JEAN LEADS FORT MCMURRAY-CONKLIN

April 23rd, 2015. A new poll by Mainstreet Technologies in the electoral district of Fort McMurray-Conklin
shows Wildrose leader Brian Jean ahead over PC candidate Don Scott. With 343 respondents the poll
carries a margin of error of +/- 5.21, 19 times out of 20.
Mainstreet is taking a close look at 6 key electoral districts as determined by the Calgary Herald and
Edmonton Journal. Today also saw results released for Fort McMurray Conklin.
This was a close race in 2012 decided by just over 400 votes, said David Valentin, Vice-President of
Mainstreet Technologies. If Fort McMurray-Conklin has the same turnout as 2012 that is essentially the lead
we are looking at. 8% is roughly 426 votes.
"This is a riding that had low turnout in 2012, but the dynamics of the race are strong for Brian Jean though
Don Scott is holding on. Right now, Scott is surprisingly competitive. All that being said, Brian Jean will
continue to headline provincial media, this is really coming down to a race of two strong local
personalities, he finished.
Highlights:
- Brian Jean, leader of the Wildrose Party, leads 33% to 25% among all voters
- Among decided voters it is 43% to 32% over PC Candidate Don Scott
-30For more information or phone interview:
David Valentin, (613) 698-5524 - david@mainstreettechnologies.ca
Methodology
The poll surveyed a random sample 343 Fort McMurray-Conklin residents by Interactive Voice Response
(IVR) on April 21st, 2015. All Mainstreet polls include cell phone samples unless otherwise stated.
About Mainstreet Technologies
Mainstreet Technologies is an emerging national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience
at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public affairs.
Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion,
having predicted a majority PC government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia,
and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of
Novembers Toronto mayoral election and Februarys by-election in Sudbury.

If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your
local constituency?
MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)
BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)
ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)
DON SCOTT (PC)
UNDECIDED

BREAKDOWNS

5%
33%
14%
25%
24%

MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)

BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)
ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)
DON SCOTT (PC)
UNDECIDED
SAMPLE

18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Male Female

2%
10%
6%
1% 5%
6%
26% 38% 36% 42% 35% 30%
10%
13%
17% 7% 12%
16%
32%
21%
22% 33% 21% 28%
30%
18%
19% 16% 28% 19%
39
80
115
109 168
175

MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL)

BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)
ARIANA MANCINI (NDP)
DON SCOTT (PC)
UNDECIDED

CERTAIN LIKELY MIGHT UNLIKELY

5%
2%
1%
8%
34%
33%
34%
25%
14%
5%
16%
31%
27%
35%
23%
21%
21%
25%
27%
15%

If the provincial election were held tomorrow, who would you vote for in your
local constituency?
MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL) 7%
BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE) 43%
ARIANA MANCINI (NDP) 18%
DON SCOTT (PC) 32%

40

30

20

All Voters

Decided Only

MELINDA HOLLIS (LIBERAL) BRIAN JEAN (WILDROSE)

ARIANA MANCINI (NDP) DON SCOTT (PC) UNDECIDED

32%

18%

43%

7%

24%

25%

14%

33%

5%

10