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ARNOLD J. SAMEROFF
AND
MICHAEL J. MACKENZIE
University of Michigan
Abstract
Transactional models have informed research design and interpretation in studies relevant to developmental
psychopathology. Bidirectional effects between individuals and social contexts have been found in many behavioral
and cognitive domains. This review will highlight representative studies where the transactional model has been
explicitly or implicitly tested. These studies include experimental, quasiexperimental, and naturalistic designs.
Extensions of the transactional model have been made to interventions designed to target different aspects of a
bidirectional system in efforts to improve developmental outcomes. Problems remain in the need to theoretically
specify structural models and to combine analyses of transactions in the parentchild relationship with transactions
in the broader social contexts. Longitudinal studies with sufficient time points to assess reciprocal processes
continue to be important. Such longitudinal investigations will permit identifying developmental periods where the
child or the context may be most influential or most open to change.
Theres a reason that physicists are so successful with what they do, and that is that they
study the hydrogen atom and the helium atom
and then they stop. This statement attributed
to Richard Feynman (Krauss, 2002) sets a low
expectation for the amount of complexity that
scientists can hope to explain in the field of
developmental psychopathology. In physics,
laws are derived that apply to every unit in a
group, based on the simple assumption that all
of the units are identical. All electrons are the
same. In developmental psychopathology, laws
are derived that apply to no one individual
unit in the group. People are all different. In
physics, there are laws such as E = mc2 that
are thought to capture the true underlying re-
This work was partially supported by grants from the National Institute of Mental Health.
Address correspondence and reprint requests to: Arnold Sameroff, PhD, Center for Human Growth and Development, 300 N. Ingalls Building, 10th Level, Ann
Arbor, MI 48109-0406; E-mail: sameroff@umich.edu.
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ments are best directed. Too often these efforts have suffered for lack of an adequate developmental model. The research reviewed
here should give a sense of how social interactions have been conceptualized, operationalized, and studied within a transactional framework and what we can expect in the future.
However, major barriers remain to the empirical entry into a transactional system. These
obstacles are theoretical (assessing a dynamic
system); logistic, (developing longitudinal studies with enough time points and large enough
samples); and methodological, (assessing multiple interacting domains over time in order to
identify points of qualitative change).
Dialectics
Even when using a defined structural model,
the usual employment of the transactional model
in relation to child development is descriptive
rather than theoretical. Research using the model
attempts to find situations in which the childs
behavior changes the caregivers expectations
and behavior and is in turn changed by the
changed caregiver. In this sense the model is
falsifiable (Popper, 1959). The researcher tries
to determine whether the directional change
in both partners occurs. However, the transactional model has also been embedded in a theory that claims that all relations between subject and object or individual and context are
mutually constitutive, which may not be falsifiable. This aspect of the transactional model
emerges from a major theoretical stream coupling individual and context in a relation fostering cognitive and socialemotional development. This flow runs from philosophers like
Hegel (1910) and Marx (1912) to pioneers in
developmental science like Vygotsky (1962)
and Piaget (1952) who emphasized the active
role of the knower in creating knowledge
through contradictions between knowing and
the known. The dialectical core of the process
was transactional in that the child was changed
by experience and experience was changed by
the childs more complex understandings.
The exceptional within the universal
Although these dialectical and transactional
processes apply to all domains of development,
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615
ment research of Thomas, Chess, Birch, Hertzig and Korn (1963) and Bells (1968) reinterpretation of direction of effects research. Both
efforts were to counter what Chess (1964) labeled the mal de me`re orientations of psychoanalytic and behavioral theories that parenting
caused child behavior and, more explicitly, that
bad mothering caused bad children. Bell showed
that many parent behaviors were not emitted
in the service of socializing the child but
rather were elicited by the childs characteristics and behavior. Thomas, Chess, and Birch
(1968) elucidated a clear transactional developmental path for a subset of children with
difficult temperaments. These children stimulated maladaptive parenting that led to their
later behavioral disturbance. For children who
did not have this transaction occur (whose parents were not negatively reactive to the temperaments of their children), no such pathway
to behavioral deviance was found.
