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Copyright © EquaTerra 2009. All rights are reserved. EquaTerra Advisor and Service Provider Pulse Survey Results - 2Q09 - Page 1
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EquaTerra offers the following conclusions from the 2Q09 Pulse survey:
• Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) and IT Outsourcing • As buyer appetites for global sourcing remain strong,
(ITO) market demand remained steady in 2Q09 their preference in locations from which to source
according to EquaTerra advisors and third-party business services continues to diversify. More buyers are seeking
and IT service providers polled. Signs indicate this trend to have global services delivered from locations beyond
will continue during the rest of 2009. While there India. This is a function of buyer desires to diversify, the
remains some amount of pent-up buyer demand, it is increased competitiveness of emerging markets like
emerging in the form of deals relatively slowly. Uncertain South America, and the expansion of Indian and global
market conditions and turmoil within individual buyer providers into more markets. Overall it represents an
accounts continue to slow some sourcing efforts. ongoing move toward a true global sourcing model
where buyers deploy and manage global service chains
• The market for more discretionary third-party services,
just as they have global supply chains.
such as consulting, systems integration and some
application development work, is weaker than for • Service provider capacity overall has become more
outsourcing. The exception is in the public sector and constricted, especially for deal pursuit. While supplier
military/aerospace markets where demand for all types selectivity has helped to improve capacity, this trend has
of third-party business, mission support and IT services been offset by decreases in budgets for pursuit activity,
remains strong. U.S. public sector demand for third- elongated pursuit efforts in certain buyer accounts, and
party services continues to grow, driven in part by an overall increase in buyer demand. Service provider
stimulus fund inflows. capacity for deal transition and delivery also slipped a bit
in the quarter.
• Market conditions overall are driving more demand for
global or “offshore” sourcing as the need and desire • Outsourcing buyers continue to face challenges in
to cut costs outweighs other factors that detract from managing transition efforts. Efforts are hampered by
global sourcing (e.g., trade protectionism, increased both a lack of adequate and skilled resources, as well
availability of labor in western markets at a lower cost as ineffective and inadequate planning and processes.
than seen in several years). There is also more interest in This leads to transition efforts not being completed on
nearshore services, highlighting the overall growth of all time, within budget and with the required functionality.
models of outsourcing, as well as buyer desires to take Critically, it too often means that poorly handled initial
advantage of good deals wherever they can find them. transition efforts negatively affect the start of the
relationship between the client and the service provider.
Distribution of the EquaTerra Pulse survey reports, controlled by EquaTerra, is intended for internal use and select delivery to
EquaTerra clients, prospects and other marketplace representatives. Questions or comments regarding these surveys should be
directed to Stan Lepeak, Managing Director of EquaTerra and EquaSiis Global Research, +1 203 458 0677.
Copyright © EquaTerra 2009. All rights are reserved. EquaTerra Advisor and Service Provider Pulse Survey Results - 2Q09 - Page 2
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Table of Contents
I. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
II. EquaTerra Advisor Highlights . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4
III. BPO/ITO Service Provider Highlights . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
IV. Market Demand and Market Trends Update. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Figure 1 - Advisors: Market Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
Figure 2 - Advisors: Demand by Service Delivery Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 3 - Advisors: Change in Demand by Service Delivery Model. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
Figure 4 - Service Providers: New Deal Pipeline Projections. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
Figure 5 - Service Providers: Demand Next Quarter. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
Figure 6 - Weighted Aggregate Market Demand: Advisors & Service Providers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
V. Economy’s Impact on Outsourcing Demand . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
Figure 7 - Economic Environment’s Impact on Outsourcing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
VI. Market Conditions: Impact on Global Sourcing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
Figure 8 - Market Conditions: Impact on Global Sourcing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
VII. Demand Trends by Functional Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Figure 9 - Advisors: Demand by Functional Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
Figure 10 - Service Providers: Demand by Functional Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
VIII. Advisors: Functional and Process Area Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
IX. Service Providers: Functional and Process Area Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
X. Demand Trends by Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Figure 11 - Advisors: Demand by Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
Figure 12 - Service Providers: Demand by Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
