case may be of every month. And for this submission purpose, RBI has made relaxation
period as up to 5 days after that specified dates. If banks fail to do so they have to pay
penalty to RBI, each day, after that grace period.
Another report is submitted to its FD. Every quarterly they have to prepare this
report. Here they reports about the transaction held in that particular quarter in terms of
Number of transactions and value.
Peak Month
Peak month starts from November and grow fast in December month. Matures in
January to March months. Declines in April and ends with May month. Why?
First reason is RBI. Yes, RBI declares credit rating twice in a year. This peak is
nothing but comes in November month. Many foreigners are observing this credit policy
of RBI, after declaration of credit rate by RBI, accordingly they will ready to trade. So
these months are says to be peak months.
As we know, from June to September is a rain season. Because of this climatic
condition: transportation may delay, storage is main problem, high protection is require
for materials, so many exporters and importers are not ready to trade in these seasons.
69
Profitable Customers
As already we know that for Hubli Forex Cell, they have 3 types of customers
viz., exporter, importer and remitters. Who are more the beneficial customers to Bank?
Importer takes the first place among all customers. Because here bank will get
more exchange rate spread. That is differences between buying and selling rates of
particular currency. Here bank and also government are not bothering about the importer.
Means they are not giving any privileges to importer for importing of materials. So here
banks may charge high exchange rates to importers. Whereas for exporters government
is providing some privileges, because of enjoying some privileges and encouraging the
exporters bank will minimize its profit in way of minimizing the spread rates. So by this
way importers are takes the first place to increase the profits of the banks.
Next place occupied by Remitters. Because these customers are visit the banks
only at once or twice not more than that. For this purpose banks are not viewing these
customers as lifetime customers. So banks will make much profit from exchange rate
spreads.
But exporters are not in the least place. But really these customers are beneficial
customers rather than profitable customers. Of course these customers are long-term
profitable customers.
So every customer is important for bank. Only for giving more privileges to
exporters they seems to be as least profitable customers otherwise they are also profitable
as well as beneficial customers.
SWIFT
Every bank is having Bank Identification Code. By entering this code only they
can operate and open the SWIFT system. SWIFT system is nothing but sending a
message to other bank situated in foreign countries.
If Hubli Forex Cell sends the messages then they immediately receive an
acknowledgement in printed format. If Hubli Forex Cell received any messages from
other banks then they have a set of words like RCVD, means received.
70
If bank specify the specific code, then related blank boxes come on the screen.
These boxes are filled by operator, who is a banker and these boxes are changes
according to codes given by banks for specific purposes.
Sometimes SWIFT is also uses for non-financial purpose. Like opening of L/c
and amendment of L/c etc., here we cannot find out any financial transaction. So this is
nothing but sending the message to other banks through Internet media.
Mainly in this format we observe Code Number, Senders Name, Receivers
Name, Date, Currency, Amount etc., This SWIFT mechanism is same all over the world.
So by this we cannot have a Rupee V/s other currency exchange rates. This is used for
only sending the messages.
Rate Mechanism:
From Mumbai FD only they get the exchange rates of all currencies with cross
currency exchange rates.
Mumbai Internal Forex Department sends exchange rates to all its branches and
cells. This rate is driven by again market Demand & supply. But also some persons of
Canara Bank International Department decide the final exchange rates for their bank.
By this only all branches and cells will get the information about the rates. So it is online
connection from International Department to all its branches and cells.
Here we can see two rates, one is Buying Rate and another one is Selling Rate. If
any customer wants to convert his Dollar into Rupee, then bank goes to the buy option
and buy the dollar and sell the rupee.
Here banks should give the type of transaction. Means whether this transaction is
for remittance purpose or is it for TT or Cheque, or L/c etc., After doing all these things
Hubli Forex cell submit report to their International Branch.
Sometimes this Hubli Forex cell chats with its International Division. If customer
is a lifetime customer, then Hubli cell chats with its International Division to reduce or to
increase the exchange rate in the benefit of customer. In other words, this cell requests to
Foreign Exchange Exposure
71
TRADING FIRMS
We just only saw how Canara Bank is operating its Forex transactions? When we
come to North Karnataka, the awareness of Forex Market is very less (Refer
Bibliography). It means, here individually people are do not have their account in Forex
Market. Means, they not ready to purchase or sell dollars or any other currencies directly.
They purchase for specific purpose like Remittance, but not for trading.
By seeing all those things, here we have gone for some companies which are there
in this type of business. Foreign currencies transaction will be made by those companies
which are there in the business of import or export.
Yes, of course, now it is time to understand why so many exports oriented
companies are closing. Especially SSI units are in more loss, because they do not have
that much of capacity to pick up its forex losses. It means, now dollar is depreciating and
Rupee is Appreciating, by this now exporters are getting less income in terms of Rupee.
So they are hesitating to sell their goods in dollar terms. But they do not have any other
option of currency to sell their goods, and also they do not have that much of knowledge
to hedge the dollar and minimize the risk. For all these reasons so many SSIs are closing
their units. Is it same situation in Hubli also?
Banks are now hesitating to make any hedge options to their customers, because;
now so many companies are making losses in derivative transactions. Companies are do
not know the concept of Mark to Market and hedging in different currencies i.e. other
than domestic currency. So companies are now making losses and they are not ready to
accept those losses. So they are now approaching Courts to reimburse their losses by
banks. Now banks are in trouble to step ahead. So it is the time to ask some customers
of banks that, is it same happing in your business also, if yes, then whom you blame? So
let us see what is the present scenario in Hubli?
In Hubli import and exporting companies are there. Here we have taken only ten
companies as sample among all those export/import companies situated in Hubli.
Because, here we would like to know that, whether exposure is there in Forex Market?
