Logical Framework Planning Matrix: Armenian Red Cross Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

Indicators
Overall Goal
Vulnerability of population to natural and men-made
disasters is decreased.

Programme objective
The Armenian Red Cross positions itself as a key
humanitarian actor in disaster management.

Sources of verification

The number of people affected by disasters is reduced.

Communities have basic knowledge and understanding
of vulnerabilities, hazards, disasters and threats.
Communities are better prepared - have adequate skills
and coping mechanisms to mitigate the effects of
disasters.
The amount of damage following disasters is reduced.

Clearly defined role of the Armenian Red Cross in

national disaster preparedness plan.
Reduced disaster response time for any Armenian Red
Cross intervention.

World Disaster
Report;
Government statistics.
Reports from NGOs;

Government of Armenia
supports the Armenian
Red Cross disaster
management initiatives.

National disaster
preparedness plan.
Newspaper articles,
TV reports.

Government of Armenia
shows willingness to
involve civil society in
the development of the
national disaster
preparedness plan.

Project objective

The Armenian Red Cross helps displaced people to

integrate and naturalise through legal consultations,
vocational training and provision of basic daily
necessities, public awareness and advocacy.

Number of displaced persons supported by the

Armenian Red Cross.

Expected results
Expected result 1.
The Armenian Red Cross has qualified staff in
headquarters and regional branches to provide improved
services to displaced people.

Expected result 2.
Asylum seekers and newly recognised refugees are
provided with services to support their integration and
rehabilitation.

The Armenian Red Cross has trained 16 people in the

branches and the headquarters who act as focal points
for population movement initiatives.
Number of coordination meetings with key
stakeholders conducted in the regional branches.
15 asylum seekers and refugees received legal
consultations;
15 asylum seekers and refugees received basic relief
supplies.
10 refugees received language and vocational
training.
300 information brochures printed and distributed on
Armenian Red Cross population movement activities.
Five TV spots on trafficking produced and broadcast.
1,500 posters on trafficking printed and distributed.

Expected result 3.
Armenian Red Cross advocates with government

Armenian Red Cross

annual report.

Training reports.

Reports from the

Armenian Red Cross.
Project progress
reports.
Monitoring reports.

Meeting minutes.
TV spots.

Assumption/risks

Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

authorities and other humanitarian actors and raises

public awareness of key population movement issues.
Activities
Expected result 1.
1.1. Identify focal point for population movement
amongst existing staff in the regional branches.
1.2. Train focal points on population movement issues in
cooperation with IOM, UNHCR, Norwegian Refugee
Council, Department of Migration and Refugees and
other key actors.
1.3. The focal points will provide necessary
information/consultation to displaced people in the
regions.
1.4. Organise coordination meetings in selected regions
with participation of key stakeholders - government
authorities, non-governmental organisations, national
and international agencies, to maximise support to
displaced people.
Expected result 2.
2.1. Provide consultations to 15 asylum seekers or newly
recognised refugees and refer them to appropriate
organisations as required.
2.2. Provide basic relief food, non-food and hygiene
items - to 15 asylum seekers or new refugees.
2.3. Provide vocational training for 10 new refugees.
2.4. Develop and print 300 information brochures for
distribution through the headquarters and regional
branches.
Expected result 3.
3.1. Prepare and broadcast five TV spots on
trafficking/illegal migration.
3.2. Develop, print and distribute 1,500 posters on
trafficking/illegal migration.
3.3 Network and coordinate with agencies to discuss
issues related to illegal migration.

Resources
These resources apply to all activities:
Red Cross staff and volunteers;
Training facilities/materials;
Relief supplies;
Printing and other administration costs;
Transport/travel.
TV spots;
Representation costs;
Trainers for vocational training.

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Posters.
Sources

Federation appeal
2004/05;
UNHCR;

Preconditions
Armenian Red Cross
leadership is committed
and supports the
project.
The project receives
adequate support
through the Federations
network.

Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

Armenian Red Cross Population Movement Project

1. Background
1.1. Context
The breakdown of the Soviet Union ushered in an era of fresh challenges for a new independent republic of Armenia including the collapse of economy, as well
as social and health care, widespread poverty, military conflict, instability and massive displacement. Statistically1, there are about 192,000 internally displaced
persons (IDPs) who had to leave their homes of origin due to the cross-border conflict, earthquakes, floods or landslides. In addition, there are 311,000 refugees2
from the conflict with Azerbaijan over Nagorno-Karabakh. According to the Government of Armenia, 20 per cent of the refugees live in temporary shelters and
70 per cent are unemployed. Armenia also faces a mass outflow of workforce to other countries in hope to get better living and working opportunities. Most of
the emigrants now live in Russian Federation, but the emigration trends show increasing percentage of emigration to Western Europe and the USA. Between
1991 and 2001, 800,000 people emigrated from the country, of which 64,000 received status of refugees.
Human trafficking is another issue that raises concerns. Although there are no official statistics, the International Organisation for Migration estimates 500 people
were trafficked between 2000 and 2001 from the city of Gyumry alone. At the same time, increasing number of foreign citizens from Iran, Pakistan, Somalia and
Sudan seek asylum in Armenia and are in need of help. In 1999 2001, the State Department for Migration and Refugees registered 34 applications of which
seven were granted a refugee status. In 2002 there were over 20 applications, while in the first quarter of 2003, 14 people applied for a refugee status. Although
the number of asylum seekers in Armenia remains low, it is expected to increase, especially in the view of increasingly volatile security and complex political
situation in the region.
Armenia does not have an active public policy on trafficking. In 2002, the US State Department included it in the list of countries that do not adequately combat
this problem. Since then, the Government has been making efforts to improve the situation, however, much more remains to be done, particularly on prevention
and raising public awareness.
In 1999, the Government developed refugee status determination procedures and established a department for migration and refugees. Special attention is
required to help asylum seekers and newly recognized refugees integrate and naturalise. Due to complicated socio-economic situation in the country and limited
financial resources of the Government, the role of the Red Cross in providing assistance to asylum seekers and newly recognized refugees has significantly
increased. It is the only organisation today in Armenia helping this vulnerable group providing basic support such as food and hygienic materials as an
implementing partner of the UNHCR, the main agency coordinating support for refugees. In recent years, the Red Cross initiated new activities. In 2002, its youth
volunteers visited lone elderly refugees from Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and provided them with food, clothes and psycho-social support.

1
2

Source: Government of Armenia

Source: Government of Armenia
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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

The Red Cross is a member of the UN coordination group on counter-trafficking. It has been raising public awareness on illegal trafficking among general public.
Additionally, it has been helping asylum seekers and new refugees with food and hygiene supplies in cooperation with the UNHCR. The Red Cross maintains a
good contact with the Government of Armenia, the UN, non-governmental organisations and mass media. Its systems and capacities, however, need to be
developed. The current appeal, in line with the decisions of the Federations European Conference in Berlin, aims to assist the National Society to strengthen its
capacities to provide improved services to displaced people, as well as, advocate for their well-being.
1.2. Problems and needs
Main problem: Extreme vulnerability of displaced people to unstable socio-economic situation and poor health.
Causes:

Legal vacuum.
Limited Government resources.
Poor integration systems & mechanisms.
Lack of awareness among the general population.
Socio-economic instability.
Lack of experience and expertise.
Lack of education & promotion activities.

Effects:

Violation of basic rights of displaced people.

Poverty.
Exposure to trafficking or smuggling.
Increased illegal migration.
Vulnerability to emotional, psychological and behavioural suffering.
Discrimination of refugees and asylum seekers.

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

1.3. Stakeholders
Institutions
Problems

Interests

Department for Migration

& Refugees
Lack of capacities
human and
financial resources.
Inadequate
mechanisms &
systems.
Secure basic human rights
of displaced people.

Experience and
knowledge.
Good contacts with
governmental
bodies, local &
international
organizations.
Cooperation
agreement with the
Red Cross.

Potential

Interaction

Coordination & exchange of

information.

UNHCR
Inadequate services
for asylum seekers
and refugees.

Create sustainable services for

asylum seekers and refugees.