Building on these descriptive studies of
parentchild relationships, Sameroff and Chandler (1975) proposed that transactional processes
had to be considered as central to developmental theory. Children were seen as engaged
in active organization and reorganization so
that constants could not be found in a set of
traits; rather, they were found in the processes
by which these traits were maintained by the
relationship between children and their experience in a variety of social settings. Bell and
Harper (1977) found it logically compelling
that if parents are effective, they must be affected by the products of their tutelage (p. 55).
In other contemporary domains of psychology,
Banduras (1978) work on reciprocal determinism and Bernes earlier (1961) clinical formulations used the transaction concept to describe similar dynamic aspects of interpersonal
behavior.
These early views have become central to
current models of regulation and self-regulation that are permeating the developmental literature (cf. Boekaerts, Pintrich, & Zeidner, 2000;
Bradley, 2000). The individual is seen not only
as having a major role in modifying social experience through both eliciting and selecting
processes, but also as having a major role in
modifying biological experience through both
stress reactions and medication (Cicchetti &
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of the caregiver is to have an optimal interactive partner. The optimal partner is awake and
attentive, but some children may be below
(e.g., drowsy or inattentive) or above this setpoint (e.g., distressed or overactive). The caregiver in the first case would use behaviors designed to arouse and focus the child, whereas
in the second case the strategies would be designed to soothe and settle the child. Bell and
Harper (1977) labeled these as lower and upper limit control reactions. Reducing the deviation between actual and desired responsivity
will take different forms, depending on the
starting point of the interaction; but this limit
setting can be extended over longer periods of
interaction.
Interactive systems can also be deviation
amplifying, using positive feedback to move
away from a set-point. This amplification can
be intended or unintended. For example, observations comparing fatherchild and mother
child interaction sequences (Parke, Cassidy,
Burks, Carson, & Boyum, 1992) have found
that fathers frequently engage in play behaviors aimed at making the child more excited.
These amplifying interactions ultimately reach
a limit, and the fathers stimulating behavior
is reduced to bring the child to a more settled
state. This intended amplification can be contrasted to the unintended consequences of inept parental responses to child aggression as
found in the work of Patterson and colleagues
(Patterson, 1986; Patterson & Bank, 1989).
When the higher or lower level of stimulation becomes a consistent pattern, the system
changes and the consequences are qualitative
rather than quantitative differences. Two such
examples are the Pygmalion and Matthew effects named after Greek and Christian religious figures, respectively. The Pygmalion effect was proposed by Rosenthal and Jacobson
(1968) as a way of raising childrens IQs by
raising teachers expectations about them. The
transaction began from outside the interaction
system when teachers were provided with information that randomly selected students had
high potential. The teachers changed beliefs
changed their behavior, and the IQ of the
selected students increased. Although the
Pygmalion effect is controversial (Spitz, 1999),
meta-analyses have confirmed it with the quali-
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lier and later behavior. The regression techniques for testing the interplay between child
and context are essentially an extension of the
two-way ANOVA model. In the regression
model, the significance of a Parent Negative
Reactivity Infant Temperament interaction
variable is tested while controlling for the separate effects of temperament and reactivity on
child outcomes. These regression models have
been enlarged to incorporate a variety of mediators and moderators with a rapid proliferation of causal arrows. Simple regression paths
have been subsumed in the general area of
structural equation modeling, again following
the technical advances in computer statistical
programs since the advent of LISREL (Joreskog & Sorbom, 1984).
Baron and Kenny (1986) suggest that the
choice between a mediator and moderator
analysis should be based on whether the relation between the primary predictor and criterion variables is stronger or weaker. If there
is a strong relation, then mediator analyses are
recommended, but if there is an unexpected
weak or inconsistent relation, the recommendation is to seek a moderator. In terms of our
example, if the relation between temperament
and mental health were mediated, then there
would be a high correlation between temperament and behavior problems and all children
with difficult temperaments would have worse
outcomes than all children with easy temperaments because all parents would react negatively to infant difficulty and positively to infant easiness.