72
SUPRIYA PROTOTECH
C-43, Industrial Estate, Gokul Road, Hubli - 580030, Karnataka, India
Phone:91-836-2212416
Fax:91-836-2333641
Profile
Exporter
Products
Currency
USD (Usually)
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
More Competition
Yes, More
73
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Some permanent
Customers
Appointment of
Knowledgeable persons
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
Nothing
Profile
Importer
Products
Currency
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
74
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
Lack of Knowledge
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
Nothing
Extra things
75
Profile
Exporter
Products
Currency
USD (Usually)
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
More Competition
Yes, Little
More
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
Some permanent
Customers
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
76
Shakti Group of Companies, R.M. Joshi Building, 2nd Floor,-43, Industrial Estate, Lamington Road, Hubli - 580020,
Karnataka, India
Phone: 91-836-2356582
Fax: 91-836-2356586
Profile
Exporter
Products
Currency
USD (Usually)
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
Textile
Trading
&
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
More Competition
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
Appointment of
Knowledgeable persons
77
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
Profile
Exporter
Products
Currency
USD (Usually)
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
More Competition
Yes, More
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
78
Some permanent
Customers
Appointment of
Knowledgeable persons
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
Email : bdkmumbai@bdkindia.com
Profile
Exporter
Products
Currency
Mode of Payment
Letter of Credit
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other country/ies)
Not having any branches
More Competition
79
Barriers
(If branch is situated in other
country/ies)
We have Skilled
employees and
Diversification
of Currency
Different types of
Customers
Privileges enjoying
Tax reduction
80
How to forecast the future prices? What are the techniques practically banks and
companies are using? The answer for second one is No! In Hubli city almost all banks
and companies are not using any techniques to forecast the exchange rates.
Then we will see some techniques and tools to forecast the future exchange rates.
For forecasting the future rates banks and companies can minimize their risk situated in
forex market. If we know what will be happen in near future then it is good for them to
hedge their currencies and accordingly they can easily trade and earn some profit,
minimize the risk. There are two methods:
1. Technical Analysis
2. Fundamental Analysis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Trend Lines
1.
81
3.
Support Level:
82
Here both dark lines are showing support level. In a bull run support level was
nearly Rs.44/$, where after finishing of downward trend support level become Rs.39/$.
Resistance Level:
The First Resistance Level was situated nearly at Rs.47/$. And support level was
situated at Rs. 44/$. See it carefully, after the March 2007 this support level become a
highest resistance level. When dollar appreciates more than the said resistance level then
again it becomes a support level and new resistance level will be created. But here, dollar
was depreciated so the new resistance level was created below that old resistance level.
That old resistance level is a largest one, but for time being i.e., for short time period we
can consider Rs.42/$ is a new resistance level.
Head and Shoulder:
Head
83
Shoulder
Triple Top Pattern:
Here we easily can see the triple pattern between INR/USD on 7/2/06 it was at
Rs.44.26/$ and went down to Rs.44.21/$ and again it goes up to the same level
Rs.44.26/$ and again went down. At the third time it reached Rs.44.26/$ and crossed it.
Whenever it crosses that resistance level of triple top then it is guarantee that it will goes
to 100% more than resistance of the top. Here Rs.44.26/$ is a resistance its 100% is
Rs.44.46/$. Exactly it went up to Rs.44.46/$.
Elliott Wave Theory:
84
Here 1st wave starts from Rs.39.66/$ and ends with Rs.40.15/$ and from there 2 nd
wave starts. As per condition always 3rd wave should be more than 1st wave. Here the
condition is same 3rd wave is highest peak than 1st wave. And at the end 5th wave it stops
and after wards bears market starts. If we consider next to 5th wave is 1st wave in bear
trend, 2nd wave is very small and 3rd will be more than 1st wave. So it indicates that in
near future Rupee may appreciates in short term future.
Moving Average:
85
In the above diagram it is clearly understood that, when to buy and when to sell?
Wherever EMA crosses the SMA line and goes down to SMA then it is the time to buy
the dollar or vice-versa (i.e. If EMA line crosses the SMA line and goes up then that is the
time to sell the dollar).
Green Circle shows that to buy the dollar, and please clearly observe there, where
EMA was below the line of SMA. First One, Red Circle shows that to sell the dollar, so
we can get more Indian Rupee Currency.
At the end we can conclude that in short run Rupee will slightly appreciates as
against Dollar, because high pressure or demand for INR to purchase as low cost. But this
is for only short run not for long run. For long run we should consider other tools.
And also we can analyze this only by seeing SMA. Yes, if SMA line cross and
goes upper level than closing price then that will be a selling point. Whereas, on other
hand, if SMA line comes below the actual price (i.e., closing price) then it indicates that
the buying point.
At the end we should see where the SMA line is situating. In this project SMA
line is situated slightly below the actual line (closing price). It indicates that, in short
term dollar will depreciates and INR will appreciates, and at the end this closing price
touches this SMA line. And where, we can buy the dollar.
There are other techniques to find out Purchase Point and Selling Point. It is very
popular called RSI. We will see that RSI in detail now,
Foreign Exchange Exposure
86
This RSI calculation also tells that when to buy and when to sell? The above diagram
clearly shows that if RSI points goes beyond 70 then that is the time to sell where prices
are very high. And in other hand if RSI points goes below 30 then that is the time to buy
the Dollar where it is very low cost. This buy and sell signals are shown in Green and
Red color respectively.
But the main limitation of this calculation is it does not forecast clearly. Only we can
assume that, Dollar will in near short feature appreciates.
When we compare RSI with MACD slightly difference we will find out in purchase and
selling time.
Foreign Exchange Exposure
87
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
From 2003-07 Indian market is booming in leaps & bounds, today after China India is 2nd
fastest growing economy of the world with a growth rate of 9.4% in the first quarter. Its
a trillion dollar country surpassed Russia & has become worlds 10 th largest economy,
today (till 30th march, 2007) Indian forex reserve is around $200 bn.