XI. Global Sourcing Trends. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Figure 13 - Advisors: Change in Sourcing Model Preference/Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Figure 14 - Service Providers: Change in Sourcing Model Preference/Demand. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Table 1 - “Hottest” Near and Offshore Destinations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
XII. Sales Cycle. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
Figure 15 - Service Providers: Sales Cycle. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
XIII. Pricing Competitiveness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
Figure 16 - Service Providers: Pricing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
XIV. Deal Scope . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
Figure 17 - Service Providers: Scope. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
XV. Service Providers: Contract Profitability and Ability to Increase Scope. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Figure 18 - Service Providers: Contract Profitability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
Figure 19 - Service Providers: Ability on Increase Scope. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
XVI. Service Provider Capacity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
Figure 20 - Advisors: Service Provider Capacity Overall . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Figure 21 - Advisors: Service Provider Capacity, Pursuit. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
Figure 22 - Advisors: Service Provider Capacity, Delivery. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
Figure 23 - Service Provider Capacity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
XVII. Update on Outsourcing Governance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Figure 24 - Root Causes for Transition “Failure” . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Figure 25 - Most Frequently Ignored Aspects of Transition by Buyers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Figure 26 - Percent of Transitions Completed On Time/Budget and to Requirements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
Figure 27 - How Often Transitions Negatively Affect Start of Buyer/Service Provider Relationship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
XVIII. Service Provider Market Update . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
XIX. Service Providers: Current Deal Portfolio Status . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
Figure 28 - Service Provider Re-competes and Renegotiations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Figure 29 - Service Provider Cancellations and Non-renewals. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
Figure 30 - Service Provider Problem Contracts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
XX. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
XXI. Appendix - Key Questions by Advisors’ Primary Geography and Outsourcing Focus Area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
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58 percent say the economy is driving more outsourcing (up 7 percent Q/Q), while
Economy’s Impact on Outsourcing
36 percent indicate economic conditions are slowing deal flow
1. India
Top Global Sourcing Locations 2. Central/Eastern Europe
3. Philippines
1. ITO
Leading Market Segments 2. Finance and Accounting Outsourcing (FAO)
3. Human Resources Outsourcing (HRO)
1. Payroll
Leading HRO Segments 2. Benefits
3. Human Resources Information Technology (HRIT)
1. Infrastructure/Operations
Leading ITO Segments 2. Application Development and Maintenance (ADM)
3. Desktop Services
1. AP
Leading Procurement Segments 2. Order Management
3. Strategic Sourcing
The market for third-party business and IT services, primarily outsourcing, was in a holding pattern in 2Q09 according to
EquaTerra advisors polled. Demand levels were positive and in line with levels from last quarter and last year. The economy
remains the dominant factor impacting demand and deal flow, mostly to the upside. Despite market noise to the contrary,
global sourcing use remains steady, though there is an uptick in demand for nearshore/onshore services and for offshore
services in locations other than India.
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Demand Next Quarter Steady; 63 percent expect increases, up one percent Q/Q and 13 percent Y/Y
Steady; 25 percent cite lengthening, down eight percent Q/Q and up 10 percent
Sales Cycle
Y/Y; 60 percent see no change
Easing; 53 percent cite more aggressive, down 22 percent Q/Q but up 18 percent
Pricing Competitiveness
Y/Y
Contract Profitability Improving; 50 percent cite improvement, up 20 percent Q/Q and 24 percent Y/Y
Ability to Increase Current Contract Scope Fell back; 63 percent expect increases, down 22 percent Q/Q and 11 percent Y/Y
Unchanged; 40 percent cite adequate levels, in line Q/Q and Y/Y, while just 15
Service Provider Capacity
percent cite restrictions
• India
Top Global Sourcing Locations • South America
• Central/Eastern Europe
1. Payroll
Leading Procurement 1. Order Management, Strategic Sourcing
Leading HRO Segments 2. Benefits
Segments 2. AP
3. HRIT
1. Banking/Financial Services
1. AP, AR/C&C 2. Manufacturing
Leading FAO Segments Leading Industries
2. General Accounting 3. Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG),
Energy/Utilities
Business and IT service providers polled were incrementally more positive on demand and pipeline growth in the second
quarter. Demand remains stronger for outsourcing than for more discretionary and project-based services. Pricing pressures
have eased a bit from last quarter though providers still must work hard to defend and rationalize adequate pricing levels. Deal
scope continues to fluctuate across providers and accounts. Providers must continue to focus on deals that deliver strong cost
savings and short- term, realistic return on investment (ROI), but also work to help buyers prepare for the inevitable market
upturn.