Common interests.
Good contacts with
the international
community.
Expertise and
knowledge.
Human and financial
resources.
Memorandum of
Understanding with
the Red Cross.
Coordination and exchange of
information with other
humanitarian actors working
with refuges.

Mass Media

Limited interest in
population movement issues.

Increase credibility and

image.

Access larger
communities.
Access to large
communities.

Red Cross public awareness

campaigns will largely be
conducted through mass media.

UNHCR might provide

financial support to the Red
Cross to implement the current
project.
Target
Group(s)
Problems

General population, asylum seekers & newly recognized refugees

Lack of information on laws, regulations & procedures.

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

Interests

Potential

Interaction

Poor social support and integration systems.

Complicated refugee determination procedures.
Receive information and adequate support.

Human resources.
Knowledge.
Willingness to secure their rights.
Asylum seekers and refugees are direct recipients of Red Cross aid.
General population will have increased awareness of the plight of displaced people and
their compassion for this vulnerable group will increase.

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

1.4. Internal analysis of the Armenian Red Cross

Internal
Strengths

An indigenous & national organisation.

Extensive network of branches and volunteers.

Basic material and human resources in all

regions.

Well trained staff at the Headquarters.

Strong links and bilateral cooperation with

international organisations.

High credibility and respect for its work with

displaced population.

Experience and knowledge of project

development, management and evaluation.

Limited income generated through affiliated

organisations.
Weaknesses

Absence of a Red Cross law.

Dependency on external funding jeopardising

sustainability of Red Cross services for vulnerable
communities.

Insufficient resources - material and financial.

External
Opportunities

Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement

backup.

Extensive network of international

organisations operating in the country.

Good cooperation with local partners/donors.

Threats

Socio-economic and political instability.

Lack of long-term commitment.

Declining donor interest in population

movement, as well as the, region.

2. Overall Goal
Vulnerability of the population to natural and men-made disasters is decreased.
Indicator of the overall goal:

The number of people affected by disasters is reduced.

Communities have basic knowledge and understanding of vulnerabilities, hazards, disasters and threats.

Communities are better prepared - have adequate skills and coping mechanisms to mitigate the effects of disasters.

The amount of damage following disasters is reduced.

Sources of verification:

World Disaster Report;

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

Government statistics.
Reports from NGOs.

Assumptions/risks:

Government of Armenia supports the Armenian Red Cross disaster management initiatives.
3. Programme Objective
The Armenian Red Cross positions itself as a key humanitarian actor in disaster management.
Indicators of programme objective:

Clearly defined role of the Armenian Red Cross in national disaster preparedness plan.

Reduced disaster response time for any Armenian Red Cross intervention.
Sources of verification:

National disaster preparedness plan.

Newspaper articles, TV reports.

Assumptions/risks:
Government of Armenia shows willingness to involve civil society in the development of the national disaster preparedness plan.
4. Project Objective:
The Armenian Red Cross helps displaced people to integrate and naturalise through legal consultations, vocational training and provision of basic daily
necessities, public awareness and advocacy.
Indicators for project objective:

Number of displaced persons supported by the Armenian Red Cross.

Sources of verification:
Armenian Red Cross annual report.
5. Expected Results
Expected result 1. The Armenian Red Cross has qualified staff at the headquarters and regional branches to provide improved services to displaced people.
Indicators:
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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

The Armenian Red Cross has trained 16 people in the branches and the headquarters who act as focal points for population movement initiatives.
Number of coordination meetings with key stakeholders conducted in the regional branches.

Source of verification:
Training reports.
Expected result 2. Asylum seekers and newly recognised refugees are provided with services to support their integration and rehabilitation.
Indicators:

15 asylum seekers and refugees received legal consultations;

15 asylum seekers and refugees received basic relief supplies.

10 refugees received language and vocational training.

300 information brochures printed and distributed on Armenian Red Cross Population Movement activities.
Source of verification:

Reports from the Armenian Red Cross.

Project progress reports.

