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1. Department of Geography, Federal Urdu University of Arts, Sciences and Technology, Gulshan Campus,
Karachi. Pakistan.
2. Department of Geography, University of Karachi, Karachi, Pakistan
Abstract
A high degree of internal inequality is a common characteristic of intermediate and less developed countries like
Pakistan. Its comprehension is an essential requisite for amelioration and this study is a pioneering work in the
context of the two provinces i.e. Sindh and Baluchistan, focusing on the inter-relationship of a gamut of factors
to enable the deciphering of comparative status of social and economic development. The study suggests that
ethnicity, which is the basis of administrative delineation in Pakistan, has fostered clan feudalism, and
development policies based on lines of Islamic justice and equity, embodied in the constitution of the country
can make inequalities bearable.
1 INTRODUCTION
Disparities cause uncertainty in society. They damage social values and drag the nation to
disaster. Inequalities strangle democracy and trigger dictatorship, igniting problems related to
human wellbeing. Development is the movement from one social state to a higher social state
and concerned with the improvement of social and economic welfare or quality of life (Islam
et al., 2001). Perhaps, rapid economic growth is not the most effective means of achieving
general social progress. One of the greatest dangers in the present situation of development
inequality is its potential for human conflict. This applies to inequality within nations as well
as among them (Smith, 1977). A high degree of internal inequality is a common characteristic
of intermediate and less developed countries like Pakistan.
Well-established socio-economic background is based on the income of any area. Inequality
in terms of income presents a narrow view of overall inequality prevailing in a society, while
the study referred to as social and economic inequality considers the disparities in income and
standard of living (Pandey and Nathwani, 1997).
During recent decades, most of the developing countries have been engaged arduously not
only in nation building processes but also in economic and social development to pull their
people out of the morass of poverty, ignorance, squalor and morbidity (Khanna, 1991). The
explicit engagement of geography with morality and social justice dates from the latter part of
the 1960s (Smith, 1994).
The economic life of any people includes activities of several different orders. As a
minimum, there are always formalized patterns controlling ownership, production,
distribution and consumption. Income and consumption are the most direct measures of
49
Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
living standards. In addition, income refers to the earnings from productive activities and
current transfers. It can be observed as comprising claims on goods and services by the single
or households. In general words, income permits people to obtain goods and services. The
empirical literature on consumption wealth effects intends to answer the question of how
much consumption will increase as a result of an exogenous increasing wealth (Bover, 2005).
The main difficulty for progress in this area is lack of household survey data that contains at
the same, direct measures of asset holdings and consumption.
Several works regarding inequality with special reference to income distribution and poverty
on the economic perspective in Pakistan are on record e.g. those of Bergen, 1967; Azfar,
1973; Naseem, 1973; Khundkar 1973; Alauddin, 1975; Chaudhry, 1982; Mahmood, 1984;
Krujik and Leeuwen, 1985; Krujik, 1986; Krujik, 1987; Ahmad and Ludlow, 1989; Malik,
1992, Ahmad, 2000, Anwar, 2003 and Kemal, 2003. Most of these studies are based on data
from FBS (Federal Bureau of Statistics, Govt. of Pakistan), Household Income and
Expenditure Surveys (HIES) and that of the Government of Pakistan census data.
These studies reveal a declining trend in income (or expenditure) inequality. These studies
mainly focus on the economic point of view, while there is dearth of spatial analysis.
According to the Economic Survey (2004-05), population in Pakistan has grown at an
average rate of 3 percent annually since 1951 to the mid 1980s. During the periods 1985-86
to 1999-2000, population growth reduced to an average rate of 2.6 percent per annum.
Subsequent to 2001, population of Pakistan is growing at an average, further reduced rate of
almost 2 percent annually.