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• Just seven percent of advisors indicated demand levels had declined in the
quarter, in line with the survey average, down three percent from last quarter.
*The aggregate market demand and pipeline levels illustrated in Figures 1-3 are based on a
calculation of the “down,” “flat” and “up” responses to each question, and depict a combined or
aggregate total of each quarter’s response levels.
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EquaTerra advisors were polled on demand levels across the different categories of
business and IT services (see Figure 2). These categories are BPO, ITO, other types
of third-party IT services (e.g., consulting, systems integration, project based work)
and internal process improvement efforts (i.e., deploying expanded shared service
of offshore captive operations). Figure 3 illustrates the change in demand for these
service delivery models compared to the prior quarter.
• ITO was cited as the strongest area of demand across the four service delivery
categories by 67 percent of advisors, up eight percent from last quarter,
followed by BPO at 18 percent.
• ITO also showed the greatest increase in demand quarter over quarter, cited
by 59 percent of advisors. Fifty-five percent of advisors indicated that demand
for internal transformation efforts like shared services were up in the quarter.
Just 19 percent of advisors cited an increase in demand for non-ITO third-party
IT services. These services often are viewed by buyers as more discretionary or
easier to cut back because they are delivered via shorter term projects.
ITO 59%
BPO 22%
Internal
15%
Improvement
Other IT Svcs 7%
Other 5%
Figure 2
2% % %
7
% %
%
%
Down
Flat
% 0
% Up
Figure 3
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The increased demand for internal transformation efforts shows that organizations
today more often are addressing problems themselves in addition to bringing in
external resources. Also, it is a function of buyers needing to prepare processes for
outsourcing prior to transitioning them to providers. Typically, this approach is more
common in organizations less prone to outsourcing, such as those in the public
sector.
The acute need to reduce costs and overhaul operating models will continue driving
more outsourcing deal flow into the market. This will become more visible via deals
closing in the second half of 2009 . Demand for other types of third-party services,
like unbundled consulting and more discretionary application development work, will
remain weak throughout 2009. Protectionist trade policies, anti-outsourcing rhetoric,
and anti-globalization efforts will continue growing in most western markets, but
will have limited impact on overall outsourcing levels, though specific measures
will complicate some specific buyers’ sourcing agendas. Global sourcing trending is
addressed below.
Service providers polled were increasingly positive regarding new deal pipeline
growth projections (see Figure 4).
There are no major variations on pipeline growth assessments based on the profile
of the service providers polled. Results are more a function of specific service
provider situations and their existing market traction and capacity levels, rather than
functional outsourcing areas served.
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Service providers remained optimistic about future outsourcing demand growth (see
Figure 5).
Please note this question is a measure of change in demand growth quarter over
quarter, not absolute demand levels.
The final chart in this section (see Figure 6) highlights general demand trending
over the past 18 quarters. The weighted average is based on response levels from
both advisors and service providers for each quarter. Any aggregate totals above
the line indicate overall market growth, while totals below the line indicate market
contraction.
r t r
Ma e Con act on
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EquaTerra has polled advisors and service providers over the past six quarters as to
how current economic conditions are impacting outsourcing demand levels (see
Figure 7).
• The combined response levels for advisors and service providers show that 58
percent felt market conditions are driving more outsourcing. This level was up
13 percent from last quarter. Advisors and service providers were in sync on
this response.
5 %
% % %
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Advisors offered the following additional comments on how the current economy is
impacting outsourcing and third-party service usage:
Service providers added these comments on how the economy is impacting market
demand:
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EquaTerra polled service providers and its advisors in 2Q09 on what impact various
current market conditions are having on buyers’ global sourcing preferences and
patterns (see Figure 8). Advisors and service providers were asked to what degree
they agreed or disagreed with five positions related to trending in global sourcing.
They ranked their responses on a one-to-five scale where one represented strongly
disagree and five strongly agree. The only trend with consensus agreement, and
it scored just above the mid-point, was that outsourcing buyers are growing more
interested in offshore services delivered from locations other than India. This trend
is natural as the number of quality and viable global sourcing locations expands and
Indian service providers themselves diversify delivery capabilities beyond their home
market. Neither advisors nor service providers see as a major trend buyers pulling
back from global sourcing in general, from overall globalization efforts, or in their
use of India-based service providers.