Now the hot bubble on the brink in every Indians mind is Rupee Appreciation. From
July,2006-May,2007, value of rupee has highly appreciated by 10.7% from Rs 46 to Rs
40.56. There is a big dilemma in everyone's mind, will the rupee appreciation adversely
effect our economic growth or is it an indicator of Indian growing economy?
Indian import & export growth rates in March & June 2007 were 34.8% & 18 %
respectively which reduced from April 2007 by 6% & 5% respectively.
According to an industry analyst - Every 10 paisa appreciation in rupee negates one
dollar upward movement in international prices
According to IOC managers statement: for every Rs1 appreciation crude oil price
dip by 2%
Major reasons of this bubble are:
FIIs Inflow
ECB borrowings
Slowdown of US economy
88
Appreciation: Reasons
One striking feature of economic
presence. The total value of the takeover
billion in 2006. January 2007 alone saw
Steel/Corus. There have been 72 foreign
billion in the first four months of this year.
Inflow of dollars
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India almost trebled to $4.9 billion during the June
2007 quarter from a year earlier on the back of large deals by Vodafone and Matsushita
Electric. During January-June 2007, FDI inflows were $11.4 billion, more than three
times the $3.6 billion received a year earlier. FDI inflows were $15.7 billion for the fiscal
year that ended in March 2007, almost three times the level in 2005/06. The gross FII
investments in the country till June from the time they were allowed to invest in the India
equity markets stands at $53.06 billion.
NRI deposits
Indians settled in other countries have also been a major source of capital inflows, with
many non-resident Indians (NRIs) investing large amounts in special bank accounts.
While NRIs' emotional connection to their country of origin is part of the explanation for
this, the attractive interest rates offered on such deposits has also provided a powerful
incentive. In 2006-07, NRI deposits amounted to US $3.8bn, a 35% increase over the
previous year; the outstanding value of NRI deposits as of end-March 2007 was US
$39.5bn. Another large source of foreign-exchange inflows has been remittances from the
huge number of Indians working overseas temporarily. Such remittances amounted to a
colossal US $19.6bn in April-December 2006, a 15% year-on-year increase.
NRI deposits have increased from $17,156 million in 1995 to $39,624 million in 2007.
Investment highlights
Positive tidings about the Indian economy combined with a fast-growing market have
made India an attractive destination for foreign institutional investors (FIIs).
Foreign Exchange Exposure
89
FIIs have raised their holding in 540 companies out of top 1,000 companies on the
Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) during September-March (2006-07) period.
According to the data released by the Securities and Exchange Board of India
(SEBI), FIIs have invested Rs.61,234 crore (US $ 14.9 billion) in the Indian equity
market during 2007-08 so far (up to January 18, 2008) as compared with net purchases of
Rs.18,045 crore (US $ 3.9 billion) during the corresponding period of the previous year.
Mutual funds have made net investments of Rs. 9,788 crore during 2007-08 so far (up to
January 18, 2008) as compared with net investments of Rs.12,595 crore during the
corresponding period of last year.
Here we can observe that FIIs are more contribution that Domestic Mutual
Funds. If FII wants to invest in our domestic stock market, then they have purchase
stocks, here they not only purchasing stocks but also they purchasing our Rupee also. At
the end we would like to say here if Nifty goes up or down, how it affects to Exchange
rate? Because as already saw FIIs are major players in the stock market. Then how it
Foreign Exchange Exposure
90
91
Foreign Trade
After the liberalisation programme was launched the exports did leap at 20 per cent per
annum for many years from $45 billion at March 2002 to the current level of $126 Billion
as of March 2007.
Effect On Employment
Already various export promotion councils and business federations have drawn up plans
to counter the effect on competitiveness of Indian products.
It is already reported by the Confederation of Indian Textile industry that 579,000 jobs
could be lost in 2007-2008. This could include the direct loss as well loss in dependent
ancillaries.
Inflation in India
The rise in the value of rupee meant that inflation was curbed. The inflation rate in India
declined from 6.73 percent in February 2007 to 4.10 percent in August 2007. Now in end
of March 29th 2008 inflation rate went up to 7.41%.
Gross Domestic Product
92
At the end of May 2007, the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) released quarterly
real GDP growth estimates for January-March 2007 at 9.1 per cent as against 10.0 per
cent a year ago. Along with revisions for the preceding three quarters, real GDP growth in
2006-07 was raised to 9.4 per cent from 9.2 per cent in the CSOs February 2007 advance
estimates. In the revised estimates, real GDP originating in agriculture, industry and
services sectors increased by 2.7 per cent, 11.0 per cent and 11.0 per cent, respectively, in
2006-07 as against 6.0 per cent, 8.0 per cent and 10.3 per cent in 2005-06. Over the fouryear period starting in 2003-04 when the current expansionary phase began, real GDP
growth has averaged 8.6 per cent, up from 5.1 per cent in the preceding four years and
also above the average of 5.7 per cent achieved in the 1990s.
Interest Rates
Table 35 : Short-term Interest Rates
(Per cent)
Region/Country
Foreign Exchange Exposure
End of
FORM MBA FINANCE
93
September
2007
December
2007
January
2008*
Advanced Economies
Euro Area
2.80
3.91
4.16
4.73
4.88
4.51
Japan
0.04
0.57
0.63
0.73
0.73
0.74
Sweden
1.99
3.21
3.42
3.54
4.02
4.02
UK
4.58
5.55
5.92
6.28
6.41
5.58
US
4.77
5.23
5.27
4.72
4.16
3.74
9.63
9.25
12.31
14.50
12.94
12.68 11.93
11.18
11.18
11.18
9.63
Brazil
16.54
China
2.40
2.86
3.08
3.86
4.35
4.48
Hong Kong
4.47
4.17
4.43
4.97
3.73
3.12
India
6.11
7.98
7.39
7.19
7.35
7.10
Malaysia
3.51
3.64
3.62
3.62
3.62
3.62
Philippines
7.38
5.31
6.19
6.94
6.56
6.25
Singapore
3.44
3.00
2.55
2.56
2.56
1.75
South Korea
4.26
4.94
5.03
5.34
5.71
5.86
Thailand
5.10
4.45
3.75
3.55
3.90
3.55
94
95
The exchange rate of the rupee was Rs.39.57 per US dollar as on January 23,
2008. At this level, the Indian rupee appreciated by 10.2 per cent over its level on March
31, 2007. Over the same period, the rupee appreciated by 10.5 per cent against the Pound
sterling, 0.4 per cent against the Euro and 3.1 per cent against the Chinese yuan, while
depreciated by 0.5 per cent against the Japanese yen
Conclusion:
Currencies
Rs in terms of USD
Rs in terms of Euro
Rs in terms of Yen
Rs in terms of Pound
Change %
11.12%
6.26%
19.22%
5.02%
According to the given above we can conclude that rupee is appreciating with all
currencies given above which reflects that Indian economy is doing very well, though it
carries with it certain demerits (mentioned above). But these demerits can be worked
upon and transformed into a blessing for the economy.
