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SPE/DOE 9839
Society
Petroleum Engineers
U.S. Department
of Energy
ABSTRACT
For low-permeability fractured reservoirs,
pseudosteady-state flow behavior may not occur for a
considerable amount of time, if at all. As is well
known, post-frac performance history in lowpermeability formations thus differs dramatically
from that expected in medium- to high-permeability
reservoirs after fracture treatment where
pseudosteady-state flow may occur soon after
treatment. Also, the presence of a finite flow
capacity fracture, as often results in lowpermeability reservoirs stimulated by large
treatments, will affect performance history.
INTRODUCTION
In the past few years, advancements in
hydraulic fracturing techniques and improved natural
gas pricing have resulted in increased development
of low-permeability reservoirs in various areas.
While several factors determine the profitability of
each area, one of the most important variables for
proper economic evaluation of low-permeability
formations is an accurate forecast, or time-rating,
of recovery rates. Since exploitation of lowpermeability reservoirs has begun, it has been
realized that performance forecasts using the more
standard time-rating techniques often do not match
actual rate performance. More specificially,
observed producing rates in the field tend to
decline rapidly and non-linearly from immediate
post-fracture rates for a certain length of time
prior to stabilization at fairly constant, sometimes
low, rates. This behavior has a direct influence on
the overall economics and the optimization of
fracture treatment des ign in low'-permeabil ity
reservoirs.
455 <P\li Ct i A
For an oi 1 we 11,
ReCiprocal dimensionless rate,
qo
kht-.p
141.2 q\lB
(4)
For a gas we 11 ,
Finite Fracture Capacity, Constant Pressure
Performance
CfD
kh6(p )
1424 q\lzT
(5)
kht-.m(p)
1424qT
(6)
J. K. THOMPSON
SPE/OOE 9839
For all we 11 s ,
PwD
kfw
.
Oimensionless fracture capaclty, FCD = - - '" .(7)
kXf
The use of Figure 2 for performance prediction
of hydraulically fractured wells in low-permeability
reservoirs is relatively simple. To use this
method, one can simply calculate tOx at a given
time, and then read a corresponding t/qO from Figure
2 at the particular FCO for the well. Then, actual
rate, q, for a gas well, as an example, could be
solved as follows:
q
khll(p2)
.................... (8)
'f
> 1. 0)
khll(p2)
1424
q~lZT
........................... (9)
(6)
SPE/DOE 9839
1.
IlI$
Perhaps the best way to obtain an accurate insitu formation permeability is by pressure transient
testing prior to the fracture treatment. This is
highly recommended.
Cores should be occasionally obtained in lowpermeability areas, particularly in early wells.
Measurements of air permeability, porosity, and
water saturations should be taken. The effective
permeability to oil or gas under overburden stress
should be measured.
CASE HISTORIES
J. K. THOMPSON
SPE/DOE 9839
those cases where estimates of k, xf' and FCD appear
reasonable from either fracture design calculations
or pressure transient surveys. Data for the four
wells listed in Table 1 was used to calculate rates
using equations (3) through (7) as applicable.
Ordinate values for l/qo were obtained from
Figure 2 for tDx ~ 1 and approximated from Figure 5
for tOx > 1. Frgures 6-9 illustrate the projected
Subscripts
CONCLUSIONS
The constant pressure, finite fracture capacity
type curves are useful in predicting rate performance
in tight gas formations. This illustrated prediction
method is relatively simple, and the equations and
type curve data can be programmed for easy use.
However, limitations do exist especially for latetime est imates where t oxf > 1. It is stressed that
calculated rates and corresponding cumulative
recoveries should be compared to volumetric recovery
estimates and/or offset, older well performance.
NOMENCLATURE
k
kf
kh
kfw
m(p)
l:I m(p)
p
Pe
e
f
dimensionless variable
external boundary
fracture
initial
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
I express my appreciation to Barbara Adams,
Justin King. Glenn Martin and Ray Rivero of ARCO Oil
and Gas for their comments and advice on the
suggested prediction method presented in this paper.
I also thank Kathy Mosley for typing the manuscript
and Barbara Grossman for the graphics art work.
REFERENCES
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
7.
8.
9.
SPE/DOE 9839
10.
11.
12.
