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Population
Factors determining population growth
The basic factors determining population growth are
1. Birth rate
2. Death rate
3. Migration
a. Out-migration (Emigration)
b. In-migration (Immigration)
Birth Rate:
Birth rate has a positive influence on growth of population.
Higher the birth rate, higher will be the growth of population.
The birth rate depends on the following factors:
1) The age of marriage
2) The rapidity of child birth
3) Social customs and beliefs and
4) Illiteracy and ignorance of controlling births.
Early marriage, Higher child birth.
Higher the spread of social customs and beliefs (like son preference to
do the religious functions), Higher the rate of illiteracy.
Ignorance of birth controlling measures, higher will be the birth rate and
population growth.
The mean age of marriage for girls is about 18 years, which is low,
compared to the other countries of the world, which is about 23 to 25
years.
This results in a longer span for reproductive activity and the increase in
the number of children.
4. Social and Religious reasons
In India, every person has to marry because marriage is a compulsory
institution as per social norms.
In joint family system, nobody feels individual responsibility and
everybody has access to equal level of consumption.
Therefore, people do not hesitate to increase the size of the family. Most
of the people think that at least one male child should be born in the
family.
In the expectation of getting a male child, they go on increasing the
family size.
5. Poverty:
Poverty is another cause which contributes to the increase in population.
Children are source for income of the family. The children at a very
young age help their parents in work, instead of going to school and thus
prove to be an asset for the family.
Every additional child will become an earning member and thus
supplement the family income.
6. Standard of living:
People whose standard of living is low tend to have more children
because an additional child is considered as an asset rather than a
liability.
Since a majority of the population is uneducated, they are unable to
understand the need for family planning.
They are unaware that a smaller size of family will help them enjoy a
better standard of living.
7. Illiteracy:
A major part of the population (about 60%) in India is either illiterate
or has the minimum education. This leads them to accept minimal work
in which they cannot even support themselves.
Unemployment and underemployment further lead to poverty. Moreover
due to the prevalence of higher rate of illiteracy, there is widespread
ignorance in the form of social customs and beliefs like early marriage
and preference for a male child. As a result, there is high rate of
population growth in the country.
Population Explosion as an obstacle to Economic Development
India is facing the situation of population explosion. Although we need
more labour supply for our economic development, it is also true that if
our population keeps on rising, the process of economic development
will be affected.
The rising population in India affects economic development in the
following ways:
1. Food Shortage:
If the population of India goes on rising and there is no proportionate
increase in agricultural production, the country will face a serious food
problem.
Agricultural Backwardness:
11.
Underdeveloped Industries:
6.Legal Steps:
Strict laws must be made and enforced to check early marriages and
polygamy.
7.Family Planning:
This is the most important measure to check the rapid growth of
population. Family Planning means limiting the size of the family.
Education about family planning must be made common. People must
me made aware of the different methods of birth control.
Theories of Population:
Malthusian Theory of Population:
Malthus pointed out that an accelerated increase in population would
outweigh the increase in food production. This would have an adverse
impact on the development of an economy.
This theory is explained in the following propositions:
1.The rate of growth of population is limited by the availability of the
means of subsistence i.e. food. If the means of subsistence increase,
population also increases unless it checked.
2. Population increases at a faster rate than food production. In other
words, while population increases in a geometric progression, food
production increases in an arithmetic progression.
3. The preventive and positive checks are the two measures to keep
the population on the level with the available means of subsistence.
With the fall in the output per head, per capita income and standard of
living of the people also decline.
Overpopulation leads to a low standard of living, disguised
unemployment and food shortage.
Both underpopulation and overpopulation have shortcomings. It is
optimum population with the highest per capita output which is best
suited for a country.
If population increases beyond the level OP, then per capita output will
fall. Therefore OP is the optimum population.
If the actual population is less than OP, a country is said to be
underpopulated and if it is more then OP, it is overpopulated.
The following formula measures whether population at a point of time is
optimum or not
Where,
M = Maladjustment in level of output
A = Actual population
O = Optimum population
If M is zero, then the total population is equal to optimum population
If M is positive, the total population is more then the optimum
population.
If M is negative, the total population is less then the optimum
population.
The Theory of Demographic Transition:
The demographic transition brings out the relationship between fertility
and motility, i.e. between the birth rate and the death rate.
Birth rate refers to the number of births occurring per 1000 in a year.
Death rate refers to the number of deaths occurring per 1000 in a year.
The economy reaches the second stage of high birth rate and low death
rate. The advancement in science and technology will result in the
availability of better medical facilities.
The eradication of many epidemics and dangerous diseases and better
sanitary conditions reduce the incidence of disease and death.
The birth rate still remains high due to the resistance to change, and the
long established customs and beliefs.
Thus there is an imbalance between high birth rate and low death rate
resulting in high population growth, and the country witnesses
population explosion.
Stage III: Low Birth Rate and Death Rate:
Economic development leads to change in the structure of the economy
from an agrarian to a partially industrialised one.
With the increase in industrialisation, people migrate from rural to urban
areas, and there is a change in the attitude of the people.
With the spread of education, people prefer small families in order to
increase the standard of living. Thus the birth rate is reduced.
Implementation of better medical facilities, control of disease and public
sanitation result in low death rate.
During this third stage of low birth and death rates, the growth of
population tends to be stable.
Almost all countries have passed through these three stages
(demographic transition) of population growth.