In contrast, in moderated relations a number of different pathways can be taken. In our
example, there is a weak correlation between
temperament and later mental health, meaning
that a sizable number of infants with easy temperaments could have bad outcomes and a sizable number of infants with difficult temperaments could have good outcomes. In the
Thomas et al. (1968) study, 10% of the sample had difficult temperaments and represented 25% of the children with later behavioral problems. But 30% of the difficult infants
did not have behavior problems, and of the
children who did have behavior problems, 75%
had not had difficult temperaments. Use of a
transactional model forces an a priori, rather
than an a posteriori, decision to use a moderator statistical test. If the hypothesis is that the
relation between an earlier and later state of
the infant is determined by the nature of the
response of parents or other social agents, then
one must examine the differential impact of
different caregiving responses.
Some investigators attempt to finesse the
moderator analysis by preselecting either infants or parents in one category or another (usually a high-risk group). Again using our example, if only difficult infants are included in the
sample, then parental reactivity would be linearly related to outcome and a mediator test
would be sufficient. However, one would not
be able to generalize to nondifficult infants
because there is no way to know if parent reactivity is linearly related or unrelated to child
outcome without examining the relation in the
rest of the population.
Although Baron and Kenny (1986) went a
long way toward resolving the definitional
ambiguity surrounding mediating and moderating variables, there remained a need for clear
operational definitions that could eliminate
barriers to application specifically in the area
of risk research and developmental psychopathology (Hinshaw, 2002). Recent efforts have been
made to expand on the mediator and moderator work toward increasing our understanding
of how multiple risks operate together (Kraemer,
Stice, Kazdin, Offord, & Kupfer, 2001), especially with regard to intervention trials (Kraemer,
Wilson, Fairburn, & Agras, 2002). Cicchetti
and Hinshaw (2002a) see these efforts as necessary in order to bring clinical treatment research into the realm of exploratory research
to inform causal processes and basic developmental theory.
To this end, Kraemer et al. (2001, 2002)
provided an alternative perspective using a stepwise approach for identifying the different ways
in which two risk factors can work together
to affect a particular binary or dimensional
outcome to differentiate between a moderator
and a mediator. Moderators were conceptualized as useful in addressing a central question
of clinical treatment by identifying on whom
and under what circumstances interventions
have different effects, whereas mediators identify the mechanisms linking treatment and out-
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was to move beyond the consistent linear finding that the children of mothers suffering from
depression are at risk for psychopathology to
an examination of the reciprocal influence of
mothers and children on each other. They found
evidence for a negative reciprocal influence,
where maternal functioning was related to subsequent child symptoms and dysfunction, and
child characteristics were in turn prospectively associated with maternal functioning.
Such a model fit with the authors expectations for an amplifying transactional process,
where, through a positive feedback process,
deviant child behavior, arising from earlier
maternal dysfunction, contributes to later maternal depressive symptomatology. There is
an escalation of dysfunction in the child and
the parent as these processes play out over time.
Relationship impairments may be expected
between boys diagnosed with attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and their
mothers. A transactional framework was used
to examine maternal responsiveness and child
characteristics in a population of 7- to 10year-old boys with ADHD (Johnston, Murray,
Hinshaw, Pelham, & Hoza, 2002). Maternal
responsiveness was negatively related to later
maternal depressive symptoms and child conduct problems. Child conduct problems were
related to later maternal responsiveness, but
no such association was found for child ADHD
symptoms. The design strategy employed by
Johnston et al. (2002) to assess reciprocal processes allowed them to begin to tease apart
the different factors involved and to disentangle issues of comorbidity. They speculated
that in a mutually enforcing process, maternal
depression leads to deficits in responsive parenting contributing to child conduct problems,
while at the same time child behavior that is
difficult to manage, such as ADHD, contributes to deficits in maternal responsiveness.
