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11 15 May 2015
// Security Watch
This week, our hard power-centered Security Watch (SW) series looks at the five tenets behind China's concept of military
strategy; the steps the US Department of Defense must take to revolutionize its approach to military intelligence analysis;
Chad's uncertain role in fighting terrorism in Africa; the history of tunneling in warfare; and the unique challenges posed by
right-wing terrorism. Then, in our second, more wide-ranging SW series, we explore how the West has stopped being the
prime instigator of global political change; what are the prospects for a US-Saudi-Iranian rapprochement; how Japan can
ensure its long-term security; what is the current status of the Western Sahara conflict; and how the quality of healthcare
provided by UN peacekeepers might be improved.
Timothy Thomas thinks that China's current concept of military strategy rests on at least five tenets. They include the use
of stratagems integrated with technological innovations, the constant search for a strategic advantage or shi, and more.
More
Has the West lost its role as the prime instigator of political change around the world? Thomas Carothers and Oren
Samet-Marram believe so. As they see it, a new global marketplace now exists where non-Western democracies and
authoritarian governments are performing this task. More
What steps should the US Department of Defense take to change its approach to military intelligence analysis? Chandler
Atwood thinks the Pentagon should 1) harness the potential of big data more effectively, and 2) shift to a pattern-based
form of analysis known as Activity-Based Intelligence (ABI). More
Treating the Syrian conflict in isolation from other regional problems just might facilitate a US-Saudi-Iran rapprochement,
argues Neil Thompson. 'De-escalating' the material support provided to the warring factions and imposing a
complementary economic embargo might also help spur the process along. More
Benjamin Nickels and Margot Shorey think it's a bad idea to make Chad a 'go-to' partner for counterterrorism operations
across Central and West Africa. Despite its recent successes against Boko Haram, the country still has too many social,
economic and political problems to deal with at home.More
What steps should Shinzo Abe's government take to ensure Japan's long-term security and stability? John Hemmings
thinks that Tokyo first needs to reconcile its long-standing desire for closer ties with the West and the more illiberal
aspects of its national identity. More
Has underground tunneling played an effective role in human conflict? Paul Springer believes so. As he sees it, tunnels
have been used to create defensive nightmares for attackers, negate the advantages held by technologically superior
conventional forces, and gain other advantages for the tunneler. More
Western Sahara Since the Arab Spring: Any Hope for Change?
14 May 2015
The Western Sahara has experienced none of the perceived benefits of the Arab Spring. Worse still, warns Nisrine Amel
Lamamra, the decades-old conflict over this disputed territory is likely to remain frozen until more decisive action is taken
to resolve it once and for all. More
Daniel Koehler believes that right-wing terrorism is a unique form of political violence. As his analysis of the German
DTGrwx dataset confirms, it's a type of violence that's carried out by well-defined actors who use specific methods to
target distinct types of victims. More
How can the quality of health care provided by UN peacekeeping missions be improved? Sara Davies argues that not
enough attention has been paid to the 'game changing' relationship between the health of peacekeepers and the
assistance available to civilians in emergency settings. More
// Blog
Japan's population has aged twice as fast as Germany and four times faster than France. Today, Peter Drysdale outlines
the reasons for this phenomenon, its impact on Japanese society, and how Tokyo can alleviate the problem of fewer
young adults entering the job market.More
How the Military Can Keep its Edge: Don't Offset Hedge
12 May 2015
What's the best way for the US military to maintain its technological superiority over potential adversaries an offset or
hedging strategy? Ben FitzGerald and Scott Cheney-Peters vote for the latter. As they see it, hedging would allow the
DoD to re-establish a once familiar high-low mix of military capabilities. More
Hans Kristensen welcomes the Obama administration's decision to disclose the number of US nuclear weapons that are
awaiting dismantlement. He also expects other nuclear-armed states to not be as forthcoming about the details of their
arsenals. More
What are the odds of Thailand's new draft constitution being ratified? Not good, says Miles Kupa. Not only does it contain
controversial provisions such as appointing rather than electing prime ministers, it also faces the challenge of garnering
support from the country's already divided politicians. More
Like many others, Julia Muravska believes that the key task for Ukraine is to build a viable democratic state with a
competitive economy. She also thinks that won't happen unless the EU scales up its presence in the country to dethrone
the oligarchs, counter corruption and help ensure the rule of law. More
// Video
This video features a discussion of the Atlantic Council's new strategy paper, "Dynamic Stability: Strategy for a World in
Transition." The paper explores the global trends that have created a "Westphalian-Plus" world and recommends a new
US strategy to cope with them. More
In this video, Princeton University's Philip Pettit discusses his book "Just Freedom," which outlines his interpretation of the
condition and how it relates to notions of social, democratic and international justice.
More
In this video, the Carnegie Endowment's Sarah Chayes discusses her book, "Thieves of State: Why Corruption Threatens
Global Security." The text argues that violent extremism and other international security problems are indeed linked to
corruption, which is not merely a socio-political concern.
More
// Multimedia Content
Here is a selection of this week's additions to the ISN Digital
Library:
Publications More
// Sahel Strategies: Why Coordination is Imperative
More
// Myanmar: Cross-Cutting Governance Challenges More
// Toward a Social Compact for Digital Privacy and Security More
Videos More
// Defeating the Jihadists in Syria: Competition before Confrontation
More
/Drone
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Warfare: Towards International Standards and Norms More
/Public
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Opinion and the Peace Process in Colombia More
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