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Volume 5, Issue I
Daily Exclusive
ORYZA Rice
Newsletter
Vietnam 5% broken
355-365
India 5% broken
370-380
Pakistan 5% broken
375-385
Myanmar 5% broken
415-425
Cambodia 5% broken
430-440
Uruguay 5% broken
565-575
Argentina 5% broken
555-565
350-360
330-340
330-340
345-355
470-480
380-390
385-395
555-565
570-580
Vietnam Jasmine
490-500
NQ
NQ
815-825
315-325
285-295
350-360
NQ
370-380
The decline of the euro against the dollar has made European rice more competitive, a bonus for
the Italian rice growing sector."At the end of this month we could have with no paddy left in our
warehouses", Giovanni Daghetta, head of European rice growers was quoted as saying. Up to the
end of April the 82.9% of stock availability (1,412,329 tons out of 1,151,841 tons) has already
been sold. One year ago, at the same date, 71.3% of stocks (1,045,499 tons out of availability of
1,466,412 tons) was sold.
The weaker euro against the U.S. dollar has made USD denominated rice prices more expensive
so EU rice buyers have been incentivized to buy more European rice, including Italian rice,
rather than importing rice from Asia. European rice exports appear to be growing as well; on
April 21 data supplied from EU showed that 171,445 tons of rice (basis milled) have been sold
abroad, a 21% increase over the 134,712 tons shipped by the same date of 2014.Later this week
an EU delegation will visit Italy to meet with local rice millers and farmers at the Expo in Milan.
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Italian farm gate paddy rice price indications are trending sideways from the previous week.
Quotes are higher than in the same period last year, but slightly lower than two weeks ago.
Paddy rice availability is really low: more than 81% of crop 2014 and remaining stocks has
already been sold. A local source says that by the end of May t there may be no more paddy rice
available on the market.
Below are farm gate paddy quotations supplied by Milan Grain Exchange, as of April 28:
Arborio-Volano rice was shown at 695-725 euros (about $ 777-810) per ton, unchanged from the
prior week.
Balilla, Centauro and similar varieties paddy price
s are firm at 415-430 euros (about $ 464-480) per ton, unchanged from the prior week.
Lido, Crono, Flipper and similar paddy varieties are unchanged at 360-375 euros (about $ 402419) per ton, on both weeks.
Padano-Argo was shown at 550-650 euros (about $ 615-727) per ton, unchanged from the prior
week.
Vialone Nano slightly is firm at 730-780 euros (about $ 816-872) unchanged from a week prior.
Thaibonnet and similar Indica varieties were indicated at 335-345 euros (about $ 374-385),
unchanged from a week prior.Sant'Andrea was quoted 560-610 euros (about $ 626-682) per ton
on April 14, unchanged from a week prior; Carnaroli was fixed at 695-725 euros (about $ 777810) per ton, unchanged from a week prior.
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Nigerian rice importers and the Nigeria Customs Service (NCS) are at a standoff over N20
billion (about $100 million) in unpaid rice import duties. Its very unlikely the duties will be
paid, or certainly not paid in full, say locals. Importers have ignore the April 14 deadline the
NCS set and have so far not been arrested by the NCS or any agency, according to local media.
One major rice producer and importer expects a waiver, and locals say the company is likely to
get it, since it invests in Nigerian rice production and milling.
Other importers say they should be off the hook amid a change of government on May 29, 2015
when the in-coming government of Muhammadu Buhari is expected to give them the
opportunity to re-negotiate the outstanding import duties.
Chicago rough rice futures for Jul delivery settled 10 cents per cwt (about $2 per ton) lower at
$10.105 per cwt (about $223 per ton). Rough rice futures erased overnight gains to close lower
once again today as the bears continue to dominate price action and have now dragged the July
future contract within striking distance of psychological support at $10.000 per cwt (about $220
per ton). Todays action provides a negative forecast for tomorrows trade direction and indicates
that the current downtrend will remain intact.
The other grains finished the day with mixed results; Soybeans closed about 1.2% higher at
$9.7625 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.3% lower at $4.7275 per bushel, and corn finished
the day about 0.3% lower at $3.5875 per bushel.U.S. stocks traded higher on Monday, following
positive momentum from Europe, as investors looked ahead to a week of Federal Reserve
speeches and economic data that could shed light on the timing of an interest rate hike. The S&P
500 attempted to hold above its closing high of 2,117.69, as utilities gained more than 1% to lead
nearly all sectors higher. The Dow Jones industrial average briefly added 100 points and held
above 18,000, about one percent away from its closing high.
Ahead of Friday's important jobs report for the month of April, factory orders for March showed
a gain of 2.1%, the biggest increase in eight months and above expectations of a 1.9% increase.
However, the underlying trend remained weak against the backdrop of a strong dollar. The first
of several central bank policymakers to speak this week, Chicago Fed's Charles Evans said that
hiking interest rates does not seem appropriate until next year due to the weak first quarter. His
address came at the annual meeting of the Columbus Economic Development Board. San
Francisco Fed President, John Williams, will speak later in the day on job creation at a separate
event. Analysts also noted market optimism on potential for mergers and acquisitions. The Dow
Jones industrial average gained 62 points, or 0.34%, at 18,086.
The S&P 500 traded up 7 points, or 0.36%, at 2,116, with utilities leading all sectors except
materials higher. The Nasdaq traded up 20 points, or 0.40%, at 5,025. Gold is trading about 1.3%
higher, crude oil is seen trading about 0.8% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1%
higher at about 1:00pm Chicago time.Friday, there were 1,060 contracts traded, up from 951
The U.S. cash market was unchanged today after the Iraqi Grain Board failed to announce a
winner on their latest white rice tender today leading some analysts believe that the chances of
the U.S. being awarded on this tender to be slim to none.Sellers remain hard to come by at the
current levels however some analysts believe that they should be getting nervous as weather
forecasts for the next week show favorable planting conditions dissuading fears that acreage
would decline due to delayed planting.
In the meantime, the USDA estimates that as of May 3rd, 61% of the US rice crop had been
planted which is 6% ahead of this time last year but 1% behind the previous 5-year average. As
of now, the USDA estimates that farmers have planted at 64% of their rice crop in Arkansas,
38% in California, 88% in Louisiana, 66% in Mississippi, 37% in Missouri, and 65% in
Texas.The USDA also estimates that 37% of the crop has emerged which was on par with this
this time last year but 8% behind of the previous 5-year average. As of now, the USDA estimates
that 33% of the rice crop in Arkansas has emerged compared to , 15% in California, 80% in
Louisiana, 37% in Mississippi, 6% in Missouri, and 63% in Texas.
Chicago rough rice futures for Jul delivery are currently seen 9.5 cents per cwt (about $2 per ton)
higher at $10.300 per cwt (about $227 per ton) during early floor trading in Chicago. The other
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