Experimental manipulations
There is great difficulty inherent in separating
the direction of effects in a natural setting.
The drive to better understand the bidirectional
influences focused researchers on experimental attempts to disentangle the contributions
Transactional models
havior of adults with low internal control perceptions. These low power adults were less
assertive with unresponsive children.
Bugental and Shennum (1984) went on to
examine what impact the differential adult behavior had on subsequent child behavior. In
their landmark monograph they proposed and
found evidence for such a transactional process. Their second hypothesis, which is important to the transactional component, was that
these adult attributions would lead to a Rosenthal effect, whereby differential adult behavior would elicit child behavior that confirms
and maintains those attitudes and beliefs. Child
confederates were once again trained for their
responsiveness and assertiveness and placed
with unfamiliar mothers who differed on two
attributional domains: their self-perceived power
as caregivers and the social power they attributed to children (Bugental & Shennum, 1984).
Analysis of the videotaped interaction task
pointed to two separate transactional sequences.
On the one hand, mothers low on self-perceived
power responded to unresponsive children with
a communication style containing more negative affect and unassertive positive affect. In
turn, the unresponsive children reacted to the
low self-power mothers with continued unresponsiveness, staying in their assigned role
throughout the interaction. On the other hand,
mothers who were high in the social power
they attributed to children reacted to unassertive or shy children with a strong and affectively positive communication style. The unassertive children responded to this differential
action of the mothers with increased assertiveness, coming out of their assigned role as the
interaction progressed. The first sequence is
an example of a positive feedback process,
whereby a behavior or attribute of the child is
amplified through the transaction with an interactive partner. The second sequence, on the
other hand, is an example of a negative feedback process, in which the actions of the interactive partner leads to a decrease in the
behavior (unassertiveness) exhibited by the
child. Bugental and Shennum (1984) concluded that adults bring with them to the parenting role a set of beliefs about relationships
with children based on their history of social
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experiences, which influence the interpretations the adult makes about a childs behavior, the subsequent behavioral responses of
the adult, and in a transactional fashion the
downstream behavior of the child. As we have
seen, this influence on later child behavior can
either be amplifying or constraining.
A series of studies followed these earlier
efforts, for the most part strongly supporting
the transactional process through which adult
attributions have their impact (e.g. Bugental,
1987). The specific questions of interest also
evolved to include investigations of transactional behavioral patterns with implications
for teacherchild relationships, interpersonal
violence, and child abuse (Bugental & Johnston, 2000; Bugental, Lewis, Lin, Lyon, & Kopeikin, 1999; Bugental, Lyon, Lin, McGrath, &
Bimbella, 1999). Katsurada and Sugawara
(2000) also applied this research strategy to
study the effect of maternal attributions on the
trajectory of aggressive behavior in their own
child and found that low power mothers exhibited more negative affect toward their children following noncompliance. The difference between low and high power mothers
only emerged when the child was aggressive,
and power attributions had no effect when the
child was not displaying aggression.
Gender labeling studies. Beginning with the
study of Baby X (Seavey, Katz, & Zalk,
1975), an extensive literature has emerged focusing on the effect of gender labels on the
response of adults to infants. An experimental
approach is required to determine if adult stereotypes and attitudes promote gender differences or if gender-specific differences in infant behavior elicit differential responses by
adults (Stern & Karraker, 1989). In the earliest study Seavey et al. (1975) observed adults
interacting with a neutrally clothed infant who
was introduced as a boy, as a girl, or with
no gender information given. Both male and
female adults were more likely to select gender-stereotyped toys for the infant if introduced as a girl. In the condition when no gender label was given, all adult subjects made
efforts to guess the gender of the child, which
were influenced by stereotyped behavior. For
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cial competencies, and ego resiliency and control, which would in turn negatively impact
the childrens adjustment at school. The authors demonstrated that the pathway from
maltreatment to academic adjustment problems was mediated by academic engagement,
and the pathway from maltreatment to externalizing and internalizing behavior problems
was mediated by social competencies and ego
resiliency.