A welfare state has been defined in the Webster dictionary as a government that undertakes
responsibility for the welfare of its citizens through programs in public health, housing, pensions,
and unemployment compensation, etc. There are a number of empirical studies of how quality of
life is linked to demand for public facilities (Rosen, 1974; Liu, 1976; Roback, 1982; Blomquist,
et al., 1988; Mwabu, et al., 1993; Lavy and Germain, 1994; Alderman and Lavy, 1996; Ultee,
2006; Sorensen, 2006; Palme, 2006 and Moro, et.al., 2008).
As an Islamic welfare state, Pakistan in its Constitution provides a guarantee to the nation about
the promotion of social and economic well-being of people (Mahmood, 2007). In a country,
where there are a few monopoly houses who benefit by exploiting the less fortunate or less
influential classes, the existence of social and economic inequalities or disparities are
unacceptable in their intensity, complex in pattern, and persistent in occurrence and by no means
simple.
The spatial dimensions of social and economic inequalities in Pakistan now is a prominent
outcome of development strategies reflected in its provision of basic necessities of life essential
for human development and an acceptable quality of life which has been hampered by various
delivery hurdles. UNDP being the pioneer of the National Human Development Report 2003,
(Hussain, et al, 2003) for Pakistan has presented a Human Development Index (HDI). However,
with reference to this aspect, Statistics Division of the Government of Pakistan (FBS, 2004; 2002
& 2001) published socio-economic indicators at district level and social indicators for Pakistan.
PMDG (2004, 2005, 2006, 2009 & 2010) provides valuable guidelines in terms of hunger and
poverty eradication, universal primary education target, enhancement in gender equality and
empowerment of women, child mortality reduction, health improvement, combating HIV/AIDS,
malaria and other diseases, ensuring environmental sustainability, etc.
The purpose of this paper is to decipher the comparative status of social and economic
development of Sindh and Baluchistan in the purview of Pakistan. For formulation of policies
and plans aimed at developing, a suitable operational strategy for minimizing and
eliminating, to the extent possible, such disparities, identification of socio-economically
depressed regions is a prerequisite. For this purpose z-score based standard score additive
model (SSAM) for inequality measurements have been introduced. In the present era,
technological advances have improved the researchers capacity to observe and analyze
50
phenomena that occur over micro to macro matrixes. The modification or increased use of
new statistical tools in various disciplines provides support to researchers to increase their
capacity of analysis in their studies.
The present study is a pioneering work in the context of the two provinces, Sindh and Baluchistan
of Pakistan, focusing on the varying dimensions of social and economic inequalities in spatial
perspective, based on the inter relationship of a gamut of factors represented by an array of
selected relevant variables. After the identification and delineation of inequality regions and
analysis of their contributory factors, strategies for a more just spatial social order may be
suggested for amelioration of disparities.
2
METHODOLOGY
No project can survive for long if the data produced are not put to proper use and this
is possible by quantitative methods. The traditional method of measuring inequality are
Lorenze Curve, which is closely related to the Gini-Coefficient, Williamsons Coefficient of
Variation and computation of the Location Quotient, Schutz Coefficient of Equality and
Theils Index, Joint Count Statistics, etc. However, these are measures employed for the
measurement of disparities on a limited scale, i.e. they have the limitation of being methods
of bi-variate interrelationship and are cumbersome. Therefore, in order to undertake a more
comprehensive study based on a wide array of variables the SSAM has been used to arrive at
a composite picture. The present study based on Census 1998 database is followed by two
major steps. (1) Selection of variables and (2) SSAM for disparities.
2.1 Selection of Variables
In regional planning, analysis of QOL has bounded within a range of indicators that
represent components in human well-being. Indicators provide reasons in the context of
quality assurance, to which the following definition can be employed: a specially selected
measure or attribute that may indicate and point to good or poor quality. (Ader et al., 2001).
While there is an abundance of different types of governments promoting social and
economic welfare which have been suggested in several literatures, none can be considered as
one that would best support the construction of a good set of internationally applicable
social and economic indicators (Kalimo, 2005). In the research and development of regional
planning, selection of indicators depends on the purpose of the study and mental level of the
people (Diener, et al., 1995, Diener, and Suh, 1997 and Rahman, et al., 2005).