96
The average daily turnover in the foreign exchange market increased to US $ 45.9
billion during April-November 2007 from US $ 23.8 billion in the corresponding period
of 2006. While inter-bank turnover increased to US $ 31.9 billion from US $ 17.2 billion,
the merchant turnover increased to US $ 14.0 billion from US $ 6.6 billion. The ratio of
inter-bank to merchant turnover was 2.4 during April-November 2007 as compared with
2.6 a year ago.
Foreign debt service: Appreciation of the rupee helps in easing the pressure,
related to foreign debt servicing (interest payments on debt raised in foreign
currency), on India and Indian companies.With Indian companies taking
advantage of the United States soft interest rate regime and raising foreign
currency loans, known as external commercial borrowings (ECBs), this is a
welcome phenomenon from the point of view of their interest commitments on
the loans raised. This will help them avoid taking a bigger hit on their bottomline, which is beneficial for its shareholders.
Outbound tourists/student bonanza: The appreciating rupee is a big positive for
tourists traveling or wanting to travel abroad. Considering that the rupee has
appreciated by over 10% against the US dollar since mid-2002, traveling to the
US is now cheaper by a similar quantum in rupee terms.The same applies to
students who are still in the process of finalizing their study plans abroad. For
example, a student's enrollment for a $1,000 course abroad would now cost only
Rs.44,000 instead of the earlier Rs 49,000!
97
Government reserves: Considering that the government has been selling its stake
aggressively in major public sector units in the recent past, and with a substantial
chunk of this being subscribed by FIIs, the latter will have to invest more dollars
to pick up a stake in the company being divested, thus aiding the governments
build up of reserves.
Dollar denominated earnings hurt: The strengthening rupee has an adverse impact on
various companies/sectors, which derive a substantial portion of their revenues from the
US markets (or in dollar denominations). Software and BPO are typical examples of the
sectors adversely impacted by the appreciation of rupee.
Looking Ahead:
However certain sections of the economy have welcomed the rupee appreciation. This is
because of the following key reasons:
Firstly, the IT industry which is strongly lobbying against the appreciation of the
INR should realize that its phenomenal growth during the last decade is partly
because of INR depreciation too. INR depreciated by almost 100% against the
USD from a level of 25 in 1992 to 48 in 2003. Further, Indian economy needs
development of infrastructure which warrants huge investments. A big chunk of
the said investments must come from overseas. The host country's currency, viz.,
INR, must appreciate to instill confidence into overseas investors.
Secondly INR appreciation is welcomed by those companies with overseas
borrowings. Significant levels of foreign currency denominated, especially
USD-denominated loans generate forex gains because of reduced interest payout
occasioned by the rising INR. Companies like Ranbaxy and L&T have been able
98
to generate forex gains in the last quarter because they have substantial exposure
to ECBs.
Thirdly, major Indian stock indices are able to scale new peaks because of recent
appreciation in the INR. It has been proved beyond any doubt that there is a very
strong correlation between our stock indices and the parity value of the rupee vis-vis major currencies like the USD. Analysts point out that during the last year
Sensex and INR exhibited a correlation of approximately 80% as against the 3040% exhibited in the last three years. FII's who have heavily invested in India are
reluctant to sell off mainly because of the appreciating INR.
Lastly and most importantly, INR appreciation has helped control inflation. (It
touches a 5 year low at 3.32%)
The general index of industrial production (IIP) rose by 11.7 per cent in April-May 2007
from 10.8 per cent a year ago. The acceleration in industrial activity in the current
financial year was led by manufacturing output which rose by 12.7 per cent as against
12.2 per cent in April-May 2006. Electricity generation and mining activity increased by
9.0 per cent and 3.0 per cent, respectively, as against 5.5 per cent and 3.2 per cent a year
ago. Within manufacturing, industries such as machinery and equipment, food products,
basic metals and alloys and chemicals emerged as growth drivers in 2007-08 (up to May).
In terms of the use-based classification, production of capital goods increased by 18.6 per
cent (20.6 per cent a year ago), while the production of basic goods and intermediate
goods rose by 9.4 per cent (9.2 per cent) and 10.5 per cent (10.5 per cent), respectively.
Consumer goods output increased by 12.7 per cent (9.7 per cent). The six infrastructure
industries, comprising nearly 27 per cent of the IIP, posted a growth of 8.1 per cent
during April-May 2007 as against 7.2 per cent a year ago. Output growth picked up in
respect of petroleum products and electricity, whereas some deceleration was recorded in
steel, coal and cement output and crude petroleum production declined marginally.
