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GLOBAL CHANGE IN
MOUNTAIN SITES
Contents
Dissemination of results 15
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Introduction and objectives
Under the name of the “Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory”, ideas and methodologies proposed by
the GLOCHAMORE project were implemented in this mountain region in 2008. This first phase of the project
lasts two years and is being financed by the Andalusian environmental administration (Department of the
Environment. Regional Government of Andalusia) and by the Spanish Ministry of Environment. Sierra
Nevada’s active participation in the GLOCHAMORE project has greatly helped the inclusion of this project’s
guidelines in the Sierra Nevada Observatory. The selection of environmental variables used for monitoring
is based on this project’s proposed research strategy.
The basic objectives of the Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory are to:
Define, quantify and characterize natural processes and resources for identifying and differentiating
between natural situations and other situations resulting from global change in any of its multiple
factors. Whenever possible, it will be determined to what extent a certain situation can be attributed
to specific factors.
Characterize acceptable change limits so that it is possible to differentiate between a) recurring
fluctuations and b) long-term changes, as well as detect and interpret anomalies in the shortest time
possible. This will enable a proportionate reaction to changes detected, if necessary.
Supply information for correct planning of management activities aimed at reversing malfunctions
detected in processes and people.
Assess effectiveness and efficiency of management activities carried out in view of any changes
detected in order to propose appropriate adjustments for adaptive management.
Provide reliable information for monitoring the work of other institutions that are responsible for
ensuring the conservation of the Sierra Nevada Nature Reserve, by virtue of international awards
received.
Determine research requirements, relative to any changes detected, that transcend the scope and
objectives of a Natural Processes and Resources Monitoring Program.
Provide useful information to managers and researchers on global change in Sierra Nevada.
Help to disseminate information of general interest that enhances knowledge of the values and
importance of the Sierra Nevada Nature Reserve.
To achieve the above objectives we have organized the Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory in four
basic pillars:
Long Term Monitoring Program: monitoring of environmental processes to diagnose the state of natural
systems in the face of global change. The guidelines of the GLOCHAMORE program have been followed to
implement this monitoring system. The aim is to carry out a prolonged monitoring of several
environmental variables using scientifically acceptable methodologies.
Specific Tool to Store, Analyze and Consult the Generated Data: a significant amount of varied
information will be generated throughout the project. It is very important to implement mechanisms for
storing this information in an organized way. This greatly aids its interrelation for generating useful
knowledge in the management process.
Adaptive Management: field Laboratory to management using active and adaptive approaches to better
anticipate and respond to changes. The goal of the whole project is to implement an adaptive
environmental management model. This means management results are continuously assessed, with this
assessment determining management objectives. A feedback mechanism is therefore established which
improves the state of natural resources.
Communication Forum: for knowledge sharing among scientists, managers, local stakeholders and
general public. it is vital to implement dissemination mechanisms for both the results of the work and the
methodologies and experience acquired during the project.
1
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Main players involved
GLOCHAMORE Project
The project has three levels of involvement of three
different stakeholders: International level
(GLOCHAMORE), national (Global change
monitoring in Spanish National Parks) and
Regional level (the Sierra Nevada Global Change
Observatory). This multi-scale work is done by the
same working team, as can be seen in the below National level (MARM-OAPN; FB)
organization chart
Global Change monitoring
programme in National Parks: 8
multiparametric stations
Environmental management
company
2
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Socio-economic conditions of people living in Sierra Nevada
Socio-economic Variables
Population density
Granada
Ski resort
20 Km
The map shows the population density with high values in red and low in green. 30
Population Density Protected area
Population density is highest in the proximity of larger towns (northwest). There
(Inhabitant per Km2) City centres
are 61 municipalities in the protected area, where live 90.000 people. The most 0
important economic activities are: agriculture, tourism, beekeeping, mining and
skiing.