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ITO
FAO
HRO
2Q09
CC/Customer Relationship 2Q08
Management (CRM) 2Q07
Procurement
Figure 9
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ITO was also the top area of demand cited by service providers in 2Q09 (see Figure
10) followed by HRO and FAO. It is important to note that demand levels registered in
the Pulse surveys are impacted by the particular outsourcing service providers polled
in any one quarter.
ITO
FAO
HRO
Other 2Q09
2Q08
Procurement 2Q07
CC/Customer Relationship
Management (CRM)
Figure 10
EquaTerra continues to see growth in demand for outsourcing beyond the back
office and in non-traditional functional and process areas like research and
development, real estate services, facilities management, analytics and other areas
of knowledge process outsourcing. Demand in these areas has been impacted by
current market conditions, which in some cases have lessened the need for these
services, but in others have made outsourcing more appealing as buyers seek to
reduce costs and overhaul service delivery models.
The charts on the following two pages illustrate outsourcing demand by process
area for the four major functional areas – IT, HR, F&A and procurement – covered
in the Pulse surveys. There are no major changes in demand levels across these
functions and processes compared to recent quarters.
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Advisors: Functional and Process Area Service Providers: Functional and Process
Demand Area Demand
Advisors: HRO Demand Service Providers: HRO Demand
Payroll Payroll
Benefits Benefits
HRIT HRIT
Compensation Compensation
2Q09 2Q09
Workforce Effectiveness 2Q08 Learning/Training 2Q08
2Q07 2Q07
Recruiting/Talent Mgmnt Recruiting/Talent Mgmnt
AP AP
AR/C&C
AR/C&C
General Accoutning
General Accounting
2Q09 Travel & Entertainment 2Q09
2Q08 2Q08
Travel & Entertainment
2Q07 Financial, Control, Risk Mgmnt 2Q07
Infrastructure/Operations ADM
Infrastructure/Operations
ADM
Packaged Application Svcs
Desktop Services
2Q09 Desktop Services 2Q09
2Q08 2Q08
Networks/Telecommunications
2Q07 Other 2Q07
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Figure 11
Manufacturing
Pharma/Biotech 2Q09
2Q08
Healthcare 2Q07
Telecommunications
Figure 12
Several key points depict demand by industry. One is the ongoing increase in
demand in the banking and financial services industries. This is not surprising
given the challenges buyers in these sectors are facing and their need to reduce
costs. It shows that buyers are still striving to execute sourcing efforts despite
the operational challenges they face. Public sector demand also remains strong,
though it is comprised of a proportionally higher percentage of non-outsourcing
third-party services. Ironically, there are also emerging signs that newly infused
stimulus money is being spent on third-party services. Public sector organizations
are showing increased interest in moving from legacy customer software application
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The results illustrate that in general demand did not decline for any type of
outsourcing, global sourcing demand remains strong, and is for the most part
growing (see Figure 13 for advisor responses and Figure 14 for service provider
responses). In parallel, demand for nearshore outsourcing also is increasing.
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40% %
5 %
20% 4
% % %
0%
Onshore Nearshore Offshore Nearshore/offshore
outsourcing outsourcing outsourcing captives
EquaTerra polled advisors and service providers on the “hottest” destinations for near
and offshore outsourcing services (see table 1). The last time this question was asked
was in the 3Q07 Pulse survey. Reflecting changes in the market, the destinations
represented have been updated since the last survey, with South America broken out
and South Africa and Vietnam added.
Table 1
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Sales Cycle
For the purposes of the Pulse surveys, the sales cycle is defined as the time
period from RFP release to contract signing. Many factors contribute to the
length of the sales cycle, including:
• What is being outsourced
• Level of buyer sophistication and experience
• Complexity, size and regional/global reach of the potential outsourcing deal
• Degree of multi-sourcing present in the deal portfolio
• Preferred service provider sales pursuit capacity and selectivity
• Whether a sourcing advisor is being used
• Disruption to the sourcing process by turmoil in the buyer organization,
economic uncertainty, or changing macro-business – all heightened issues in
the current market
• Whether a buyer is using an expedited model
The Pulse surveys do not measure the absolute length of sales cycles. EquaTerra
estimates, however, the sales cycle for larger deals (those with more than $50
million in total contract value (TCV)) that are competitively bid is typically six to
12 months – barring deal flow disruption – from the time the buyer goes to the
market until the deal is closed. The time frame typically has been compressed
15-25% over the past year given market conditions.