In the Reserve Banks Industrial Outlook Survey conducted during May 2007, nearly 60
per cent of respondent companies reported no change in capacity utilisation and a
majority also indicated no change in the financial situation, working capital finance
requirements and availability of finance. Responses relating to export orders, imports and
profits were somewhat mixed. The business expectations index for April-June 2007
declined by 7.1 percentage points from its level in the preceding quarter and by 6.0
percentage points from its level a year ago. The outlook for July-September 2007 appears
to be optimistic with 54 per cent of the respondents expecting an improvement in the
overall business situation on the back of increase in production, order books and capacity
utilisation. As in April-June 2007 a majority of respondents expect no change in the
financial situation, working capital finance requirements, availability of finance and in
profit margins. The overall business expectations index for July-September 2007 declined
by 3.8 percentage points from its level in the previous quarter and by 5.4 percentage
points from a year ago.
99
100
Net capital flows were buoyant in 2006-07, nearly doubling to US $ 44.9 billion from US
$ 23.4 billion in 2005-06. Sizeable increases in net inflows were received under foreign
direct investment (FDI), non-resident Indian (NRI) deposits, external commercial
borrowings (ECB), external assistance and short-term credit while net portfolio inflows
moderated in relation to their levels in the preceding year. There was bi-directional
movement in direct investment flows with Indian corporates exhibiting a strong appetite
for global expansion. As regards inward FDI, sectors such as manufacturing and
construction, financial and banking services and information technology services were
the main recipients in the net inflows of US $ 8.4 billion in 2006-07, sizeably higher than
US $ 4.7 billion in 2005-06. Net ECB disbursements accounted for a third of total net
capital inflows in 2006-07, reflecting extremely favourable conditions for Indian
borrowers in the global financial markets. Net portfolio inflows were lower at US $ 7.1
billion than US $ 12.5 billion in 2005-06, partly due to volatility in Asian and global
equity markets in February-March 2007. On the other hand, American Depository
Receipts/Global Depository Receipts (ADRs/GDRs) issuances remained buoyant as
corporates took advantage of favourable external market conditions to issue equities
abroad. NRI deposits increased by US $ 3.9 billion as compared with US $ 2.8 billion in
the previous year.During the first two months of 2007-08, developments in the external
sector indicate sustained strength and resilience. Export growth rose to 20.2 per cent from
19.2 per cent in the corresponding period of the previous year. Imports also posted a
sharp rise of 33.0 per cent as compared with 16.9 per cent in the corresponding period of
the previous year. Non-POL imports rose by 47.3 per cent whereas oil imports remained
broadly stable at the level recorded a year ago. As a result, the merchandise trade deficit
widened to US $ 13.3 billion during April-May 2007 from US $ 8.2 billion in April-May
2006.
101
Global Economy:
In the US, real GDP growth which had decelerated to 0.6 per cent in the first quarter of
2007, accelerated to 3.4 per cent in the second quarter of 2007 as compared to 2.6 per
cent a year ago, reflecting positive contributions from narrowing trade deficit,
commercial structures investment, personal consumption expenditure and government
spending, partly offset by a decrease in residential fixed investment. Several headwinds
to growth are, however, evident in the weak growth in incomes and consumer spending
and the continued weakness in the sub-prime housing sector which is spilling over to
higher quality credit market as also into debt and equity markets.
Risks to the outlook for global growth and financial markets from the prolonged slump in
the US housing market have become accentuated with the adverse developments in the
subprime mortgage market that surfaced in late 2006 and has continued into 2007. In the
recent period, solvency threats to hedge funds with large subprime exposure have
increased the danger of event risk in leveraged loan and junk bond markets from the
collapse in prices of illiquid or hard-to-trade securities linked to subprime loans. Limits
on redemptions by several hedge funds and the ensuing flight to quality has raised
concerns that contagion could spread across credit markets and corporate bond markets in
a spiral of repricing, tighter mortgage and borrowing conditions, falling house prices and
slower consumption growth which could ultimately drag down US and global economic
growth. Regulators and monetary authorities have expressed concern about the
vulnerability of the global financial system due to excessive leveraging and gaps in
creditor supervision in the context of rising levels of widely diffused risks.
In the overall assessment, therefore, domestic economic activity has continued to expand
at a strong pace and there are indications that the impulses of growth are getting broadbased. The recent gains in bringing down inflation and in stabilising inflation
expectations should support the current expansionary phase of the growth cycle. While
noting the inflation environment in recent weeks, it is necessary to continuously assess
the risks to the inflation outlook emanating from high and volatile international crude
prices, the continuing firmness in key food prices and the uncertainties surrounding the
evolution of demand-supply gaps globally as well as in India. It is also necessary to note
that demand pressures and cyclical effects persist, mirrored in investment and consumer
demand, monetary and banking aggregates, capacity constraints and a widening trade
Foreign Exchange Exposure
102
103
Canara Bank is one of the good banks in Hubli city, which provides almost all
facilities to its customers. They had opened a stall in Hubli Expo, held in Indira
Glasshouse.
Hubli is not a major city in forex market like Bangalore. But there are some
players in Hubli, they trade very cautiously. But some need training programs,
seminars, some knowledge to trade in forex market.
As per some samples we found it out that, almost all exporters or importers trades
in only currency, i.e., USD. Because of Dollar depreciation they are in some
currency loss. So to avoid this risk or exposure they can go for currency
diversification. For that they require some guidelines. Anyhow now banks are
ready for that.
Canara Bank, Forex Cell is very cautious regarding the risk arises in forex market.
And they are having some techniques and tools to minimize those risks. They are
in the theory of Prevention better than cure. Means, before causing something
now only they are takes some steps to avoid the adverse effect.
But Trading Firms are not in the position to recognize the risk. Then minimizing
is secondary. Any how they need some training programs.
104
1. To Bank:
And others (i.e, especially companies) will feel, you are doing
social welfare. And they are very happy to close with you.
Existing customers will feel proud for their bank and they are also
give some good word of mouth.
By this Hubli also recognize itself in forex market. And more and
more traders will create, because some are hesitate to export or
import the goods, if you made easy then many traders may ready to
come in forex market. All these credit will goes to Canara Bank.
2. To Trading Firms:
105
As per this report we have said some tools and techniques, where
everyone can easily understand the future volatility.