18.4
NQ
14.5 Population ageing (%)
1400 300
Duration of the ski season) x 1000
45 % NQ 1200 250
Skiing days (Nº of visitors *
36 %
1000 200
800 150
Activity Rate (%) has
increased in the last 20 years 600 100
400 50
Skiing days / trend
Services 200 First day with snow per year / trend
0
Last day with snow per year / trend
Construction 0
92- 93- 94- 95- 96- 97- 98- 99- 00 01- 02- 03- 04- 05- 06- 07- 08-
Industry 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
Agriculture Skiing days vs. natural snow duration in the skiing resort (MODIS
images). Although the skiing days are increasing, the duration of the
Employment per sector (%) snow seems to decrease in the last 10 years. This means that the artificial
snow will be more important in the future. 3
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Biodiversity and overview of ecosystems types of Sierra Nevada
Ecosystem types
20 Km
Mid mountain
shrublands
High mountain The map shows the spatial distribution of the
grasslands ecosystem types that we have defined in
Area (Has)
Biodiversity
Vegetal diversity of Sierra Nevada Vegetal endemicity of Sierra Nevada
This mountain hosts 2100 vascular plants, representing 25% of the Spanish Sierra Nevada is one of the most important hotspots of vegetal diversity in
flora and 20% of the European flora. the Mediterranean basin
Sierra Nevada
(66) Spain
Rate Nº Vegetal Species / Area Germany Poland UK Italy
(1500)
Austria (700)
(3) (15)
0.5 1 (2) (25) Israel
(55)
3500
Fishes
Amphibians
Reptiles
Birds
Mammals
Invertebrates
Diversity % endemisms
The base map shows the phytocenotic diversity of ecosystems. This index is a combination of the structural High
diversity (number of vegetal strata per ecosystem) and de diversity of habitats (number of Natura 2000 12%
habitats per ecosystem). Natural forests reach the maximum value in this index. Meanwhile, high mountain
pastures and shrublands are not very diverse under this point of view.
The isolines show the percentage of flora endemicity. Some areas close to the summits have the highest Low
percentages, around 70-80% of the present species. 4
State of natural resources
Next pages show one data sheet per ecosystem type. This sheet shows the
main biophysical features that define that ecosystem, the most important
ecosystem services and some case studies about adaptive management.
5
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Summary of methodologies applied
The figures shown in the next pages were obtained by applying different methodologies. In
the next paragraphs we summarize the most relevant ones. We are also describing the
datasets used to obtain the figures.
1 Climatic variable obtained from the analysis of the data coming from weather stations.
Time series from 1960 to 1990.
3 Snow data obtained by remote sensing techniques. Analysis of snow cover products
(MODA10A2) from MODIS sensor (NASA). Time series from 2000 to 2010.
5 Monitoring of ibex (Capra pyrenaica) by means of line transects. Time series from 1960
to 2009.
6 Vegetation map of Sierra Nevada (1:10.000). Interpretation of aerial photos from 2005.
7 Vegetation map of Sierra Nevada (1:10.000). Interpretation of aerial photos from 1956.
9 Values of biodiversity, tree and understory density obtained from a forestal inventory
made in Sierra Nevada National Park in 2005.
10 Quality of the riparian vegetation measured by the QBR index. Time series from 2001 to
2010.
12 Fluvial habitat index measured by the IHF (índice del hábitat fluvial). Time series from
2006 to 2010.
6
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Key to understand the ecosystem type data sheet
Surface in Has
Relevant fact 1
Relevant fact 2
Past value Present day value Future value Red color means that the
value is considered
negative for the state of
conservation of the
NQ
x y
ecosystem
Listing of the most relevant ecosystem services for each ecosystem type.