For the representation of well-being many terms may be used, but the most commonly used
terms are quality of life, standards of living, human well-being and welfare. Due to
unequivocal meaning of those terms, sometimes various problems have been observed
(Veenhoven, 2000 and 2008). In the study of social sciences, it is generally assumed that
individuals behavior is guided by the goal of seeking a higher level of the QOL and that
actual behavior should be seen as its reflection. However, in economic research utility
provides an alternative concept to QOL, while psychologists use the term, satisfaction or
happiness. A massive variety of literature is helping promote the study of well-being.
QOL is a multidimensional concept, which has many distinct domains (Hirschberg et al.,
2001). QOL is a broad term that encompasses notions of a good life, a valued life, a
satisfying life, and a happy life (McGregor et al., 2006). In what follows an attempt has been
made to select a set of indicators suitable for showing social and economic disparities.
In multivariate analysis, a diversified collection of variables helps to depict the overall scenario of
the study area while their grouping or categorization assists in a comprehensive evaluation of
specific aspects under consideration. (Diener, and Diener2001; Graham, and Felton, 2006 and
Copestake, 2007).
51
Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
Too many indicators that cannot be combined into an overall indicator or a set of sectoral
indicators fail to represent a summary view. At the same time, too few would gloss over
important trends that need to be noted. As a compromise, it has been thought best to pick up
one key indicator to reflect the progress towards each major goal with a few supplementary
indicators to reflect related trends or important components of the major goals. Social
indicators have been grouped under the following main heads:
1.
Health and Nutrition (HN)
2.
Housing and Environment (HE)
3.
Education and Culture (EC)
4.
Social Welfare (SW)
5.
Urbanization (U)
Similarly, Economic indicators have been categorized as follows:
6.
Income, Wealth and Consumption (IWC)
7.
Occupational Structure (OS)
8.
Agricultural Development (AD)
9.
Industrial Development (ID)
and overall study of variables,
10.
Composite Social and Economic Inequality (CSEI)
In all, forty-seven variables have been included in the study. A list of the variables along with
abbreviations used in the present study has been given in Table 1.
Table 1
Selected Variables
CBR:
HC:
H
:
BAPHC&H
D:
LHW:
CIV:
SNU:
HP:
NOH:
ARC:
PH:
HUE:
HUPW:
HUG:
PO:
HTRA:
HTRP:
HTRTRN:
L:
PE:
M:
G+:
S:
ES:
STR:
52
SCCH:
UP:
PD:
S&TW:
CC:
PS:
NM:
GDP
CLAW:
TRH:
IS:
DAP:
W:
PW:
SW:
TW:
UR:
P_H:
P_W:
IW_W:
VA_IW:
53
Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
Xs X
n 1
This model has been applied here to measure inequalities of social and economic parameters.
Firstly, the data has been converted into percentages and units i.e. variables.
Secondly, all selected variables have been arranged in descending order (X).
Thirdly, highest value of each variable has been selected as specific standard for each
variable in the study area (Xs).
Fourthly, the specific standard for each variable has been subtracted from the value of
variables formulated (Xi).
Fifthly, the mean and standard deviation of the set of specific standards for the set of
variables has been calculated.
Finally, Standard Score has been calculated for each variable (Zi).
To remove negativity of Zi the values have been squared. (Zi)2
The Standard Scores Additive Model (SSAM) has been used to develop a Composite Social
and Economic Indicator.
The magnitude of inequality of each set of selected indicators requires the addition of z-score
for each variable in the set. The model is thus:
S=
Ij = Zij
i 1
Where
Ij
is the magnitude of inequality of the set of indicator for district j
Zij
is the standard score on variables i in district j
K
is the number of variables measuring the criterion in question.