As a general:
Nevertheless, given this economic verity, it is important that exporters, in particular, and
Indian businesses, in general, recalibrate their position. These include:
106
CONCLUSION
Now banks are moving towards their core business to other businesses like
mutual fund, stock market and forex market also. Because of low IRP
(Interest Rate Parity) between deposit and lending.
Hubli also one of growing city in Karnataka. So year on year new firms
are establishing and some existing firms are also ready to enter into forex
market.
But trading firms are not having that much of knowledge as for as Forex
Market concern. They required much training and knowledgeable persons
to conduct their business of import / export.
107
Some firms, they do not know whether they are in exposure or not. So it
is a time to all banks and especially EXIM bank to conduct some seminars
to all exporters and importers and especially to all traders of Forex Market
situated in North Karnataka.
108
109
USD
45.05
44.95
44.85
44.67
44.66
44.28
44.38
44.15
44.26
44.17
44.31
44.51
44.36
44.36
44.15
44.21
44.29
44.15
44.14
44.07
44.15
44.31
44.23
44.2
44.27
44.2
44.21
44.26
44.22
44.27
44.3
44.46
44.43
44.4
44.51
44.56
44.45
44.42
44.44
44.35
44.34
44.36
44.32
44.33
44.42
44.55
SMA
EMA
FORMULA OF EMA
44.3985
44.3535
44.3215
44.2905
44.267
44.2475
44.2435
44.235
44.2405
44.2385
44.2435
44.243
44.2405
44.244
44.246
44.264
44.2815
44.2895
44.303
44.318
44.332
44.3415
44.344
44.3485
44.355
44.3625
44.38
44.3985
44.39421
44.38728
44.37805
44.36747
44.35603
44.3453
44.33479
44.3258
44.31748
44.31043
44.304
44.29794
44.2928
44.28834
44.28602
44.28559
44.28596
44.28759
44.29049
44.29444
44.29893
44.30323
44.30754
44.31207
44.31687
44.32289
`=(((C22-D21)*0.095328095)+D21)
110
44.5
44.53
44.47
44.3945
44.408
44.4205
44.32972
44.33718
44.34512
RSI
Date
2/1/2006
3/1/2006
4/1/2006
5/1/2006
6/1/2006
9/1/2006
10/1/2006
12/1/2006
13/01/2006
16/01/2006
17/01/2006
18/01/2006
19/01/2006
20/01/2006
23/01/2006
24/01/2006
25/01/2006
27/01/2006
30/01/2006
31/01/2006
1/2/2006
2/2/2006
3/2/2006
6/2/2006
7/2/2006
8/2/2006
10/2/2006
13/02/2006
14/02/2006
15/02/2006
16/02/2006
17/02/2006
20/02/2006
21/02/2006
22/02/2006
23/02/2006
24/02/2006
27/02/2006
28/02/2006
1/3/2006
USD
45.05
44.95
44.85
44.67
44.66
44.28
44.38
44.15
44.26
44.17
44.31
44.51
44.36
44.36
44.15
44.21
44.29
44.15
44.14
44.07
44.15
44.31
44.23
44.2
44.27
44.2
44.21
44.26
44.22
44.27
44.3
44.46
44.43
44.4
44.51
44.56
44.45
44.42
44.44
44.35
Change
-0.100
-0.100
-0.180
-0.010
-0.380
0.100
-0.230
0.110
-0.090
0.140
0.200
-0.150
0.000
-0.210
0.060
0.080
-0.140
-0.010
-0.070
0.080
0.160
-0.080
-0.030
0.070
-0.070
0.010
0.050
-0.040
0.050
0.030
0.160
-0.030
-0.030
0.110
0.050
-0.110
-0.030
0.020
-0.090
Advance
Decline
Avg.
Gain
Avg.
Loss
NR
DR
RS
RSI
0.1
0.1
0.18
0.01
0.38
0.100
0.23
0.110
0.09
0.140
0.200
0.000
0.15
0
0.21
0.060
0.080
0.14
0.01
0.07
0.080
0.160
0.08
0.03
0.070
0.07
0.010
0.050
0.04
0.050
0.030
0.160
0.03
0.03
0.110
0.050
0.11
0.03
0.020
0.09
`=100-100/(1+J17))
`=H17/I17
`=(((F16*13)+D17)/14)
0.039 0.104 `=(F16*13+D17)/14
0.041 0.096 0.041
0.096
0.044 0.089 0.044
0.089
0.040 0.093 0.040
0.093
0.038 0.087 0.038
0.087
0.035 0.086 0.035
0.086
0.038 0.080 0.038
0.080
0.047 0.074 0.047
0.074
0.043 0.074 0.043
0.074
0.040 0.071 0.040
0.071
0.042 0.066 0.042
0.066
0.039 0.066 0.039
0.066
0.037 0.062 0.037
0.062
0.038 0.057 0.038
0.057
0.036 0.056 0.036
0.056
0.037 0.052 0.037
0.052
0.036 0.048 0.036
0.048
0.045 0.045 0.045
0.045
0.042 0.044 0.042
0.044
0.039 0.043 0.039
0.043
0.044 0.040 0.044
0.040
0.044 0.037 0.044
0.037
0.041 0.042 0.041
0.042
0.038 0.041 0.038
0.041
0.037 0.038 0.037
0.038
0.034 0.042 0.034
0.042
111
0.424
0.488
0.435
0.432
0.407
0.478
0.633
0.584
0.567
0.642
0.594
0.605
0.668
0.634
0.702
0.747
1.002
0.953
0.905
1.102
1.199
0.976
0.925
0.962
0.815
29.769
32.789
30.331
30.157
28.908
32.357
38.758
36.879
36.170
39.109