Current market trends are contributing to both shortening and lengthening sales
cycles. Smaller deals pursued by more experienced buyers can lead to shorter
sales cycles, as can the use of speed sourcing techniques (see related EquaTerra
research on this topic – http://www.cio.com/article/492917/Speed_Sourcing_
The_New_Outsourcing_Trend_) addressed in last quarter’s Pulse survey. On the
other hand, the complexities associated with multi-sourcing can complicate
the sourcing process and extend the sales cycle, as can considering more
intricate pricing arrangements. EquaTerra sees most buyers today more intensely
scrutinizing pricing models and levels. Global deals also are more complex to
source. The major factor impacting sales cycles over the past year, however, has
been sourcing cycle disruption caused by economic events. EquaTerra expects to
see market conditions complicate the sourcing process for the balance of 2009.
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Figure 14 illustrates sales cycle trends according to service providers polled in this
quarter’s study. Sales cycle trending improved modestly in the quarter.
• Twenty-five percent of service providers indicated sales cycles were
lengthening. This level is higher than the survey average, but marks the first
quarter-over-quarter decline since the end of 2007.
Pricing Competitiveness
Increased pricing competitiveness implies the buyer has the upper hand
and is getting a better priced outsourcing deal. As pricing is one element of
determining profitability, the alternative of less competitive pricing is generally
favorable to the service provider. The consensus this year among service
providers polled, especially Indian providers, is that buyers are getting more
aggressive with their pricing demands. Last quarter saw the highest level of
service providers (75 percent) represented over the life of the Pulse surveys
indicating that pricing pressure was increasing.
Figure 16 illustrates pricing trends according to service providers in this quarter’s
study.
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While there is a stronger desire among buyers today to get more aggressive
with pricing, a number of factors ultimately can temper final pricing levels. More
experienced buyers generally are aware that the lowest price may not lead to the
best deal. There is concern now in the market among buyers about entering into
deals today that will fail because of bad pricing. Buyers also can reduce overall spend
– the ultimate goal -- by lowering consumption levels, but still pay an equitable unit
price for services that help ensure they get the provider’s top resources.
Providers must still cover their operating costs, overhead, margin and risk. They
continue to look for ways to reduce operating costs and overhead to meet their
contract commitments and continue to push price competitive policies regardless
of the economic downturn. The net result is more aggressive pricing in the market,
but not routinely egregious pricing terms, at least for top tier service providers or
less desirable buyers. (see related EquaTerra research on this topic - http://www.
equaterra.com/fw/main/OutTake-How-Has-the-Market-Affected-Outsourcing-Pricing-
-1170C514.html)
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Deal Scope
Deal scope is defined as the number of processes, users, geographies, etc. included
in an outsourcing arrangement. Contract value usually is directly correlated to scope,
though the mix of remote/low-cost delivery resources involved also affects contract
value. From the outsourcing buyer’s perspective, understanding trends in scope and
contract value helps not only to determine how aggressively other organizations are
pursuing outsourcing, but also how to define and construct a viable and potentially
optimal-sized deal. The growth of the multi-sourcing/multi-provider outsourcer has
both driven and resulted from smaller deal scope. On average, scope levels have
been flat to declining for the past two years.
Figure 17 illustrates deal scope trends according to service providers polled in this
quarter’s study.
The ongoing decreases in scope levels highlight greater buyer increases in smaller,
more manageable and quickly executed deals. Buyers also are closely scrutinizing all
deal components and paring back anything deemed peripheral or discretionary.
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Capacity also is tightly linked to service provider aggressiveness in deal pursuit. When
service providers are being more selective and entering into fewer deals, as is often
the case in today’s BPO market, they need less capacity for pursuit and delivery.
Thus, capacity is intentionally constrained to keep costs down and to match capacity
to demand goals. As both BPO buyers and service providers focus more on smaller
deals with fewer processes in-scope, capacity pressure also is lessened. With buyers
becoming more demanding and the market overall tougher to sell into, quality
pursuit capacity has become more an issue.
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Figures 20 through 22 illustrate combined capacity levels for pursuit and delivery,
and then separately break out the two.