Cicchetti and Lynch (1993) drew on the
work of Bronfenbrenner (1979) and Sameroff
and Chandler (1975) to propose a formal integration of an ecologicaltransactional model
in an attempt to grapple with the combined
influences of maltreatment and community violence on childrens developmental course.
They laid out a transactional model in which
the current ecological context impacts future
child functioning and current child functioning influences the organization of the context
(Lynch & Cicchetti, 1998). In such a process,
they proposed that early problems in functioning and ecological risk at multiple levels of
the ecology can serve to mutually contribute
to continuity in the adversity facing the child.
This view is in keeping with the stability found
in adversity as at-risk children move from one
context to another through development (Sameroff, Seifer, & Bartko, 1997). Lynch and Cicchetti (1998) demonstrated one direction of a
transaction between child and context, such
that earlier contextual factors were predictive
of later child functioning. Maltreatment, witnessing of violence in the community, and reported victimization by violence were all negatively associated with the childrens functioning
1 year later. Evidence was also found for effects in the second direction from child to
context in that childrens earlier level of behavioral functioning was predictive of later
exposure to community violence.
A large body of research exists that supports a link between early parentchild attachment relationships and later social relationships outside the family, with the childs
representations of relationships and capacity
for the regulation of emotions acting as mediators in the transactional pathway. Here, we
confine our discussion of the role of representations to the special and extreme case of the
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Fiese (2001) examined how maternal and infant vulnerabilities interacted to contribute to
attachment quality. They compared preterm
and full-term infants on measures of maternal
depression, infant health characteristics, and
attachment security at 1 year postterm. The
key finding of this study was that the relation
between maternal depressive symptoms and
attachment security was moderated by preterm birth status. For full-term infants there
was no association between maternal depression and attachment security, yet for preterm
infants such an association emerges. Poehlman and Fiese (2001) concluded that characteristics of both the mother and infant contribute in a reciprocal manner to the quality of
the dyadic relationship.
In order to effectively meet the socialization goal of teaching infants how to appropriately modulate their emotions, the caregiver
must adapt to the capacities of the child. An
unresponsive infant with some sort of anomaly would make it more difficult for a caregiver to adopt an effective socialization strategy. Malatesta, Grigoryev, Lamb, Albin, and
Culver (1986) compared the interactive behavior of mothers of normal infant with mothers of preterm infants in face to face interaction with their mothers. Preterm infants were
found to spend less of their face to face interaction involved in eye contact with their mothers and express more negative emotion, which
may account at least in part for the failure of
mothers of preterm infants to match their infants expressions of surprise and sadness. In
contrast, the full-term mothers exhibited significantly more matching of infant facial expressions. As added evidence for the effect of
differential infant expressive behavior on maternal responses, there were minimal birth-status
effects when considered independently of the
actual infant interactive behavior. Combining
the results of experimental manipulations in
prematurity labeling studies and observations
of real interactions provides corroborative evidence of differential maternal behavioral responses to differences in full-term and preterm infant behavior.
Grade retention. The previous examples of naturalistic research opportunities focused on indi-
Transactional models
however, can only point to associations between risks and outcomes and suggest potential pathways, whereas intervention designs
offer the ability to unravel the causal connections underlying both psychopathological and
normative outcomes (Cicchetti & Hinshaw,
2002a; Cowan & Cowan, 2002).
In nonexperimental research the problem
of the unknown third variable is an important
consideration. For example, data associating
child maltreatment with later bad interactions
with teachers and peers in the school environment does not allow us to conclude a causal
relationship because there is the possibility that
some characteristic of the child caused both
the maltreatment and later social adjustment
difficulties. Randomized intervention designs
afford researchers the opportunity not only to
determine the effectiveness of their particular
program but also to control for alternative interpretations by more fully testing causal theoretical models (Conduct Problems Prevention Research Group [CPPRG], 2002).