TABLE 1
EXAMPLE WELL DATA
WELL A
Locat ion
State
County
Geologic Basin
Format ion
NW New Mex i co
San Juan
San Juan
Mesaverde
WELL B
5626
(1715)
136500
157000
1175
600
173
29
0.04
0.08
0.0143
5.2E-04
1030
500
320
(517)
(71214 )
(8101)
(4137)
(78)
(8.8)
WELL C
S. Texas
Zapata
W. Gulf Coast
Wilcox
( .0000143)
(7.5E-05)
(314)
(1295000 )
11450
(3490)
240000
480000
7040
6705
350
35
0.1
0.2
0.02
2.0E-04
1050
5
100
(908)
(217724)
( 48539)
( 46229)
(177)
(10.7)
S. Colorado
Rio Bl anco
San Juan
Mancos "B"
(930)
9069
(2764 )
(303)
80000
195000
(88450)
(4261)
618
(2213)
321
(49)
120
(29.9)
98
0.054
0.099
0.012
( .000012)
1. 2E-03
(1. 7E-04)
(17.4 )
57**
300
160
(647500)
441895
640000
4700
500
248
130
0.003
0.09
0.023
1.IE-04
1000
500
320
(1673)
(290299)
(32405)
(3447)
(120)
(39.6)
3050
( .00002)
(2.9E-05)
(320)
(404687)
Obtained from pre-frac design calculations and/or pressure transient survey analyses.
** Problems occurred with the frac treatment; pressure transient analysis of post-frac buildup indicated xf
57'
.l2
TABLE 2
EXAMPLE CALCULATIONS FOR WELL A
0.000264 (.04) t
.08 (.0143) (5.2E-04) (1030)2
10- 4 t, t in days
0.1466 t, t in years
m(Pi)
m(pwf}
t.m(p}
8.044 x 10 7 psF/cp
2.01xl0- 3
6.02xlO- 3
1. 20x10- 2
7.35xlO- 2
1.47x10- 1
2.93xl0- 1
5.86x10- 1
8.79xlO- 1
1.173
1.466
2.199
2.932
3.664
4.397
5.136
.014
.041
.082
0.5
1
2
4
6
8
10
15
20
25
30
35
psi)
600 psi)
= 103.52
l/qO
t,years
= 1175
0.115*
0.197*
0.274*
0.592*
0.767*
0.978*
1.232*
1. 373*
1. 50**
1.62**
1. 95**
2.25**
2.50**
2.85**
3.10**
1/qO
q, MCF/D
900
525
378
175
135
106
84
75
69
64
53
46
41
36
33
MMCF***
6
11
18
54
81
124
192
250
302
351
462
562
656
746
833
**
and xf
***
1030' .
E. Texas
Pano 1a
Cotton Valley Trend
Cotton Valley
1867'
( .000023)
(1.6E-05)
( 305)
(1295000)
I BI Elliptical Flow
1~\\\7r7?\
\JJJ..J.~~~\,v
I CI Pseudo- Radial Flow or Pseudo steady -State Flow
,/\il&~\,
",/
''</1))''
For pseudo-radial flow, r<xe'
For pseudo steady- state flow, r = xe'
Fig. 1
10----------~----------_r----------,_----------~--------_,
Dimensionless Time, t Ox f
log-log
Agarwal,
1or-----------.-----------.-----------.-----------.---------~
165
10"3
10- 2
Dimensionless Time, t ox ,
10 __----------~----------r-----------~----------~--------~10
Constant Pressure
Constant Rate
Fig. 4
A comparison of constant
type curves for finite capacity
rate
102r---------------,----------------r--------------~----------------~------------~
,
J
----:::-:/
--/"" --- -
---;::..;
--~
/""~
----~
/""
10
10,000
10,000
Well A
fI-
1000
lIl-
Il-
I-
100
~
"
::
;:
Well 8
lI-
Mesaverde Formation
New Mexico
f-
Wilcox Formation
South Texas
-Actual
I-
-Actual
- - Predicted
- - Predicted
!-"
1000
~\f\
...
I- '
~-
....
100
l-
~----- ......
_-
.....
- ... ----~
;:
lIlI-
IlI-
r-
II10
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
10
1978
Fig. 7 - A
performance
1979
1960
1981
1982
10,000 _ - - -.....----.,.--"'1""------------..
Well C
Mancus '8' Formation
South Colorado
-Actual
- - Predicted
1000~------~------~r_------4_------_+--------~
""LL
()
:::e
100~--~--~------~r_------4_------_4--------~
----
----
__
10~------~--__--~__----~~------+_---- ~
1978
1979
1981
1980
1982
Fig. 8
10,000
Well 0
l-
IlI-
1000
~
I-III--
-Actual
- - Predicted
'-~-
--. --- --
----- ------
LL
()
:::e
l-
100
t-
lI-l-
II-I-I-
10
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983