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• Overall capacity levels remained largely unchanged in the quarter after seeing
gradual improvements over the past year. Thirty-eight percent of advisors cited
constrained or tightening service provider capacity, up nine percent from last
quarter (see Figure 20). While below the survey average, this level represents
the fourth straight quarterly increase after several quarters of declines. Twenty
percent of advisors overall cited improved capacity, down slightly for the
quarter but up from 2Q08.
• Capacity for sales pursuit and deal structuring (see Figure 21) continued to
become more problematic. Thirty-eight percent of advisors cited constrained
levels, up for the fifth straight quarter and the highest level since 4Q07. Sales
pursuit capacity is dually impacted by more supplier selectivity (improves
capacity) and more market demand (strains capacity, especially as service
providers manage down pursuit costs). Budget pressures and reduced funding
by providers for deal pursuit also hurt capacity.
• Capacity levels for deal transition and delivery remained steady for the quarter
(see Figure 22). Constrained or tightening citation levels came in at 38 percent,
up quarter over quarter and year over year. Eighteen percent of advisors
indicated transition capacity was adequate, down from 22 percent last quarter.
Both sales and delivery capacity vary across functional areas of outsourcing and
across different supplier classes. Sales pursuit capacity is more constrained in EMEA
(cited by 52 percent of advisors) than in the Americas (24 percent of advisors) and
in ITO (37 percent of advisors) than BPO (22 percent of advisors). Trends in transition
were more consistent across markets and functional areas.
Digging into the reasons for positive and negative changes in service provider
capacity, EquaTerra advisors offered the following comments.
• Pursuit capacity
–– “It seems that providers have relatively full pipelines and with limited
intelligence on what might drop they seem stretched.”
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–– “More small outsourcing initiatives with the same capacity for sales makes
the workload per sales person high.”
–– “Provider ‘A’ teams are getting harder to find.”
• Delivery capacity
Not surprisingly, outsourcing service providers typically have been more optimistic
about their own capacity. Figure 23 illustrates contract pursuit and delivery capacity
trends according to service providers polled in this quarter’s study.
Providers concurred that more client and deal selectivity is helping to improve sales
pursuit capacity levels. The ongoing expansion of global delivery footprints similarly is
helping improve transition and delivery capacity. On the issue of the quality of sales
or pursuit capacity, advisors and service providers continue to have differences of
opinion.
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The Pulse survey first polled service providers and EquaTerra advisors on the
most common causes of transition failure (see Figure 24). “Failure” was defined
as outsourcing objectives not being met as a result of transition. The two most
common reasons cited by a majority of advisors were insufficient transition
management by both parties and lack of understanding of the deal/scope. The most
common reasons cited by 71 percent of service providers and 48 percent of advisors
were ineffective relationship and program governance during transition. What is
clear is that a variety of factors contribute to problematic outsourcing transition
efforts and lead to outsourcing efforts commencing on the “wrong foot.”
Figure 24
Digging deeper, EquaTerra assessed the aspects of transition buyers most commonly
ignore and, as a result, lead to the root-cause failures identified above (see Figure
25). Advisors and service providers agreed that re-aligning the retained organization
(e.g., structure, roles and responsibilities, enabling processes) and adequately
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resourcing the transition project (e.g., project staffing, subject matter experts (SMEs),
facilities, administrative support) are the two most frequently ignored or overlooked
aspects of transition efforts. Effectively managing the change (e.g., risk mitigation,
communication planning, etc.) was another commonly cited problem.
Figure 25
EquaTerra next examined how often outsourcing transition efforts were completed
on time, within budget and with the required functionality, finding a difference
of opinion between advisors and service providers (see Figure 26). Seventy-nine
percent of service providers indicated that almost all or most of transition efforts are
completed on time and budget and to specification, compared to just 13 percent of
EquaTerra advisors. Thirty-six percent of advisors felt that few transition efforts came
in as planned. The broad differences between advisors and service providers are both
a function of the size and complexity of deals being considered, as well as different
interpretations of “required functionality.”
%
%
%
Figure 26
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Finally and most importantly, EquaTerra polled advisors and service providers about
how often they felt transitions negatively affected the start of the relationship
between the client and the service provider (see Figure 27). On this point there was
more consensus, as well as more variation in responses, from service providers. The
majority of advisors polled indicated that over 70 percent of the time transitions
negatively affect the start of a buyer/service provider relationship. A larger
percentage of service providers (20 percent) than advisors indicated that transitions
almost always (90 percent or more of the time) negatively impact the buyer/service
provider relationship. The overall most common response from service providers
was that transitions sometimes (10-40 percent) lead to negative buyer and provider
relationships.