An example of such an approach comes from
the Fast Track prevention trial, a comprehensive program aimed at preventing the early onset of conduct problems in children. Kindergarten aged children were rated by both teachers
and parents, and those deemed to be at high
risk for early conduct problems were randomly assigned to treatment or control conditions. The treatment group receives an array
of services aimed at the areas of parenting,
school success, and social cognitions. The program involves parent training, home visitation, social and socialcognitive skills training, academic tutoring, and teacher consultation
(CPPRG, 2002). In addition to demonstrating
the effectiveness of the Fast Track program at
limiting parenting problems, referral for special education, and aggressive behavior, the
randomized nature of this prevention design
has also allowed the researchers to begin to
unravel and test the mediational pathway hypothesized by their theoretical model. They
proposed and found that the intervention on
proximal targets (e.g., harsh parental discipline style and child attributions) mediated the
effect on more distal child behavioral outcomes (CPPRG, 2002).
A practical test of the transactional model
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is whether or not it informs preventive intervention programs. The study of the Fast Track
program highlights the valuable opportunity
that developments in prevention science offer
for breaking into reciprocal processes and
testing and elucidating transactional models
of development as they apply to both typical
and atypical populations. Sameroff and Fiese
(2000; Sameroff, 1987) proposed a transactional model of intervention that conceptually
separated the eliciting effect of the child, the
parents interpretation of the elicitation, and
the parents response. Their model was described in terms of three Rsremediation, redefinition, and reeducationdirected at the
three parts of the system. Although the three
targets are different aspects of a dynamic transactional system, most interventions will spill
over into more than one category. Changes in
the child through remediation can change the
way parents perceive their children producing
a redefinition. Redefining a child for the parents can change the way they will interact
with them as if they had been reeducated. Reeducation to change parents interactive behavior can produce consequences that will
change the parents attributions, again resulting in a redefinition. These intervention strategies are another example of the need to use
mechanistic approaches, not only to produce
a structural model for testing hypotheses, but
also to produce a practical model to direct
change agents at available nodal points in an
ongoing multivariate dynamic system.
Remediation. Interventions directed at the infant, remediation, are usually interpreted as
directly effecting outcomes through personal
changes. In a transactional system linkages to
later behavior are seen as mediated or moderated by responses of parents. In this light,
changing the child is only linked to later behavior if it changes intervening parental attributions and behavior. One example of a remediation strategy is to medicate children to change
their behavior to better fit the social expectations and competencies of parents and teachers, as in the case of active children (Barkley,
1990).
A linear interpretation of the poor psychological outcomes of malnourished children was
632
change in the infant. This is especially important when the infant cannot easily be changed,
as in the case of biological anomalies such as
preterm birth or developmental disabilities or
individual differences such as difficult temperaments. However, even children without
obvious deviancies can be problems for parents who frame them negatively and then engage in nonresponsive or negative interactions
ranging into maltreatment. The transactional
aspect is primarily important in changing the
parents interpretative frame.
A redefinition intervention was designed to
address infant feeding problems (Benoit, Madigan, Lecce, Shea, & Goldberg, 2001). Mother
infant dyads that were having feeding problems were assigned either to a feeding-focused
intervention, which trained mothers in appropriate feeding techniques, or a play-focused
group, which received a slightly modified version of a videotaped feedback intervention,
termed Interaction Guidance (McDonough,
1993). During the feedback session, parent
infant interactions were reframed to highlight
infant responsiveness to different aspects of
parent behavior. The Interaction Guidance
group exhibited a significant decrease in atypical behaviors and disrupted communication
during interactions. In contrast, there was no
change in the feeding-focused skill training
group. This suggests that feeding problems
are not simply a feeding skills issue; instead,
they reflect a disturbance in the relationship,
which can be effectively dealt with through
redefining the mothers perceptions and beliefs.
