There is no new Cold War

1. On there being no confrontation in ideology, Russia may have a

geopolitical vision but not an ideology opposed to Western ideas, All areas
that comprise the Eurasian continent seek guiding principles of their
civilization - not just Russia.
2. Differences between then and now: lack of global ideological measure,
prevalence of tension in the post-Soviet space [not other regions] and the
growing role of non-Western countries [China, India, Brazil]
3. Difference in interpersonal relations between citizens of each side
4. Lavrov: does not want and will not allow a new Cold War, we return to
constructive cooperation on the basis of respect for mutual interests
Russia will never follow a path of self isolation
5. Resolution of Ukrainian crisis is two-way
6. Our Western partners have to understand that security in todays
world is not possible through a unilateral approach
7. Infowar no Cold War 2.0
manipulation of Air Malaysia Flight 17 by the West
8. Need for multilateral approach to the reduction of intermediate-range
missiles
Treaty involving China
China Korea and Iran are the main concerns for the US not Russia
9. Common interests
National interest
10. Business continues
KBR and GAZPROM
11. America is in truth secure against the emergence of a rival power in
Eurasia - matters little whether Communist, Buddhist [US hegemonic
status]

There is a new Cold War

1. Ukrainian crisis could possibly lead to a hot war [clash of principles, US
world order and Russian notion of sovereignty as a great power], the
exclusion of Russia from the international system
There may not be a clash of isms - but there is still a clash of
world views and geopolitical interests
distrust in each other based on preexisting notions of the
others intentions
provision of pretext for intervention [separatist support etc]
2. Exclusion/margination of Russia post-Soviet Union
George W Bushs missile shield, NATO expansion,
containment continued
3. US expansion into Russian sphere of influence, Russias security
interests [Ukraine, Libya, Syria]
4. Military movements on both sides, defence spending upped
5. Missile defense issues, threat of nuclear war may quickly return
6. Economic warfare
7. Putin - unless there is a change in leaders cooperation is unlikely
8. The energy future in Europe

9. Both sides have defined each other as adversaries through major

leaders attitudes/speeches, there is no ambiguity [as there was in the first
Cold War], unforgiving terms used by both leaders
10. Neither side expects much to be developed in US-Russian relations
Very isolated moments of cooperation have been the case