%
%
% %
Almost always (>90%)
Frequently (70%-90%)
3 % Moderately (40%-70%)
% Sometimes (10%-40%)
Rarely (<10%)
2 %
%
Figure 27
The main point to take away from these findings is the importance of both buyers
and service providers adequately preparing for outsourcing transitions efforts.
Buyers must not short transition resources. They must take a structured and
thorough approach to transitions just as they should to designing, deploying and
staffing the outsourcing governance organization. Service providers must ensure
they have adequate and skilled resources to support transition efforts, recognizing
these investments directly correlate to a greater likelihood of a long term positive
relationship with the client.
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leading market-specific providers. The research unveils direct insights into buyer
opinions on service provider performance levels, also assessing and interpreting
general outsourcing demand and activity trends in the markets covered. Market
coverage and due dates for the next editions of these studies are as follows:
EquaTerra also conducted service provider Pulse surveys in the Netherlands and U.K.
markets this quarter in parallel with the global advisor and service provider Pulse
surveys. Click here for additional details on this research offering and to get copies of
executive summary reports for all of the completed research efforts.
Deal Snapshot
The number of outsourcing deals closed in the quarter was low by historical
standards. EquaTerra estimates approximately 90 outsourcing deals (in ITO and the
functional BPO areas covered in the Pulse surveys) with greater than $50 million in
TCV were announced in 2Q09. Average TCV for these deals was approximately $225
million. This compares to approximately 100 deals with an average TCV of $260
million in 1Q09. Only a handful of these deals was purely BPO. When estimating the
number of new deals and average TCV, it is important to recognize that some deals
are not publicly announced or the deal details are not provided. The ultimate TCV of
a deal also is likely to change over the life of the contract. There were approximately
135 total BPO and ITO deals with TCV levels greater than $25 million in the quarter,
down from 180 in 1Q09.
• IBM win estimated at $250M over seven years with Sun Life Financial of Canada,
extending an earlier deal signed in 2002. IBM will provide a wide range of IT
infrastructure and operational services in addition to the mainframe services.
• HP/EDS win estimated at $245M over five years with the California Department
of Corrections and Rehabilitation. HP/EDS will provide system integration and
software applications modernization services to the state.
• ACS win estimated at $84M over five years with the Virginia Department
of Medical Assistance Services. ACS will provide fiscal agent and provider
enrollment services as well as additional IT-related services.
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• Wipro win estimated at $500M over nine years with Unitech Wireless (Indian
telecommunications firm). Wipro will provide an IT platform to support the
delivery of a variety of wireless voice and data services.
• HP/EDS win estimated at $575M over 12 years with the British Columbia Ministry
of Labour and Citizens’ Services. EDS will provide IT systems and application
hosting and data center services, including server and storage systems, and
also consolidate operations from the existing eight data centers into two new
centers.
• IBM win estimated at $375M over seven years with National Bank Financial
Group (Canada). IBM will provide infrastructure management services including
mainframes, server management and end-user services.
• HCL Technologies win estimated at $170M over five years with Microsoft. HCL
will provide IT services for Microsoft’s online service business.
• CSC win estimated at $575M over 10 years with the UK Identity and Passport
Service. CSC will work to upgrade the application and enrollment system with
new capabilities to process applications for passports and ID cards.
• Recompetes/renegotiations
• Cancellations/non-renewals
• Problem contracts
These results are provided for informational purposes only and to highlight ongoing
market directional trending. They do not represent actual deal total in any of the
categories profiled. The number of service providers citing increased levels of
recompetes and renegotiations rose to 45 percent, the highest level ever recorded
in the Pulse survey. Cancellation and problem account levels remained largely
unchanged.
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Up Same Down
Figure 30
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Conclusion
EquaTerra offers the following conclusions from the 2Q09 Pulse survey:
• BPO and ITO market demand remained steady in 2Q09 according to EquaTerra
advisors and third-party business and IT service providers polled. Signs indicate
this trend will continue during the rest of 2009. While there remains some amount
of pent-up buyer demand, it is emerging in the form of deals relatively slowly.
Uncertain market conditions and turmoil within individual buyer accounts continue
to slow some sourcing efforts.