Adaptive management
Case studies that demonstrate adaptive management actions in relation to each ecosystem type
7
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
State of natural resources: High mountain grassland
15.200 Has
NQ 9.4 NQ
1312 1282 7.8 124
1 NQ 1
2
3 NQ
2
4
Annual rain is expected to be reduced Average annual temperature is Average snow cover duration (days). The
in the next decades, from 1312 l/m2y in expected to be increased in the next trend is negative if we analyze the last
1960-1990, to 1282 in 2011-2040. decades, from 7.8 ºc in 1960-1990, to decade. The reduction in the snow cover
9.4ºC in 2011-2020 duration hasn’t been quantified yet
45 50
3 5 NQ NQ NQ NQ
NQ NQ
5 5
Demographic trend of Capra pyrenaica Estimated demographic trend of Vipera Climate change is expected to provoke
in Sierra Nevada (ibex number / Km2). latasti in Sierra Nevada. This viper was a reduction in the occupation area of
Given the scarcity of predators, this frequently found in the high this ecosystem. We have not quantified
species is being managed through an grasslands. The decreasing trend is this process yet.
integrated plan involving the explained by the habitat deterioration.
population and health controls.
Adaptive management
One of the most important management task done in order to improve the conservation status of high mountain grasslands is the
restoration of the landscape. Those actions try to minimize the impact of past human activities, such are the building of infrastructures,
accumulations of waste and destruction of the vegetal cover.
36.000 Has
NQ 10.1 NQ
1221 1195 8.7 90 NQ
1 NQ 1
2
3
2 4
Annual rain is expected to be reduced Average annual temperature is Average snow cover duration (days). The
in the next decades, from 1221 l/m2y in expected to be increased in the next trend is negative if we analyze the last
1960-1990, to 1195 in 2011-2040. decades, from 10.4 ºc in 1960-1990, to decade. The reduction in the snow cover
11.7ºC in 2011-2020 duration hasn’t been quantified yet
Average number of plant species found Occupation area (has) of this ecosystem. Potential distribution with
in this ecosystem. We have not Decrease of wildfires and over grazing present climate and with
quantified it yet, but we believe that explain the increased surface from 1956 future climate
there won’t be important changes in to present day. Climate change scenarios
the next decades predicts a loss of 30% of its potential Potential distribution only
with present climate
habitat in the next decades. 2 Km (contraction area)
Main ecosystem services
Adaptive management
This ecosystem can be considered as threatened due to the climate change and land use changes in the last decades. In order to avoid the
loss of its distribution area and to improve the conservation status of the ecosystem, we are implementing active and adaptive management
actions. These actions are taking into account concepts that are new in the environmental management of Sierra Nevada, such are the
uncertainty and the dynamic vision of the future. We are also trying to transfer the best scientific available knowledge to the design and
implementation of these actions. Some of them are outlined in this representation.
40.000 Has
NQ 12 NQ
1005 992 11 53
1 NQ 1
2
3
NQ
2
4
Annual total rain is expected to be Average annual temperature is Average snow cover duration (days). The
reduced in the next decades, from 1005 expected to be increased in the next trend is negative if we analyze the last
l/m2y in 1960-1990, to 992 in 2011- decades, from 10.4 ºc in 1960-1990, to decade. The reduction in the snow cover
2040. 11.7ºC in 2011-2020 duration hasn’t been quantified yet,
although it seems to be less important
than in other ecosystems.
NQ 913 40000
19 NQ
NQ 9
9 NQ 6
0 1000
7
Average number of plant species. The Average density of the tree cover Occupation area (has) of this ecosystem.
diversity was lower in the past because (number of trees per Ha). It is expected Most of the plantations were done during
of the high erosion rate and misuse of to decrease due to the management the 60-70 decades of past century.
the natural resources. Will be higher actions (parcial clear-cuts). Thanks to the management actions, the
due to the adaptive management. surface will decrease in next decades,
becoming mixed pine-oak forests.
Main ecosystem services
Biomass, wood and firewood production Soil conservation Hunting
Mushrooms production Protection against floods Recreational uses
Carbon sink
Adaptive management
As previously described, this ecosystem is being replaced by natural vegetation, that is much more resilient and better adapted to the
natural features of the landscape. Clear-cuts are the most important management actions that are driving these “artificial forests” to a
more natural state. The following map shows the approximate year in which each plantation was done. We also shows the places where the
clear-cuts have taken place. The graph shows the number of hectares treated by clear-cuts per year.