37.262
37.714
40.043
38.793
41.261
42.752
50.038
48.785
47.503
52.437
54.530
49.383
48.051
49.038
44.904
0.040
0.037
0.037
0.034
0.032
0.031
0.029
0.027
DATE
2/6/2006
5/6/2006
6/6/2006
7/6/2006
8/6/2006
9/6/2006
12/6/2006
13/06/2006
14/06/2006
15/06/2006
16/06/2006
19/06/2006
20/06/2006
21/06/2006
22/06/2006
23/06/2006
26/06/2006
27/06/2006
28/06/2006
29/06/2006
30/06/2006
3/7/2006
4/7/2006
5/7/2006
6/7/2006
7/7/2006
10/7/2006
11/7/2006
12/7/2006
13/07/2006
14/07/2006
17/07/2006
18/07/2006
19/07/2006
20/07/2006
21/07/2006
24/07/2006
25/07/2006
26/07/2006
27/07/2006
28/07/2006
31/07/2006
0.040
0.037
0.037
0.034
0.800
0.839
0.774
0.795
USD
46.17
45.82
45.92
45.93
46.06
45.92
45.88
46.04
45.98
45.91
45.92
45.89
45.91
45.92
46.01
46.2
46.34
46.36
46.4
46.34
46.08
45.98
46.01
46.03
46.15
46.12
46.06
46.21
46.21
46.29
46.43
46.44
46.73
46.95
46.84
46.83
46.93
46.81
46.85
46.64
46.56
46.51
112
44.456
45.625
43.646
44.296
44.32
44.33
44.42
44.55
44.5
44.53
44.47
44.41
46.52
46.56
46.55
46.46
46.48
46.45
46.52
46.56
46.5
46.61
46.56
46.52
46.51
46.55
46.53
46.44
46.22
46.21
46.1
46.2
46.27
46.34
46.22
46.15
46.13
46.12
46.11
46.05
45.88
45.94
45.86
45.97
45.92
45.92
45.96
45.84
45.69
45.71
45.61
45.72
23/05/2006
24/05/2006
25/05/2006
26/05/2006
29/05/2006
30/05/2006
31/05/2006
1/6/2006
27/10/2006
30/10/2006
31/10/2006
1/11/2006
2/11/2006
3/11/2006
6/11/2006
7/11/2006
8/11/2006
9/11/2006
10/11/2006
13/11/2006
14/11/2006
15/11/2006
16/11/2006
17/11/2006
20/11/2006
21/11/2006
22/11/2006
23/11/2006
24/11/2006
27/11/2006
28/11/2006
29/11/2006
30/11/2006
1/12/2006
4/12/2006
5/12/2006
6/12/2006
7/12/2006
8/12/2006
11/12/2006
12/12/2006
13/12/2006
14/12/2006
15/12/2006
18/12/2006
19/12/2006
20/12/2006
21/12/2006
45.52
45.73
45.85
45.85
45.97
46.19
46.43
46.22
45.22
45.09
45.02
44.93
44.93
44.84
44.86
44.83
44.68
44.65
44.45
44.9
45.16
45.34
45.17
45.01
44.86
44.99
44.75
44.7
44.87
44.64
44.74
44.65
44.76
44.67
44.59
44.56
44.51
44.66
44.69
44.76
44.82
44.83
44.74
44.66
44.79
44.83
44.74
44.73
1/8/2006
2/8/2006
3/8/2006
4/8/2006
7/8/2006
8/8/2006
9/8/2006
10/8/2006
10/1/2007
11/1/2007
12/1/2007
15/01/2007
16/01/2007
17/01/2007
18/01/2007
19/01/2007
22/01/2007
23/01/2007
24/01/2007
25/01/2007
29/01/2007
31/01/2007
2/2/2007
5/2/2007
6/2/2007
7/2/2007
8/2/2007
9/2/2007
12/2/2007
13/02/2007
14/02/2007
15/02/2007
19/02/2007
20/02/2007
21/02/2007
22/02/2007
23/02/2007
26/02/2007
27/02/2007
28/02/2007
1/3/2007
2/3/2007
5/3/2007
6/3/2007
7/3/2007
8/3/2007
9/3/2007
12/3/2007
46.65
46.56
46.72
46.54
46.49
46.59
46.53
46.43
44.53
44.56
44.61
44.31
44.32
44.27
44.25
44.34
44.21
44.21
44.23
44.24
44.27
44.17
44.11
44.11
44.13
44.09
44.12
44.06
44.18
44.17
44.16
44.09
44.07
44.2
44.19
44.25
44.28
44.17
44.2
44.31
44.27
44.28
44.49
44.56
44.5
44.44
44.27
44.22
113
45.74
45.76
45.6
45.49
45.46
45.36
45.26
45.32
45.31
45.4
45.3
43.59
43.13
42.9
43.15
42.88
42.86
42.87
42.86
42.74
42.3
41.73
41.89
42.15
41.99
41.67
41.64
40.97
40.78
41.07
41.29
41.18
40.9
40.57
40.78
40.91
41
41.34
40.93
40.87
40.84
40.84
40.9
40.6
40.64
40.55
40.57
40.6
22/12/2006
26/12/2006
27/12/2006
28/12/2006
29/12/2006
2/1/2007
3/1/2007
4/1/2007
5/1/2007
8/1/2007
9/1/2007
15/06/2007
18/06/2007
19/06/2007
20/06/2007
21/06/2007
22/06/2007
25/06/2007
26/06/2007
27/06/2007
28/06/2007
29/06/2007
2/7/2007
3/7/2007
4/7/2007
5/7/2007
6/7/2007
9/7/2007
10/7/2007
11/7/2007
12/7/2007
13/07/2007
16/07/2007
17/07/2007
18/07/2007
19/07/2007
20/07/2007
23/07/2007
24/07/2007
25/07/2007
26/07/2007
27/07/2007
30/07/2007
31/07/2007
1/8/2007
2/8/2007
3/8/2007
6/8/2007
44.59
44.54
44.39
44.36
44.23
44.2
44.33
44.42
44.3
44.42
44.47
40.97
40.76
40.7
40.82
40.75
40.71
40.81
40.95
41.01
40.84
40.75
40.66
40.58
40.49
40.46
40.46
40.41
40.41
40.38
40.38
40.47
40.37
40.36
40.4
40.39
40.33
40.34
40.24
40.3
40.27
40.48
40.54
40.44
40.55
40.43
40.36
40.45
13/03/2007
14/03/2007
15/03/2007
16/03/2007
20/03/2007
21/03/2007
22/03/2007
23/03/2007