• Market conditions overall are driving more demand for global or “offshore” sourcing
as the need and desire to cut costs outweighs other factors that detract from
global sourcing (e.g., trade protectionism, increased availability of labor in western
markets at a lower cost than seen in several years). There is also more interest in
nearshore services, highlighting the overall growth of all models of outsourcing, as
well as buyer desires to take advantage of good deals wherever they can find them.
• As buyer appetites for global sourcing remain strong, their preference in locations
from which to source services continues to diversify. More buyers are seeking to
have global services delivered from locations beyond India. This is a function of
buyer desires to diversify, the increased competitiveness of emerging markets
like South America, and the expansion of Indian and global providers into more
markets. Overall it represents an ongoing move toward a true global sourcing
model where buyers deploy and manage global service chains just as they have
global supply chains.
• Service provider capacity overall has become more constricted, especially for deal
pursuit. While supplier selectivity has helped to improve capacity, this trend has
been offset by decreases in budgets for pursuit activity, elongated pursuit efforts in
certain buyer accounts, and an overall increase in buyer demand. Service provider
capacity for deal transition and delivery also slipped a bit in the quarter.
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Appendix - Key Questions by Advisors’ Primary Geography and Outsourcing Focus Area
Question Response Total Global Americas EMEA ITO BPO BPO & ITO
Up 46% 45% 49% 40% 45% 42% 43%
Demand - Overall Flat 47% 52% 44% 51% 52% 50% 48%
Down 7% 3% 8% 10% 3% 8% 9%
BPO 18% 14% 29% 11% 0% 40% 17%
Demand - By Service ITO 67% 62% 59% 75% 93% 32% 75%
Model Other IT services 1% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4%
Internal improvement 14% 19% 12% 14% 7% 28% 4%
Demand - By Service Model - Change
Up 43% 40% 43% 45% 50% 39% 45%
BPO Flat 47% 55% 43% 45% 44% 54% 42%
Down 10% 5% 14% 10% 6% 8% 13%
Up 59% 63% 59% 57% 64% 40% 60%
ITO Flat 38% 37% 35% 41% 34% 55% 37%
Down 3% 0% 7% 2% 2% 5% 3%
Up 19% 21% 26% 13% 11% 18% 22%
Other IT services Flat 74% 79% 68% 75% 89% 77% 65%
Down 7% 0% 5% 12% 0% 6% 13%
Up 55% 56% 67% 45% 53% 71% 46%
Internal
Flat 36% 38% 29% 41% 42% 17% 46%
Improvement
Down 9% 6% 5% 14% 5% 13% 8%
SP capacity is constrained/tightening 38% 26% 24% 52% 37% 22% 50%
Service Provider (SP)
SP capacity is unchanged 42% 44% 48% 36% 47% 43% 31%
Capacity - Pursuit
SP capacity is adequate/increasing 21% 30% 28% 11% 16% 35% 19%
SP capacity is constrained/tightening 38% 38% 40% 36% 39% 41% 36%
SP Capacity -
SP capacity is unchanged 44% 43% 40% 48% 44% 36% 43%
Delivery
SP capacity is adequate/increasing 18% 19% 20% 17% 17% 23% 21%
Driving more outsourcing 58% 65% 53% 58% 61% 46% 61%
Economy Slowing/rethinking outsourcing plans 36% 22% 43% 38% 36% 50% 32%
Little/no impact 6% 13% 3% 4% 2% 4% 7%
Economic Conditions - global sourcing 2.44 2.05 2.61 2.51 2.43 2.68 2.22
Market Conditions: Political Environment - global sourcing 2.51 2.59 2.50 2.49 2.52 2.59 2.59
Impact on Global Conditions - Globalization 2.46 2.36 2.50 2.49 2.64 2.32 2.35
Sourcing Indian-based service providers 2.41 2.59 2.50 2.26 2.41 2.44 2.22
Locations OTHER than India 3.44 3.77 3.59 3.19 3.30 3.56 3.53
Onshore outsourcing 3.10 3.14 3.11 3.08 3.10 2.84 3.25
Global Sourcing Nearshore outsourcing 3.27 3.23 3.37 3.23 3.21 3.13 3.39
Trending Offshore outsourcing 3.31 3.55 3.26 3.22 3.31 3.16 3.66
Nearshore/offshore captives 2.91 3.00 2.93 2.85 2.89 2.90 3.07
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