Monitoring reports.
Expected result 3. Armenian Red Cross advocates with government authorities and other humanitarian actors and raises public awareness on key population
movement issues.
Indicators:
Five TV spots on trafficking produced and broadcast.
1,500 posters on trafficking printed and distributed.
Source of verification:
Meeting minutes.
TV spots.
Posters.
6. Project activities related to expected results
Expected result 1:
1.5. Identify focal points for population movement amongst existing staff in the regional branches.
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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

1.6. Train the focal points on population movement issues in cooperation with IOM, UNHCR, Norwegian Refugee Council, Department of Migration and
Refugees and other key actors.
1.7. The focal points will provide necessary information/consultation to displaced people in the regions.
1.8. Organise coordination meetings in selected regions with participation of key stakeholders - government authorities, non-governmental organisations, national
and international agencies, to maximise support to the displaced people.
Expected result 2.
2.5. Provide consultations to 15 asylum seekers or newly recognised refugees and refer to appropriate organisations as required.
2.6. Provide basic relief food, non-food and hygienic items to 15 asylum seekers or newly recognised refugees.
2.7. Provide vocational training, for 10 new refugees.
2.8. Develop and print 300 information brochures for distribution through the centre and the regional branches.
Expected result 3.
3.1. Prepare and broadcast five TV spots on trafficking /illegal migration.
3.2. Develop, print and distribute 1,500 posters on trafficking/illegal migration.
3.3 Network and coordinate with agencies to discuss issues related to illegal migration.
7. Monitoring and evaluation
Monitoring of the project will be carried out through:
analysis of quarterly reports from Red Cross population movement coordinator.
field visits by project managers, population movement coordinator and Federation representatives.
A mid-term evaluation will be conducted by a joint Armenian Red Cross and Federation team to assess the progress, identify main constraints and find solutions
to ensure project objectives are met. In addition, the end project evaluation will be carried out to investigate to what extent the expected results have been met.
Findings of the evaluation will constitute the basis for future planning.

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

8. Implementation and timetable

Activities

Expected result 1.
Activity 1. Identify focal points for
population movement amongst existing
staff in the regional branches.

Jan
04

Feb
04

Apr
04

May
04

Jun
04

Jul
04

Aug
04

Sep
04

Oct
04

Nov
04

Dec
04

Activity 2. Train focal points on

population movement issues in
cooperation with IOM, UNHCR,
Norwegian Refugee Council,
Department of Migration and Refugees
and other key actors.

Activity 3. The focal persons will

provide necessary
information/consultation to displaced
people in the regions.
Activity 4. Organise coordination
meetings in selected regions with
participation of key stakeholders government authorities, nongovernmental organisations, national
and international agencies to maximise
support to the displaced people.
Expected result 2.
Activity 1. Provide consultations to 15
asylum seekers or newly recognised
refugees and refer them to appropriate
organisations as required.
Activity 2. Provide basic relief food,
non-food and hygienic items to 15
asylum seekers or new refugees.
Activity 3. Provide language and
vocational training for 10 new refugees.
Activity 4. Develop and print 300

Mar
04

X
X

X
X

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

information brochures on Armenian

Red Cross population movement
activities for distribution through the
headquarters and regional branches.

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Logical framework planning matrix: Disaster Management Programme/Population Movement Project

Activities

Expected result 3.
Activity 1. Prepare and broadcast five TV
spots on trafficking/illegal migration.
Activity 2. Develop, print and distribute
1,500 posters on trafficking /illegal
migration.
Activity 3. Network and coordinate with
agencies to discuss issues related to
illegal migration.
Assessment, monitoring and evaluation
Monitoring
Mid-term and/or final evaluation

Jan
04

Feb
04

Mar
04

Apr
04

May
04

Jun
04

Jul
04

Aug
04

X
X

Sep
04

Oct
04

Nov
04

Dec
04

X
X

9. Critical Assumptions
9.1 Preconditions:

Armenian Red Cross leadership is committed and supports the project.

The project receives adequate support through the Federations network.

10. Sustainability
The project largely depends on external funding because of difficult socio-economic situation in the country and limited financial capacities of the national
society. Continuous funding for several years will enable the Armenian Red Cross to strengthen its capacities. Increased cooperation with local and international
partners, as well as, Government agencies will also strengthen sustainability of Red Cross services for displaced people.

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