District scores on different indicators can thus be directly compared, irrespective of the
number of variables contributing to them. Composite Social and Economic Inequality (CSEI)
for any district will be:
m
CSEI j =
Zij
i 1
or in this case
47
CSEI j =
Zij
i 1
Where
CSEI Composite Social and Economic Inequality for district j
Zij
Sum of Standard Score on variables i in district j
m
is the last variable for district j
I
is the first variable for district j
3
54
inequality. In the present study the procedure for calculating Ideal Provincial Inequality (IPI)
is as follows:
Z
Zs
X 100
IPI = i
Zs
Where:
(i)
(ii)
Zi =
Xi X
S
X Xs
Zs = s
Ss
Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
pertaining to HN, HE, EC and CSEI set of indicators, while Sindh leads in U, IWC, OS, AD
and ID. Baluchistan has shown better position for SW.
Table 2
Standard Scores on Nine Criteria of Social and Economic Inequality and on a Composite
Indicator Pakistan, Sindh and Baluchistan 1998
Indicators
IPI
Pakistan
Sindh
Baluchistan
HN
2.04
2.11
2.39
3.74
HE
15.81
20.56
28.16
42.15
EC
6.29
13.77
15.55
18.95
SW
1.03
1.52
1.33
1.03
3.98
5.49
4.35
6.88
IWC
4.38
5.41
5.14
10.69
OS
11.83
14.40
12.68
17.10
AD
9.14
29.74
9.14
20.60
ID
5.22
9.50
5.66
16.49
CSEI
40.65
54.05
60.17
88.75
250
Pakistan
Sindh
Balochistan
IPI Percentage
200
150
100
50
0
HN
HE
EC
SW
U
ICW
Indicators
OS
AD
ID
CSEI
Fig. 1 reveals the magnitude of inequalities. Conditions of health and nutrition at the national
level are much better (3.43 percent) while Baluchistan is 83.09 percent backward to IPI. The
percentage variation of inequality of standard scores above IPI is also better in the national
perspective, the level of development being 36.34 and 118.93 percent backward to IPI,
respectively, while Sindh and Baluchistan show greater inequality. Baluchistan has shown an
ideal situation with reference to SW. Sindh depicts higher urbanization, income, wealth and
consumption dynamics, situation of job opportunities, ideal agricultural productivity and
industrial development. Baluchistan has emerged as a more backward province in comparison
to national and Sindh levels. Fig. 2, is a graphical depiction of sixteen selected variables. It
has not been possible to calculate SNU at the national level due to data constraint. (Data of
FATA and F.R. are restricted). Sindh has shown better performance with reference to CBR,
ideal situation with reference to HP and HUE, HUW and HUG values are higher than
national standards. The figures of D, LHWs, CIV, PH and PO show much better
performance at their respective national levels. Baluchistan shows comparatively better
performance for PHCs, BAPHC&H with reference to both national and Sindh standards.
Fig. 3 is a graphical depiction of the next sixteen variables. The national standards are highest
for HTRA, HTRP, PE, S and SE. High percentage of cognizable crimes coupled with low
facilities of PS has been recorded for Pakistan. A cause of great national social concern.
Sindh shows better than national performance for HTRTRN, L, M, G+, SCCH, PS, UP and
PD and education facilities have been responsible for high urban population and density of
population. Baluchistan reveals poor performance with reference to national and Sindh
standards except for M, S, STR, CC and NM.
Fig.4 is the graphical representation of the last fifteen variables for Pakistan, Sindh and
Baluchistan. Highest values at the national level have been recorded for S&TW, TRH, TW
and VA_IW. Sindh has shown better than national performance for GDP, while it is a little
less in Baluchistan. The performance of IS, W, PW, SW, P_H, P_W, IW_W is much more
appreciable than national standards. Sindh records lower than national standards. In addition
Sindh records lower than national standard for DAP, TW and UE indicating that dependency
and unemployment are much lower in Sindh. Agriculturally as well as industrially, Sindh is
in a better position. Baluchistan has poor standing with reference to IS and SW. IW_W is a
major cause of its economic and hence social backwardness.
