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How will
Lancashire shale
gas impact the
GB energy
market?
Lancashire
25
No shale
Lancashire shale
20
bcm/year
100%
98%
15
10
96%
100
100
80
80
60
60
2034
4
LNG
Norway
IC
Indigenous
(shale)
Indigenous
(conventional)
Storage
2034
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
Demand
2014
2034
2032
2030
2028
-20
2026
-20
2024
2022
2020
20
2018
20
2016
40
2014
40
2032
2030
bcm
120
bcm
120
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2034
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2032
92%
2012
94%
4
COPYRIGHTPYRY
GAS IMPORTS
GB used to be self-sufficient and export
natural gas, producing a peak of 115bcm
in 2000. Since then gas imports have
increased to such an extent that they
made up 66% of its gas in 2011 and the
expectation is for this trend to continue.
GB gas imports come from Norway,
continental Europe and from around the
world via LNG.
Major new facilities have been
constructed to support these imports in
the last 6 years at a total investment
of over 5.3billion.
50
98%
96%
2034
2032
2030
2028
92%
2026
94%
2024
2034
2032
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
2012
2030
10
2028
15
2026
Other renewables
Solar
Hydro
Biomass
Onshore wind
Offshore wind
2022
20
2020
25
100%
2018
30
2016
35
No shale
Cuadrilla shale
102%
2014
40
45
5
COPYRIGHTPYRY
16
Page 6 picture 1
500
400
300
200
Renewables target
COPYRIGHTPYRY
2034
2032
2030
2028
2026
2024
2022
2020
2018
2016
2014
100
0
Conclusion
This study found that shale gas production
in Lancashire, to the extent projected by
Cuadrilla, is likely to result in:
2012
600
15
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