1300
339 589
383 380
56
1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008
10
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
State of natural resources: Natural forests
15.000 Has
15000
NQ 13 12000 NQ
935 925 11.6 6
1 NQ 1
2
2 7
NQ NQ
524 280
NQ 9
NQ 9
Average density of the tree cover Average density of the shrubs below
(number of trees per Ha). It is expected the tree canopy (number of plants per
to increase due to the regeneration Ha). It is expected to increase due to
processes after the abandonment of the regeneration processes after the Marginal crops in 1956 Regeneration of Q.
(Dilar river valley) pyrenaica forest in 2009
the rural areas abandonment of the rural areas
1950: Intense human activity in the forest. Present: abandonment of rural Future: restoration of the “original” 11
Charcoal extraction. Overgrazing activities structure of the forest
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
State of natural resources: Mid mountain shurbland
30.000 Has
NQ 14.3 42000
790 788 13 30000 NQ
1 2 NQ 1
2
7 6
Annual rain is expected to be reduced The increase of mean temperature Occupation area (has) of this ecosystem. Pine
in the next decades, from 790 l/m2y in in the next decades could be one forests were planted over highly degraded
1960-1990, to 788 in 2011-2040. of the most important stress shurblands. This explain the decrease in the
factors to this ecosystem. occupation area. In the future this surface could
increase due to the naturalization process of pine
plantations.
NQ NQ
NQ NQ 500 m
NQ NQ
Adaptive management
Beekeeping is a good example of adaptive management. The environmental managers offer to the beekeepers some places to establish
their apiaries. This assignment of land is free for the beekeeper, since it is taken into account that beekeeping contributes to plant
pollination. The map shows the suitability of the land in order to host apiaries. This map is based in a model that has taken into account
some determinant factors such are rain, temperature, accessibility, water availability, and presence of honey flora. Green colors represent
areas with high suitability, while red colors represents areas unsuitable for the installation of apiaries.
Green areas show places with a
higher suitability. Black circles show
the distribution of apiaries in Sierra
Nevada. The size is proportional to
the number of hives per apiaries.
The most interesting result of this
model is that there are several places
in Sierra Nevada that could be
occupied by apiaries under an
adaptive management scenario.
12
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
State of natural resources: Aquatic systems
1.700 Has
NQ NQ NQ
80 142 76
NQ 10
NQ 11
NQ 12
Average ecological quality of riparian Biological quality of riparian Fluvial habitat index. Shows the
environment (index QBR. From 0 to 100) environment (index IBMWP. From 0 to heterogeneity and the structural diversity of
in Sierra Nevada. The abandonment of 200). This index considers the diversity the habitat (from 0 to 100). It is supposed to
the rural areas and the management and abundance of macroinvertebrates increase due to the improvements in the
actions have helped to enhance the in the river. It is supposed to increase water flow of the rivers.
conservation status of riparian forests. due to the adaptive management of the
system.
NQ 100% 1700 NQ
13
NQ 6
7
Increase in the total length of trout The increase of the occupied area is
(Salmo trutta) populations (in %). probably due to the abandonment of
Management actions will improve the the rural areas closed to the rivers.
conservation status of this species in Restoration activities are also helping
the next decades. to increase the occupation area of
aquatic systems in Sierra Nevada.
Degraded riparian forest in Regenerated riparian forest
1956 (Dílar river) in 2009 (Dílar river)
Main ecosystem services
Drinking and Sport fishing Water regulation Energy production Recreational uses
irrigation water
Adaptive management
Sierra Nevada rivers have a strong representation of the brown trout (Salmo trutta). These populations represent the southern limit of
this species in Europe. This has led to the existence of particular genetic patterns in Sierra Nevada. Several decades ago, fishers
introduced adult rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) specimens. This species is native in Northwest America and it behaves as an
invasive species in Mediterranean rivers.
At present, the alien species is a major threat to native trout conservation. The management actions try to improve the conservation
status of brown trout and the gradual eradication of populations of rainbow trout.