Maltreatment is another area where linear
explanatory models are common; deviant parents engage in deviant child rearing. A transactional perspective would focus on the parents inappropriate interpretations of childrens
behavior. With this as the target, an intervention tested the capacity of a brief cognitive
component of a home visitation program to
prevent later child maltreatment by high-risk
parents (Bugental et al., 2002). Building on
previous work by their group on attributions,
Bugental and colleagues developed a program
focused on the caregivers attitudes and beliefs
about the child in an attempt to shift the way
in which parents were interpreting caregiving
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exclusive focus on continuities and discontinuities in the child as explanations of developmental outcomes to include the continuities
and discontinuities in the social context as
well. The future agenda should be devoted to
reintegrating these two aspects. The first step
is to give full recognition to all of the possible
arrows in the structural model (Sigel & Parke,
1987). There are stabilities in all parts of the
system; there are continuities in the child, in
the childs ecological settings, and in the dyadic interactions between the child and significant others in these settings. Each of these
is more or less open to change. Given these
continuities, a transactional analysis would be
to discover the conditions under which discontinuities occur or where a change in one
partner has the opportunity to reorganize the
behavior in the other. Such analyses would
provide opportunities and also set limits for
intervention efforts to improve developmental
success. There must also be a schedule of assessments frequent enough to identify the developmental periods when child and context
are more or less open to each other and consequently most likely to change.
Under real life circumstances, the best we
can do is description. Attributing causation to
any element of the system always begs the
question of the history of that element. Is difficult temperament during infancy an expression of biological tendencies or the result of
prior parenting? Is inept caregiving an expression of parent inadequacy or a reaction to
prior experience with the child? As the child
grows these influences become more and more
difficult to untanglethe direction of effects
dilemma. Sameroff and Peck (2001) were surprised to find that parental efforts at proactive
prevention of behavioral and educational problems in their adolescent children were correlated with worse outcomes. Their interpretation was that by adolescence successful parents
only engage in these efforts if their children
still had problems. For the children who are
doing well, the parents were less concerned.
Bidirectional influences are well documented
in experimental research on childadult interactions as exemplified by the work of Bugental (1987). That direction of effects make a
difference in the real world should be docu-
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635
thors note the fashionable attempts to separate the contributions of child, parent, family,
and social stress to child outcomes. These efforts have led to conflicting and futile controversies because different studies with different samples and different methods provide
different explanations for child adjustment.
Their solution is the use of a transactional
model because they view the risks associated
with marital transitions as linked, mediated,
and moderated in complex ways. Moreover,
they indict static, cross-sectional studies for
giving misleading pictures of how the effects
of risk and protective factors combine.
Better statistics
We can continue to proclaim that the theory
should be complex enough to understand the
phenomena being studied; but when one combines transactional, developmental, and ecological concerns, the complexity of design is
daunting for most researchers. To the extent
that statistical advances allow more methodological complexity, design complexity will
increase. Regression analyses, structural equation modeling, and hierarchical linear regression analyses have been important additions
to the researchers armamentarium. During
the early years of the transactional model,
there was always a disquieting murmur questioning the possibility of operationalizing such
a model. With the publication of Baron and
Kennys (1986) moderatormediator paper a
new street light was lit under which investigators could seek their lost keys. However,
the ability to do such analyses at the click of
an icon has also permitted the elimination of
theory to guide such analyses.
Researchers must be encouraged to specify
the developmental model being tested, but
therein lays the ultimate rub. The models will
always be static representations of dynamic
systems. To the extent one can find dynamic
systems to model developmental processes,
such as connectionist analyses, the most interesting processes remain hidden, with only the
input and output specifiable. Richters (1997)
cogently expanded on the differences between
the open systems (von Bertalanffy, 1968) that
characterize development and the closed sys-
636
As far as the transactional model is concerned, several things are clear. Children affect their environments and environments affect children. In addition, environmental settings
affect and are affected by each other. Moreover these effects change over time in response
to normative and nonnormative events. To get
evidence of the multidirectional chaining of
such influences will require longitudinal research that pays equal attention to the details
of each individual and setting.
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