Conclusion
A comparative study of social and economic inequality of Sindh and Baluchistan was
deemed essential as these provinces, although, being richly endowed by natural resources,
strategic location, and historical inertia remain the most backward in terms of development
and resource allocation seems to be lagging behind national standards.
Although, both provinces are contiguous in location, there seems to be a yawning gap in the
standards of living and quality of life of their populace, deeming identification of the
causative factors an essential prerequisite for formulation of ameliorative policies for the
reduction or minimization of disparities. One of the main objectives of this paper, the need of
the hour is to develop these areas in order to bring them at par to the national level and to
make them a viable part of the national setup which is possible by recognition of their
contribution to the national development, of which they have always held great potential.
Ethnicity, which is the basis of administrative delineation in Pakistan, has fostered clan
feudalism, hence the relative levels of development and inequality in the country. The
country needs to develop on the lines of Islamic justice and equity, which will promote
equity, hence make inequalities bearable. It is a country which needs incessant development
in order to support its population at a progressively better standard of living.
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Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
58
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Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
60
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64
Annexure
Illustration of SSAM Disparities Application
Step I: Selection of variables for study
Variables
Pakistan Sindh Baluchistan
% HP(18)
30.51
31.60
30.38
% NOH
18.82
23.10
13.37
AC
03.10
03.33
02.80
%PH/H
58.50
46.70
14.19
%HUE
70.50
70.08
46.62
%HUW
28.10
37.17
25.31
%HUG
20.20
32.43
09.84
NPO/PD
80.08
08.38
31.00
LHTR/Area
00.17
00.15
00.01
HTR/P
01.01
00.72
00.78
% HTR/TRN
55.40
87.09
21.35
Step II: Selection of Standards among Selected Variables
Variables
Standard
Variables
% HP(18)
31.60
% NOH
13.37
AC
02.80
%PH/H
58.50
%HUE
70.50
%HUW
37.17
%HUG
32.43
NPO/PD
80.08
LHTR/Area
00.17
HTR/P
00.78
% HTR/TRN
87.09
Step III: Calculation of Xi
Variables
Standard Pakistan Xi = X - Xs (+)
Xs
X
Xi = Xs X (-)
% HP(18)
31.60
30.51
-10.09
% NOH
13.37
18.82
-50.45
AC
02.80
03.10
-00.30
%PH/H
58.50
58.50
00.00
%HUE
70.50
07.50
00.00
%HUW
37.17
28.10
-90.07
%HUG
32.43
02.20
-12.23
NPO/PD
80.08
80.08
00.00
LHTR/Area
00.17
00.17
00.00
HTR/P
00.78
01.01
-00.23
% HTR/TRN
87.09
55.40
-31.69
37.68
X
S
32.24
65
Social and economic disparities, Sindh, Baluchistan and Pakistan - A comparative study
% HP(18)
% NOH
AC
%PH/H
%HUE
%HUW
%HUG
NPO/PD
LHTR/Area
HTR/P
% HTR/TRN
Standard Pakistan
Xs
X
Xi = X - Xs
31.60
30.51
-10.09
13.37
18.82
-50.45
02.80
03.10
-00.30
58.50
58.50
00.00
70.50
70.50
00.00
37.17
28.10
-90.07
32.43
20.20
-12.23
80.08
80.08
00.00
00.17
00.17
00.00
00.78
10.01
-00.23
87.09
55.40
-31.69
Zi =
Ij
Xi X
S
(Zi )
-1.20
-1.34
-1.18
-1.17
-1.17
-1.45
-1.55
-1.17
-1.17
-1.18
-2.15
1.45
1.79
1.39
1.37
1.37
2.10
2.40
1.37
1.37
1.38
4.63
Zij
i 1
66