The global change observatory is generating a huge amount of data and information that should be
translated to useful knowledge that helps to improve the way we manage the natural resources of
Sierra Nevada. In order to achieve this main objective, we are designing and implementing an
Information System. The objectives of this information system are:
Store in an organized and normalized way all the information generated by the Sierra Nevada
Global Change Observatory.
Design tools to improve the way users access the stored information. This is one of the most
important weakness of the information systems.
Develop methodologies to analyze the raw information in order to obtain useful knowledge.
Design and implement an indicator system able to supplying information about the state of
the natural resources (in past, present and future scenarios), main stress factors and main
response management actions.
k
n Indicator system What if?
o Simple indexes In a more advanced
w showing the present phase, we should be able
l status, the historical Data warehouse to model the behavior of
e trend and the the system taking into
d predicted status of a • Personalized multithematic account the present
g given ecosystem. reports knowledge of its
• Complex analysis (OLAP) dynamic.
e
• Datamining
This diagram shows synthetically some key concepts of the information system we are developing. The
raw data taken from the field (climate, fauna, flora, vegetation, etc..) are structured in relational
databases. In addition, reports, slide shows and other data sources are handled by a bibliography
manager, a wiki and a content manager. The information in this platforms is used by a system of
indicators that shows the current status, trend, and the expected situation of the different types of
Sierra Nevada ecosystems.
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Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Dissemination of results
Collaborative Framework.
We have created a collaborative framework with training activities, activities dissemination and use of new technologies that are allowing:
• improve acquisition and generation of useful knowledge for the management
• improve collaboration among work teams
• Enhance the dissemination of updated results of the Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Some of de tool used are:
Wiki
Website that allows creation and editing of content easily by multiple Percentage of New
Relevant Data
users. Our wiki complements the coordination actions within the • 24.000 visits (green) and Returning
project and allows shared files and documents, acting as a information • 37 users Visitors (red)
repository. Allows disclosure of updated results to natural resource • 96 pages
managers and to the general public. • 3.44 editions per page
• 9.27 pages view per visit
http://observatoriosierranevada.iecolab.es • 417 shared files
• Location of visits:
- 28 countries
- 157 cities
Temporal variation
of visits (counts)
Location of visits
http://refbase.iecolab.es
15
Sierra Nevada Global Change Observatory
Dissemination of results
In order to disseminate the results of the project we combine traditional media (presentations, paper publications, conferences, etc.)
with tools belonging to the Web 2.0. They are a complement to accelerate the transfer of updated scientific knowledge to managers
and society, and improve collaboration between different teams working on the project
Training Activities
Monographs
Information's
Management Tools Some Research Publications
Methodological
2007
Communication
• Aspizua Cantón, R.; Cano, F.J.; Bonet García, F.J.; Zamora, R. & Sánchez
Gutiérrez, J. (2007). Sierra Nevada: Observatorio internacional de seguimiento
del cambio global. Revista Medio Ambiente, 57: 21–25
• Bonet García, F.J.; Aspizua Cantón, R.; Cano, F.J.; Zamora, R. & Sánchez
Gutiérrez, J. (2007). El observatorio de seguimiento del cambio global de Sierra
Nevada (España). In I Congreso Nacional sobre Cambio Global Ambiental. Abril
2007. Madrid.
2009
• Bonet García, F.J. & Cayuela Delgado, L. (2009). Seguimiento de la cubierta de
nieve en Sierra Nevada: tendencias en la última década y posibles implicaciones
ecológicas de las mismas. In IX Congreso Nacional de la Asociación Española de
Ecología Terrestre. Úbeda (Spain), 18-22 Octubre.
• Gómez-Aparicio, L.; Zavala, M.A.; Bonet, F.J. & Zamora, R. (2009). Are pine
plantations valid tools for restoring Mediterranean forests? An assessment
along abiotic and biotic gradients. Ecological Applications, 19 (8): 2124–2141.
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