26/03/2007
28/03/2007
29/03/2007
29/08/2007
30/08/2007
31/08/2007
3/9/2007
4/9/2007
5/9/2007
6/9/2007
7/9/2007
10/9/2007
11/9/2007
12/9/2007
13/09/2007
14/09/2007
17/09/2007
18/09/2007
19/09/2007
20/09/2007
21/09/2007
24/09/2007
25/09/2007
26/09/2007
27/09/2007
28/09/2007
1/10/2007
3/10/2007
4/10/2007
5/10/2007
8/10/2007
9/10/2007
10/10/2007
11/10/2007
12/10/2007
15/10/2007
16/10/2007
17/10/2007
18/10/2007
19/10/2007
44.22
44.31
44.22
44.17
43.98
43.63
43.66
43.7
43.39
43.14
43.47
41.24
41.04
40.96
40.88
40.91
40.94
40.85
40.71
40.63
40.58
40.49
40.44
40.45
40.47
40.59
40.26
39.91
39.87
39.82
39.81
39.7
39.75
39.74
39.73
39.79
39.56
39.49
39.43
39.55
39.34
39.31
39.33
39.31
39.31
39.68
39.47
39.79
114
40.53
40.45
40.64
40.73
40.54
40.47
40.56
40.55
40.63
40.98
40.91
40.73
40.93
40.84
39.33
39.39
39.33
39.28
39.35
39.29
39.34
39.39
39.41
39.57
39.68
39.85
39.68
39.77
39.67
39.56
39.43
39.45
39.47
39.41
39.38
39.36
39.36
39.37
39.35
39.37
39.57
39.55
39.57
39.49
39.39
39.43
39.44
39.41
7/8/2007
8/8/2007
9/8/2007
10/8/2007
13/08/2007
14/08/2007
16/08/2007
17/08/2007
21/08/2007
22/08/2007
23/08/2007
24/08/2007
27/08/2007
28/08/2007
24/01/2008
25/01/2008
28/01/2008
29/01/2008
30/01/2008
31/01/2008
1/2/2008
4/2/2008
5/2/2008
6/2/2008
7/2/2008
8/2/2008
11/2/2008
12/2/2008
13/02/2008
14/02/2008
15/02/2008
18/02/2008
19/02/2008
20/02/2008
21/02/2008
22/02/2008
25/02/2008
3/3/2008
4/3/2008
5/3/2008
7/3/2008
10/3/2008
11/3/2008
12/3/2008
13/03/2008
14/03/2008
17/03/2008
18/03/2008
40.37
40.58
40.4
40.67
40.56
40.69
41.09
41.57
41.06
41.01
40.86
41.18
40.98
41.12
39.43
39.4
39.47
39.4
39.43
39.39
39.36
39.38
39.43
39.6
39.48
39.55
39.73
39.65
39.68
39.65
39.66
39.66
39.87
40.15
40.07
39.98
40.05
40.26
40.29
40.29
40.53
40.67
40.47
40.36
40.44
40.45
40.77
40.62
22/10/2007
23/10/2007
24/10/2007
25/10/2007
26/10/2007
29/10/2007
30/10/2007
31/10/2007
1/11/2007
2/11/2007
5/11/2007
6/11/2007
7/11/2007
8/11/2007
7/1/2008
8/1/2008
9/1/2008
10/1/2008
11/1/2008
14/01/2008
15/01/2008
16/01/2008
17/01/2008
18/01/2008
21/01/2008
22/01/2008
23/01/2008
27/03/2008
28/03/2008
31/03/2008
39.79
39.69
39.57
39.54
39.51
39.38
39.4
39.32
39.32
39.37
39.32
39.29
39.27
39.34
39.28
39.27
39.29
39.29
39.29
39.29
39.27
39.27
39.29
39.27
39.38
39.73
39.56
40.15
40.1
39.97
115
39.42
39.43
39.45
39.32
19/03/2008
24/03/2008
25/03/2008
26/03/2008
40.45
40.34
40.12
40.14
Questionnaire:
Respected sir/madam,
Pavan Kulkarni, fourth semester student of KLESS IMSR, thank you for agreeing to
participate in the survey. Your inputs will be valuable for us, please feel free to express
your frank opinion on all issues. Your responses are entirely anonymous.
Name of the Organization
:
Address of the Organization :
Business of the Organization :
Import/Export/Both
Designation:
2.
3.
7 to 9 times
4 to 6 times
GBP
EURO
116
Mode of Payment
Advance Payment
5.
6.
7.
8.
Bills Collection
Letter of Credit
If any other please specify: _____________________
What are the risks involved in forex market according to you?
1)__________________________
2)____________________________
3)__________________________
4)____________________________
What the techniques you are using to minimize these exposures / risks?
Hedging
Options Market
Lead or Lags
What are the techniques you are using to forecast the exchange rates?
1)__________________________
2)____________________________
3)__________________________
4)____________________________
If you have branches in other countries, how you translate the P&L A/c and
Balance Sheet, What are the risks involved in it?
1)__________________________
9.
2)____________________________
2)____________________________
10.
What are the privileges you are enjoying, provided from Governments (S/C)?
11.
117
12.
BIBILOGRAPHY
www.rbi.org.in
www.khsitij.com
www.google.com
www.nse-india.com
Business world magazine
Business & Economy - magazine
Business Standard Daily Newspaper
Business Line Daily Newspaper
118